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Turnout | 48.44% ![]() | |||||||||||||||||||
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Green: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Aiona: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No votes | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Hawaii |
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The 2022 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Hawaii. Incumbent Democratic governor David Ige was term-limited and ineligible to run for a third term. Incumbent lieutenant governor Josh Green was the Democratic nominee, and faced former lieutenant governor Duke Aiona, the Republican nominee. This marked the third time Aiona had been the Republican gubernatorial nominee, having previously run unsuccessfully in 2010 and 2014. Green won the election with 63.2% of the vote. [1] [2]
Green's performance was the highest percentage of the vote ever received by any gubernatorial candidate in the state's history, surpassing the record from the previous election. Despite this, Aiona performed 3 points better and received 20,000 more raw votes than Andria Tupola did in 2018, likely because there were no third-party candidates in the 2022 race. Green is the first Hawaii governor born after Hawaii's statehood.
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Graphical summary
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Kirk Caldwell | Vicky Cayetano | Josh Green | Kai Kahele | Undecided | ||||||||
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Mason-Dixon [21] | July 12–17, 2022 | 317 (LV) | ± 5.6% | – | 19% | 55% | 16% | 10% | ||||||||
MRG Research [22] | June 28–30, 2022 | 782 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 15% | 48% | 16% | 22% | ||||||||
Caldwell withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling (D) [23] [A] | February 8–9, 2022 | 644 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 5% | 10% | 46% | 14% | 25% | ||||||||
– | 10% | 48% | 17% | 25% | ||||||||||||
Mason-Dixon [24] | January 24–28, 2022 | 320 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 11% | 8% | 58% | – | 23% | ||||||||
Public Policy Polling (D) [25] [A] | November 5–6, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 7% | 14% | 51% | – | 28% | ||||||||
– | 21% | 58% | – | – |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Josh Green | 158,161 | 62.91% | |
Democratic | Vicky Cayetano | 52,447 | 20.86% | |
Democratic | Kai Kahele | 37,738 | 15.01% | |
Democratic | Van Tanabe | 1,236 | 0.49% | |
Democratic | Richard Kim | 991 | 0.39% | |
Democratic | David Bourgoin | 590 | 0.23% | |
Democratic | Clyde Lewman | 249 | 0.10% | |
Total votes | 251,412 | 100.0% |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Keith Amemiya | Ikaika Anderson | Sylvia Luke | Sherry Menor-McNamara | Jill Tokuda | Undecided | |||||||
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Mason-Dixon [46] | July 12–17, 2022 | 317 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 19% | 18% | 21% | 4% | – | 38% | |||||||
MRG Research [47] | June 28–30, 2022 | 782 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 7% | – | 48% | |||||||
Tokuda withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Mason-Dixon [48] | January 24–28, 2022 | 320 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 60% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Sylvia Luke | 87,797 | 36.23% | |
Democratic | Ikaika Anderson | 67,462 | 27.84% | |
Democratic | Keith Amemiya | 57,199 | 23.60% | |
Democratic | Sherry Menor-McNamara | 25,349 | 10.46% | |
Democratic | Sam Puletasi | 2,328 | 0.96% | |
Democratic | Daniel Cunningham | 2,215 | 0.91% | |
Total votes | 242,350 | 100.0% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Duke Aiona | Gary Cordery | Lynn Barry Mariano | Paul Morgan | B.J. Penn | Heidi Haunani Tsuneyoshi | Undecided |
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Mason-Dixon [21] | July 12–17, 2022 | 133 (LV) | ± 8.7% | 48% | – | – | – | 26% | 9% | 17% |
MRG Research [60] | June 28–30, 2022 | 269 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 27% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 29% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Duke Aiona | 37,608 | 49.57% | |
Republican | B.J. Penn | 19,817 | 26.12% | |
Republican | Gary Cordery | 8,258 | 10.88% | |
Republican | Heidi Haunani Tsuneyoshi | 7,255 | 9.56% | |
Republican | Lynn Barry Mariano | 903 | 1.19% | |
Republican | Paul Morgan | 796 | 1.05% | |
Republican | Keline Kahau | 469 | 0.62% | |
Republican | Walter Woods | 438 | 0.58% | |
Republican | Moses Paskowitz | 189 | 0.25% | |
Republican | George Hawat | 140 | 0.18% | |
Total votes | 75,873 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Seaula Tupai Jr. | 35,798 | 53.56% | |
Republican | Rob Burns | 23,121 | 34.60% | |
Republican | Tae Kim | 7,911 | 11.84% | |
Total votes | 66,830 | 100.0% |
Under Hawaii law, a nonpartisan candidate must either receive at least ten percent of the vote for that office (32,729 votes for governor or 30,918 votes for lieutenant governor) or receive a vote "equal to or greater than the lowest vote received by the partisan candidate who was nominated" (37,608 votes for governor or 35,798 votes for lieutenant governor) to qualify for the general election ballot. [61] Because none of the nonpartisan candidates for governor or lieutenant governor met that threshold, no nonpartisan candidates for governor or lieutenant governor advanced to the general election.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Nonpartisan | Keleionalani Taylor | 755 | 61.94% | |
Nonpartisan | Caleb Nazara | 464 | 38.06% | |
Total votes | 1,219 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Nonpartisan | Charles Keoho | 1,030 | 100.0% | |
Total votes | 1,030 | 100.0% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [62] | Solid D | March 4, 2022 |
Inside Elections [63] | Solid D | March 4, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [64] | Safe D | January 26, 2022 |
Politico [65] | Solid D | April 1, 2022 |
RCP [66] | Safe D | January 10, 2022 |
Fox News [67] | Solid D | May 12, 2022 |
538 [68] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
Elections Daily [69] | Safe D | November 7, 2022 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
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Democratic | 261,025 | 63.16% | +0.49% | ||
Republican |
| 152,237 | 36.84% | +3.14% | |
Total votes | 413,262 | 100.00% | |||
Turnout | 417,215 | 48.44% | –4.24 | ||
Registered electors | 861,358 | ||||
Democratic hold |
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Green won both congressional districts. [77]
District | Green | Aiona | Representative |
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1st | 64% | 36% | Ed Case |
2nd | 62% | 38% | Kai Kahele (117th Congress) |
Jill Tokuda (118th Congress) |
Partisan clients
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