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All 14 North Carolina seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic hold Democratic gain Republican hold
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Elections in North Carolina |
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina were held on November 8, 2022, to elect U.S. representatives from the state of North Carolina, concurrent with nationwide elections to the House of Representatives and U.S. Senate (including in North Carolina), alongside legislative elections to the state house and senate. Primaries were held on May 17, 2022. [1]
As a result of population growth over the preceding decade, the state's Congressional delegation increased from thirteen seats to fourteen in 2022. Republican-drawn districts adopted by the state legislature were struck down by the North Carolina Supreme Court as an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander, and court-drawn maps issued in their place. [2] Democrats flipped the redrawn 13th district from Republican control, and won the newly created 14th district, yielding an even 7–7 House delegation.
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County results Davis: 50–60% 60–70% Smith: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Davis: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Smith: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat G. K. Butterfield, who was re-elected with 54.2% of the vote in 2020. [3]
The 1st district includes Vance, Warren, Franklin, Halifax, Northampton, Nash, Wilson, Edgecombe, Greene, Martin, Bertie, Hertford, Gates, Chowan, Perquimans, Pasquotank, Washington, and Tyrell counties. It also includes the majority of Pitt County.
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Don Davis | Erica Smith | Other | Undecided |
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GQR Research (D) [32] [A] | May 6–8, 2022 | 407 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 31% | 3% | 22% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Don Davis | 42,693 | 63.2 | |
Democratic | Erica D. Smith | 21,012 | 31.1 | |
Democratic | Jason Spriggs | 2,123 | 3.1 | |
Democratic | Julian Bishop Sr. | 1,752 | 2.6 | |
Total votes | 67,580 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Sandy Smith | 13,621 | 31.4 | |
Republican | Sandy Roberson | 11,603 | 26.7 | |
Republican | Billy Strickland | 6,050 | 13.9 | |
Republican | Brent Roberson | 5,992 | 13.8 | |
Republican | Brad Murphy | 4,128 | 9.5 | |
Republican | Will Aiken | 1,285 | 3.0 | |
Republican | Ernest Reeves | 523 | 1.2 | |
Republican | Henry Williams II | 202 | 0.5 | |
Total votes | 43,404 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [39] | Likely D | October 25, 2022 |
Inside Elections [40] | Likely D | October 21, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [41] | Lean D | October 12, 2022 |
Politico [42] | Likely D | May 23, 2022 |
RCP [43] | Tossup | September 29, 2022 |
Fox News [44] | Lean D | September 20, 2022 |
DDHQ [45] | Lean D | October 18, 2022 |
538 [46] | Solid D | October 26, 2022 |
The Economist [47] | Likely D | September 28, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Don Davis (D) | Sandy Smith (R) | Undecided |
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GQR Research (D) [48] [A] | October 10–13, 2022 | 402 (LV) | – | 54% | 39% | 7% |
RMG Research [49] | June 4–6, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 39% | 16% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Undecided |
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GQR Research (D) [48] [A] | October 10–13, 2022 | 402 (LV) | – | 52% | 43% | 5% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Don Davis | 134,996 | 52.4 | |
Republican | Sandy Smith | 122,780 | 47.6 | |
Total votes | 257,776 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Precinct results Ross: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Villaverde: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Deborah Ross, who was elected with 63.0% of the vote in 2020. [3]
The 2nd district includes most of Wake County, including the state capital of Raleigh and surrounding towns such as Apex and Cary.
Michael Camero - Democratic party North Carolina District 2
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Christine Villaverde | 19,650 | 55.1 | |
Republican | Max Ganorkar | 9,133 | 25.6 | |
Republican | Adina Safta | 6,872 | 19.3 | |
Total votes | 35,655 | 100.0 |
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Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [39] | Solid D | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [40] | Solid D | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [41] | Safe D | March 2, 2022 |
Politico [42] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [43] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [44] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [45] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [46] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [47] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Deborah Ross (incumbent) | 190,714 | 64.7 | |
Republican | Christine Villaverde | 104,155 | 35.3 | |
Total votes | 294,869 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Murphy: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Murphy: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Gaskins: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican Greg Murphy, who was re-elected with 63.4% of the vote in 2020. [3]
The 3rd district includes Beaufort, Camden, Carteret, Craven, Currituck, Dare, Hyde, Jones, Lenoir, Pamlico, Sampson counties, as well as portions of Pitt and Wayne counties.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Greg Murphy (incumbent) | 50,123 | 75.7 | |
Republican | Tony Cowden | 9,332 | 14.1 | |
Republican | Eric Earhart | 3,274 | 4.9 | |
Republican | George Papastrat | 1,789 | 2.7 | |
Republican | Brian Michael Friend | 1,698 | 2.6 | |
Total votes | 66,216 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Barbara Gaskins | 23,051 | 80.8 | |
Democratic | Joe Swartz | 5,495 | 19.2 | |
Total votes | 28,546 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [39] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [40] | Solid R | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [41] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
Politico [42] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [43] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [44] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [45] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [46] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [47] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Greg Murphy (incumbent) | 166,520 | 66.9 | ||
Democratic | Barbara Gaskins | 82,378 | 33.1 | ||
Total votes | 248,898 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
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County results Foushee: 50–60% 70–80% 80–90% Geels: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Foushee: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Geels: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat David Price, who was re-elected with 67.3% of the vote in 2020. [3] On October 18, 2021, he announced his retirement. [57]
The 4th district includes Durham, Orange, Alamance, Granville, and Person counties, as well as a small section of Caswell County.
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Clay Aiken | Nida Allam | Valerie Foushee | Other | Undecided |
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Impact Research (D) [88] [B] | April 25–28, 2022 | 425 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 10% | 16% | 35% | 8% | 30% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Valerie Foushee | 40,806 | 46.1 | |
Democratic | Nida Allam | 32,731 | 37.0 | |
Democratic | Clay Aiken | 6,529 | 7.4 | |
Democratic | Ashley Ward | 4,767 | 5.4 | |
Democratic | Richard Watkins III | 1,155 | 1.3 | |
Democratic | Crystal Cavalier | 1,116 | 1.3 | |
Democratic | Stephen Valentine | 1,023 | 1.2 | |
Democratic | Matt Grooms | 435 | 0.5 | |
Total votes | 88,562 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Courtney Geels | 19,645 | 64.5 | |
Republican | Robert Thomas | 10,793 | 35.5 | |
Total votes | 30,438 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [39] | Solid D | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [40] | Solid D | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [41] | Safe D | March 2, 2022 |
Politico [42] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [43] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [44] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [45] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [46] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [47] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Valerie Foushee | 194,983 | 66.9 | |
Republican | Courtney Geels | 96,442 | 33.1 | |
Total votes | 291,425 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Foxx: 70–80% 80–90% Parrish: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Foxx: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Parrish: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican Virginia Foxx, who was re-elected with 66.9% of the vote in 2020.
The 5th district includes Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Davie, Mitchell, Stokes, Surry, Watauga, Wilkes, and Yadkin counties. It also includes portions of Caldwell and Forsyth counties.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Virginia Foxx (incumbent) | 61,680 | 76.6 | |
Republican | Michael Ackerman | 18,868 | 23.4 | |
Total votes | 80,548 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [39] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [40] | Solid R | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [41] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
Politico [42] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [43] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [44] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [45] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [46] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [47] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Virginia Foxx (incumbent) | 175,279 | 63.1 | ||
Democratic | Kyle Parrish | 102,269 | 36.9 | ||
Total votes | 277,548 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
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County results Manning: 50–60% Castelli: 40–50% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Manning: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Castelli: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Kathy Manning, who was elected with 62.3% of the vote in 2020. [3] On November 8th 2022 Manning won re-election to her house seat against Republican Christian Castelli by a vote of 139,553 (54%) to 116,635 (45%) .
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Christian Castelli | 15,450 | 36.2 | |
Republican | Lee Haywood | 14,390 | 33.7 | |
Republican | Mary Ann Contogiannis | 5,211 | 12.2 | |
Republican | Gerry Austin | 2,568 | 6.0 | |
Republican | Laura Pichardo | 1,889 | 4.4 | |
Republican | Marvin Boguslawski | 1,716 | 4.0 | |
Republican | Bill Schuch | 1,452 | 3.4 | |
Total votes | 42,676 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [39] | Likely D | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [40] | Solid D | August 25, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [41] | Likely D | March 2, 2022 |
Politico [42] | Lean D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [43] | Likely D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [44] | Likely D | August 22, 2022 |
DDHQ [45] | Likely D | November 8, 2022 |
538 [46] | Solid D | August 2, 2022 |
The Economist [47] | Likely D | September 28, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Kathy Manning (D) | Christian Castelli (R) | Undecided |
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RMG Research [101] | June 4–6, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 39% | 12% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Kathy Manning (incumbent) | 139,553 | 53.9 | |
Republican | Christian Castelli | 116,635 | 45.0 | |
Libertarian | Thomas Watercott | 2,810 | 1.1 | |
Total votes | 258,998 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Rouzer: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Rouzer: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Graham: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican David Rouzer, who was re-elected with 60.2% of the vote in 2020. [3]
The 7th district includes Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Pender, and Robeson counties, as well as a portion of Cumberland County.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | David Rouzer (incumbent) | 39,203 | 79.2 | |
Republican | Max Southworth-Beckwith | 10,300 | 20.8 | |
Total votes | 49,503 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Charles Graham | 13,054 | 31.2 | |
Democratic | Charles E. Evans | 12,263 | 29.3 | |
Democratic | Steve Miller | 9,744 | 23.3 | |
Democratic | Yushonda Midgette | 6,738 | 16.1 | |
Total votes | 41,799 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [39] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [40] | Solid R | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [41] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
Politico [42] | Solid R | November 7, 2022 |
RCP [43] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [44] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [45] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [46] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [47] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | David Rouzer (incumbent) | 164,047 | 57.7 | ||
Democratic | Charles Graham | 120,222 | 42.3 | ||
Total votes | 284,269 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
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County results Bishop: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Bishop: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Huffman: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Republican Dan Bishop, who was re-elected with 55.6% of the vote in 2020. [3]
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Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [39] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [40] | Solid R | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [41] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
Politico [42] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [43] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [44] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [45] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [46] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [47] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Dan Bishop (incumbent) | 183,998 | 69.9 | ||
Democratic | Scott Huffman | 79,192 | 30.1 | ||
Total votes | 263,190 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
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County results Hudson: 50–60% 60–70% 80–90% Clark: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Hudson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Clark: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Due to redistricting after the 2020 census, Republican Representatives Richard Hudson and Ted Budd were moved to the same district. Budd declared his candidacy for U.S. Senate. [117]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Richard Hudson (incumbent) | 38,117 | 79.2 | |
Republican | Jennyfer Bucardo | 4,175 | 8.7 | |
Republican | Michael Adriani | 3,950 | 8.2 | |
Republican | Francisco Rios | 1,891 | 3.9 | |
Total votes | 48,133 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [39] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [40] | Solid R | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [41] | Safe R | April 19, 2022 |
Politico [42] | Likely R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [43] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [44] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [45] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [46] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [47] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Richard Hudson (incumbent) | 131,453 | 56.5 | ||
Democratic | Ben Clark | 101,202 | 43.5 | ||
Total votes | 232,655 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
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County results McHenry: 60–70% 70–80% 80-90% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results McHenry: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Genant: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican Patrick McHenry, who was re-elected with 68.9% of the vote in 2020. [3]
U.S. presidents
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Patrick McHenry (incumbent) | 49,973 | 68.1 | |
Republican | Gary Robinson | 11,671 | 15.9 | |
Republican | Michael Magnotta | 4,703 | 6.4 | |
Republican | Jeff Gregory | 3,649 | 5.0 | |
Republican | Richard Speer | 3,381 | 4.6 | |
Total votes | 73,377 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Pam Genant | 13,028 | 77.5 | |
Democratic | Michael Felder | 3,790 | 22.5 | |
Total votes | 16,818 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [39] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [40] | Solid R | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [41] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
Politico [42] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [43] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [44] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [45] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [46] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [47] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Patrick McHenry (incumbent) | 194,681 | 72.6 | ||
Democratic | Pam Genant | 73,174 | 27.3 | ||
Write-in | 352 | 0.1 | |||
Total votes | 268,207 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
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County results Edwards: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Beach-Ferrara: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Edwards: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Beach-Ferrara: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican Madison Cawthorn, who was elected with 54.5% of the vote in 2020. [3] Due to Cawthorn's role in the January 6 United States Capitol attack, and other controversies, he was primaried by North Carolina State Senator Chuck Edwards. Cawthorn was defeated by Edwards in the primary election.
The 11th district includes Cherokee, Graham, Clay, Macon, Swain, Jackson, Haywood, Transylvania, Henderson, Buncombe, Madison, Yancey, Polk, and McDowell counties, as well as the western half of Rutherford County.
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Matthew Burril | Madison Cawthorn | Chuck Edwards | Rod Honeycutt | Bruce O'Connell | Wendy Nevarez | Kristie Sluder | Michele Woodhouse | Other | Undecided |
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Differentiators Data (R) [150] [C] | April 25–26, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 4% | 38% | 21% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 0% | 5% | – | 21% |
Differentiators Data (R) [151] [C] | March 10–13, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 3% | 49% | 14% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | – | 23% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [152] [D] | March 10–13, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | – | 52% | 20% | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | 17% |
Spry Strategies (R) [153] [E] | March 2022 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 5% | 62% | 10% | 2% | 6% | 3% | – | 1% | – | 11% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Chuck Edwards | 29,496 | 33.4 | |
Republican | Madison Cawthorn (incumbent) | 28,112 | 31.9 | |
Republican | Matthew Burril | 8,341 | 9.5 | |
Republican | Bruce O'Connell | 6,037 | 6.8 | |
Republican | Rod Honeycutt | 5,775 | 6.5 | |
Republican | Michele Woodhouse | 4,668 | 5.3 | |
Republican | Wendy Nevarez | 4,525 | 5.1 | |
Republican | Kristie Sluder | 1,304 | 1.5 | |
Total votes | 88,258 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Jasmine Beach-Ferrara | 32,478 | 59.7 | |
Democratic | Katie Dean | 13,957 | 25.6 | |
Democratic | Jay Carey | 3,858 | 7.1 | |
Democratic | Bo Hess | 2,082 | 3.8 | |
Democratic | Marco Gutierrez | 1,040 | 1.9 | |
Democratic | Bynum Lunsford | 1,002 | 1.8 | |
Total votes | 54,417 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [39] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [40] | Solid R | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [41] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
Politico [42] | Solid R | May 23, 2022 |
RCP [43] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [44] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [45] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [46] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [47] | Likely R | November 4, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Chuck Edwards (R) | Jasmine Beach-Ferrara (D) | David Coatney (L) | Undecided |
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Survey 160 (D) [166] [F] | May 18–20, 2022 | 308 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 46% | 40% | 6% | 8% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Chuck Edwards | 174,232 | 53.8 | ||
Democratic | Jasmine Beach-Ferrara | 144,165 | 44.5 | ||
Libertarian | David Coatney | 5,515 | 1.7 | ||
Total votes | 323,912 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
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Results Adams: 60–70% Lee: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Adams: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Lee: 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Alma Adams, who was re-elected unopposed in 2020. [3]
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alma Adams (incumbent) | 37,984 | 91.7 | |
Democratic | John Sharkey | 3,460 | 8.3 | |
Total votes | 41,444 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tyler Lee | 10,388 | 42.9 | |
Republican | Andrew Huffman | 8,311 | 34.3 | |
Republican | Nalini Joseph | 5,543 | 22.9 | |
Total votes | 24,242 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [39] | Solid D | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [40] | Solid D | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [41] | Safe D | March 2, 2022 |
Politico [42] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [43] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [44] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [45] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [46] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [47] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alma Adams (incumbent) | 140,494 | 62.8 | |
Republican | Tyler Lee | 83,414 | 37.2 | |
Total votes | 223,908 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Results Nickel: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Hines: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting after the 2020 census, this is a new district with no incumbent.
The 13th district includes all of Johnston County, the southern half of Wake County, the western half of Wayne County, and the eastern half of Harnett County.
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
Individuals
Organizations
U.S. senators
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | DeVan Barbour | Tony Cowden | Kelly Daughtry | Bo Hines | Alan Swain | John Szoka | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WPA Intelligence (R) [179] | February 2022 | – (LV) | – | 7% | 1% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 51% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bo Hines | 17,602 | 32.1 | |
Republican | DeVan Barbour | 12,426 | 22.6 | |
Republican | Kelly Daughtry | 9,300 | 16.9 | |
Republican | Kent Keirsey | 6,223 | 11.3 | |
Republican | Renee Ellmers | 5,176 | 9.4 | |
Republican | Chad Slotta | 3,074 | 5.6 | |
Republican | Jessica Morel | 738 | 1.3 | |
Republican | Kevin Alan Wolff | 344 | 0.6 | |
Total votes | 54,883 | 100.0 |
State officials
State legislators
Newspapers and publications
Organizations
Labor unions
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Wiley Nickel | 23,155 | 51.6 | |
Democratic | Sam Searcy | 10,284 | 22.9 | |
Democratic | Jamie Campbell Bowles | 4,217 | 9.4 | |
Democratic | Nathan Click | 3,866 | 8.6 | |
Democratic | Denton Lee | 3,311 | 7.4 | |
Total votes | 44,833 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [39] | Tossup | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [40] | Tossup | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [41] | Lean R | July 28, 2022 |
Politico [42] | Tossup | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [43] | Lean R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [44] | Lean R | November 1, 2022 |
DDHQ [45] | Likely R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [46] | Likely R | October 21, 2022 |
The Economist [47] | Tossup | September 28, 2022 |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Bo Hines (R) | Wiley Nickel (D) | Undecided [b] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight [188] | August 6 – October 24, 2022 | October 26, 2022 | 41.8% | 42.6% | 15.6% | Nickel +0.9 |
Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Bo Hines (R) | Wiley Nickel (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA (R) [189] [G] | October 21–24, 2022 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 44% | – | 13% |
Global Strategy Group (D) [190] | August 29 – September 1, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 44% | – | 16% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [191] | August 23–24, 2022 | 506 (V) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 40% | – | 20% |
RMG Research [192] | July 31 – August 6, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 39% | 3% | 14% |
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D) [193] [H] | May 18–19, 2022 | 429 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 43% | 45% | – | 12% |
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Generic Democrat | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D) [194] [I] | October 19, 2022 | – | – | 45% | 43% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [195] [I] | October 18, 2022 | – | – | 42% | 42% | 16% |
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D) [193] [H] | May 18–19, 2022 | 429 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Wiley Nickel | 143,090 | 51.6 | ||
Republican | Bo Hines | 134,256 | 48.4 | ||
Total votes | 277,346 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic win (new seat) |
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Jackson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Harrigan: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting after the 2020 census, this is a new district with no incumbent.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jeff Jackson | 34,724 | 86.1 | |
Democratic | Ramin Mammadov | 5,598 | 13.9 | |
Total votes | 40,322 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Pat Harrigan | 27,638 | 75.6 | |
Republican | Jonathan Simpson | 8,909 | 24.4 | |
Total votes | 36,547 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [39] | Solid D (flip) | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [40] | Solid D (flip) | August 25, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [41] | Safe D (flip) | September 29, 2022 |
Politico [42] | Likely D (flip) | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [43] | Likely D (flip) | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [44] | Solid D (flip) | October 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [45] | Likely D (flip) | July 20, 2022 |
538 [46] | Solid D (flip) | September 29, 2022 |
The Economist [47] | Safe D (flip) | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jeff Jackson | 148,738 | 57.7 | ||
Republican | Pat Harrigan | 109,014 | 42.3 | ||
Total votes | 257,752 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic win (new seat) |
Partisan clients
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