2022 Iowa gubernatorial election

Last updated

2022 Iowa gubernatorial election
Flag of Iowa.svg
←  2018 November 8, 2022 2026  →
Turnout55.06% Decrease2.svg 6.09pp
  Kim Reynolds (53130166376) (cropped).jpg Deidre DeJear (48615658243) (closer crop).jpg
Nominee Kim Reynolds Deidre DeJear
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Adam Gregg Eric Van Lancker
Popular vote709,198482,950
Percentage58.04%39.53%
2022 Iowa gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2022 Iowa Gubernatorial election by congressional district.svg
2022 Iowa Gubernatorial election by Senate district.svg
2022 Iowa Gov by State House.svg
IA Governor 2022.svg
Reynolds:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
DeJear:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     No votes
Governor before election

Kim Reynolds
Republican

Elected Governor

Kim Reynolds
Republican

The 2022 Iowa gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Iowa. Incumbent Republican Governor Kim Reynolds won re-election to a second full term in a landslide, [1] defeating Democratic nominee Deidre DeJear with 58.0% of the vote.

Contents

First elected as lieutenant governor in 2010, Reynolds assumed the governorship on May 24, 2017, following the resignation of Governor Terry Branstad to become the U.S. Ambassador to China. She was elected in her own right in 2018 in what was considered a minor upset, before dramatically increasing her vote share in 2022. [2]

Reynolds flipped seven counties that had voted Democratic in the previous gubernatorial election: Black Hawk, Clinton, Des Moines, Dubuque, Jefferson, Lee, and Scott.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Kim Reynolds (incumbent) 185,293 99.03%
Write-in 1,8080.97%
Total votes187,101 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Deidre DeJear

U.S. senators

Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Deidre DeJear 145,555 99.45%
Write-in 8010.55%
Total votes146,356 100.0%

Minor parties and independents

Libertarian Party

Nominee

Independents

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [22] Solid RJuly 26, 2022
Inside Elections [23] Solid RJuly 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [24] Safe RJune 29, 2022
Politico [25] Solid RAugust 12, 2022
RCP [26] Likely RJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News [27] Solid RMay 12, 2022
538 [28] Solid RJuly 31, 2022
Elections Daily [29] Safe RNovember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Kim Reynolds (R)

Executive Branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Organizations

Newspapers

Deidre DeJear (D)

State legislators

  • David Maxwell, state representative from the 76th district (2013–present) (Republican) [41]

Individuals

Organizations

Labor unions

Newspapers

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Kim
Reynolds (R)		Deidre
DeJear (D)		Undecided
[a] 		Margin
FiveThirtyEight [54] March 2 – October 19, 2022October 20, 202252.6%36.6%10.8%Reynolds +15.9

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Kim
Reynolds (R)		Deidre
DeJear (D)		Rick
Stewart (L)		OtherUndecided
Selzer & Co. [55] October 31 – November 3, 2022801 (LV)± 3.5%54%37%4%2% [c] 3%
Cygnal (R) [56] [A] October 26–27, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%57%38%––5%
Civiqs [57] October 22–25, 2022623 (LV)± 5.2%54%42%–2% [d] 1%
The Tarrance Group (R) [58] [B] October 15–19, 2022600 (LV)± 4.1%56%39%––5%
Selzer & Co. [59] October 9–12, 2022620 (LV)± 3.9%52%35%4%4% [e] 4%
Emerson College [60] October 2–4, 2022959 (LV)± 3.1%53%36%1%2% [f] 9%
Cygnal (R) [61] [A] October 2–4, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%59%38%––3%
Cygnal (R) [62] [A] July 13–14, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%56%41%––3%
Selzer & Co. [63] July 10–13, 2022597 (LV)± 4.0%48%31%5%5%9%
Selzer & Co. [64] February 28 – March 2, 2022612 (LV)± 4.0%51%43%–1% [g] 5%
Cygnal (R) [65] [A] February 20–22, 2022610 (LV)± 3.9%55%38%––7%

Debates

2022 Iowa gubernatorial general election debates
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic
Key:

 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee  W  Withdrawn

Kim Reynolds Deidre DeJear
2Oct. 18, 2022Local ABC 5 Youtube PP

Results

2022 Iowa gubernatorial election swing map by county.svg
2022 Iowa gubernatorial election trend map by county.svg
2022 Iowa gubernatorial election [66]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican
709,198 58.04% +7.78%
Democratic
  • Deidre DeJear
  • Eric Van Lacker
482,95039.53%−8.00%
Libertarian
  • Rick Stewart
  • Marco Battaglia
28,9982.37%+0.84%
Write-in 7180.06%+0.02%
Total votes1,220,864 100.00
Turnout 1,230,41655.06%
Registered electors 2,234,666
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Reynolds won all 4 congressional districts. [67]

DistrictReynoldsDeJearRepresentative
1st 55%43% Mariannette Miller-Meeks
2nd 57%41% Ashley Hinson
3rd 53%44% Cindy Axne (117th Congress)
Zach Nunn (118th Congress)
4th 69%29% Randy Feenstra

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%; "Don't want to tell" with 1%
  4. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  5. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  6. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  7. ↑ "Would not vote" (volunteered answer) with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 4 This poll was sponsored by the Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation
  2. ↑ Poll conducted for the NRSC.

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References

  1. ↑ Dress, Brad. "Iowa's GOP governor Reynolds launches reelection bid". The Hill. Archived from the original on March 10, 2022. Retrieved March 9, 2022.
  2. ↑ "Gov. Kim Reynolds secures second term, promises policies to let Iowans 'keep more of your money'". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved November 10, 2022.
  3. ↑ Dress, Brad. "Iowa's GOP governor Reynolds launches reelection bid". The Hill. Archived from the original on March 10, 2022. Retrieved March 9, 2022.
  4. ↑ Dunlap, Natalie. "Rep. Ashley Hinson announces reelection campaign, with support of Iowa Republicans, Sen. Ted Cruz". www.dailyiowan.com. The Daily Iowan. Archived from the original on August 29, 2021. Retrieved August 29, 2021.
  5. 1 2 "Official Results - 2022 Primary Election". IOWA SECRETARY OF STATE. Retrieved June 11, 2022.
  6. ↑ "2022 Iowa Primary Election guide". May 2, 2022. Archived from the original on April 20, 2022. Retrieved April 19, 2022.
  7. ↑ "State Rep. Ras Smith announces campaign for Iowa governor". www.KCRG.com. Archived from the original on June 16, 2021. Retrieved May 15, 2021.
  8. ↑ Gruber-Miller, Stephen (January 5, 2022). "Democrat Ras Smith suspends campaign for Iowa governor". Des Moines Register . Archived from the original on May 2, 2022. Retrieved January 5, 2022.
  9. ↑ Pfannenstiel, Brianne. "Cindy Axne will run for reelection in Congress, closing the door on Iowa gubernatorial bid". Des Moines Register. Archived from the original on May 2, 2022. Retrieved November 12, 2021.
  10. ↑ "Capitol Ideas: Iowa Democrats hope for big year in 2021". www.thegazette.com. Archived from the original on May 6, 2021. Retrieved May 7, 2021.
  11. ↑ "Iowa taking a hard turn right | Storm Lake Times". www.stormlake.com. January 26, 2021. Archived from the original on May 5, 2021. Retrieved May 7, 2021.
  12. ↑ Merica, Dan (July 22, 2021). "Abby Finkenauer announces Senate bid in Iowa". CNN. Archived from the original on July 22, 2021. Retrieved July 22, 2021.
  13. ↑ Gruber-Miller, Stephen (December 7, 2021). "Democrat Rob Sand to seek reelection as Iowa state auditor, won't run for governor in 2022". www.desmoinesregister.com. The Des Moines Register. Archived from the original on May 2, 2022. Retrieved December 7, 2021.
  14. ↑ "Rob Sand may run for higher office in 2022; Cindy Axne non-committal". Bleeding Heartland. December 16, 2020. Archived from the original on December 19, 2020. Retrieved January 2, 2021.
  15. ↑ Murphy, Erin. "Iowa Democrats hope for brighter future". The Gazette. Archived from the original on November 18, 2018. Retrieved January 2, 2021.
  16. ↑ "Endorsements". elizabethwarren.com. Archived from the original on July 29, 2020. Retrieved July 7, 2022.
  17. ↑ "Democracy for America : Our Candidates". Democracy for America . Retrieved July 16, 2022.
  18. ↑ Pfannenstiel, Brianne. "Rick Stewart, Iowa Libertarian candidate for governor, wants to 'Make Iowa Nice Again'". Des Moines Register. Archived from the original on May 2, 2022. Retrieved March 12, 2022.
  19. ↑ "2022 a rebuilding year for Iowa Libertarians". www.thegazette.com. Archived from the original on March 21, 2022. Retrieved March 12, 2022.
  20. ↑ Torch, Iowa (March 3, 2022). "Stewart files to be the Libertarian Party of Iowa candidate for Iowa Governor | The Iowa Torch".
  21. ↑ "Reynolds' challengers hope for lightning strike". July 9, 2021. Archived from the original on July 18, 2021. Retrieved July 18, 2021.
  22. ↑ "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on January 5, 2021. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
  23. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Archived from the original on February 18, 2021. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  24. ↑ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on March 11, 2021. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  25. ↑ "Iowa Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022. Archived from the original on April 20, 2022. Retrieved April 20, 2022.
  26. ↑ "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Archived from the original on January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  27. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
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  29. ↑ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
  30. ↑ Brianne Pfannenstiel (May 27, 2021). "Nikki Haley, former ambassador and governor, gives Gov. Kim Reynolds an early reelection endorsement". Des Moines Register. Archived from the original on May 2, 2022. Retrieved June 1, 2021.
  31. 1 2 Weig, Nick (June 5, 2022). "Former President Trump Formally Endorses Gov. Kim Reynolds". Cedar Rapids News.
  32. ↑ "US Sen. Marsha Blackburn, campaigning in Iowa: 'I am not' running for president". The Des Moines Register .
  33. 1 2 3 4 "Governor hosts 5th annual Harvest Festival ahead of November election". www.kcci.com. October 2, 2022. Retrieved October 20, 2022.
  34. 1 2 "S. Sen. Rick Scott tailgates with Miller-Meeks, Reynolds". iowacapitaldispatch.com. September 7, 2022. Retrieved October 20, 2022.
  35. 1 2 "Republicans rally during Reynolds' Clinton stop". www.clintonherald.com. October 7, 2022. Retrieved October 20, 2022.
  36. ↑ "Iowa Farm Bureau names Senator Chuck Grassley, Governor Kim Reynolds and Secretary of Agriculture Mike Naig a 'Friend of Agriculture'". www.iowafarmbureau.com. September 7, 2022. Retrieved October 20, 2022.
  37. ↑ "2022 Candidates". www.maggieslist.org. Archived from the original on June 22, 2021. Retrieved January 2, 2021.
  38. 1 2 3 "Kim Reynolds' Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 20, 2022.
  39. ↑ "Iowa Grades & Endorsements". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 15, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  40. ↑ "Journal Editorial Board endorses Franken, Reynolds, Feenstra for U.S. Senate, Iowa 4th district, Iowa governor". November 5, 2022.
  41. ↑ "House Republican Who Opposed Reynolds' Voucher Plans Endorses Democrats". November 2, 2022.
  42. ↑ "Fred Hubbell endorses Deidre DeJear in Iowa governor's race, providing fresh support for the Democrat". The Des Moines Register .
  43. ↑ "Iowa Campaign Almanac: Deidre DeJear endorsement, Abby Finkenauer campaign staffs up, Joni Ernst endorses Brenda Bird". www.thegazette.com. February 2, 2022. Retrieved October 20, 2022.
  44. ↑ "Our Candidates". democracyforamerica.com. Democracy for America.
  45. ↑ "Candidates for Governor". emilyslist.org.
  46. ↑ "CCI Action endorses Deidre DeJear for Governor 2022". cciaction.org. Retrieved October 20, 2022.
  47. ↑ "Iowa Unity Coalition Endorses Deidre DeJear for Iowa Governor". www.iowaunitycoalition.com. March 7, 2022. Retrieved October 20, 2022.
  48. ↑ "Deidre DeJear Gets National Pro-Choice Group Endorsement". September 8, 2022.
  49. ↑ "Endorsements - One Iowa Action". oneiowaaction.org. Retrieved October 20, 2022.
  50. ↑ "Election 2022". Iowa Federation of Labor, AFL–CIO.
  51. ↑ "Editorial Board | the DI Editorial Board endorses DeJear".
  52. ↑ "Editorial: Deidre DeJear best understands where Iowa is and what it needs". The Des Moines Register . October 15, 2022. Retrieved October 20, 2022.
  53. ↑ "Editorial: DeJear for governor - Storm Lake Times Pilot". October 28, 2022.
  54. ↑ FiveThirtyEight
  55. ↑ Selzer & Co.
  56. ↑ Cygnal (R)
  57. ↑ Civiqs
  58. ↑ The Tarrance Group (R)
  59. ↑ Selzer & Co.
  60. ↑ Emerson College
  61. ↑ Cygnal (R)
  62. ↑ Cygnal (R)
  63. ↑ Selzer & Co.
  64. ↑ Selzer & Co.
  65. ↑ Cygnal (R) Archived February 28, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
  66. ↑ "2022 General Election". Iowa Secretary of State. November 11, 2022. Retrieved November 11, 2022.
  67. ↑ "2022 Iowa Election Results by Congressional District".

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