2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

Last updated

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
Flag of New Hampshire.svg
  2020 November 8, 2022 2024  

All 2 New Hampshire seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election20
Seats won20
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote339,027277,808
Percentage54.90%44.99%
SwingIncrease2.svg 2.31%Increase2.svg 0.01%

New Hampshire 2022 US House of Representatives.svg
New Hampshire House Results 2022 by Municipality.svg

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts.

Contents

Overview

District Democratic Republican OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 167,39154.00%142,22945.89%3420.11%309,962100.00%Democratic hold
District 2 171,63655.80%135,57944.08%3690.12%307,584100.00%Democratic hold
Total339,02754.90%277,80844.99%7110.11%617,546100.00%
Popular vote
Democratic
54.90%
Republican
44.99%
Other
0.11%
House seats
Democratic
100.00%

District 1

2022 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district election
Flag of New Hampshire.svg
  2020
2024  
  Chris Pappas portrait (118th Congress).jpg Karoline Leavitt by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Nominee Chris Pappas Karoline Leavitt
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote167,391142,229
Percentage54.0%45.9%

2022 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district election results by town.svg
Municipality results
Pappas:     50–60%     60–70%     70-80%
     80-90%
Leavitt:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Chris Pappas
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Chris Pappas
Democratic

The 1st district is based in southeastern New Hampshire, and includes Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region. The incumbent was Democrat Chris Pappas, who was re-elected with 51.3% of the vote in 2020. [1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary results [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Chris Pappas (incumbent) 41,990 100.0
Total votes41,990 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • Julian Acciard, security specialist and Iraq War veteran (running for governor) [21] [22]

Endorsements

Tim Baxter

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State representatives

Gail Huff Brown

Executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Karoline Leavitt

U.S. senators

Statewide officials

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Individuals

Matt Mowers

Federal officials

U.S. representatives

Governors

State legislators

State senators

Organizations

Individuals

Forums and debates

2022 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district republican primary candidate forum & debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Tom Alciere Tim Baxter Gail Huff Brown Mark Kilbane Karoline Leavitt Mary MaxwellMatt Mowers Russell Prescott Kevin RondeauGilead Towne
1Aug. 4, 2022New Hampshire Journal [54] NPPNPNPPNN
2Sep. 6, 2022 New Hampshire Institute
of Politics
WMUR
Adam Sexton [55] NPPNPNPPNN

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Julian
Acciard
Tom
Alciere
Tim
Baxter
Gail
Huff Brown
Mark
Kilbane
Karoline
Leavitt
Matt
Mowers
Russell
Prescott
Gilead
Towne
OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire [56] August 25–29, 2022419 (LV)± 4.8%4%16%24%26%4%0%26%
Remington Research Group (R) [57] [A] August 14–17, 2022462 (LV)± 4.5%1%9%9%0%21%21%3%0%0% [b] 35%
co/efficient (R) [58] August 13–14, 2022829 (LV)± 3.4%9%8%16%31%3%33%
Saint Anselm College [59] August 9–11, 2022423 (RV)± 4.8%8%9%21%25%2%1%33%
The Tarrance Group (R) [60] [B] August 1–4, 2022302 (LV)± 5.8%10%8%1%13%37%6%3%22%
Cygnal (R) [61] [C] October 24–25, 2021350 (LV)± 5.2%1%1%7%6%34%51%
Praecones Analytica (R) [62] August 13–20, 2021792 (LV)± 3.5%3%4%7%43%2%42%

Results

Republican primary results [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Karoline Leavitt 25,931 34.6
Republican Matt Mowers19,07225.4
Republican Gail Huff Brown 12,99917.3
Republican Russell Prescott 7,55110.1
Republican Tim Baxter 6,9709.3
Republican Mary Maxwell6730.9
Republican Kevin Rondeau6100.8
Republican Gilead Towne4660.6
Republican Mark Kilbane3470.5
Republican Tom Alciere 3420.5
Total votes74,961 100.0

General election

Debate

2022 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Chris Pappas Karoline Leavitt
1Nov. 3, 2022 New Hampshire Institute of Politics
WMUR
Adam Sexton [63] PP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [64] TossupJune 6, 2022
Inside Elections [65] Tilt DJune 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [66] Lean DSeptember 14, 2022
Politico [67] TossupJune 14, 2022
RCP [68] Lean R (flip)October 21, 2022
Fox News [69] Lean DNovember 1, 2022
DDHQ [70] TossupNovember 2, 2022
538 [71] Lean DNovember 1, 2022
The Economist [72] TossupNovember 2, 2022

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Chris
Pappas (D)
Karoline
Leavitt (R)
Undecided
[c]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight [73] September 14 – November 6, 2022November 6, 202248.1%48.5%3.4%Leavitt +0.4

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Chris
Pappas (D)
Karoline
Leavitt (R)
OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire [74] November 2–6, 20221,043 (LV)± 3.0%50%49%0%1%
Saint Anselm College [75] October 28–29, 2022791 (LV)± 3.5%45%51%4%
co/efficient (R) [76] October 25–26, 2022525 (LV)± 4.0%48%44%8%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [77] [D] October 2–6, 2022250 (LV)± 4.4%48%47%2%3%
Saint Anselm College [78] September 27–28, 2022450 (RV)± 4.9%49%41%3% [d] 7%
University of New Hampshire [79] September 15–19, 2022423 (LV)± 4.8%50%43%1% [e] 6%
Emerson College [80] September 14–15, 2022415 (LV)± 3.4%47%42%5% [f] 6%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
OtherUndecided
Saint Anselm College [59] August 9–11, 2022961 (RV)± 4.8%42%48%2%9%
Saint Anselm College [81] March 23–24, 2022663 (RV)± 3.8%41%48%3%8%
Saint Anselm College [82] January 11–12, 2022640 (RV)± 3.9%40%48%3%9%
Saint Anselm College [83] October 20–22, 2021692 (RV)± 3.7%41%48%4%7%
Saint Anselm College [84] August 24–26, 2021991 (RV)± 3.1%43%47%2%7%
Saint Anselm College [85] March 4–6, 2021439 (RV)± 4.7%48%39%3%10%

Chris Pappas vs. generic opponent

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Chris
Pappas (D)
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
Saint Anselm College [59] August 9–11, 2022961 (RV)± 4.8%38%47%15%

Results

New Hampshire's 1st congressional district, 2022 [86]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Chris Pappas (incumbent) 167,391 54.00
Republican Karoline Leavitt 142,22945.89
Write-in 3420.11
Total votes309,962 100.00
Democratic hold

District 2

2022 New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of New Hampshire.svg
  2020
2024  
  Ann Kuster portrait (118th Congress).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Annie Kuster Robert Burns
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote171,731135,567
Percentage55.8%44.1%

2022 New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district election results by town.svg
Municipality results
Kuster:     50–60%     60–70%     70-80%
     80-90%
Burns:     50–60%     60–70%     70-80%
     Tie

U.S. Representative before election

Annie Kuster
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Annie Kuster
Democratic

The 2nd district encompasses western and northern New Hampshire, and includes the cities of Nashua and Concord. The incumbent was Democrat Annie Kuster, who was re-elected with 53.9% of the vote in 2020. [1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary results [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Annie Kuster (incumbent) 48,630 100.0
Total votes48,630 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Robert Burns

Federal officials

State representatives

Jeffrey Cozzens (withdrawn)

State legislators

George Hansel

Governors

Lily Tang Williams

Organizations

Debate

2022 New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district republican primary debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Scott BlackRobert BurnsMichael Callis George Hansel Jay MercerDean Poirier Lily Tang Williams
1Sep. 7, 2022 New Hampshire
Institute of Politics
WMUR
Adam Sexton [103] NPNPNNP

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Robert
Burns
George
Hansel
Lily Tang
Williams
OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire [56] August 25–29, 2022469 (LV)± 4.5%32%18%10%3%37%
Saint Anselm College [59] August 9–11, 2022397 (RV)± 4.9%12%10%8%6%65%

Results

Republican primary results [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Robert Burns 21,065 33.3
Republican George Hansel 19,02430.1
Republican Lily Tang Williams 15,72924.9
Republican Scott Black2,2113.5
Republican Jay Mercer2,0853.3
Republican Dean Poirier2,0473.2
Republican Michael Callis1,1331.8
Total votes63,294 100.0

General election

Debate

2022 New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Annie Kuster Robert Burns
1Oct. 28, 2022Todd Bookman
Ethan DeWitt
New Hampshire Bulletin
New Hampshire PBS
New Hampshire Public Radio
[104] PP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [64] Lean DSeptember 14, 2022
Inside Elections [65] Likely DJune 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [66] Likely DOctober 19, 2022
Politico [67] Lean DOctober 3, 2022
RCP [68] TossupSeptember 27, 2022
Fox News [69] Lean DSeptember 20, 2022
DDHQ [70] Likely DNovember 2, 2022
538 [71] Likely DOctober 18, 2022
The Economist [72] Lean DNovember 7, 2022

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Annie
Kuster (D)
Robert
Burns (R)
Undecided
[g]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight [105] September 14 – November 6, 2022November 6, 202249.9%44.3%5.8%Kuster +5.5

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Annie
Kuster (D)
Robert
Burns (R)
OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire [74] November 2–6, 20221,027 (LV)± 3.1%53%45%2%1%
Saint Anselm College [75] October 28–29, 2022750 (LV)± 3.6%50%42%8%
co/efficient (R) [76] October 25–26, 2022573 (LV)± 4.0%43%44%13%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [77] [D] October 2–6, 2022250 (LV)± 4.4%53%43%1%3%
Saint Anselm College [78] September 27–28, 2022451 (RV)± 4.9%49%35%9% [h] 7%
University of New Hampshire [79] September 15–19, 2022445 (LV)± 4.6%48%45%7%
Emerson College [80] September 14–15, 2022385 (LV)± 3.4%54%36%6% [i] 5%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
OtherUndecided
Saint Anselm College [59] August 9–11, 2022937 (RV)± 4.9%44%44%2%10%
NRCC (R) [106] [E] June 6–7, 2022~319 (LV)± 5.5%43%48%9%
Saint Anselm College [81] March 23–24, 2022602 (RV)± 4.0%43%45%1%10%
Saint Anselm College [82] January 11–12, 2022575 (RV)± 4.1%40%44%5%11%
Saint Anselm College [83] October 20–22, 2021631 (RV)± 3.9%45%44%3%9%
Saint Anselm College [84] August 24–26, 2021864 (RV)± 3.3%43%45%3%9%
Saint Anselm College [85] March 4–6, 2021432 (RV)± 4.7%48%40%4%8%

Annie Kuster vs. generic opponent

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Annie
Kuster (D)
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
Saint Anselm College [59] August 9–11, 2022937 (RV)± 4.9%36%51%13%

Results

New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district, 2022 [86]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Annie Kuster (incumbent) 171,636 55.80
Republican Robert Burns135,57944.08
Write-in 3690.12
Total votes307,584 100.00
Democratic hold

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Maxwell and Rondeau with 0%
  3. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. "Someone else" with 3%
  5. "Other" with 1%
  6. "Someone else" with 5%
  7. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  8. "Someone else" with 9%
  9. "Someone else" with 6%

Partisan clients

  1. This poll was sponsored by Leavitt's campaign
  2. This poll was sponsored by the Congressional Leadership Fund
  3. This poll was sponsored by Mowers's campaign
  4. 1 2 Poll sponsored by AARP
  5. This poll was sponsored by the National Republican Congressional Committee

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  95. "Meet Dean". Archived from the original on October 28, 2021. Retrieved October 15, 2021.
  96. Sexton, Adam (June 1, 2022). "Lily Tang Williams joins race for NH's 2nd District". www.wmur.com. WMUR-TV . Retrieved June 13, 2022.
  97. Sexton, Adam (July 7, 2022). "CD-2 candidate picks up endorsement from former Trump officials". WMUR-TV . Retrieved July 9, 2022.
  98. 1 2 3 DiStaso, John (December 9, 2021). "Top NH Trump supporters endorse Burns for US House in NH-02". www.wmur.com. WMUR-TV . Retrieved December 17, 2021.
  99. 1 2 3 DiStaso, John (November 4, 2021). "NH Primary Source: Republican congressional candidates Mowers, Cozzens receive endorsements". WMUR-TV . Retrieved July 13, 2022.
  100. DiStaso, John (October 21, 2021). "NH Primary Source: State Sen. Hennessey endorses Cozzens for 2nd District US House seat". www.wmur.com. Retrieved October 21, 2021.
  101. Fisher, Damien (May 31, 2022). "Hansel Kicks Off NH-02 Campaign With Sununu Endorsement". nhjournal.com. Retrieved June 13, 2022.
  102. "ELECTION ALERT: Tea Party Express Endorses Lily Tang Williams for Congress in New Hampshire". Tea Party Express. August 4, 2022. Retrieved August 23, 2022.
  103. YouTube
  104. YouTube
  105. FiveThirtyEight
  106. NRCC (R)

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates