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All 10 Washington seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Washington |
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Washington were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the 10 U.S. representatives from the state of Washington, one from each of the state's 10 congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. Going into this election, the Democratic Party represented seven seats, while the Republican Party represented three seats.
These were the first elections to the House of Representatives held in Washington state after the 2020 redistricting cycle. The Democratic Party gained a seat, flipping the 3rd district from Republican to Democratic control, and reducing the Republicans' share of the delegation to just two districts.
Washington state has used a bipartisan redistricting commission to draw its districts since the passage of a ballot initiative in 1983. The Democratic and Republican parties each appoint two people to the commission, and the four appointees select a fifth member to serve as the nonvoting chair of the commission. For the 2020 redistricting cycle, the Democrats appointed April Sims, secretary-treasurer of the Washington State Labor Council, and Brady Piñero Walkinshaw, CEO of Grist and a former member of the Washington House of Representatives. The Republicans chose Paul Graves, a lawyer and former member of the Washington House of Representatives, and Joe Fain, president and CEO of the Bellevue Chamber of Commerce and a former member of the Washington Senate. They selected Sarah Augustine, executive director of the Dispute Resolution Center for Yakima and Kittitas counties, as chair. [1]
The commission was required to approve a final set of district maps by 11:59 PM on November 15, 2021. However, for the first time since the process was enacted in 1983, the deadline was not met. Although the commission approved a set of maps with seconds to go before midnight, they did not vote to transmit those maps until after the deadline had passed. [2] The members of the commission faced widespread criticism for missing the deadline and for making negotiations behind closed doors rather than in front of the public. Some speculated that the actions of the commission may have violated Washington's Open Public Meetings Act, which generally prohibits public commissions from making decisions in private, and the Washington Supreme Court demanded that the redistricting commission produce a detailed timeline of what occurred in the hours before the deadline. Because the commission failed to meet the deadline, the Washington Supreme Court took over responsibility for the state's maps. [3] [4]
Several Washington politicians expressed disappointment that the commission failed and that the supreme court would be drawing the state's maps. Republican former state senator Ann Rivers claimed that it was "fair to wonder" if some members of the commission wanted to miss the deadline so that the majority-liberal supreme court could take over redistricting. [5] The League of Women Voters called for the entire process to be reformed, believing it should be more transparent and that the commissioners should be given more time and training. [6] Washington Senate Majority Leader Andy Billig said his caucus would introduce legislation to require that the final version of the commission's map be released to the public before the final vote to prevent future commissions from missing the deadline. [7]
Some speculated that maps drawn by the supreme court may have been more favorable to the Democratic Party compared to those drawn by the bipartisan commission, as five out of the court's nine justices were originally appointed by Democratic governors (three by Jay Inslee and two by Christine Gregoire). [3] [4] [5] [8] The members of the commission urged the supreme court to adopt the maps that it drew but did not approve in time. However, commissioner Walkinshaw acknowledged that there may be questions about whether the maps' handling of the Yakima River Valley may have violated the Voting Rights Act due to its distribution of Latinos. The UCLA Voting Rights Project claimed that the maps demonstrated "racially polarized voting patterns" in the region and urged the supreme court to address these issues. [9] The supreme court granted the commission's request and adopted its maps, but it emphasized that its decision to use the commission's maps "does not render any opinion on the plan's compliance with any statutory and constitutional requirements," meaning that the maps could still be challenged in court. [10]
Washington's new congressional map leaves the districts largely the same, though it makes the 1st and 10th districts somewhat more liberal. The most notable change was to the 1st district, which previously reached up to the Canada–United States border. Under the new map, it is more compact, with Medina and Bellevue in the south and Arlington in the north. [11] Much of the areas cut out from the 1st district were added to the 2nd district. Previously a primarily coastal district, the 2nd now reaches further inland, taking in Skagit and Whatcom counties. The 8th district was also extended. It now reaches into Snohomish County, taking in the city of Sultan, and northern King County, taking in the city of Skykomish. Although both Snohomish and King are liberal counties, giving 58.5% and 75.0% of their vote respectively to Democrat Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election, the portions of these counties that are inside the 8th are still notably more conservative than the counties as a whole. This, in addition to the presence of Trump-supporting Chelan and Kittitas counties and a portion of Pierce County, makes the district highly competitive. [9]
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DelBene: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Cavaleri: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||
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Before redistricting, the 1st congressional district spanned the northeastern Seattle suburbs, including Redmond and Kirkland, along the Cascades to the Canada–United States border. The incumbent was Democrat Suzan DelBene, who was first elected to the 1st district in 2012. DelBene ran for re-election to a sixth full term in 2022 and won the general election with 63.5% of the vote. [12]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Suzan DelBene (incumbent) | 102,857 | 61.9 | |
Republican | Vincent Cavaleri | 32,998 | 19.9 | |
Republican | Matthew Heines | 13,634 | 8.2 | |
Republican | Derek Chartrand | 11,536 | 6.9 | |
Independent | Tom Spears | 4,840 | 2.9 | |
Write-in | 168 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 166,033 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [26] | Solid D | February 10, 2022 |
Inside Elections [27] | Solid D | March 31, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] | Safe D | February 16, 2022 |
Politico [29] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [30] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [31] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [32] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [33] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [34] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Suzan DelBene (incumbent) | 181,992 | 63.5 | |
Republican | Vincent Cavaleri | 104,329 | 36.4 | |
Write-in | 363 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 286,684 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Larsen: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Matthews 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||
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Before redistricting, the 2nd congressional district encompassed the northern Puget Sound area, including Everett and Bellingham. The incumbent was Democrat Rick Larsen, who had represented the 2nd district since 2001. Larsen most recently ran for re-election in 2022, winning 60.2% of the vote in the general election. [36]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Rick Larsen (incumbent) | 100,631 | 45.8 | |
Republican | Dan Matthews | 37,393 | 17.0 | |
Democratic | Jason Call | 31,991 | 14.6 | |
Republican | Cody Hart | 22,176 | 10.1 | |
Republican | Bill Wheeler | 9,124 | 4.2 | |
Republican | Carrie Kennedy | 8,802 | 4.0 | |
Republican | Leif Johnson | 5,582 | 2.5 | |
Republican | Jon Welch | 1,699 | 0.8 | |
Republican | Brandon Stalnaker | 1,366 | 0.6 | |
Independent | Doug Revelle | 927 | 0.4 | |
Write-in | 161 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 219,852 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [26] | Solid D | February 10, 2022 |
Inside Elections [27] | Solid D | March 31, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] | Safe D | February 16, 2022 |
Politico [29] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [30] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [31] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [32] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [33] | Solid D | August 19, 2022 |
The Economist [34] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Rick Larsen (incumbent) | 202,980 | 60.1 | |
Republican | Dan Matthews | 134,335 | 39.7 | |
Write-in | 608 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 337,923 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Gluesenkamp Perez: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Kent: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||
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Before redistricting, the 3rd district encompassed the southernmost portion of western and central Washington. It included the counties of Lewis, Pacific, Wahkiakum, Cowlitz, Clark, Skamania, and Klickitat, as well as a small sliver of southern Thurston county. The incumbent was Republican Jaime Herrera Beutler, who was re-elected with 56.4% of the vote in 2020, [49] but was eliminated in the primary; as one of the ten Republican representatives to vote for impeachment, her primary opponent was endorsed by Trump. Beutler was the first incumbent U.S. Representative from Washington to fail to advance to the general election since the introduction of the top-two primary system in 2008. [50]
Despite every major election predictor predicting this race to be "Lean R" or better for Republicans, the race was won by Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez by a small margin. [51] The race has been called a microcosm of many of those across the U.S., with a far-right challenger to the incumbent being defeated in the general election with election denial and abortion rights being major issues. [52] Other issues include the expansion of mass transit into WA-3. Kent was opposed to it while Perez supported it.
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Brent Hennrich (D) | Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) | Joe Kent (R) | Vicki Kraft (R) | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) | Heidi St. John (R) | Other | Undecided | |||||
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Hennrich withdrew from the race and endorsed Gluesenkamp Perez | ||||||||||||||||
The Trafalgar Group (R) [95] | May 18–20, 2022 | 645 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 12% | 22% | 28% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 0% [b] | 20% | |||||
The Trafalgar Group (R) [96] | February 11–14, 2022 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 33% | 22% | 26% | 5% | – | 12% | – | 3% | |||||
The Trafalgar Group (R) [97] | October 30 – November 1, 2021 | 682 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 25% | 23% | 31% | – | – | 10% | 10% [c] | 2% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Brent Hennrich (D) | Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) | Chris Jenkins (D) | Joe Kent (R) | Lucy Lauser (D) | Matthew Overton (R) | Heidi St. John (R) | Other | Undecided |
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The Trafalgar Group (R) [98] | June 5–7, 2021 | 841 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 13% | 30% | 3% | 23% | 7% | 2% | 13% | 0% [d] | 8% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez | 68,190 | 31.0 | |
Republican | Joe Kent | 50,097 | 22.8 | |
Republican | Jaime Herrera Beutler (incumbent) | 49,001 | 22.3 | |
Republican | Heidi St. John | 35,219 | 16.0 | |
Republican | Vicki Kraft | 7,033 | 3.2 | |
Democratic | Davy Ray | 4,870 | 2.2 | |
Independent | Chris Byrd | 3,817 | 1.7 | |
Republican | Leslie French | 1,100 | 0.5 | |
American Solidarity | Oliver Black | 456 | 0.2 | |
Write-in | 142 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 219,925 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [26] | Lean R | August 10, 2022 |
Inside Elections [27] | Lean R | October 21, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] | Likely R | February 16, 2022 |
Politico [29] | Lean R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [30] | Likely R | August 9, 2022 |
Fox News [31] | Likely R | October 18, 2022 |
DDHQ [32] | Likely R | September 20, 2022 |
538 [33] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [34] | Likely R | September 28, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Joe Kent (R) | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) | Undecided |
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Public Policy Polling (D) [100] [A] | September 19–20, 2022 | 834 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 44% | 9% |
Expedition Strategies (D) [101] [B] | August 25–30, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez | 160,323 | 50.14 | |
Republican | Joe Kent | 157,690 | 49.31 | |
Write-in | 1,760 | 0.55 | ||
Total votes | 319,773 | 100.00 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
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Newhouse: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% White 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||
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Before redistricting, the 4th congressional district encompassed rural central Washington, including Yakima and Tri-Cities area. The incumbent was Republican Dan Newhouse, who had represented the 4th district since 2015. Newhouse was one of ten Republicans in the House to vote to open impeachment proceedings against Donald Trump in his second impeachment trial in the aftermath of the January 6th insurrection. Trump targeted him in the primary and endorsed another GOP candidate, Loren Culp, as a result of Newhouse's vote. [103] Newhouse defeated Culp in the blanket primary and advanced to the general election, which he won by garnering 66.5% of the vote. [104]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Dan Newhouse (R) | Loren Culp (R) | Benancio Garcia (R) | Corey Gibson (R) | Brad Klippert (R) | Jerrod Sessler (R) | Doug White (D) | Undecided |
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Spry Strategies (R) [115] [C] | April 17–20, 2022 | 720 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 20% | 28% | – | 2% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 23% |
Spry Strategies (R) [116] [C] | December 9–11, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 16% | 30% | 2% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 15% | 26% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Dan Newhouse (incumbent) | 38,331 | 25.5 | |
Democratic | Doug White | 37,760 | 25.1 | |
Republican | Loren Culp | 32,497 | 21.6 | |
Republican | Jerrod Sessler | 18,495 | 12.3 | |
Republican | Brad Klippert | 15,430 | 10.3 | |
Republican | Corey Gibson | 5,080 | 3.4 | |
Republican | Benancio Garcia III | 2,148 | 1.4 | |
Republican | Jacek Kobiesa | 490 | 0.3 | |
Write-in | 149 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 150,380 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [26] | Solid R | February 10, 2022 |
Inside Elections [27] | Solid R | March 31, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] | Safe R | February 16, 2022 |
Politico [29] | Solid R | August 12, 2022 |
RCP [30] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [31] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [32] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [33] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [34] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Dan Newhouse (R) | Loren Culp (R) | Undecided |
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Spry Strategies (R) [115] [C] | April 17–20, 2022 | 720 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 37% | 38% | 25% |
Spry Strategies (R) [116] [C] | December 9–11, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 31% | 38% | 31% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Dan Newhouse (incumbent) | 150,619 | 66.5 | |
Democratic | Doug White | 70,710 | 31.2 | |
Write-in | 5,318 | 2.3 | ||
Total votes | 226,647 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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McMorris Rodgers: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Hill 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||
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Before redistricting, the 5th district encompassed eastern Washington, and included the city of Spokane. The incumbent was Republican Cathy McMorris Rodgers, who had represented the 5th district since 2005. McMorris Rodgers was most recently re-elected in 2022, garnering 59.7% of the vote. [118]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Cathy McMorris Rodgers (incumbent) | 106,072 | 51.5 | |
Democratic | Natasha Hill | 61,851 | 30.0 | |
Democratic | Ann Marie Danimus | 21,123 | 10.2 | |
Republican | Sean Clynch | 16,831 | 8.2 | |
Write-in | 247 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 206,124 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Cathy McMorris Rodgers | Natasha Hill | |||||
1 | Oct. 20, 2022 | KSPS-TV | Kristi Gorenson | [124] | P | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [26] | Solid R | February 10, 2022 |
Inside Elections [27] | Solid R | March 31, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] | Safe R | February 16, 2022 |
Politico [29] | Likely R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [30] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [31] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [32] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [33] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [34] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Cathy McMorris Rodgers (incumbent) | 188,648 | 59.5 | |
Democratic | Natasha Hill | 127,585 | 40.3 | |
Write-in | 773 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 317,006 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Kilmer: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Kreiselmaier: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||
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Before redistricting, the 6th district was based on the Olympic Peninsula, and included western Tacoma. The incumbent was Democrat Derek Kilmer, who had represented the 6th district since 2013. Kilmer was most recently re-elected in 2022, garnering 60.1% of the vote in the general election. [126]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Derek Kilmer (incumbent) | 115,725 | 50.4 | |
Republican | Elizabeth Kreiselmaier | 54,621 | 23.8 | |
Republican | Todd Bloom | 24,036 | 10.5 | |
Democratic | Rebecca Parson | 21,523 | 9.4 | |
Republican | Chris Binns | 11,074 | 4.8 | |
Independent | Tom Triggs | 2,674 | 1.2 | |
Write-in | 125 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 229,778 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [26] | Solid D | February 10, 2022 |
Inside Elections [27] | Solid D | March 31, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] | Safe D | February 16, 2022 |
Politico [29] | Likely D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [30] | Likely D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [31] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [32] | Solid D | November 3, 2022 |
538 [33] | Solid D | July 28, 2022 |
The Economist [34] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Derek Kilmer (incumbent) | 208,710 | 60.0 | |
Republican | Elizabeth Kreiselmaier | 138,754 | 39.9 | |
Write-in | 409 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 347,873 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Jayapal: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | ||||||||||||||||
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Before redistricting, the 7th congressional district encompassed most of Seattle, as well as Edmonds, Shoreline, Lake Forest Park, Vashon Island, and Burien. The incumbent was Democrat Pramila Jayapal, who had represented the 7th district since 2017. Jayapal was most recently re-elected in 2022, garnering 85.7% of the vote. [133]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Pramila Jayapal (incumbent) | 177,665 | 84.6 | |
Republican | Cliff Moon | 15,834 | 7.5 | |
Republican | Paul Glumaz | 10,982 | 5.2 | |
Independent | Jesse James | 4,859 | 2.3 | |
Write-in | 551 | 0.3 | ||
Total votes | 209,891 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [26] | Solid D | February 10, 2022 |
Inside Elections [27] | Solid D | March 31, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] | Safe D | February 16, 2022 |
Politico [29] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [30] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [31] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [32] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [33] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [34] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Pramila Jayapal (incumbent) | 295,998 | 85.4 | |
Republican | Cliff Moon | 49,207 | 14.2 | |
Write-in | 1,442 | 0.4 | ||
Total votes | 346,647 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Schrier: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Larkin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||
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Before redistricting, the 8th district encompassed the eastern suburbs of Seattle including Sammamish, Maple Valley, Covington, Hobart, Issaquah, and Auburn and stretched into rural central Washington, including Chelan County and Kittitas County, as well as taking in eastern Pierce County. The incumbent was Democrat Kim Schrier, who had represented the 8th district since 2019. Schrier was re-elected, garnering 53.4% of the vote in the general election. [140]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Kim Schrier (D) | Reagan Dunn (R) | Justin Greywolf (L) | Jesse Jensen (R) | Matt Larkin (R) | Matthew Overton (R) | Other/Undecided |
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Moore Information Group (R) [157] [D] | November 18–21, 2021 | 400 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 30% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 41% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Kim Schrier (incumbent) | 97,700 | 47.9 | |
Republican | Matt Larkin | 34,684 | 17.0 | |
Republican | Reagan Dunn | 29,494 | 14.4 | |
Republican | Jesse Jensen | 26,350 | 12.9 | |
Republican | Scott Stephenson | 7,954 | 3.9 | |
Democratic | Emet Ward | 1,832 | 0.9 | |
Republican | Dave Chapman | 1,811 | 0.9 | |
Democratic | Keith Arnold | 1,669 | 0.8 | |
Libertarian | Justin Greywolf | 1,518 | 0.7 | |
Independent | Ryan Burkett | 701 | 0.3 | |
Independent | Patrick Dillon | 296 | 0.1 | |
Write-in | 122 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 204,131 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [26] | Tossup | February 10, 2022 |
Inside Elections [27] | Tossup | March 31, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
Politico [29] | Tossup | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [30] | Lean R (flip) | October 30, 2022 |
Fox News [31] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
DDHQ [32] | Lean D | October 29, 2022 |
538 [33] | Lean D | November 8, 2022 |
The Economist [34] | Lean D | November 1, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Kim Schrier (D) | Matt Larkin (R) | Other | Undecided |
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RMG Research [159] | August 10–15, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 43% | 3% | 8% |
Kim Schrier vs. Reagan Dunn
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Kim Schrier (D) | Reagan Dunn (R) | Undecided |
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NMB Research (R) [160] [E] | May 2–5, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
Moore Information Group (R) [157] [D] | November 18–21, 2021 | 400 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 36% | 40% | 25% |
Kim Schrier vs. Jesse Jensen
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Kim Schrier (D) | Jesse Jensen (R) | Undecided |
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NMB Research (R) [160] [E] | May 2–5, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
Moore Information Group (R) [157] [D] | November 18–21, 2021 | 400 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 38% | 37% | 25% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Kim Schrier | Matt Larkin | |||||
1 | Oct. 28, 2022 | Washington State Debate Coalition | Hana Kim | [161] | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kim Schrier (incumbent) | 179,003 | 53.3 | |
Republican | Matt Larkin | 155,976 | 46.4 | |
Write-in | 1,059 | 0.3 | ||
Total votes | 336,038 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Smith: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Basler 40–50% 50–60% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||
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Before redistricting, the 9th congressional district stretched from small parts of northeastern Tacoma up to southeastern Seattle, taking in the surrounding suburbs, including Federal Way, Des Moines, Kent, SeaTac, Renton, Mercer Island, and Bellevue. The incumbent was Democrat Adam Smith, who had represented the 9th district since 1997. Smith was most recently re-elected in 2022, garnering 71.7% of the vote in the general election. [162]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Adam Smith (incumbent) | 78,272 | 55.2 | |
Republican | Doug Basler | 29,144 | 20.6 | |
Democratic | Stephanie Gallardo | 22,531 | 15.9 | |
Republican | Sea Chan | 5,338 | 3.8 | |
Republican | Seth Pedersen | 4,781 | 3.4 | |
Independent | David Anderson | 1,541 | 1.1 | |
Write-in | 153 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 141,760 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [26] | Solid D | February 10, 2022 |
Inside Elections [27] | Solid D | March 31, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] | Safe D | February 16, 2022 |
Politico [29] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [30] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [31] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [32] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [33] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [34] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Adam Smith | Doug Basler | |||||
1 | Oct. 25, 2022 | KCTS9 TVW Washington State Debate Coalition | Mary Nam | [170] | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Adam Smith (incumbent) | 171,746 | 71.6 | |
Republican | Doug Basler | 67,631 | 28.2 | |
Write-in | 471 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 239,848 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Strickland: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Swank 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||
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Before redistricting, the 10th district included Olympia and the Tacoma suburbs, including Puyallup, Lakewood, and University Place. The incumbent was Democrat Marilyn Strickland, who had represented the 10th district since 2021. Strickland most recently ran for re-election in 2022, garnering 57.1% of the vote in the general election. [171]
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No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Independent | Republican | Democratic | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||||
Richard Boyce | Dan Gordon | Eric Mahaffy | Marilyn Strickland | Keith Swank | |||||
1 | Jul. 12, 2022 | League of Women Voters of Tacoma-Pierce County League of Women Voters of Thurston County | Lydia Zepeda | [174] | P | A | P | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Marilyn Strickland (incumbent) | 90,093 | 55.3 | |
Republican | Keith Swank | 55,231 | 33.9 | |
Republican | Dan Gordon | 10,315 | 6.3 | |
Democratic | Eric Mahaffy | 3,710 | 2.3 | |
Independent | Richard Boyce | 3,250 | 2.0 | |
Write-in | 189 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 162,788 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Marilyn Strickland | Keith Swank | |||||
1 | Oct. 17, 2022 | League of Women Voters of Tacoma-Pierce County League of Women Voters of Thurston County | Lydia Zepeda | [176] | P | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [26] | Solid D | February 10, 2022 |
Inside Elections [27] | Solid D | March 31, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] | Safe D | February 16, 2022 |
Politico [29] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [30] | Likely D | October 31, 2022 |
Fox News [31] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [32] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [33] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [34] | Safe D | November 3, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Marilyn Strickland (incumbent) | 152,544 | 57.0 | |
Republican | Keith Swank | 114,777 | 42.9 | |
Write-in | 427 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 267,748 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
Partisan clients
Washington's 8th congressional district is a district for the United States House of Representatives located in western Washington State. It includes the eastern portions of King, Pierce, and Snohomish counties, and crosses the Cascade Range to include Chelan and Kittitas counties, as well as a precinct in East Wenatchee in Douglas County. The district's western part includes the exurban communities of Sammamish, Issaquah, and Maple Valley but does not include Seattle and Tacoma's more immediate suburbs. On its east side, the 8th's population centers include the rural communities Wenatchee, Leavenworth, and Ellensburg. It is currently represented in the U.S. House of Representatives by Democrat Kim Schrier, who was first elected to the seat in 2018.
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