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Ferguson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Reichert: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | ||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Washington |
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The 2024 Washington gubernatorial election was held on November 5, 2024. The top-two primary was held on August 6. Incumbent Democratic Governor Jay Inslee was eligible to seek re-election to a fourth term but decided that he would not do so. [1] The Democratic nominee, state Attorney General Bob Ferguson, defeated the Republican nominee, former Congressman Dave Reichert, who conceded defeat on November 19. Ferguson defeated Reichert with 55.51% of the vote in the general election. [2] He also became the first Democrat to win Clallam County since 2000.
This election marked the 11th consecutive election victory of the Democratic candidate for governor of Washington. Washington has not had a Republican governor since John Spellman left office in 1985, [3] the longest streak of Democratic leadership of any state in the country and the third-longest streak of one-party leadership after South Dakota (which has not had a Democratic governor since Harvey Wollman left office in 1979) and Utah (which has not had a Democratic governor since Scott Matheson left office nine days prior to Spellman in 1985). [4] [5] [6]
Washington is one of two states that holds a top-two primary, meaning that all candidates are listed on the same ballot regardless of party affiliation, and the top two advance to the general election.
The filing deadline was May 10, 2024. On that day, two candidates named Bob Ferguson entered the race at the behest of a conservative activist who sought people with the same surname as Washington Attorney General Bob Ferguson, who was considered the Democratic frontrunner. [7] The two new candidates—a retired state employee and a U.S. Army veteran—resigned from the race on May 13, the deadline to withdraw, after questions about the legality of their campaigns arose. Washington's state statutes prohibit a new candidate with the same surname as an already-filed candidate from running with the intent to confuse or mislead voters. [8]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Semi Bird (R) | Bob Ferguson (D) | Mark Mullet (D) | Dave Reichert (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) [66] [A] | July 24–25, 2024 | 581 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 10% | 39% | 5% | 28% | 18% |
SurveyUSA [67] [B] | July 10–13, 2024 | 564 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 7% | 42% | 4% | 33% | 14% |
RMG Research [68] | May 20–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | – | 4% | 33% | 5% | 31% | 21% |
Cascade PBS/Elway Research [69] | May 13–16, 2024 | 403 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 5% | 22% | 6% | 20% | 47% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [70] [A] | May 15–16, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 11% | 35% | 4% | 28% | 22% |
Echelon Insights [71] [C] | March 18–21, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 7% | 23% | 5% | 28% | 37% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [72] [A] | February 13–14, 2024 | 789 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 9% | 35% | 4% | 27% | 25% |
Echelon Insights [73] [D] | December 9–13, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 5.5% | 5% | 27% | 3% | 28% | 37% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [74] [A] | November 14–15, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 10% | 31% | 5% | 31% | 22% |
with Bird, Ferguson, Franz, Garcia, and Mullet
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Semi Bird (R) | Bob Ferguson (D) | Hilary Franz (D) | Raul Garcia (R) | Mark Mullet (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) [75] [A] | Jun 7–8, 2023 | 773 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 10% | 25% | 9% | 17% | 7% | 33% |
with Constantine, Dammeier, Ferguson, and Franz
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Dow Constantine (D) | Bruce Dammeier (R) | Bob Ferguson (D) | Hilary Franz (D) | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) [76] [A] | March 7–8, 2023 | 874 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 7% | 35% | 21% | 7% | 30% |
with Inslee, generic Republican, and generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Jay Inslee (D) | Generic Republican | Generic Democrat | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crosscut/Elway [77] | December 27–29, 2022 | 403 (RV) | ± 5% | 34% | 35% | 17% | 14% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Bob Ferguson | 884,268 | 44.88% | |
Republican | Dave Reichert | 541,533 | 27.48% | |
Republican | Semi Bird | 212,692 | 10.79% | |
Democratic | Mark Mullet | 119,048 | 6.04% | |
Trump Republican [a] | Leon Lawson | 35,971 | 1.83% | |
Republican | Jim Daniel | 29,907 | 1.52% | |
Democratic | Cassondra Hanson | 24,512 | 1.24% | |
Democratic | EL'ona Kearney | 24,374 | 1.24% | |
Republican | Jennifer Hoover | 15,692 | 0.80% | |
Green | Andre Stackhouse | 11,962 | 0.61% | |
Democratic | Don Rivers | 9,453 | 0.48% | |
Republican | Martin Wheeler | 7,676 | 0.39% | |
Democratic | Chaytan Inman | 6,427 | 0.33% | |
Democratic | Ricky Anthony | 6,226 | 0.32% | |
Independent | Jeff Curry | 6,068 | 0.31% | |
Democratic | Fred Grant | 5,503 | 0.28% | |
Independent | Brian Bogen | 4,530 | 0.23% | |
Republican | A.L. Brown | 4,232 | 0.21% | |
Libertarian | Michael DePaula | 3,957 | 0.20% | |
Independence [a] | Rosetta Marshall-Williams | 2,960 | 0.15% | |
Independent | Jim Clark | 2,355 | 0.12% | |
Democratic | Edward Cale | 1,975 | 0.10% | |
Standup-America [a] | Alex Tsimerman | 1,721 | 0.09% | |
Republican | Bill Hirt | 1,720 | 0.09% | |
Write-in | 1,347 | 0.07% | ||
Independent | Frank Dare | 1,115 | 0.06% | |
Nonsense Busters [a] | Alan Makayev | 1,106 | 0.06% | |
Independent | William Combs | 1,042 | 0.05% | |
Independent | Brad Mjelde | 991 | 0.05% | |
Total votes | 1,970,363 | 100.0% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [79] | Likely D | August 27, 2024 |
Inside Elections [80] | Likely D | September 1, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [81] | Likely D | June 4, 2024 |
RCP [82] | Likely D | July 13, 2024 |
Elections Daily [83] | Safe D | July 12, 2023 |
CNalysis [84] | Solid D | August 17, 2024 |
Campaign finance reports as of November 5, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Bob Ferguson (D) | $14,091,789 | $13,939,376 | $152,413 |
Dave Reichert (R) | $6,729,173 | $6,226,422 | $502,751 |
Source: Washington State Public Disclosure Commission [85] |
Date | Ferguson | Reichert | Link |
---|---|---|---|
September 11, 2024 | Participant | Participant | YouTube |
September 18, 2024 | Participant | Participant | YouTube |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Bob Ferguson (D) | Dave Reichert (R) | Undecided [d] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270ToWin [86] | October 17 – November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 50.8% | 38.0% | 11.2% | Ferguson +12.8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Bob Ferguson (D) | Dave Reichert (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research Co. [87] | November 2–3, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 54% | 40% | 1% | 5% |
ActiVote [88] | October 3–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 59% | 41% | – | – |
ActiVote [89] | September 14 – October 20, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 58% | 42% | – | – |
Public Policy Polling (D) [90] [A] | October 16–17, 2024 | 571 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 48% | 41% | – | 10% |
Strategies 360 [91] | October 11–16, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | – | 8% |
SurveyUSA [92] [B] | October 9–14, 2024 | 703 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 34% | – | 16% |
Cascade PBS/Elway Research [93] | October 8–12, 2024 | 401 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 51% | 37% | 1% [e] | 11% |
RMG Research (R) [94] [E] | September 18–20, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 40% | 3% [f] | 9% |
Cascade PBS/Elway Research [95] | September 3–6, 2024 | 403 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 50% | 39% | 3% [g] | 9% |
Cygnal (R) [96] | August 28–30, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 45% | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [66] [A] | July 24–25, 2024 | 581 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | – | 8% |
DHM Research [97] | July 12–17, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 32% | 10% [h] | 12% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [70] [A] | May 15–16, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 42% | – | 10% |
Echelon Insights (R) [71] [C] | March 18–21, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 30% | 39% | – | 31% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [72] [A] | February 13–14, 2024 | 789 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 42% | – | 11% |
Echelon Insights (R) [73] [D] | December 9–13, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 35% | 39% | – | 26% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [74] [A] | November 14–15, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 46% | – | 9% |
Bob Ferguson vs. Semi Bird
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Bob Ferguson (D) | Semi Bird (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) [66] [A] | July 24–25, 2024 | 581 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 38% | 10% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Bob Ferguson | 2,143,368 | 55.51% | −1.05% | |
Republican | Dave Reichert | 1,709,818 | 44.28% | +1.16% | |
Write-in | 8,202 | 0.21% | -0.11% | ||
Total votes | 3,861,388 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
County [99] | Bob Ferguson Democratic | Dave Reichert Republican | Write-in Various | Margin | Total votes | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Adams | 1,396 | 26.47% | 3,865 | 73.28% | 13 | 0.25% | -2,469 | -46.81% | 5,274 |
Asotin | 4,030 | 35.82% | 7,198 | 63.97% | 24 | 0.21% | -3,168 | -28.15% | 11,252 |
Benton | 35,632 | 36.01% | 63,118 | 63.79% | 200 | 0.20% | -27,486 | -27.78% | 98,950 |
Chelan | 17,205 | 41.22% | 24,465 | 58.61% | 69 | 0.17% | -7,260 | -17.39% | 41,739 |
Clallam | 24,709 | 51.56% | 23,100 | 48.20% | 116 | 0.24% | 1,609 | 3.36% | 47,925 |
Clark | 137,977 | 51.41% | 130,045 | 48.46% | 360 | 0.13% | 7,932 | 2.95% | 268,382 |
Columbia | 627 | 25.75% | 1,797 | 73.80% | 11 | 0.45% | -1,170 | -48.05% | 2,435 |
Cowlitz | 22,143 | 38.02% | 36,035 | 61.87% | 69 | 0.12% | -13,892 | -23.85% | 58,247 |
Douglas | 7,009 | 33.45% | 13,907 | 66.37% | 38 | 0.18% | -6,898 | -32.92% | 20,954 |
Ferry | 1,258 | 30.89% | 2,806 | 68.89% | 9 | 0.22% | -1,548 | -38.00% | 4,073 |
Franklin | 11,385 | 36.61% | 19,676 | 63.28% | 35 | 0.11% | -8,291 | -26.67% | 31,096 |
Garfield | 299 | 21.94% | 1,064 | 78.06% | 0 | 0.00% | -765 | -56.12% | 1,363 |
Grant | 10,448 | 29.28% | 25,186 | 70.57% | 54 | 0.15% | -14,738 | -41.29% | 35,688 |
Grays Harbor | 16,558 | 44.27% | 20,740 | 55.45% | 106 | 0.28% | -4,182 | -11.18% | 37,404 |
Island | 27,931 | 53.99% | 23,677 | 45.76% | 130 | 0.25% | 4,254 | 8.23% | 51,738 |
Jefferson | 17,201 | 69.99% | 7,312 | 29.75% | 62 | 0.25% | 9,889 | 40.24% | 24,575 |
King | 797,248 | 71.57% | 314,226 | 28.21% | 2,523 | 0.23% | 483,022 | 43.36% | 1,113,997 |
Kitsap | 87,731 | 56.67% | 66,682 | 43.08% | 389 | 0.25% | 21,049 | 13.59% | 154,802 |
Kittitas | 9,662 | 36.99% | 16,394 | 62.76% | 67 | 0.26% | -6,732 | -25.77% | 26,123 |
Klickitat | 5,691 | 42.68% | 7,625 | 57.18% | 19 | 0.14% | -1,934 | -14.50% | 13,335 |
Lewis | 13,751 | 30.61% | 31,084 | 69.19% | 90 | 0.20% | -17,333 | -38.58% | 44,925 |
Lincoln | 1,591 | 22.44% | 5,472 | 77.17% | 28 | 0.39% | -3,881 | -54.73% | 7,091 |
Mason | 16,173 | 44.63% | 19,942 | 55.03% | 121 | 0.33% | -3,769 | -10.40% | 36,236 |
Okanogan | 8,190 | 40.16% | 12,161 | 59.63% | 44 | 0.22% | -3,971 | -19.47% | 20,395 |
Pacific | 6,676 | 47.52% | 7,352 | 52.33% | 21 | 0.15% | -676 | -6.77% | 14,049 |
Pend Oreille | 2,464 | 29.17% | 5,960 | 70.57% | 22 | 0.26% | -3,496 | -41.40% | 8,446 |
Pierce | 220,153 | 50.79% | 212,218 | 48.96% | 1,044 | 0.24% | 7,935 | 1.83% | 433,415 |
San Juan | 9,348 | 73.14% | 3,400 | 26.60% | 33 | 0.26% | 5,948 | 46.54% | 12,781 |
Skagit | 34,821 | 50.32% | 34,231 | 49.46% | 151 | 0.22% | 590 | 0.86% | 69,203 |
Skamania | 3,058 | 42.60% | 4,109 | 57.24% | 11 | 0.15% | -1,051 | -14.64% | 7,178 |
Snohomish | 225,276 | 54.99% | 183,458 | 44.78% | 945 | 0.23% | 41,818 | 10.21% | 409,679 |
Spokane | 127,594 | 45.25% | 153,974 | 54.61% | 391 | 0.14% | -26,380 | -9.36% | 281,959 |
Stevens | 7,256 | 25.92% | 20,673 | 73.86% | 60 | 0.21% | -13,417 | -47.94% | 27,989 |
Thurston | 90,676 | 55.69% | 71,764 | 44.06% | 405 | 0.25% | 18,932 | 11.63% | 162,865 |
Wahkiakum | 1,158 | 38.48% | 1,845 | 61.32% | 6 | 0.20% | -687 | -22.84% | 3,009 |
Walla Walla | 12,408 | 42.55% | 16,730 | 57.37% | 25 | 0.09% | -4,322 | -14.82% | 29,163 |
Whatcom | 81,435 | 59.68% | 54,769 | 40.14% | 247 | 0.18% | 26,666 | 19.54% | 136,451 |
Whitman | 10,087 | 51.09% | 9,610 | 48.68% | 45 | 0.23% | 477 | 2.41% | 19,742 |
Yakima | 35,093 | 40.12% | 52,148 | 59.62% | 219 | 0.25% | -17,055 | -19.50% | 87,460 |
Totals | 2,143,368 | 55.51% | 1,709,818 | 44.28% | 8,202 | 0.21% | 545,177 | 11.23% | 3,861,388 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Ferguson won six of 10 congressional districts, with the remaining four going to Reichert, including two that elected Democrats. [100]
District | Ferguson | Reichert | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 59% | 40% | Suzan DelBene |
2nd | 58% | 42% | Rick Larsen |
3rd | 46% | 54% | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez |
4th | 37% | 63% | Dan Newhouse |
5th | 42% | 58% | Cathy McMorris Rodgers (118th Congress) |
Michael Baumgartner (119th Congress) | |||
6th | 56% | 44% | Derek Kilmer (118th Congress) |
Emily Randall (119th Congress) | |||
7th | 84% | 16% | Pramila Jayapal |
8th | 47% | 53% | Kim Schrier |
9th | 67% | 33% | Adam Smith |
10th | 55% | 45% | Marilyn Strickland |
Partisan clients
{{cite web}}
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