2024 Washington gubernatorial election

Last updated

2024 Washington gubernatorial election
Flag of Washington.svg
  2020 November 5, 20242028 
  Bob Ferguson at his 2023 Shrimp Feed 02 (cropped).jpg Dave Reichert, official portrait, 112th Congress (3x4).jpg
Candidate Bob Ferguson Dave Reichert
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote2,143,3681,709,818
Percentage55.51%44.28%

2024 Washington gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2024 Washington Gov by congressional district.svg
County results
Ferguson:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Reichert:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

Governor before election

Jay Inslee
Democratic

Elected Governor

Bob Ferguson
Democratic

The 2024 Washington gubernatorial election was held on November 5, 2024. The top-two primary was held on August 6. Incumbent Democratic Governor Jay Inslee was eligible to seek re-election to a fourth term but decided that he would not do so. [1] The Democratic nominee, state Attorney General Bob Ferguson, defeated the Republican nominee, former Congressman Dave Reichert, who conceded defeat on November 19. Inslee, who previously served in the U.S. House, was first elected governor in 2012 and won re-election in 2016 and 2020. Washington has not had a Republican governor since John Spellman left office in 1985, [2] the longest streak of Democratic leadership of any state in the country and the third-longest streak of one-party leadership after South Dakota (which has not had a Democratic governor since Harvey Wollman left office in 1979) and Utah (which has not had a Democratic governor since Scott Matheson left office nine days prior to Spellman in 1985). [3] [4] [5] Ferguson defeated Reichert with 55.51% of the vote in the general election. [6] He also became the first Democrat to win Clallam County since 2000.

Contents


This election marked the 11th consecutive election victory of the Democratic candidate for governor of Washington.

Primary election

Washington is one of two states that holds a top-two primary, meaning that all candidates are listed on the same ballot regardless of party affiliation, and the top two advance to the general election.

The filing deadline was May 10, 2024. On that day, two candidates named Bob Ferguson entered the race at the behest of a conservative activist who sought people with the same surname as Washington Attorney General Bob Ferguson, who is considered the Democratic frontrunner. [7] The two new candidates—a retired state employee and a U.S. Army veteran—resigned from the race on May 13, the deadline to withdraw, after questions about the legality of their campaigns arose. Washington's state statutes prohibit a new candidate with the same surname as an already-filed candidate from running with the intent to confuse or mislead voters. [8]

Democratic candidates

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

  • Ricky Anthony, retiree [10]
  • Edward Cale IV, postal worker [11]
  • Fred Grant, communications professional [2]
  • Cassondra Hanson, retail worker [11]
  • Chaytan Inman, artificial intelligence engineer [11]
  • EL'ona Kearney, forgiveness coach [12]
  • Mark Mullet, state senator [13]
  • Don Rivers, retired King County Metro worker and perennial candidate [11]

Withdrawn

Declined

Republican candidates

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

  • Semi Bird, P.C.O. and chair for the Benton County Republican Party (2022–present) and former Richland school board member (2021–2023) [21]
  • A.L. Brown [10]
  • Jim Daniel, former Klickitat Hospital Board commissioner [10]
  • Bill Hirt, retired aircraft engineer and perennial candidate [10]
  • Jennifer Hoover, pastor [10]
  • Martin Wheeler, farmer and candidate for governor in 2020 [10]

Withdrawn

Declined

Third-party and independent candidates

Eliminated in primary

  • Brian Bogen (Independent), businessman [10]
  • Jim Clark (Independent), computer programmer [10]
  • William Combs (Independent), U.S. Navy veteran [11]
  • Jeff Curry (Independent), school bus driver [10]
  • Frank Dare (Independent), retiree [10]
  • Michael DePaula (Libertarian), enterprise engineer [10]
  • Leon Lawson (Trump Republican [a] ), used car dealer, proponent of the QAnon conspiracy theory, candidate for governor in 2020, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022 [11]
  • Alan Makayev (Nonsense Busters [a] ), property manager [10]
  • Rosetta Marshall-Williams (Independence [a] ) [10]
  • Brad Mjelde (Independent), retired businessman [10]
  • Andre Stackhouse (Green), nonprofit executive [10]
  • Alex Tsimerman (Standup-America [a] ), business consultant and perennial candidate [10]

Endorsements

Semi Bird (R)

County officials

  • 6 County sheriffs [28]

Local officials

  • Loren Culp, former Republic police chief and runner-up for governor in 2020 [29]

Individuals

Political parties

Party chapters

Bob Ferguson (D)

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

State legislators

  • 25 state senators [40]
  • 31 state representatives [40]

County officials

Local officials

Tribal officials

Individuals

Newspapers

Organizations

Labor unions

Tribes

Mark Mullet (D)

Statewide officials

State legislators

Local officials

Organizations

Dave Reichert (R)

State executive officials

State legislators

Local officials

County officials

Organizations

Party chapters

Hilary Franz (D) (withdrawn)

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Semi
Bird (R)
Bob
Ferguson (D)
Mark
Mullet (D)
Dave
Reichert (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [63] [A] July 24–25, 2024581 (LV)± 4.0%10%39%5%28%18%
SurveyUSA [64] [B] July 10–13, 2024564 (LV)± 5.2%7%42%4%33%14%
RMG Research [65] May 20–23, 2024800 (RV)4%33%5%31%21%
Cascade PBS/Elway Research [66] May 13–16, 2024403 (RV)± 5.0%5%22%6%20%47%
Public Policy Polling (D) [67] [A] May 15–16, 2024615 (LV)± 4.0%11%35%4%28%22%
Echelon Insights [68] [C] March 18–21, 2024600 (RV)± 4.7%7%23%5%28%37%
Public Policy Polling (D) [69] [A] February 13–14, 2024789 (LV)± 3.5%9%35%4%27%25%
Echelon Insights [70] [D] December 9–13, 2023500 (RV)± 5.5%5%27%3%28%37%
Public Policy Polling (D) [71] [A] November 14–15, 2023700 (LV)± 3.7%10%31%5%31%22%
Hypothetical polling

with Bird, Ferguson, Franz, Garcia, and Mullet

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Semi
Bird (R)
Bob
Ferguson (D)
Hilary
Franz (D)
Raul
Garcia (R)
Mark
Mullet (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [72] [A] Jun 7–8, 2023773 (LV)± 3.5%10%25%9%17%7%33%

with Constantine, Dammeier, Ferguson, and Franz

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Dow
Constantine (D)
Bruce
Dammeier (R)
Bob
Ferguson (D)
Hilary
Franz (D)
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [73] [A] March 7–8, 2023874 (LV)± 3.3%7%35%21%7%30%

with Inslee, generic Republican, and generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Jay
Inslee (D)
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Crosscut/Elway [74] December 27–29, 2022403 (RV)± 5%34%35%17%14%

Results

Results by county:
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Ferguson
20-30%
30-40%
40-50%
60-70%
Reichert
20-30%
30-40%
40-50%
50-60% 2024WAGOVprimary.svg
Results by county:
  Ferguson
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   60–70%
  Reichert
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
Blanket primary results [75]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bob Ferguson 884,268 44.88%
Republican Dave Reichert 541,533 27.48%
Republican Semi Bird212,69210.79%
Democratic Mark Mullet 119,0486.04%
Trump Republican [a] Leon Lawson35,9711.83%
Republican Jim Daniel29,9071.52%
Democratic Cassondra Hanson24,5121.24%
Democratic EL'ona Kearney24,3741.24%
Republican Jennifer Hoover15,6920.80%
Green Andre Stackhouse11,9620.61%
Democratic Don Rivers9,4530.48%
Republican Martin Wheeler7,6760.39%
Democratic Chaytan Inman6,4270.33%
Democratic Ricky Anthony6,2260.32%
Independent Jeff Curry6,0680.31%
Democratic Fred Grant5,5030.28%
Independent Brian Bogen4,5300.23%
Republican A.L. Brown4,2320.21%
Libertarian Michael DePaula3,9570.20%
Independence [a] Rosetta Marshall-Williams2,9600.15%
Independent Jim Clark2,3550.12%
Democratic Edward Cale1,9750.10%
Standup-America [a] Alex Tsimerman1,7210.09%
Republican Bill Hirt1,7200.09%
Write-in 1,3470.07%
Independent Frank Dare1,1150.06%
Nonsense Busters [a] Alan Makayev1,1060.06%
Independent William Combs1,0420.05%
Independent Brad Mjelde9910.05%
Total votes1,970,363 100.0%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [76] Likely DAugust 27, 2024
Inside Elections [77] Likely DSeptember 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [78] Likely DJune 4, 2024
RCP [79] Likely DJuly 13, 2024
Elections Daily [80] Safe DJuly 12, 2023
CNalysis [81] Solid DAugust 17, 2024

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of November 5, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Bob Ferguson (D)$14,091,789$13,939,376$152,413
Dave Reichert (R)$6,729,173$6,226,422$502,751
Source: Washington State Public Disclosure Commission [82]

Debates

DateFergusonReichertLink
September 11, 2024ParticipantParticipant YouTube
September 18, 2024ParticipantParticipant YouTube

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Bob
Ferguson (D)
Dave
Reichert (R)
Undecided
[d]
Margin
270ToWin [83] October 17 – November 4, 2024November 4, 202450.8%38.0%11.2%Ferguson +12.8%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Bob
Ferguson (D)
Dave
Reichert (R)
OtherUndecided
Research Co. [84] November 2–3, 2024450 (LV)± 4.6%54%40%1%5%
ActiVote [85] October 3–29, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%59%41%
ActiVote [86] September 14 – October 20, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%58%42%
Public Policy Polling (D) [87] [A] October 16–17, 2024571 (LV)± 4.1%48%41%10%
Strategies 360 [88] October 11–16, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%51%41%8%
SurveyUSA [89] [B] October 9–14, 2024703 (LV)± 4.9%50%34%16%
Cascade PBS/Elway Research [90] October 8–12, 2024401 (LV)± 5.0%51%37%1% [e] 11%
RMG Research (R) [91] [E] September 18–20, 2024800 (RV)± 3.5%48%40%3% [f] 9%
Cascade PBS/Elway Research [92] September 3–6, 2024403 (RV)± 5.0%50%39%3% [g] 9%
Cygnal (R) [93] August 28–30, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%48%45%8%
Public Policy Polling (D) [63] [A] July 24–25, 2024581 (LV)± 4.0%49%43%8%
DHM Research [94] July 12–17, 2024500 (RV)± 4.4%45%32%10% [h] 12%
Public Policy Polling (D) [67] [A] May 15–16, 2024615 (LV)± 4.0%48%42%10%
Echelon Insights (R) [95] [C] March 18–21, 2024600 (RV)± 4.7%30%39%31%
Public Policy Polling (D) [69] [A] February 13–14, 2024789 (LV)± 3.5%46%42%11%
Echelon Insights (R) [96] [D] December 9–13, 2023500 (LV)± 5.5%35%39%26%
Public Policy Polling (D) [71] [A] November 14–15, 2023700 (LV)± 3.5%44%46%9%
Hypothetical polling

Bob Ferguson vs. Semi Bird

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Bob
Ferguson (D)
Semi
Bird (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [63] [A] July 24–25, 2024581 (LV)± 4.0%52%38%10%

Results

2024 Washington gubernatorial election [97]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Bob Ferguson 2,143,368 55.51% −1.05%
Republican Dave Reichert 1,709,81844.28%+1.16%
Write-in 8,2020.21%-0.11%
Total votes3,861,388 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

By county

County results
County [98] Bob Ferguson

Democratic

Dave Reichert

Republican

Write-in

Various

MarginTotal votes
#%#%#%#%
Adams 1,39626.47%3,86573.28%130.25%-2,469-46.81%5,274
Asotin 4,03035.82%7,19863.97%240.21%-3,168-28.15%11,252
Benton 35,63236.01%63,11863.79%2000.20%-27,486-27.78%98,950
Chelan 17,20541.22%24,46558.61%690.17%-7,260-17.39%41,739
Clallam 24,70951.56%23,10048.20%1160.24%1,6093.36%47,925
Clark 137,97751.41%130,04548.46%3600.13%7,9322.95%268,382
Columbia 62725.75%1,79773.80%110.45%-1,170-48.05%2,435
Cowlitz 22,14338.02%36,03561.87%690.12%-13,892-23.85%58,247
Douglas 7,00933.45%13,90766.37%380.18%-6,898-32.92%20,954
Ferry 1,25830.89%2,80668.89%90.22%-1,548-38.00%4,073
Franklin 11,38536.61%19,67663.28%350.11%-8,291-26.67%31,096
Garfield 29921.94%1,06478.06%00.00%-765-56.12%1,363
Grant 10,44829.28%25,18670.57%540.15%-14,738-41.29%35,688
Grays Harbor 16,55844.27%20,74055.45%1060.28%-4,182-11.18%37,404
Island 27,93153.99%23,67745.76%1300.25%4,2548.23%51,738
Jefferson 17,20169.99%7,31229.75%620.25%9,88940.24%24,575
King 797,24871.57%314,22628.21%2,5230.23%483,02243.36%1,113,997
Kitsap 87,73156.67%66,68243.08%3890.25%21,04913.59%154,802
Kittitas 9,66236.99%16,39462.76%670.26%-6,732-25.77%26,123
Klickitat 5,69142.68%7,62557.18%190.14%-1,934-14.50%13,335
Lewis 13,75130.61%31,08469.19%900.20%-17,333-38.58%44,925
Lincoln 1,59122.44%5,47277.17%280.39%-3,881-54.73%7,091
Mason 16,17344.63%19,94255.03%1210.33%-3,769-10.40%36,236
Okanogan 8,19040.16%12,16159.63%440.22%-3,971-19.47%20,395
Pacific 6,67647.52%7,35252.33%210.15%-676-6.77%14,049
Pend Oreille 2,46429.17%5,96070.57%220.26%-3,496-41.40%8,446
Pierce 220,15350.79%212,21848.96%1,0440.24%7,9351.83%433,415
San Juan 9,34873.14%3,40026.60%330.26%5,94846.54%12,781
Skagit 34,82150.32%34,23149.46%1510.22%5900.86%69,203
Skamania 3,05842.60%4,10957.24%110.15%-1,051-14.64%7,178
Snohomish 225,27654.99%183,45844.78%9450.23%41,81810.21%409,679
Spokane 127,59445.25%153,97454.61%3910.14%-26,380-9.36%281,959
Stevens 7,25625.92%20,67373.86%600.21%-13,417-47.94%27,989
Thurston 90,67655.69%71,76444.06%4050.25%18,93211.63%162,865
Wahkiakum 1,15838.48%1,84561.32%60.20%-687-22.84%3,009
Walla Walla 12,40842.55%16,73057.37%250.09%-4,322-14.82%29,163
Whatcom 81,43559.68%54,76940.14%2470.18%26,66619.54%136,451
Whitman 10,08751.09%9,61048.68%450.23%4772.41%19,742
Yakima 35,09340.12%52,14859.62%2190.25%-17,055-19.50%87,460
Totals2,143,36855.51%1,709,81844.28%8,2020.21%545,17711.23%3,861,388

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Ferguson won six of 10 congressional districts, with the remaining four going to Reichert, including two that elected Democrats. [99]

DistrictFergusonReichertRepresentative
1st 59%40% Suzan DelBene
2nd 58%42% Rick Larsen
3rd 46%54% Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
4th 37%63% Dan Newhouse
5th 42%58% Cathy McMorris Rodgers (118th Congress)
Michael Baumgartner (119th Congress)
6th 56%44% Derek Kilmer (118th Congress)
Emily Randall (119th Congress)
7th 84%16% Pramila Jayapal
8th 47%53% Kim Schrier
9th 67%33% Adam Smith
10th 55%45% Marilyn Strickland

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Not an actual political party. In Washington, independent candidates are allowed to choose a ballot label
  2. Locals 6, 775, 925, Healthcare 1199NW, and Committee of Interns and Residents
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. "Someone else" with 1%
  6. "Some other candidate" with 3%
  7. "No answer" with 2%; "I may not vote in this race" with 1%
  8. "Someone else" with 10%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Poll sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute
  2. 1 2 Poll sponsored by The Seattle Times , KING 5, and the University of Washington Center for an Informed Public
  3. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Concerned Taxpayers of Washington State PAC
  4. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Future 42, a conservative group
  5. Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute and Future 42, a conservative group

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United States gubernatorial elections were held on November 5, 2024, in 11 states and two territories. The previous gubernatorial elections for this group of states took place in 2020, except in New Hampshire and Vermont, where governors only serve two-year terms and elected their governors in 2022. In addition to state gubernatorial elections, the territories of American Samoa and Puerto Rico held elections for their governors. This was also the first time since 1988 that a Republican nominee won the gubernatorial election in American Samoa and also the first time since 1996 that an incumbent governor there lost re-election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 Washington Attorney General election</span>

The 2024 Washington Attorney General election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect the next attorney general of Washington, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the U.S. Senate and various state and local elections, including for U.S. House and governor of Washington. Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Bob Ferguson was eligible to seek re-election to a fourth term but had chosen instead to run successfully for governor. U.S. Attorney Nick Brown, a Democrat, won the election against Pasco Mayor Pete Serrano, a Republican.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 Washington elections</span>

Washington state elections in 2024 were held on November 5, 2024. Primary elections were held on August 6, 2024.

References

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Official campaign websites