2024 Washington gubernatorial election

Last updated

2024 Washington gubernatorial election
Flag of Washington.svg
  2020 November 5, 20242028 
  Bob Ferguson at his 2023 Shrimp Feed 02 (cropped).jpg Dave Reichert, official portrait, 112th Congress (3x4).jpg
Candidate Bob Ferguson Dave Reichert
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote2,143,3681,709,818
Percentage55.51%44.28%

2024 Washington gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2024 Washington Gov by congressional district.svg
WA Governor 2024.svg
Ferguson:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Reichert:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No votes

Governor before election

Jay Inslee
Democratic

Elected Governor

Bob Ferguson
Democratic

The 2024 Washington gubernatorial election was held on November 5, 2024. The top-two primary was held on August 6. Incumbent Democratic Governor Jay Inslee was eligible to seek re-election to a fourth term but decided that he would not do so. [1] The Democratic nominee, state Attorney General Bob Ferguson, defeated the Republican nominee, former Congressman Dave Reichert, who conceded defeat on November 19. Ferguson defeated Reichert with 55.51% of the vote in the general election. [2] He also became the first Democrat to win Clallam County since 2000.

Contents

This election marked the 11th consecutive election victory of the Democratic candidate for governor of Washington. Washington has not had a Republican governor since John Spellman left office in 1985, [3] the longest streak of Democratic leadership of any state in the country and the third-longest streak of one-party leadership after South Dakota (which has not had a Democratic governor since Harvey Wollman left office in 1979) and Utah (which has not had a Democratic governor since Scott Matheson left office nine days prior to Spellman in 1985). [4] [5] [6]

Primary election

Washington is one of two states that holds a top-two primary, meaning that all candidates are listed on the same ballot regardless of party affiliation, and the top two advance to the general election.

The filing deadline was May 10, 2024. On that day, two candidates named Bob Ferguson entered the race at the behest of a conservative activist who sought people with the same surname as Washington Attorney General Bob Ferguson, who was considered the Democratic frontrunner. [7] The two new candidates—a retired state employee and a U.S. Army veteran—resigned from the race on May 13, the deadline to withdraw, after questions about the legality of their campaigns arose. Washington's state statutes prohibit a new candidate with the same surname as an already-filed candidate from running with the intent to confuse or mislead voters. [8]

Democratic candidates

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

  • Ricky Anthony, retiree [10]
  • Edward Cale IV, postal worker [11]
  • Fred Grant, communications professional [3]
  • Cassondra Hanson, retail worker [11]
  • Chaytan Inman, artificial intelligence engineer [11]
  • EL'ona Kearney, forgiveness coach [12]
  • Mark Mullet, state senator [13]
  • Don Rivers, retired King County Metro worker and perennial candidate [11]

Withdrawn

Declined

Republican candidates

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

  • Semi Bird, former P.C.O. and chair for the Benton County Republican Party (2022–2024) and former Richland school board member (2021–2023) [21]
  • A.L. Brown [10]
  • Jim Daniel, former Klickitat Hospital Board commissioner [10]
  • Bill Hirt, retired aircraft engineer and perennial candidate [10]
  • Jennifer Hoover, pastor [10]
  • Martin Wheeler, farmer and candidate for governor in 2020 [10]

Withdrawn

Declined

Third-party and independent candidates

Eliminated in primary

  • Brian Bogen (Independent), businessman [10]
  • Jim Clark (Independent), computer programmer [10]
  • William Combs (Independent), U.S. Navy veteran [11]
  • Jeff Curry (Independent), school bus driver [10]
  • Frank Dare (Independent), retiree [10]
  • Michael DePaula (Libertarian), enterprise engineer [10]
  • Leon Lawson (Trump Republican [a] ), used car dealer, proponent of the QAnon conspiracy theory, candidate for governor in 2020, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022 [11]
  • Alan Makayev (Nonsense Busters [a] ), property manager [10]
  • Rosetta Marshall-Williams (Independence [a] ) [10]
  • Brad Mjelde (Independent), retired businessman [10]
  • Andre Stackhouse (Green), nonprofit executive [10]
  • Alex Tsimerman (Standup-America [a] ), business consultant and perennial candidate [10]

Endorsements

Semi Bird (R)

County officials

  • 6 County sheriffs [28]

Local officials

Individuals

Political parties

Party chapters

Bob Ferguson (D)

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

State legislators

  • 25 state senators [40]
  • 31 state representatives [40]

County officials

Local officials

Tribal officials

Individuals

Newspapers

Organizations

Labor unions

Tribes

Mark Mullet (D)

Statewide officials

State legislators

Local officials

Organizations

Dave Reichert (R)

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

State legislators

  • 10 state senators [57]
  • 31 state representatives [57]

Local officials

County officials

Organizations

Labor unions

Party chapters

Hilary Franz (D) (withdrawn)

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Semi
Bird (R)
Bob
Ferguson (D)
Mark
Mullet (D)
Dave
Reichert (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [66] [A] July 24–25, 2024581 (LV)± 4.0%10%39%5%28%18%
SurveyUSA [67] [B] July 10–13, 2024564 (LV)± 5.2%7%42%4%33%14%
RMG Research [68] May 20–23, 2024800 (RV)4%33%5%31%21%
Cascade PBS/Elway Research [69] May 13–16, 2024403 (RV)± 5.0%5%22%6%20%47%
Public Policy Polling (D) [70] [A] May 15–16, 2024615 (LV)± 4.0%11%35%4%28%22%
Echelon Insights [71] [C] March 18–21, 2024600 (RV)± 4.7%7%23%5%28%37%
Public Policy Polling (D) [72] [A] February 13–14, 2024789 (LV)± 3.5%9%35%4%27%25%
Echelon Insights [73] [D] December 9–13, 2023500 (RV)± 5.5%5%27%3%28%37%
Public Policy Polling (D) [74] [A] November 14–15, 2023700 (LV)± 3.7%10%31%5%31%22%
Hypothetical polling

with Bird, Ferguson, Franz, Garcia, and Mullet

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Semi
Bird (R)
Bob
Ferguson (D)
Hilary
Franz (D)
Raul
Garcia (R)
Mark
Mullet (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [75] [A] Jun 7–8, 2023773 (LV)± 3.5%10%25%9%17%7%33%

with Constantine, Dammeier, Ferguson, and Franz

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Dow
Constantine (D)
Bruce
Dammeier (R)
Bob
Ferguson (D)
Hilary
Franz (D)
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [76] [A] March 7–8, 2023874 (LV)± 3.3%7%35%21%7%30%

with Inslee, generic Republican, and generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Jay
Inslee (D)
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Crosscut/Elway [77] December 27–29, 2022403 (RV)± 5%34%35%17%14%

Results

Results by county:
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Ferguson
20-30%
30-40%
40-50%
60-70%
Reichert
20-30%
30-40%
40-50%
50-60% 2024WAGOVprimary.svg
Results by county:
  Ferguson
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   60–70%
  Reichert
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
Blanket primary results [78]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bob Ferguson 884,268 44.88%
Republican Dave Reichert 541,533 27.48%
Republican Semi Bird212,69210.79%
Democratic Mark Mullet 119,0486.04%
Trump Republican [a] Leon Lawson35,9711.83%
Republican Jim Daniel29,9071.52%
Democratic Cassondra Hanson24,5121.24%
Democratic EL'ona Kearney24,3741.24%
Republican Jennifer Hoover15,6920.80%
Green Andre Stackhouse11,9620.61%
Democratic Don Rivers9,4530.48%
Republican Martin Wheeler7,6760.39%
Democratic Chaytan Inman6,4270.33%
Democratic Ricky Anthony6,2260.32%
Independent Jeff Curry6,0680.31%
Democratic Fred Grant5,5030.28%
Independent Brian Bogen4,5300.23%
Republican A.L. Brown4,2320.21%
Libertarian Michael DePaula3,9570.20%
Independence [a] Rosetta Marshall-Williams2,9600.15%
Independent Jim Clark2,3550.12%
Democratic Edward Cale1,9750.10%
Standup-America [a] Alex Tsimerman1,7210.09%
Republican Bill Hirt1,7200.09%
Write-in 1,3470.07%
Independent Frank Dare1,1150.06%
Nonsense Busters [a] Alan Makayev1,1060.06%
Independent William Combs1,0420.05%
Independent Brad Mjelde9910.05%
Total votes1,970,363 100.0%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [79] Likely DAugust 27, 2024
Inside Elections [80] Likely DSeptember 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [81] Likely DJune 4, 2024
RCP [82] Likely DJuly 13, 2024
Elections Daily [83] Safe DJuly 12, 2023
CNalysis [84] Solid DAugust 17, 2024

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of November 5, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Bob Ferguson (D)$14,091,789$13,939,376$152,413
Dave Reichert (R)$6,729,173$6,226,422$502,751
Source: Washington State Public Disclosure Commission [85]

Debates

DateFergusonReichertLink
September 11, 2024ParticipantParticipant YouTube
September 18, 2024ParticipantParticipant YouTube

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Bob
Ferguson (D)
Dave
Reichert (R)
Undecided
[d]
Margin
270ToWin [86] October 17 – November 4, 2024November 4, 202450.8%38.0%11.2%Ferguson +12.8%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Bob
Ferguson (D)
Dave
Reichert (R)
OtherUndecided
Research Co. [87] November 2–3, 2024450 (LV)± 4.6%54%40%1%5%
ActiVote [88] October 3–29, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%59%41%
ActiVote [89] September 14 – October 20, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%58%42%
Public Policy Polling (D) [90] [A] October 16–17, 2024571 (LV)± 4.1%48%41%10%
Strategies 360 [91] October 11–16, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%51%41%8%
SurveyUSA [92] [B] October 9–14, 2024703 (LV)± 4.9%50%34%16%
Cascade PBS/Elway Research [93] October 8–12, 2024401 (LV)± 5.0%51%37%1% [e] 11%
RMG Research (R) [94] [E] September 18–20, 2024800 (RV)± 3.5%48%40%3% [f] 9%
Cascade PBS/Elway Research [95] September 3–6, 2024403 (RV)± 5.0%50%39%3% [g] 9%
Cygnal (R) [96] August 28–30, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%48%45%8%
Public Policy Polling (D) [66] [A] July 24–25, 2024581 (LV)± 4.0%49%43%8%
DHM Research [97] July 12–17, 2024500 (RV)± 4.4%45%32%10% [h] 12%
Public Policy Polling (D) [70] [A] May 15–16, 2024615 (LV)± 4.0%48%42%10%
Echelon Insights (R) [71] [C] March 18–21, 2024600 (RV)± 4.7%30%39%31%
Public Policy Polling (D) [72] [A] February 13–14, 2024789 (LV)± 3.5%46%42%11%
Echelon Insights (R) [73] [D] December 9–13, 2023500 (LV)± 5.5%35%39%26%
Public Policy Polling (D) [74] [A] November 14–15, 2023700 (LV)± 3.5%44%46%9%
Hypothetical polling

Bob Ferguson vs. Semi Bird

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Bob
Ferguson (D)
Semi
Bird (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [66] [A] July 24–25, 2024581 (LV)± 4.0%52%38%10%

Results

2024 Washington gubernatorial election [98]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Bob Ferguson 2,143,368 55.51% −1.05%
Republican Dave Reichert 1,709,81844.28%+1.16%
Write-in 8,2020.21%-0.11%
Total votes3,861,388 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

By county

County results
County [99] Bob Ferguson

Democratic

Dave Reichert

Republican

Write-in

Various

MarginTotal votes
#%#%#%#%
Adams 1,39626.47%3,86573.28%130.25%-2,469-46.81%5,274
Asotin 4,03035.82%7,19863.97%240.21%-3,168-28.15%11,252
Benton 35,63236.01%63,11863.79%2000.20%-27,486-27.78%98,950
Chelan 17,20541.22%24,46558.61%690.17%-7,260-17.39%41,739
Clallam 24,70951.56%23,10048.20%1160.24%1,6093.36%47,925
Clark 137,97751.41%130,04548.46%3600.13%7,9322.95%268,382
Columbia 62725.75%1,79773.80%110.45%-1,170-48.05%2,435
Cowlitz 22,14338.02%36,03561.87%690.12%-13,892-23.85%58,247
Douglas 7,00933.45%13,90766.37%380.18%-6,898-32.92%20,954
Ferry 1,25830.89%2,80668.89%90.22%-1,548-38.00%4,073
Franklin 11,38536.61%19,67663.28%350.11%-8,291-26.67%31,096
Garfield 29921.94%1,06478.06%00.00%-765-56.12%1,363
Grant 10,44829.28%25,18670.57%540.15%-14,738-41.29%35,688
Grays Harbor 16,55844.27%20,74055.45%1060.28%-4,182-11.18%37,404
Island 27,93153.99%23,67745.76%1300.25%4,2548.23%51,738
Jefferson 17,20169.99%7,31229.75%620.25%9,88940.24%24,575
King 797,24871.57%314,22628.21%2,5230.23%483,02243.36%1,113,997
Kitsap 87,73156.67%66,68243.08%3890.25%21,04913.59%154,802
Kittitas 9,66236.99%16,39462.76%670.26%-6,732-25.77%26,123
Klickitat 5,69142.68%7,62557.18%190.14%-1,934-14.50%13,335
Lewis 13,75130.61%31,08469.19%900.20%-17,333-38.58%44,925
Lincoln 1,59122.44%5,47277.17%280.39%-3,881-54.73%7,091
Mason 16,17344.63%19,94255.03%1210.33%-3,769-10.40%36,236
Okanogan 8,19040.16%12,16159.63%440.22%-3,971-19.47%20,395
Pacific 6,67647.52%7,35252.33%210.15%-676-6.77%14,049
Pend Oreille 2,46429.17%5,96070.57%220.26%-3,496-41.40%8,446
Pierce 220,15350.79%212,21848.96%1,0440.24%7,9351.83%433,415
San Juan 9,34873.14%3,40026.60%330.26%5,94846.54%12,781
Skagit 34,82150.32%34,23149.46%1510.22%5900.86%69,203
Skamania 3,05842.60%4,10957.24%110.15%-1,051-14.64%7,178
Snohomish 225,27654.99%183,45844.78%9450.23%41,81810.21%409,679
Spokane 127,59445.25%153,97454.61%3910.14%-26,380-9.36%281,959
Stevens 7,25625.92%20,67373.86%600.21%-13,417-47.94%27,989
Thurston 90,67655.69%71,76444.06%4050.25%18,93211.63%162,865
Wahkiakum 1,15838.48%1,84561.32%60.20%-687-22.84%3,009
Walla Walla 12,40842.55%16,73057.37%250.09%-4,322-14.82%29,163
Whatcom 81,43559.68%54,76940.14%2470.18%26,66619.54%136,451
Whitman 10,08751.09%9,61048.68%450.23%4772.41%19,742
Yakima 35,09340.12%52,14859.62%2190.25%-17,055-19.50%87,460
Totals2,143,36855.51%1,709,81844.28%8,2020.21%545,17711.23%3,861,388

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Ferguson won six of 10 congressional districts, with the remaining four going to Reichert, including two that elected Democrats. [100]

DistrictFergusonReichertRepresentative
1st 59%40% Suzan DelBene
2nd 58%42% Rick Larsen
3rd 46%54% Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
4th 37%63% Dan Newhouse
5th 42%58% Cathy McMorris Rodgers (118th Congress)
Michael Baumgartner (119th Congress)
6th 56%44% Derek Kilmer (118th Congress)
Emily Randall (119th Congress)
7th 84%16% Pramila Jayapal
8th 47%53% Kim Schrier
9th 67%33% Adam Smith
10th 55%45% Marilyn Strickland

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Not an actual political party. In Washington, independent candidates are allowed to choose a ballot label
  2. Locals 6, 775, 925, Healthcare 1199NW, and Committee of Interns and Residents
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. "Someone else" with 1%
  6. "Some other candidate" with 3%
  7. "No answer" with 2%; "I may not vote in this race" with 1%
  8. "Someone else" with 10%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Poll sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute
  2. 1 2 Poll sponsored by The Seattle Times , KING 5, and the University of Washington Center for an Informed Public
  3. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Concerned Taxpayers of Washington State PAC
  4. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Future 42, a conservative group
  5. Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute and Future 42, a conservative group

References

  1. 1 2 Furtado, David (May 1, 2023). "Governor Inslee announces he will not seek re-election". KEPR. Retrieved May 1, 2023.
  2. "Washington Governor Election Results 2024: Ferguson vs. Reichert". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 7, 2024.
  3. 1 2 "The candidates running to be Washington's next governor". February 17, 2024.
  4. Wood, Benjamin (July 19, 2019). "Zachary Moses, a Democratic candidate for governor, wants to break up Republican control of Utah and build a space port". Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved August 29, 2019.
  5. Scott, Dylan (November 7, 2018). "Kristi Noem elected first woman governor of South Dakota". Vox. Retrieved August 26, 2019.
  6. Camden, Jim (January 16, 2018). "John Spellman, Washington's last Republican governor, dies". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved August 23, 2019.
  7. Withycombe, Claire (May 10, 2024). "Three Bob Night: Two more Bob Fergusons running for WA governor". The Seattle Times. Retrieved May 14, 2024.
  8. Withycombe, Claire (May 13, 2024). "Bob's Your Uncle: 2 Bob Fergusons withdraw from WA governor's race". The Seattle Times. Retrieved May 14, 2024.
  9. "Washington AG Bob Ferguson officially launches gubernatorial campaign". KOMO. September 9, 2023. Retrieved September 11, 2023.
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 "PRIMARY 2024 Candidate List". Washington Secretary of State. Retrieved May 11, 2024.
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Frisk, Garrett (November 10, 2023). "Bob Ferguson Is Likely To Be Washington's Next Governor. Who Stands in His Way?". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
  12. Villalovas, Eden (June 26, 2023). "Washington governor race fills up as GOP tries to win back control for the first time in 40 years". Washington Examiner . Retrieved June 26, 2023.
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  14. 1 2 Markovich, Matt (May 13, 2024). "Both duplicate Bob Fergusons withdraw from governors race". MyNorthwest . Retrieved May 13, 2024.
  15. Brunner, Jim (November 10, 2023). "WA lands commissioner Hilary Franz drops out of governor's race to run for Congress". The Seattle Times . Retrieved November 10, 2023.
  16. 1 2 Brunner, Jim (March 17, 2023). "King County Executive Dow Constantine won't run for WA governor". The Seattle Times . Retrieved March 18, 2023.
  17. Gonzales, Nathan (May 2, 2023). "Races for governor in several states have ties to Capitol Hill". Roll Call. Retrieved May 4, 2023.
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  22. Sowersby, Shauna (July 7, 2023). "Raul Garcia steps out of gubernatorial race to make way for former U.S. Rep. Dave Reichert". The News Tribune .
  23. 1 2 3 Villenueve, Andrew (June 28, 2023). "Is Dave Reichert getting ready to run for governor in 2024? It sure looks that way". The Cascadia Advocate . Retrieved June 28, 2023.
  24. Brunner, Jim (October 9, 2023). "Former U.S. Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler plans to run for WA lands commissioner". The Seattle Times . Retrieved October 9, 2023.
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  27. Santos, Melissa (May 2, 2023). "May 2, 2023 - Politics With Inslee out, here's who might run for Washington governor". Axios . Retrieved June 5, 2023.
  28. 1 2 O'Sullivan, Joseph (July 31, 2023). "WA governor candidate Semi Bird set for school board recall vote". Crosscut.com . Retrieved December 26, 2023.
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  31. "Benton County Republican Party endorsements". Benton County Republican Party. Retrieved December 26, 2023.
  32. "Clark County Republican Party endorsements". Clark County Republican Party. June 30, 2023. Retrieved December 26, 2023.
  33. Cowlitz County Republican Party. "Semi Bird for Governor" via Facebook.
  34. "SCRP Endorses Semi Bird for Governor and Jim Walsh for WSRP State Chair". Skagit County Republican Party. Retrieved December 26, 2023.
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  36. "Snohomish County Republican Party" . Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  37. "Ferguson Gets Cantwell's Endorsement for Governor". postalley.org. October 21, 2023. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
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