2024 Washington gubernatorial election

Last updated

2024 Washington gubernatorial election
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Incumbent Governor

Jay Inslee
Democratic



The 2024 Washington gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024. The top-two primary will be held on August 6.

Contents

Incumbent Democratic Governor Jay Inslee announced on May 1, 2023 that he would not run for a fourth term. [1] Inslee, who previously served in the U.S. House, was first elected Governor in 2012 and won re-election in 2016 and 2020 by increasing margins each time. Washington has not had a Republican governor since John Spellman left office in 1985, [2] the longest streak of Democratic leadership of any state in the country and the third longest streak of one-party leadership after South Dakota (which has not had a Democratic governor since Harvey Wollman left office in 1979) and Utah (which has not had a Democratic governor since Scott Matheson left office nine days prior to Spellman in 1985). [3] [4] [5]

Primary election

Washington is one of two states that holds a top-two primary, meaning that all candidates are listed on the same ballot regardless of party affiliation, and the top two advance to the general election.

Democratic candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Republican candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Third-party and independent candidates

Declared

  • William Combs (Independent), U.S. Navy veteran [6]
  • Ambra Mason (Constitution), design company owner [6]
  • Leon Lawson (Trump Republican), used car dealer, proponent of the QAnon conspiracy theory, candidate for governor in 2020, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022 [6]
  • Bobbie Samons (Independent), government transparency advocate [6]

Endorsements

Bob Ferguson (D)
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
  • 25 state senators [28]
  • 31 state representatives [28]
County officials
Local officials
Tribal officials
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
Tribes
Mark Mullet (D)
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Dave Reichert (R)
State legislators
County officials
Political parties
Semi Bird (R)
County officials
  • 6 County sheriffs [42]
Individuals
Political parties
Hilary Franz (D) (withdrawn)
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Semi
Bird (R)		Bob
Ferguson (D)		Mark
Mullet (D)		Dave
Reichert (R)		Undecided
Echelon Insights [upper-alpha 1] March 18–21, 2024600 (RV)± 4.7%7%23%5%28%37%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 2] February 13–14, 2024789 (LV)± 3.5%9%35%4%27%25%
Echelon Insights [upper-alpha 3] December 9–13, 2023500 (RV)± 5.5%5%27%3%28%37%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 2] November 14–15, 2023700 (LV)± 3.7%10%31%5%31%22%
Hypothetical polling
with Bird, Ferguson, Franz, Garcia, and Mullet
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Semi
Bird (R)		Bob
Ferguson (D)		Hilary
Franz (D)		Raul
Garcia (R)		Mark
Mullet (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 2] Jun 7–8, 2023773 (LV)± 3.5%10%25%9%17%7%33%
with Constantine, Dammeier, Ferguson, and Franz
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Dow
Constantine (D)		Bruce
Dammeier (R)		Bob
Ferguson (D)		Hilary
Franz (D)		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 2] March 7–8, 2023874 (LV)± 3.3%7%35%21%7%30%
with Inslee, generic Republican, and generic Democrat
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Jay
Inslee (D)		Generic
Republican		Generic
Democrat		Undecided
Crosscut/Elway December 27–29, 2022403 (RV)± 5%34%35%17%14%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [52] Likely DJuly 21, 2023
Inside Elections [53] Likely DSeptember 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [54] Likely DJuly 13, 2023
Elections Daily [55] Safe DJuly 12, 2023

Polling

Bob Ferguson vs. Dave Reichert
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Bob
Ferguson (D)		Dave
Reichert (R)		Undecided
Echelon Insights [upper-alpha 1] March 18–21, 2024600 (RV)± 4.7%30%39%31%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 2] February 13–14, 2024789 (LV)± 3.5%46%42%11%
Echelon Insights [upper-alpha 3] December 9–13, 2023500 (LV)± 5.5%35%39%26%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 2] November 14–15, 2023700 (LV)± 3.5%44%46%9%

Notes

  1. ↑ Locals 6, 775, 925, Healthcare 1199NW, and Committee of Interns and Residents
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Concerned Taxpayers of Washington State PAC
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute
  3. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by Future 42

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References

  1. 1 2 Furtado, David (May 1, 2023). "Governor Inslee announces he will not seek re-election". KEPR. Retrieved May 1, 2023.
  2. 1 2 "The candidates running to be Washington's next governor". February 17, 2024.
  3. ↑ Wood, Benjamin (July 19, 2019). "Zachary Moses, a Democratic candidate for governor, wants to break up Republican control of Utah and build a space port". Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved August 29, 2019.
  4. ↑ Scott, Dylan (November 7, 2018). "Kristi Noem elected first woman governor of South Dakota". Vox. Retrieved August 26, 2019.
  5. ↑ Camden, Jim (January 16, 2018). "John Spellman, Washington's last Republican governor, dies". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved August 23, 2019.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Frisk, Garrett (November 10, 2023). "Bob Ferguson Is Likely To Be Washington's Next Governor. Who Stands in His Way?". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
  7. ↑ "Washington AG Bob Ferguson officially launches gubernatorial campaign". KOMO . September 9, 2023. Retrieved September 11, 2023.
  8. ↑ Villalovas, Eden (June 26, 2023). "Washington governor race fills up as GOP tries to win back control for the first time in 40 years". Washington Examiner . Retrieved June 26, 2023.
  9. ↑ Withycombe, Claire (June 1, 2023). "State Sen. Mark Mullet announces bid for WA governor". Seattle Times. Archived from the original on June 2, 2023.
  10. ↑ Gilbert, L.B. (May 10, 2023). "Lands Commissioner Hilary Franz announces campaign for WA governor". MYNorthwest.
  11. ↑ Brunner, Jim (November 10, 2023). "WA lands commissioner Hilary Franz drops out of governor's race to run for Congress". The Seattle Times. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
  12. 1 2 Brunner, Jim (March 17, 2023). "King County Executive Dow Constantine won't run for WA governor". The Seattle Times . Retrieved March 18, 2023.
  13. ↑ Gonzales, Nathan (May 2, 2023). "Races for governor in several states have ties to Capitol Hill". Roll Call. Retrieved May 4, 2023.
  14. ↑ Cornfield, Jerry (May 25, 2023). "Heck launches re-election bid for lieutenant governor". Washington State Standard. Retrieved June 2, 2023.
  15. 1 2 Gutman, David; Girgis, Lauren (September 9, 2023). "Jay Inslee endorses Bob Ferguson to succeed him as WA governor". The Seattle Times.
  16. ↑ Sowersby, Shauna (November 11, 2022). "Controversial Richland school board member announces bid for Washington governor in 2024". The Olympian . Retrieved November 11, 2022.
  17. ↑ Vander Stoep, Isabel (May 17, 2023). "Liquor License Reapplication Denied for Chehalis Restaurant That Flouted COVID Closure Orders". The Chronicle . Retrieved November 10, 2023. Still, as optimistic as ever, Khan now has her sights set elsewhere: the governor's office...she intends to run as a Republican in 2024.
  18. ↑ Mikkelsen, Drew (July 7, 2023). "Dave Reichert wants to be state's 'servant' as governor". KING 5 . Retrieved July 7, 2023.
  19. ↑ Sowersby, Shauna (July 7, 2023). "Raul Garcia steps out of gubernatorial race to make way for former U.S. Rep. Dave Reichert". The News Tribune.
  20. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Villenueve, Andrew (June 28, 2023). "Is Dave Reichert getting ready to run for governor in 2024? It sure looks that way". The Cascadia Advocate . Retrieved June 28, 2023.
  21. ↑ Brunner, Jim (October 9, 2023). "Former U.S. Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler plans to run for WA lands commissioner". The Seattle Times . Retrieved October 9, 2023.
  22. ↑ Gilbert, L. B. (May 1, 2023). "Who's next for WA Governor? Top candidates to follow a decade of Inslee". MYNorthwest. Retrieved May 14, 2023.
  23. 1 2 Wolf, Stephen (June 22, 2023). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 6/22". Daily Kos . Retrieved June 22, 2023.
  24. ↑ Santos, Melissa (May 2, 2023). "May 2, 2023 - Politics With Inslee out, here's who might run for Washington governor". Axios . Retrieved June 5, 2023.
  25. ↑ "Ferguson Gets Cantwell's Endorsement for Governor". www.postalley.org. October 21, 2023. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
  26. ↑ Sumrall, Frank (January 22, 2024). "Sen. Patty Murray endorses Bob Ferguson for Wash. governor". KIRO-FM . Retrieved January 22, 2024.
  27. 1 2 3 4 "WA Attorney General Bob Ferguson announces campaign for governor". The Seattle Times. May 2, 2023. Retrieved May 2, 2023.
  28. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Frisk, Garrett (May 5, 2023). "Democrat Bob Ferguson Announces Laundry List of Endorsements in Washington Governor Race". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved May 6, 2023.
  29. ↑ "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 5/31". Daily Kos. May 31, 2023.
  30. ↑ Nir, David (September 11, 2023). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 9/11". Daily Kos . Retrieved September 11, 2023.
  31. ↑ "Fuse Washington Endorses Bob Ferguson for 2024, Slate of Candidates for 2023 | Fuse Washington". fusewashington.org. Archived from the original on October 16, 2023. Retrieved October 16, 2023.
  32. ↑ "IFPTE Proudly Endorses Bob Ferguson for Governor of Washington". IFPTE. October 24, 2023. Archived from the original on October 26, 2023. Retrieved October 26, 2023.
  33. ↑ "SEIU 925 and SEIU Healthcare 1199NW members are proud to endorse Bob Ferguson as the next Governor of Washington State". SEIU Healthcare 1199NW. October 12, 2023. Retrieved April 21, 2024.
  34. ↑ "SEIU 775 Endorses Bob Ferguson for WA Governor 2024 – SEIU775". September 20, 2023. Archived from the original on September 22, 2023. Retrieved September 22, 2023.
  35. ↑ "Endorsements". UFW. Archived from the original on September 11, 2023. Retrieved September 11, 2023.
  36. ↑ Groves, David (February 1, 2024). "WSLC votes to endorse Bob Ferguson for Governor". The STAND. Retrieved February 2, 2024.
  37. ↑ staff, Source ONE News (November 21, 2023). "Colville Tribes endorse Bob Ferguson for governor". Source ONE News. Retrieved November 27, 2023.
  38. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Villeneuve, Andrew (June 1, 2023). "Washington State Senator Mark Mullet launches 2024 gubernatorial campaign". The Cascadia Advocate. Retrieved June 1, 2023.
  39. ↑ "News Release: Homebuilders Endorse Mullet for Governor". www.biaw.com. June 30, 2023. Retrieved October 23, 2023.
  40. ↑ "Grant County GOP Endorses Dave Reichert for Governor". Source ONE. March 8, 2024. Retrieved March 14, 2024.
  41. ↑ Brunner, Jim (April 8, 2024). "GOP candidates battle for endorsement in Washington governor race". The Seattle Times . Retrieved April 10, 2024.
  42. 1 2 O'Sullivan, Joseph (July 31, 2023). "WA governor candidate Semi Bird set for school board recall vote". Crosscut.com . Retrieved December 26, 2023.
  43. ↑ "Semi Bird challenging Dave Reichert for GOP nomination for WA governor". The Seattle Times. November 26, 2023. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  44. ↑ "Benton County Republican Party endorsements". Benton County Republican Party. Retrieved December 26, 2023.
  45. ↑ "Clark County Republican Party endorsements". Clark County Republican Party. June 30, 2023. Retrieved December 26, 2023.
  46. ↑ "Log in or sign up to view". m.facebook.com.
  47. ↑ "SCRP Endorses Semi Bird for Governor and Jim Walsh for WSRP State Chair". Skagit County Republican Party. Retrieved December 26, 2023.
  48. 1 2 Brunner, Jim (November 26, 2023). "Semi Bird challenging Dave Reichert for GOP nomination for WA governor" . The Seattle Times. Archived from the original on November 26, 2023. Retrieved December 26, 2023.
  49. ↑ "Snohomish County Republican Party". Snohomish County Republican Party. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  50. ↑ Cite web |title= Semi Bird receives GOP endorsement for Washington governor |url= https://www.krem.com/article/news/politics/semi-bird-receives-gop-nomination-washington-governor/293-a57fa298-b34d-423d-8ef1-23b5e51cd4b5 |date=April-20-2024 |access-date=April-20-2024
  51. ↑ "Our 2024 Endorsements". National Women's Political Caucus of Washington. Retrieved July 18, 2023.
  52. ↑ "2024 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  53. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections . Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  54. ↑ "2024 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  55. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. July 22, 2023. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
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