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This measure would provide that employees and self-employed people must elect to keep coverage under RCW 50B.04 and could opt-out any time. It would also repeal a law governing an exemption for employees. | |||||||||||||||||||
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Initiative No. 2124 (I-2124) was a ballot initiative in the US State of Washington that appeared on the November 5, 2024 ballot. The initiative, if passed, would have made participation in Washington's state-run long term health insurance program (WA Cares) voluntary rather than mandatory. [1] The initiative was one of six brought to the state legislature by Let's Go Washington, a Redmond-based political action committee founded by businessman and hedge fund manager Brian Heywood. [2]
The program known as WA Cares has its roots in the Long-Term Services and Supports Trust Act (Trust Act), which the Washington state legislature passed in 2019. [3] WA Cares is a program is a first-in-the-nation program that provides coverage for long term care costs for Washingtonians, though with a lifetime maximum benefit that started at $36,500 (and whose cap was indexed to inflation). [4] [5] Under the Trust Act, all workers in the state would be required to contribute to the program unless they had acquired private long term care insurance by 2021. [4] Workers pay a 0.58% tax on their income (which began in July 2023) and become eligible for the benefits in July of 2026. [6]
WA Cares became one of six issues selected by the Let's Go Washington PAC in 2023 to be included in an initiative petition campaign. [2] The argument made by the organization was that the existing benefit was inadequate to meet citizen needs and that the benefits were not portable. [7] A total of 2.6 million signatures were collected across the 6 issues, including the WA Cares repeal effort, which cleared 324,516 signature threshold required for issue consideration for the 2024 election cycle. [8] I-2124 was the last of the six initiatives to be submitted for consideration. [9] I-2124 was certified by the Secretary of State on January 23, 2024, and introduced to the state legislature on January 29, 2024. [10] [11] In February of 2024, Democratic legislative leaders ruled out any movement on I-2124 in the legislature itself, putting the initiative on track for consideration by the public during the 2024 general election. [12] [13]
I-2117 placed the following question before the citizens of Washington: [14]
Initiative Measure No. 2124 concerns state long term care insurance.
This measure would provide that employees and self-employed people must elect to keep coverage under RCW 50B.04 and could opt-out any time. It would also repeal a law governing an exemption for employees.
Should this measure be enacted into law? Yes [ ] No [ ]
If passed, I-2124 would have created an opt-out option which would repeal the payroll tax for those opting out but also make them ineligible for the benefit. [15] However, the decrease in payroll tax revenues could create what some insurers call a "death spiral", causing the program to become insolvent within a few years of beginning to pay out benefits. [15]
As of October 31, 2024, Let's Go Washington and the Taxpayers Accountability Alliance are registered as sponsors of the initiative. [16]
As of October 31, 2024, the 45th district Democratic Party, the AARP No on I-2124 Committee, Defend Washington, Fuse Voters, the No on 2124 PAC, Protect Washington, the SEIU 775 Ballot Fund, and the Stop Greed PAC are registered as opponents of the initiative. [16]
| Poll | Sponsor | Dates | Margin of Error | Mode | Sample Size | Support | Oppose | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA [17] | Seattle Times , KING-TV, & UW Center for an Informed Public | Oct 9–14, 2024 | ± 5% | Online | 703 LV | 28% | 49% | 23% |
| Elway [18] | Cascade PBS | Oct 8–12, 2024 | ± 5% | Live Phone & Text | 401 LV | 45% | 33% | 22% |
| Elway [19] | Cascade PBS | Sep 3–6, 2024 | ± 5% | Live Phone & Text | 403 RV | 39% | 33% | 27% |
| SurveyUSA [20] | Seattle Times , KING-TV, & UW Center for an Informed Public | July 10–13, 2024 | ± 5% | Online | 708 LV | 52% | 27% | 22% |
| Scott Rasmussen National Survey [21] | May 20–23, 2024 | ± 3.5% | 800 RV | 58% | 29% | 14% | ||
| Elway | Cascade PBS | May 13–16, 2024 | ± 5% | Live Phone & Text | 403 RV | 47% | 25% | 28% |
| GBAO Strategies [22] | Defend Washington | April 11–14, 2024 | ± 4% | Live Phone & Text | 600 LV | 41% | 49% | 10% |
I-2124 failed with less than 45% of ballots cast in favor. [23]
| County [24] | No | Yes | Margin | Total votes | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adams | 2,317 | 44.68% | 2,869 | 55.32% | -552 | -10.64% | 5,186 |
| Asotin | 5,704 | 52.14% | 5,235 | 47.86% | 469 | 4.29% | 10,939 |
| Benton | 43,254 | 44.85% | 53,195 | 55.15% | -9,941 | -10.31% | 96,449 |
| Chelan | 19,862 | 49.22% | 20,492 | 50.78% | -630 | -1.56% | 40,354 |
| Clallam | 26,750 | 58.23% | 19,188 | 41.77% | 7,562 | 16.46% | 45,938 |
| Clark | 138,521 | 53.56% | 120,115 | 46.44% | 18,406 | 7.12% | 258,636 |
| Columbia | 1,033 | 43.15% | 1,361 | 56.85% | -328 | -13.70% | 2,394 |
| Cowlitz | 27,946 | 49.82% | 28,150 | 50.18% | -204 | -0.36% | 56,096 |
| Douglas | 9,161 | 45.15% | 11,127 | 54.85% | -1,966 | -9.69% | 20,288 |
| Ferry | 1,918 | 49.00% | 1,996 | 51.00% | -78 | -1.99% | 3,914 |
| Franklin | 13,041 | 43.90% | 16,667 | 56.10% | -3,626 | -12.21% | 29,708 |
| Garfield | 548 | 41.67% | 767 | 58.33% | -219 | -16.65% | 1,315 |
| Grant | 15,370 | 44.46% | 19,199 | 55.54% | -3,829 | -11.08% | 34,569 |
| Grays Harbor | 19,845 | 54.61% | 16,496 | 45.39% | 3,349 | 9.22% | 36,341 |
| Island | 28,440 | 57.19% | 21,288 | 42.81% | 7,152 | 14.38% | 49,728 |
| Jefferson | 17,069 | 71.47% | 6,815 | 28.53% | 10,254 | 42.93% | 23,884 |
| King | 664,295 | 61.25% | 420,319 | 38.75% | 243,976 | 22.49% | 1,084,614 |
| Kitsap | 86,261 | 57.22% | 64,490 | 42.78% | 21,771 | 14.44% | 150,751 |
| Kittitas | 11,834 | 46.73% | 13,490 | 53.27% | -1,656 | -6.54% | 25,324 |
| Klickitat | 6,825 | 53.11% | 6,025 | 46.89% | 800 | 6.23% | 12,850 |
| Lewis | 19,267 | 44.20% | 24,324 | 55.80% | -5,057 | -11.60% | 43,591 |
| Lincoln | 2,636 | 38.43% | 4,224 | 61.57% | -1,588 | -23.15% | 6,860 |
| Mason | 18,831 | 53.28% | 16,511 | 46.72% | 2,320 | 6.56% | 35,342 |
| Okanogan | 10,733 | 53.88% | 9,187 | 46.12% | 1,546 | 7.76% | 19,920 |
| Pacific | 8,081 | 59.86% | 5,419 | 40.14% | 2,662 | 19.72% | 13,500 |
| Pend Oreille | 3,794 | 46.59% | 4,350 | 53.41% | -556 | -6.83% | 8,144 |
| Pierce | 217,759 | 52.38% | 197,968 | 47.62% | 19,791 | 4.76% | 415,727 |
| San Juan | 8,661 | 70.77% | 3,578 | 29.23% | 5,083 | 41.53% | 12,239 |
| Skagit | 35,566 | 53.16% | 31,335 | 46.84% | 4,231 | 6.32% | 66,901 |
| Skamania | 3,554 | 51.37% | 3,365 | 48.63% | 189 | 2.73% | 6,919 |
| Snohomish | 211,489 | 53.08% | 186,948 | 46.92% | 24,541 | 6.16% | 398,437 |
| Spokane | 142,838 | 51.74% | 133,249 | 48.26% | 9,589 | 3.47% | 276,087 |
| Stevens | 11,066 | 40.81% | 16,053 | 59.19% | -4,987 | -18.39% | 27,119 |
| Thurston | 92,426 | 58.43% | 65,757 | 41.57% | 26,669 | 16.86% | 158,183 |
| Wahkiakum | 1,553 | 54.41% | 1,301 | 45.59% | 252 | 8.83% | 2,854 |
| Walla Walla | 15,175 | 53.52% | 13,181 | 46.48% | 1,994 | 7.03% | 28,356 |
| Whatcom | 80,330 | 60.84% | 51,712 | 39.16% | 28,618 | 21.67% | 132,042 |
| Whitman | 10,756 | 55.86% | 8,500 | 44.14% | 2,256 | 11.72% | 19,256 |
| Yakima | 42,707 | 50.31% | 42,189 | 49.69% | 518 | 0.61% | 84,896 |
| Totals | 2,077,216 | 55.46% | 1,668,435 | 44.54% | 408,781 | 10.91% | 3,745,651 |