2024 United States presidential election in Illinois

Last updated

2024 United States presidential election in Illinois
Flag of Illinois.svg
←  2020 November 5, 20242028 →
Turnout70.42%
  Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg Donald Trump official portrait (3x4a).jpg
Nominee Kamala Harris Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state California Florida
Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance
Electoral vote190
Popular vote3,062,8632,449,079
Percentage54.37%43.47%
Illinois Presidential Election Results 2024.svg
2024 Presidential Election in Illinois by Congressional District.svg
President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in Illinois took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Illinois voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Illinois has 19 electoral votes in the Electoral College this election, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat. [1]

Contents

Illinois is a strongly blue state in the Great Lakes region anchored by Chicago, with the sparsely populated southern region of the state being culturally influenced by the Upper South and Bible Belt. It has a reputation for being by far the most liberal state in the Great Lakes region. The state has voted for the Democratic candidate in every presidential election beginning in 1992 (doing so by at least 10% each time), including voting for Senator Barack Obama from Illinois in 2008 and 2012 and Chicago-born Hillary Clinton in 2016. This was the first election since 1868 in which Illinois did not have 20 or more electoral votes.

Illinois was won by the Democratic candidate Kamala Harris. Illinois shifted towards Trump, with current vote counts showing Harris winning the state by a 10.9% margin, six points down from Biden. The state’s red shift was caused by low Democratic turnout in Cook County, home to Chicago with Harris receiving about 300,000 fewer votes than Biden in Cook County, while Trump ran marginally ahead of his 2020 raw vote total in Chicago, Cook as a whole, and statewide. [2] Trump became the first Republican to win the White House without Kendall County or McLean County.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The Illinois Democratic primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Florida, [a] Kansas, and Ohio.

Illinois Democratic primary, March 19, 2024 [3]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Joe Biden (incumbent)739,64691.5%147147
Marianne Williamson 28,7773.6%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)25,6153.2%
Frankie Lozada (withdrawn)14,5131.8%
Total:808,551100.00%14727174

Republican primary

The Illinois Republican primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Florida, and Ohio.

Illinois Republican primary, March 19, 2024 [4]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 479,55680.50%64064
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)86,27814.48%000
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)16,9902.85%000
Chris Christie (withdrawn)9,7581.64%000
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)3,1140.52%000
Total:595,696100.00%64064

General election

Candidates

On August 23, 2024, the Illinois State Board of Elections met in Chicago and Springfield to certify the following list of candidates to appear on the general election ballot:

The board also issued rulings to the nomination papers of third party and independent candidates, including placeholder candidates for the Libertarian and Green Party tickets, as well as for Kennedy and Shanahan. Both the Libertarian and Green tickets were removed from the ballot, lacking the minimum required number of 25,000 valid signatures, while Kennedy remained. [5]

Campaign

Convention

Harris delivering her acceptance speech on the final day of the Democratic National Convention. Kamala Harris on stage at the Democratic National Convention Thursday Aug. 22, 2024 in Chicago (53942661345).jpg
Harris delivering her acceptance speech on the final day of the Democratic National Convention.

The 2024 Democratic National Convention was held from August 19 to 22, 2024, at the United Center in Chicago. [6] It was the first instance of a major party's presidential nominating convention held in Illinois since 1996. [7] Here, party delegates voted on their platform for the election and formally nominated vice president Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee, with Minnesota governor Tim Walz as her running mate.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [8] Solid DDecember 19, 2023
Inside Elections [9] Solid DApril 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Safe DJune 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [11] Safe DJune 13, 2024
CNalysis [12] Solid DDecember 30, 2023
CNN [13] Solid DJanuary 14, 2024
The Economist [14] Likely DAugust 23, 2024
538 [15] Solid DOctober 2, 2024
RCP [16] Likely DJune 26, 2024
NBC News [17] Safe DOctober 6, 2024

Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
ActiVote [18] October 4–28, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%58%42%–
ActiVote [19] September 3 – October 5, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%59%41%–
ActiVote [20] August 6–29, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%58%42%–
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [21] [A] April 13–21, 2024643 (LV)–53%40%7%
Emerson College [22] October 1–4, 2023468 (RV)± 4.5%43%34%23%
Cor Strategies [23] August 24–27, 2023811 (RV)–55%35%10%
Emerson College [24] [B] October 20–24, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%37%14%
Public Policy Polling (D) [25] [C] October 10–11, 2022770 (LV)± 3.5%51%42%7%
Emerson College [26] September 21–23, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%51%38%11%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [21] [A] April 13–21, 2024643 (LV)–46%43%11%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [21] [A] April 13–21, 2024643 (LV)–48%37%15%

J. B. Pritzker vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		J. B.
Pritzker
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [25] October 10–11, 2022770 (LV)± 3.5%51%42%7%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Cor Strategies [23] August 24–27, 2023811 (RV)–53%35%12%

Results

Illinois Presidential County Swings 2024.svg
2024 United States presidential election in Illinois [27]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic
3,062,863 54.37% Decrease2.svg 3.17%
Republican
2,449,07943.47%Increase2.svg 2.92%
Independent
80,5261.43%N/A
Green
(Write-in)
31,0230.55%Increase2.svg0.04%
Libertarian
(Write-in)
3,5100.06%Decrease2.svg1.04%
Socialism and Liberation
(Write-in)
2,8770.05%Decrease2.svg0.07%
American Solidarity
(Write-in)
1,3910.03%Decrease2.svg0.13%
Total write-ins,
including above		Various40,9420.73%Increase2.svg 0.06%
Total votes5,633,310 100.00% N/A

By county

CountyKamala Harris
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Various candidates
Other parties		MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Adams 8,11125.53%23,16172.91%4941.56%−15,050−47.38%31,766
Alexander 90439.72%1,34158.92%311.36%−437−19.20%2,276
Bond 2,11726.49%5,69271.23%1822.28%−3,575−44.74%7,991
Boone 10,15941.88%13,67356.37%4241.75%−3,514−14.49%24,256
Brown 46719.02%1,93878.94%502.04%−1,471−59.92%2,455
Bureau 5,90036.88%9,78461.15%3151.97%−3,884−24.27%15,999
Calhoun 56020.86%2,05976.71%652.43%−1,499−55.85%2,684
Carroll 2,60033.17%5,08264.84%1561.99%−2,482−31.67%7,838
Cass 1,43827.44%3,71270.83%911.73%−2,274−43.39%5,241
Champaign 54,31460.18%32,96536.52%2,9773.30%21,34923.66%90,256
Christian 4,02625.90%11,27872.55%2411.55%−7,252−46.65%15,545
Clark 1,92723.48%6,13074.70%1491.82%−4,203−51.22%8,206
Clay 1,05415.57%5,61082.88%1051.55%−4,556−67.31%6,769
Clinton 4,44723.03%14,40774.62%4522.35%−9,960−51.59%19,306
Coles 7,49534.85%13,60663.26%4061.89%−6,111−28.41%21,507
Cook 1,447,82169.63%583,85228.08%47,5582.29%863,96941.55%2,079,231
Crawford 2,04822.92%6,72775.29%1601.79%−4,679−52.37%8,935
Cumberland 1,05918.36%4,62780.20%831.44%−3,568−61.84%5,769
DeKalb 23,64849.71%22,71647.75%1,2062.54%9321.96%47,570
DeWitt 2,05826.53%5,52971.27%1712.20%−3,471−44.74%7,758
Douglas 2,19826.02%6,07671.92%1742.06%−3,878−45.90%8,448
DuPage 251,16454.97%191,24341.86%14,4753.17%59,92113.11%456,882
Edgar 1,81622.95%5,95575.27%1411.78%−4,139−52.32%7,912
Edwards 45713.89%2,79484.95%381.16%−2,337−71.06%3,289
Effingham 3,61718.88%15,12478.96%4131.80%−11,507−60.08%19,154
Fayette 1,63216.95%7,84781.52%1471.53%−6,215−64.57%9,626
Ford 1,64325.07%4,77872.91%1322.02%−3,135−47.84%6,553
Franklin 4,25724.00%13,20074.41%2821.59%−8,943−50.41%17,739
Fulton 6,98037.04%9,82760.87%3372.09%−3,847−23.83%16,144
Gallatin 56122.17%1,92376.01%461.82%−1,362−53.84%2,530
Greene 1,22020.15%4,71977.92%1171.93%−3,499−57.77%6,056
Grundy 9,14334.28%16,99763.74%5281.98%−7,854−29.46%26,668
Hamilton 73917.62%3,38580.71%701.67%−2,646−63.09%4,194
Hancock 2,18324.08%6,70874.01%1731.91%−4,525−49.93%9,064
Hardin 35718.54%1,54680.27%231.19%−1,189−61.73%1,926
Henderson 1,02629.62%2,36968.39%691.99%−1,343−38.77%3,464
Henry 9,22636.64%15,35960.99%5962.37%−6,133−24.35%25,181
Iroquois 2,74720.62%10,37677.87%2011.51%−7,629−57.25%13,324
Jackson 11,39450.72%10,61447.25%4572.03%7803.47%22,465
Jasper 91216.81%4,44982.01%641.18%−3,537−65.20%5,425
Jefferson 4,24025.38%12,18972.97%2751.65%−7,949−47.59%16,704
Jersey 2,81623.98%8,68473.95%2432.07%−5,868−49.97%11,743
Jo Daviess 5,05140.50%7,13657.22%2852.28%−2,085−16.72%12,472
Johnson 1,24120.33%4,79878.62%641.05%−3,557−58.29%6,103
Kane 120,07753.45%99,26044.18%5,3232.37%20,8179.27%224,660
Kankakee 18,39938.50%28,28559.19%1,1012.31%−9,886−20.69%47,785
Kendall 32,97749.55%31,97048.04%1,6022.41%1,0071.51%66,549
Knox 9,83844.13%11,91753.45%5402.42%-2,079−9.32%22,295
Lake 184,64259.39%120,40238.73%5,8691.88%64,24020.66%310,913
LaSalle 21,02940.05%30,71758.50%7621.45%−9,688−18.45%52,508
Lawrence 1,28320.94%4,71576.97%1282.09%−3,432−56.03%6,126
Lee 6,10537.89%9,68060.08%3282.03%−3,575−22.19%16,113
Livingston 4,31126.05%11,97072.33%2681.62%−7,659−46.28%16,549
Logan 3,54328.20%8,75769.70%2642.10%−5,214−41.50%12,564
Macon 18,00939.72%26,56258.58%7701.70%−8,553−18.86%45,341
Macoupin 6,89229.42%16,06568.58%4682.00%−9,173−39.16%23,425
Madison 56,34142.18%73,92555.34%3,3172.48%−17,584−13.16%133,583
Marion 4,11624.50%12,40973.85%2781.65%−8,293−49.35%16,803
Marshall 1,91331.09%4,11966.93%1221.98%−2,206−35.84%6,154
Mason 1,77327.82%4,46470.03%1372.15%−2,691−42.21%6,374
Massac 1,68325.21%4,93973.98%540.81%−3,256−48.77%6,676
McDonough 4,73639.56%6,98758.36%2492.08%−2,251−18.80%11,972
McHenry 75,37046.22%83,93351.47%3,7792.31%−8,563−5.25%163,082
McLean 44,49551.08%40,29046.25%2,3302.67%4,2054.83%87,115
Menard 1,83428.41%4,49969.69%1231.90%−2,665−41.28%6,456
Mercer 2,95035.23%5,21562.28%2082.49%−2,265−27.05%8,373
Monroe 6,47330.80%14,05566.88%4862.32%−7,582−36.08%21,014
Montgomery 3,57327.06%9,37871.03%2521.91%−5,805−43.97%13,203
Morgan 4,84833.03%9,60765.46%2221.51%−4,759−32.43%14,677
Moultrie 1,61524.74%4,81673.77%971.49%−3,201−49.03%6,528
Ogle 8,88334.43%16,45063.76%4661.81%−7,567−29.33%25,799
Peoria 40,56451.26%36,89646.62%1,6782.12%3,6684.64%79,138
Perry 2,14623.21%6,94975.14%1531.65%−4,803−51.93%9,248
Piatt 3,20433.70%6,10464.20%2002.10%−2,900−30.50%9,508
Pike 1,30217.30%6,08680.88%1371.82%−4,784−63.58%7,525
Pope 41619.50%1,69879.61%190.89%−1,282−60.11%2,133
Pulaski 76932.23%1,58366.35%341.42%−814−34.12%2,386
Putnam 1,25437.61%2,01460.41%661.98%−760−22.80%3,334
Randolph 3,46124.08%10,62473.92%2882.00%−7,163−49.84%14,373
Richland 1,74722.53%5,88975.94%1191.53%−4,142−53.41%7,755
Rock Island 34,12653.59%28,06144.07%1,4922.34%6,0659.52%63,679
Saline 2,63424.84%7,83073.83%1411.33%−5,196−48.99%10,605
Sangamon 46,07446.46%50,97951.41%2,1182.13%−4,905−4.95%99,171
Schuyler 96125.57%2,72072.36%782.07%−1,759−46.79%3,759
Scott 48818.86%2,07180.05%281.09%−1,583−61.19%2,587
Shelby 2,24019.19%9,26779.41%1631.40%−7,027−60.22%11,670
St. Clair 63,43352.61%54,02144.80%3,1182.59%9,4127.81%120,572
Stark 72526.22%1,98371.72%572.06%−1,258−45.50%2,765
Stephenson 8,27839.43%12,34758.81%3701.76%−4,069−19.38%20,995
Tazewell 24,32535.76%42,45162.40%1,2511.84%−18,126−26.64%68,027
Union 2,28527.64%5,83770.60%1461.76%−3,552−42.96%8,268
Vermilion 9,25431.32%19,77766.94%5141.74%−10,523−35.62%29,545
Wabash 1,20022.32%4,09576.16%821.52%−2,895−53.84%5,377
Warren 2,71136.40%4,57961.49%1572.11%−1,868−25.09%7,447
Washington 1,56420.59%5,89277.56%1411.85%−4,328−56.97%7,597
Wayne 1,15513.93%7,01984.66%1171.41%−5,864−70.73%8,291
White 1,39019.67%5,58679.04%911.29%−4,196−59.37%7,067
Whiteside 11,01241.64%14,89856.33%5372.03%−3,886−14.69%26,447
Will 162,87449.72%157,67248.13%7,0582.15%5,2021.59%327,604
Williamson 9,89029.81%22,68668.38%5981.81%−12,796−38.57%33,174
Winnebago 59,94249.13%59,25748.56%2,8192.31%6850.57%122,018
Woodford 5,95828.03%14,83769.79%4632.18%−8,879−41.76%21,258
Totals3,062,86354.30%2,449,07943.42%128,4422.28%613,78410.88%5,640,384

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ The state party only nominated Joe Biden as a candidate, cancelling the primary.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  2. ↑ Poll sponsored by WGN-TV
  3. ↑ Poll sponsored by WBEZ & The Chicago Sun-Times

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The 2024 United States presidential election in Texas was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Texas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Texas had 40 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained two seats.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Utah</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Utah took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Utah voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Utah has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Washington (state)</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Washington took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Washington voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Washington has 12 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Wisconsin voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Wisconsin has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

References

  1. ↑ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
  2. ↑ Qin, Amy; Chicago Sun Times. "Trump's inroads in Chicago driven by staggering dropoff in votes for Democrats".
  3. ↑ "Illinois Presidential Primary". AP News. June 14, 2024. Retrieved July 30, 2024.
  4. ↑ "Illinois Presidential Primary". The AP. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
  5. ↑ Keck, Patrick (August 27, 2024). "RFK Jr. remains on Illinois ballot; Green Party, Libertarian candidates removed". The State Journal-Register . Retrieved September 8, 2024.
  6. ↑ Homan, Maya (August 12, 2024). "The 2024 Democratic National Convention kicks off next week. Here's what to expect". USA TODAY (Digital). Retrieved August 12, 2024.
  7. ↑ Elving, Ron (August 12, 2024). "Chicago '68 recalls a Democratic convention and a political moment like no other". NPR (Digital). Retrieved August 12, 2024.
  8. ↑ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  9. ↑ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  10. ↑ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  11. ↑ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved June 14, 2024.
  12. ↑ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  13. ↑ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.
  14. ↑ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist . Retrieved July 19, 2024.
  15. ↑ Morris, G. Elliott (September 18, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 2, 2024.
  16. ↑ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
  17. ↑ "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
  18. ↑ Allis, Victor (October 29, 2024). "Harris's Steady Lead in Illinois". ActiVote.
  19. ↑ Allis, Victor (October 6, 2024). "Harris Extends Lead in Illinois". ActiVote. Retrieved October 6, 2024.
  20. ↑ Allis, Victor (August 29, 2024). "Harris Leads by Double Digits in Illinois". ActiVote. Retrieved August 31, 2024.
  21. 1 2 3 "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
  22. ↑ Mumford, Camille (October 15, 2023). "Illinois 2024 Poll: Biden Holds Nine-Point Lead Over Trump". Emerson Polling.
  23. 1 2 "Illinoisans Share Who They Support for President (Republican & Democrat Poll)". YouTube . August 30, 2023. Retrieved September 2, 2023.
  24. ↑ Bradley, Tahman; Muck, Jordan (October 26, 2022). "Poll: Illinois Democrats maintain large leads in race for governor, U.S. Senate, Sec Of State, Comptroller, Treasurer". WGN-TV.
  25. 1 2 McKinney, Dave (October 17, 2022). "Sun-Times/WBEZ Poll: Illinois voters don't want Pritzker or Biden to run for president – but they'd take either over Trump". Chicago Sun-Times.
  26. ↑ Mumford, Camille (September 28, 2022). "Illinois 2022: Democratic Gov. J.B. Pritzker and Sen. Tammy Duckworth in Strong Position in Re-election Bids". Emerson Polling.
  27. ↑ "PRESIDENT AND VICE PRESIDENT". Illinois State Board of Elections. Retrieved December 3, 2024.
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