2024 United States presidential election in Illinois

Last updated

2024 United States presidential election in Illinois
Flag of Illinois.svg
  2020 November 5, 20242028 
  Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg Donald Trump 2023 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Joe Biden
(presumptive)
Donald Trump
(presumptive)
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris
(presumptive)
TBA

Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic



The 2024 United States presidential election in Illinois is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Illinois voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Illinois has 19 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat. [1] This will also be the first election since 1868 in which Illinois will not have 20 or more electoral votes.

Contents

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term. [2]

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The Illinois Democratic primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Florida, [lower-alpha 1] Kansas and Ohio primaries.

Illinois Democratic primary, March 19, 2024
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Joe Biden (incumbent)734,58591.4%147
Marianne Williamson 28,5963.6%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)25,5253.2%
Frankie Lozada (withdrawn)14,3981.8%
Write-in9270.1%
Total:804,031100.00%14727174
Source: [3]

Republican primary

The Illinois Republican primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Florida, and Ohio.

Illinois Republican Primary, March 19, 2024
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 476,21780.6%6464
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)85,27714.4%
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)16,8352.8%
Chris Christie (withdrawn)9,5911.6%
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)3,0610.5%
Total:590,981100.0%6464
Source: [4]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [5] Solid DDecember 19, 2023
Inside Elections [6] Solid DApril 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7] Solid DJune 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [8] Solid DDecember 14, 2023
CNalysis [9] Solid DDecember 30, 2023
CNN [10] Solid DJanuary 14, 2024

Polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023468 (RV)± 4.5%43%34%23%
Cor Stratagies [11] August 24–27, 2023811 (RV)55%35%10%
Emerson College October 20–24, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%37%14%
Public Policy Polling October 10–11, 2022770 (LV)± 3.5%51%42%7%
Emerson College September 21–23, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%51%38%11%
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Cor Stratagies [11] August 24–27, 2023811 (RV)53%35%12%
J. B. Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
J. B.
Pritzker
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling October 10–11, 2022770 (LV)± 3.5%51%42%7%

See also

Notes

  1. The state party only nominated Joe Biden as a candidate, cancelling the primary.
  2. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

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References

  1. Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
  2. Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
  3. "IIllinois Presidential Election Results 2024". NBC News. Retrieved March 31, 2024.
  4. "Illinois Presidential Primary". The AP. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
  5. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  6. "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  7. "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  8. "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  9. "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  10. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.
  11. 1 2 Illinoisans Share Who They Support for President (Republican & Democrat Poll) , retrieved September 2, 2023