2024 United States Senate election in Florida

Last updated

2024 United States Senate election in Florida
Flag of Florida.svg
←  2018 November 5, 2024 2030  →
Turnout78.9% Increase2.svg [1]
  Official Portrait of Senator Rick Scott (cropped).jpg Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, official portrait, 116h Congress (cropped) 2.jpg
Nominee Rick Scott Debbie Mucarsel-Powell
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote5,977,7064,603,077
Percentage55.57%42.79%
2024 United States Senate election in Florida results map by county.svg
2024 United States Senate election in Florida results by congressional district.svg
Scott:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Mucarsel-Powell:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
U.S. senator before election

Rick Scott
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

Rick Scott
Republican

The 2024 United States Senate election in Florida was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Florida. Incumbent Republican Senator Rick Scott won re-election to a second term, defeating Democratic nominee Debbie Mucarsel-Powell. The primary election was held on August 20, 2024. [2]

Contents

Scott, then the governor of Florida, was first elected to the U.S. Senate in 2018 by 0.12 points, defeating then-incumbent Bill Nelson. [3] With the benefit of incumbency and the state's rightward trend, most political pundits considered the race to be favoring Scott to win re-election. On Election Day, Scott won by 12.78 percentage points, a significantly larger margin than most pre-election polls had suggested.

Out of all of Scott’s four statewide races (2010 and 2014 gubernatorial elections, 2018 and 2024 senatorial elections), this election was by far his best performance, and the first one he won decisively, as he narrowly won the latter three all by less than a 2% margin. Scott won majority-Hispanic Miami-Dade County for the first time in all of his statewide races.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Keith Gross

Organizations

Rick Scott

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

  • 19 Republican U.S. representatives from Florida [16]

Governors

Statewide officials

State legislators

Territorial legislators

Local officials

  • 11 state attorneys [18]
  • 59 county sheriffs [21]
  • 115 county commissioners [22]

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
John Columbus (R)$23,174$22,857$317
Keith Gross (R)$2,449,122 [a] $2,440,444$8,679
Rick Scott (R)$29,350,647 [b] $26,466,192$4,345,058
Source: Federal Election Commission [32]

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Scott 70-80% 80-90% 2024 Florida Senate Republican Primary.svg
Results by county:
  Scott
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results [33]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Rick Scott (incumbent) 1,283,904 84.38%
Republican Keith Gross142,3929.36%
Republican John Columbus95,3426.26%
Total votes1,521,638 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Stanley Campbell

State legislators

Local officials

Labor unions

Rod Joseph

Organizations

Debbie Mucarsel-Powell

Federal officials

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Labor unions

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Stanley Campbell (D)$1,081,092 [g] $687,145$394,415
Rod Joseph (D)$28,596$20,855$7,741
Alan Grayson (D) [h] $728,813 [i] $582,703$150,148
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D)$12,133,366$7,802,905$4,330,461
Brian Rush (D)$82,333 [j] $63,529$18,804
Source: Federal Election Commission [32]

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Alan
Grayson		Debbie Mucarsel-
Powell		Undecided
Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research [77] June 8–9, 2024346 (RV)± 3.3%12%43%45%

Results

Results by county: Mucarsel-Powell 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Campbell 30-40% 40-50% 2024 Florida Senate Democratic Primary.svg
Results by county:
  Mucarsel-Powell
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Campbell
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
Democratic primary results [33]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Debbie Mucarsel-Powell 747,397 68.50%
Democratic Stanley Campbell213,77719.59%
Democratic Brian Rush 73,0136.69%
Democratic Rod Joseph56,9615.22%
Total votes1,091,148 100.0%

Independents and third-party candidates

Candidates

Declared

  • Feena Bonoan (Libertarian), artist and nominee for U.S. Senate in Hawaii in 2022 [5]
  • Ben Everidge (Independent), fundraising consultant and former legislative consultant to U.S. Senators Lawton Chiles and Ben Nelson [5]
  • Howard Knepper (write-in), real estate developer and perennial candidate [5]
  • Tuan Nguyen (Independent), system engineer and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022 [5]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [78] Likely RNovember 9, 2023
Inside Elections [79] Likely RSeptember 26, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [80] Likely RNovember 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [81] Lean RAugust 26, 2024
Elections Daily [82] Likely RMay 4, 2023
CNalysis [83] Likely RSeptember 26, 2024
RealClearPolitics [84] Lean ROctober 15, 2024
Split Ticket [85] Lean ROctober 23, 2024
538 [86] Likely ROctober 23, 2024

Post-primary endorsements

Rick Scott (R)

Individuals

Organizations

Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D)

Federal officials

Statewide officials

State legislators

Local officials

Labor unions

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Rick
Scott (R)		Debbie Mucarsel-
Powell (D)		Undecided
[l] 		Margin
FiveThirtyEight [94] through November 3, 2024November 4, 202449.6%44.9%5.5%Scott +4.7%
RealClearPolitics [95] September 29 – November 1, 2024November 3, 202448.9%44.3%6.8%Scott +4.6%
270toWin [96] October 23 – November 4, 2024November 4, 202449.3%44.5%6.2%Scott +4.8%
TheHill/DDHQ [97] November 3, 2024November 4, 202450.8%45.4%3.8%Scott +5.4%
Average49.7%44.8%5.5%Scott+4.9%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Rick
Scott (R)		Debbie Mucarsel-
Powell (D)		OtherUndecided
Research Co. [98] November 2–3, 2024450 (LV)± 4.6%50%43%3% [m] 4%
Victory Insights (R) [99] November 1–2, 2024400 (LV)–51%47%–2%
Stetson University [100] [101] October 25 – November 1, 2024452 (LV)± 5.0%53%45%2% [n] –
Morning Consult [102] October 23 – November 1, 20242,022 (LV)± 2.0%48%45%–7%
Cygnal (R) [103] October 26–28, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%49%45%3% [o] 3%
Mainstreet Research/FAU [104] October 19–27, 2024897 (LV)± 3.2%50%46%2% [p] 2%
913 (RV)50%46%2% [q] 3%
ActiVote [105] October 17–27, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%55%45%––
St. Pete Polls [106] [A] October 23–25, 20241,227 (LV)± 2.8%49%46%–6%
Emerson College [107] [B] October 18–20, 2024860 (LV)± 3.3%53%47%––
48%44%–8%
Cherry Communications [108] [C] October 10–20, 2024614 (LV)± 4.0%51%45%–4%
ActiVote [109] September 23 – October 20, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%52%48%––
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [110] [D] October 16–18, 20241,275 (LV)± 2.5%45%42%5% [r] 8%
University of North Florida [111] October 7–18, 2024977 (LV)± 3.5%49%46%1% [s] 4%
RMG Research [112] [E] October 14–17, 2024788 (LV)± 3.5%52%44%–3%
YouGov [113] [F] October 7–17, 20241,094 (RV)± 3.46%49%45%–6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [114] [D] October 12–14, 20241,009 (LV)± 2.8%45%42%6% [t] 8%
Marist College [115] October 3–7, 20241,257 (LV)± 3.6%50%48%–1%
1,410 (RV)± 3.4%50%48%–2%
NYT/Siena College [116] September 29 – October 6, 2024622 (LV)± 4.8%49%40%–11%
622 (RV)± 4.6%48%39%–12%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy [117] [G] October 1–4, 2024625 (RV)± 4.0%48%41%2% [u] 9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [118] [D] September 27 – October 2, 20242,946 (LV)± 1.7%44%41%4% [v] 10%
RMG Research [119] [E] September 25–27, 2024774 (LV)± 3.5%50%44%–5%
Public Policy Polling (D) [120] [H] September 25–26, 2024808 (RV)± 3.5%47%44%–9%
44%43%2% [w] 12%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [121] [I] September 23–25, 20241,200 (LV)± 2.8%51%44%–5%
Victory Insights (R) [122] September 22–25, 2024600 (LV)± 4.4%45%44%–12%
The Bullfinch Group [123] [J] September 20–23, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%46%44%–10%
43%42%4%11%
ActiVote [124] August 21 – September 22, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%54%46%––
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [125] [D] September 16–19, 20241,602 (LV)± 2.3%45%41%3% [x] 11%
Morning Consult [102] September 9–18, 20242,948 (LV)± 2.0%46%42%–12%
Morning Consult [126] August 30 – September 8, 20243,182 (LV)± 2.0%47%42%–11%
Emerson College [127] [B] September 3–5, 2024815 (LV)± 3.4%46%45%–9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [128] [D] August 25–28, 2024850 (LV)± 3.1%43%40%4% [y] 14%
Cherry Communications (R) [129] [C] August 15–26, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%51%44%–5%
Public Policy Polling (D) [130] [H] August 21–22, 2024837 (RV)± 3.4%48%45%–7%
837 (RV)± 3.4%46%43%2% [z] 10%
August 20, 2024Primary elections held
Mainstreet Research/FAU [131] August 10–11, 20241,055 (RV)± 3.0%47%43%11% [aa] 7%
1,040 (LV)± 3.0%47%43%3% [ab] 6%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [132] [I] August 6–8, 2024800 (LV)–52%42%–7%
University of North Florida [133] July 24–27, 2024774 (LV)± 4.6%47%43%– [ac] 11%
Targoz Market Research [134] [K] July 19–24, 20241,200 (RV)± 2.77%47%41%–12%
988 (LV)± 2.77%49%43%–8%
Mainstreet Research/FAU [135] June 8–9, 2024883 (A)± 3.3%44%40%6% [ad] 10%
771 (LV)± 3.3%45%43%4% [ae] 8%
The Tyson Group (R) [136] June 6–9, 20241,050 (LV)± 3.0%46%33%–21%
CBS News/YouGov [137] May 10–16, 20241,209 (RV)± 3.9%45%37%–19%
Cherry Communications (R) [138] [C] April 28 – May 7, 2024609 (RV)± 4.0%54%39%–7%
Mainstreet Research/FAU [139] April 15–17, 2024865 (RV)± 3.3%52%35%5% [af] 9%
815 (LV)± 3.3%53%36%4% [ae] 8%
USA Today/Ipsos [140] April 5–7, 20241,014 (A)± 4.1%36%26%5% [ag] 33%
Emerson College [141] April 3–7, 2024608 (LV)± 3.0%45%38%–16%
Public Policy Polling (D) [142] [L] February 29 – March 1, 2024790 (V)± 3.5%44%41%––
Global Strategy Group (D) [143] [M] July 5–10, 20231,000 (LV)± 3.1%43%44%–13%
Hypothetical polling

Rick Scott vs. Phil Ehr

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Rick
Scott (R)		Phil
Ehr (D)		Undecided
Change Research (D) [144] [N] June 27–29, 20231,298 (LV)–45%41%14% [ah]

Results

2024 United States Senate election in Florida [145]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Rick Scott (incumbent) 5,977,706 55.57% +5.52%
Democratic Debbie Mucarsel-Powell 4,603,07742.79%−7.14%
Independent Ben Everidge62,6830.58%N/A
Libertarian Feena Bonoan57,3630.53%N/A
Independent Tuan TQ Nguyen56,5860.53%N/A
Write-in 130.00%-0.01%
Total votes10,757,428 100.00% N/A
Republican hold
Florida counties 2018-2024 senate shift.svg
Florida counties 2018-2024 senate trend.svg

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Scott won 20 of 28 congressional districts. [146]

DistrictScottMucarsel-PowellRepresentative
1st 69%29% Matt Gaetz
2nd 60%38% Neal Dunn
3rd 60%38% Kat Cammack
4th 55%43% Aaron Bean
5th 60%38% John Rutherford
6th 63%35% Michael Waltz
7th 55%43% Cory Mills
8th 59%39% Bill Posey (118th Congress)
Mike Haridopolos (119th Congress)
9th 48%50% Darren Soto
10th 38%60% Maxwell Frost
11th 58%41% Daniel Webster
12th 64%34% Gus Bilirakis
13th 54%44% Anna Paulina Luna
14th 46%53% Kathy Castor
15th 54%44% Laurel Lee
16th 57%42% Vern Buchanan
17th 62%37% Greg Steube
18th 63%35% Scott Franklin
19th 67%32% Byron Donalds
20th 28%70% Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
21st 57%42% Brian Mast
22nd 46%53% Lois Frankel
23rd 47%51% Jared Moskowitz
24th 33%65% Frederica Wilson
25th 45%54% Debbie Wasserman Schultz
26th 68%31% Mario Díaz-Balart
27th 56%42% María Elvira Salazar
28th 61%38% Carlos A. Giménez

Notes

  1. ↑ $2,255,605 of this total was self-funded by Gross
  2. ↑ $12,563,834 of this total was self-funded by Scott
  3. ↑ Candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016 and 2022; candidate for Florida's 9th congressional district in 2018; write-in candidate for Florida's 6th congressional district in 2020; candidate for Florida's 10th congressional district in 2022
  4. ↑ Numbered as the 11th from 2007–2013
  5. ↑ Numbered as the 22nd from 2013–2017 & the 21st from 2017–2023
  6. ↑ Numbered as the 20th from 2005–2013 & the 23rd from 2013–2023
  7. ↑ $1,000,000 of this total was self-funded by Campbell
  8. ↑ Withdrawn candidate. Fundraising numbers as of March 31, 2024.
  9. ↑ $454,105 of this total was self-funded by Grayson
  10. ↑ $12,000 of this total was self-funded by Rush
  11. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  12. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  13. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 3%
  14. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  15. ↑ Bonoan (L) with 2%; Everidge (I) with 1%; Nguyen (I) with 0%
  16. ↑ "Another candidate" with 2%
  17. ↑ "Another candidate" with 2%
  18. ↑ "Won't vote if these are the candidates" with 2%, Bonoan (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  19. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%
  20. ↑ "Won't vote if these are the candidates" with 3%, Bonoan (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  21. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  22. ↑ "Won't vote if these are the candidates" with 2%; Bonoan (L) with 1%; "Other: with 1%
  23. ↑ Bonoan (L) with 2%
  24. ↑ Bonoan (L) with 1%; "Other" with 1%; "Won't vote" with 1%
  25. ↑ Bonoan (L) with 1%; "Other" with 1%; "Won't vote" with 2%
  26. ↑ Bonoan (L) with 2%
  27. ↑ "Another Candidate" with 4%
  28. ↑ "Another Candidate" with 3%
  29. ↑ "Some other candidate" with <1%
  30. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 6%
  31. 1 2 "Some other candidate" with 4%
  32. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 5%
  33. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 5%
  34. ↑ Includes "would not vote" with 3%

Partisan clients

  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by Florida Politics
  2. 1 2 Poll sponsored by The Hill
  3. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Florida Chamber of Commerce
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 Poll sponsored by The Daily Telegraph
  5. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Napolitan News
  6. ↑ Poll sponsored by Rose Institute of State and Local Government
  7. ↑ Poll sponsored by NBC6 & Telemundo 51
  8. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Clean and Prosperous America PAC, which supports Democratic candidates
  9. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Associated Industries of Florida
  10. ↑ Poll sponsored by The Independent Center
  11. ↑ Poll sponsored by the James Madison Institute, a conservative think tank
  12. ↑ Poll sponsored by EMILY's List, which supports Mucarsel-Powell
  13. ↑ Poll sponsored by the DSCC
  14. ↑ Poll sponsored by Ehr's campaign

References

  1. ↑ "November 5, 2024 General Election: Voter Registration and Turnout". Florida Department of State. November 5, 2024.
  2. ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  3. ↑ "Florida | Full Senate results". www.cnn.com. Retrieved April 16, 2023.
  4. ↑ Caputo, Marc (January 26, 2023). "Sen. Rick Scott is running for re-election pushing his controversial 'Rescue' plan". NBC News . Retrieved January 26, 2023.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 "Candidate Tracking System". Florida Department of State Division of Elections. Retrieved April 22, 2024.
  6. ↑ Ogles, Jacob (April 11, 2023). "Keith Gross launches GOP Primary challenge to Rick Scott". Florida Politics.
  7. ↑ Dorn, Sara (August 28, 2023). "DeSantis Team Denies Trump's Rumor He'll Drop Out Of Presidential Race To Run For Senate". Forbes . Retrieved September 2, 2023.
  8. ↑ Greenwood, Max (December 14, 2022). "Rick Scott faces uncertain future after bruising midterm year". One GOP operative suggested Rep. Byron Donalds, a first-term congressman from southwest Florida, as a possible rival [to Scott].
  9. 1 2 3 Frisk, Garrett (July 21, 2023). "We Asked Every Member of the House if They're Running in 2024. Here's What They Said". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved July 21, 2023.
  10. ↑ "Sixty Days for 3.14.23 — A prime-time look at the 2023 Legislative Regular Session". U.S. Rep. Matt Gaetz, declining to challenge U.S. Rick Scott in 2024.
  11. ↑ "Republican Liberty Caucus Makes Endorsement in Florida U.S. Senate Primary". West Orlando News. April 13, 2024. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
  12. ↑ "Endorsed Candidates". boltonpac.com. Retrieved April 27, 2024.
  13. ↑ Daugherty, Eric (October 13, 2023). "Rick Scott endorsed by Mike Pompeo for reelection". Florida's Voice. Archived from the original on October 13, 2023. Retrieved October 13, 2023.
  14. ↑ Gancarski, A.G. (December 5, 2023). "Donald Trump endorses Rick Scott for re-election". Florida Politics. Retrieved December 6, 2023.
  15. 1 2 "RJC PAC Endorses Champions of the Jewish Community, Senators Ted Cruz and Rick Scott, for Re-Election". Republican Jewish Coalition. July 12, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
  16. 1 2 Ogles, Jacob (March 6, 2024). "Republicans in Florida congressional delegation back Rick Scott for re-election". Florida Politics. Retrieved March 9, 2024.
  17. 1 2 3 Gancarski, A.G. (April 27, 2024). "Rick Scott touts Puerto Rican leaders' support for re-election bid". Florida Politics.
  18. 1 2 3 Scheckner, Jesse (April 8, 2024). "'A stalwart defender of law enforcement': Rick Scott nabs endorsements from Ashley Moody, Pam Bondi, 11 State Attorneys". Florida Politics.
  19. ↑ DeLisa, Caden (February 26, 2024). "Wilton Simpson endorses Rick Scott for reelection". The Capitolist. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
  20. ↑ Ogles, Jacob (January 30, 2024). "In effort to stamp out Primary challenge, Rick Scott nabs support from 80 Florida lawmakers". Florida Politics.
  21. ↑ Wilson, Drew (July 24, 2023). "Rick Scott earns endorsements from 59 Florida Sheriffs for 2024 re-election bid". Florida Politics.
  22. ↑ Gancarski, A.G. (June 27, 2024). "In latest show of strength, Rick Scott endorsed by 115 County Commissioners". Florida Politics . Retrieved June 28, 2024.
  23. ↑ Ogles, Jacob (June 26, 2023). "Senior citizen group endorses Rick Scott's re-election". Florida Politics.
  24. ↑ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  25. ↑ Ogles, Jacob (September 15, 2023). "Florida builders, contractors endorse Rick Scott's re-election bid". Florida Politics.
  26. ↑ "Club for Growth endorses Scott and dings McConnell".
  27. ↑ McCool, Jim (January 20, 2024). "Florida Realtors Endorse Rick Scott's 2024 Campaign". The Floridian Press. Retrieved January 21, 2024.
  28. ↑ Cooper, Amber (September 18, 2023). "Florida Police Chiefs Association endorses Rick Scott's 2024 reelection bid". Florida's Voice. Retrieved September 19, 2023.
  29. ↑ Daugherty, Eric (March 25, 2024). "Rick Scott gains endorsement from local builders in reelection bid". Florida's Voice. Retrieved May 15, 2024.
  30. ↑ "Florida's Small Business Community Endorses U.S. Sen. Rick Scott for Re-Election". NFIB. May 13, 2024. Retrieved May 14, 2024.
  31. ↑ "Senate Conservatives Fund". www.senateconservatives.com. Retrieved September 2, 2023.
  32. 1 2 "2024 Election United States Senate - Florida". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved October 16, 2023.
  33. 1 2 "August 20, 2024 Primary Election - Official Results". Florida Department of State.
  34. ↑ "Former US Rep. Debbie Murcasel-Powell to challenge Rick Scott for Senate seat - CBS Miami". www.cbsnews.com. August 22, 2023. Retrieved August 22, 2023.
  35. ↑ Fontenay, Blake (November 10, 2023). "Brother of 2 Live Crew rapper Luther Campbell challenges Rick Scott for U.S. Senate seat". Treasure Coast Newspapers . Retrieved November 13, 2023.
  36. ↑ Derby, Kevin (February 23, 2023). "Rick Scott Plans to Hit Every County in Florida During Reelection Campaign". Florida Daily. Retrieved June 13, 2023.
  37. ↑ Perry, Mitch (November 20, 2023). "New group of Dem state lawmakers announce support for Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for U.S. Senate". Florida Phoenix . Retrieved March 5, 2024.
  38. ↑ Fineout, Gary (October 18, 2023). "Challenger to Rick Scott drops out of Florida Senate race". POLITICO. Retrieved October 18, 2023.
  39. ↑ Ogles, Jacob (June 11, 2024). "Alan Grayson withdraws from U.S. Senate race, files in SD 25". Florida Politics . Retrieved June 11, 2024.
  40. 1 2 3 "Can Florida Democrats Find Anyone (at All) to Run for Senate?". March 27, 2023.
  41. ↑ Dixon, Matt (August 21, 2023). "Top Florida Democrat passes on challenging Sen. Rick Scott in 2024". NBC News. Florida House Minority Leader Fentrice Driskell is not running against Republican Sen. Rick Scott, a move she says is due to unfinished business in the state legislature.
  42. 1 2 Covey, Erin (April 4, 2023). "Florida Senate: A Cloudy Forecast for Democrats" . Retrieved April 4, 2023.
  43. ↑ Ogles, Jacob (September 6, 2023). "Anna Eskamani kicks off re-election campaign". Florida Politics. Retrieved September 6, 2023.
  44. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Ogles, Jacob (September 21, 2023). "4 Florida members of Congress endorse Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for Senate". Florida Politics. Retrieved September 21, 2023.
  45. ↑ Dixon, Matt; Allen, Jonathan (May 8, 2023). "Democratic donors hope to recruit NBA legends Grant Hill and Dwyane Wade to run for Senate in Florida". NBC News . Retrieved May 8, 2023.
  46. 1 2 3 Ogles, Jacob (October 19, 2023). "10 sitting, former state lawmakers back Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for Senate". Florida Politics. Retrieved January 21, 2024.
  47. 1 2 3 Gancarski, A.G. (April 13, 2024). "Stanley Campbell trumpets endorsements for underdog Senate campaign". Florida Politics. Retrieved April 14, 2024.
  48. ↑ Caputo, Liv (June 24, 2024). "Democratic Senate Candidate Stanley Campbell Scores Florida AFL-CIO Endorsement". The Floridian. Retrieved June 24, 2024.
  49. ↑ "2024 Candidates for Common Good". Vote Common Good. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
  50. ↑ Ogles, Jacob (April 23, 2024). "Joe Biden backs Debbie Mucarsel-Powell during Tampa visit". Florida Politics.
  51. ↑ Ogles, Jacob (January 13, 2024). "Val Demings backs Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for Senate". Florida Politics. Retrieved January 15, 2024.
  52. 1 2 "GIFFORDS Endorses Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for US Senate". Giffords. August 23, 2023. Retrieved August 23, 2023.
  53. ↑ Gancarski, A.G. (August 16, 2024). "Hakeem Jeffries backs former colleague Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in Senate race". Florida Politics . Retrieved August 16, 2024.
  54. ↑ Gancarski, A.G. (July 22, 2024). "Al Lawson backs Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for Senate". Florida Politics . Retrieved September 2, 2024.
  55. 1 2 Scheckner, Jesse (November 20, 2023). "Debbie Mucarsel-Powell adds 13 state lawmaker endorsements to U.S. Senate campaign". Florida Politics. Retrieved February 17, 2024.
  56. ↑ Scheckner, Jesse (February 16, 2024). "6 state lawmakers back Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for U.S. Senate". Florida Politics. Retrieved February 17, 2024.
  57. ↑ Ogles, Jacob (June 17, 2024). "Debbie Mucarsel-Powell announces endorsements from Black leaders across Florida". Florida Politics . Retrieved June 19, 2024.
  58. ↑ Ogles, Jacob (August 3, 2024). "Debbie Mucarsel-Powell lands more union support with AFSCME nod". Florida Politics . Retrieved August 4, 2024.
  59. ↑ "SEIU Florida Announces 2024 Early Endorsements, Debbie Mucarsel-Powell Leads Pro-Worker Slate". SEIU Florida. May 16, 2024. Retrieved May 22, 2024.
  60. ↑ "Brady PAC Endorses Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for U.S. Senate". Brady PAC. November 14, 2023. Archived from the original on November 15, 2023. Retrieved November 15, 2023.
  61. ↑ "CHC BOLD PAC Endorses Endorses Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in the Florida U.S. Senate Race". BOLD PAC. August 28, 2023. Retrieved August 29, 2023.
  62. ↑ "Senate Candidates". Council for a Livable World. Retrieved June 13, 2024.
  63. ↑ "Elect Debbie Mucarsel-Powell and expand our Democratic Senate majority!". ActBlue . August 22, 2023. Retrieved October 1, 2023.
  64. ↑ Wang, Danni (May 11, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for Election to the United States Senate". EMILYs List. Retrieved September 7, 2023.
  65. ↑ "End Citizens United // Let America Votes Endorses Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for U.S. Senate". End Citizens United | We the People, Not "We the Wealthy". January 18, 2024. Retrieved January 19, 2024.
  66. ↑ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  67. ↑ "Human Rights Campaign PAC Endorses Former Congresswoman Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for Senate". Human Rights Campaign. February 21, 2024. Retrieved February 21, 2024.
  68. ↑ "Jewish Dems Endorse in Key House and Senate Races, Pledge Resources to Mobilize Jewish Voters". Jewish Democratic Council of America. March 28, 2023.
  69. ↑ "Latino Victory Fund Endorses Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for United States Senate". Latino Victory. March 6, 2024. Retrieved March 6, 2024.
  70. ↑ "LCV Action Fund Endorses Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for Senate". League of Conservation Voters. Archived from the original on September 28, 2023. Retrieved September 28, 2023.
  71. ↑ Ogles, Jacob (November 21, 2023). "Social Security-focused PAC backs Debbie Mucarsel-Powell". Florida Politics. Retrieved November 27, 2023.
  72. ↑ "Meet Our 2024 Candidates". Peace Action. Retrieved February 8, 2024.
  73. ↑ McGill Johnson, Alexis. "ENDORSEMENT: Planned Parenthood Action Fund Backs Alsobrooks, Mucarsel-Powell for Senate". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved May 21, 2024.
  74. ↑ "Candidates". PODER PAC. Retrieved December 4, 2023.
  75. ↑ "Reproductive Freedom for All Endorses Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for the U.S. Senate". Reproductive Freedom for All. February 8, 2024. Retrieved February 8, 2024.
  76. ↑ "Vote Mama PAC | Candidates". Vote Mama PAC. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
  77. ↑ Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research
  78. ↑ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  79. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  80. ↑ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  81. ↑ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  82. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  83. ↑ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  84. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  85. ↑ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  86. ↑ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on November 1, 2024. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  87. ↑ Gancarski, A.G. (October 12, 2024). "Vivek Ramaswamy to rally Republicans for Rick Scott". Florida Politics . Retrieved October 17, 2024.
  88. ↑ Gancarski, A.G. (September 19, 2024). "Badge of honor: Rick Scott picks up police union backing". Florida Politics . Retrieved September 20, 2024.
  89. ↑ Gancarski, A.G. (October 4, 2024). "Barack Obama backs Debbie Mucarsel-Powell's U.S. Senate bid". Florida Politics . Retrieved October 4, 2024.
  90. 1 2 3 4 5 Rohrer, Gray (August 29, 2024). "Debbie Mucarsel-Powell releases Democratic endorsements in U.S. Senate race". Tallahassee Democrat . Retrieved September 2, 2024.
  91. ↑ "Fight Like Hell PAC". Fight Like Hell PAC. Retrieved September 30, 2024.
  92. 1 2 Gancarski, A.G. (September 13, 2024). "Democratic Mayors back Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for Senate". Florida Politics . Retrieved September 13, 2024.
  93. ↑ Gancarski, A.G. (September 18, 2024). "AFL-CIO sides with Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in Senate race". Florida Politics . Retrieved September 18, 2024.
  94. ↑ FiveThirtyEight
  95. ↑ RealClearPolitics
  96. ↑ 270toWin
  97. ↑ TheHill/DDHQ
  98. ↑ Research Co.
  99. ↑ Victory Insights (R)
  100. ↑ Stetson University
  101. ↑ "November Poll Crosstabs" (PDF). Stetson University . Retrieved November 2, 2024.
  102. 1 2 Morning Consult
  103. ↑ Cygnal (R)
  104. ↑ Mainstreet Research/FAU
  105. ↑ ActiVote
  106. ↑ St. Pete Polls
  107. ↑ Emerson College
  108. ↑ Cherry Communications
  109. ↑ ActiVote
  110. ↑ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
  111. ↑ University of North Florida
  112. ↑ RMG Research
  113. ↑ YouGov
  114. ↑ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
  115. ↑ Marist College
  116. ↑ NYT/Siena College
  117. ↑ Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
  118. ↑ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
  119. ↑ RMG Research
  120. ↑ Public Policy Polling (D)
  121. ↑ McLaughlin & Associates (R)
  122. ↑ Victory Insights (R)
  123. ↑ The Bullfinch Group
  124. ↑ ActiVote
  125. ↑ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
  126. ↑ Morning Consult
  127. ↑ Emerson College
  128. ↑ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
  129. ↑ Cherry Communications (R)
  130. ↑ Public Policy Polling (D)
  131. ↑ Mainstreet Research/FAU
  132. ↑ McLaughlin & Associates (R)
  133. ↑ University of North Florida
  134. ↑ Targoz Market Research
  135. ↑ Mainstreet Research/FAU
  136. ↑ The Tyson Group (R)
  137. ↑ CBS News/YouGov
  138. ↑ Cherry Communications (R)
  139. ↑ Mainstreet Research/FAU
  140. ↑ USA Today/Ipsos
  141. ↑ Emerson College
  142. ↑ Public Policy Polling (D)
  143. ↑ Global Strategy Group (D)
  144. ↑ Change Research (D)
  145. ↑ https://floridaelectionwatch.gov/FederalOffices/USSenator
  146. ↑ https://x.com/MappingFL/status/1859058014591873498

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