2024 United States Senate election in Arizona

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2024 United States Senate election in Arizona
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  Ruben Gallego official portrait (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Ruben Gallego
(presumptive)		TBD
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. senator

Kyrsten Sinema
Independent



The 2024 United States Senate election in Arizona will be held on November 5, 2024. Primary elections will take place on July 30, 2024. [1]

Contents

Incumbent first-term independent Senator Kyrsten Sinema was first elected as a Democrat in 2018 with roughly 50% of the vote, succeeding retiring Republican Senator Jeff Flake. Sinema left the Democratic Party in December 2022 and filed paperwork to run for reelection as an independent in April 2023. [2] However, in March 2024, Sinema announced that she would not run for a second term. [3] U.S. Representative Ruben Gallego is seeking the Democratic nomination, while Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb and 2022 Republican gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake are running for the Republican nomination.

Background

The race is considered to be a tossup given the state's nearly even partisan lean; however, most polls show Gallego to be the favorite to win. [4] [5] Arizona was once considered a Republican stronghold, but has become a swing state. [6] [7] Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump won Arizona by 3.5% in 2016, [8] while Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden prevailed by 0.3% in 2020. [9]

Independents

Candidates

Declined

Endorsements

Kyrsten Sinema (declined to run)
U.S. senators
Individuals
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Kyrsten Sinema$16,929,393$6,505,247$10,595,668
Source: Federal Election Commission [13]

Democratic primary

Prior to her departure from the Democratic Party, Sinema was considered highly vulnerable to a primary challenge due to her opposition to several parts of the Democratic Party's legislative agenda. Prospective polling showed Sinema trailing all of her potential challengers by wide margins, with U.S. Representative Ruben Gallego being viewed by numerous political analysts as the frontrunner to challenge her. [14] On January 22, 2022, the Arizona Democratic Party voted overwhelmingly to censure Sinema for a second time for voting against a carve-out to the Senate filibuster rule in a Democratic-led effort to pass the John Lewis Voting Rights Act. [15] Sinema did not support the Inflation Reduction Act until after Democratic leaders agreed to remove a provision closing the so-called carried interest tax loophole, the closure of which would have raised taxes on hedge fund owners and investment managers. [16] This action renewed calls from Democrats for Sinema to face a primary opponent in her next election. [17]

Sinema left the Democratic Party in December 2022 and registered as an independent. [2]

Candidates

Presumptive nominee

Declined

Endorsements

Ruben Gallego
Federal officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Political parties
Labor unions
Organizations
Tribes

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Ruben Gallego$20,818,369$12,446,226$9,648,718
Source: Federal Election Commission [13]

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Ruben Gallego vs. Alexander Keller
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Ruben
Gallego		Alexander
Keller		OtherUndecided
Emerson College August 2–4, 2023571 (LV)–48%6%6% [lower-alpha 2] 40%
Ruben Gallego vs. Kate Gallego vs. Kathy Hoffman vs. Regina Romero vs. Kyrsten Sinema vs. Greg Stanton
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Kate
Gallego		Ruben
Gallego		Kathy
Hoffman		Regina
Romero		Kyrsten
Sinema		Greg
Stanton		Undecided
Data for Progress (D) January 21–24, 2022673 (LV)± 4.0%–74%––16%–10%
–66%––17%–17%
OH Predictive Insights November 1–8, 2021229 (RV)± 6.5%–47%––24%–29%
––44%–24%–32%
––––25%47%28%
Data for Progress (D) [upper-alpha 1] October 8–10, 2021467 (LV)± 5.0%9%23%–9%19%13%26%
60%–––25%–15%
–62%––23%–15%
–––55%26%–19%
––––24%59%17%

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ruben Gallego
Total votes

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Kari Lake
U.S. presidents
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State senators
Organizations
Individuals
Mark Lamb
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Kari Lake$5,704,973$3,185,568$2,519,405
Mark Lamb$1,589,090$1,335,475$253,615
Source: Federal Election Commission [13]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Kari
Lake		Mark
Lamb		George
Nicholson		Brian
Wright		OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports (R) [upper-alpha 2] February 21–26, 2024469 (LV)± 3.0%55%26%––7%12%
Noble Predictive Insights February 6–13, 2024384 (RV)± 5.0%54%21%2%6%1%17%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Abe
Hamadeh		Kari
Lake		Mark
Lamb		Jim
Lamon		Blake
Masters		Karrin Taylor
Robson		Brian
Wright		OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive Insights October 25–31, 20231,010 (RV)± 3.1%–40%14%–10%–4%–33%
Emerson College August 2–4, 2023667 (LV)± 3.7%–42%11%2%7%–2%–28%
J.L. Partners April 10–12, 2023550 (LV)± 4.2%4%38%8%3%7%10%–2%29%

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Kari Lake
Republican Mark Lamb
Republican Elizabeth Jean Reye
Total votes

Green primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Arturo Hernandez [64]
  • Michael Norton, attorney [64]

Results

Green primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Green Arturo Hernandez
Green Michael Norton
Total votes

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [5] TossupNovember 9, 2023
Inside Elections [4] TossupNovember 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [99] Lean D (flip)April 17, 2024
Elections Daily [100] TossupMay 4, 2023
CNalysis [101] TossupNovember 21, 2023

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Ruben
Gallego (D)		Kari
Lake (R)		Undecided
RABA Research April 9, 2024503 (RV)± 4.4%36%28%36% [lower-alpha 3]
Emerson College March 12–15, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%44%40%16%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [upper-alpha 2] February 21–26, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.0%42%45%13%
Emerson College [upper-alpha 3] February 16–19, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%46%39%15%
Noble Predictive Insights February 6–13, 20241,002 (RV)± 3.1%47%37%16%
J.L. Partners (R) [upper-alpha 4] January 29 – February 1, 2024500 (RV)–44%46%10%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 5] January 5–6, 2024590 (V)± 4.0%45%46%9%
Cygnal (R) October 24–25, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%46%43%11%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 6] October 24, 2023–± 4.4%49%44%7%
National Research Inc. (R) October 8–9, 2023400 (LV)± 4.9%44%44%12%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 7] October 6–7, 2023522 (V)± 4.3%48%43%9%
Noble Predictive Insights July 13–17, 20231000 (RV)± 3.1%45%35%20%
OH Predictive Insights January 31 – February 9, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.1%43%33%24%
Normington Petts (D) [upper-alpha 8] January 18–23, 2023800 (LV)± 3.5%50%45%5%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 7] December 21, 2022650 (V)± 3.8%48%47%5%
Hypothetical polling
Ruben Gallego (D) vs. Kari Lake (R) vs. Kyrsten Sinema (I)
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Ruben
Gallego (D)		Kari
Lake (R)		Kyrsten
Sinema (I)		OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports (R) [upper-alpha 2] February 21–26, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.0%33%37%21%2% [lower-alpha 4] 7%
Emerson College [upper-alpha 3] February 16–19, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%36%30%21%–13%
Noble Predictive Insights February 6–13, 20241,002 (RV)± 3.1%34%31%23%–12%
J.L. Partners (R) [upper-alpha 4] January 29 – February 1, 2024500 (RV)–39%40%13%–8%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 5] January 5–6, 2024590 (V)± 4.0%36%35%17%–12%
VCreek/AMG (R) [upper-alpha 9] December 1–8, 2023694 (LV)± 3.7%35%41%16%1% [lower-alpha 5] 7%
Tulchin Research (D) [upper-alpha 10] November 13–20, 2023800 (LV)± 3.5%39%34%17%6% [lower-alpha 6] 4%
Noble Predictive Insights October 25–31, 20231,010 (RV)± 3.1%39%33%29%––
Cygnal (R) October 24–25, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%36%37%15%–11%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 6] October 24, 2023–± 4.4%41%37%17%–5%
National Research Inc. (R) October 8–9, 2023400 (LV)± 4.9%33%37%19%–10%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 7] October 6–7, 2023522 (V)± 4.3%41%36%15%–8%
Noble Predictive Insights July 13–17, 20231000 (RV)± 3.1%34%25%26%–15%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 7] April 18–19, 2023559 (V)–42%35%14%–9%
OH Predictive Insights January 31 – February 9, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.1%34%26%19%–21%
Normington Petts (D) [upper-alpha 8] January 18–23, 2023800 (LV)± 3.5%36%36%24%––
Blueprint Polling (D) January 5–8, 2023618 (V)± 3.9%32%36%14%–19%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 7] December 21, 2022678 (V)± 3.8%40%41%13%–6%
Ruben Gallego (D) vs. Kari Lake (R) vs. "An Independent / third-party candidate" (I)
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Ruben
Gallego (D)		Kari
Lake (R)		Generic
independent (I)		Undecided
Bullfinch Group March 29 – April 3, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%41%41%10%8%
Ruben Gallego vs. Doug Ducey (vs. Kyrsten Sinema)
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Ruben
Gallego (D)		Doug
Ducey (R)		Kyrsten
Sinema (I)		Undecided
Arizona Public Opinion Pulse / OH Predictive Insights January 31 – February 9, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.1%38%34%–28%
32%27%17%23%
Normington Petts (D) [upper-alpha 8] January 18–23, 2023800 (LV)± 3.5%37%31%27%5%
Ruben Gallego vs. Blake Masters (vs. Kyrsten Sinema)
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Ruben
Gallego (D)		Blake
Masters (R)		Kyrsten
Sinema (I)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 7] October 6–7, 2023522 (V)± 4.3%41%31%17%11%
Noble Predictive Insights July 13–17, 20231000 (RV)± 3.1%44%36%–20%
32%24%28%16%
Arizona Public Opinion Pulse / OH Predictive Insights January 31 – February 9, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.1%43%32%–26%
33%24%22%21%
Ruben Gallego vs. Karrin Taylor-Robson (vs. Kyrsten Sinema)
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Ruben
Gallego (D)		Karrin
Taylor Robson (R)		Kyrsten
Sinema (I)		Undecided
Arizona Public Opinion Pulse / OH Predictive Insights January 31 – February 9, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.1%36%32%–32%
31%24%21%25%
Ruben Gallego vs. Mark Lamb (vs. Kyrsten Sinema)
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Ruben
Gallego (D)		Mark
Lamb (R)		Kyrsten
Sinema (I)		Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights October 25–31, 20231,010 (RV)± 3.1%36%32%32%0%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 7] October 6–7, 2023522 (V)± 4.3%40%31%16%13%
Emerson College August 2–4, 20231,337 (RV)± 2.6%42%42%–16%
36%29%21%15%
Noble Predictive Insights July 13–17, 20231000 (RV)± 3.1%40%36%–24%
33%25%24%18%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 7] April 18–19, 2023559 (V)–43%33%15%9%
Ruben Gallego vs. Jim Lamon (vs. Kyrsten Sinema)
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Ruben
Gallego (D)		Jim
Lamon (R)		Kyrsten
Sinema (I)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 7] April 18–19, 2023559 (V)–43%27%16%14%
Ruben Gallego vs. Brian Wright (vs. Kyrsten Sinema)
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Ruben
Gallego (D)		Brian
Wright (R)		Kyrsten
Sinema (I)		Undecided
Emerson College August 2–4, 20231,337 (RV)± 2.6%41%38%–21%
37%25%26%12%

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ "Someone else" with 6%"
  3. ↑ "Someone else" with 13%
  4. ↑ Wouldn't vote with 2%
  5. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%
  6. ↑ "Someone else" with 6%
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ This poll was sponsored by Primary Sinema
  2. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Bull Moose Project.
  3. 1 2 Poll sponsored by The Hill.
  4. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Kari Lake's campaign.
  5. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Replace Sinema PAC.
  6. 1 2 Poll sponsored by NRSC.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 This poll was sponsored by Gallego's campaign
  8. 1 2 3 This poll was sponsored by Progress Arizona, LUCHA, and Replace Sinema PAC
  9. ↑ Poll sponsored by Americas PAC, which supports Republican candidates.
  10. ↑ Poll conducted for Stand for Children, a non-profit education advocacy group.

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References

  1. ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  2. 1 2 Collins, Eliza (April 7, 2023). "Kyrsten Sinema Is Preparing for a 2024 Re-Election Campaign". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  3. 1 2 Raju, Manu (March 5, 2024). "Sinema announces she's retiring". CNN. Retrieved March 5, 2024.
  4. 1 2 "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  5. 1 2 "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  6. ↑ "Column: In two decades, much of the West has turned blue. Why hasn't Texas?". Los Angeles Times. December 7, 2023.
  7. ↑ Phillips, Steve (December 1, 2022). "How Did Arizona Turn Purple—and What's Next?" – via www.thenation.com.
  8. ↑ "2016 Presidential General Election Results - Arizona".
  9. ↑ "Arizona certifies President-elect Biden's victory over President Trump". WBAL. November 30, 2020.
  10. ↑ Dovere, Edward-Isaac; Raju, Manu (February 17, 2023). "Key senators torn over retirement decisions as party leaders try to fortify 2024 standing". CNN Politics. CNN . Retrieved October 30, 2023.
  11. ↑ "'Sinema 2024': Meghan McCain blasts Kari Lake". NBC News. February 22, 2024. Retrieved February 25, 2024.
  12. ↑ Rod, Marc (March 16, 2023). "AIPAC rolls out first 2024 endorsements, including vulnerable Senate Democrats". Jewish Insider.
  13. 1 2 3 "2024 Election United States Senate - Arizona". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  14. ↑ Ryan O'Donnell; Gustavo Sanchez; Brian Burton (October 14, 2021). "Poll: Kyrsten Sinema Poised to Lose Democratic Primary in 2024". Data for Progress.
  15. ↑ Treisman, Rachel (January 22, 2022). "Arizona Democrats have censured Kyrsten Sinema over her pro-filibuster vote". NPR.
  16. ↑ Zoë Richards; Frank Thorp V; Sahil Kapur (August 4, 2022). "Sen. Kyrsten Sinema signs off on Democrats' big agenda bill, paving the way for Senate passage". CNBC. Retrieved August 29, 2022.
  17. ↑ Kupar, Sahil (August 2, 2022). "Sinema faces conflicting pressures in Arizona on Democrats' big agenda bill". NBC. Retrieved August 29, 2022.
  18. ↑ Lah, Kate Sullivan,Kyung (January 23, 2023). "Arizona Democrat Ruben Gallego announces Senate bid in challenge to Kyrsten Sinema". CNN. Retrieved January 23, 2023.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  19. ↑ Alexi McCammond; Eugene Scott (January 23, 2023). "Democrat Ruben Gallego challenging Kyrsten Sinema in 2024 Senate race". Axios. Despite speculation, Phoenix Mayor (and Gallego's ex-wife) Kate Gallego told Axios she does not intend to run for the Arizona Senate seat or for Ruben's House seat.
  20. 1 2 Gersony, Laura (December 18, 2023). "Ruben Gallego gets Senate endorsement from his ex-wife, Phoenix Mayor Kate Gallego". The Arizona Republic . Retrieved December 18, 2023.
  21. ↑ "Greg Stanton said he will not run for Arizona's Senate seat in 2024. All eyes are now on Ruben Gallego and Kyrsten Sinema". Politico. January 19, 2023. Retrieved January 20, 2023.
  22. ↑ Frisk, Garrett (July 21, 2023). "We Asked Every Member of the House if They're Running in 2024. Here's What They Said". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved July 21, 2023.
  23. ↑ "Kari Lake Trolls Hillary Clinton For Endorsing "Her Perfect Patsy"". 2paragraphs. Retrieved March 22, 2024.
  24. ↑ Fischer, Howie; Roberts, Laurie; Duda, Jeremy (January 27, 2023). "Journalist's Roundtable: Ruben Gallego runs for Senate". Arizona PBS . Retrieved February 9, 2023.
  25. ↑ Hansen, Ronald J. (March 6, 2024). "Mark Kelly endorses Ruben Gallego for US Senate after Kyrsten Sinema bows out". The Arizona Republic . Retrieved March 6, 2024.
  26. 1 2 3 Hansen, Ronald J. (March 6, 2024). "Kari Lake picks up support from a Senate GOP leader as Democrats get behind Ruben Gallego". The Arizona Republic . Retrieved March 6, 2024.
  27. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Fernández, Caleb J. (November 13, 2023). "Mayor Regina Romero endorses Ruben Gallego for U.S. Senate". KGUN-TV 9. Retrieved November 13, 2023.
  28. 1 2 "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Ruben Gallego for US Senate". Giffords. March 13, 2024. Retrieved March 15, 2024.
  29. ↑ Schnell, Mychael (April 6, 2023). "Rep. Dan Goldman endorses Gallego for Senate". KXAN . Retrieved April 6, 2023.
  30. ↑ Bridget Bowman; Ben Kamisar; Alexandra Marquez (January 26, 2023). "Eyes on 2024: Mitch Daniels weighs life as a senator". Meet the Press Blog. NBC News . Retrieved January 31, 2023.
  31. ↑ Altimari, Daniela; McIntire, Mary Ellen; Ackley, Kate (February 2, 2023). "At the Races: Cash course". CQ Roll Call . Retrieved February 9, 2023.
  32. ↑ McIntire, Mary Ellen; Ackley, Kate; Altimari, Daniela; Lesniewski, Niels (March 2, 2023). "At the Races: Back to the future". Roll Call. Retrieved March 2, 2023.
  33. ↑ Santaliz, Kate (June 27, 2023). "Ex-Speaker Pelosi to headline a fundraiser for Democrat seeking Sen. Sinema's seat". NBC News . Retrieved June 28, 2023.
  34. 1 2 Bernal, Rafael (May 9, 2023). "Hispanic Caucus campaign arm formally endorses Gallego for Senate". KGET-TV 12. Retrieved May 9, 2023.
  35. ↑ Rivera, SuElen (March 11, 2024). "Arizona governor endorses Ruben Gallego for 2024 Senate race". KPNX . Retrieved March 11, 2024.
  36. ↑ Picciuolo, Chris (January 23, 2024). "Salt River Pima-Maricopa Indian Community Endorses Ruben Gallego for U.S. Senate". Tohono Oʼodham Nation Action News. Retrieved February 5, 2024.
  37. ↑ Bender, Michael C. (February 3, 2023). "Kari Lake, Still Refusing to Accept Defeat in One Race, Teases Arizona Senate Run". The New York Times. Retrieved March 2, 2023.
  38. ↑ Kapur, Sahil; Bland, Scott (October 19, 2023). "Arizona Democrats back Ruben Gallego with donation ahead of Sinema Senate race". NBC News . Retrieved February 14, 2024.
  39. ↑ "CWA Arizona State Council Endorses Rep. Ruben Gallego for U.S. Senate". Communications Workers of America. January 30, 2023. Retrieved January 31, 2023.
  40. ↑ "Teamsters Endorse Ruben Gallego in Arizona Senate Race". Yahoo Finance. PR Newswire. January 30, 2023. Retrieved January 31, 2023.
  41. ↑ "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES" . Retrieved November 15, 2023.
  42. ↑ "Arizona - COMPAC Endorsements". United Mine Workers of America. Retrieved April 2, 2024.
  43. ↑ "Brady PAC Endorses Ruben Gallego for U.S. Senate". Brady PAC. March 19, 2024. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
  44. ↑ "We do not endorse mediocre Democrats". Climate Hawks Vote. Retrieved June 21, 2023.
  45. ↑ "Senate Candidates". Council for a Livable World. Retrieved October 4, 2023.
  46. 1 2 Gans, Jared (May 16, 2023). "Liberal group endorsing Gallego after backing Sinema". The Hill . Retrieved May 16, 2023.
  47. ↑ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  48. ↑ https://www.hrc.org/press-releases/human-rights-campaign-pac-endorses-ruben-gallego-for-u-s-senate
  49. ↑ "Indivisible Endorses Ruben Gallego in the Arizona Senate Race". Indivisible. February 14, 2024. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
  50. ↑ "Jewish Dems Endorse in Key House and Senate Races, Pledge Resources to Mobilize Jewish Voters". Jewish Democratic Council of America. March 28, 2023.
  51. ↑ Benavides, Sindy M. (March 14, 2024). "Latino Victory Fund Endorses Ruben Gallego in historic election to the U.S. Senate". Latino Victory. Retrieved March 14, 2024.
  52. ↑ "LCV Action Fund Endorses Ruben Gallego for Senate". League of Conservation Voters. Archived from the original on September 27, 2023. Retrieved September 27, 2023.
  53. ↑ "ENDORSEMENT ALERT: Planned Parenthood Action Fund Backs Candidates in Key Senate Races". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
  54. ↑ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved February 21, 2024.
  55. ↑ "AZ-Sen: "I'm one of the first members of Congress to endorse Ruben Gallego (D). Here's why."". Daily Kos . April 10, 2023. Retrieved April 22, 2023.
  56. ↑ Santaliz, Kate (October 4, 2023). "Rep. Ruben Gallego snags support from abortion-rights group that once backed Kyrsten Sinema". NBC News . Archived from the original on October 4, 2023. Retrieved October 4, 2023.
  57. ↑ "2024 Endorsements | Sierra Club Independent Action". www.sierraclubindependentaction.org.
  58. ↑ "Stonewall Dems of AZ". Stonewall Democrats of Arizona. Retrieved October 17, 2023.
  59. ↑ "Make a high-impact donation—without all the usual drama". Swing Left .
  60. ↑ "VoteVets PAC Endorses Gallego for Arizona Senate". VoteVets . March 27, 2023. Retrieved March 28, 2023.
  61. 1 2 Fischer, Morgan (February 5, 2024). "'Go everywhere and talk to everyone': How Ruben Gallego is reaching out to tribal voters". The Arizona Republic . Retrieved February 5, 2024.
  62. ↑ Cathey, Libby (October 10, 2023). "Kari Lake launches Arizona Senate campaign after narrow gubernatorial loss". ABC News . Retrieved October 11, 2023.
  63. ↑ MacDonald-Evoy, Jerod (April 11, 2023). "Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb enters U.S. Senate race to challenge Kyrsten Sinema". Arizona Mirror. States Newsroom . Retrieved October 16, 2023.
  64. 1 2 3 "Candidate Nominations and Petitions filed". Arizona Secretary of State. March 30, 2024.
  65. ↑ Hansen, Ronald (March 26, 2023). "Which Republicans will run for Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's seat? What we know" . The Arizona Republic. Archived from the original on March 26, 2023. Ciscomani told The Republic recently that he was still learning his way around the U.S. Capitol as a freshman in the House and denied an interest in running for the Senate next year.
  66. ↑ Al Weaver (December 18, 2022). "Why the GOP has Ducey at the top of its Senate candidate wish list". The Hill. Ducey last week told reporters in his home state that he is 'not running for the United States Senate.'
  67. ↑ Manu Raju; Alayna Treene (April 10, 2023). "Senate Republicans confront 2024 primary challenges and Trump's influence". CNN Politics. Abe Hamadeh, formerly the Republican nominee for Arizona attorney general, is also weighing a run.
  68. ↑ "Arizona Rep. Debbie Lesko says she won't seek reelection, Abe Hamadeh to run for her seat". KTVK. October 17, 2023. Retrieved October 17, 2023.
  69. ↑ Collins, Eliza (August 30, 2023). "Blake Masters Plans to Enter Race for Kyrsten Sinema's Senate Seat". The Wall Street Journal . Retrieved August 30, 2023.
  70. ↑ Gersony, Laura (October 26, 2023). "Arizona Republican Blake Masters announces run for Debbie Lesko's 8th District seat". The Arizona Republic . Retrieved October 26, 2023.
  71. ↑ "Republican Karrin Taylor Robson says she won't run for Sinema's Senate seat in Arizona". The Hill . May 25, 2023.
  72. ↑ Otterbein, Holly; Everett, Burgess; Mutnick, Ally (February 1, 2023). "Arizona Republicans fear they may blow it again". Politico. Retrieved February 1, 2023. One candidate who has ruled out a run is Kelli Ward, former chair of the Arizona Republican Party. She told POLITICO she was not looking at another Senate bid
  73. ↑ Swan, Jonathan; Haberman, Maggie; Ulloa, Jazmine (October 10, 2023). "Trump Endorses Kari Lake's Senate Run in Arizona". The New York Times. Retrieved October 11, 2023.
  74. ↑ Mutnick, Ally (October 16, 2023). "Kari Lake locks down a key GOP establishment endorsement". POLITICO. Archived from the original on October 16, 2023. Retrieved October 16, 2023.
  75. 1 2 3 4 5 Thomas, Steff (March 1, 2024). "Lake nabs endorsements from Ernst, Risch, Cornyn in Arizona Senate race". The Hill . Retrieved March 2, 2024.
  76. ↑ Mondeaux, Cami (March 19, 2024). "More than half of GOP senators back Kari Lake as she nabs another endorsement". Washington Examiner . Retrieved March 19, 2024.
  77. ↑ Gillespie, Brandon (December 11, 2023). "Key McConnell ally makes endorsement in crucial swing state race that could flip Senate red". Fox News . Retrieved December 11, 2023.
  78. ↑ Daines, Steve (February 13, 2024). "NRSC Chair Daines Endorses Kari Lake". NRSC. Retrieved February 13, 2024.
  79. ↑ Tonco, Brigham (March 7, 2024). "Sen. Mike Lee endorses Kari Lake for U.S. Senate in Arizona". Deseret News . Retrieved March 7, 2024.
  80. 1 2 Vakil, Caroline (February 12, 2024). "Rand Paul, Gaetz endorse Kari Lake in Arizona Senate race" . Retrieved February 16, 2024.
  81. ↑ Downs, Rebecca (March 1, 2024). "Townhall Has Learned That Senator Risch Has Endorsed Kari Lake for Senate in Arizona". townhall.com. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  82. ↑ Mondeaux, Cami (March 12, 2024). "Kari Lake pulls in more support with Eric Schmitt as latest endorsement - Washington Examiner" . Retrieved March 12, 2024.
  83. ↑ Joseph, Jamie (January 22, 2024). "Sens. Tuberville and Marshall endorse Trump-backed Arizona Republican Kari Lake for Senate". Fox News .
  84. ↑ Vakil, Caroline (February 27, 2024). "Vance endorses Lake in Arizona Senate race". The Hill. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
  85. ↑ Gillespie, Brandon (November 2, 2023). "Kari Lake builds momentum with more big-name backing in race to flip Arizona Senate seat". Fox News. Archived from the original on November 2, 2023. Retrieved November 2, 2023.
  86. ↑ Mondeaux, Cami (January 19, 2024). "Kari Lake nabs another endorsement from House conservative in pivotal Senate race". Washington Examiner. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
  87. ↑ Bates, Suzanne (October 24, 2023). "Rep. Burgess Owens endorses Arizona's Kari Lake for Senate". Deseret News . Retrieved October 24, 2023.
  88. ↑ Hansen, Ronald (November 15, 2023). "Kari Lake picks up support of No. 3 House Republican in sign the GOP is getting behind her". The Arizona Republic . Retrieved November 16, 2023. Stefanik, R-N.Y., who is the House Republican conference chair, said the Lake endorsement by her political action committee is the first for the Senate this election cycle.
  89. ↑ Husebø, Wendell (February 29, 2024). "Wesley Hunt Endorses Kari Lake for U.S. Senate". Breitbart . Retrieved March 7, 2024. "Kari Lake is an outsider and fighter who will work to secure the border and put Arizonans First," he added. "I am excited to endorse Kari for the Senate in Arizona to bring much needed change to Washington."
  90. ↑ Gersony, Laura (November 1, 2023). "Kari Lake touts endorsement from Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, who faces fraud trial". The Arizona Republic . Retrieved November 1, 2023.
  91. 1 2 Hansen, Ronald (October 10, 2023). "'This mama bear has a whole lot of fight in her': Kari Lake enters Arizona's Senate race". The Arizona Republic . Retrieved October 11, 2023.
  92. 1 2 CUPVF (January 23, 2024). "David N. Bossie and Citizens United Political Victory Fund Endorse Kari Lake for U.S. Senate from Arizona". Citizens United Political Victory Fund. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
  93. ↑ "Republicans for National Renewal Endorses Kari Lake for U.S. Senate". Republicans for National Renewal. October 26, 2023. Archived from the original on October 26, 2023. Retrieved October 26, 2023.
  94. ↑ Mutnick, Ally (February 13, 2024). "Senate GOP campaign arm endorses Kari Lake". POLITICO.
  95. ↑ "Senate Conservatives Fund". www.senateconservatives.com. Retrieved April 2, 2024.
  96. ↑ "Endorsements". Turning Point Action. Retrieved December 14, 2023.
  97. ↑ Stone, Kevin. "Blake Masters says he shifted 2024 focus from Senate to House after talking to Trump, Lake". KTAR . President Trump wanted Kari to run, and I think she's running a hell of a campaign so far, so I look forward to supporting her.
  98. ↑ Gutierrez, Marco. "Primary Campaign Corner 2024: Candidates". Latinos for America First. Archived from the original on September 15, 2023. Retrieved September 15, 2023.
  99. ↑ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. April 17, 2023. Retrieved April 17, 2023.
  100. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  101. ↑ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
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