2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona

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2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona
Flag of Arizona.svg
←  2010 November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06) 2014  →
All 9 Arizona seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election35
Seats won54
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 2Decrease2.svg 1
Popular vote946,9941,131,663
Percentage43.57%52.07%
SwingIncrease2.svg 1.7%Decrease2.svg 1.0%
2012AZUSHouse.svg

The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the state, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts, including the newly created 9th district following the 2010 United States census. The elections coincided with other federal and state elections, including a quadrennial presidential election, and a U.S. Senate election. Primary elections were held on August 28, 2012. [1]

Contents

Arizona was one of five states (along with Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina) where the party that won the most seats did not win the most votes in the state.

Overview

The table shows the number and percentage of votes, as well as the number of seats gained and lost, by each political party in the 2012 elections for the United States House of Representatives in Arizona. [2]

Statewide

PartyCandidatesVotesSeats
No. %No.+/– %
Republican 81,131,66352.074Decrease2.svg 144.44
Democratic 9946,99443.575Increase2.svg 255.56
Libertarian 782,2823.790Steady2.svg0.0
Americans Elect 26,7400.310Steady2.svg0.0
Green 15,6370.260Steady2.svg0.0
Write-in 110.000Steady2.svg0.0
Total282,173,317100.09Increase2.svg 1100.0
Popular vote
Republican
 
52.07%
Democratic
 
43.57%
Libertarian
 
3.79%
Americans Elect
 
0.31%
Green
 
0.26%
Other
 
0.00%
House seats
Democratic
 
55.56%
Republican
 
44.44%

By district

Results of the 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona by district:

District Republican Democratic OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 113,59445.15%122,77448.80%15,2276.05%251,595100.0%Democratic gain
District 2 144,88449.57%147,33850.41%570.02%292,279100.0%Democratic hold
District 3 62,66337.15%98,46858.37%7,5674.49%168,698100.0%Democratic hold
District 4 162,90766.83%69,15428.37%11,6994.80%243,760100.0%Republican win
District 5 183,47067.19%89,58932.81%00.00%273,059100.0%Republican hold
District 6 179,70661.30%97,66633.31%15,8055.39%293,177100.0%Republican hold
District 7 00.00%104,48981.74%23,33818.26%127,827100.0%Democratic hold
District 8 172,80963.35%95,63535.06%4,3471.59%272,791100.0%Republican hold
District 9 111,63044.63%121,88148.73%16,6206.64%250,131100.0%Democratic gain
Total1,131,66352.07%946,99443.57%94,6604.36%2,173,317100.0%

Redistricting

Due to population gains reflected in the 2010 United States census, Arizona's congressional delegation increased from eight members to nine in 2012. In accordance with the Arizona Constitution, the Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission produced new congressional district maps for use in the 2012 and subsequent elections. In October, 2011, the commission released a draft map and by November 5 that year had completed a round of public hearings for input on the draft map. [3] The map became final after being cleared for compliance with the Voting Rights Act by the United States Department of Justice, and established the official district boundaries for the 2012 elections.

On November 1, 2011, Arizona Governor Jan Brewer, with the approval of the Arizona Senate, removed Colleen Mathis, the commission's chair, charging Mathis was guilty of "failure to apply the Arizona Constitution's redistricting provisions in an honest, independent and impartial fashion." [4] On November 17, the Arizona Supreme Court overturned Brewer's decision and reinstated Mathis. [5] On November 21, Brewer asked the Supreme Court to reconsider its decision and to temporarily reverse Mathis' reinstatement. [6] The Supreme Court refused. [7] The map was pre-cleared by the U.S. Department of Justice on April 9, 2012, and was effect for the 2012 elections.

District 1

2012 Arizona's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
←  2010
2014  →
  Ann Kirkpatrick, official portrait, 111th Congress.jpg Jonathan Paton (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Ann Kirkpatrick Jonathan Paton Kim Allen
Party Democratic Republican Libertarian
Popular vote122,774113,59415,227
Percentage48.8%45.2%6.1%
2012 AZ-1 Election Results.svg
County results
Paton:     40–50%     50-60%
Kirkpatrick:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
U.S. Representative before election

Paul Gosar
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Ann Kirkpatrick
Democratic

Based upon the new map, the 1st district is slightly friendlier to Democrats than its predecessor. [8] Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar, first elected in 2010, ran for election in the more conservative 4th district. [9]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Patrick Gatti
  • Gaither Martin, former State Department official
  • Douglas Wade, contractor
Withdrawn
  • Doug McKee, contractor
Declined

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jonathan Paton 28,644 60.9
Republican Gaither Martin8,95819.0
Republican Douglas Wade6,75814.4
Republican Patrick Gatti2,7075.7
Total votes47,067 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • Miguel Olivas, government consultant and former staffer for former U.S. Representative Rick Renzi [14]

Endorsements

Wenona Benally
Labor unions
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ann Kirkpatrick 33,831 63.7
Democratic Wenona Benally Baldenegro19,24736.3
Total votes53,078 100.0

Baldenegro would have been the first Native American woman to serve in Congress had she had won the seat. [13]

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Kim Allen

Primary results

Libertarian primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Kim Allen (write-in)97 100.0
Total votes97 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Jonathan Paton (R)
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
State legislators
Organizations
Newspapers
Ann Kirkpatrick (D)
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Did not endorse
Newspapers

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jonathan
Paton (R)		Ann
Kirkpatrick (D)		Undecided
NRCC (R) October 4, 2012501±5.6%50%45%5%
North Star Opinion Research (R) July 25–26, 2012400±4.9%43%46%11%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [33] TossupNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg [34] TossupNovember 2, 2012
Roll Call [35] TossupNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball [36] Lean RNovember 5, 2012
NY Times [37] TossupNovember 4, 2012
RCP [38] TossupNovember 4, 2012
The Hill [39] TossupNovember 4, 2012

Results

Arizona's 1st congressional district, 2012
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ann Kirkpatrick 122,774 48.8
Republican Jonathan Paton 113,59445.1
Libertarian Kim Allen15,2276.1
Majority9,1803.7
Total votes251,595 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 2

2012 Arizona's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
←  2012 (special)
2014  →
  Ron Barber, official portrait, 112th Congress (cropped).jpg Martha McSally 2012 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Ron Barber Martha McSally
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote147,338144,884
Percentage50.4%49.6%
U.S. Representative before election

Ron Barber (8th)
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Ron Barber
Democratic

After redistricting, most of the 2nd district was composed of land previously located in the 8th district and was thus more favorable to Democrats. [8] Democrat Gabby Giffords, who had represented the 8th district since 2007, was seriously wounded in a mass shooting in January 2011 and resigned her congressional seat in January 2012. [40] A special election was held in June 2012 under the boundaries of the then current 8th district, with a primary election held in April 2012; in November 2012 another election took place under the new boundaries of the 2nd district, with a primary scheduled for August 2012. [41]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ron Barber (incumbent) 51,206 82.0
Democratic Matt Heinz11,21318.0
Democratic Charlie Manolakis (write-in)40.0
Total votes62,423 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Mark Koskiniemi
Withdrawn
Declined

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Martha McSally 52,809 81.7
Republican Mark Koskiniemi11,82818.3
Total votes64,637 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Anthony Powell [51]

General election

Endorsements

Ron Barber (D)
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Individuals
Martha McSally (R)
U.S. Representatives
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Ron
Barber (D)		Martha
McSally (R)		Undecided
OnMessage Inc (R-McSally) September 30–October 1, 2012400± 4.9%48%47%5%
Grove Insight (D-DCCC) September 27–30, 2012400± ?%54%40%6%
OnMessage Inc (R-McSally) August 7–8, 2012400± 4.9%50%45%5%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Barber) July 17–22, 2012503± 4.4%53%40%7%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report Lean DNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg [34] Tilts DNovember 2, 2012
Roll Call [35] Lean DNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball [36] Likely DNovember 5, 2012
NY Times [37] TossupNovember 4, 2012
RCP [38] Lean DNovember 4, 2012
The Hill [39] Lean DNovember 4, 2012

Results

Arizona's 2nd congressional district, 2012
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ron Barber (incumbent) 147,338 50.4
Republican Martha McSally 144,88449.6
Libertarian Anthony Powell (write-in)570.0
Majority2,4540.8
Total votes292,279 100.0
Democratic hold

District 3

2012 Arizona's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
←  2010
2014  →
  Raul Grijalva, official portrait, 108th Congress (cropped).jpg Gabriela Saucedo Mercer (cropped).jpg
Nominee Raúl Grijalva Gabriela Saucedo Mercer
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote98,46862,663
Percentage58.4%37.2%
U.S. Representative before election

Raúl Grijalva (7th)
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Raúl Grijalva
Democratic

In the October 2011 redistricting, most of the 7th district became the 3rd district and was more favorable to Democrats. [8] Incumbent Democrat Raúl M. Grijalva, first elected in 2002, said in February 2011 that he had no plans to run for the U.S. Senate. [60]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • David Crowe Robles, defense contractor [62]

Endorsements

Amanda Aguirre
Labor unions

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Raul Grijalva (incumbent) 24,044 65.6
Democratic Amanda Aguirre9,48425.9
Democratic Manny Arreguin3,1058.5
Total votes36,633 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Gabriela Saucedo Mercer, conservative activist [64]
Eliminated in primary
  • Jaime Vasquez, businessman, [65]
Declined
  • Ruth McClung, nominee for the 7th district in 2010 [11]

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Gabriela Saucedo Mercer 12,474 65.3
Republican Jaime Vasquez6,62234.7
Total votes19,096 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Blanca Guerra

Primary results

Libertarian primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Blanca Guerra 116 100.0
Total votes116 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Raul Grijalva (D)
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Gabriella Saucedo (R)
State officials
Organizations

Results

Arizona's 3rd congressional district, 2012
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Raúl M. Grijalva (incumbent) 98,468 58.4
Republican Gabriella Saucedo Mercer62,66337.1
Libertarian Bianca Guerra7,5674.5
Total votes168,698 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

2012 Arizona's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
2014  →
  Paul Gosar, official portrait, 112th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Paul Gosar Johnnie Robinson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote162,90769,154
Percentage66.8%28.4%
U.S. Representative before election

None
(New district)

Elected U.S. Representative

Paul Gosar
Republican

The new 4th congressional district encompasses most of the rural areas in the old 2nd district, as well as significant portions of the old 1st, 5th, and 6th districts, according to the final maps Archived 2012-10-12 at the Wayback Machine of the Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission. The district is heavily Republican. [8]

Paul Gosar, who had represented the 1st district since 2011 moved to Prescott in order to run in this district.

Republican primary

Campaign

Babeu dropped his congressional bid on May 11, 2012, instead seeking re-election as sheriff. [73] This came after he was accused of being lovers with an undocumented immigrant who he threatened with deportation to guarantee his silence. The Arizona solicitor general would later exonerate Babeu after an investigation. [74]

Candidates

Nominee
  • Paul Gosar, incumbent U.S. Representative for the 1st District
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Paul Gosar (incumbent) 40,033 51.3
Republican Ron Gould24,61731.6
Republican Rick Murphy13,31517.1
Total votes77,965 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Johnnie Robinson
Eliminated in primary
  • Mikel Weisser, author and political activist

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Johnnie Robinson 10,185 50.1
Democratic Mikel Weisser10,16649.9
Total votes20,351 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Joe Pamelia, aerospace and defense professional

Primary results

Libertarian primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Joe Pamelia 189 100.0
Total votes189 100.0

Americans Elect primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Americans Elect primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Americans Elect Richard Grayson (write-in)11 100.0
Total votes11 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Paul Gosar (R)
Organizations

Results

Arizona's 4th congressional district, 2012
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Paul Gosar (incumbent) 162,907 66.8
Democratic Johnnie Robinson69,15428.4
Libertarian Joe Pamelia9,3063.8
Americans Elect Richard Grayson 2,3931.0
Total votes243,760 100.0
Republican win (new seat)

District 5

2012 Arizona's 5th congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
←  2010
2014  →
  Matt Salmon, official portrait, 113th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Matt Salmon Spencer Morgan
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote183,47089,589
Percentage67.2%32.8%
U.S. Representative before election

Jeff Flake (6th)
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Matt Salmon
Republican

With the October 2011 redistricting, most of the 6th district became the 5th district and continued to favor Republicans. [8] Incumbent Republican Jeff Flake, who had represented this district since 2001, sought the Republican nomination for the U.S. Senate. [75]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Matt Salmon 41,078 51.8
Republican Kirk Adams38,15248.2
Total votes79,230 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Spencer Morgan 19,659 100.0
Total votes19,659 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Matt Salmon (R)
Organizations

Results

Arizona's 5th congressional district, 2012
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Matt Salmon 183,470 67.2
Democratic Spencer Morgan89,58932.8
Total votes273,059 100.0
Republican hold

District 6

2012 Arizona's 6th congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
←  2010
2014  →
  David Schweikert, official portrait, 112th Congress 2 (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee David Schweikert Matt Jette
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote179,70697,666
Percentage61.3%33.3%
2012 Arizona's 6th congressional district election by precinct.svg
Precinct results
Schweikert:      40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Jette:      40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
U.S. Representative before election

Ben Quayle (3rd)
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

David Schweikert
Republican

After redistricting, the bulk of David Schweikert's 5th district became the 9th district, [81] while his home in Fountain Hills was drawn into the newly created 4th district. [82] However, as soon as the maps were released, Schweikert announced he would run in the 6th district. That district had previously been the 3rd, represented by fellow Republican freshman Ben Quayle. However, in a statement announcing his re-election plans, Schweikert pointed out that he'd grown up in Scottsdale—most of which had been drawn into the 6th as well—had represented it in both the state house and in Congress, and owned a second home there. [8] A revised map, however, placed Schweikert's home in Fountain Hills into the reconfigured 6th. [83] [84] Quayle, whose home in Phoenix had been drawn into the 9th but was just outside the boundaries of the 6th, opted to seek re-election in the 6th as well.

Republican primary

Campaign

During the bitter primary campaign, Schweikert was widely criticised for a mailer that accused Quayle of "going both ways", suggesting that he was bisexual. On the reverse, the mailer listed issues on which it claimed Quayle had taken both liberal and conservative positions. Senator Jon Kyl said that "such campaign tactics insult the voters, degrade politics and expose those who stoop to them as unworthy of high office" and Senator John McCain said the mailer was one of the "worst that I have seen" and that it "crosses the boundary of decent political dialogue and discourse". Quayle's spokeswoman called the mailer "utterly false" and "a sleazy smear tactic". Schweikert's spokesman responded that people "should get their minds out of the gutter" because the mailer was "obviously" referring to "'both ways' – as in liberal and conservative". The Arizona Republic asked two political scientists to review the mailer, who both said that they had "never seen anybody accuse someone of flip-flopping [on political issues] that way" and said that it was "difficult to believe" that the sexual suggestion was unintentional. [85] [86] [87] [88]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Ben Quayle, incumbent U.S. Representative from the 3rd District

Primary results

Although the 6th contained almost two-thirds of Quayle's constituents, Schweikert defeated Quayle in the Republican primary—the real contest in this heavily Republican district—by 51.5 percent to Quayle's 48.5 percent. [89]

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican David Schweikert (incumbent) 41,821 51.5
Republican Ben Quayle (incumbent)39,41448.5
Total votes81,235 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • W. John Williamson

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Matt Jette 12,383 51.9
Democratic W. John Williamson11,47148.1
Total votes23,854 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Jack Anderson

Primary results

Libertarian primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Jack Anderson 287 100.0
Total votes287 100.0

Green primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Mark Salazar

Primary results

Green primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Green Mark Salazar (write-in)2 100.0
Total votes2 100.0

General election

Endorsements

David Schweikert (R)
Organizations

Results

Arizona's 6th congressional district, 2012
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican David Schweikert (incumbent) 179,706 61.3
Democratic Matt Jette97,66633.3
Libertarian Jack Anderson10,1673.5
Green Mark Salazar5,6371.9
NoneJames Ketover (write-in)10.0
Total votes293,177 100.0
Republican hold

District 7

2012 Arizona's 7th congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
←  2010
2014  →
  Ed Pastor 113th Congress.jpg Joe Cobb (2010) (cropped).jpg
Nominee Ed Pastor Joe Cobb
Party Democratic Libertarian
Popular vote104,48923,338
Percentage81.7%18.3%
U.S. Representative before election

Ed Pastor (4th)
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Ed Pastor
Democratic

In accordance with the redrawn boundaries, most of the 4th district became the 7th district and remained the most Democratic district in Arizona. [8] Incumbent Democrat Ed Pastor considered a run for the U.S. Senate but decided against it. [93]

State senator Kyrsten Sinema, who considered a bid for Congress and lived in the former 4th district, opted to run in the 9th district.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Rebecca DeWitt
Declined

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ed Pastor (incumbent) 22,664 79.0
Democratic Rebecca DeWitt6,01321.0
Total votes28,677 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Eliminated in primary
Declined
  • José Peñalosa, attorney and candidate for 4th district in 2010 [96]

Primary results

Fistler did not receive enough write-in votes to appear on the general election ballot as a Republican. [97]

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Scott Fistler (write-in)116 100.0
Total votes116 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Joe Cobb, retired economist and nominee for this seat in 2008 & 2010

Primary results

Libertarian primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Joe Cobb162 100.0
Total votes162 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Ed Pastor (D)
Labor unions
Organizations

Results

Arizona's 7th congressional district, 2012
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ed Pastor (incumbent) 104,489 81.7
Libertarian Joe Cobb23,33818.3
Total votes127,827 100.0
Democratic hold

District 8

2012 Arizona's 8th congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
←  2010
2014  →
  Trent Franks, Official Portrait, 112th Congress.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Trent Franks Gene Scharer
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote172,80995,635
Percentage63.4%35.1%
U.S. Representative before election

Trent Franks (2nd)
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Trent Franks
Republican

With the new map, most of the Maricopa County portion of the old 2nd district was renumbered as the 8th district and made more favorable to Republicans. [8] Incumbent Republican Trent Franks, who had considered running for the U.S. Senate, instead ran for re-election. [99]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Tony Passalacqua, Navy veteran

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Trent Franks (incumbent) 57,257 83.2
Republican Tony Passalacqua11,57216.8
Republican Helmuth Hack (write-in)180.0
Total votes68,847 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Gene Scharer, educator, nominee for this seat in 2000 and candidate in 2006

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Gene Scharer 24,510 100.0
Total votes24,510 100.0

Americans Elect primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Stephen Dolgos

Primary results

Americans Elect primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Americans Elect Stephen Dolgos 34 100.0
Total votes34 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Trent Franks (R)
Organizations

Results

Arizona's 8th congressional district, 2012
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Trent Franks (incumbent) 172,809 63.3
Democratic Gene Scharer95,63535.1
Americans Elect Stephen Dolgos4,3471.6
Total votes272,791 100.0
Republican hold

District 9

2014 Arizona's 9th congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
←  2010
2014  →
  Rep Kyrsten Sinema, official portrait (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg Powell Gammill (2010) (cropped).jpg
Nominee Kyrsten Sinema Vernon ParkerPowell Gammill
Party Democratic Republican Libertarian
Popular vote121,881111,63016,620
Percentage48.7%44.6%6.6%
U.S. Representative before election

David Schweikert (5th)
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Kyrsten Sinema
Democratic

With the new map, most of the old 5th district became the 9th district. [100] It now encompassed portions of southern Phoenix, as well as all of Tempe and parts of Scottsdale, Mesa, Chandler and Paradise Valley. It was not considered safe for either party. [8]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Vernon B. Parker 11,184 22.5
Republican Wendy Rogers10,47921.0
Republican Martin Sepulveda10,16520.4
Republican Travis Grantham9,17918.4
Republican Jeff Thompson3,3586.7
Republican Lisa Borowsky3,2816.6
Republican Leah Campos Schandlbauer2,1394.3
Total votes49,785 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Kyrsten Sinema
Labor unions

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Kyrsten Sinema 15,536 40.8
Democratic David Schapira11,41930.0
Democratic Andrei Cherny11,14629.2
Total votes38,101 100.0

Libertarian primary

Primary results

Libertarian primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Powell Gammill (write-in)90 100.0
Total votes90 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Vernon Parker (R)
Organizations
Kyrsten Sinema (D)
Labor unions
Organizations

Debates

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Vernon
Parker (R)		Kyrsten
Sinema (D)		Undecided
Summit (R-Parker) October 15, 2012600±4.2%44%42%14%
Anzalone-Liszt (D-DCCC) September 9–11, 2012400±4.9%45%48%7%
GBA Strategies (D-House Majority PAC) September 8–9, 2012400±4.9%41%45%14%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report Lean D (flip)November 5, 2012
Rothenberg [34] Tilts D (flip)November 2, 2012
Roll Call [35] TossupNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball [36] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2012
NY Times [37] Lean D (flip)November 4, 2012
RCP [38] Lean D (flip)November 4, 2012
The Hill [39] TossupNovember 4, 2012

Results

Kyrsten Sinema was officially declared the winner on November 12, 2012. [115] [116]

Arizona's 9th congressional district, 2012
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Kyrsten Sinema 121,881 48.7
Republican Vernon Parker111,63044.6
Libertarian Powell E. Gammill16,6206.6
Majority10,2514.1
Total votes250,131 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

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References

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  116. ↑ Hendley, Matthew (November 12, 2012). "Kyrsten Sinema Called Winner in CD-9, Defeating Vernon Parker". Phoenix New Times . Retrieved November 25, 2022.
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