2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona

Last updated

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona
Flag of Arizona.svg
  2016 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2020  

All 9 Arizona seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election45
Seats won54
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 1Decrease2.svg 1
Popular vote1,179,1931,139,251
Percentage50.37%48.67%
SwingIncrease2.svg 5.65%Decrease2.svg 3.82%

2018AZUSHouse.svg

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the State of Arizona, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2018 Arizona gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The 2018 general elections saw the Democratic party gain the 2nd congressional district, thus flipping the state from a 5–4 Republican advantage to a 5–4 Democratic advantage, the first time since the 2012 election in which Democrats held more House seats in Arizona than the Republicans.

Contents

Overview

Statewide

PartyCandidatesVotesSeats
No. %No.+/– %
Democratic 91,179,19350.375Increase2.svg155.56
Republican 91,139,25148.674Decrease2.svg144.44
Green 222,3780.960Steady2.svg0.0
Write-in 31470.010Steady2.svg0.0
Total232,341,270100.09Steady2.svg100.0
Popular vote
Democratic
50.37%
Republican
48.67%
Green
0.96%
Other
0.01%
House seats
Democratic
55.56%
Republican
44.44%

By district

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona by district: [1]

District Democratic Republican OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 143,24053.83%122,78446.14%650.03%266,089100.0%Democratic hold
District 2 161,00054.73%133,08345.24%690.02%294,152100.0%Democratic gain
District 3 114,65063.87%64,86836.13%00.00%179,518100.0%Democratic hold
District 4 84,52130.51%188,84268.16%3,6721.33%277,035100.0%Republican hold
District 5 127,02740.58%186,03759.42%00.00%313,064100.0%Republican hold
District 6 140,55944.81%173,14055.19%00.00%313,699100.0%Republican hold
District 7 113,04485.61%3010.20%19,00714.39%132,051100.0%Democratic hold
District 8 135,56944.53%168,83555.46%130.01%304,417100.0%Republican hold
District 9 159,58361.09%101,66238.91%00.00%261,245100.0%Democratic hold
Total1,179,19350.37%1,139,25148.66%22,8260.97%2,341,270100.0%

District 1

2018 Arizona's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
  2016
2020  
  Tom O'Halleran official portrait (cropped).jpg Wendy Rogers by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Nominee Tom O'Halleran Wendy Rogers
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote143,240122,784
Percentage53.8%46.1%

AZ District 1 Counties 2018.svg
2018 AZ-1 Election Results by Precinct.svg
County results
O'Halleran:     50–60%     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%     ≥90%
Rogers:     50-60%     60–70%     70-80%     80-90%     ≥90%
Tie:     
No votes:     

U.S. Representative before election

Tom O'Halleran
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Tom O'Halleran
Democratic

The 1st district is home to the Grand Canyon and stretches along the eastern and northeastern portions of the state and includes Casa Grande, Flagstaff, and Marana. This district has a significant Native-American population, making up 25% of the population in the district. This district is home to a number of Indian reservations, including the Gila River Indian Community, Hopi Reservation, and the Navajo Nation. Incumbent Democrat Tom O'Halleran, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. [2] He was elected with 51% of the vote in 2016, and the district had a PVI of R+2, making it one of the most competitive in the state with a PVI of R+2.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn
  • Miguel Olivas [4]

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Tom O'Halleran (incumbent) 64,114 100.0
Total votes64,114 100.0

Republican primary

The district was one of 36 Democratic-held House districts targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee. [6]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Wendy
Rogers
Tiffany
Shedd
Steve
Smith
OtherUndecided
Grassroots Partners (R-Smith) [12] July 15–16, 2018393± 4.6%23%15%27%
Data Orbital (R-Defending Rural Arizona PAC) [13] June 28–30, 2018450± 4.59%22%15%10%3%50%

Endorsements

Tiffany Shedd

U.S. Senators

  • Jon Kyl, former U.S. Senator (R-AZ)

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

Organizations

Steve Smith

U.S. Senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

Organizations

Individuals

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Wendy Rogers 30,180 43.7
Republican Steve Smith 25,55237.0
Republican Tiffany Shedd13,26019.2
Total votes68,992 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

General election

Endorsements

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tom
O'Halleran (D)
Wendy
Rogers (R)
OtherUndecided
0ptimus/DDHQ [42] October 31 – November 1, 2018756± 3.6%48%45%1% [lower-alpha 1] 6%
American Viewpoint (R) [43] October 16–18, 2018400± 4.9%46%46%5%
Go Right Strategies (R-Rogers) [44] October 9–10, 2018943± 3.0%38%44%18%
Go Right Strategies (R-Rogers) [45] September 27–28, 2018738± 4.0%36%39%24%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [46] Lean DNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [47] Lean DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [48] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
RCP [49] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [50] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
538 [51] Likely DNovember 7, 2018
CNN [52] [53] Lean DOctober 31, 2018
Fox News [54] Lean DSeptember 21, 2018
Politico [55] Lean DNovember 2, 2018

Results

Arizona's 1st congressional district, 2018 [56]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Tom O'Halleran (incumbent) 143,240 53.8
Republican Wendy Rogers 122,78446.1
Independent David Shock (write-in)650.1
Majority20,4567.7
Total votes266,089 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

2018 Arizona's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
  2016
2020  
  Ann Kirkpatrick, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg Lea Marquez Peterson by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Nominee Ann Kirkpatrick Lea Márquez Peterson
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote161,000133,083
Percentage54.7%45.2%

AZ District 2 Counties 2018.svg
County results
Kirkpatrick:     50-60%
Martin:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Martha McSally
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Ann Kirkpatrick
Democratic

The 2nd district is based in the southeastern corner of Arizona and includes Cochise County and parts of suburban Tucson. Incumbent Republican Martha McSally, who had represented the district since 2015, did not run for re-election, instead running for the U.S. Senate. She was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2016, and the district had a PVI of R+1. [57]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Lea Márquez Peterson 23,571 34.2
Republican Brandon Martin19,80928.7
Republican Casey Welch14,49921.0
Republican Daniel Morales, Jr.11,13516.1
Total votes69,014 100.0

Democratic primary

This district was one of 80 Republican-held House districts targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. [64]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Matt Heinz
Ann Kirkpatrick

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Labor unions

Organizations

Mary Matiella

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Randy
Friese
Matt
Heinz
Ann
Kirkpatrick
Billy
Kovacs
Mary
Matiella
Bruce
Wheeler
OtherUndecided
FM3 Research (D-Heinz) [78] August 1–2, 2018402± 4.9%31%26%13%29%
FM3 Research (D-Heinz) [79] April 29 – May 3, 2018400± 4.9%27%23%4%6%4%36%
Public Policy Polling (D-Heinz) [80] May 5–7, 2017392± 5.0%6%40%30%24%

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ann Kirkpatrick 33,938 41.8
Democratic Matt Heinz 23,99229.6
Democratic Mary Matiella 7,6069.4
Democratic Bruce Wheeler 6,8148.4
Democratic Billy Kovacs5,3506.6
Democratic Barbara Sherry2,0742.6
Democratic Yahya Yuksel1,3191.6
Total votes81,093 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Lea Márquez Peterson (R)
Ann Kirkpatrick (D)

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers

Debates

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lea
Marquez-Peterson (R)
Ann
Kirkpatrick (D)
Undecided
NYT Upshot/Siena College [89] September 26 – October 1, 2018502± 4.5%39%50%11%
Public Policy Polling (D-Heinz) [90] February 8–10, 2018841± 3.4%34%43%23%
Hypothetical polling

With Heinz

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lea
Marquez-Peterson (R)
Matt
Heinz (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D-Heinz) [90] February 8–10, 2018841± 3.4%31%45%24%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Martha
McSally (R)
Matt
Heinz (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D-Heinz) [91] May 5–7, 2017944± N/A44%48%8%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Martha
McSally (R)
Ann
Kirkpatrick (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [92] October 6–8, 2017714± 3.7%44%44%
Public Policy Polling (D-Heinz) [91] May 5–7, 2017944± N/A44%48%8%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [46] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
Inside Elections [47] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [48] Likely D (flip)November 5, 2018
RCP [49] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
Daily Kos [50] Likely D (flip)November 5, 2018
538 [51] Safe D (flip)November 7, 2018
CNN [52] [53] Likely D (flip)October 31, 2018
Fox News [54] Lean D (flip)September 21, 2018
Politico [55] Lean D (flip)November 2, 2018

Results

Arizona's 2nd congressional district, 2018 [56]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ann Kirkpatrick 161,000 54.7
Republican Lea Márquez Peterson 133,08345.2
Independent Jordan Flayer (write-in)500.1
Republican Melissa Grable (write-in)190.0
Majority27,9179.5
Total votes294,152 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 3

2018 Arizona's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
  2016
2020  
  Raul Grijalva, official portrait, 114th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Raúl Grijalva Nicolas Pierson
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote114,65064,868
Percentage63.9%36.1%

AZ District 3 Counties 2018.svg
2018 AZ-03 election by precinct.svg
County results
Grijalva:     50–60%     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%     >90%
Pierson:     50–60%     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Raúl Grijalva
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Raúl Grijalva
Democratic

The third district is based in Tucson and stretches along the southern border of Arizona including Yuma, rural portions of Maricopa County such as Gila Bend, and the western suburbs of Phoenix including Avondale, Buckeye, Goodyear, and parts of Litchfield Park. has represented this district since 2002, and ran unopposed in 2016. Incumbent Democrat Raúl Grijalva, who had represented the district since 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 99% of the vote in 2016, and the district had a PVI of D+13.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Raúl Grijalva

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Raúl Grijalva (incumbent) 45,186 99.8
Write-in 810.2
Total votes45,267 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Sergio Arellano, veteran [3] [93]
  • Edna San Miguel, schoolteacher [3]
Withdrawn
  • Bill Abatecola, businessman (endorsed Arellano) [94]

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican J. Nicholas Pierson 13,090 49.9
Republican Sergio Arellano7,40028.2
Republican Edna San Miguel5,75621.9
Total votes26,246 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Results

Arizona's 3rd congressional district, 2018 [56]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Raúl Grijalva (incumbent) 114,650 63.9
Republican Nicolas Pierson64,86836.1
Majority49,78227.8
Total votes179,518 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

2018 Arizona's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
  2016
2020  
  Paul Gosar 115th Congress (cropped).jpg David Brill official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Paul Gosar David Brill
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote278,002120,484
Percentage68.2%30.5%

AZ District 4 Counties 2018.svg
2018 AZ-4 Election Results by Precinct.svg
Results
Gosar:     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%     >90%
Brill:     50-60%     60-70%
No votes:     

U.S. Representative before election

Paul Gosar
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Paul Gosar
Republican

The fourth district takes up most of rural northwestern and western Arizona and includes Kingman, Lake Havasu City, Prescott, and San Tan Valley. Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2016, and the district had a PVI of R+21, making it the most Republican district in Arizona.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Paul Gosar (incumbent) 94,092 100.0
Total votes94,092 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • David Brill, Manager of Primary Care services for the Northern Arizona Veterans Administration [3]
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic David Brill 19,048 52.4
Democratic Delina Disanto17,25647.5
Write-in 490.1
Total votes36,353 100.0

Green primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Haryaksha Gregor Knauer [3]

Primary results

Green primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Green Haryaksha Gregor Knauer 323 100.0
Total votes323 100.0

General election

Campaign

This race received national media coverage after Democratic nominee David Brill aired television advertisements in which six of Republican incumbent Paul Gosar's nine siblings each condemned their brother and endorsed Brill, imploring residents of the fourth district to vote their brother out of office. [97] Gosar responded to this advert with a tweet in which he dismissed his siblings' criticisms and characterized them as "disgruntled Hillary supporters" who "put political ideology before family". [98]

Endorsements

Paul Gosar (R)

Organizations

David Brill (D)

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Paul
Gosar (R)
David
Brill (D)
Haryaksha
Gregor Knauer (G)
Undecided
OH Predictive Insights [101] September 25, 2018370± 5.09%57%25%2%16%

Results

Arizona's 4th congressional district, 2018 [56]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Paul Gosar (incumbent) 188,842 68.2
Democratic David Brill84,52130.5
Green Haryaksha Gregor Knauer3,6721.3
Majority104,32137.7
Total votes277,035 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

2018 Arizona's 5th congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
  2016
2020  
  Andy Biggs official portrait (cropped 1).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Andy Biggs Joan Greene
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote186,037127,027
Percentage59.4%40.6%

U.S. Representative before election

Andy Biggs
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Andy Biggs
Republican

The 5th district is based in the East Valley region of suburban Phoenix and includes Gilbert and Queen Creek, as well as portions of Chandler and Mesa. Incumbent Republican Andy Biggs, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 64% of the vote in 2016, and the district had a PVI of R+15.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Andy Biggs (incumbent) 86,418 100.0
Total votes86,418 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Joan Greene, business owner [3]
Eliminated in primary
  • Jose Torres, engineer and businessman [3]
Withdrawn
  • Lisa Chappelle
  • Tony Margalis
  • Scott Menor

Endorsements

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Joan Greene 27,222 59.3
Democratic Jose Torres18,67140.7
Total votes45,893 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Andy Biggs (R)

Results

Arizona's 5th congressional district, 2018 [56]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Andy Biggs (incumbent) 186,037 59.4
Democratic Joan Greene127,02740.6
Majority59,01018.8
Total votes313,064 100.0
Republican hold

District 6

2018 Arizona's 6th congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
  2016
2020  
  David Schweikert, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee David Schweikert Anita Malik
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote173,140140,559
Percentage55.2%44.8%

U.S. Representative before election

David Schweikert
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

David Schweikert
Republican

The sixth district is based in northeastern suburban Phoenix and is centered around Scottsdale, and also includes many affluent communities such as Fountain Hills and Paradise Valley. Incumbent Republican David Schweikert, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2016, and the district had a PVI of R+9.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican David Schweikert (incumbent) 83,406 100.0
Total votes83,406 100.0

Democratic primary

This district was one of 80 Republican-held House districts targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. [64]

Candidates

Nominee
  • Anita Malik, tech executive [3]
Eliminated in primary
  • Garrick McFadden, attorney [3]
  • Heather Ross, nurse practitioner [3]

Endorsements

Garrick McFadden

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Anita Malik 22,666 42.2
Democratic Heather Ross20,20337.6
Democratic Garrick McFadden10,82520.2
Total votes53,694 100.0

General election

Endorsements

David Schweikert (R)

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
David
Schweikert (R)
Anita
Malik (D)
Undecided
NYT Upshot/Siena College [105] October 11–15, 2018500± 4.5%50%36%14%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [46] Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [47] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [48] Likely RNovember 5, 2018
RCP [49] Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [50] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538 [51] Likely RNovember 7, 2018
CNN [53] Likely ROctober 31, 2018
Politico [55] Likely RSeptember 21, 2018

Results

Arizona's 6th congressional district, 2018 [56]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican David Schweikert (incumbent) 173,140 55.2
Democratic Anita Malik140,55944.8
Majority32,58110.4
Total votes313,699 100.0
Republican hold

District 7

2018 Arizona's 7th congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
  2016
2020  
  Ruben Gallego, official portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg Gary swing (cropped).jpg
Nominee Ruben Gallego Gary Swing
Party Democratic Green
Popular vote114,65018,706
Percentage85.6%14.2%

U.S. Representative before election

Ruben Gallego
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Ruben Gallego
Democratic

The seventh district is based in the city of Phoenix and also includes parts of Glendale and Tolleson. Incumbent Democrat Ruben Gallego, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 75% of the vote in 2016, [2] and the district had a PVI of D+23, making it the most Democratic district in Arizona.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ruben Gallego (incumbent) 32,231 74.8
Democratic Catherine Miranda 10,85625.2
Total votes43,087 100.0

Republican primary

No Republican candidate filed to run.

General election

Endorsements

Results

Arizona's 7th congressional district, 2018 [56]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ruben Gallego (incumbent) 113,044 85.6
Green Gary Swing18,70614.2
Republican James "007" Bond IV (write-in)3010.2
Majority794,33871.4
Total votes132,051 100.0
Democratic hold

District 8

2018 Arizona's 8th congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
2020  
  Debbie Lesko, official portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg Hiral Tipirneni (cropped).jpg
Nominee Debbie Lesko Hiral Tipirneni
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote168,835135,569
Percentage55.5%44.5%

U.S. Representative before election

Debbie Lesko
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Debbie Lesko
Republican

The eighth district is based in the West Valley region of suburban Phoenix and includes the cities of El Mirage, Peoria, and Surprise, and also many retirement communities such as Sun City. Republican Trent Franks who had represented the district since 2003 [2] resigned from Congress on December 8, 2017, after a controversy regarding surrogate mothers. [108] Republican Debbie Lesko won the special election that took place on April 24, 2018, defeating Democratic nominee Hiral Tipirneni with 53% of the vote. The district had a PVI of R+13.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Debbie Lesko (incumbent) 73,776 77.2
Republican Sandra E. Dowling21,82522.8
Total votes95,601 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Removed from the ballot
Declined
  • Robert Kyle Schuster [3] [117]
  • Brianna Westbrook, political activist and LGBTQ community leader (running for Arizona state senate) [118]

Endorsements

Hiral Tipirneni

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Hiral Tipirneni 52,215 100.0
Total votes52,215 100.0

Independent candidates

Not on the ballot

  • Augie Beyer [3]

General election

Campaign

The Lesko campaign was criticized for producing yard sign attacking Tipirneni as a "fake doctor" and as a "phony." on TV ads. These signs were taken down, but after Lesko accused Tipirneni of professional dishonesty during a TV appearance, the Arizona Medical Association withdrew its endorsement of Lesko. [119]

Endorsements

Debbie Lesko (R)

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Debbie
Lesko (R)
Hiral
Tipirneni (D)
Undecided
Lake Research Partners (D-Tipirneni) [121] September 24–26, 2018400± 4.9%48%44%8%
Lake Research Partners (D-Tipirneni) [122] August 7–13, 201840049%40%10%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [123] [46] Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [47] Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [48] Likely RNovember 5, 2018
RCP [49] Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [50] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538 [51] Likely RNovember 7, 2018
CNN [53] Likely ROctober 31, 2018
Politico [55] Likely RSeptember 21, 2018

Results

In the general election, Lesko won a full term, again defeating Tipirneni. [124]

Arizona's 8th congressional district, 2018 [56]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Debbie Lesko (incumbent) 168,835 55.5
Democratic Hiral Tipirneni 135,56944.5
New Paradigm PartySteven Hummel (write-in)130.0
Majority33,26611.0
Total votes304,417 100.0
Republican hold

District 9

2018 Arizona's 9th congressional district election
Flag of Arizona.svg
  2016
2020  
  Greg Stanton, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Greg Stanton Steve Ferrara
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote159,583101,662
Percentage61.1%38.9%

U.S. Representative before election

Kyrsten Sinema
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Greg Stanton
Democratic

The ninth district is based in suburban Phoenix and is centered around Tempe, and also includes portions of Chandler, Mesa, and Scottsdale. Incumbent Democrat Kyrsten Sinema, who had represented the district since 2013, did not seek re-election, instead running for U.S. Senate. She was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2016, and the district had a PVI of D+4, making it moderately competitive.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Not on the ballot
  • Talia Fuentes, [3] 2016 Democratic nominee for the 5th district [126]
Declined

Endorsements

Primary results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Greg Stanton 59,066 100.0
Total votes59,066 100.0

Republican primary

This district was one of 36 Democratic-held House districts targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee. [6]

Candidates

Nominee
  • Steve Ferrara, retired Navy Chief Medical Officer [3] [128]
Eliminated in primary
  • Irina Baroness von Behr, pilot and Tempe City Council candidate in 2016 [3] [129]
  • David Giles, engineer, business consultant and nominee for this seat in 2016 [3] [130]

Declined

Endorsements

Primary results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steve Ferrara 31,006 59.9
Republican David Giles16,72232.3
Republican Irina Baroness von Behr4,0207.8
Total votes51,748 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Withdrawn

General election

Endorsements

Steve Ferrara (R)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [46] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [47] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [48] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
RCP [49] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [50] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
538 [51] Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNN [52] [53] Likely DOctober 31, 2018
Politico [55] Likely DNovember 2, 2018

Results

Arizona's 9th congressional district, 2018 [56]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Greg Stanton 159,583 61.1
Republican Steve Ferrara101,66238.9
Majority57,92122.2
Total votes261,245 100.0
Democratic hold

Notes

  1. "Will not vote" with 1%

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