![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 54.46% ![]() | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||
Lee: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Dean: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in Tennessee |
---|
![]() |
![]() |
The 2018 Tennessee gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Tennessee, alongside other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Bill Haslam was term-limited, and is prohibited by the Constitution of Tennessee from seeking a third consecutive term. Republican candidate Bill Lee was elected with 59.6% of the vote, defeating Democratic nominee and former Nashville mayor Karl Dean.
The primary elections took place on August 2, 2018, with Republican Bill Lee and Democrat Karl Dean winning their respective party nominations. [2]
During the general election, Dean flipped back reliably Democratic Davidson, Haywood, and Shelby Counties, which voted for Republican Governor Bill Haslam in 2010.
The results of the election marked the first time since 1982 that a candidate from the incumbent president's party was elected governor of Tennessee. This is also the first time that Republicans won three consecutive gubernatorial elections in the state, and the first time that a Republican was elected to succeed another Republican.
As of 2018, this election had the largest number of candidates (28) in a statewide election in United States history; the previous record was the 2016 United States presidential election in Colorado. This large surge in candidates was mostly due to the Libertarian Party of Tennessee's protest of the state's party affiliation and ballot access laws. [3]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Diane Black | Randy Boyd | Beth Harwell | Bill Lee | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JMC Analytics | July 18–21, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 19% | 20% | 16% | 26% | 1% [64] | 17% |
Emerson College Archived August 18, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 11–14, 2018 | 266 | ± 6.4% | 27% | 22% | 14% | 19% | 3% | 14% |
Data Orbital | June 27–30, 2018 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 24% | 23% | 10% | 19% | – | 24% |
Triton Polling & Research (R) | June 25–28, 2018 | 1,040 | ± 3.1% | 27% | 33% | 7% | 20% | – | 13% |
OnMessage Inc. (R-Black) | May 14–17, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 28% | 8% | 9% | – | 15% |
Grassroots Targeting (R-Black) | May 4–6, 2018 | 800 | – | 41% | 26% | 6% | 11% | – | 15% |
OnMessage Inc. (R-Black) | April 2018 | – | – | 33% | 30% | 5% | 13% | – | – |
OnMessage Inc. (R-Black) | March 2018 | – | – | 31% | 31% | 10% | 10% | – | – |
TargetPoint/GQR | March 7–14, 2018 | 390 | ± 5.0% | 25% | 20% | 6% | 7% | 2% [65] | 37% |
North Star Onion Research (R-Lee) | February 5–11, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 22% | 25% | 4% | 18% | – | 30% |
Triton Polling & Research (R) | December 12–18, 2017 | 1,028 | ± 3.1% | 22% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 4% [66] | 53% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Lee | 291,414 | 36.75 | |
Republican | Randy Boyd | 193,054 | 24.35 | |
Republican | Diane Black | 182,457 | 23.01 | |
Republican | Beth Harwell | 121,484 | 15.32 | |
Republican | Kay White | 3,215 | 0.41 | |
Republican | Basil Marceaux | 1,264 | 0.16 | |
Total votes | 792,888 | 100.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Karl Dean | Craig Fitzhugh | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College Archived August 18, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 11–14, 2018 | 206 | ± 7.3% | 44% | 14% | 9% | 33% |
TargetPoint/GQR | March 7–14, 2018 | 288 | ± 5.8% | 41% | 11% | – | 44% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Karl Dean | 280,553 | 75.14 | |
Democratic | Craig Fitzhugh | 72,553 | 23.42 | |
Democratic | Mezianne Vale Payne | 20,284 | 5.44 | |
Total votes | 373,390 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [94] | Likely R | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post [95] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight [96] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report [97] | Safe R | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [98] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics [99] | Likely R | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos [100] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News [101] [lower-alpha 1] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Politico [102] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Governing [103] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bill Lee (R) | Karl Dean (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targoz Market Research | October 28–31, 2018 | 480 | – | 53% | 44% | – | 2% |
Emerson College | October 28–30, 2018 | 621 | ± 4.0% | 54% | 41% | 2% | 3% |
Fox News | October 27–30, 2018 | 718 LV | ± 3.5% | 54% | 37% | 2% | 7% |
850 RV | ± 3.0% | 52% | 36% | 2% | 9% | ||
Vox Populi Polling | October 27–29, 2018 | 780 | ± 3.5% | 56% | 44% | – | – |
CNN/SSRS | October 24–29, 2018 | 764 LV | ± 4.3% | 52% | 42% | 0% | 4% |
871 RV | ± 4.0% | 52% | 41% | 0% | 5% | ||
East Tennessee State University Archived November 5, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | October 22–29, 2018 | 495 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 36% | 5% | 9% |
Cygnal (R) | October 26–27, 2018 | 497 | ± 4.4% | 59% | 36% | 3% | 2% |
Marist College | October 23–27, 2018 | 471 LV | ± 5.7% | 57% | 40% | 1% | 3% |
764 RV | ± 4.4% | 56% | 39% | 1% | 4% | ||
Vanderbilt University/SSRS | October 8–13, 2018 | 800 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 37% | 0% | 12% |
Targoz Market Research | October 9–12, 2018 | 558 LV | – | 56% | 44% | – | – |
801 RV | – | 49% | 39% | – | 12% | ||
NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 8–11, 2018 | 593 | ± 4.2% | 59% | 33% | – | 8% |
Fox News | September 29 – October 2, 2018 | 666 LV | ± 3.5% | 53% | 36% | 1% | 10% |
806 RV | ± 3.5% | 52% | 35% | 1% | 10% | ||
SurveyMonkey | September 9–24, 2018 | 1,609 | ± 3.3% | 46% | 35% | – | 19% |
Vox Populi Polling | September 16–18, 2018 | 567 | ± 4.1% | 55% | 45% | – | – |
CNN/SSRS | September 11–15, 2018 | 723 LV | ± 4.3% | 52% | 43% | 0% | 3% |
852 RV | ± 3.9% | 49% | 43% | 0% | 5% | ||
Triton Polling & Research (R) | September 10–12, 2018 | 1,038 | ± 3.0% | 54% | 37% | – | 9% |
Fox News | September 8–11, 2018 | 686 LV | ± 3.5% | 55% | 35% | 1% | 10% |
809 RV | ± 3.5% | 52% | 34% | 2% | 12% | ||
Marist College | August 25–28, 2018 | 538 LV | ± 5.1% | 53% | 40% | 1% | 7% |
730 RV | ± 4.5% | 51% | 39% | 1% | 9% | ||
Gravis Marketing | August 9–11, 2018 | 620 | ± 3.9% | 51% | 40% | – | 9% |
Triton Polling & Research (R) | January 21–24, 2018 | 1,003 | ± 3.1% | 38% | 34% | – | 28% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Diane Black (R) | Karl Dean (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College Archived August 18, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 11–14, 2018 | 657 | ± 4.1% | 35% | 39% | 27% |
Triton Polling & Research (R) | January 21–24, 2018 | 1,003 | ± 3.1% | 46% | 35% | 19% |
Gravis Marketing | December 11–12, 2017 | 563 | ± 4.1% | 40% | 31% | 28% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Randy Boyd (R) | Karl Dean (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College Archived August 18, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 11–14, 2018 | 657 | ± 4.1% | 34% | 36% | 30% |
Triton Polling & Research (R) | January 21–24, 2018 | 1,003 | ± 3.1% | 43% | 34% | 23% |
Gravis Marketing | December 11–12, 2017 | 563 | ± 4.1% | 38% | 35% | 28% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Beth Harwell (R) | Karl Dean (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Triton Polling & Research (R) | January 21–24, 2018 | 1,003 | ± 3.1% | 43% | 33% | 25% |
Gravis Marketing | December 11–12, 2017 | 563 | ± 4.1% | 38% | 33% | 29% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Diane Black (R) | Craig Fitzhugh (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | December 11–12, 2017 | 563 | ± 4.1% | 42% | 27% | 31% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Randy Boyd (R) | Craig Fitzhugh (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | December 11–12, 2017 | 563 | ± 4.1% | 39% | 30% | 31% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Beth Harwell (R) | Craig Fitzhugh (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | December 11–12, 2017 | 563 | ± 4.1% | 44% | 24% | 32% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mae Beavers (R) | Karl Dean (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Triton Polling & Research (R) | January 21–24, 2018 | 1,003 | ± 3.1% | 36% | 36% | 28% |
Gravis Marketing | December 11–12, 2017 | 563 | ± 4.1% | 32% | 37% | 32% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mae Beavers (R) | Craig Fitzhugh (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | December 11–12, 2017 | 563 | ± 4.1% | 36% | 29% | 34% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Lee | 1,336,106 | 59.56% | −10.75% | |
Democratic | Karl Dean | 864,863 | 38.55% | +15.71% | |
Other | Other candidates | 42,314 | 1.89% | N/A | |
Write-in | 11 | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||
Total votes | 2,243,294 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Lee | 1,336,106 | 59.6 | |
Democratic | Karl Dean | 864,863 | 38.6 | |
Independent | Sherry L. Clark | 5,198 | 0.2 | |
Independent | Mark Wright | 4,687 | 0.2 | |
Independent | Patrick Whitlock | 3,631 | 0.2 | |
Independent | Yvonne Neubert | 3,070 | 0.1 | |
Independent | Heather Scott | 2,969 | 0.1 | |
Independent | Mark CoonRippy Brown | 2,841 | 0.1 | |
Independent | Joe B. Wilmoth | 2,444 | 0.1 | |
Independent | George Blackwell Smith IV | 1,550 | 0.1 | |
Independent | Cory King | 1,502 | 0.1 | |
Independent | Tracy C. Yaste Tisdale | 1,396 | 0.1 | |
Independent | Justin Cornett | 1,217 | 0.1 | |
Independent | Chad Riden | 1,096 | 0.0 | |
Independent | Robert Sawyers Sr. | 1,059 | 0.0 | |
Independent | Vinnie Vineyard | 1,012 | 0.0 | |
Independent | Rick Tyler | 981 | 0.0 | |
Independent | Gabriel Fancher | 869 | 0.0 | |
Independent | Sean Bruce Fleming | 814 | 0.0 | |
Independent | Alfred Shawn Rapoza | 800 | 0.0 | |
Independent | Jessie D. McDonald | 755 | 0.0 | |
Independent | Toney Randall Mitchell | 739 | 0.0 | |
Independent | Mike Toews | 726 | 0.0 | |
Independent | Matthew Koch | 652 | 0.0 | |
Independent | Jeremy Allen Stephenson | 613 | 0.0 | |
Independent | Tommy Ray McAnally | 609 | 0.0 | |
Independent | Jaron D. Weidner | 588 | 0.0 | |
Independent | William Andrew Helmstetter | 496 | 0.0 | |
Independent | Eddie Murphy (write-in) | 11 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 2,243,294 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
Lee won 7 of 9 congressional districts. [105]
District | Lee | Dean | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 76.2% | 22.7% | Phil Roe |
2nd | 63.5% | 35.4% | Jimmy Duncan (115th Congress) |
Tim Burchett (116th Congress) | |||
3rd | 64.0% | 35.0% | Chuck Fleischmann |
4th | 66.0% | 33.0% | Scott DesJarlais |
5th | 35.6% | 59.3% | Jim Cooper |
6th | 69.7% | 29.3% | Diane Black (115th Congress) |
John Rose (116th Congress) | |||
7th | 65.4% | 32.6% | Marsha Blackburn (115th Congress) |
Mark Green (116th Congress) | |||
8th | 66.5% | 32.2% | David Kustoff |
9th | 21.5% | 74.9% | Steve Cohen |
Diane Lynn Black is an American politician who served as a U.S. Representative for Tennessee's 6th congressional district from January 3, 2011, to January 3, 2019. The district includes several suburban and rural areas east of Nashville. A Republican, she was previously elected to the Tennessee Senate, serving as floor leader of the Republican Caucus. She unsuccessfully ran for the Republican nomination in the 2018 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
John Bruce "Chip" Saltsman Jr. is an American politician who has served as chairman of the Tennessee Republican Party from 1999 to 2001, senior political advisor to former Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist, and manager of Mike Huckabee's 2008 presidential campaign. He also worked for the Chuck Fleischmann campaign in Tennessee's 3rd district from 2009 to 2010. Saltsman also worked for Randy Boyd's unsuccessful Tennessee Gubernatorial campaign in 2018.
The 2014 United States Senate election in Tennessee took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate from the State of Tennessee. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Lamar Alexander defeated Democrat Gordon Ball, and was re-elected to a third term in office with 61.9% of the vote against 31.9%.
The 2014 Tennessee gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Tennessee, alongside other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Bill Haslam was re-elected to a second term with 70.3% of the vote, defeating his Democratic challenger Charles Brown. Improving on his performance from 2010, Haslam also carried every county in the state.
The 2018 Michigan gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Michigan, concurrently with the election of Michigan's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
The 2018 United States Senate election in Maine was held on November 6, 2018, alongside a gubernatorial election, U.S. House elections, and other state and local elections. Incumbent independent Senator Angus King won re-election to a second term, defeating Democratic nominee Zak Ringelstein and Republican nominee Eric Brakey. This was one of two independent-held Senate seats up for election in a state that Hillary Clinton won in the 2016 presidential election.
The 2018 Illinois gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Illinois, concurrently with the 2018 Illinois general election and other midterm elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Bruce Rauner ran for re-election to a second term in office, but was defeated by Democratic nominee J. B. Pritzker. This was one of eight Republican-held governorships up for election in a state that Hillary Clinton won in the 2016 presidential election.
The 2018 New York gubernatorial election occurred on November 6, 2018. Incumbent Democratic Governor Andrew Cuomo won re-election to a third term, defeating Republican Marc Molinaro and several minor party candidates. Cuomo received 59.6% of the vote to Molinaro's 36.2%.
The 2018 Ohio gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Ohio, concurrently with the election of Ohio's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various Ohio and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor John Kasich was term-limited and could not seek re-election for a third consecutive term.
The 2018 Minnesota gubernatorial election took place on November 6, to elect the 41st Governor of Minnesota as incumbent Democratic (DFL) Governor Mark Dayton chose not to run for re-election for a third term. The Democratic nominee was U.S. Representative Tim Walz from Minnesota's 1st congressional district while the Republican Party nominated Hennepin County commissioner Jeff Johnson for a second consecutive time. The Independence Party of Minnesota did not field a candidate for the first time since 1994. Going into the election polls showed Walz ahead; the race was characterized as lean or likely DFL.
The 2018 Oklahoma gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Oklahoma. Incumbent Republican Governor Mary Fallin was term-limited, and was prohibited by the Constitution of Oklahoma from seeking another gubernatorial term. Republican Businessman Kevin Stitt was elected elected with 54.3% of the vote, defeating Democratic nominee and former Oklahoma attorney general Drew Edmondson.
The 2018 United States Senate election in Tennessee took place on November 6, 2018, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Bob Corker opted to retire instead of running for a third term. Republican U.S. Representative Marsha Blackburn won the open seat, defeating former Democratic Governor Phil Bredesen.
The 2018 Texas gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Texas, concurrently with the election of Texas's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other congressional, state and local elections throughout the United States and Texas. Incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott won re-election to a second term in office defeating Democratic nominee Lupe Valdez, the former sheriff of Dallas County, and Libertarian nominee Mark Tippetts, a former member of the Lago Vista city council.
The 2020 United States Senate election in Tennessee was held on November 3, 2020, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate. The 2020 U.S. presidential election and elections to the U.S. House of Representatives were also held, as well as the State Senate and State House elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Lamar Alexander announced that he would not run for re-election on December 17, 2018. The former United States Ambassador to Japan, Bill Hagerty won the open seat by a large margin defeating his Democratic opponent Marquita Bradshaw.
The 2018 New Mexico gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of New Mexico, concurrently with the election of New Mexico's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various local elections. This was one of eight Republican-held governorships up for election in a state carried by Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election.
The 2020 Indiana gubernatorial election was won by incumbent Republican Eric Holcomb on November 3, 2020. The election was held concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the state of Tennessee, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including the gubernatorial election.
The 2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Tennessee, alongside other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Bill Lee was re-elected to a second term with 64.9% of the vote, defeating his Democratic challenger Jason Martin. Lee improved on his performance from 2018.
The 2022 Alabama gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Alabama. Incumbent Governor Kay Ivey took office on April 10, 2017, upon the resignation of Robert J. Bentley (R) and won a full term in 2018. In 2022, she won her bid for a second full term in a landslide.
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the state of Tennessee, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link){{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)The National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund (NRA-PVF) today endorsed Rep. Diane Black for governor in the Tennessee Republican Primary Election.
...the National Rifle Association's Political Victory Fund (NRA-PVF) today endorsed Bill Lee for governor of Tennessee.