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All 14 Michigan seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Turnout | 57.8% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Michigan |
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 14 U.S. representatives from the state of Michigan, one from each of the state's 14 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other offices, including a gubernatorial election, other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The filing deadline for candidates filing for the August 7 primary was April 24, 2018. [1] Unless otherwise indicated, the Cook Political Report rated the congressional races as safe for the party of the incumbent.
Two seats shifted from Republican to Democratic control. In the 8th Congressional District, Elissa Slotkin defeated incumbent Mike Bishop and in an open seat for the 11th Congressional District, Haley Stevens defeated Lena Epstein. [2] This left Michigan's U.S. House delegation in the 116th United States Congress with seven Democrats and seven Republicans until July 4, 2019, when Justin Amash of the 3rd Congressional District left the Republican Party to become an independent, shifting the balance of power in Michigan's House delegation to a Democratic plurality for the first time since 2011.
Party | Candi- dates | Votes | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
Democratic Party | 14 | 2,165,586 | 52.33% | 7 | 2 | 50.00% | |
Republican Party | 13 | 1,847,480 | 44.65% | 7 | 2 | 50.00% | |
Working Class Party | 5 | 52,879 | 1.28% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
U.S. Taxpayers' Party | 4 | 27,007 | 0.65% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Independent | 3 | 18,299 | 0.44% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Green Party | 3 | 14,805 | 0.36% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Libertarian Party | 2 | 12,095 | 0.29% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Total | 44 | 4,138,151 | 100.00% | 14 | 100.00% |
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan by district: [3]
District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 145,246 | 43.68% | 187,251 | 56.32% | 0 | 0.00% | 332,497 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 2 | 131,254 | 42.97% | 168,970 | 55.32% | 5,239 | 1.72% | 305,463 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 3 | 134,185 | 43.18% | 169,107 | 54.42% | 7,448 | 2.40% | 310,740 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 4 | 106,540 | 37.38% | 178,510 | 62.62% | 0 | 0.00% | 285,050 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 5 | 164,502 | 59.51% | 99,265 | 35.91% | 12,646 | 4.58% | 276,413 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 6 | 134,082 | 45.69% | 147,436 | 50.24% | 11,920 | 4.06% | 293,438 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 7 | 136,330 | 46.20% | 158,730 | 53.80% | 0 | 0.00% | 295,060 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 8 | 172,880 | 50.61% | 159,782 | 46.78% | 8,931 | 2.61% | 341,593 | 100.00% | Democratic gain |
District 9 | 181,734 | 59.67% | 112,123 | 36.81% | 10,706 | 3.52% | 304,563 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 10 | 106,061 | 35.00% | 182,808 | 60.32% | 14,195 | 4.68% | 303,064 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 11 | 181,912 | 51.84% | 158,463 | 45.16% | 10,526 | 3.00% | 350,901 | 100.00% | Democratic gain |
District 12 | 200,588 | 68.08% | 85,115 | 28.89% | 8,925 | 3.03% | 294,628 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 13 | 165,355 | 84.24% | 0 | 0.00% | 30,944 | 15.76% | 196,299 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 14 | 214,334 | 80.88% | 45,899 | 17.32% | 4,761 | 1.80% | 264,994 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
Total | 2,175,003 | 52.35% | 1,853,459 | 44.61% | 126,241 | 3.04% | 4,154,703 | 100.00% |
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Bergman: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Morgan 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district consists of the entire Upper Peninsula of Michigan and the northern part of the Lower Peninsula including Alpena, Marquette, and Traverse City. This district has a PVI of R+9. The district, which makes up about 44% of the land area of the state of Michigan, is the second-largest congressional district east of the Mississippi River by land area. The incumbent was Republican Jack Bergman, who had represented the district since 2017. He was elected to replace retiring representative Dan Benishek with 55% of the vote in 2016. The Cook Political Report rated this race "likely Republican." [4]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jack Bergman (incumbent) | 83,272 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 83,272 | 100.0 |
Matt Morgan was the only Democrat to file to run. However, he was removed from the ballot because he used a PO box address on his nomination petitions instead of his residential address. Instead, Morgan ran a write-in campaign, hoping to qualify for the ballot by winning at least five percent of the total votes cast in the district for the Democratic gubernatorial primary. [5] Over 4,800 votes were cast in Marquette County, which would have been enough by itself to qualify Morgan for the ballot. [6] According to official results, Democrats cast 29,293 write-in votes in the primary for Morgan, more than seven times the 3,781-vote threshold. On August 24, the Board of State Canvassers placed him on the November ballot. [7]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Matthew W. Morgan (write-in) | 29,293 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 29,293 | 100.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jack Bergman (R) | Matt Morgan (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D) [13] | October 27–29, 2018 | 574 | – | 54% | 42% | – |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [14] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [15] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [17] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [18] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
538 [19] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jack Bergman (incumbent) | 187,251 | 56.3 | |
Democratic | Matt Morgan | 145,246 | 43.7 | |
Total votes | 332,497 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Huizenga: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Davidson 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district is located in West Michigan and is anchored by the suburbs of Grand Rapids such as Kentwood and Wyoming, other cities include Holland and Muskegon. This district has a PVI of R+9. The incumbent was Republican Bill Huizenga, who had represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 63% of the vote in 2016.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Huizenga (incumbent) | 79,620 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 79,620 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Rob Davidson | 52,221 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 52,221 | 100.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bill Huizenga (R) | Rob Davidson (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lake Research Partners (D-Davidson) [22] | October 11–15, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 42% | 7% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [14] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [15] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [17] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [18] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
538 [19] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Huizenga (incumbent) | 168,970 | 55.3 | |
Democratic | Rob Davidson | 131,254 | 43.0 | |
Constitution | Ron Graeser | 5,239 | 1.7 | |
Total votes | 305,463 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Amash: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Albro: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is located in inland West Michigan, centered on the city of Grand Rapids, and extends down to Battle Creek and Marshall. This district has a PVI of R+6. The incumbent was Republican Justin Amash, who had represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 59% of the vote in 2016.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Justin Amash (incumbent) | 69,817 | 99.9 | |
Republican | Joe Farrington (write-in) | 52 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 69,869 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Cathy Albro | 42,619 | 68.2 | |
Democratic | Fred Wooden | 19,903 | 31.8 | |
Total votes | 62,522 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [14] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [15] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [17] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [18] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
538 [19] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Justin Amash (incumbent) | 169,107 | 54.4 | |
Democratic | Cathy Albro | 134,185 | 43.2 | |
Constitution | Ted Gerrard | 7,445 | 2.4 | |
Independent | Joe Farrington (write-in) | 3 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 310,740 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Moolenaar: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Hillard: 50–60% 60–70% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is located in Northern and Central Michigan including portions of the Tri-Cities region, specifically Midland, other cites include Mount Pleasant and the northern suburbs of Lansing. This district has a PVI of R+10. The incumbent was Republican John Moolenaar, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 62% of the vote in 2016.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Moolenaar (incumbent) | 80,290 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 80,290 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jerry Hilliard | 32,263 | 66.5 | |
Democratic | Zigmond Kozicki | 16,261 | 33.5 | |
Total votes | 48,524 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Moolenaar (incumbent) | 178,510 | 62.6 | |
Democratic | Jerry Hilliard | 106,540 | 37.4 | |
Total votes | 285,050 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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The 5th district is located along the eastern coast of Michigan, centered on the Tri-Cities region of Mid Michigan, such as Bay City and Saginaw, and stretches down into Flint. This district has a PVI of D+5. The incumbent was Democrat Dan Kildee, who had represented the district since 2013. He was re-elected to a third term with 61% of the vote in 2016. Kildee considered running for governor in 2018, but decided to run for re-election instead. [23]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dan Kildee (incumbent) | 73,996 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 73,996 | 100.0 |
Michigan's 5th district was included on the initial list of Democratic held seats being targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018. [24] There is one Republican candidate, Durand resident Travis Wines who lives outside the district. [8]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Travis Wines | 44,405 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 44,405 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dan Kildee (incumbent) | 164,502 | 59.5 | |
Republican | Travis Wines | 99,265 | 35.9 | |
Working Class | Kathy Goodwin | 12,646 | 4.6 | |
Total votes | 276,413 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Upton: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Longjohn: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district is located in Southwestern corner of Michigan, specifically the Michiana region. The district is anchored by Kalamazoo and the surrounding areas including Benton Harbor and Niles. This district has a PVI of R+4. The incumbent was Republican Fred Upton, who had represented the district since 1993 and previously represented the 4th district from 1987 to 1993. He was re-elected to a sixteenth term with 59% of the vote in 2016. The Cook Political Report rated this race as "likely Republican." [4]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Fred Upton (incumbent) | 64,512 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 64,512 | 100.0 |
Failed to qualify
Statewide officials
Individuals
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Matt Longjohn | 22,412 | 37.0 | |
Democratic | George Franklin | 17,493 | 28.9 | |
Democratic | David Benac | 12,867 | 21.3 | |
Democratic | Rich Eichholz | 7,719 | 12.8 | |
Total votes | 60,491 | 100.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Fred Upton (R) | Matt Longjohn (D) | Stephen Young (T) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D) [13] | November 2–4, 2018 | 460 | – | 40% | 42% | 3% | 14% |
Change Research (D) [13] | October 27–29, 2018 | 466 | – | 46% | 43% | – | – |
DCCC (D) [34] | October 9–10, 2018 | 605 | ± 4.2% | 49% | 46% | – | – |
Public Policy Polling (D) [35] | September 4–5, 2018 | 750 | – | 45% | 41% | – | – |
Global Strategy Group (D-Longjohn) [36] | August 24–29, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 47% | 41% | 3% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Fred Upton (R) | Democratic opponent (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) [37] | November 8–9, 2017 | 681 | ± 3.8% | 42% | 41% | – | 17% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [14] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [15] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [17] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [18] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
538 [19] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Fred Upton (incumbent) | 147,436 | 50.2 | |
Democratic | Matt Longjohn | 134,082 | 45.7 | |
Constitution | Stephen Young | 11,920 | 4.1 | |
Total votes | 293,438 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Walberg: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Driskell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district is located in Southern Michigan including downtown Lansing and the western suburbs of Ann Arbor including Lodi and Milan, other cities include Adrian, Coldwater, and Jackson. This district has a PVI of R+7. The incumbent was Republican Tim Walberg, who had represented the district since 2011 and previously represented the district from 2007 to 2009. He was re-elected to a fourth consecutive and fifth total term with 55% of the vote in 2016. The Cook Political Report rated this race as "likely Republican." [4]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tim Walberg (incumbent) | 69,248 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 69,248 | 100.0 |
Michigan's 7th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [38]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gretchen Driskell | 52,430 | 85.2 | |
Democratic | Steven Friday | 9,083 | 14.8 | |
Total votes | 61,513 | 100.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gretchen Driskell (D) | Tim Walberg (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DCCC (D) [42] | February 19–21, 2018 | 400 | – | 37% | 41% | – |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [14] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [15] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [17] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [18] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
538 [19] | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tim Walberg (incumbent) | 158,730 | 53.8 | |
Democratic | Gretchen Driskell | 136,330 | 46.2 | |
Total votes | 295,060 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Slotkin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Bishop: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district was centered on the state capital, Lansing, and stretches into the northern outskirts of Metro Detroit including Rochester Hills. This district has a PVI of R+4. The incumbent was Republican Mike Bishop, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 56% of the vote in 2016. This race was considered competitive, with the Cook Political Report rating it as 'Tossup' in August 2018. [43] [4] With $28 million spent, it drew the most campaign spending for a U.S. House seat in Michigan's history. [44] Elissa Slotkin defeated Bishop, flipping the district to the Democratic side.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Bishop (incumbent) | 75,403 | 92.3 | |
Republican | Lokesh Kumar | 6,254 | 7.7 | |
Total votes | 81,657 | 100.0 |
Michigan's 8th district had been included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [38]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Elissa Slotkin | 57,819 | 70.7 | |
Democratic | Christopher E. Smith | 23,996 | 29.3 | |
Total votes | 81,815 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Brian Ellison | 522 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 522 | 100.0 |
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mike Bishop (R) | Elissa Slotkin (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D) [48] | November 2–4, 2018 | 501 | – | 46% | 47% | 3% [49] | 5% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College [50] | October 31 – November 4, 2018 | 447 | ± 5.0% | 42% | 49% | 2% | 6% |
Target Insyght [51] | October 15–17, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 48% | 45% | 3% [52] | 4% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College [53] | September 28 – October 3, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.8% | 47% | 44% | – | 10% |
GQR Research (D-Slotkin) [54] | September 17–20, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 47% | – | 10% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Bishop) [55] | September 16–18, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 43% | – | – |
Public Policy Polling (D) [56] | April 16–17, 2018 | 668 | ± 3.8% | 46% | 41% | – | 13% |
Target Insyght [57] | April 3–5, 2018 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 45% | 39% | – | 16% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [14] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [15] | Tilt D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [17] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [18] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
538 [19] | Lean D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Elissa Slotkin | 172,880 | 50.6 | |
Republican | Mike Bishop (incumbent) | 159,782 | 46.8 | |
Libertarian | Brian Ellison | 6,302 | 1.8 | |
Constitution | David Lillis | 2,629 | 0.8 | |
Total votes | 341,593 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
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Levin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Stearns: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 9th district is located in Metro Detroit including Roseville, Royal Oak, and Warren. This district has a PVI of D+4. The incumbent was Democrat Sander Levin, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 12th district from 1993 to 2013 and the 17th district from 1983 to 1993. He was re-elected to an eighteenth term with 58% of the vote in 2016. In December 2017, Levin announced his retirement, and that he would not seek re-election in 2018. [58]
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Martin Brook | Andy Levin | Ellen Lipton | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EPIC-MRA [63] | July 25–26, 2018 | 730 | ± 3.7% | 4% | 55% | 31% | 10% |
Lake Research Partners (D-Levin) [64] | July 9–12, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 4% | 51% | 12% | 30% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Steve Bieda | Andy Levin | Ellen Lipton | Undecided | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GQR Research [65] | March 17–19, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 17% | — | 42% | 8% | 33% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Andy Levin | 49,612 | 52.4 | |
Democratic | Ellen Lipton | 40,174 | 42.5 | |
Democratic | Martin Brook | 4,865 | 5.1 | |
Total votes | 94,651 | 100.0 |
Michigan's 9th district was included on the initial list of Democratic held seats being targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018. [24]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Candius Stearns | 47,410 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 47,410 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Andy Levin | 181,734 | 59.7 | |
Republican | Candius Stearns | 112,123 | 36.8 | |
Working Class | Andrea Kirby | 6,797 | 2.2 | |
Green | John McDermott | 3,909 | 1.3 | |
Total votes | 304,563 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Mitchell: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Bizon: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 10th district is located in an area of the Lower Peninsula of Michigan known as The Thumb and parts of the Metro Detroit area including Chesterfield, Macomb, and Port Huron. This is the most Republican friendly district with a PVI of R+13. The incumbent was Republican Paul Mitchell, who had represented the district since 2017. He was elected to replace retiring representative Candice Miller with 63% of the vote in 2016.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Paul Mitchell (incumbent) | 81,867 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 81,867 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kimberly Bizon | 21,944 | 41.1 | |
Democratic | Frank Accavitti Jr. | 17,047 | 32.0 | |
Democratic | Michael McCarthy | 14,353 | 26.9 | |
Total votes | 53,344 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Paul Mitchell (incumbent) | 182,808 | 60.8 | |
Democratic | Kimberly Bizon | 106,061 | 35.0 | |
Independent | Jeremy Peruski | 11,344 | 3.7 | |
Green | Harley Mikkelson | 2,851 | 0.9 | |
Total votes | 303,064 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Stevens: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Epstein: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 11th district is located in Metro Detroit including Livonia, Novi, and Troy. This district had a PVI of R+4. The incumbent was Republican Dave Trott, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 53% of the vote in 2016. Trott was not running for re-election in 2018. [66] [67] This race is considered to be competitive; the Cook Political Report rated this contest as a "toss up." [4]
Local officials
Newspapers
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kerry Bentivolio | Lena Epstein | Klint Kesto | Mike Kowall | Rocky Raczkowski | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitchell Research (R) [82] | July 30, 2018 | 305 | ± 5.7% | 14% | 27% | 11% | 10% | 18% | 20% |
EPIC-MRA [83] | July 23–24, 2018 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 7% | 26% | 12% | 8% | 19% | 28% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Lena Epstein | 26,925 | 30.9 | |
Republican | Rocky Raczkowski | 22,216 | 25.5 | |
Republican | Mike Kowall | 16,011 | 18.4 | |
Republican | Klint Kesto | 12,213 | 14.0 | |
Republican | Kerry Bentivolio | 9,831 | 11.3 | |
Total votes | 87,196 | 100.0 |
Michigan's 11th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [38]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tim Greimel | Suneel Gupta | Fayrouz Saad | Nancy Skinner | Haley Stevens | Other | Undecided |
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EPIC-MRA [83] | July 23–24, 2018 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 4% | 17% | — | 34% |
Target-Insyght [91] | July 16–18, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 14% | 15% | 7% | — | 21% | 4% [92] | 39% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Haley Stevens | 24,309 | 27.0 | |
Democratic | Tim Greimel | 19,673 | 21.8 | |
Democratic | Suneel Gupta | 19,250 | 21.4 | |
Democratic | Fayrouz Saad | 17,499 | 19.4 | |
Democratic | Nancy Skinner | 9,407 | 10.5 | |
Total votes | 90,138 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Leonard Schwartz | 536 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 536 | 100.0 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Lena Epstein (R) | Haley Stevens (D) | Other | Undecided |
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Target Insyght [99] | October 15–17, 2018 | 513 | ± 4.3% | 48% | 48% | 2% | 3% |
ALG Research (D-Stevens) [100] | October 10–14, 2018 | 513 | ± 4.3% | 34% | 44% | 4% [101] | 16% |
Harper Polling (R-Epstein) [102] | October 10–13, 2018 | 465 | ± 5.0% | 35% | 36% | 2% [103] | 27% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College [104] | October 1–6, 2018 | 465 | ± 5.0% | 38% | 45% | – | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Republican candidate | Democratic candidate | Other | Undecided |
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Public Policy Polling (D) [105] | February 12–13, 2018 | 653 | ± 3.8% | 42% | 45% | – | 13% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [106] | October 5–8, 2017 | 709 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 42% | – | 16% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [14] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [15] | Tilt D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [17] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [18] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
538 [19] | Likely D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Haley Stevens | 181,912 | 51.8 | |
Republican | Lena Epstein | 158,463 | 45.2 | |
Libertarian | Leonard Schwartz | 5,799 | 1.7 | |
Independent | Cooper Nye | 4,727 | 1.3 | |
Total votes | 350,901 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
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County results Dingell: 50-60% 80-90% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Dingell: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Jones: 40–50% 50–60% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 12th district is based in Ann Arbor and the surrounding cities including Ypsilanti, and the western suburbs of Detroit including Dearborn and Lincoln Park. This district has a PVI of D+14. The incumbent was Democrat Debbie Dingell, who had represented the district since 2015. She was re-elected with 64% of the vote in 2016.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Debbie Dingell (incumbent) | 103,278 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 103,278 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jeff Jones | 33,839 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 33,839 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Debbie Dingell (incumbent) | 200,588 | 68.1 | |
Republican | Jeff Jones | 85,115 | 28.9 | |
Working Class | Gary Walkowicz | 6,712 | 2.3 | |
Independent | Niles Niemuth | 2,213 | 0.7 | |
Total votes | 294,628 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Precinct results Tlaib: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 13th district is located entirely within Wayne County and is centered on the city of the Detroit and the immediate surrounding suburbs including Dearborn Heights, Garden City, and Westland. This is the most Democratic-friendly district with a PVI of D+32. The seat was vacant for most of 2018, following the resignation of John Conyers in December 2017. [107] A special primary and special general election were held in August and November 2018, on dates coinciding with the already scheduled primary and general elections in a money-saving move by Michigan Governor Rick Snyder. [108]
Conyers represented the district from 2013 to 2017. He previously represented the 14th district from 1993 to 2013, and the 1st district from 1965 to 1993. He was Dean of the United States House of Representatives, and was re-elected to a twenty-seventh term with 77% of the vote in 2016.
Former state representative Rashida Tlaib, a member of Democratic Socialists of America, won the Democratic primary. Tlaib, however, lost the special primary to Brenda Jones, president of the Detroit City Council. Jones served for the final 35 days of the unexpired term before Tlaib was sworn in.
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ian Conyers | Shanelle Jackson | Brenda Jones | Rashida Tlaib | Bill Wild | Coleman Young | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EPIC-MRA [120] | July 25–26, 2018 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 7% | 5% | 26% | 22% | 20% | 9% | 11% |
Target-Insyght [91] | July 16–18, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 19% | 20% | 14% | 14% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||||||
Ian Conyers | Shanelle Jackson | Brenda Jones | Rashida Tlaib | Bill Wild | Coleman Young II | |||||
1 | Aug. 2, 2018 | WDIV-TV | Devin Scillian | [121] | P | P | P | P | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Rashida Tlaib | 27,841 | 31.2 | |
Democratic | Brenda Jones | 26,941 | 30.2 | |
Democratic | Bill Wild | 12,613 | 14.1 | |
Democratic | Coleman Young II | 11,172 | 12.5 | |
Democratic | Ian Conyers | 5,866 | 6.6 | |
Democratic | Shanelle Jackson | 4,853 | 5.4 | |
Democratic | Kimberly Hill Knott (write-in) | 33 | 0.0 | |
Democratic | Royce Kinniebrew (write-in) | 2 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 89,321 | 100.0 |
David Dudenhoefer was the only Republican candidate to announce his run for the Republican nomination, but he failed to qualify. He did, however, run as a write-in candidate. As a result, Tlaib was opposed in the general election only by minor party candidates and write-in candidates.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | David Anthony Dudenhoefer (write-in) | 420 | 14.9 | |
Republican | Other write-ins | 2,391 | 85.1 | |
Total votes | 2,811 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Rashida Tlaib | 165,355 | 84.2 | |
Working Class | Sam Johnson | 22,186 | 11.3 | |
Green | D. Etta Wilcoxon | 7,980 | 4.1 | |
Independent | Brenda Jones (write-in) | 633 | 0.3 | |
n/a | Other write-ins | 145 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 196,299 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Lawrence: 70-80% 80-90% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Lawrence: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Herschfus: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 14th district stretches from the northern Detroit suburbs including Farmington Hills, Southfield, and West Bloomfield, to eastern part of Detroit. This district has a PVI of D+30. The incumbent was Democrat Brenda Lawrence, who had represented the district since 2015. She was re-elected to a second term with 79% of the vote in 2016.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brenda Lawrence (incumbent) | 106,464 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 106,464 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Marc Herschfus | 18,546 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 18,546 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brenda Lawrence (incumbent) | 214,334 | 80.9 | |
Republican | Marc Herschfus | 45,899 | 17.3 | |
Working Class | Philip Kolodny | 4,761 | 1.8 | |
Total votes | 264,994 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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