2018 Georgia gubernatorial election

Last updated

2018 Georgia gubernatorial election
Flag of Georgia (U.S. state).svg
  2014 November 6, 2018 2022  
Turnout56.80% Increase2.svg 14.55pp
  David Perdue and Brian Kemp (cropped) (cropped).jpg Stacey Abrams (51584070384) (cropped).jpg
Nominee Brian Kemp Stacey Abrams
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,978,4081,923,685
Percentage50.22%48.83%

2018 Georgia gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2018 Georgia Gubernatorial election by Congressional District.svg
2018 GA Gov.svg
Kemp:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Abrams:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

Governor before election

Nathan Deal
Republican

Elected Governor

Brian Kemp
Republican

The 2018 Georgia gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, concurrently with other statewide and local elections to elect the next governor of the U.S. state of Georgia. Republican Secretary of State Brian Kemp won the election, defeating Democratic former State Representative Stacey Abrams.

Contents

The primary elections were held on May 22, 2018, and a primary runoff was held on July 24, 2018, between Republican candidates Kemp and Lieutenant Governor Casey Cagle; Kemp prevailed. Incumbent Republican governor Nathan Deal was term-limited and thus could not seek a third consecutive term. Abrams won the Democratic primary with over 75% of the vote, allowing her to avoid a runoff. Kemp was the sitting Secretary of State at the time of the election. Kemp's position led to accusations of a conflict of interest, as Kemp oversaw the administration of an election in which he was the candidate.

On November 7, Kemp declared victory over Abrams. The following morning, Kemp resigned as Secretary of State. [1] On November 16, every county certified their votes with Kemp leading by roughly 55,000 votes. [2] Shortly after the election certification, Abrams suspended her campaign; she accepted Kemp as the legal winner of the election while refusing to say that the election was legitimate. [3] [4] Abrams has since claimed numerous [5] instances of election activity that allegedly unfairly affected the results. Following the election, Abrams and her organization Fair Fight filed a number of lawsuits challenging the constitutionality and Voting Rights Act compliance of Georgia's voting laws. [6]

Kemp prevailed by 54,723 votes, defeating Abrams 50.2–48.8%. Georgia's 2018 gubernatorial election was its closest governor's race since 1966. [7] Kemp was re-elected governor in 2022 in a rematch with Abrams.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in the runoff

Eliminated in the primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Casey Cagle

Governors

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State senators

State representatives

Individuals

Organizations

Hunter Hill

U.S. senators

State representatives

U.S. representatives

Clay Tippins

State representatives

Michael Williams

Individuals

First round

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Casey
Cagle
Hunter
Hill
Brian
Kemp
Clay
Tippins
Michael
Williams
OtherUndecided
Opinion Savvy [45] May 15–16, 2018515± 4.3%31%14%20%12%5%4%15%
SurveyUSA [46] May 10–15, 2018558± 5.1%35%10%17%8%3%27%
University of Georgia [47] April 19–26, 2018507± 4.4%41%9%10%4%3%1% [48] 33%
Meeting Street Research (R-Citizens for Georgia's Future) [49] March 1 and 3–4, 2018500± 4.4%38%10%10%3%2%3% [50] 35%
Clarion Research (R-Hill) [51] March 2–3, 2018547± 4.5%48%21%15%8%7%
Mason-Dixon [52] February 20–23, 2018500± 4.5%27%11%13%12%5%1% [53] 31%
Meeting Street Research (R-Citizens for Georgia's Future) [49] February 6–7, 2018500± 4.4%31%7%12%5%2%3%40%
The Wickers Group (R-Kemp) [54] October 21–24, 2017400± 4.5%34%1%13%0%1%48%
Landmark/Rosetta Stone [55] October 16–17, 2017800± 3.5%35%9%7%1%4%44%
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Cagle) [56] September 28 – October 1, 2017600± 4.0%41%4%12%2%3%39%

Results

Initial primary results by county:
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Cagle--50-60%
Cagle--40-50%
Cagle--<40%
Kemp--<40%
Kemp--40-50%
Kemp--50-60%
Hill--<40%
Tie Georgia gubernatorial Republican primary, 2018.svg
Initial primary results by county:
  Cagle—50–60%
  Cagle—40–50%
  Cagle—<40%
  Kemp—<40%
  Kemp—40–50%
  Kemp—50–60%
  Hill—<40%
  Tie
Republican primary results [57] [58]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Casey Cagle 236,987 38.95
Republican Brian Kemp 155,189 25.51
Republican Hunter Hill 111,46418.32
Republican Clay Tippins74,18212.19
Republican Michael Williams 29,6194.87
Republican Eddie Hayes9390.15
Total votes608,380 100

Runoff

Casey Cagle and Brian Kemp advanced to a runoff on July 24, 2018, since neither candidate amassed over 50% of the vote in the May 22 primary. [59] On July 18, 2018, President Trump tweeted his support for Kemp, and Vice President Pence traveled to Georgia to campaign with him on July 20, 2018. [60]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Casey
Cagle
Brian
Kemp
Undecided
Trafalgar Group (R) [61] July 21–22, 20181,177± 2.7%41%59%0%
SurveyUSA [62] July 15–19, 2018688± 4.7%34%40%26%
Opinion Savvy [63] July 17–18, 2018466± 4.5%37%55%8%
University of Georgia [64] July 5–12, 2018769± 3.5%41%44%15%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Kemp) [65] June 26–28, 2018500± 4.0%45%45%
Cygnal [66] June 26–27, 2018812± 3.4%44%43%14%
Rosetta Stone [67] June 7, 2018400± 4.9%48%41%12%
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Cagle) [68] May 29–31, 2018500± 4.5%52%42%5%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Kemp) [69] May 29–31, 2018600± 4.0%46%45%9%

Debates

DatesLocationKempCagleLink
July 6, 2018 Augusta, Georgia ParticipantParticipantFull debate: Video on YouTube

Results

Brian Kemp easily won the runoff by nearly 40 points despite the latest polls having him up by no more than 18. Cagle won only two counties, Monroe and Stephens. [70]

Runoff results by county:
Kemp--80-90%
Kemp--70-80%
Kemp--60-70%
Kemp--50-60%
Cagle--50-60%
Cagle--60-70% Georgia gubernatorial Republican runoff primary, 2018.svg
Runoff results by county:
  Kemp—80–90%
  Kemp—70–80%
  Kemp—60–70%
  Kemp—50–60%
  Cagle—50–60%
  Cagle—60–70%
Republican primary runoff results [71]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Brian Kemp 408,595 69.45
Republican Casey Cagle 179,71230.55
Total votes588,307 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in the primary

Declined

Endorsements

Stacey Abrams

Federal politicians

Statewide and local politicians

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Websites and newspapers

Stacey Evans

Federal politicians

Statewide politicians

State legislators

Local politicians

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Stacey
Abrams
Stacey
Evans
Undecided
Opinion Savvy [45] May 15–16, 2018522± 4.3%58%19%23%
SurveyUSA [46] May 10–15, 2018475± 6.2%43%24%33%
20/20 Insight (D-Evans) [128] May 9–15, 2018433± 5.4%42%34%25%
University of Georgia [129] April 12–18, 2018473± 4.5%33%15%52%
Mason-Dixon [52] February 20–23, 2018500± 4.5%29%17%54%

Results

Primary results by county:
Abrams--80-90%
Abrams--70-80%
Abrams--60-70%
Abrams--50-60%
Evans--50-60%
Evans--60-70% Georgia gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2018.svg
Primary results by county:
  Abrams—80–90%
  Abrams—70–80%
  Abrams—60–70%
  Abrams—50–60%
  Evans—50–60%
  Evans—60–70%
Democratic primary results [130]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Stacey Abrams 424,305 76.44
Democratic Stacey Evans 130,78423.56
Total votes555,089 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

General election

If no candidate had gained a simple majority of the votes in the general election, a runoff election between the top two candidates would have been held on December 4, 2018. [134]

Debates

DatesLocationKempAbramsMetzLink
October 23, 2018 Atlanta, Georgia ParticipantParticipantParticipant Full debate - C-SPAN

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [136] TossupOctober 26, 2018
The Washington Post [137] TossupNovember 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight [138] Lean RNovember 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report [139] Tilt RNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [140] TossupNovember 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics [141] TossupNovember 4, 2018
Daily Kos [142] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Fox News [143] [a] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Politico [144] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Governing [145] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Notes
  1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races.

Endorsements

Stacey Abrams (D)

Former U.S. Executive Branch officials

Federal politicians

Statewide and local politicians

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Websites and newspapers

Brian Kemp (R)

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State politicians

Organizations

Individuals

Newspapers

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Brian
Kemp (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Ted
Metz (L)
OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) [245] October 30 – November 3, 20182,171± 2.1%52%40%4%4%
20/20 Insight (D-Southern Majority) [246] October 31 – November 2, 2018614± 4.0%46%50%1%3%
Emerson College [247] October 29–31, 2018724± 3.7%49%47%1%2%
Cygnal (R) [248] October 27–30, 2018504± 4.4%49%47%4%0%
University of Georgia [249] October 21–30, 20181,091± 3.0%47%47%2%5%
Opinion Savvy [250] October 28–29, 2018623± 3.9%47%48%2%3%
Opinion Savvy [251] October 21–22, 2018824± 3.4%48%48%1%3%
Marist College [252] October 14–18, 2018554 LV± 4.8%46%45%4%<1%4%
49%47%1%4%
864 RV± 3.8%44%46%4%<1%6%
47%47%1%5%
Ipsos [253] October 4–11, 20181,088± 3.4%47%46%2%1%4%
University of Georgia [254] September 30 – October 9, 20181,232± 2.8%48%46%2%4%
SurveyUSA [255] October 3–8, 2018655± 4.9%47%45%2%6%
Public Policy Polling (D-Georgia Engaged) [256] October 5–6, 2018729± 3.0%46%46%7%
Landmark Communications [257] October 1, 2018964± 3.2%48%46%2%3%
SurveyMonkey [258] September 9–24, 20181,955± 3.0%43%43%14%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Abrams) [259] September 17–20, 2018603± 4.1%42%48%3%7%
University of Georgia [260] August 26 – September 4, 20181,020± 3.1%45%45%2%8%
Gravis Marketing [261] July 27–29, 2018650± 3.8%44%46%10%
SurveyUSA [262] July 15–19, 20181,199± 4.3%46%44%10%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Abrams) [263] May 23–25, 2018601± 4.0%40%49%
Mason-Dixon [52] February 20–23, 2018625± 4.0%37%40%23%
Hypothetical polling

with Casey Cagle

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Casey
Cagle (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [262] July 15–19, 20181,199± 4.3%45%43%12%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Abrams) [263] May 23–25, 2018601± 4.0%43%48%
SurveyUSA [46] May 10–15, 20182,339± 3.5%46%41%14%
Mason-Dixon [52] February 20–23, 2018625± 4.0%45%39%16%

with Clay Tippins

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Clay
Tippins (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon [52] February 20–23, 2018625± 4.0%40%41%19%

with Hunter Hill

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Hunter
Hill (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon [52] February 20–23, 2018625± 4.0%37%43%20%

with Stacey Evans

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Casey
Cagle (R)
Stacey
Evans (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [46] May 10–15, 20182,339± 3.5%45%41%13%
Mason-Dixon [52] February 20–23, 2018625± 4.0%47%38%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Brian
Kemp (R)
Stacey
Evans (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon [52] February 20–23, 2018625± 4.0%42%39%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Clay
Tippins (R)
Stacey
Evans (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon [52] February 20–23, 2018625± 4.0%41%38%21%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Hunter
Hill (R)
Stacey
Evans (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon [52] February 20–23, 2018625± 4.0%35%36%29%

with Casey Cagle

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Casey
Cagle (R)
Jason
Carter (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [264] May 27–30, 2016724± 3.6%40%39%21%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Casey
Cagle (R)
Kasim
Reed (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [264] May 27–30, 2016724± 3.6%46%33%21%

with Brian Kemp

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Brian
Kemp (R)
Jason
Carter (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [264] May 27–30, 2016724± 3.6%38%40%22%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Brian
Kemp (R)
Kasim
Reed (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [264] May 27–30, 2016724± 3.6%43%33%24%

Results

2018 Georgia gubernatorial election [265]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Brian Kemp 1,978,408 50.22% −2.52%
Democratic Stacey Abrams 1,923,68548.83%+3.95%
Libertarian Ted Metz37,2350.95%−1.41%
Write-in 810.00%-0.02%
Total votes3,939,409 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

By county

All results from the office of the Secretary of State of Georgia. [266]

CountyBrian Kemp
Republican
Stacey Abrams
Democratic
Ted Metz
Libertarian
Total
votes
 %# %# %#
Appling 79.72%5,42819.94%1,3580.34%236,809
Atkinson 74.39%1,87625.26%6370.36%92,522
Bacon 86.71%3,32112.77%4890.52%203,830
Baker 58.24%75341.38%5350.39%51,293
Baldwin 49.47%7,73549.84%7,7930.69%10815,636
Banks 89.75%6,1509.41%6450.83%576,852
Barrow 73.57%20,16225.18%6,9001.25%34327,405
Bartow 76.09%28,42522.82%8,5241.10%41037,359
Ben Hill 63.80%3,53935.75%1,9830.45%255,547
Berrien 85.00%5,31414.40%9000.61%386,252
Bibb 38.27%23,22561.07%37,0660.66%40160,692
Bleckley 78.52%3,81620.62%1,0020.86%424,860
Brantley 91.29%5,1988.10%4610.61%355,694
Brooks 61.36%3,51138.24%2,1880.40%235,722
Bryan 70.12%10,50728.78%4,3131.10%16514,985
Bulloch 62.69%14,84836.44%8,6300.87%20523,683
Burke 50.57%4,41048.95%4,2690.48%428,721
Butts 71.74%6,35827.65%2,4510.61%548,863
Calhoun 42.65%81057.08%1,0840.26%51,899
Camden 65.29%11,13933.57%5,7271.14%19517,061
Candler 72.34%2,56027.21%9630.45%163,539
Carroll 69.79%29,20429.11%12,1801.10%45941,843
Catoosa 79.47%18,88119.32%4,5901.21%28723,758
Charlton 75.08%2,53424.36%8220.56%193,375
Chatham 40.01%41,42558.97%61,0591.02%1,059103,543
Chattahoochee 54.57%60344.71%4940.72%81,105
Chattooga 79.85%5,93619.44%1,4450.71%537,434
Cherokee 72.08%76,70026.36%28,0471.56%1,664106,411
Clarke 28.56%12,36570.27%30,4271.18%51043,402
Clay 45.19%53654.13%6420.67%81,186
Clayton 11.79%10,86887.81%80,9710.40%37392,212
Clinch 76.04%1,71723.65%5340.31%72,258
Cobb 44.53%138,85254.12%168,7671.35%4,195311,814
Coffee 70.78%8,92928.78%3,6300.44%5612,615
Colquitt 75.83%9,83023.56%3,0540.61%7912,963
Columbia 66.44%40,94732.49%20,0231.08%66461,634
Cook 70.93%4,11628.73%1,6670.34%205,803
Coweta 69.69%40,47129.12%16,9081.19%69258,071
Crawford 72.86%3,59526.39%1,3020.75%374,934
Crisp 63.05%4,44536.55%2,5770.40%287,050
Dade 82.53%4,50816.18%8841.28%705,462
Dawson 85.94%9,95313.12%1,5190.94%10911,581
Decatur 60.05%5,49239.53%3,6150.43%399,146
DeKalb 15.64%48,92383.47%261,0420.89%2,776312,741
Dodge 73.93%5,22025.73%1,8170.34%247,061
Dooly 52.73%2,00146.96%1,7820.32%123,795
Dougherty 29.69%9,33069.94%21,9800.37%11531,425
Douglas 39.35%21,74459.82%33,0530.83%45855,255
Early 55.26%2,28544.50%1,8400.24%104,135
Echols 88.19%1,00811.02%1260.79%91,143
Effingham 76.89%17,96922.01%5,1451.10%25723,371
Elbert 69.73%5,15229.70%2,1940.57%427,388
Emanuel 69.98%5,40029.52%2,2780.49%387,716
Evans 69.39%2,39230.17%1,0400.44%153,447
Fannin 82.96%9,30616.13%1,8090.92%10311,218
Fayette 56.03%32,49742.75%24,7961.22%70557,998
Floyd 71.10%21,56927.84%8,4451.07%32430,338
Forsyth 70.57%65,84527.97%26,0921.46%1,36193,298
Franklin 86.54%7,05112.71%1,0360.75%618,148
Fulton 26.66%112,99172.34%306,5890.99%4,208423,788
Gilmer 83.70%10,47115.32%1,9170.98%12212,510
Glascock 91.39%1,1898.22%1070.38%51,301
Glynn 63.54%20,74335.64%11,6360.82%26932,648
Gordon 81.93%14,58617.11%3,0460.97%17217,804
Grady 67.30%5,63332.31%2,7040.39%338,370
Greene 65.10%5,85634.39%3,0930.51%468,995
Gwinnett 42.23%132,99856.55%178,0971.21%3,823314,918
Habersham 83.51%12,94415.59%2,4170.90%13915,500
Hall 73.35%49,44225.50%17,1871.15%77767,406
Hancock 24.58%87275.14%2,6660.28%103,548
Haralson 87.65%9,27811.52%1,2190.83%8810,585
Harris 74.03%11,83425.15%4,0210.82%13115,986
Hart 76.60%7,37022.64%2,1780.77%749,622
Heard 83.21%3,37416.13%6540.67%274,055
Henry 41.97%41,36457.31%56,4850.72%70998,558
Houston 57.93%34,31441.12%24,3580.95%56059,232
Irwin 75.83%2,70123.89%8510.28%103,562
Jackson 81.60%21,95017.38%4,6741.02%27526,899
Jasper 74.52%4,43024.96%1,4840.52%315,945
Jeff Davis 82.64%3,97916.91%8140.46%224,815
Jefferson 46.95%3,17752.67%3,5640.38%266,767
Jenkins 64.66%1,85734.96%1,0040.38%112,872
Johnson 72.47%2,52427.22%9480.32%113,483
Jones 67.82%8,43831.65%3,9380.52%6512,441
Lamar 69.39%5,10529.84%2,1950.77%577,357
Lanier 71.24%1,91028.42%7620.34%92,681
Laurens 65.87%12,48433.64%6,3750.49%9318,952
Lee 74.66%10,12024.76%3,3560.58%7913,555
Liberty 36.16%5,55763.09%9,6960.75%11515,368
Lincoln 69.44%2,75629.93%1,1880.63%253,969
Long 64.81%2,59134.29%1,3710.90%363,998
Lowndes 57.30%20,48842.02%15,0240.67%24135,753
Lumpkin 79.23%9,15719.28%2,2281.50%17311,558
Macon 36.90%1,55662.89%2,6520.21%94,217
Madison 78.48%9,18120.67%2,4180.85%10011,699
Marion 63.87%1,87235.38%1,0370.75%222,931
McDuffie 60.54%5,32338.98%3,4270.48%428,792
McIntosh 59.50%3,21839.96%2,1610.54%295,408
Meriwether 58.88%5,09340.47%3,5010.65%568,650
Miller 77.88%1,80321.68%5020.43%102,315
Mitchell 56.16%4,18743.53%3,2450.31%237,455
Monroe 71.94%9,30827.18%3,5160.88%11412,938
Montgomery 76.13%2,68623.27%8210.60%213,528
Morgan 71.22%6,80727.99%2,6750.80%769,558
Murray 85.76%9,51213.43%1,4890.81%9011,091
Muscogee 38.48%24,34860.79%38,4620.73%46263,272
Newton 45.08%19,44954.27%23,4120.65%28043,141
Oconee 69.80%14,48029.00%6,0151.20%24920,744
Oglethorpe 70.44%4,56828.48%1,8471.08%706,485
Paulding 66.53%40,78432.56%19,9590.92%56261,305
Peach 52.01%5,43247.54%4,9660.45%4710,445
Pickens 84.80%11,33114.23%1,9010.97%13013,362
Pierce 88.95%6,12310.72%7380.33%236,884
Pike 85.71%7,32213.63%1,1640.67%578,543
Polk 79.13%10,17720.12%2,5880.75%9612,861
Pulaski 69.77%2,52729.79%1,0790.44%163,622
Putnam 71.82%6,70427.63%2,5790.56%529,335
Quitman 55.53%52243.62%4100.85%8940
Rabun 80.01%6,06318.84%1,4281.15%877,578
Randolph 45.07%1,25754.43%1,5180.50%142,789
Richmond 31.47%22,07667.75%47,5310.78%54870,155
Rockdale 31.93%11,70367.45%24,7250.62%22736,655
Schley 80.96%1,56518.26%3530.78%151,933
Screven 60.36%3,26839.36%2,1310.28%155,414
Seminole 66.59%2,14932.88%1,0610.53%173,227
Spalding 61.17%14,93737.92%9,2580.91%22224,417
Stephens 80.62%7,32618.62%1,6920.76%699,087
Stewart 41.78%76057.89%1,0530.33%61,819
Sumter 48.78%5,14950.78%5,3600.45%4710,556
Talbot 39.51%1,16759.75%1,7650.74%222,954
Taliaferro 38.00%35061.67%5680.33%3921
Tattnall 76.32%5,07323.12%1,5370.56%376,647
Taylor 62.81%2,06936.58%1,2050.61%203,294
Telfair 66.77%2,42532.79%1,1910.44%163,632
Terrell 45.70%1,80053.95%2,1250.36%143,939
Thomas 61.22%10,55738.29%6,6020.49%8517,244
Tift 69.65%9,52329.77%4,0700.59%8013,673
Toombs 74.75%6,62324.84%2,2010.41%368,860
Towns 81.69%5,00917.37%1,0650.95%586,132
Treutlen 68.86%1,80030.83%8060.31%82,614
Troup 60.77%14,53338.55%9,2180.68%16223,913
Turner 62.98%2,06236.65%1,2000.37%123,274
Twiggs 52.72%1,99946.84%1,7760.45%173,792
Union 83.43%9,89915.61%1,8520.96%11411,865
Upson 66.83%7,06332.58%3,4430.59%6210,568
Walker 80.97%17,40017.86%3,8381.17%25221,490
Walton 76.88%29,74222.43%8,6790.69%26538,686
Ware 71.66%7,89427.84%3,0670.50%5511,016
Warren 46.57%1,05353.07%1,2000.35%82,261
Washington 50.53%4,12849.11%4,0120.36%298,169
Wayne 80.15%8,12019.15%1,9400.70%7110,131
Webster 59.91%65940.00%4400.09%11,100
Wheeler 71.05%1,37228.74%5550.21%41,931
White 84.51%9,66714.40%1,6471.09%12511,439
Whitfield 72.30%19,75826.80%7,3230.90%24627,327
Wilcox 73.32%2,06426.47%7450.21%62,815
Wilkes 58.90%2,57840.53%1,7740.57%254,377
Wilkinson 55.64%2,37344.01%1,8770.35%154,265
Worth 75.39%5,91524.14%1,8940.47%377,846

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Kemp won eight of 14 congressional districts. Abrams won the other six, including one that elected a Republican. [267]

DistrictKempAbramsRepresentative
1st 56.49%42.61% Buddy Carter
2nd 43.62%55.89% Sanford Bishop
3rd 64.21%34.8% Drew Ferguson
4th 20.05%79.28% Hank Johnson
5th 11.31%87.89% John Lewis
6th 47.51%50.97% Lucy McBath
7th 48.64%50.03% Rob Woodall
8th 64.11%35.22% Austin Scott
9th 78.82%20.13% Doug Collins
10th 61.39%37.74% Jody Hice
11th 59.33%39.27% Barry Loudermilk
12th 57.69%41.58% Rick W. Allen
13th 23.28%75.99% David Scott
14th 75.38%23.65% Tom Graves

Voter demographics

Edison Research exit poll
Demographic subgroupAbramsKempNo
Answer
 % of
Voters
Gender
Men4652246
Women5149N/A54
Age
18–24 years old603829
25–29 years old722625
30–39 years old6138115
40–49 years old4950119
50–64 years old4158129
65 and older4060N/A22
Race
White 2574160
Black 936130
Latino 623715
Asian N/AN/AN/A2
OtherN/AN/AN/A3
Race by gender
White men2573228
White women2575N/A32
Black men8811114
Black women972116
Latino menN/AN/AN/A2
Latina womenN/AN/AN/A3
Others544425
Education
High school or less3861130
Some college education5048225
Associate degree 5148112
Bachelor's degree 5445121
Advanced degree6039112
Education and race
White college graduates4059122
White no college degree1782139
Non-white college graduates8514112
Non-white no college degree8415128
Whites by education and gender
White women with college degrees4357N/A11
White women without college degrees1683121
White men with college degrees3861111
White men without college degrees1781217
Non-whites8415140
Income
Under $30,0006534120
$30,000–49,9993860220
$50,000–99,9994357N/A35
$100,000–199,9994158118
Over $200,000N/AN/AN/A7
Party ID
Democrats 972133
Republicans 397N/A38
Independents 5444228
Party by gender
Democratic men963112
Democratic women982n/a21
Republican men397N/A17
Republican women397N/A21
Independent men5542317
Independent women5345212
Ideology
Liberals 8811120
Moderates 6336138
Conservatives 1683142
Marital status
Married3366155
Unmarried6336145
Gender by marital status
Married men2968325
Married women3465130
Unmarried men5841121
Unmarried women6931N/A24
First-time midterm election voter
Yes5346118
No4850282
Most important issue facing the country
Health care 7920134
Immigration 990132
Economy 4357N/A23
Gun policy N/AN/AN/A9
Area type
Urban7029122
Suburban4356163
Rural4258N/A15
Source: CNN [268]

Electoral controversies

Kemp retained his office as Georgia Secretary of State throughout the campaign, leading to allegations of a conflict of interest for overseeing an election in which he himself was a candidate. During the campaign, he was called upon by former president and former governor of Georgia Jimmy Carter [269] and the Georgia chapters of the NAACP and Common Cause to resign from the secretariat position. Kemp refused to do so [270] until after he claimed victory, two days following the election. Kemp also accused the state Democratic Party of hacking into the state's voter database a few days before the election; however, an email released shortly after the accusation was made showed the party warning election security experts, highlighting "massive" vulnerabilities within the state's My Voter Page and its online voter registration system, not an attempt to hack the database, as Kemp had claimed. [271]

Irregularities in voter registration occurred prior to the election. Between 2012 and 2018, Kemp's office canceled over 1.4 million voter registrations, with nearly 700,000 cancellations in 2017 alone. [272] Over 300,000 people were removed from the rolls on the grounds that they had moved to a new address when they actually had not. [273] On a single night in July 2017, half a million voters had their registrations canceled. According to The Atlanta Journal-Constitution , election-law experts said that this "may represent the largest mass disenfranchisement in US history." [274] The registrations of 53,000 voters, disproportionately affecting black people, were delayed by Kemp's office for not exactly matching state driver records. After a lawsuit was filed, Kemp agreed to allow flagged voters to vote if they had identification. [275] These irregularities resulted in allegations that Kemp was using voter suppression to increase his chances of winning the contest. [275] Georgia election officials responded to these allegations by stating that any voter flagged for irregularities could still vote, receiving a regular ballot (not a provisional ballot), by providing ID at a valid polling place, as is required of all voters by state law. [276] Concerning the question of why the pending registration status mattered if those voters could vote normally at the polls, critics claimed that learning of this status might discourage those voters from turning out to the polls at all. [277]

The Washington Post reported that "more than 200 polling places" across Georgia were closed in the 2018 election, "primarily in poor and minority neighborhoods. Voters reported long lines, malfunctioning voting machines and other problems that delayed or thwarted voting in those areas." [278] (The Atlanta Journal-Constitution found that "precinct closures and longer distances likely prevented an estimated 54,000 to 85,000 voters from casting ballots" on the 2018 Election Day.) [279] According to Richard L. Hasen, professor of law and political science at the University of California at Irvine, "there is no question that Georgia in general and Brian Kemp in particular took steps to make it harder for people to register and vote, and that those people tended to skew Democratic." [280]

On November 12, 2018, U.S. District Court Judge Amy Totenberg ruled that Georgia's secretary of state office must take steps to preserve provisional ballots and begin counting them. [281] [282] [283] On November 13, 2018, U.S. District Court Judge Leigh Martin May ruled that Gwinnett County violated the Civil Rights Act in rejecting absentee ballots with missing or incorrect specified year of birth of the absentee voter. [281]

On November 16, 2018, Abrams announced that she was ending her campaign. Abrams acknowledged that Kemp would be certified as victor, while emphasizing that her statement was not a concession, saying "I acknowledge that Secretary of State Brian Kemp will be certified as the victor of the 2018 gubernatorial election. [...] But let’s be clear, this is not a speech of concession because concession means to acknowledge an action is right, true or proper." [7] [284] [285] [286] [287] Abrams announced the creation of Fair Fight Action, a voting rights nonprofit organization that sued the secretary of state and state election board in federal court for voter suppression. [288] In February 2021, a federal judge ruled that Fair Fight's claims about voting machines, voter list security, and polling place issues were resolved by changes in Georgia's election law, or invalidated due to lack of standing to sue. [289] [290] In April 2021, a judge allowed some claims in the legal challenge to proceed while rejecting others. [291] On September 30, 2022, a federal judge ruled against Fair Fight on the remaining claims, finding that Georgia's voting practices did not violate the Constitution or the Voting Rights Act. [292] [293] [294] [295] According to the judge, the case "resulted in wins and losses for all parties over the course of the litigation and culminated in what is believed to have been the longest voting rights bench trial in the history of the Northern District of Georgia." [296] [297] [298]

Since losing the election, Abrams has repeatedly claimed that the election was not fairly conducted [299] and has declined to call Kemp the legitimate governor of Georgia. [300] Her position is that Kemp, who oversaw the election in his role as Secretary of State, had a conflict of interest and suppressed turnout by purging nearly 670,000 voter registrations in 2017, and that about 53,000 voter registrations were pending a month before the election. [299] [301] She has said, "I have no empirical evidence that I would have achieved a higher number of votes. However, I have sufficient and I think legally sufficient doubt about the process to say that it was not a fair election." [299]

On November 9, 2018, the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reported that its investigation of the 2018 statewide elections in Georgia had found "no evidence ... of systematic malfeasance – or of enough tainted votes to force a runoff election". [302] A follow-up analysis in December 2019 by the Atlanta Journal-Constitution found "an estimated 54,000 to 85,000 voters" were impacted by changes, such as precinct closures in the aftermath of Shelby County v. Holder. However, it found that Abrams would have need up to 67% of the votes at "ideal voting locations" for a runoff to occur. [279]

In his 2020 book, University of California law professor and election law expert Richard L. Hasen described Kemp as "perhaps the most incompetent state chief elections officer" in the 2018 elections and said it was "hard to tell" which of Kemp's "actions were due to incompetence and which were attempted suppression." [303]

According to Washington Post fact checker Glenn Kessler writing in September 2022, Abrams repeatedly falsely claimed that she "won" the election, that the election was "rigged", that it was "stolen", that it was not "free and fair", and that Kemp had "cheated". Kessler said that "Abrams played up claims the election was stolen until such tactics became untenable for anyone who claims to be an advocate for American democratic norms and values". [284]

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