2018 United States Senate election in New York

Last updated

2018 United States Senate election in New York
Flag of New York (1909-2020).svg
  2012 November 6, 2018 2024  
Turnout47.99%
  Kirsten Gillibrand, official photo, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg Chele Farley 1 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Kirsten Gillibrand Chele Farley
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance
Popular vote4,056,9311,998,220
Percentage67.0%33.0%

2018 United States Senate election in New York results map by county.svg
2018 United States Senate election in New York results by congressional district.svg
NY Senate 2018 Precinct Map.svg
Gillibrand:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Farley:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:      40–50%     50%     No data

U.S. senator before election

Kirsten Gillibrand
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Kirsten Gillibrand
Democratic

The 2018 United States Senate election in New York took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand was re-elected to a second full term, defeating Republican Chele Chiavacci Farley with over 67% of the vote. Gillibrand carried a majority of the state's counties and 26 of the state's 27 congressional districts, including five that elected Republicans the same night.

Contents

Democratic primary

Kirsten Gillibrand ran unopposed in the primary and automatically became the Democratic nominee.

Candidates

Nominee

Failed to file

  • Scott Noren, oral and maxillofacial surgeon [3] [4]

Declined

Republican primary

Chele Farley's senate campaign logo Chele Farley for Senate.png
Chele Farley's senate campaign logo

The Republican Party had nominated private equity executive Chele Chiavacci Farley. [8]

Candidates

Nominee

  • Chele Chiavacci Farley, private equity executive [9]

Failed to file

Declined

General election

Endorsements

Chele Farley (R)

U.S. President

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

Governors

Individuals

Organizations

  • Crown Heights PAC [45]

Newspapers

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [48] Safe DOctober 26, 2018
Inside Elections [49] Safe DNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [50] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Fox News [51] Likely DJuly 9, 2018
CNN [52] Safe DJuly 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics [53] Safe DJune 7, 2018

†Highest rating given

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)
Chele Chiavacci
Farley (R)
OtherUndecided
Research Co. [54] November 1–3, 2018450± 4.6%60%32%8%
Siena College [55] October 28 – November 1, 2018641± 3.9%58%35%0%8%
Quinnipiac University [56] October 10–16, 2018852± 4.4%58%33%0%8%
Siena College [57] September 20–27, 2018701± 3.9%61%29%0%9%
Liberty Opinion Research (R-Reform Party) [58] August 29–30, 20182,783± 1.9%51%36%13%
Quinnipiac University [59] July 12–16, 2018934± 4.1%57%30%1%10%
Siena College [60] June 4–7, 2018745± 3.7%61%28%0%8%
Quinnipiac University [61] April 26 – May 1, 20181,076± 3.7%58%23%1%16%
Siena College [62] April 8–12, 2018692± 4.3%58%27%0%13%
Siena College [63] March 11–16, 2018772± 4.0%60%24%0%14%

Results

United States Senate election in New York, 2018 [64]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Kirsten Gillibrand3,755,48962.02%−4.36%
Working Families Kirsten Gillibrand160,1282.64%−1.12%
Independence Kirsten Gillibrand99,3251.64%−0.43%
Women's Equality Kirsten Gillibrand41,9890.69%N/A
Total Kirsten Gillibrand (incumbent)4,056,93167.00%−5.21%
Republican Chele Chiavacci Farley1,730,43928.58%+5.86%
Conservative Chele Chiavacci Farley246,1714.07%+0.46%
Reform Chele Chiavacci Farley21,6100.35%N/A
TotalChele Chiavacci Farley1,998,22033.00%+6.66%
Total votes6,055,151 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Gillibrand won 26 of 27 congressional districts, including five that elected Republicans. [65]

DistrictGillibrandFarleyRepresentative
1st 53%47% Lee Zeldin
2nd 54%46% Peter T. King
3rd 59%41% Thomas Suozzi
4th 60%40% Kathleen Rice
5th 89%10% Gregory Meeks
6th 72%28% Grace Meng
7th 92%8% Nydia Velázquez
8th 90%10% Hakeem Jeffries
9th 89%11% Yvette Clarke
10th 83%16% Jerry Nadler
11th 55%45% Max Rose
12th 87%13% Carolyn Maloney
13th 95%5% Adriano Espaillat
14th 83%16% Alexandria Ocasio Cortez
15th 96%4% Jose E. Serrano
16th 79%21% Eliot Engel
17th 66%34% Nita Lowey
18th 57%43% Sean Patrick Maloney
19th 56%44% Antonio Delgado
20th 63%37% Paul Tonko
21st 53%47% Elise Stefanik
22nd 51%49% Anthony Brindisi
23rd 51%49% Tom Reed
24th 58%42% John Katko
25th 63%37% Joe Morelle
26th 68%32% Brian Higgins
27th 47%53% Chris Collins

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2006 New York gubernatorial election</span>

The 2006 New York gubernatorial election took place on November 7, 2006, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of New York, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections, then incumbent Republican governor George Pataki chose not to run for re-election in a fourth term. Democrat Eliot Spitzer, the New York Attorney General, won the election over former Republican state Assembly minority leader John Faso. As of 2024, this is the last time the Governor's office in New York changed partisan control. This was the first open-seat election since 1982. Primary elections were held on September 12. This is the last gubernatorial election where any of the following counties voted Democratic: Genesee, Chautauqua, Cattaraugus, Niagara, Fulton, Steuben, Tioga & Schoharie.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2006 United States Senate election in New York</span>

The 2006 United States Senate election in New York was held on November 7, 2006. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Hillary Clinton won re-election to a second term in office, by a more than two-to-one margin. Clinton was challenged by Republican John Spencer, the former mayor of Yonkers. Longtime political activist Howie Hawkins of the Green Party also ran a third-party campaign.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Kirsten Gillibrand</span> American lawyer and politician (born 1966)

Kirsten Elizabeth Gillibrand is an American lawyer and politician serving as the junior United States senator from New York since 2009. A member of the Democratic Party, she served as member of the U.S. House of Representatives from 2007 to 2009.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2006 United States House of Representatives elections in New York</span>

On November 7, 2006, New York, along with the rest of the country held elections for the United States House of Representatives. Democrats picked up 3 House seats, the 19th, the 20th, and the 24th.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2010 United States Senate special election in New York</span>

The 2010 United States Senate special election in New York took place on November 2, 2010, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Governor David Paterson had appointed Kirsten Gillibrand to serve as United States Senator from New York until the 2010 special election, replacing former senator Hillary Clinton, who resigned to serve as Secretary of State in the Barack Obama administration. The winner of the special election was to complete the term ending in January 2013. The special election took place concurrently with the regular election for the Senate seat held by Charles Schumer and the 2010 New York gubernatorial election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2013 New York City mayoral election</span>

The 2013 New York City mayoral election occurred on November 5, 2013, along with elections for Comptroller, Public Advocate, Borough President, and members of the New York City Council. The incumbent mayor of New York City, Michael Bloomberg, a Republican-turned-Independent, was term-limited and thus unable to seek re-election to a fourth term in office.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2012 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania</span>

The 2012 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania was held on November 6, 2012, alongside a presidential election, other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bob Casey, Jr. ran for and won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican nominee Tom Smith, and Libertarian nominee Rayburn Smith.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2012 United States Senate election in New York</span>

The 2012 United States Senate election in New York took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives as well as various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States Senate election in Florida</span>

The 2016 United States Senate election in Florida was held November 8, 2016 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Florida, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary elections for both the Republicans and Democrats took place on August 30, 2016.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States Senate election in North Carolina</span>

The 2016 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Carolina, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held March 15.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States Senate election in New York</span>

The 2016 United States Senate election in New York was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New York, concurrently with the presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries took place on June 28. As of 2023, this is the last time any U.S. Senate candidate in New York won a general election by more than 35 percentage points.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New York</span>

The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New York were held on November 8, 2016, to elect 27 U.S. representatives from the state of New York. The elections coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries took place on June 28.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 New York gubernatorial election</span>

The 2018 New York gubernatorial election occurred on November 6, 2018. Incumbent Democratic governor Andrew Cuomo won re-election to a third term, defeating Republican Marc Molinaro and several minor party candidates. Cuomo received 59.6% of the vote to Molinaro's 36.2%.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States Senate election in Kentucky</span>

The 2020 United States Senate election in Kentucky was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Kentucky, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Mitch McConnell, who had been Senate Majority Leader since 2015 and senator from Kentucky since 1985, won reelection to a seventh term in office. He faced off against former U.S. Marine fighter pilot Amy McGrath and Libertarian Brad Barron.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States Senate election in Texas</span>

The 2020 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member to the United States Senate to represent the State of Texas, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator John Cornyn won re-election to a fourth term against Democratic nominee MJ Hegar by 9.6%.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 New York state elections</span>

The 2018 New York state elections took place on November 6, 2018. On that date, the State of New York held elections for the following offices: Governor and Lieutenant Governor, Attorney General, Comptroller, U.S. Senate, U.S. House of Representatives, New York State Senate, New York state assembly, and various others. Primary elections took place on September 13, 2018. As of May 2018, Democrats had won all 19 elections to statewide offices that have occurred in New York since 2002.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky</span>

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 New York gubernatorial election</span>

The 2022 New York gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of New York. Kathy Hochul ascended to the governorship in August 2021, upon Andrew Cuomo's resignation following allegations of sexual harassment. She sought a full term as governor. She appointed Brian Benjamin to the position of lieutenant governor and planned to run alongside him until he too resigned in April 2022. Congressman Antonio Delgado was appointed to replace Benjamin as lieutenant governor. Hochul defeated Jumaane Williams and Tom Suozzi in the Democratic primary for governor, while Delgado defeated Ana Maria Archila and Diana Reyna in the Democratic primary for lieutenant governor.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States Senate election in New York</span>

The 2024 United States Senate election in New York was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New York. Democratic incumbent Kirsten Gillibrand was re-elected to a third term, defeating Republican businessman Mike Sapraicone. Primary elections took place on June 25, 2024.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 New York Attorney General election</span>

The 2022 New York Attorney General election was held on November 8, 2022. Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Letitia James was eligible for re-election, but originally decided to run for Governor of New York in 2022. On December 9, 2021, however, she suspended her gubernatorial campaign and announced that she would seek re-election as attorney general. Republicans nominated Michael Henry, an attorney from Queens. James defeated Henry by a margin of 9.2%, from her 27.2% victory in 2018.

References

  1. Madina Toure (December 4, 2016). "Gillibrand Wants More Federal Funds to Protect Religious Institutions". Observer. Retrieved February 20, 2018.
  2. "Gillibrand accepts nomination for another term, promises to serve all of it". Politico.com. February 16, 2018. Retrieved February 20, 2018.
  3. "DR SCOTT NOREN FOR US SENATE - committee overview" . Retrieved March 16, 2018.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 "Filings received for the June 26, 2018 Federal Primary Election". NY Board of Elections. April 12, 2018. Archived from the original on May 4, 2016. Retrieved June 26, 2018.
  5. Beavers, Olivia (March 29, 2017). "Chelsea Clinton dismisses rumors she'll run for public office: report". The Hill . Retrieved March 18, 2023.
  6. Oppenheimer, Jerry (January 22, 2017). "Could Caroline Kennedy be the baggage-free Hillary Clinton?". New York Post. Retrieved January 24, 2017.
  7. Bernstein, Jonathan (February 16, 2018). "The 2020 Democratic Primary Is Already Out of Hand". www.bloomberg.com.
  8. Jimmy Vielkind (March 2, 2018). "Republicans nominate Chele Farley to make their case against Gillibrand". Politico. Retrieved March 20, 2018.
  9. Zremski, Jerry (February 2, 2018). "GOP fundraiser Chele Chiavacci Farley to run against Gillibrand". The Buffalo News . Retrieved February 2, 2018.
  10. Hamilton, Matthew (October 1, 2017). "Gibson talks book, Trump". Times Union. Retrieved February 20, 2018.
  11. Lovett, Kenneth (January 7, 2018). "George Pataki aide considers run against Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand". New York Daily News. Retrieved January 10, 2018.
  12. @amyschumer (October 23, 2018). "Tweet" (Tweet) via Twitter.[ dead link ]
  13. "New York State AFL-CIO Announces the Endorsement of Senator Kirsten Gillibrand and Endorsements In Congressional Races". New York State AFL-CIO. August 21, 2018.
  14. "CSEA's 2018 Endorsements". cseany.org.
  15. "EMILY's List Endorses Nine Democratic Women Senators for Re-Election in 2018". EMILY's List . February 10, 2017. Retrieved February 13, 2017.
  16. Tiffany Muller (February 13, 2018). "Gillibrand Pledges to Reject Corporate PAC Money; End Citizens United Endorses Re-election". End Citizens United.
  17. "RELEASE: Giffords Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Senate in New York". Giffords. August 17, 2018. Archived from the original on November 5, 2018. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
  18. "HRC Endorses New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand for Re-Election". Human Rights Campaign. Archived from the original on March 7, 2018. Retrieved December 15, 2018.
  19. "Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC | National Organization for Women Political Action Committees". nowpac.org. August 23, 2017. Archived from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
  20. "NRDC Action Fund announces first wave of 2018 Senate endorsements". www.nrdcactionfund.org. January 5, 2018.
  21. 2018 Final Endorsements Retrieved February 20, 2023
  22. tbrown (September 6, 2018). "PSC Endorsements 2018". PSC CUNY. Archived from the original on December 15, 2018. Retrieved December 15, 2018.
  23. "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club Voter Guide. July 16, 2012.
  24. "New York". Working Families.
  25. The Editorial Board (October 16, 2018). "amNewYork endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Senate". amNewYork.
  26. "Newsday endorses Gillibrand for Senate". Newsday.
  27. Board, Daily News Editorial (November 2018). "Vote for Gillibrand: New York's junior senator deserves reelection - NY Daily News". nydailynews.com.
  28. Editorial Board (November 2018). "Editorial endorsement: Kirsten Gillibrand for U.S. Senate". syracuse.com.
  29. "Endorsement: Gillibrand has right stuff for Senate". Glens Falls Post-Star. October 7, 2018.
  30. McPherson, Lindsey (August 14, 2018). "Trump Touts New York GOP Senate Candidate at Fundraiser for Vulnerable House Republican" via www.rollcall.com.
  31. Lovett, Kenneth (April 9, 2018). "LOVETT: Al D'Amato blasts former pal Kirsten Gillibrand, says she 'doesn't care two s--ts in a bucket' about New Yorkers". New York Daily News .
  32. Whalen, Ryan (July 26, 2018). "Rep. Collins Endorses Farley For U.S. Senate". NY State of Politics. Archived from the original on August 7, 2018. Retrieved August 6, 2018.
  33. "Dan Donovan Endorses Chele Farley for US Senate". Chele Farley for US Senate. May 18, 2018. Archived from the original on August 6, 2018. Retrieved August 6, 2018.
  34. Reisman, Nick (May 1, 2018). "Faso For Farley". NY State of Politics. Archived from the original on May 4, 2018. Retrieved May 4, 2018.
  35. Harding, Robert (May 31, 2018). "Rep. John Katko backs Chele Farley in race against Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand". The Citizen .
  36. Chele Farley for Senate. "I'm thrilled to announce that Congressman Peter King has endorsed our campaign for US Senate!". Facebook.
  37. Pascocello, Dain (July 10, 2018). "Congressman Reed Endorses Farley for U.S. Senate; NY-23 Rep Says Gillibrand 'Out of Touch with Our Values'". NewsLI.com.
  38. Harding, Robert (March 28, 2018). "Rep. Elise Stefanik endorses Chele Farley for Senate against Gillibrand". The Citizen .
  39. Chele Farley. "Thank you, @claudiatenney, for your endorsement! #Farley4NY". Twitter.
  40. "Zeldin Strongly Endorses Chele Farley for US Senate; Calls Successful Businesswoman, Gillibrand Opponent an "Effective Leader, Proven Problem-Solver"". Long Island Exchange . August 28, 2018.
  41. "Gov. Mike Huckabee on Twitter". Twitter. Retrieved July 1, 2018.
  42. Chele Farley for Senate. "Proud to have the endorsement of Governor George E. Pataki in my bid to represent New York in the US Senate! #Farley4NY #Farley4Senate". Facebook.
  43. Chele Farley. "I've been endorsed by America's Mayor! Thank you to @RudyGiuliani for his support at yesterday's #Ohel visit. Let's #PutNYFirst on Tuesday! #Farley4NY". Twitter.
  44. Reisman, Nick (June 26, 2018). "Farley Touts Support From Hannity". NY State of Politics. Archived from the original on August 7, 2018. Retrieved August 6, 2018.
  45. "Crown Heights PAC Endorses". COLlive.com. November 5, 2018. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  46. "Endorsements For New York November 6 General Elections". The Jewish Press . October 24, 2018.
  47. "GOP moderate Farley is better for New York than 'poser' Gillibrand". New York Post . October 27, 2018. Retrieved October 28, 2018.
  48. "2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  49. "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  50. "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  51. "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Fox News . Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  52. "Key Races: Senate" . Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  53. "Battle for the Senate 2018" . Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  54. Research Co.
  55. Siena College
  56. Quinnipiac University
  57. Siena College
  58. Liberty Opinion Research (R-Reform Party)
  59. Quinnipiac University
  60. Siena College
  61. Quinnipiac University
  62. Siena College
  63. Siena College
  64. "Certified Results from the November 6, 2018 General Election for U.S. Senator" (PDF). elections.ny.gov. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 8, 2021. Retrieved February 20, 2023.
  65. "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 18, 2024.

Official campaign websites