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Elections in Hawaii |
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The 2018 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Hawaii and lieutenant governor of Hawaii.
After prevailing in an intensely competitive primary election on August 11, 2018, incumbent Democratic governor David Ige ran successfully for re-election to a second term in office, considerably improving on his margin of victory from 2014, in which he only won a plurality.
Republicans Andria Tupola and Marissa Kerns headed one of two 2018 major-party gubernatorial tickets that included two women. The other such ticket had Idaho's 2018 Democratic nominees for governor and lieutenant governor, Paulette Jordan and Kristin Collum. [1] This was Hawaii's only gubernatorial election since 1994 without Linda Lingle or Duke Aiona as the Republican nominee, as well as the first since the 1990 election in which the winner was of a different party than the incumbent president. As of 2023, this election was the only time since 1998 that an incumbent Democratic governor of Hawaii was re-elected.
Dates | Location | Ige | Hanabusa | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|
July 6, 2018 | Honolulu, Hawaii | Participant | Participant | Full debate – YouTube |
Individuals
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | David Ige | Colleen Hanabusa | Clayton Hee | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Merriman River Group [14] | July 19–21, 2018 | 871 | ± 3.3% | 43% | 34% | – | 18% |
Mason-Dixon [15] | July 6–11, 2018 | 494 | ± 4.5% | 44% | 40% | – | 16% |
QMark Research (D-Hanabusa) [16] | June 21 – July 6, 2018 | 518 | ± 4.4% | 31% | 57% | – | 11% |
QMark Research (D-Hanabusa) [17] | April 21 – May 7, 2018 | 888 | ± 3.4% | 23% | 52% | 6% | 19% |
Merriman River Group [18] | May 3–5, 2018 | 707 | ± 3.7% | 31% | 37% | 11% | 16% |
Mason-Dixon [19] | March 13–18, 2018 | 498 | ± 4.5% | 27% | 47% | 11% | 15% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | David Ige (incumbent) | 124,572 | 51.4 | |
Democratic | Colleen Hanabusa | 107,631 | 44.4 | |
Democratic | Ernest Caravalho | 5,662 | 2.3 | |
Democratic | Wendell Ka'ehu'ae'a | 2,298 | 0.9 | |
Democratic | Richard Kim | 1,576 | 0.6 | |
Democratic | Van Tanabe | 775 | 0.3 | |
Total votes | 242,514 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Individuals
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bernard Carvalho | Will Espero | Josh Green | Kim Coco Iwamoto | Jill Tokuda | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Merriman River Group [30] | July 19–21, 2018 | 871 | ± 3.3% | 13% | 5% | 31% | 10% | 17% | 26% |
Mason-Dixon [15] | July 6–11, 2018 | 494 | ± 4.5% | 14% | 6% | 34% | 10% | 14% | 22% |
Merriman River Group [31] | May 3–5, 2018 | 707 | ± 3.7% | 19% | 8% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 32% |
Mason-Dixon [19] | March 13–18, 2018 | 498 | ± 4.5% | 14% | 9% | 19% | 5% | 12% | 41% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Josh Green | 74,845 | 31.4 | |
Democratic | Jill Tokuda | 68,124 | 28.6 | |
Democratic | Bernard Carvalho | 45,825 | 19.2 | |
Democratic | Kim Coco Iwamoto | 34,243 | 14.3 | |
Democratic | Will Espero | 15,463 | 6.5 | |
Total votes | 238,500 | 100.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Carroll | Raymond L'Heureux | Andria Tupola | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Merriman River Group [38] | July 19–21, 2018 | 219 | ± 6.6% | 22% | 4% | 39% | 22% |
Mason-Dixon [39] | July 6–11, 2018 | 143 | ± 8.4% | 28% | 8% | 41% | 23% |
Mason-Dixon [19] | March 13–18, 2018 | 134 | ± 8.6% | 40% | – | 28% | 32% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Andria Tupola | 17,297 | 55.5 | |
Republican | John Carroll | 10,974 | 35.2 | |
Republican | Ray L'Heureux | 2,885 | 9.3 | |
Total votes | 31,156 | 100.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Marissa Kerns | Jeremy Low | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Merriman River Group [40] | July 19–21, 2018 | 219 | ± 6.6% | 26% | 20% | 54% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Marissa Dipasupil Kerns | 9,758 | 35.4 | |
Republican | Steve Lipscomb | 9,543 | 34.7 | |
Republican | Jeremy Low | 8,232 | 29.9 | |
Total votes | 27,533 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Green | Jim Brewer | 454 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 454 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Green | Renee Ing | 444 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 444 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Nonpartisan | Terrence Teruya | 543 | 47.7 | |
Nonpartisan | Selina Blackwell | 497 | 43.7 | |
Nonpartisan | Link El | 98 | 8.6 | |
Total votes | 1,138 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Nonpartisan | Paul Robotti | 536 | 50.6 | |
Nonpartisan | Ernest Magaoay | 523 | 49.4 | |
Total votes | 1,059 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [41] | Safe D | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post [42] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight [43] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report [44] | Safe D | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [45] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics [46] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos [47] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News [48] [a] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Politico [49] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Governing [50] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Dates | Location | Ige | Tupola | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|
October 29, 2018 | Honolulu, Hawaii | Participant | Participant | Full debate [51] – C-SPAN |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | David Ige (D) | Andria Tupola (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Merriman River Group [52] | October 8–12, 2018 | 961 | ± 4.3% | 52% | 31% | 11% |
Mason-Dixon [53] | July 6–11, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 57% | 34% | 9% |
Mason-Dixon [19] | March 13–18, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 51% | 24% | 25% |
with David Ige and John Carroll
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | David Ige (D) | John Carroll (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon [53] | July 6–11, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 62% | 23% | 15% |
Mason-Dixon [19] | March 13–18, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 52% | 27% | 21% |
with David Ige and Raymond L'Heureux
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | David Ige (D) | Raymond L'Heureux (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon [53] | July 6–11, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 67% | 20% | 13% |
with Colleen Hanabusa and John Carroll
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Colleen Hanabusa (D) | John Carroll (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon [53] | July 6–11, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 51% | 31% | 18% |
Mason-Dixon [19] | March 13–18, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 57% | 31% | 12% |
with Colleen Hanabusa and Andria Tupola
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Colleen Hanabusa (D) | Andria Tupola (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon [53] | July 6–11, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 48% | 35% | 17% |
Mason-Dixon [19] | March 13–18, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 56% | 28% | 16% |
with Colleen Hanabusa and Raymond L'Heureux
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Colleen Hanabusa (D) | Raymond L'Heureux (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon [53] | July 6–11, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 58% | 26% | 16% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | David Ige (incumbent) | 244,934 | 62.67% | 13.22 | |
Republican | Andria Tupola | 131,719 | 33.70% | 3.38 | |
Green | Jim Brewer | 10,123 | 2.59% | N/A | |
Nonpartisan | Terrence Teruya | 4,067 | 1.04% | N/A | |
Total votes | 390,843 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
Ige won both congressional districts. [55]
District | Ige | Tupola | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 64% | 33% | Colleen Hanabusa (117th Congress) |
Ed Case (118th Congress) | |||
2nd | 61% | 35% | Tulsi Gabbard |
Linda Lingle is an American politician who served as the sixth governor of Hawaii from 2002 to 2010. She was the first Republican elected governor of Hawaii since 1959, and was the state's first female and first Jewish governor. Prior to serving as governor, Lingle served as mayor of Maui County from 1991 to 1999 and as chair of the Hawaii Republican Party from 1999 to 2002.
Neil Abercrombie is an American politician who served as the seventh governor of Hawaii from 2010 to 2014. He is a member of the Democratic Party.
Clayton H. W. Hee is a former Democratic Party member of the Hawaii Senate who represented the 23rd District from 2004 to 2014 and 1984 to 1988. Hee served as chairman of the state senate's Judiciary and Labor Committee.
Brian Emanuel Schatz is an American educator and politician serving as the senior United States senator from Hawaii, a seat he has held since 2012. A member of the Democratic Party, Schatz served in the Hawaii House of Representatives from 1998 to 2006, representing the 25th legislative district; as the chairman of the Democratic Party of Hawaii from 2008 to 2010; and as the 12th lieutenant governor of Hawaii from 2010 to 2012.
Colleen Wakako Hanabusa is an American lawyer and politician who served as the U.S. representative for Hawaii's 1st congressional district from 2011 to 2015 and again from 2016 to 2019. A member of the Democratic Party, she ran for her party's nomination for governor of Hawaii in 2018, challenging and losing to incumbent and fellow Democrat David Ige.
The U.S. state of Hawaii is divided into two congressional districts for representation in the United States House of Representatives. Before statehood, the Territory of Hawaii was represented by a non-voting delegate. From statehood until 1963, Hawaii had one representative. From 1963 to the creation of the two districts in 1971, Hawaii was represented in the House with two representatives elected at-large statewide.
Kim Coco Iwamoto is an American politician from Hawaii and member-elect to the Hawaii House of Representatives. When she is sworn in on January 15, Iwamoto will become the first transgender state legislator in Hawaii history. She was also one of the Democratic primary candidates for the position of Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii in the 2018 election. She previously served as a commissioner on the Hawaii Civil Rights Commission and was elected to serve two terms on the Hawaii Board of Education.
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The 2010 special election for the 1st congressional district of Hawaii was a special election to the United States House of Representatives that took place to fill the vacancy caused by Representative Neil Abercrombie's resignation on February 28, 2010, to focus on his campaign for Governor of Hawaii in the 2010 gubernatorial election. Abercrombie planned not to run for re-election in 2010, and many of the candidates that were running for his open seat transferred to the special election. The election was held on May 22, 2010, and Republican Charles Djou won, defeating five Democrats, four fellow Republicans, and four Independent candidates. The main reason for his win was because there were two Democratic candidates instead of one, which split the votes, allowing Djou to win, as Hawaii is an overwhelmingly Democratic state. This is to date the only time a Republican was elected to Congress from Hawaii since Pat Saiki in 1988; Djou volunteered on Saiki's 1988 campaign, and Saiki served as Djou's campaign chair in 2010.
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The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election and an election for the United States Senate. Primary elections were held on August 11, 2012.
The 2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Hawaii, concurrently with a special election to Hawaii's Class III Senate Seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2014 United States Senate special election in Hawaii took place on November 4, 2014, the general Election Day in the United States, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii were held on Tuesday, November 4, 2014, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Hawaii, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including an election for Governor of Hawaii and a special election to the United States Senate.
David Yutaka Ige is an American politician and engineer who served as the eighth governor of Hawaii from 2014 to 2022. A Democrat, he served in the Hawaii State Senate from 1994 to 2014 and the Hawaii House of Representatives from 1985 to 1994.
Andria P. L. Tupola is an American politician and member of the Honolulu City Council, representing the 1st district since January 2021. She was a Republican member of the Hawaii House of Representatives from 2014 to 2018, representing District 43. In 2015, Tupola served as the minority floor leader for one year. She served as the state house minority leader, making her the first Samoan woman to serve in that position. In 2018, Tupola was the Republican nominee for Governor of Hawaii. She garnered 33% of the vote and lost to incumbent Democrat David Ige.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the U.S. state of Hawaii; one from each of the state's two congressional districts. Primaries were held on August 11, 2018. The elections and primaries coincided with the elections and primaries of other federal and state offices.
The Twenty Ninth Hawaii State Legislature, consisting of the Hawaii House of Representatives and the Hawaii Senate, was constituted in the U.S. state of Hawaii from November 10, 2016, to November 6, 2018, during the final two years of David Ige's first term as governor. The 2016 elections gave the Democrats an even larger majority in both legislative bodies, with the losses of one Republican representative and lone Republican senator Sam Slom.
The 2022 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Hawaii. Incumbent Democratic governor David Ige was term-limited and ineligible to run for a third term. Incumbent lieutenant governor Josh Green was the Democratic nominee, and faced former lieutenant governor Duke Aiona, the Republican nominee. This marked the third time Aiona had been the Republican gubernatorial nominee, having previously run unsuccessfully in 2010 and 2014. Green won the election with 63.2% of the vote.
The 2020 Honolulu mayoral election determined the Mayor of the City and County of Honolulu for the term commencing in January 2021. Incumbent mayor Kirk Caldwell was ineligible to run for a third term due to term limits.
Official campaign websites
Official lieutenant gubernatorial campaign websites