2024 United States presidential election in Hawaii

For related races, see 2024 United States presidential election.

2024 United States presidential election in Hawaii

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Nominee Kamala Harris Donald Trump Party Democratic Republican Home state California Florida Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance Projected electoral vote 4 0 Popular vote 313,044 193,661 Percentage 60.59% 37.48%

County results Congressional district results Harris   50–60%   60–70%   80–90% The 2024 United States presidential election in Hawaii took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Hawaii voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Hawaii has 4 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. [1] Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden was running for reelection to a second term and became the party's presumptive nominee, but he withdrew from the race on July 21. [2] [3] He then endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day. [4] The Republican nominee is former president Donald Trump. [5] Attorney Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has gathered enough signatures to appear on the ballot, as he announced in late February. [6] Additionally, former Democratic U.S. Representative from Hawaii and current Republican Tulsi Gabbard endorsed former U.S. President Donald Trump. [7] Hawaii is a Pacific island state with its own unique culture separated from the mainland and is majority-Asian American. Although Hawaii has been somewhat drifting away from the Democratic Party since 2008, Hawaii has only voted Republican in two presidential elections since gaining statehood, in 1972 and 1984. Although Harris won the state comfortably, the Republican candidate, Donald Trump, received more than 35% of the vote for the first time since 2004. It was also the first time since that election in which the Democratic candidate failed to achieve 60% of the vote in all of Hawaii's counties. Trump's gain in Hawaii was partially helped by Filipino Americans in the state, which mostly broke for him by 53%.[ citation needed ] Primary elections Democratic caucuses Main article: 2024 Hawaii Democratic presidential caucuses The Hawaii Democratic caucuses were held on March 6, 2024. Hawaii Democratic caucus, March 6, 2024 [8] Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count Bound Unbound Total Joe Biden (incumbent) 1,032 66.0% 15 15 Uncommitted 455 29.1% 7 7 Marianne Williamson 50 3.2% 0 Dean Phillips 15 1.0% 0 Jason Palmer 6 0.4% 0 Armando Perez-Serrato 5 0.3% 0 Total: 1,563 100.00% 22 9 31 Republican caucuses Main article: 2024 Hawaii Republican presidential caucuses The Hawaii Republican caucuses was held on March 12, 2024, alongside primaries in Idaho, Mississippi, Missouri, and Washington. Hawaii Republican caucuses, March 12, 2024 [9] Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count Bound Unbound Total Donald Trump 4,348 97.08% 19 0 19 Nikki Haley (withdrawn) 68 1.52% 0 0 0 Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) 26 0.58% 0 0 0 Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) 25 0.56% 0 0 0 Chris Christie (withdrawn) 8 0.18% 0 0 0 Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) 2 0.04% 0 0 0 Doug Burgum (withdrawn) 1 0.02% 0 0 0 David Stuckenberg 1 0.02% 0 0 0 Total: 4,479 100.00% 19 0 19 General election The Democratic Party of Hawaii attempted to disqualify the "ballot access petition" for Kennedy's newly created party, the We the People Party, on the November ballot, though the state Democratic Party was unsuccessful. [10] Predictions Source Ranking As of The Cook Political Report [11] Solid D December 19, 2023 Inside Elections [12] Solid D April 26, 2023 Sabato's Crystal Ball [13] Safe D June 29, 2023 Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [14] Safe D December 14, 2023 CNalysis [15] Solid D December 30, 2023 CNN [16] Solid D January 14, 2024 The Economist [17] Safe D June 12, 2024 538 [18] Solid D June 11, 2024 RCP [19] Solid D June 26, 2024 NBC News [20] Safe D October 6, 2024 Polling Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [a] Margin of error Joe Biden Democratic Donald Trump Republican Other / Undecided The Bullfinch Group [21] [A] April 16–23, 2024 250 (RV) ± 6.2% 57% 38% 5% John Zogby Strategies [22] [B] April 13–21, 2024 301 (LV) – 55% 34% 11% Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [a] Margin of error Joe Biden Democratic Donald Trump Republican Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent Cornel West Independent Jill Stein Green Other / Undecided The Bullfinch Group [21] [A] April 16–23, 2024 250 (RV) ± 6.2% 42% 34% 8% 3% 0% 13% Hypothetical polling with other candidates Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [a] Margin of error Joe Biden Democratic Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent Other / Undecided John Zogby Strategies [22] [B] April 13–21, 2024 301 (LV) – 42% 48% 10% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [a] Margin of error Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent Donald Trump Republican Other / Undecided John Zogby Strategies [22] [B] April 13–21, 2024 301 (LV) – 50% 27% 23% Results 2024 United States presidential election in Hawaii [23] Party Candidate Votes % ±% Democratic Kamala Harris Tim Walz 313,044 60.59 −3.14 Republican Donald Trump JD Vance 193,661 37.48 +3.21 Green Jill Stein Butch Ware 4,387 0.85 +0.18 Libertarian Chase Oliver Mike ter Maat 2,733 0.53 −0.43 Socialism and Liberation Claudia De la Cruz Karina Garcia 1,940 0.38 N/A American Solidarity Peter Sonski Lauren Onak 936 0.18 N/A Total votes 516,701 100.00 N/A By county Swing by county:   Republican — +5-7.5%   Republican — +7.5-10%   Republican — +10-12.5%   Republican — +12.5-15%   Republican — +>15% County Kamala Harris Democratic Donald Trump Republican Various candidates Other parties Margin Total votes cast #  % #  % #  % #  % Hawaii 52,163 62.98% 28,748 34.71% 1,912 2.31% 23,415 28.27% 82,823 Honolulu 204,301 59.93% 130,489 38.28% 6,131 1.79% 73,812 21.65% 340,921 Kalawao 15 83.33% 3 16.67% 0 0.00% 12 66.66% 18 Kauai 17,675 58.79% 11,803 39.26% 586 1.95% 5,872 19.53% 30,064 Maui 38,905 61.86% 22,621 35.97% 1,367 2.17% 16,284 25.89% 62,893 Totals 313,044 60.59% 193,661 37.48% 9,996 1.93% 119,383 23.11% 516,701 By congressional district Harris won both congressional districts. [24] District Harris Trump Representative 1st 62% 37% Ed Case 2nd 60% 38% Jill Tokuda See also United States presidential elections in Hawaii 2024 United States presidential election 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries 2024 United States elections Notes Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear Partisan clients Poll sponsored by The Independent Center Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign References Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023. Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC. Levine, Sam; Gambino, Lauren (July 22, 2024). "Joe Biden withdraws from presidential race after weeks of pressure to quit". The Guardian. ISSN   0261-3077 . Retrieved July 22, 2024. "Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 22, 2024. Gold, Michael; Nehamas, Nicholas (March 13, 2024). "Donald Trump and Joe Biden Clinch Their Party Nominations". The New York Times. ISSN   0362-4331. Archived from the original on March 13, 2024. Retrieved July 22, 2024. Pellish, Aaron (February 27, 2024). "Super PAC supporting RFK Jr. says it has gathered enough signatures to put him on ballot in Arizona, Georgia | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved February 27, 2024. Spady, Aubrie (August 26, 2024). "Former Democrat Tulsi Gabbard endorses Trump in the 2024 presidential race". Fox News. Retrieved August 29, 2024. "Hawaii Democratic Caucus Results". The New York Times. March 7, 2024. Retrieved March 7, 2024. "Hawaii Presidential Caucuses". The AP. Retrieved March 11, 2024. Pellish, Aaron (April 20, 2024). "RFK Jr. will appear on Hawaii ballot, third state to include him". CNN. Retrieved May 15, 2024. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024. "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024. "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024. "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024. "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024. "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist . Retrieved June 12, 2024. Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved June 11, 2024. "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024. "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News. "Independent Center 2024 Pacific State Survey Toplines" (PDF). The Independent Center. April 23, 2024. Archived from the original (PDF) on May 10, 2024. "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024. "GENERAL ELECTION 2024 - Statewide Summary - November 5, 2024" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. November 13, 2024. Retrieved November 25, 2024. "Results" (PDF). elections.hawaii.gov. This page is based on this Wikipedia article Text is available under the CC BY-SA 4.0 license; additional terms may apply. Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.