2024 United States Senate election in Connecticut

Last updated

2024 United States Senate election in Connecticut
Flag of Connecticut.svg
  2018 November 5, 2024 2030  
  Sen Chris Murphy in 2023.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Chris Murphy Matthew Corey
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote1,000,695678,256
Percentage58.58%39.70%

2024 United States Senate election in Connecticut results map by council of government.svg
2024 United States Senate election in Connecticut results map by county.svg
2024 United States Senate election in Connecticut results map by municipality.svg
2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut results map by congressional district.svg
Murphy:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Corey:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. senator before election

Chris Murphy
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Chris Murphy
Democratic

The 2024 United States Senate election in Connecticut was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Connecticut. Primary elections took place on August 13, 2024. [1] Incumbent Democratic Senator Chris Murphy won re-election to a third term with 58.58% of the vote in a rematch with his 2018 opponent Matthew Corey. This was the first Senate election that Murphy did not carry Windham County.

Contents

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Chris Murphy (D)$13,279,807$8,327,715$9,736,809
Source: Federal Election Commission [15]

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Chris Murphy (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Matthew Corey, bar owner, perennial candidate, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018 [16]

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Matthew Corey

Organizations

Gerry Smith

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Matthew Corey (R)$30,770 [b] $19,926$28,212
Robert Hyde (R)$743$696$47
Gerry Smith (R)$61,506$55,895$5,611
Source: Federal Election Commission [15]

Results

Results by municipality:
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Corey--80-90%
Corey--70-80%
Corey--60-70%
Corey--50-60%
Tied
Smith--50-60%
Smith--60-70%
Smith--70-80%
Smith--80-90% 2024-connecticut-senate-republican-primary.svg
Results by municipality:
  Corey—80–90%
  Corey—70–80%
  Corey—60–70%
  Corey—50–60%
  Tied
  Smith—50–60%
  Smith—60–70%
  Smith—70–80%
  Smith—80–90%
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Matthew Corey 19,228 54.74%
Republican Gerry Smith15,90045.26%
Total votes35,128 100.00%

Green primary

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [21] Solid DNovember 9, 2023
Inside Elections [22] Solid DNovember 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [23] Safe DNovember 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [24] Safe DJune 8, 2024
Elections Daily [25] Safe DMay 4, 2023
CNalysis [26] Solid DNovember 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics [27] Solid DAugust 5, 2024
Split Ticket [28] Safe DOctober 23, 2024
538 [29] Solid DOctober 23, 2024

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Chris
Murphy (D)
Matthew
Corey (R)
Undecided
MassINC Polling Group [30] [A] September 12–18, 2024800 (LV)± 3.7%51%35%

Results

2024 United States Senate election in Connecticut [31]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Chris Murphy953,64655.83Decrease2.svg 0.97
Working Families Chris Murphy47,0492.75Increase2.svg 0.02
Total Chris Murphy (incumbent) 1,000,695 58.58 Decrease2.svg 0.95
Republican Matthew Corey678,25639.70Increase2.svg 0.35
Cheaper Gas Groceries Robert F. Hyde 14,8790.87N/A
Green Justin Paglino14,4220.84Increase2.svg 0.36
Write-in 70.00Steady2.svg
Total votes1,708,259 100.00 N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Murphy won all five congressional districts. [32]

DistrictMurphyCoreyRepresentative
1st 62%36% John B. Larson
2nd 55%43% Joe Courtney
3rd 59%39% Rosa DeLauro
4th 62%37% Jim Himes
5th 55%44% Jahana Hayes

Notes

  1. Mayor
  2. $5,000 of this total was self-funded by Corey
  3. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. Poll sponsored by CT Mirror

References

  1. "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  2. Everett, Burgess (October 5, 2022). "Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents". Politico. Retrieved October 5, 2022. Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.), one of several rising younger senators, said he has "no plans other than to run for reelection."
  3. 1 2 "Senator Chris Murphy Endorsed for Reelection to US Senate". Giffords. December 7, 2023. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
  4. "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  5. "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
  6. "Jewish Dems: President Biden Stands with Israel". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved May 10, 2024.
  7. "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
  8. "Chris Murphy". JStreetPAC. Retrieved August 26, 2023.
  9. "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  10. Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
  11. "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". Planned Parenthood Action Fund . Retrieved November 6, 2023.
  12. "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  13. "2024 Endorsements | Sierra Club Independent Action". www.sierraclubindependentaction.org. Retrieved February 22, 2024.
  14. Dixon, Ken. "CT Democrats unanimously back Chris Murphy for 3rd term in US Senate". CT Insider. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
  15. 1 2 "2024 Election United States Senate - Connecticut". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  16. Flynn, Jim (May 14, 2024). "Corey plans to pursue primary against Smith for GOP Senate nomination". Republican-American. Retrieved June 24, 2024.
  17. Pazniokas, Mark (February 6, 2024). "GOP's Gerry Smith opens uphill race against Sen. Chris Murphy". CT Mirror. Retrieved February 16, 2024.
  18. Staff, CT Centinal (July 31, 2024). "Connecticut Republican Assembly Endorses Matt Corey For U.S. Senate". Connecticut Centinal. Retrieved August 2, 2024. CT Republican Assembly delegates voted to endorse Matt Corey.
  19. Scott-Smith, Brian (May 14, 2024). "Connecticut Republicans Nominate Gerry Smith But Face An August Primary". CT News Junkie. Retrieved June 24, 2024. The Connecticut Republican Party nominated Beacon Falls First Selectman Gerry Smith to challenge US Sen. Chris Murphy for his seat in November on Monday at the party's convention at Central Connecticut State University.
  20. Willow Evans, Jordan (December 13, 2023). "Colorado's Longmont Green Party to Host Virtual Forum for National Candidates". Independent Political Report. Retrieved December 17, 2023.
  21. "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  22. "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  23. "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  24. "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  25. "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  26. "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  27. "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  28. "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  29. "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on November 1, 2024. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  30. MassINC Polling Group
  31. "Election Night Reporting". Secretary of State of Connecticut . November 5, 2024. Retrieved December 10, 2024.
  32. "Statement of Vote" (PDF). Secretary of the State of Connecticut . Retrieved March 18, 2025.

Official campaign websites