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Elections in Ohio |
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The 2024 United States Senate election in Ohio will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Ohio. Democratic incumbent Sherrod Brown is seeking a fourth term. [1] He is being challenged by Republican businessman Bernie Moreno. [2] Primary elections took place on March 19, 2024. [3]
This race is one of two 2024 U.S. Senate races in which Democratic senators are seeking re-election in states where Republican Donald Trump won in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections (the other being Montana). Brown's re-election is considered essential for Democrats' chances to retain the Senate majority in 2024. [4] Republicans last held both of Ohio's Senate seats in 2007.
Ohio has trended towards Republicans in recent years and is now seen as a moderately red state at the federal level. Republicans hold the other U.S. Senate seat and all statewide executive offices along with majorities in both state legislative chambers and the U.S. representative delegation. However, in the 2022 midterms Democrats managed to net a gain of one seat in Ohio's U.S. House delegation. [5] [6]
Former President Donald Trump won Ohio in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections by slightly over 8 points. Republican JD Vance, now the 2024 Republican vice presidential nominee, defeated Democrat Tim Ryan in the 2022 U.S. Senate election by slightly over 6 points. [7] [8]
Brown was first elected in 2006, defeating then-incumbent U.S. Senator Mike DeWine (now governor), and has won reelection in 2012 and 2018. [9] [10] [11] Despite Ohio becoming a reliably Republican state in recent years, Brown has remained popular among his constituents. Because of this, the race is considered to be a tossup; however, polls generally indicate Brown to be the narrow favorite to win. [12]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Sherrod Brown (D) | $27,838,244 | $14,594,991 | $14,614,497 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [32] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Sherrod Brown | Shontel Brown | Tim Ryan | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University | October 16–19, 2023 | 256 (LV) [lower-alpha 2] | ± 8.3% | 58% | 6% | 15% | 21% |
Ohio Northern University | Jul 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 59% | 7% | 17% | 17% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Sherrod Brown (incumbent) | 535,305 | 100.0% | |
Total votes | 535,305 | 100.0% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Candidates | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||
Matt Dolan | Frank LaRose | Bernie Moreno | |||||
1 | Jan. 22, 2024 | FOX 8 | Colleen Marshall Joe Toohey | FOX 8 | P | P | P |
2 | Feb. 19, 2024 | Spectrum News | Mike Kallmeyer | Spectrum News | P | P | P |
3 | Mar. 6, 2024 | WLWT | Sheree Paolello | YouTube | P | P | P |
Campaign finance reports as of February 28, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Matt Dolan (R) | $11,425,814 [lower-alpha 3] | $9,089,493 | $2,383,077 |
Bernie Moreno (R) | $9,735,460 [lower-alpha 4] | $7,338,751 | $2,396,709 |
Frank LaRose (R) | $2,217,016 [lower-alpha 5] | $1,625,972 | $591,043 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [32] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Matt Dolan | Frank LaRose | Bernie Moreno | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | March 17–18, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 40% | 16% | 44% | – | |
Mainstreet Research/ Florida Atlantic University | March 13–15, 2024 | 818 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 31% | 19% | 29% | – | 21% |
East Carolina University | March 8–11, 2024 | <1,298 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 39% | 27% | 34% | – | |
SurveyUSA [upper-alpha 1] | March 6–11, 2024 | 533 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 18% | 16% | 22% | – | 44% |
Emerson College | March 7–10, 2024 | 443 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 26% | 16% | 23% | 3% | 32% |
SurveyUSA [upper-alpha 2] | February 27 – March 3, 2024 | 568 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 27% | 21% | 29% | – | 23% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [upper-alpha 3] | February 25–26, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 19% | 21% | 31% | – | 27% |
Emerson College | January 23–25, 2024 | 1844 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 15% | 21% | 22% | – | 42% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 4] | December 12–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 16% | 18% | 22% | – | 44% |
SurveyUSA [upper-alpha 2] | December 8–12, 2023 | 573 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 18% | 33% | 12% | 1% [lower-alpha 6] | 35% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [upper-alpha 3] | December 3–5, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 18% | 19% | 23% | – | 40% |
co/efficient (R) [upper-alpha 3] | November 18–20, 2023 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.18% | 13% | 14% | 15% | – | 58% |
Emerson College/WJW-TV | November 10–13, 2023 | 468 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 15% | 18% | 10% | 32% [lower-alpha 7] | 25% |
Data for Progress (D) | October 31 – November 2, 2023 | 294 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 20% | 30% | 7% | 0% [lower-alpha 8] | 43% |
Ohio Northern University | October 16–19, 2023 | 269 (LV) [lower-alpha 9] | ± 8.2% | 13% | 30% | 7% | 2% | 49% |
Ohio Northern University | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 18% | 32% | 7% | 1% | 43% |
Suffolk/USA Today | July 9–12, 2023 | 190 (RV) | – | 14% | 19% | 9% | – | 57% |
East Carolina University | June 21–24, 2023 | 405 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 14% | 17% | 7% | 4% | 58% |
Causeway Solutions (R) [upper-alpha 5] | May 19–27, 2023 | 526 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 11% | 24% | 6% | 17% | 42% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bernie Moreno | 557,626 | 50.48% | |
Republican | Matt Dolan | 363,013 | 32.86% | |
Republican | Frank LaRose | 184,111 | 16.67% | |
Total votes | 1,104,750 | 100.0% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [88] | Tossup | November 9, 2023 |
Inside Elections [89] | Tossup | November 9, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [90] | Tossup | November 9, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [91] | Tossup | June 8, 2024 |
Elections Daily [92] | Tossup | May 4, 2023 |
CNalysis [93] | Tossup | December 21, 2023 |
RealClearPolitics [94] | Tossup | August 5, 2024 |
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Sherrod Brown (D) | $52,802,158 | $43,430,700 | $10,742,703 |
Bernie Moreno (R) | $15,813,838 [lower-alpha 10] | $11,200,222 | $4,459,687 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [32] |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Sherrod Brown (D) | Bernie Moreno (R) | Undecided [lower-alpha 11] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RCP | July 23 – September 5, 2024 | September 6, 2024 | 46.3% | 42.7% | 11.0% | Brown +3.6 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Sherrod Brown (D) | Bernie Moreno (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Morning Consult | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 1,558 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 43% | – | 11% |
Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D) [upper-alpha 6] | July 23–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 42% | 1% | 11% |
Guy Benson | September 4, 2024 | N/A | – | 45% | 46% | – | 9% |
SoCal Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 7] | August 31 – September 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | 50% | 45% | – | 5% |
Rasmussen Reports (R) [upper-alpha 8] | August 13–17, 2024 | 1,267 (LV) | – | 47% | 42% | – | 11% |
ActiVote | July 20 – August 12, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 52.5% | 47.5% | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D) [upper-alpha 9] | July 23–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 42% | 1% | 11% |
Remington Research Group (R) [upper-alpha 10] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 601 (LV) | – | 50% | 44% | – | 6% |
Marist College | June 3–6, 2024 | 1,137 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 45% | 1% | 4% |
National Public Affairs | May 28–29, 2024 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 54% | 46% | – | – |
Primary elections held | |||||||
Mainstreet Research/FAU | March 13–15, 2024 | 818 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 36% | – | 17% |
East Carolina University | March 8–11, 2024 | 1,298 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 41% | 3% | 12% |
SurveyUSA [upper-alpha 1] | March 6–11, 2024 | 533 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 37% | – | 20% |
Emerson College | March 7–10, 2024 | 1,300 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 39% | 34% | 6% | 21% |
Emerson College | January 23–25, 2024 | 1844 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 39% | 37% | 5% | 18% |
Emerson College [upper-alpha 11] | November 10–13, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 32% | – | 26% |
Data for Progress (D) | October 31 – November 2, 2023 | 597 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 44% | – | 9% |
Ohio Northern University | October 16–19, 2023 | 668 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 26% | 1% | 25% |
Emerson College | October 1–3, 2023 | 438 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 35% | 33% | – | 32% |
Ohio Northern University | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 28% | 0% | 27% |
Suffolk University | July 9–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 41% | – | 10% |
East Carolina University | June 21–24, 2023 | 805 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 42% | 2% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Sherrod Brown (D) | Matt Dolan (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research/FAU | March 13–15, 2024 | 818 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 41% | – | 14% |
East Carolina University | March 8–11, 2024 | 1,298 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 43% | 4% | 12% |
SurveyUSA [upper-alpha 1] | March 6–11, 2024 | 533 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 42% | 39% | – | 18% |
Emerson College | March 7–10, 2024 | 1,300 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 37% | 34% | 7% | 22% |
Emerson College | January 23–25, 2024 | 1844 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 38% | 37% | 5% | 20% |
Emerson/WJW-TV | November 10–13, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 38% | – | 22% |
Data for Progress (D) | October 31 – November 2, 2023 | 597 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | – | 7% |
Ohio Northern University | October 16–19, 2023 | 668 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 30% | 0% | 25% |
Emerson College | October 1–3, 2023 | 438 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 36% | 38% | – | 26% |
Ohio Northern University | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 33% | 0% | 22% |
Suffolk University | July 9–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 43% | – | 11% |
East Carolina University | June 21–24, 2023 | 805 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | 4% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Sherrod Brown (D) | Frank LaRose (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research/ Florida Atlantic University | March 13–15, 2024 | 818 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 37% | – | 15% |
East Carolina University | March 8–11, 2024 | 1,298 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 40% | 4% | 12% |
SurveyUSA [upper-alpha 1] | March 6–11, 2024 | 533 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 36% | – | 19% |
Emerson College | March 7–10, 2024 | 1,300 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 39% | 33% | 7% | 21% |
Emerson College | January 23–25, 2024 | 1844 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 39% | 37% | 6% | 18% |
Emerson/WJW-TV | November 10–13, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 36% | – | 24% |
Data for Progress (D) | October 31 – November 2, 2023 | 597 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | – | 8% |
Ohio Northern University | October 16–19, 2023 | 668 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 31% | 0% | 25% |
Emerson College | October 1–3, 2023 | 438 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 38% | 39% | – | 23% |
Ohio Northern University | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 32% | 0% | 23% |
Suffolk University | July 9–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 45% | – | 10% |
East Carolina University | June 21–24, 2023 | 805 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 42% | 4% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Sherrod Brown (D) | Joel Mutchler (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D) | October 31 – November 2, 2023 | 597 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 43% | - | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Sherrod Brown (D) | Generic Republican | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Causeway Solutions (R) [upper-alpha 5] | May 19–27, 2023 | 1639 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 39% | 37% | 24% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Sherrod Brown (incumbent) | ||||
Republican | Bernie Moreno | ||||
Libertarian | Don Kissick | ||||
Total votes |
Sherrod Campbell Brown is an American politician who is the senior United States senator from Ohio, a seat which he has held since 2007. A member of the Democratic Party, he was the U.S. representative for Ohio's 13th congressional district from 1993 to 2007 and the 47th secretary of state of Ohio from 1983 to 1991. He started his political career in 1975 as a state representative.
Joshua Aaron Mandel is an American far-right politician who served as the 48th treasurer of Ohio from 2011 to 2019. A member of the Republican Party, he previously was the Ohio State Representative for the 17th district from 2007 to 2011. He was the unsuccessful Republican challenger to Democratic incumbent Sherrod Brown in the 2012 U.S. Senate election.
The 2012 United States Senate election in Ohio took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican Josh Mandel, the Ohio State Treasurer. Brown was unopposed in the Democratic primary while Mandel won the Republican primary with 63% of the vote.
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The 2024 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Pennsylvania. Democratic incumbent Bob Casey Jr. is seeking a fourth term. He is being challenged by Republican businessman David McCormick. Primary elections took place on April 23, 2024. The election is considered essential for Democrats' chances to retain the Senate majority in 2024.
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the 15 U.S. representatives from Ohio, one from each of the state's 15 congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, other elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held on May 3, 2022.
The 2024 United States Senate election in Montana will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Montana. Democratic incumbent Jon Tester is seeking a fourth term. He is being challenged by Republican businessman Tim Sheehy. Primary elections took place on June 4, 2024.
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The 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Ohio. Republican writer and venture capitalist JD Vance defeated Democratic U.S. Representative Tim Ryan to succeed retiring incumbent Republican Rob Portman.
Bernardo Moreno is an American businessman who is the Republican nominee in the 2024 United States Senate election in Ohio.
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The 2024 Ohio Republican presidential primary was held on March 19, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 79 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis. The contest was held alongside primaries in Arizona, Florida, Illinois, and Kansas.
Mark Kvamme, a Columbus venture capitalist and former JobsOhio CEO, has sometimes been mentioned as a potential Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in 2024. But 'that's not going to happen,' Kvamme told Capitol Letter on Monday. Kvamme said he's instead backing Cleveland car dealer/2022 U.S. Senate candidate Bernie Moreno
'Josh is not running for Senate in 2024 and has no plans to return to politics,' Scott Guthrie, Mandel's longtime political aide, wrote in a text message responding on his behalf.
He decided against running in the 2022 Senate race won by Vance, and he's not gearing up to run for Senate next year.
'I don't intend on endorsing in the Senate race'...Husted said.
The party issued no other primary election endorsements on Friday, including in the heated Republican Party for U.S. Senate
The chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, Sen. Steve Daines (R-Mont.), told CBS News last week that his group...plans to stay neutral in the Ohio race.
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