 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||
 Ohio results by county.
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Elections in Ohio |
|---|
 |
The 2016 Ohio Republican presidential primary took place March 15 in the U.S. state of Ohio, as a part of the Republican Party's series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. The Ohio primary was held alongside Republican primary elections in Florida, Illinois, Missouri and North Carolina, along with the Democratic contest in Ohio.
The primary was won by the state's then governor, John Kasich.
In the 2012 Republican primary elections, the Ohio primary was a winner-take-most primary scheduled for March 6. [1] However, the state's winner, Mitt Romney, reached only 37% of the vote and thus won only 58% of the state's delegates. House Bill 153, signed by Governor Kasich, moved the primary to March 15 for the 2016 contest, in what would be dubbed a second Super Tuesday by several news networks. [2] In addition, in mid-September, Ohio's Republican Party decided to make the state's 66 delegates completely winner-take-all, in order to maximize the state's power on the nominating convention and to avoid a similar problem to what happened in 2012. This was also expected to help John Kasich, as the state's governor. [3]
Despite an early victory by Ted Cruz in the Iowa caucuses, Donald Trump was seen as making steady progress towards the Republican nomination at the time. Trump was victorious in 7 of the contests on March 1, with Cruz seen as the only viable threat to Trump after victories in his home state of Texas and 3 other March 1 contests. Marco Rubio performed worse than anticipated on March 1, taking only Minnesota. On March 8, two primaries and a caucus were held in Hawaii, Michigan and Mississippi. Despite a poll from American Research Group that showed Kasich leading Trump in Michigan, Trump won all three contests. [4] [5]
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primary results | March 15, 2016 | John Kasich 46.95% | Donald Trump 35.87% | Ted Cruz 13.31% | Marco Rubio 2.34%, Ben Carson 0.72%, Jeb Bush 0.27%, Mike Huckabee 0.25%, Chris Christie 0.12%, Carly Fiorina 0.11%, Rick Santorum 0.07% |
| ARG [6] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 400 | March 12–13, 2016 | John Kasich 44% | Donald Trump 38% | Ted Cruz 12% | Marco Rubio 2%, Undecided 4% |
| Monmouth University [7] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 503 | March 11–13, 2016 | John Kasich 40% | Donald Trump 35% | Ted Cruz 15% | Marco Rubio 5%, Other 1%, Undecided 4% |
| Quinnipiac University [8] Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 721 | March 8–13, 2016 | Donald Trump 38% | John Kasich 38% | Ted Cruz 16% | Marco Rubio 3%, Undecided 4% |
| CBS News/YouGov [9] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 798 | March 9–11, 2016 | John Kasich 33% | Donald Trump 33% | Ted Cruz 27% | Marco Rubio 5%, No Preference 2% |
| NBC News/WSJ/Marist [10] Margin of error: ± 4.1% Sample size: 564 | March 4–10, 2016 | John Kasich 39% | Donald Trump 33% | Ted Cruz 19% | Marco Rubio 6% |
| Fox News [11] Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 806 | March 5–8, 2016 | John Kasich 34% | Donald Trump 29% | Ted Cruz 19% | Marco Rubio 7%, Undecided 5%, Other 3%, None of the above 2% |
| Quinnipiac University [12] Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 685 | March 2–7, 2016 | Donald Trump 38% | John Kasich 32% | Ted Cruz 16% | Marco Rubio 9%, Undecided 5% |
| Public Policy Polling [13] Margin of error: ± 3.9% | March 4–6, 2016 | Donald Trump 38% | John Kasich 35% | Ted Cruz 15% | Marco Rubio 5%, Undecided 5% |
| CNN/ORC [14] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 359 | March 2–6, 2016 | Donald Trump 41% | John Kasich 35% | Ted Cruz 15% | Marco Rubio 7% |
| Quinnipiac University [15] Margin of error: ± 3.6% | February 16–20, 2016 | Donald Trump 31% | John Kasich 26% | Ted Cruz 21% | Marco Rubio 13%, Ben Carson 5%, Someone else 0%, DK/NA 5% |
| Baldwin Wallace University [16] Margin of error: ± 5% | February 11–20, 2016 | Donald Trump 31% | John Kasich 29% | Ted Cruz 11% | Marco Rubio 10%, Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 3%, Don't Know 8% |
| Quinnipiac University [17] Margin of error: ± 4.7% | September 25 – October 5, 2015 | Donald Trump 23% | Ben Carson 18% | John Kasich 13% | Ted Cruz 11%, Carly Fiorina 10%, Marco Rubio 7%, Jeb Bush 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, George Pataki 0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else 0%, Would not vote 2%, DK/NA 6% |
| Quinnipiac University [18] Margin of error: ± 5.1% | August 7–18, 2015 | John Kasich 27% | Donald Trump 21% | Ted Cruz 7% | Marco Rubio 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Jeb Bush 5%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Scott Walker 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Rick Perry 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Don't know 11% |
| Quinnipiac University [19] Margin of error: ± 4.8% | June 4–15, 2015 | John Kasich 19% | Jeb Bush 9% | Scott Walker 8% | Marco Rubio 7%, Rand Paul 7%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Ted Cruz 6%, Chris Christie 3%, Lindsey Graham 2%, Rick Perry 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Donald Trump 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Someone else 1%, Wouldn't vote 1%, Don't know 17% |
| Public Policy Polling [20] Margin of error: ± 4.8% | June 4–7, 2015 | John Kasich 19% | Ben Carson 13% | Scott Walker 13% | Jeb Bush 12%, Marco Rubio 12%, Rand Paul 9%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Ted Cruz 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Someone Else/Not Sure 8% |
| Quinnipiac University Margin of error: ± 4.9% | March 17–28, 2015 | John Kasich 20% | Ted Cruz 9% | Mike Huckbee 9% | Scott Walker 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Ben Carson 8%, Rand Paul 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Marco Rubio 5%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else 1%, Wouldn't vote 1% Undecided 15% |
| John Kasich 22% | Scott Walker 10% | Ted Cruz 9% | Mike Huckabee 9%, Ben Carson 8%, Rand Paul 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Rick Perry 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else 1%, Wouldn't vote 1% Undecided 17% | ||
| John Kasich 22% | Ted Cruz 11% | Jeb Bush 9% | Ben Carson 9%, Mike Huckabee 9%, Rand Paul 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, Chris Christie 5%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Rick Perry 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else 1%, Wouldn't vote 1% Undecided 15% | ||
| Quinnipiac University Archived April 5, 2016, at the Wayback Machine Margin of error: ± 5.3% | January 22 – February 1, 2015 | Mitt Romney 15% | John Kasich 11% | Scott Walker 10% | Jeb Bush 9%, Rand Paul 8%, Ben Carson 7%, Ted Cruz 5%, Mike Huckabee 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Marco Rubio 3%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 2%, Wouldn't vote 2%, Undecided 18% |
| John Kasich 14% | Scott Walker 11% | Jeb Bush 10% | Rand Paul 10%, Ben Carson 8%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Ted Cruz 6%, Chris Christie 6%, Marco Rubio 4%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Other 2%, Wouldn't vote 2%, Undecided 20% | ||
| Magellan Strategies Margin of error: ± 6% | April 14–15, 2014 | Mike Huckabee 17% | Rand Paul 15% | Jeb Bush 13% | Chris Christie 13%, Ted Cruz 12%, John Kasich 10%, Marco Rubio 5%, Scott Walker 4%, Undecided 11% |
| Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ± 5.2% | Aug. 16–19, 2013 | Chris Christie 17% | Rand Paul 17% | Jeb Bush 10% | Marco Rubio 9%, John Kasich 8%, Paul Ryan 8%, Ted Cruz 6%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Rick Santorum 4%, Someone Else/Undecided 17% |
The opinion polls during early March showed a narrow lead for Trump over Governor Kasich. These polls found approximately 10% support for Marco Rubio, in a distant fourth place. Seeing that many Rubio voters also preferred Governor Kasich as "establishment" voters, Rubio's communications director encouraged Rubio voters to vote for Kasich on March 11. [21] The strategy seemed to work, as Kasich drew narrowly ahead in the polls immediately before the election. [22] Kasich was seen as a slight favorite to take the state immediately before the primary. [23]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| John Kasich | 933,886 | 46.95% | 66 | 0 | 66 |
| Donald Trump | 713,404 | 35.87% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ted Cruz | 264,640 | 13.31% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marco Rubio | 46,478 | 2.34% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Carson (withdrawn) | 14,351 | 0.72% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeb Bush (withdrawn) | 5,398 | 0.27% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) | 4,941 | 0.25% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 2,430 | 0.12% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) | 2,112 | 0.11% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rick Santorum (withdrawn) | 1,320 | 0.07% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total: | 1,988,960 | 100.00% | 66 | 0 | 66 |
| Source: The Green Papers | |||||
Marco Rubio suspended his campaign after March 15's contests, although this was more based on a poor Florida primary as opposed to the Ohio contest. [24]
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2016 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls were either declared candidates, former candidates, or received media speculation about their possible candidacy. On May 4, 2016, Donald Trump became the sole contender and presumptive nominee.
This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries. The shading for each poll indicates the candidate(s) which are within one margin of error of the poll's leader.
This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries. For currency and accuracy, please note the specific dates for each polling as listed below. For the significance of the earliest state votes, the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, see United States presidential primary – Iowa and New Hampshire. To know when any given state votes, see the timeline of primaries and caucuses.
Presidential primaries and caucuses of the Republican Party took place within all 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and five U.S. territories between February 1 and June 7, 2016. These elections selected the 2,472 delegates that were sent to the Republican National Convention. Businessman and reality television star Donald Trump won the Republican nomination for president of the United States.
The following is a timeline of major events leading up to, during, and after the 2016 United States presidential election. The election was the 58th quadrennial United States presidential election, held on November 8, 2016. The presidential primaries and caucuses were held between February 1 and June 14, 2016, staggered among the 50 states, Washington, D.C., and U.S. territories. The U.S. Congress certified the electoral result on January 6, 2017, and the new president and vice president were inaugurated on January 20, 2017.
Twelve presidential debates and nine forums were held between the candidates for the Republican Party's nomination for president in the 2016 United States presidential election, starting on August 6, 2015.
The 2016 presidential campaign of John Kasich, the 69th governor of Ohio, was announced on July 21, 2015. He was a candidate for the 2016 Republican Party presidential nomination. He earned 154 delegates and won only one contest, his home state, Ohio. Kasich suspended his campaign on May 4, 2016, one day after becoming the last major challenger to Donald Trump for the nomination. Kasich vied to become the first Pennsylvania native to hold the office since James Buchanan in 1856, as well as the first from the city of Pittsburgh to do so.
The 2016 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary, which took place on February 9, was the second major vote of the cycle. Donald Trump was declared the winner with 35.3% of the popular vote and picked up 11 delegates, while John Kasich emerged from a pack of candidates between 10-20% to capture second place with 15.8% of the vote and picked up four delegates.
The 2016 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses took place on February 1 in the U.S. state of Iowa, traditionally marking the Republican Party's first nominating contest in their series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from 2013 to December 31, 2015, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.
The 2016 South Carolina Republican presidential primary took place on February 20 in the U.S. state of South Carolina, marking the Republican Party's third nominating contest in their series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
The 2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Florida as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
The 2016 Ohio Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Ohio as one of the Democratic Party's primaries prior to the 2016 presidential election.
The 2016 Wisconsin Republican presidential primary was held on April 5 in the U.S. state of Wisconsin as one of the Republican Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. Texas senator Ted Cruz won the contest with 48%, ahead of nationwide frontrunner Donald Trump by 13 percentage points. Taking advantage of the state's two-level "winner takes all" provision, Cruz took 36 out of the 42 available delegates.
| image_size = x160px | votes_for_election = 95 pledged delegates to the 2016 Republican National Convention }}
The 2016 Missouri Republican presidential primary took place March 15 in the U.S. state of Missouri, as a part of the Republican Party's series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 United States presidential election. The Missouri primary was held alongside Republican primary elections in Florida, Illinois, North Carolina and Ohio, along with the Democratic contest in Missouri. The hotly contested primary was won by businessman Donald Trump by a margin of 0.21% over Texas Senator Ted Cruz.
The 2016 Colorado Republican presidential caucuses took place in early April in the U.S. state of Colorado, as a part of the Republican Party's series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. The Colorado contest consisted of a series of congressional district conventions on April 2, 7 and 8 and a state convention on April 9. A non-binding "beauty contest" caucus was held March 1 to coincide with the Super Tuesday conventions. Ted Cruz won a majority of delegates in the convention.
Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2016 and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.
This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election in Florida, contested by Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Gary Johnson and Jill Stein. The state was won by Donald Trump with 49.02% of the vote against 47.82% for Hillary Clinton.
The 2016 Massachusetts Republican presidential primary was held on Tuesday March 1, as one of the Republican Party's 2016 presidential primaries. Massachusetts was one of eleven states that held both their Democratic and Republican presidential primaries on that day, dubbed "Super Tuesday". 42 delegates were allocated proportionally to all candidates who received at least 5 percent of the vote in the primary.
