2016 Alabama Republican presidential primary

2016 Alabama Republican presidential primary
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50 pledged delegates to the; 2016 Republican National Convention
	Donald Trump 30–40% 40–50% 50–60%

Last updated April 13, 2024

The 2016 Alabama Republican presidential primary took place on March 1, 2016. This was the fifth primary held in the 2016 Republican primary. Donald Trump won the primary handily. The election was also held on Super Tuesday. Trump eventually won the Republican primary. He was elected President of the United States on November 8, 2016, against Hillary Clinton.

Candidates

Endorsements

Donald Trump

U.S. Senators

Jeff Sessions, U.S. Senator^[3]

Polling

Aggregate polls


Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Marco Rubio Republican	Donald Trump Republican	Ted Cruz Republican	Margin
RealClearPolitics	until March 1, 2016	March 1, 2016	20.3%	38.0%	14.7%	Trump +17.7
FiveThirtyEight	until March 1, 2016	March 1, 2016	20.4%	43.4%	17.2%	Trump +23.0

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Primary results	March 1, 2016	Donald Trump43.42%	Ted Cruz21.09%	Marco Rubio18.66%	Ben Carson 10.24%, John Kasich 4.43%, Jeb Bush 0.46%, Mike Huckabee 0.30%, Rand Paul 0.22%, Chris Christie 0.10%, Rick Santorum 0.07%, Carly Fiorina 0.06%, Lindsey Graham 0.03%
SurveyMonkey^[4] Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 741	February 22–29, 2016	Donald Trump 47%	Ted Cruz 18%	Marco Rubio 14%	Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 3%, Undecided 9%
Monmouth University^[5] Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 450	February 25–28, 2016	Donald Trump 42%	Marco Rubio 19%	Ted Cruz 16%	Ben Carson 11%, John Kasich 5%, Undecided 7%
Opinion Savvy^[6] Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 460	February 25–26, 2016	Donald Trump 35.8%	Marco Rubio 23.0%	Ted Cruz 16.2%	Ben Carson 10.5%, John Kasich 7.5%, Undecided 7.0%
AL.com^[7] Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 500	December 10–13, 2015	Donald Trump 35%	Ted Cruz 15%	Marco Rubio 12%	Ben Carson 12%, Jeb Bush 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Chris Christie 3%, John Kasich 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rand Paul <1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Lindsey Graham <1%
Gravis Marketing Margin of error: ± 2% Sample size: 1616	September 3, 2015	Donald Trump 38%	Ben Carson 16.7%	Jeb Bush 4.9%	Ted Cruz 4.1%, Mike Huckabee 2.7%, Marco Rubio 2.3%, Carly Fiorina 2.3%, Rand Paul 1.5%, John Kasich 1.3%, Scott Walker 1.1%, Chris Christie 0.9%, Rick Santorum 0.4%, Rick Perry 0.3%, Bobby Jindal 0.3%, Lindsey Graham 0.1%, unsure 23.2%
News-5/Strategy Research Margin of error: ± 2% Sample size: 3500	August 11, 2015	Donald Trump 30%	Jeb Bush 15%	Ben Carson 11%	Marco Rubio 11%, Mike Huckabee 8%, Carly Fiorina 8%, Ted Cruz 7.5%, Scott Walker 3%, Other 5%
Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 481	August 2–3, 2015	Donald Trump 37.6%	Ben Carson 14.6%	Jeb Bush 11.8%	Mike Huckabee 7.9%, Ted Cruz 4.5%, Scott Walker 3.8%, Chris Christie 3.2%, Marco Rubio 2.6%, Rand Paul 2.2%, Bobby Jindal 2.0%, John Kasich 1.4%, Rick Santorum 1.2%, Rick Perry 1.0%, Lindsey Graham 0.7%, Carly Fiorina 0.5%, George Pataki 0.0%, Someone else 1.9%, Undecided 3.1%
Cygnal Margin of error: ± 3.42% Sample size: 821	July 7–8, 2014	Jeb Bush 19.8%	Ben Carson 12.6%	Rand Paul 10.5%	Chris Christie 8.8%, Rick Perry 7.2%, Ted Cruz 5.6%, Rick Santorum 5.3%, Bobby Jindal 3.9%, Scott Walker 3.6%, Undecided 22.6%

Results

Alabama Republican primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	373,721	43.42%	36	0	36
Ted Cruz	181,479	21.09%	13	0	13
Marco Rubio	160,606	18.66%	1	0	1
Ben Carson	88,094	10.24%	0	0	0
John Kasich	38,119	4.43%	0	0	0
Uncommitted	7,953	0.92%	0	0	0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)	3,974	0.46%	0	0	0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)	2,539	0.30%	0	0	0
Rand Paul (withdrawn)	1,895	0.22%	0	0	0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	858	0.10%	0	0	0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)	617	0.07%	0	0	0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)	544	0.06%	0	0	0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)	253	0.03%	0	0	0
Unprojected delegates:			0	0	0
Total:	860,652	100.00%	50	0	50
Source: The Green Papers

Results by county


County	Trump	Cruz	Rubio	Carson	Kasich	Uncommitted	Bush	Huckabee	Other
Autauga	44.57%	20.48%	14.75%	14.57%	3.48%	1.01%	0.47%	0.26%	0.40%
Baldwin	46.87%	17.02%	19.26%	8.39%	5.93%	1.38%	0.45%	N/A	0.70%
Barbour	50.16%	17.77%	14.62%	12.26%	3.6%	0.61%	0.3%	0.26%	0.41%
Bibb	49.46%	25.45%	11.18%	9.89%	2.11%	0.76%	0.43%	0.38%	0.35%
Blount	48.75%	24.39%	12.15%	10.05%	2.22%	1.12%	0.37%	0.51%	0.42%
Bullock	56.50%	16.97%	11.55%	8.48%	4.15%	0.54%	1.26%	0.18%	0.36%
Butler	53.78%	16.68%	13.37%	11.77%	2.69%	0.53%	0.66%	N/A	0.53%
Calhoun	45.06%	19.43%	16.32%	11.83%	4.78%	1.04%	0.64%	0.36%	0.53%
Chambers	47.52%	20.11%	13.04%	13.07%	3.68%	0.96%	0.79%	0.26%	0.57%
Cherokee	52.10%	17.23%	15.19%	10.01%	2.83%	1.29%	0.37%	0.54%	0.43%
Chilton	49.43%	21.78%	13.44%	10.75%	2.04%	1.10%	0.59%	0.48%	0.38%
Choctaw	49.93%	21.05%	14.70%	7.89%	3.17%	1.26%	0.93%	0.51%	0.56%
Clarke	50.22%	19.28%	17.48%	8.92%	2.71%	0.41%	0.33%	0.39%	0.26%
Clay	47.48%	20.89%	12.49%	12.25%	3.09%	1.60%	1.06%	0.52%	0.62%
Cleburne	48.30%	21.13%	13.62%	9.95%	2.41%	1.64%	1.55%	0.57%	0.82%
Coffee	41.40%	23.37%	15.52%	13.16%	3.4%	1.32%	0.66%	0.38%	0.64%
Colbert	47.45%	19.62%	17.68%	10.89%	3.05%	0.54%	N/A	N/A	0.77%
Conecuh	59.02%	15.96%	10.82%	10.51%	1.30%	0.84%	0.61%	0.46%	0.46%
Coosa	55.32%	19.56%	10.81%	9.02%	2.96%	0.99%	0.45%	0.27%	0.63%
Covington	48.14%	18.51%	13.33%	13.33%	3.37%	1.56%	0.81%	0.43%	0.51%
Crenshaw	54.50%	21.93%	9.11%	10.42%	2.55%	0.51%	0.44%	N/A	0.55%
Cullman	50.65%	20.25%	13.49%	10.96%	2.66%	0.80	0.37%	0.31%	0.51%
Dale	45.28%	21.90%	13.02%	12.54%	3.63%	1.76%	0.61%	0.61%	0.66%
Dallas	59.70%	20.66%	8.68%	5.25%	2.63%	1.48%	0.91%	0.57%	0.11%
DeKalb	47.59%	16.39%	21.60%	9.79%	2.47%	1.01%	0.39%	0.39%	0.37%
Elmore	47.49%	18.35%	13.43%	14.90%	3.58%	0.91%	0.54%	0.29%	0.51%
Escambia	49.33%	18.00%	17.14%	10.24%	3.40%	0.56%	0.49%	0.37%	0.47%
Etowah	46.09%	20.75%	16.79%	11.19%	3.27%	0.74%	0.41%	0.28%	0.49%
Fayette	49.86%	20.97%	13.35%	9.81%	2.49%	1.77%	0.50%	0.88%	0.36%
Franklin	51.47%	21.29%	13.42%	9.26%	2.55%	0.72%	0.33%	0.48%	0.48%
Geneva	48.62%	23.73%	12.99%	9.26%	2.30%	1.31%	0.66%	0.55%	0.59%
Greene	53.85%	21.61%	12.09%	6.96%	3.66%	N/A	0.73%	0.37%	0.74%
Hale	52.07%	24.98%	11.74%	7.77%	2.12%	0.53%	N/A	0.26%	0.53%
Henry	46.79%	22.28%	14.36%	11.47%	2.81%	1.05%	0.55%	0.29%	0.39%
Houston	40.39%	22.56%	18.19%	11.43%	4.13%	1.66%	0.68%	0.44%	0.53%
Jackson	49.89%	16.37%	16.90%	10.82%	2.83%	2.00%	0.37%	0.44%	0.40%
Jefferson	35.02%	23.82%	24.67%	8.92%	6.09%	0.55%	0.36%	N/A	0.58%
Lamar	50.43%	19.26%	12.97%	9.57%	2.87%	2.25%	0.78%	1.03%	0.83%
Lauderdale	42.14%	18.36%	18.69%	12.05%	5.52%	1.66%	0.36%	0.53%	0.69%
Lawrence	52.89%	17.53%	13.53%	10.74%	2.87%	0.93%	0.55%	0.41%	0.55%
Lee	32.96%	23.17%	22.50%	11.72%	7.11%	0.98%	0.61%	0.35%	0.59%
Limestone	43.03%	21.39%	18.85%	10.87%	3.90%	0.89%	0.37%	N/A	0.70%
Lowndes	59.52%	16.31%	9.88%	10.48%	3.10%	0.36%	N/A	N/A	0.36%
Macon	47.91%	19.78%	12.38%	12.79%	5.25%	0.67%	0.54%	0.54%	0.13%
Madison	36.18%	20.69%	26.03%	9.58%	5.94%	0.59%	0.31%	N/A	0.69%
Marengo	53.95%	21.17%	11.79%	7.89%	2.41%	1.21%	0.93%	0.28%	0.37%
Marion	52.92%	19.15%	13.91%	8.89%	2.52%	0.77%	0.56%	0.60%	0.68%
Marshall	49.51%	15.12%	20.56%	9.86%	3.23%	0.69%	0.30%	0.29%	0.44%
Mobile	45.22%	21.41%	18.93%	7.71%	4.59%	0.93%	0.49%	N/A	0.73%
Monroe	52.06%	17.42%	15.78%	9.87%	2.86%	0.50%	0.53%	0.53%	0.45%
Montgomery	39.42%	17.59%	20.85%	12.65%	7.30%	0.83%	0.64%	N/A	0.73%
Morgan	44.59%	19.73%	18.31%	11.40%	4.53%	0.50%	0.25%	0.27%	0.42%
Perry	51.73%	32.80%	8.80%	4.00%	0.53%	1.33%	0.53%	0.27%	N/A
Pickens	44.0.5%	25.74%	13.81%	11.31%	2.54%	0.63%	0.70%	0.98%	0.23%
Pike	46.02%	20.15%	14.79%	12.81%	3.16%	1.23%	0.79%	0.40%	0.66%
Randolph	51.59%	20.65%	12.83%	9.36%	2.92%	0.94%	0.77%	0.55%	0.39%
Russell	47.45%	27.03%	12.31%	7.92%	2.82%	1.04%	0.53%	N/A	0.90%
St. Clair	44.60%	26.88%	13.42%	10.86%	2.69%	0.53%	0.41%	N/A	0.61%
Shelby	34.35%	26.37%	22.95%	9.42%	5.03%	0.83%	0.37%	N/A	0.67%
Sumter	59.36%	15.90%	13.78%	7.42%	1.41%	0.35%	1.41%	0.35%	N/A
Talladega	51.05%	19.98%	13.56%	9.54%	3.80%	0.71%	0.59%	0.35%	0.40%
Tallapoosa	52.78%	15.01%	14.60%	11.40%	4.20%	0.53%	0.62%	0.27%	0.58%
Tuscaloosa	37.46%	25.05%	20.37%	10.64%	4.44%	0.88%	0.41%	0.29%	0.44%
Walker	55.11%	20.37%	10.84%	8.97%	2.37%	1.17%	0.46%	0.32%	0.40%
Washington	53.78%	21.82%	15.31%	6.43%	1.14%	0.85%	N/A	N/A	0.68%
Wilcox	54.36%	21.59%	12.12%	8.33%	2.27%	N/A	0.57%	0.38%	0.38%
Winston	56.12%	18.01%	11.85%	9.02%	2.73%	0.90%	0.45%	0.37%	0.54%
TOTAL	43.42%	21.09%	18.66%	10.24%	4.43%	0.92%	0.46%	0.30%	0.48%
Source

By congressional district

Trump won all 7 congressional districts.^[8]

District	Trump	Cruz	Rubio
1st	46%	19%	19%
2nd	46%	21%	15%
3rd	44%	21%	16%
4th	49%	19%	16%
5th	40%	20%	22%
6th	37%	25%	22%
7th	43%	23%	18%

Analysis

According to Pew Research, Alabama's Republican electorate has the second-highest proportion of white Evangelicals of any Super Tuesday state, at 63% of Republican voters.^[9]

Donald Trump won the Alabama primary in a landslide due to support from Evangelical primary voters. Trump carried 43% of Evangelicals compared to 22% for Ted Cruz, according to exit polls by Edison Research.^[10] Many pundits were perplexed by Trump's dominance among culturally conservative Southern whites who were expected to view him as immoral, but he benefitted from voters' racial, cultural, and economic angst that mattered more than shared values.^[11]

Related Research Articles

This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries. The shading for each poll indicates the candidate(s) which are within one margin of error of the poll's leader.

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The following is a timeline of major events leading up to, during, and after the 2016 United States presidential election. The election was the 58th quadrennial United States presidential election, held on November 8, 2016. The presidential primaries and caucuses were held between February 1 and June 14, 2016, staggered among the 50 states, Washington, D.C., and U.S. territories. The U.S. Congress certified the electoral result on January 6, 2017, and the new president and vice president were inaugurated on January 20, 2017.

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The 2016 presidential campaign of Ted Cruz, the junior United States senator from Texas, was announced on March 23, 2015. He was a candidate for the Republican Party's 2016 presidential nomination and won the second-most state contests and delegates. Cruz themed his campaign around being an outsider and a strict conservative. In the crowded early field, he chose not to directly confront the leading candidate, Donald Trump, who was also viewed as an outsider candidate. His cordial and sympathetic tone towards Trump contrasted with the more critical approach of rivals such as Jeb Bush, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, and Rand Paul. Had Cruz been elected, he would have been the first Cuban American U.S. president.

The 2016 presidential campaign of Marco Rubio, who is currently the senior United States senator from Florida, was formally announced on April 13, 2015, at an event at the Freedom Tower in Downtown Miami. Early polling showed Rubio, who was considered a potential candidate for Vice President by Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney in 2012, as a frontrunner candidate for the Republican nomination for president of the United States in 2016 since at least the end of the 2012 election. Rubio was the second Cuban American to run for president of the United States, with Republican Ted Cruz announcing his campaign three weeks earlier. He suspended his campaign on March 15, 2016, after finishing second in Florida's primary.

The 2016 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary, which took place on February 9, was the second major vote of the cycle. Donald Trump was declared the winner with 35.3% of the popular vote and picked up 11 delegates, while John Kasich emerged from a pack of candidates between 10-20% to capture second place with 15.8% of the vote and picked up four delegates.

The 2016 United States presidential election in North Carolina held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. North Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. North Carolina had 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

The 2016 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses took place on February 1 in the U.S. state of Iowa, traditionally marking the Republican Party's first nominating contest in their series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Indiana was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Indiana voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Indiana has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

The 2016 Nevada Republican presidential caucuses took place on February 23 in the U.S. state of Nevada, marking the Republican Party's fourth nominating contest in their series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

The 2016 South Carolina Republican presidential primary took place on February 20 in the U.S. state of South Carolina, marking the Republican Party's third nominating contest in their series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

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The 2016 Indiana Republican presidential primary was held on May 3 in the U.S. state of Indiana as one of the Republican Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. This was a winner-take-all election, so Donald Trump, who came in first in the popular vote, won all the delegates.

The 2016 Ohio Republican presidential primary took place March 15 in the U.S. state of Ohio, as a part of the Republican Party's series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. The Ohio primary was held alongside Republican primary elections in Florida, Illinois, Missouri and North Carolina, along with the Democratic contest in Ohio.

The 2016 Arkansas Republican presidential primary was won by Donald Trump with a plurality 32.8% support over Senator Ted Cruz, who competed heavily in Arkansas and hailed from neighboring Texas, with 30.5% support. While Marco Rubio earned the endorsement of Arkansas Governor Asa Hutchinson, Ted Cruz competed aggressively with Trump for the state's Evangelical base.

The 2016 Mississippi Republican presidential primary took place in Mississippi on March 8, 2016, ahead of the presidential election that November. The Democrats held their Mississippi primary on the same day.

The 2016 Georgia Republican presidential primary was held on Tuesday March 1, as part of that election cycle's Super Tuesday. It took place ahead of the presidential election that November, and the state's Democratic primary was held on the same day.

The 2016 Massachusetts Republican presidential primary was held on Tuesday March 1, as one of the Republican Party's 2016 presidential primaries. Massachusetts was one of eleven states that held both their Democratic and Republican presidential primaries on that day, dubbed "Super Tuesday". 42 delegates were allocated proportionally to all candidates who received at least 5 percent of the vote in the primary.

The 2024 Alabama Republican presidential primary was held on March 5, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 50 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-most basis. The contest was held on Super Tuesday alongside primaries in 14 other states.

References

↑ Cox, Amanda; Katz, Josh; Quealy, Kevin (March 1, 2016). "Who Will Win Super Tuesday? Live Estimates of Tonight's Final Republican Delegate Count". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331 . Retrieved June 21, 2022.
↑ Stokols, Eli. "Sen. Jeff Sessions endorses Trump". POLITICO. Retrieved May 6, 2019.
↑ Diamond, Jeremy (February 29, 2016). "Sen. Jeff Sessions endorses Donald Trump". CNN . Retrieved September 9, 2023.
↑ "Trump's Lead Looks Steady in Run-Up to Super Tuesday". SurveyMonkey. Retrieved March 1, 2016.
↑ "ALABAMA and OKLAHOMA: TRUMP LEADS IN BOTH CLINTON LEADS IN AL, SANDERS IN OK" (PDF). Monmouth University Poll. Retrieved March 1, 2016.
↑ "Alabama Republican Presidential Primary Poll" (PDF). Opinion Savvy. Retrieved February 27, 2016.
↑ "Poll shows Trump and Cruz in lead in Alabama GOP primary race". AL.com. Retrieved January 23, 2016.
↑ "Certification of Results" (PDF). www.sos.alabama.com. Retrieved October 14, 2023.
↑ Lipka, Michael. "A closer look at religion in the Super Tuesday states". Pew Research Center. Retrieved June 11, 2022.
↑ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved June 11, 2022.
↑ Maxwell, Angie (December 30, 2020). "Why Trump Became a 'Confederate' President". The Forum. 18 (4): 493–529. doi:10.1515/for-2020-2107. ISSN 1540-8884.

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[1] Cox, Amanda; Katz, Josh; Quealy, Kevin (March 1, 2016). "Who Will Win Super Tuesday? Live Estimates of Tonight's Final Republican Delegate Count". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331 . Retrieved June 21, 2022.

[2] Stokols, Eli. "Sen. Jeff Sessions endorses Trump". POLITICO. Retrieved May 6, 2019.

[3] Diamond, Jeremy (February 29, 2016). "Sen. Jeff Sessions endorses Donald Trump". CNN . Retrieved September 9, 2023.

[SurveyMonkey-4] "Trump's Lead Looks Steady in Run-Up to Super Tuesday". SurveyMonkey. Retrieved March 1, 2016.

[auto-5] "ALABAMA and OKLAHOMA: TRUMP LEADS IN BOTH CLINTON LEADS IN AL, SANDERS IN OK" (PDF). Monmouth University Poll. Retrieved March 1, 2016.

[6] "Alabama Republican Presidential Primary Poll" (PDF). Opinion Savvy. Retrieved February 27, 2016.

[7] "Poll shows Trump and Cruz in lead in Alabama GOP primary race". AL.com. Retrieved January 23, 2016.

[8] "Certification of Results" (PDF). www.sos.alabama.com. Retrieved October 14, 2023.

[9] Lipka, Michael. "A closer look at religion in the Super Tuesday states". Pew Research Center. Retrieved June 11, 2022.

[10] "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved June 11, 2022.

[11] Maxwell, Angie (December 30, 2020). "Why Trump Became a 'Confederate' President". The Forum. 18 (4): 493–529. doi:10.1515/for-2020-2107. ISSN 1540-8884.

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v t e 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries
Candidates Endorsements Debates and forums Polling Results Convention
February	Iowa New Hampshire South Carolina Nevada
Super Tuesday	Alabama Alaska Arkansas Colorado Georgia Massachusetts Minnesota North Dakota Oklahoma Tennessee Texas Vermont Virginia Wyoming
March	Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Puerto Rico Hawaii Idaho Michigan Mississippi U.S. Virgin Islands District of Columbia Guam Florida Illinois Missouri Northern Marianas North Carolina Ohio American Samoa Arizona Utah
April	Wisconsin New York Connecticut Delaware Maryland Pennsylvania Rhode Island
May	Indiana Nebraska West Virginia Oregon Washington
June	California Montana New Jersey New Mexico South Dakota