2022 Ohio gubernatorial election

Last updated

2022 Ohio gubernatorial election
Flag of Ohio.svg
  2018 November 8, 2022 2026  
Turnout52.32% Decrease2.svg 5.2pp
  Gov-Mike-DeWine (cropped).jpg Nan Whaley, Mayor of Dayton, Ohio USA.jpg
Nominee Mike DeWine Nan Whaley
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Jon Husted Cheryl Stephens
Popular vote2,580,4241,545,489
Percentage62.41%37.38%

2022 Ohio gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2022 Ohio United States Gubernatorial election by Congressional District.svg
OH Governor 2022.svg
DeWine:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Whaley:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%     No votes

Governor before election

Mike DeWine
Republican

Elected Governor

Mike DeWine
Republican

The 2022 Ohio gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Ohio. Incumbent Republican Governor Mike DeWine won re-election to a second term in a landslide, defeating Democratic nominee Nan Whaley, the former mayor of Dayton, 62.4% to 37.4%. [1] DeWine's 25-point victory marked the continuation of a trend in which every incumbent Republican governor of Ohio since 1994 has won re-election by a double-digit margin.

Contents

This was the first time since 1994 in which Trumbull and Mahoning counties have gone to the Republican candidate with over 60% of the vote. Hamilton County also voted Republican in a statewide election for the first time since Ohio's 2016 senate election.

Republican primary

Former U.S. Representative Jim Renacci challenged DeWine in the primary. Jim Renacci, Official Portrait, 112th Congress (cropped 3).jpg
Former U.S. Representative Jim Renacci challenged DeWine in the primary.

Incumbent governor Mike DeWine faced backlash from Republicans due to having implemented strict COVID-19 restrictions, such as a statewide stay at home order and mask mandates. [2] [3] [4] Due to this, on April 30, 2021, farmer Joe Blystone became the first candidate to announce a primary challenge to DeWine. On June 9, former U.S. Representative Jim Renacci also announced a run, later being followed up by former state representative Ron Hood. [5] [6] [7] As a result, DeWine became the first incumbent Ohio governor to face a primary challenger since Jim Rhodes in 1978 and the first to have multiple challengers since Michael Disalle in 1962. Initial polling showed Renacci in the lead; however, his lead soon evaporated, as DeWine attempted to appeal to conservatives angry with his COVID-19 response by attacking President Joe Biden's policies and signing constitutional carry into law, allowing permitless carry of firearms. [8] [9] [10] Incumbent governors rarely ever lose their primaries. Ultimately, DeWine prevailed in the primary election on May 3; however, he only won with a plurality of the vote, which suggests that he could have lost had his opponents not split the vote. [11]

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Mike DeWine
Local officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Jim Renacci
State representatives
  • John Becker, former state representative from the 65th district (2013–2020) [39]
  • Jennifer Gross, state representative from the 52nd district (2021–present) [39]
  • Ron Maag, former state representative from the 62nd district (2013–2016) and the 35th district (2009–2013) [39]
  • Seth Morgan, former state representative from the 36th district (2009–2011) [40]
  • Nino Vitale, state representative from the 85th district (2015–present) [40]
  • Scott Wiggam, state representative from the 1st district (2017–present) [39]
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Declined to endorse
Organizations

Polling

Graphical summary
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Blystone
Mike
DeWine
Jim
Renacci
Other
[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
Real Clear Politics February 25 – May 1, 2022May 2, 202216.5%48.0%31.0%4.5%DeWine +17.0
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Joe
Blystone
Mike
DeWine
Ron
Hood
Jim
Renacci
OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) April 29 – May 1, 20221,081 (LV)± 3.0%19%47%2%27%5%
Emerson College April 28–29, 2022885 (LV)± 3.2%12%45%2%30%12%
Fox News April 20–24, 2022906 (LV)± 3.0%19%43%24%1%12%
The Trafalgar Group (R) April 13–14, 20221,078 (LV)± 3.0%24%40%2%26%10%
University of Akron February 17 – March 15, 2022– (LV)51%23%10%17%
Fox News March 2–6, 2022918 (LV)± 3.0%21%50%18%<1%10%
Emerson College February 25–26, 2022410 (LV)± 4.8%20%34%0%9%36%
The Trafalgar Group (R) February 1–4, 20221,066 (LV)± 3.0%20%41%23%16%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 1] January 25–26, 2022626 (LV)± 3.9%38%33%29%
Fabrizio Lee (R) [upper-alpha 2] January 11–13, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%38%46%16%
Fabrizio Lee (R) [upper-alpha 2] May 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%34%42%24%

Results

Results by county:
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
DeWine
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
Renacci
30-40%
40-50%
Blystone
30-40%
40-50%
50-60% 2022 Ohio gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  DeWine
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Renacci
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Blystone
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results [48] [49]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican
519,594 48.11%
Republican
302,49428.01%
Republican
  • Joe Blystone
  • Jeremiah Workman
235,58421.81%
Republican 22,4112.07%
Total votes1,080,083 100.0%

Democratic primary

Former Cincinnati Mayor John Cranley finished second in the primary. WES groundbreaking - John Cranley (46375484761) (cropped).jpg
Former Cincinnati Mayor John Cranley finished second in the primary.

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

John Cranley
State senators
State representatives
Individuals
Newspapers
Nan Whaley
U.S. senators
State senators
State representatives
Local officials
Individuals
  • Joe Rugola, Executive Director of the Ohio Association of Public School Employees (OAPSE) [64]
Unions
Organizations
Declined to endorse

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
John
Cranley
Nan
Whaley
OtherUndecided
University of Akron February 17 – March 15, 2022– (LV)18%23%6%54%
Emerson College February 25–26, 2022313 (LV)± 5.5%16%16%69%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D) [upper-alpha 3] January 17–19, 2022670 (LV)± 3.8%20%33%48%

Results

Results by county:
Whaley
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
Cranley
50-60%
60-70% 2022 Ohio gubernatorial Democratic primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Whaley
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Cranley
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Democratic primary results [48] [49]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic
331,014 65.01%
Democratic 178,13234.99%
Total votes509,146 100.0%

Independents

Candidates

Disqualified

  • F. Patrick Cunnane
    • Running mate: Mary Cunnane
  • Niel Petersen, pastor from Huber Heights [71]
    • Running mate: Michael V Stewart

Endorsements

Timothy Grady

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [73] Solid RSeptember 29, 2022
Inside Elections [74] Solid RJuly 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [75] Safe RJune 2, 2022
Politico [76] Solid RNovember 3, 2022
RCP [77] Safe ROctober 20, 2022
Fox News [78] Likely RMay 12, 2022
538 [79] Solid RJuly 31, 2022
Elections Daily [80] Safe RNovember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Mike DeWine (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
State officials
Local officials
State senators
Individuals
Newspapers
Labor unions
Organizations
Nan Whaley (D)
U.S. senators
State senators
State representatives
Local officials
Individuals
  • Joe Rugola, Executive Director of the Ohio Association of Public School Employees (OAPSE) [64]
Newspapers
Unions
Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Mike
DeWine (R)
Nan
Whaley (D)
Undecided
[lower-alpha 3]
Margin
Real Clear Politics October 7–22, 2022October 25, 202255.8%37.5%6.7%DeWine +18.3
FiveThirtyEight August 16 – October 25, 2022October 25, 202255.5%36.1%8.4%DeWine +19.3
Average55.6%36.8%7.6%DeWine +18.8
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Mike
DeWine (R)
Nan
Whaley (D)
OtherUndecided
Civiqs November 4–7, 2022716 (LV)± 4.1%53%39%6% [lower-alpha 4] 2%
Research Co. November 4–6, 2022450 (LV)± 4.6%57%37%6%
Targoz Market Research November 2–6, 2022505 (LV)± 4.3%62%32%5% [lower-alpha 5]
The Trafalgar Group (R) November 3–5, 20221,123 (LV)± 2.9%59%34%8%
Data for Progress (D) November 2–5, 20221,413 (LV)± 3.0%62%38%
Cygnal (R) November 1–3, 20221,498 (LV)± 2.5%56%37%7%
Remington Research Group (R) November 1–2, 20221,125 (LV)± 2.8%58%35%7%
Emerson College October 30 – November 1, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%55%34%5% [lower-alpha 6] 7%
Cygnal (R) October 29 – November 1, 20221,520 (LV)± 2.5%56%36%8%
Cygnal (R) October 26–30, 20221,510 (LV)± 2.5%56%36%9%
Cygnal (R) October 24–28, 20221,776 (LV)± 2.3%56%35%9%
Cygnal (R) October 22–26, 20221,817 (LV)± 2.3%56%35%9%
Cygnal (R) October 20–24, 20221,886 (LV)± 2.3%55%37%8%
Baldwin Wallace University October 20–23, 20221,068 (LV)± 3.5%57%40%3%
Cygnal (R) October 18–22, 20221,547 (LV)± 2.5%55%37%8%
Marist College October 17–20, 20221,141 (RV)± 3.9%53%40%1% [lower-alpha 7] 6%
942 (LV)± 4.3%54%41%1% [lower-alpha 8] 3%
Cygnal (R) October 16–20, 20221,540 (LV)± 2.5%55%37%8%
Siena College October 14–19, 2022644 (LV)± 5.1%58%34%3% [lower-alpha 9] 6%
Cygnal (R) October 14–18, 20221,438 (LV)± 2.6%56%35%9%
Ohio Northern University/Lucid October 11–15, 2022668 (LV)± 3.8%60%29%1% [lower-alpha 10] 10%
Suffolk University October 11–15, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%56%38%1% [lower-alpha 11] 5%
The Trafalgar Group (R) October 10–12, 20221,081 (LV)± 2.9%55%37%8%
Data for Progress (D) October 7–12, 20221,016 (LV)± 3.0%57%38%5%
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 4] October 6–8, 2022640 (LV)57%35%8%
Emerson College October 6–7, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%50%36%6% [lower-alpha 12] 8%
Siena College September 18–22, 2022642 (LV)± 4.4%55%32%3% [lower-alpha 13] 10%
Baldwin Wallace University September 12–15, 2022855 (LV)± 4.1%57%39%4%
Marist College September 12–15, 20221,200 (RV)± 3.6%55%37%8%
1,009 (LV)± 3.9%55%39%6%
Emerson College September 10–13, 20221000 (LV)± 3%50%33%5%12%
Civiqs September 10–13, 2022780 (LV)± 4%44%41%10%5%
Fallon Research September 6–11, 2022500 (RV)± 4.3%49%37%14%
Suffolk University September 5–7, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%54%39%7%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022831 (LV)± 4.3%54%35%11%
Survey Monkey (D) [upper-alpha 5] August 31 – September 2, 2022987 (RV)± 3.0%52%31%17%
519 (LV)± 3.0%53%37%10%
The Trafalgar Group (R) August 16–19, 20221,087 (LV)± 2.9%54%38%8%
Emerson College August 15–16, 2022925 (LV)± 3.2%49%33%8%11%
Lake Research Partners (D) [upper-alpha 6] August 4–9, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%44%43%8%5%
Lake Research Partners (D) [upper-alpha 6] August 3–9, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%44%43%7%6%
Suffolk University May 22–24, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%45%30%11% [lower-alpha 14] 13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 20–24, 20211,200 (RV)± 2.8%44%2+

+5%

10%16%
1,160 (LV)± 2.9%46%27%11%16%
Hypothetical polling
Mike DeWine vs. John Cranley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Mike
DeWine (R)
John
Cranley (D)
OtherUndecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 20–24, 20211,200 (RV)± 2.8%44%24%10%16%
1,160 (LV)± 2.9%47%25%11%15%

Results

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State Senate district results 2022 Ohio United States Gubernatorial election by State Senate District.svg
State Senate district results
State House district results 2022 Ohio United States Gubernatorial election by State House District.svg
State House district results
2022 Ohio gubernatorial election swing map by county.svg
2022 Ohio gubernatorial election trend map by county.svg
2022 Ohio gubernatorial election [49]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican
2,580,424 62.41% +12.02%
Democratic
1,545,48937.38%-9.30%
Write-in 8,9640.22%N/A
Total votes4,134,877 100.0%
Turnout 4,201,36852.32%
Registered electors 8,029,950
Republican hold

According to a survey conducted by NORC for Fox News and the Associated Press, most white people (68% to 32%), Latinos (64% to 33%), and other minorities (60% to 36%) voted for DeWine, while most African Americans voted for Whaley (73% to 27%). [89]

Results by county

CountyMike DeWine
Republican
Nan Whaley
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Adams 7,34883.83%1,39515.92%220.25%5,95367.91%8,765
Allen 25,46177.97%6,83520.93%3601.10%18,62657.04%32,656
Ashland 14,51079.10%3,72920.33%1050.57%10,78158.77%18,344
Ashtabula 20,90368.16%9,62131.37%1420.46%11,28236.79%30,666
Athens 8,92046.63%10,15553.08%550.29%-1,235-6.45%19,130
Auglaize 16,01985.80%2,47413.25%1780.96%13,54572.55%18,671
Belmont 16,88474.74%5,54624.55%1610.70%11,33850.19%22,591
Brown 11,65882.42%2,37216.77%1140.81%9,28665.65%14,144
Butler 90,06370.12%38,18629.73%1990.15%51,87740.39%128,448
Carroll 8,07479.51%1,96919.39%1121.11%6,10560.12%10,155
Champaign 11,32478.34%2,96220.49%1691.17%8,36257.85%14,455
Clark 31,12170.88%12,55928.60%2280.51%18,56242.28%43,908
Clermont 59,15373.54%20,88825.97%3950.49%38,26547.57%80,436
Clinton 11,47981.05%2,58318.24%1010.71%8,89662.81%14,163
Columbiana 28,01378.93%7,16920.20%3110.87%20,84458.73%35,493
Coshocton 8,90178.44%2,36920.88%780.69%6,53257.56%11,348
Crawford 11,78179.43%2,94919.88%1010.68%8,83259.55%14,831
Cuyahoga 175,69742.73%234,07656.93%1,3890.34%-58,379-14.20%411,162
Darke 17,27886.96%2,46412.40%1280.65%14,81474.56%19,870
Defiance 10,18075.87%3,13923.40%980.73%7,04152.47%13,417
Delaware 62,73363.49%35,94236.37%1370.14%26,79127.12%98,812
Erie 18,65164.31%10,23635.30%1130.39%8,41529.01%29,000
Fairfield 41,01769.53%17,84230.25%1290.22%23,17539.28%58,988
Fayette 6,91381.88%1,47617.48%540.64%5,43764.40%8,443
Franklin 182,91442.87%242,33256.79%1,4640.34%-59,418-13.92%426,710
Fulton 13,00879.22%3,32420.24%880.53%9,68458.98%16,420
Gallia 7,22979.72%1,67718.49%1621.79%5,55261.23%9,068
Geauga 28,93167.97%13,34431.35%2890.68%15,58736.62%42,564
Greene 45,78768.90%20,56530.95%1010.15%25,22237.95%66,453
Guernsey 9,48678.04%2,53020.81%1391.14%6,95657.23%12,155
Hamilton 155,57751.18%148,02348.70%3710.12%7,5542.48%303,971
Hancock 20,97577.07%6,12722.51%1140.42%14,84854.56%27,216
Hardin 7,21080.42%1,71719.15%380.42%5,49361.27%8,965
Harrison 4,07978.61%1,07220.66%380.73%3,00757.95%5,189
Henry 8,43780.87%1,94918.68%470.45%6,48862.19%10,433
Highland 10,88083.31%2,11416.19%650.50%8,76667.12%13,059
Hocking 7,04673.83%2,40525.20%920.96%4,64148.63%9,543
Holmes 7,26285.96%1,11513.20%710.84%6,14772.76%8,448
Huron 13,90475.06%4,46424.10%1550.84%9,44050.96%18,523
Jackson 7,03379.38%1,74919.74%780.88%5,28459.64%8,860
Jefferson 16,92973.90%5,85525.56%1230.53%11,07448.34%22,907
Knox 17,34975.22%5,52523.95%1910.83%11,82451.27%23,065
Lake 61,12164.66%33,09835.01%3080.33%28,02329.65%94,527
Lawrence 13,60277.86%3,81521.84%520.30%9,78756.02%17,469
Licking 46,88170.54%19,14328.80%4390.66%27,73841.74%66,463
Logan 13,55382.05%2,77716.81%1881.14%10,77665.24%16,518
Lorain 66,28959.69%44,31439.90%4460.40%21,97519.79%111,049
Lucas 72,21454.14%60,51645.37%6610.50%11,6988.77%133,391
Madison 10,78376.25%3,24422.94%1150.81%7,53953.31%14,142
Mahoning 55,67665.20%29,44434.48%2760.32%26,23230.72%85,396
Marion 14,26374.17%4,81825.05%1490.78%9,44549.12%19,230
Medina 53,49868.47%24,03430.76%6040.78%29,46437.71%78,136
Meigs 5,75578.20%1,51920.64%851.15%4,23657.56%7,359
Mercer 15,40386.89%2,23012.58%1040.53%13,17374.31%17,727
Miami 33,70979.46%8,45219.92%2610.62%25,25759.54%42,422
Monroe 3,79377.97%1,02221.01%501.03%2,77156.96%4,865
Montgomery 110,67259.05%76,15440.63%6030.32%34,51818.42%187,429
Morgan 3,80879.35%95819.96%330.69%2,85059.39%4,799
Morrow 10,69880.52%2,47518.63%1130.85%8,22361.89%13,286
Muskingum 21,06476.76%6,23022.70%1490.54%14,83454.06%27,443
Noble 3,78581.93%77816.84%571.24%3,00765.09%4,620
Ottawa 13,31271.79%5,17127.89%600.32%8,14143.90%18,543
Paulding 5,16979.58%1,28519.78%410.63%3,88459.80%6,495
Perry 9,26378.31%2,51521.26%500.43%6,74857.05%11,828
Pickaway 15,20977.45%4,28921.84%1390.71%10,92055.61%19,637
Pike 5,88975.66%1,84223.67%520.67%4,04751.99%7,783
Portage 37,63462.15%22,66537.43%2550.42%14,96924.72%60,554
Preble 13,17283.38%2,50415.85%1210.77%10,66867.53%15,797
Putnam 13,40289.09%1,55010.30%920.62%11,85278.79%15,044
Richland 30,89974.46%10,42925.13%1700.41%20,47049.33%41,498
Ross 16,49672.79%6,03726.64%1300.57%10,45946.15%22,663
Sandusky 15,71273.10%5,63126.20%1500.70%10,08146.90%21,493
Scioto 15,93475.84%5,04824.03%290.14%10,88651.81%21,011
Seneca 13,66775.45%4,31923.84%1290.71%9,34851.61%18,115
Shelby 15,71786.69%2,29112.64%1220.67%13,42674.05%18,130
Stark 90,38767.49%43,08232.17%4630.35%47,30535.32%133,932
Summit 105,77753.20%92,20646.37%8540.43%13,5716.83%198,837
Trumbull 48,45966.48%24,16333.15%2680.37%24,29633.33%72,890
Tuscarawas 22,29673.64%7,68525.38%2940.97%14,61148.26%30,275
Union 18,38772.10%6,91827.13%1960.77%11,46944.97%25,501
Van Wert 8,27982.22%1,70216.90%880.88%6,57765.32%10,069
Vinton 3,11177.87%83220.83%521.30%2,27957.04%3,995
Warren 74,34572.95%27,07026.56%4930.48%47,27546.39%101,908
Washington 16,93474.79%5,62524.84%820.37%11,30949.95%22,641
Wayne 28,28473.76%9,82425.62%2380.63%18,46048.14%38,346
Williams 10,33179.99%2,54319.69%410.32%7,78860.30%12,915
Wood 31,39964.67%17,06035.14%950.20%14,33929.53%48,554
Wyandot 6,53780.17%1,55819.11%590.71%4,97961.06%8,154
Totals2,580,68562.27%1,545,68837.30%17,9510.43%1,034,99724.97%4,144,324

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

DeWine won 13 of 15 congressional districts, including three that elected Democrats. [90]

DistrictDeWineWhaleyRepresentative
1st 55%45% Steve Chabot (117th Congress)
Greg Landsman (118th Congress)
2nd 77%23% Brad Wenstrup
3rd 37%63% Joyce Beatty
4th 74%25% Jim Jordan
5th 71%29% Bob Latta
6th 72%28% Bill Johnson
7th 63%37% Bob Gibbs (117th Congress)
Max Miller (118th Congress)
8th 69%31% Warren Davidson
9th 63%37% Marcy Kaptur
10th 62%38% Mike Turner
11th 30%70% Shontel Brown
12th 72%28% Troy Balderson
13th 57%43% Tim Ryan (117th Congress)
Emilia Sykes (118th Congress)
14th 66%34% David Joyce
15th 62%38% Mike Carey

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. 1 2 3 4 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. "Someone else" with 6%
  5. "All others" with 5%
  6. "Someone else" with 5%
  7. "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  8. "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  9. "Another candidate" with 2%; "Not going to vote" with 1%
  10. "Other" with 1%
  11. "Someone else" with 1%
  12. "Someone else" with 6%
  13. "Another candidate" with 2%; "Not going to vote" with 1%
  14. Petersen with 11%, "someone else" with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. This poll was sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association
  2. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by Renacci's campaign committee
  3. This poll was sponsored by Whaley's campaign
  4. This poll was sponsored by American Greatness
  5. This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes DeWine
  6. 1 2 This poll was circulated by the Ohio Democratic Party

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