2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut

Last updated

2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut
Flag of Connecticut.svg
←  2016 November 8, 2022 2028  →
Turnout51.03% Decrease2.svg
  Richard Blumenthal Official Portrait (4x5 crop).jpg Leora Levy confirmation hearing.png
Nominee Richard Blumenthal Leora Levy
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families
Popular vote723,864535,943
Percentage57.45%42.54%
2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut results map by county.svg
2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut results map by municipality.svg
2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut results map by congressional district.svg
Blumenthal:      50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Levy:      50–60%     60–70%
U.S. senator before election

Richard Blumenthal
Democratic

Elected U.S. senator

Richard Blumenthal
Democratic

The 2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Connecticut.

Contents

Democrat Richard Blumenthal was first elected to this seat in 2010 with 55.2% of the vote over Republican Linda McMahon. He was then re-elected in 2016 with 63.2% of the vote over Republican Dan Carter. Blumenthal ran for reelection to a third term in office and secured the 2022 nomination. Businesswoman Leora Levy won the Republican primary on August 9, 2022. Blumenthal won reelection, defeating Levy by about 15 points. [1] The race took place simultaneously with the 2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election.

Democratic convention

Candidates

Nominated at convention

Endorsements

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Eliminated at convention

Declined

Endorsements

Themis Klarides

Governors

Local officials

Organizations

Leora Levy

Executive branch officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. House of Representatives

Individuals

Organizations

Results

2022 United States Senate Republican primary election in Connecticut results map by county.svg
Results by county
2022 United States Senate Republican primary election in Connecticut results map by municipality.svg
Results by municipality
  Levy
  •   30-40%
  •   40-50%
  •   50-60%
  •   60-70%
  Klarides
  •   40-50%
  •   50-60%
  •   60-70%
Republican primary results [31]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Leora Levy 46,774 50.60%
Republican Themis Klarides 37,00340.03%
Republican Peter Lumaj8,6659.37%
Total votes92,442 100.0%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [32] Solid DMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections [33] Solid DApril 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [34] Safe DMarch 1, 2022
Politico [35] Likely DAugust 12, 2022
RCP [36] Lean DOctober 15, 2022
Fox News [37] Likely DSeptember 20, 2022
DDHQ [38] Solid DJuly 20, 2022
538 [39] Solid DJune 30, 2022
The Economist [40] Safe DSeptember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Leora Levy (R)

Executive branch officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

Organizations

Newspapers

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Richard
Blumenthal (D)		Leora
Levy (R)		Other
[lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics [48] October 10–23, 2022October 30, 202252.7%41.7%5.6%Blumenthal +11.0
FiveThirtyEight [49] September 15 – October 19, 2022October 30, 202253.4%40.9%5.7%Blumenthal +12.4
270towin [50] September 7–21, 2022October 30, 202252.7%41.7%5.6%Blumenthal +11.0
Average52.9%41.4%5.7%Blumenthal +11.5

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Richard
Blumenthal (D)		Leora
Levy (R)		OtherUndecided
Long Island University [51] October 24–26, 20221,004 (A)± 3.0%51%26%9% [lower-alpha 3] 14%
Quinnipiac University [52] October 19–23, 20221,879 (LV)± 2.3%56%41%1% [lower-alpha 4] 2%
Emerson College [53] October 19–21, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%53%40%2% [lower-alpha 5] 5%
54%42%4% [lower-alpha 6] –
Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R) [54] [upper-alpha 1] October 10–13, 20221,200 (LV)± 2.8%49%44%–7%
Western New England University [55] September 15–21, 2022766 (RV)± 3.2%51%37%2% [lower-alpha 7] 10%
626 (LV)± 4.8%53%40%2% [lower-alpha 8] 5%
Quinnipiac University [52] September 15–19, 20221,911 (LV)± 2.2%57%40%1% [lower-alpha 9] 3%
Emerson College [56] September 7–9, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%36%–15%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [57] July 26–27, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%45%33%–22%
Emerson College [56] May 10–11, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.0%52%36%–11%
Hypothetical polling

Richard Blumenthal vs. Themis Klarides

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Richard
Blumenthal (D)		Themis
Klarides (R)		Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [57] July 26–27, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%45%34%21%
Emerson College [56] May 10–11, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.0%50%40%10%

Richard Blumenthal vs. Peter Lumaj

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Richard
Blumenthal (D)		Peter
Lumaj (R)		Undecided
Emerson College [56] May 10–11, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.0%51%35%14%

Richard Blumenthal vs. generic opponent

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Richard
Blumenthal (D)		Generic
Opponent		Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [57] July 26–27, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%41%47%12%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Generic
Democrat		Generic
Republican		OtherUndecided
Fabrizo Lee (R) [58] [upper-alpha 1] October 10–13, 20221,200 (LV)–45%43%1% [lower-alpha 10] 11%

Debates

2022 United States Senate general election in Connecticut debates
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Richard Blumenthal Leora Levy
1Nov. 2, 2022Channel 3, CT Insider [59] PP

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut [60]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Richard Blumenthal701,17555.65%−2.03%
Working Families Richard Blumenthal22,6891.80%−3.71%
Total Richard Blumenthal (incumbent) 723,864 57.45% -5.74%
Republican Leora Levy 535,94342.54%+7.92%
Write-in 800.00%±0.0%
Total votes1,259,887 100.00%
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Blumenthal won all 5 congressional districts. [61]

DistrictBlumenthalLevyRepresentative
1st 63%37% John B. Larson
2nd 55%45% Joe Courtney
3rd 58%42% Rosa DeLauro
4th 61%39% Jim Himes
5th 52%48% Jahana Hayes

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ↑ "Not planning to vote" with 5%; "Another candidate" with 4%
  4. ↑ "Refused" with 1%
  5. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  6. ↑ "Someone else" with 4%
  7. ↑ "Refused" with 2%
  8. ↑ "Refused" with 2%
  9. ↑ "Refused" with 1%
  10. ↑ "Refused" with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by The Connecticut Examiner .

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References

  1. ↑ Kang, Hanna; Neubauer, Kelsey. "Live Results: Democratic incumbent Sen. Richard Blumenthal beat Trump-endorsed Republican Leora Levy in Connecticut's US Senate race". Business Insider. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  2. ↑ Munson, Emilie (November 4, 2020). "A campaign begins: Blumenthal will seek re-election in 2022". www.ctpost.com. Retrieved November 14, 2020.
  3. 1 2 "2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 9, 2022.
  4. 1 2 "Jewish Dems Start 2022 Election Cycle With First Slate of Endorsements". www.jewishdems.org. November 30, 2021. Retrieved December 11, 2021.
  5. 1 2 "Richard Blumenthal Earns LCV Action Fund Endorsement for Reelection to the U.S. Senate". www.lcv.org. April 26, 2022.
  6. 1 2 "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Slate of Reproductive Freedom Champions for the U.S. House and Senate". NARAL Pro-Choice America. July 13, 2021.
  7. 1 2 Turrentine, Jeff (March 8, 2022). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses These Candidates in the 2022 Elections". Natural Resources Defense Council . Retrieved March 15, 2022.
  8. 1 2 "2022 House & Senate Endorsements". Archived from the original on July 2, 2022. Retrieved April 21, 2022.
  9. 1 2 "Endorsed Candidates". proisraelamerica.org. Archived from the original on December 20, 2021. Retrieved January 21, 2022.
  10. 1 2 "Sierra Club 2022 Endorsements". Sierra Club Independent Action.
  11. ↑ "Labor Endorses Slate of Pro-Worker Candidates". June 24, 2022. Retrieved July 4, 2022.
  12. ↑ Borsuk, Ken (February 8, 2022). "Leora Levy seeks GOP nod for Senate run 'to lead the fight for freedom,' challenge Richard Blumenthal". Greenwich Time. Retrieved February 9, 2022.
  13. ↑ House, Dennis (January 30, 2022). "This Week in CT: Themis Klarides announces run for U.S. Senate seat". WTNH . Retrieved March 24, 2022.
  14. ↑ Pazniokas, Mark (January 30, 2022). "Themis Klarides confirms a switch to U.S. Senate race". The Connecticut Mirror . Retrieved March 24, 2022.
  15. ↑ Keating, Christopher (December 20, 2021). "Connecticut Republicans, with little money and no prominent candidates, prepare to challenge U.S. Sen. Richard Blumenthal". Hartford Courant . Archived from the original on December 21, 2021. Retrieved January 1, 2022.
  16. ↑ "GOP sees opportunity to defeat Blumenthal in 2022 elections". www.fox61.com. WTIC-TV. April 3, 2022. Retrieved April 4, 2022.
  17. 1 2 3 4 "Republican Convention ends; Stefanowski nabs nomination". www.wfsb.com. WFSB-TV. May 6, 2022. Retrieved May 28, 2022.
  18. ↑ "FLYNN, JOHN J - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved January 3, 2021.
  19. ↑ Munson, Emilie (December 1, 2019). "CT congressional candidate in Trump's inner circle - or is he?". Connecticut Post . Archived from the original on January 15, 2020. Retrieved August 9, 2020.
  20. ↑ Sommer, Will; Swan, Betsy (January 25, 2020). "Meet the Trump Donor Who Allegedly Stalked America's Ambassador in Ukraine". The Daily Beast .
  21. ↑ Pazniokas, Mark (April 4, 2016). "GOP's Dan Carter announces for U.S. Senate nomination". The Connecticut Mirror.
  22. ↑ Vigdor, Neil (May 28, 2019). "The once and future candidate? Republican Bob Stefanowski transforms from losing nominee to ubiquitous foil of Gov. Ned Lamont". courant.com.
  23. ↑ "FILING FEC-1500208". February 16, 2021.
  24. 1 2 "Republican candidates vying for U.S. Senate in Connecticut ready for August Primary". WTNH. July 13, 2022.
  25. ↑ "Hogan hits hustings in New Hampshire as possible 2024 Republican bid takes shape". Washington Examiner. July 11, 2022.
  26. ↑ "Trump's endorsement of Levy — and any other GOP hopefuls — a mixed picture in CT". August 5, 2022.
  27. ↑ "Blumenthal leads potential GOP rivals ahead of Connecticut general election: poll". The Hill . May 19, 2021. Retrieved May 19, 2022. The Connecticut GOP endorsed Klarides on Saturday.
  28. 1 2 Pazniokas, Mark (August 4, 2022). "Donald Trump endorses Leora Levy for U.S. Senate in live phone call". The Connecticut Mirror . Retrieved August 4, 2022.
  29. ↑ "Endorsed Candidates". John Bolton PAC.
  30. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 "Leora is Backed by Conservatives!".
  31. ↑ "2022 Aug 9 Republican Primary - U.S. Senator". ct.gov.
  32. ↑ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  33. ↑ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  34. ↑ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
  35. ↑ "Connecticut Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  36. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
  37. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. September 20, 2022. Retrieved September 20, 2022.
  38. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  39. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  40. ↑ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
  41. ↑ Pazniokas, Mark (May 19, 2022). "Poll: In U.S. Senate race, Richard Blumenthal has double-digit leads". The CT Mirror.
  42. ↑ "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES" . Retrieved October 29, 2022.
  43. ↑ Curto, Christian (September 30, 2022). "Ambassador John Bolton Endorses Leora Levy for U.S. Senate". John Bolton PAC | BoltonPAC.com. Retrieved September 7, 2023.
  44. ↑ "Nikki Haley endorses US Senate candidate Leora Levy". November 2022.
  45. ↑ "Mike Pompeo endorses GOP candidate for Connecticut's US Senate seat". October 27, 2022.
  46. ↑ Raychel (October 14, 2022). "Stefanik's E-PAC Endorses Leora Levy for U.S. Senate in Connecticut". Elevate PAC – Engage, Empower, Elevate. Retrieved September 8, 2023.
  47. ↑ "We endorse: MRS. Levy for Senate | Republican-American".
  48. ↑ Real Clear Politics
  49. ↑ FiveThirtyEight
  50. ↑ 270towin
  51. ↑ Long Island University
  52. 1 2 Quinnipiac University
  53. ↑ Emerson College
  54. ↑ Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R)
  55. ↑ Western New England University
  56. 1 2 3 4 Emerson College
  57. 1 2 3 McLaughlin & Associates (R)
  58. ↑ Fabrizo Lee (R)
  59. ↑ YouTube
  60. ↑ "2022 General Election - United States Senator". Connecticut Secretary of State.
  61. ↑ Results. electionhistory.ct.gov (Report).

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