2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut

2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut

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Turnout	51.03%
Nominee Richard Blumenthal Leora Levy Party Democratic Republican Alliance Working Families Popular vote 723,864 535,943 Percentage 57.45% 42.54%
County results Municipality results Congressional district results Blumenthal:      50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90% Levy:      50–60%     60–70%
U.S. senator before election Richard Blumenthal Democratic Elected U.S. senator Richard Blumenthal Democratic

The 2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Connecticut.

Democrat Richard Blumenthal was first elected to this seat in 2010 with 55.2% of the vote over Republican Linda McMahon. He was then re-elected in 2016 with 63.2% of the vote over Republican Dan Carter. Blumenthal ran for reelection to a third term in office and secured the 2022 nomination. Businesswoman Leora Levy won the Republican primary on August 9, 2022. Blumenthal won reelection, defeating Levy by about 15 points. ^[1] The race took place simultaneously with the 2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election.

Democratic convention

Candidates

Nominated at convention

• Richard Blumenthal, incumbent U.S. Senator ^[2]

Endorsements

Richard Blumenthal

Organizations

• Feminist Majority PAC ^[3]
• Jewish Dems ^[4]
• League of Conservation Voters ^[5]
• NARAL Pro-Choice America ^[6]
• Natural Resources Defense Council ^[7]
• Population Connection Action Fund ^[8]
• Pro-Israel America ^[9]
• Sierra Club ^[10]

Labor unions

• Connecticut AFL–CIO ^[11]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Leora Levy, businesswoman, Republican National Committee member, and former nominee for U.S. Ambassador to Chile ^[12]

Eliminated in primary

• Themis Klarides, former Minority Leader of the Connecticut House of Representatives ^{[13] [14]}
• Peter Lumaj, attorney and perennial candidate ^[15]

Eliminated at convention

• Nicholas Connors ^{[16] [17]}
• John Flynn, candidate for the Connecticut House of Representatives in 2018 and 2020 ^{[18] [17]}
• Robert F. Hyde, lobbyist and U.S. Marine Corps veteran ^{[19] [20] [17]}

Declined

• Dan Carter, former state representative and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016 ^[21]
• Bob Stefanowski, businessman and nominee for governor in 2018 ^[22] (ran for governor)
• Joe Visconti, former West Hartford town councilor and nominee for Connecticut's 1st congressional district in 2008 ^[23]

Endorsements

Themis Klarides

Governors

• Charlie Baker, 72nd governor of Massachusetts (2015–) ^[24]
• Chris Christie, 55th governor of New Jersey (2010–2018) ^[24]
• Larry Hogan, 62nd governor of Maryland (2015–) ^[25]

Local officials

• Erin Stewart, mayor of New Britain (2013–) ^[26]

Organizations

• Connecticut Republican Party ^{[27] [17]}

Leora Levy

Executive branch officials

• Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021) ^[28]
• John Bolton, United States National Security Advisor (2018–2019), United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2005–2006) ^[29]

U.S. Senators

• Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2019–) ^[30]
• Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015–) ^[30]
• Rob Portman, U.S. Senator from Ohio (2011–) ^[30]
• Thom Tillis, U.S. Senator from North Carolina (2015–) ^[30]

U.S. House of Representatives

• Cathy McMorris Rodgers, U.S. House Representative from Washington (2005–) ^[30]
• Guy Reschenthaler, U.S. House Representative from Pennsylvania (2019–) ^[30]
• María Elvira Salazar, U.S. House Representative from Florida (2021–) ^[30]
• Mike Turner, U.S. House Representative from Ohio (2003–) ^[30]

Individuals

• Richard Grenell, former diplomat and former Director of National Intelligence ^[30]
• Linda McMahon, former Administrator of the Small Business Administration ^[30]

Organizations

• FreedomWorks ^[30]
• Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America ^[30]
• VIEWPAC ^[30]

Results

Results by county

  Levy

•   40-50%
•   50-60%

  Klarides

•   40-50%

Results by county

Results by municipality

  Levy

•   30-40%
•   40-50%
•   50-60%
•   60-70%

  Klarides

•   40-50%
•   50-60%
•   60-70%

Results by municipality

Republican primary results ^[31]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Leora Levy	46,774	50.60%
	Republican	Themis Klarides	37,003	40.03%
	Republican	Peter Lumaj	8,665	9.37%
Total votes			92,442	100.0%

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [32]	Solid D	March 4, 2022
Inside Elections [33]	Solid D	April 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [34]	Safe D	March 1, 2022
Politico [35]	Likely D	August 12, 2022
RCP [36]	Lean D	October 15, 2022
Fox News [37]	Likely D	September 20, 2022
DDHQ [38]	Solid D	July 20, 2022
538 [39]	Solid D	June 30, 2022
The Economist [40]	Safe D	September 7, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

Richard Blumenthal (D)

Organizations

• Democratic Party of Connecticut ^[41]
• National Education Association ^[42]

Leora Levy (R)

Executive branch officials

• Nikki Haley, United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018) ^[43]
• Mike Pompeo, United States Secretary of State (2018–2021) ^[44]

U.S. Representatives

• Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative from New York's 21st congressional district(2015–present) ^[45]

Newspapers

• Republican-American ^[46]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Richard Blumenthal (D)	Leora Levy (R)	Other [a]	Margin
Real Clear Politics [47]	October 10–23, 2022	October 30, 2022	52.7%	41.7%	5.6%	Blumenthal +11.0
FiveThirtyEight [48]	September 15 – October 19, 2022	October 30, 2022	53.4%	40.9%	5.7%	Blumenthal +12.4
270towin [49]	September 7–21, 2022	October 30, 2022	52.7%	41.7%	5.6%	Blumenthal +11.0
Average			52.9%	41.4%	5.7%	Blumenthal +11.5

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [b]	Margin of error	Richard Blumenthal (D)	Leora Levy (R)	Other	Undecided
Long Island University [50]	October 24–26, 2022	1,004 (A)	± 3.0%	51%	26%	9% [c]	14%
Quinnipiac University [51]	October 19–23, 2022	1,879 (LV)	± 2.3%	56%	41%	1% [d]	2%
Emerson College [52]	October 19–21, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	53%	40%	2% [e]	5%
				54%	42%	4% [f]	–
Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R) [53] [A]	October 10–13, 2022	1,200 (LV)	± 2.8%	49%	44%	–	7%
Western New England University [54]	September 15–21, 2022	766 (RV)	± 3.2%	51%	37%	2% [g]	10%
		626 (LV)	± 4.8%	53%	40%	2% [h]	5%
Quinnipiac University [51]	September 15–19, 2022	1,911 (LV)	± 2.2%	57%	40%	1% [i]	3%
Emerson College [55]	September 7–9, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	36%	–	15%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [56]	July 26–27, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	45%	33%	–	22%
Emerson College [55]	May 10–11, 2022	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	52%	36%	–	11%

Hypothetical polling

Richard Blumenthal vs. Themis Klarides

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [b]	Margin of error	Richard Blumenthal (D)	Themis Klarides (R)	Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [56]	July 26–27, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	45%	34%	21%
Emerson College [55]	May 10–11, 2022	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	40%	10%

Richard Blumenthal vs. Peter Lumaj

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [b]	Margin of error	Richard Blumenthal (D)	Peter Lumaj (R)	Undecided
Emerson College [55]	May 10–11, 2022	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	51%	35%	14%

Richard Blumenthal vs. generic opponent

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [b]	Margin of error	Richard Blumenthal (D)	Generic Opponent	Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [56]	July 26–27, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	41%	47%	12%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [b]	Margin of error	Generic Democrat	Generic Republican	Other	Undecided
Fabrizo Lee (R) [57] [A]	October 10–13, 2022	1,200 (LV)	–	45%	43%	1% [j]	11%

Debates

2022 United States Senate general election in Connecticut debates

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Republican
Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee  W  Withdrawn
					Richard Blumenthal	Leora Levy
1	Nov. 2, 2022	Channel 3, CT Insider		[58]	P	P

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut ^[59]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Richard Blumenthal	701,175	55.65%	−2.03%
	Working Families	Richard Blumenthal	22,689	1.80%	−3.71%
	Total	Richard Blumenthal (incumbent)	723,864	57.45%	-5.74%
	Republican	Leora Levy	535,943	42.54%	+7.92%
	Write-in		80	0.00%	±0.0%
Total votes			1,259,887	100.00%
	Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Litchfield (largest city: Torrington)
• Windham (largest town: Windham)

By congressional district

Blumenthal won all five congressional districts. ^[60]

District	Blumenthal	Levy	Representative
1st	63%	37%	John B. Larson
2nd	55%	45%	Joe Courtney
3rd	58%	42%	Rosa DeLauro
4th	61%	39%	Jim Himes
5th	52%	48%	Jahana Hayes

See also

• 2022 United States Senate elections
• List of United States senators from Connecticut

Notes

1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
2. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
3. "Not planning to vote" with 5%; "Another candidate" with 4%
4. "Refused" with 1%
5. "Someone else" with 2%
6. "Someone else" with 4%
7. "Refused" with 2%
8. "Refused" with 2%
9. "Refused" with 1%
10. "Refused" with 1%

Partisan clients

1. This poll was sponsored by The Connecticut Examiner .

References

1. Kang, Hanna; Neubauer, Kelsey. "Live Results: Democratic incumbent Sen. Richard Blumenthal beat Trump-endorsed Republican Leora Levy in Connecticut's US Senate race". Business Insider. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
2. Munson, Emilie (November 4, 2020). "A campaign begins: Blumenthal will seek re-election in 2022". www.ctpost.com. Retrieved November 14, 2020.
3. "2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 9, 2022.
4. "Jewish Dems Start 2022 Election Cycle With First Slate of Endorsements". www.jewishdems.org. November 30, 2021. Retrieved December 11, 2021.
5. "Richard Blumenthal Earns LCV Action Fund Endorsement for Reelection to the U.S. Senate". www.lcv.org. April 26, 2022.
6. "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Slate of Reproductive Freedom Champions for the U.S. House and Senate". NARAL Pro-Choice America. July 13, 2021.
7. Turrentine, Jeff (March 8, 2022). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses These Candidates in the 2022 Elections". Natural Resources Defense Council . Retrieved March 15, 2022.
8. "2022 House & Senate Endorsements". Archived from the original on July 2, 2022. Retrieved April 21, 2022.
9. "Endorsed Candidates". proisraelamerica.org. Archived from the original on December 20, 2021. Retrieved January 21, 2022.
10. "Sierra Club 2022 Endorsements". Sierra Club Independent Action.
11. "Labor Endorses Slate of Pro-Worker Candidates". June 24, 2022. Retrieved July 4, 2022.
12. Borsuk, Ken (February 8, 2022). "Leora Levy seeks GOP nod for Senate run 'to lead the fight for freedom,' challenge Richard Blumenthal". Greenwich Time. Retrieved February 9, 2022.
13. House, Dennis (January 30, 2022). "This Week in CT: Themis Klarides announces run for U.S. Senate seat". WTNH . Retrieved March 24, 2022.
14. Pazniokas, Mark (January 30, 2022). "Themis Klarides confirms a switch to U.S. Senate race". The Connecticut Mirror . Retrieved March 24, 2022.
15. Keating, Christopher (December 20, 2021). "Connecticut Republicans, with little money and no prominent candidates, prepare to challenge U.S. Sen. Richard Blumenthal". Hartford Courant . Archived from the original on December 21, 2021. Retrieved January 1, 2022.
16. "GOP sees opportunity to defeat Blumenthal in 2022 elections". www.fox61.com. WTIC-TV. April 3, 2022. Retrieved April 4, 2022.
17. "Republican Convention ends; Stefanowski nabs nomination". www.wfsb.com. WFSB-TV. May 6, 2022. Retrieved May 28, 2022.
18. "FLYNN, JOHN J - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved January 3, 2021.
19. Munson, Emilie (December 1, 2019). "CT congressional candidate in Trump's inner circle - or is he?". Connecticut Post . Archived from the original on January 15, 2020. Retrieved August 9, 2020.
20. Sommer, Will; Swan, Betsy (January 25, 2020). "Meet the Trump Donor Who Allegedly Stalked America's Ambassador in Ukraine". The Daily Beast .
21. Pazniokas, Mark (April 4, 2016). "GOP's Dan Carter announces for U.S. Senate nomination". The Connecticut Mirror.
22. Vigdor, Neil (May 28, 2019). "The once and future candidate? Republican Bob Stefanowski transforms from losing nominee to ubiquitous foil of Gov. Ned Lamont". courant.com.
23. "FILING FEC-1500208". February 16, 2021.
24. "Republican candidates vying for U.S. Senate in Connecticut ready for August Primary". WTNH. July 13, 2022.
25. "Hogan hits hustings in New Hampshire as possible 2024 Republican bid takes shape". Washington Examiner. July 11, 2022.
26. "Trump's endorsement of Levy — and any other GOP hopefuls — a mixed picture in CT". August 5, 2022.
27. "Blumenthal leads potential GOP rivals ahead of Connecticut general election: poll". The Hill . May 19, 2021. Retrieved May 19, 2022. The Connecticut GOP endorsed Klarides on Saturday.
28. Pazniokas, Mark (August 4, 2022). "Donald Trump endorses Leora Levy for U.S. Senate in live phone call". The Connecticut Mirror . Retrieved August 4, 2022.
29. "Endorsed Candidates". John Bolton PAC.
30. "Leora is Backed by Conservatives!".
31. "2022 Aug 9 Republican Primary - U.S. Senator". ct.gov.
32. "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
33. "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
34. "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
35. "Connecticut Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
36. "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
37. "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. September 20, 2022. Retrieved September 20, 2022.
38. "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
39. "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Archived from the original on June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
40. "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
41. Pazniokas, Mark (May 19, 2022). "Poll: In U.S. Senate race, Richard Blumenthal has double-digit leads". The CT Mirror.
42. "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES" . Retrieved October 29, 2022.
43. "Nikki Haley endorses US Senate candidate Leora Levy". November 2022.
44. "Mike Pompeo endorses GOP candidate for Connecticut's US Senate seat". October 27, 2022.
45. Raychel (October 14, 2022). "Stefanik's E-PAC Endorses Leora Levy for U.S. Senate in Connecticut". Elevate PAC – Engage, Empower, Elevate. Retrieved September 8, 2023.
46. "We endorse: MRS. Levy for Senate | Republican-American".
47. Real Clear Politics
48. FiveThirtyEight
49. 270towin
50. Long Island University
51. Quinnipiac University
52. Emerson College
53. Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R)
54. Western New England University
55. Emerson College
56. McLaughlin & Associates (R)
57. Fabrizo Lee (R)
58. YouTube
59. "2022 General Election - United States Senator". Connecticut Secretary of State.
60. "State of Connecticut Elections Database » 2022 Nov 8 :: General Election :: United States Senator :: State of Connecticut". State of Connecticut Elections Database. Archived from the original on December 28, 2024. Retrieved January 25, 2025.

External links

Official campaign websites

• Richard Blumenthal (D) for Senate
• Leora Levy (R) for Senate