2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut

Last updated

2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut
Flag of Connecticut.svg
  2020 November 5, 20242028 
  Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg Donald Trump 2023 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Joe Biden
(presumptive)
Donald Trump
(presumptive)
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris
(presumptive)
TBA

Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic



The 2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Connecticut voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Connecticut has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. [1]

Contents

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term. [2]

Primary elections

Republican primary

The Connecticut Republican primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside the New York primary. [3]

Connecticut Republican primary, April 2, 2024
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 34,76077.9%2828
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)6,22013.9%
Uncommitted 2,1624.8%
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)1,2752.9%
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)2190.5%
Total:44,636100.0%2828
Source: [4]

Democratic primary

The Connecticut Democratic primary was held on April 2, 2024.

Connecticut Democratic primary, April 2, 2024
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
PledgedUnpledgedTotal
Joe Biden (incumbent)55,36184.8%6060
Uncommitted 7,49211.5%
Marianne Williamson 1,5012.3%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)5800.9%
Cenk Uygur (withdrawn)3160.5%
Total:65,250100.0%601479
Source: [5]

Libertarian primary

The Libertarian Party of Connecticut held a ranked-choice straw poll on April 2, 2024. [6]

2024 Connecticut Libertarian straw poll
CandidateRound 1T.Round 2T.Round 3T.Round 4T.Round 5T.Round 6T.Round 7
Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %
Chase Oliver 3734.9%+13835.8%3837.6%+34141.0%+14242.4%+24444.4%+54951.0%
Jacob Hornberger1211.3%1211.3%+11312.9%+11414.0%+21616.2%+42020.2%+42425.0%
Michael Rectenwald 1414.6%1413.2%1413.9%1414.0%+21616.2%+21818.2%+52324.0%
Joshua Smith109.4%+11110.4%1110.9%1111.0%+21313.1%+41717.2%–17Eliminated
Mike ter Maat98.5%98.5%98.9%+11010.0%+21212.1%–12Eliminated
Lars Mapstead76.6%+187.5%87.9%+21010.0%–10Eliminated
Charles Ballay76.6%+187.5%87.9%–8Eliminated
None of the above 65.7%65.7%–6Eliminated
Joseph Collins Jr.43.8%–4Eliminated
Active ballots106–5101–1100–199–396

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [7] Solid DDecember 19, 2023
Inside Elections [8] Solid DApril 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [9] Solid DJune 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [10] Solid DDecember 14, 2023
CNalysis [11] Solid DDecember 30, 2023
CNN [12] Solid DJanuary 14, 2024

Polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 19–21, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%40%11%
Emerson College September 7–9, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%36%15%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) July 26–27, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%52%39%9%
Emerson College May 10–11, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.0%51%38%11%

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

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References

  1. Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
  2. Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
  3. "Election Calendars".
  4. "Connecticut Presidential Primary". The AP. Retrieved April 1, 2024.
  5. "Connecticut Presidential Primary". The AP. Retrieved April 1, 2024.
  6. "The winner of our LPCT Presidential Primary straw poll is @ChaseForLiberty".
  7. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  8. "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  9. "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  10. "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  11. "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  12. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.