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![]() County results Curtis: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Gleich: 40–50% 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Utah |
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The 2024 United States Senate election in Utah was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Utah. Republican congressman John Curtis won his first term in office, succeeding Republican incumbent Mitt Romney, who did not seek a second term. [1] [2] Utah has been represented in the U.S. Senate exclusively by Republicans since 1977.
Despite finishing a distant second behind Riverton mayor Trent Staggs at the Utah Republican convention, Curtis won the Republican primary with 49% of the vote over Staggs and former state House speaker Brad Wilson. Democratic environmentalist Caroline Gleich won her party's nomination after receiving 93% of vote at the Utah Democratic convention.
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Campaign finance reports as of June 5, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
John Curtis (R) | $3,796,591 | $3,607,565 | $575,864 |
Trent Staggs (R) | $1,247,183 [a] | $871,934 | $375,248 |
Jason Walton (R) | $2,882,658 [b] | $2,620,544 | $262,114 |
Brad Wilson (R) | $5,019,090 [c] | $4,465,090 | $554,000 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [49] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Curtis | Trent Staggs | Jason Walton | Brad Wilson | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Noble Predictive Insights [50] | June 20–21, 2024 | 432 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 48% | 28% | 6% | 9% | 7% [d] | 2% |
HarrisX [51] [A] | June 4–7, 2024 | 469 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 34% | 16% | 4% | 12% | – | 33% |
47% | 21% | 8% | 24% | – | – | ||||
Guidant Polling and Strategy [52] [B] | April 30 – May 3, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 15% | 2% | 9% | – | 33% |
Noble Predictive Insights [53] | April 8–16, 2024 | 283 (RV) | ± 5.8% | 27% | 5% | 2% | 10% | 15% [e] | 41% |
Dan Jones & Associates [54] | January 16–21, 2024 | 428 (RV) | ± 4.74% | 18% | 3% | 1% | 8% | 18% [f] | 52% |
Guidant Polling and Strategy [55] [B] | November 28– December 5, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 6% | – | 11% | – | 43% |
44% | – | – | – | 12% | 44% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Deidre Henderson | Mike Kennedy | Sean Reyes | Mitt Romney | Trent Staggs | Brad Wilson | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates [56] | August 7–14, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.5% | – | – | – | 44% | 3% | 6% | 32% [g] | 14% |
Noble Predictive Insights [57] | July 7–18, 2023 | 301 (RV) | ± 5.7% | 3% | 5% | 13% | 30% | 3% | 5% | – | 39% |
8% | 7% | 16% | – | 4% | 7% | – | 55% |
State Republican convention results, 2024 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Round 1 | Round 2 | Round 3 | Round 4 | ||||||||||
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||||||
Trent Staggs | 1342 | 42.64% | 1571 | 51.68% | 1686 | 57.68% | 1892 | 69.74% | ||||||
John Curtis | 683 | 21.70% | 683 | 22.47% | 721 | 24.67% | 821 | 30.26% | ||||||
Carolyn Phippen | 411 | 13.06% | 356 | 11.71% | 273 | 9.34% | Eliminated | |||||||
Brad Wilson | 242 | 7.69% | 162 | 5.56% | 142 | 4.86% | Eliminated | |||||||
Jason Walton | 224 | 7.12% | 139 | 4.57% | 101 | 3.46% | Eliminated | |||||||
Chandler Tanner | 82 | 2.61% | 69 | 2.27% | Eliminated | |||||||||
Brent Hatch | 107 | 3.40% | 53 | 1.74% | Eliminated | |||||||||
Josh Randall | 47 | 1.49% | Eliminated | |||||||||||
Brian Jenkins | 5 | 0.16% | Eliminated | |||||||||||
Jeremy Friedbaum | 4 | 0.13% | Eliminated | |||||||||||
Inactive Ballots | 0 ballots | 0 ballots | 5 ballots | 21 ballots |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||||
Curtis | Staggs | Walton | Wilson | |||||
1 | Jun. 10, 2024 | Utah Debate Commission | Glen Mills | [58] | P | P | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Curtis | 206,094 | 48.73% | |
Republican | Trent Staggs | 138,143 | 32.66% | |
Republican | Brad Wilson | 53,134 | 12.56% | |
Republican | Jason Walton | 25,604 | 6.05% | |
Total votes | 422,975 | 100.00% |
Campaign finance reports as of April 7, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Caroline Gleich (D) | $389,534 | $303,924 | $85,610 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [49] |
State Democratic Convention results, 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | First ballot | Pct. | ||
Caroline Gleich | 795 | 92.5% | ||
Laird Hamblin | 48 | 5.6% | ||
Archie Williams | 16 | 1.9% | ||
Total | 859 | 100.0% |
Campaign finance reports as of April 7, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Carlton Bowen (IA) | $8,568 | $6,017 | $2,551 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [49] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [63] | Solid R | November 9, 2023 |
Inside Elections [64] | Solid R | November 9, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [65] | Safe R | November 9, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [66] | Safe R | June 8, 2024 |
Elections Daily [67] | Safe R | May 4, 2023 |
CNalysis [68] | Solid R | November 21, 2023 |
RealClearPolitics [69] | Solid R | August 5, 2024 |
Split Ticket [70] | Safe R | October 23, 2024 |
538 [71] | Solid R | October 23, 2024 |
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No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Ind. American |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||
Curtis | Gleich | Bowen | |||||
1 | Oct. 10, 2024 | Utah Debate Commission | Glen Mills | YouTube | P | P | P |
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
John Curtis (R) | $4,497,486 | $4,058,071 | $826,255 |
Caroline Gleich (D) | $756,449 | $664,929 | $91,520 |
Carlton Bowen (IA) | $16,084 | $15,200 | $884 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [49] |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | John Curtis (R) | Caroline Gleich (D) | Undecided [h] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TheHill/DDHQ [76] | through October 7, 2024 | October 30, 2024 | 51.2% | 26.6% | 22.2% | Curtis +24.6 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [i] | Margin of error | John Curtis (R) | Caroline Gleich (D) | Carlton Bowen (I) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Noble Predictive Insights [77] | October 25–28, 2024 | 695 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 54% | 26% | 7% | 6% [j] | 7% |
HarrisX [78] [A] | October 15–19, 2024 | 813 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 55% | 20% | 2% | – | 21% |
65% | 24% | 11% | – | – | ||||
Noble Predictive Insights [79] | October 2–7, 2024 | 539 (LV) | ± 4.22% | 53% | 24% | – | – | 24% |
51% | 21% | 2% | 1% | 25% | ||||
800 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 23% | – | – | 26% | ||
47% | 21% | 3% | 1% | 15% | ||||
Lighthouse Research [80] [C] | August 29 – September 19, 2024 | 526 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 53% | 34% | 8% | – | 5% |
HarrisX [81] [A] | August 2–9, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 22% | 8% | – | 14% |
71% | 29% | – | – | – |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Curtis | 914,700 | 62.50% | –0.09% | |
Democratic | Caroline Gleich | 464,515 | 31.74% | +0.83% | |
Independent American | Carlton Bowen | 83,972 | 5.74% | +4.54% | |
Write-in | 322 | 0.02% | +0.02% | ||
Total votes | 1,463,509 | 100.0% | |||
Republican hold |
Curtis won all four congressional districts. [83]
District | Curtis | Gleich | Bowen | Representative |
---|---|---|---|---|
1st | Blake Moore | |||
2nd | Celeste Maloy | |||
3rd | John Curtis (118th Congress) | |||
Mike Kennedy (119th Congress) | ||||
4th | Burgess Owens |
Partisan clients
Roosevelt Mayor Rod Bird Jr. ended his U.S. Senate campaign Wednesday, filing instead to run for Utah's 3rd Congressional District.
Former House Speaker Greg Hughes, who recently lost a bid for GOP nomination for the 2nd Congressional District, said he was not interested in running for the seat.
Sources say Rep. Chris Stewart, who represents Utah's 2nd Congressional District, and Rep. John Curtis, who represents Utah's 3rd Congressional District, have thought about running
Official campaign websites