2024 United States Senate election in Utah

Last updated

2024 United States Senate election in Utah
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←  2018 November 5, 20242030 →
 
NomineeTBD Caroline Gleich
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

Mitt Romney
Republican



The 2024 United States Senate election in Utah will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Utah. Incumbent Republican Senator Mitt Romney was elected with 62.6% of the vote in 2018 and has declined to seek a second term. [1] Utah is considered a safe red state by election analysts; no Democrat has served in the Senate from the state since Frank Moss left office in 1977. [2] Primary elections will take place on June 25, 2024. [3]

Contents

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Eliminated at convention

  • Jeremy Friedbaum, piano technician and perennial candidate [6]
  • Brent Hatch, attorney, treasurer of the Federalist Society, and son of former U.S. Senator Orrin Hatch [8]
  • Brian Jenkins, window cleaning contractor and perennial candidate [6]
  • Carolyn Phippen, former advisor to U.S. Senator Mike Lee [9]
  • Josh Randall, accountant and audit manager [10]
  • Chandler Tanner, attorney [6]
  • Clark White, supply chain manager [6]

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

John Curtis
U.S. representatives
Organizations
Trent Staggs
U.S. presidents
Federal executive officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. representatives
Party leaders
Individuals
Political parties
Organizations
Brad Wilson
Statewide officials
State legislators
Mitt Romney (declined to run)
U.S. Senators
Organizations
Declined to endorse
U.S. Senators

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
John Curtis (R)$1,509,076$811,141$1,084,774
Carolyn Phippen (R)$68,469$38,973$29,495
Brad Wilson (R)$3,524,917$1,452,695$2,072,222
Trent Staggs (R)$787,196$283,719$503,476
Source: Federal Election Commission [43]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		John
Curtis		Brent
Hatch		Trent
Staggs		Brad
Wilson		OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive Insights April 8–16, 2024283 (RV)± 5.8%27%11%5%10%6% [lower-alpha 1] 41%
Dan Jones & Associates January 16–21, 2024428 (RV)± 4.74%18%14%3%8%5% [lower-alpha 2] 52%
Guidant Polling and Strategy [upper-alpha 1] November 28 – December 5, 2023600 (RV)± 4.0%40%–6%11%–43%
44%–––12%44%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Deidre
Henderson		Mike
Kennedy		Sean
Reyes		Mitt
Romney		Trent
Staggs		Brad
Wilson		OtherUndecided
Dan Jones & Associates August 7–14, 2023803 (RV)± 3.5%–––44%3%6%32% [lower-alpha 3] 14%
Noble Predictive Insights July 7–18, 2023301 (RV)± 5.7%3%5%13%30%3%5%–39%
8%7%16%–4%7%–55%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated at convention

  • Laird Hamblin, biologist and Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022 [44]
  • Archie Williams, heavy equipment operator and perennial candidate [44]

Endorsements

Caroline Gleich
Individuals

Independent American convention

Candidates

Declared

  • Carlton Bowen, former American Fork city councilor and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2000 [6]
  • Robert Newcomb, engineer [6]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [46] Solid RNovember 9, 2023
Inside Elections [47] Solid RNovember 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [48] Safe RNovember 9, 2023
Elections Daily [49] Safe RMay 4, 2023
CNalysis [50] Solid RNovember 21, 2023

Notes

  1. ↑ Jason Walton with 2%; Carolyn Phippen with 1%; "Someone else" with 3%
  2. ↑ Josh Randall with 2%; Brian Jenkins, Carolyn Phippen & Jason Walton with 1%; Jeremy Friedbaum, Chandler Tanner & Clark White with 0%
  3. ↑ "Another candidate" with 32%
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by Conservative Values for Utah, which supports Curtis

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References

  1. 1 2 Balz, Dan (September 13, 2023). "Mitt Romney says he will not seek a second term in the Senate". The Washington Post . Retrieved September 13, 2023.
  2. ↑ "Romney Won't Run for Reelection, Opening GOP Primary Fight". Cook Political. September 13, 2023.
  3. ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  4. ↑ Aerts, Lindsay (January 2, 2024). "Rep. John Curtis officially running for Romney's senate seat". KSL Newsradio. Retrieved January 2, 2024.
  5. ↑ Bates, Suzanne (May 23, 2023). "Riverton Mayor Trent Staggs announces run for Mitt Romney's Senate seat". Deseret News.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 "2024 Candidate Filings – Utah Voter Information". vote.utah.gov. Retrieved January 6, 2024.
  7. ↑ Irwin, Lauren (September 27, 2023). "Utah House speaker joins race to replace Romney". The Hill . Retrieved September 28, 2023.
  8. ↑ Bates, Suzanne (January 2, 2024). "Brent Hatch, Orrin's son, joins Senate race to replace Mitt Romney". Deseret News . Retrieved January 2, 2024.
  9. ↑ "Ballots & Boundaries". Bloomberg Government . September 15, 2023. Retrieved September 15, 2023.
  10. ↑ Anderson Stern, Emily (October 20, 2023). "These Utahns are running for Mitt Romney's seat in the U.S. Senate". The Salt Lake Tribune . Retrieved October 30, 2023.
  11. ↑ Tomco, Brigham (January 3, 2024). "Roosevelt mayor opts for House bid, says background in energy sector makes him 'a good fit'". Deseret News . Retrieved January 4, 2024. Roosevelt Mayor Rod Bird Jr. ended his U.S. Senate campaign Wednesday, filing instead to run for Utah's 3rd Congressional District.
  12. ↑ Woodruff, Daniel (September 14, 2023). "Utah governor not considering run for U.S. Senate". KUTV . Retrieved September 15, 2023.
  13. ↑ Winslow, Ben (September 13, 2023). "As Romney exits, Republicans line up to replace him". Fox 13 . Retrieved September 14, 2023. Former House Speaker Greg Hughes, who recently lost a bid for GOP nomination for the 2nd Congressional District, said he was not interested in running for the seat.
  14. ↑ Pignanelli, Frank; Webb, LaVarr (September 13, 2023). "Opinion: Who will replace Mitt Romney?". Deseret News . Retrieved September 13, 2023.
  15. ↑ Bojórquez, Kim (January 5, 2024). "Former Utah GOP chair Carson Jorgensen jumps into governor's race". Axios . Retrieved January 5, 2024.
  16. ↑ Tomco, Brigham (September 18, 2023). "The latest on who might run for Romney's Senate seat: Robert O'Brien announces his decision". Deseret News . Retrieved September 18, 2023.
  17. 1 2 3 Everett, Burgess; Adragna, Anthony (August 10, 2023). "A group of 60 members of the Utah Legislature are pushing Brad Wilson to run for the U.S. Senate seat held by Mitt Romney". Politico . Retrieved August 10, 2023.
  18. ↑ Schott, Bryan (September 28, 2023). "Josh Romney won't run to replace his father in the Senate next year". The Salt Lake Tribune . Retrieved September 28, 2023.
  19. ↑ Bates, Suzanne (April 13, 2023). "Utah House Speaker Brad Wilson forms committee to explore run for Romney's Senate seat". Deseret News. Retrieved April 14, 2023. Sources say Rep. Chris Stewart, who represents Utah's 2nd Congressional District, and Rep. John Curtis, who represents Utah's 3rd Congressional District, have thought about running
  20. ↑ Schott, Bryan (May 30, 2023). "Breaking: Rep. Chris Stewart plans to resign from Congress". The Salt Lake Tribune.
  21. ↑ Beal-Cvetko, Bridger (April 11, 2024). "Former Rep. Chris Stewart endorses John Curtis in US Senate race". KSL.com . Retrieved April 14, 2024.
  22. ↑ Cama, Timothy (January 3, 2024). "GOP climate champion John Curtis launches Utah Senate bid". E&E News. Retrieved April 11, 2024.
  23. ↑ "- AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Retrieved April 13, 2024.
  24. ↑ "Clear Path Action Fund". Clear Path Action Fund. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  25. ↑ Jackson, Herb (January 3, 2024). "Curtis enters GOP race to fill Romney seat in Utah". Roll Call. Retrieved January 3, 2024.
  26. ↑ "'Commonsense' GOP group jumps into open primaries". Punchbowl News. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  27. ↑ Beal-Cvetko, Bridger (April 27, 2024). "State Republican convention: Donald Trump endorses Trent Staggs in Senate race". KSL-TV . Retrieved April 27, 2024.
  28. ↑ Moran, Sean (September 15, 2023). "Ric Grenell Endorses Trent Staggs for Utah Senate". NewsFinale.
  29. 1 2 3 Mondeaux, Cami (August 4, 2023). "Romney Challenger Garners Slew of Endorsements from Utah Lawmakers". The Washington Examiner . Retrieved August 5, 2023.
  30. ↑ Ogbonna, Gloria (October 2, 2023). "Exclusive: Former Pentagon Chief of Staff Kash Patel Backs America First Candidate Trent Staggs for U.S. Senate". yourNEWS. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
  31. ↑ Christ, Lacy (January 13, 2024). "Utah mayor secures first Senate endorsement in bid for Romney's seat". Fox News . Retrieved April 14, 2024.
  32. ↑ Rodgers, Henry (March 22, 2024). "EXCLUSIVE: Matt Gaetz To Campaign, Endorse Trent Staggs For US Senate — Looking To Replace Mitt Romney". Daily Caller .
  33. ↑ Schott, Bryan (September 16, 2023). "Conservative star Kari Lake to headline fundraising event for U.S. Senate hopeful Trent Staggs". The Salt Lake Tribune . Retrieved September 19, 2023.
  34. ↑ Tomco, Brigham (April 17, 2024). "Vivek Ramaswamy endorses Trent Staggs for U.S. Senate". Deseret News. Retrieved April 18, 2024.
  35. ↑ Tomco, Brigham (April 27, 2024). "Trent Staggs sweeps Utah GOP convention after Trump endorsement to replace Sen. Mitt Romney". Deseret News . Retrieved April 27, 2024.
  36. ↑ Cooper, Reed (July 19, 2023). "Mitt Romney Challenger Trent Staggs Secures Major Endorsement from TPAction: 'We Will Retire Romney'". D.C. Enquirer. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  37. ↑ Schnee, Brian (June 5, 2023). "Utah police union backs Trent Staggs' Senate push". KUTV 2. Retrieved June 5, 2023.
  38. ↑ "Republicans for National Renewal Endorses Trent Staggs for U.S. Senate". January 17, 2024. Retrieved January 18, 2024.
  39. ↑ "Utah Gov. Spencer Cox backs Brad Wilson in race for Romney's Senate seat". www.abc4.com. October 19, 2023. Retrieved October 21, 2023.
  40. 1 2 Everett, Burgess (December 21, 2022). "See Romney run? Trump's top GOP foil eyes Senate reelection". Politico .
  41. ↑ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  42. ↑ Woodruff, Daniel (January 3, 2024). "As Senate race solidifies, Romney plans on 'staying out' of it". KJZZ-TV . Retrieved January 7, 2024.
  43. ↑ "2024 Election United States Senate - Utah". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  44. 1 2 3 Lewis, Scott (April 27, 2024). "Utah Democrats nominate Caroline Gleich for Senate, Katrina Fallick-Wang for House". KTVX . Retrieved April 27, 2024.
  45. ↑ Anderson Stern, Emily. "World-renowned ski mountaineer, environmental activist running for Utah's open Senate seat". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved January 8, 2024.
  46. ↑ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  47. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  48. ↑ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  49. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  50. ↑ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
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