2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina

Last updated

2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina
Flag of North Carolina.svg
←  2020 November 5, 20242028 →
Turnout73.73% [1] Decrease2.svg 1.62 pp
  Donald Trump official portrait (3x4a).jpg Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida California
Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz
Projected electoral vote160
Popular vote2,898,4232,715,375
Percentage50.86%47.65%
North Carolina Presidential Election Results 2024.svg
2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina election results map by congressional district.svg
President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. North Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat. [2]

Contents

While Republican presidential candidates won close victories in 2012, 2016, and 2020, even as polls indicated a narrow win by Democrat Joe Biden in 2020, at the state level, Democrat Roy Cooper won the 2016 and 2020 gubernatorial elections. Because of these results, the presidential election was expected to be competitive. Today a purple to slightly red state, North Carolina was targeted by both parties in 2024, with major news organizations marking the state as a tossup or slightly leaning towards the Republican candidate Donald Trump, who would go on to carry the state by a similar margin to his 2016 result. [3] Incumbent president Biden was initially poised to run for re-election, but withdrew on July 21 and endorsed his vice president Kamala Harris.

Despite an otherwise rough year for North Carolina Republicans down ballot, especially due to controversial Republican gubernatorial nominee Mark Robinson, Trump won the state by 3.2%. Trump's win kept it in the Republican column for the fourth election cycle in a row and Trump won the state himself for the third straight election.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

In North Carolina, candidates can make the primary ballot either by being nominated by the state party or by filing a nominating petition with at least 10,000 signatures. [4] The North Carolina Democratic Party submitted only Joe Biden as a candidate, [5] and no candidate submitted 10,000 signatures by the December 22, 2023 deadline. [6]

The cancellation was criticized by the Dean Phillips campaign, who started an online petition to get his candidacy on the ballot and threatened legal challenges. [5] [7] Marianne Williamson and Cenk Uygur also criticized the moves. [5]

In addition to the candidates on the ballot, the "No Preference" option appeared on the Democratic, Republican, and Libertarian Presidential Preference Primary ballots. In 2012, when President Barack Obama did not face primary opposition in North Carolina, approximately twenty percent of voters opted for the "No Preference" option. [8]

The North Carolina Democratic presidential primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

North Carolina Democratic primary, March 5, 2024 [9]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
PledgedUnpledgedTotal
Joe Biden (incumbent)609,68087.27%113
No Preference 88,90012.73%
Total:698,580100.00%132132

Republican primary

The North Carolina Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

North Carolina Republican primary, March 5, 2024 [10]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 793,97873.84%6262
Nikki Haley 250,83823.33%1212
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)14,7401.37%
No Preference 7,4480.69%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)3,4180.32%
Chris Christie (withdrawn)3,1660.29%
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)9160.09%
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)7270.07%
Total:1,075,231100.00%7474

Libertarian primary

The North Carolina Libertarian primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Ten candidates were presented on the ballot. [11]

North Carolina Libertarian primary, March 5, 2024
CandidateVotesPercentage
None of the Above 2,05840.5%
Chase Oliver 67613.3%
Jacob Hornberger3577.0%
Joshua Smith3547.0%
Michael Rectenwald 1953.8%
Charles Ballay1833.6%
Lars Mapstead1763.5%
Mike ter Maat1372.7%
Other [a] 94618.7%
Total:5,082100.0%
Source: [12]

General election

Events and rule changes

Voters must now show a voter ID at the polls and provide a copy of their ID with their mail-in ballots. Mail-in ballots received after election day also will not be counted. [13] There will also be more partisan poll-watchers. [14] The laws are similar to others passed in Republican-controlled states which Democrats have criticized as voter suppression. [13] [14] Common Cause North Carolina and the League of Women Voters of North Carolina have been educating voters on the new rules. [13]

On September 12, 2024, the Republican National Committee sued to block the use of digital IDs, popular with students at the University of North Carolina, as a form of voter ID. [15] The plaintiffs sought a temporary restraining order, and alleged that the digital IDs did not comply with the state's voter identification requirements and were susceptible to fraud. [15] On September 20, 2024, Wake County Superior Court Judge Keith Gregory rejected the request for a temporary restraining order, stating that the Republican National Committee had not "advanced any credible link between the State Board's approval of Mobile One Cards and a heightened risk of ineligible voters casting illegal votes." [15]

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was granted the status of presidential candidate in July 2024 for North Carolina after state authorities recognised the political party he founded, 'We the People', which allowed Kennedy to qualify using 13,757 signatures, instead of the 82,542 signatures required for a candidate with no party. [16] [17] The North Carolina Democratic Party filed a lawsuit alleging that Kennedy was improperly using his party to avoid higher qualification requirements, but this lawsuit against Kennedy was unsuccessful. [17] On August 27, Kennedy asked state authorities to remove him as a presidential candidate in North Carolina; on August 28, the We the People party officially made the same request to state authorities; both requests were initially denied due to ballots already being printed and upcoming deadlines, with North Carolina law mandating that absentee ballots should be mailed by authorities from September 6. [18] [19]

Kennedy responded by launching a lawsuit demanding to be removed as a presidential candidate in North Carolina, with Kennedy previously saying that "by staying on the ballot in the battleground states, I would likely hand the election over to the Democrats", while Kennedy remained as a presidential candidate in non-battleground states and indicated that his lawsuit to become a presidential candidate in New York would continue. [17] [19] [20] While Wake County Superior Court ruled against Kennedy, he appealed and the North Carolina Court of Appeals ruled for Kennedy on September 6, ordering for authorities to reprint ballots without Kennedy as a candidate. [20] The North Carolina Supreme Court affirmed the Court of Appeals' decision on September 9, so authorities went to reprint the ballots, which delayed the mailing date from the originally stipulated September 6 date to become September 20 for military and overseas voters and September 24 for other voters. [21]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [22] TossupNovember 4, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [23] Lean RNovember 4, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [24] TossupNovember 4, 2024
CNN [25] TossupNovember 4, 2024
CNalysis [26] Tilt D (flip)November 4, 2024
The Economist [27] TossupNovember 4, 2024
538 [28] TossupNovember 4, 2024
Inside Elections [29] TossupNovember 4, 2024
NBC News [30] TossupNovember 4, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
[b] 		Margin
270ToWin [31] October 23 – November 4, 2024November 5, 202447.3%48.6%4.1%Trump +1.3%
538 [32] through November 4, 2024November 5, 202447.4%48.3%4.3%Trump +0.9%
Silver Bulletin [33] through November 4, 2024November 5, 202447.7%48.8%3.5%Trump +1.1%
The Hill/DDHQ [34] through November 4, 2024November 5, 202447.9%49.4%2.7%Trump +1.5%
Average47.6%48.8%3.6%Trump +1.2%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
HarrisX [35] November 3–5, 20241,815 (RV)± 2.3%48%47%5%
50.5% [d] 49.5%–
1,600 (LV)49%48%3%
50.2% [d] 49.8%–
AtlasIntel [36] November 3–4, 20241,219 (LV)± 3.0%50%48%2%
Patriot Polling [37] November 1–3, 2024799 (RV)± 3.0%51%49%–
InsiderAdvantage (R) [38] November 1–2, 2024800 (LV)± 3.4%49%47%4% [e]
AtlasIntel [39] November 1–2, 20241,310 (LV)± 3.0%51%47%2%
Emerson College [40] October 30 – November 2, 2024860 (LV)± 3.3%49%48%3% [f]
50% [d] 49%1% [f]
New York Times/Siena College [41] October 28 – November 2, 20241,010 (RV)± 3.5%44%48%8%
1,010 (LV)46%48%6%
ActiVote [42] October 17 – November 2, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%51%49%–
Morning Consult [43] October 23 − November 1, 20241,056 (LV)± 3.0%49%47%4%
AtlasIntel [44] October 30–31, 20241,373 (LV)± 3.0%51%47%2%
YouGov [45] [A] October 25–31, 2024987 (RV)± 4.2%49%49%2%
949 (LV)50%49%1%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [46] [B] October 25–30, 2024751 (LV)± 3.0%50%47%3% [g]
AtlasIntel [47] October 25–29, 20241,665 (LV)± 3.0%48%49%3%
Trafalgar Group (R) [48] October 25–28, 20241,091 (LV)± 2.9%49%46%5% [g]
Fox News [49] October 24–28, 20241,113 (RV)± 3.0%49%50%1%
872 (LV)50%49%1%
SurveyUSA [50] [C] October 23–26, 2024853 (LV)± 4.1%47%47%6% [e]
CES/YouGov [51] October 1–25, 20242,330 (A)–48%49%3%
2,308 (LV)50%48%2%
Emerson College [52] October 21–22, 2024950 (LV)± 3.1%50%48%2% [h]
50% [d] 48%2% [h]
Marist College [53] October 17–22, 20241,410 (RV)± 3.3%49%48%3% [i]
1,226 (LV)± 3.6%50%48%2% [j]
SoCal Strategies (R) [54] [D] October 20–21, 2024702 (LV)± 3.7%49%46%5%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [55] October 19–20, 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%49%47%4% [e]
High Point University/SurveyUSA [56] October 17–20, 20241,164 (RV)± 3.5%46%47%7% [g]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [57] October 16–20, 2024755 (RV)± 4.0%50%47%3%
702 (LV)50%48%2%
AtlasIntel [58] October 12–17, 20241,674 (LV)± 2.0%49%51%–
Elon University [59] October 10–17, 2024800 (RV)± 4.0%46%46%8% [k]
Morning Consult [43] October 6−15, 20241,072 (LV)± 3.0%49%48%3%
Washington Post/Schar School [60] September 30 – October 15, 2024965 (RV)± 3.9%49%45%6%
965 (LV)50%47%3%
Quinnipiac University [61] October 10–14, 20241,031 (LV)± 3.1%47%50%3%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [62] [B] October 9–14, 20241,042 (LV)± 3.0%51%46%3% [g]
Trafalgar Group (R) [63] October 10–13, 20241,085 (LV)± 2.9%47%45%6% [l]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R) [64] [E] October 6–9, 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%48%47%5%
Emerson College [65] October 5–8, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%48%3% [f]
50% [d] 49%1% [f]
Wall Street Journal [66] September 28 – October 8, 2024600 (RV)± 5.0%47%47%6%
ActiVote [67] September 7 – October 6, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%49%51%–
InsiderAdvantage (R) [68] September 29–30, 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%50%49%1%
Quinnipiac University [69] September 25–29, 2024953 (LV)± 3.2%49%48%3%
Washington Post [70] September 25–29, 20241,001 (RV)± 3.5%50%47%3% [f]
1,001 (LV)50%48%2% [f]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) [71] [F] September 23–29, 2024401 (LV)± 4.9%48%47%5%
High Point University [72] September 20–29, 2024814 (RV)± 3.6%46%48%6% [h]
589 (LV)± 4.9%48%48%4% [h]
Emerson College [73] [G] September 27–28, 2024850 (LV)± 3.3%49%48%3% [f]
50% [d] 49%1% [f]
RMG Research [74] [H] September 25–27, 2024780 (LV)± 3.5%49%46%5% [m]
51% [d] 47%2% [n]
AtlasIntel [75] September 20–25, 20241,173 (LV)± 3.0%48%51%1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [76] September 19–25, 2024411 (LV)–49%49%2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [77] September 19–25, 2024889 (RV)± 3.0%47%50%3%
828 (LV)48%50%2%
Fox News [78] September 20−24, 2024991 (RV)± 3.0%48%50%2%
787 (LV)± 3.5%50%49%1%
Marist College [79] September 19−24, 20241,507 (RV)± 3.5%48%49%3% [j]
1,348 (LV)± 3.7%49%49%2% [j]
The Bullfinch Group [80] [I] September 20–23, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%48%49%3%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [81] [B] September 19−22, 20241,078 (LV)± 3.0%49%46%5% [e]
New York Times/Siena College [82] September 17–21, 2024682 (RV)± 4.2%48%47%5%
682 (LV)49%47%4%
Meredith College [83] September 18−20, 2024802 (LV)± 3.5%48%48%4% [o]
Victory Insights [84] September 16−18, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%49%45%6%
Emerson College [85] September 15–18, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.0%48%49%3% [f]
49% [d] 50%1% [f]
Morning Consult [43] September 9−18, 20241,314 (LV)± 3.0%47%49%4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [86] [J] September 11–17, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%50%47%3% [g]
TIPP Insights [87] [K] September 11–13, 2024973 (LV)± 3.2%49%46%5%
Elon University [88] September 4−13, 2024800 (RV)± 3.8%45%46%9% [p]
Trafalgar Group (R) [89] September 11–12, 20241,094 (LV)± 2.9%48%46%6% [e]
Quantus Insights (R) [90] [L] September 11–12, 2024815 (LV)± 3.4%48%47%5% [q]
50%48%2% [r]
Quinnipiac University [91] September 4–8, 2024940 (LV)± 3.2%47%50%3% [h]
Morning Consult [43] August 30 – September 8, 20241,369 (LV)± 3.0%48%48%4%
SurveyUSA [92] [C] September 4–7, 2024900 (LV)± 4.9%46%49%5%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [93] September 5–6, 2024692 (RV)± 3.7%47%46%7% [p]
619 (LV)48%47%5% [s]
Patriot Polling [94] September 1–3, 2024804 (RV)–50%48%2%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [95] August 29–31, 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%49%48%3% [s]
ActiVote [96] August 6–31, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%50%50%–
Emerson College [97] August 25–28, 2024775 (LV)± 3.5%49%48%3%
50% [d] 49%1% [f]
SoCal Strategies (R) [98] [D] August 26–27, 2024612 (LV)–50%46%4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [99] August 23–26, 2024645 (LV)± 4.0%49%49%2%
700 (RV)47%49%4%
Fox News [100] August 23–26, 2024999 (RV)± 3.0%50%49%1% [g]
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
August 22, 2024 Democratic National Convention concludes
High Point University/SurveyUSA [101] August 19–21, 20241,053 (RV)± 4.0%45%46%9%
941 (LV)47%47%6%
Spry Strategies (R) [102] [M] August 14–20, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%47%47%6%
August 19, 2024 Democratic National Convention begins
Focaldata [103] August 6–16, 2024702 (LV)± 3.7%50%50%–
New York Times/Siena College [104] August 9–14, 2024655 (RV)± 4.2%46%49%5%
655 (LV)47%49%4%
Trafalgar Group (R) [105] August 6–8, 20241,082 (LV)± 2.9%49%45%6%
Navigator Research (D) [106] July 31 – August 8, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%48%46%6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [107] July 26 – August 8, 2024403 (LV)–47%48%5%
August 6, 2024Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [108] July 24–28, 2024706 (RV)± 4.0%48%46%6%
July 21, 2024Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024 Republican National Convention
July 13, 2024 Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [109] May 7–13, 2024704 (RV)± 4.0%50%40%10%
Emerson College [110] February 14–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%50%41%9%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		 Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Others/
Undecided
[t] 		Margin
Race to the WH [111] through October 2, 2024October 15, 202447.1%47.8%1.0%0.8%—3.3%Trump +0.8%
270toWin [112] October 1 – 11, 2024October 11, 202446.6%47.0%0.8%1.0%0.5%4.1%Trump +0.4%
Average47.0%47.5%0.8%0.8%0.6%3.3%Trump +0.5%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian		Other /
Undecided
HarrisX [35] November 3–5, 20241,815 (RV)± 2.3%48%46%1%1%–4%
49.0% [d] 48.5%1.6%0.9%––
1,600 (LV)49%48%1%0%–2%
49.2% [d] 49.0%1.2%0.6%––
AtlasIntel [36] November 3–4, 20241,219 (LV)± 3.0%50%48%–1%0%1% [g]
AtlasIntel [39] November 1–2, 20241,310 (LV)± 3.0%50%47%–1%0%2% [g]
New York Times/Siena College [41] October 28 – November 2, 20241,010 (RV)± 3.5%43%47%0%0%1%9%
1,010 (LV)45%48%0%0%0%7%
Focaldata [113] October 3 – November 1, 20241,787 (LV)–48%48%–1%1%2%
1,785 (RV)± 2.2%46%50%–1%1%2%
1,987 (A)–46%48%–2%1%4%
AtlasIntel [44] October 30–31, 20241,373 (LV)± 3.0%51%47%–1%0%1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [114] October 28–31, 20241,123 (LV)–48%47%–1%1%3%
YouGov [45] [A] October 25–31, 2024987 (RV)± 4.2%48%47%0%1%–4%
949 (LV)49%48%0%1%–2%
AtlasIntel [47] October 25–29, 20241,665 (LV)± 3.0%48%48%–1%0%3% [g]
East Carolina University [115] October 24–29, 20241,250 (LV)± 3.0%50%48%0%0%0%2%
CNN/SSRS [116] October 23–28, 2024750 (LV)± 4.5%47%48%1%1%1%2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [117] October 25–27, 2024770 (LV)–48%46%–1%1%4%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov [118] October 16–23, 2024650 (LV)± 4.2%47%45%1%1%0%6% [u]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [119] October 20–22, 2024679 (LV)–48%47%–1%0%4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [57] October 16–20, 2024755 (RV)± 4.0%49%46%–1%3%1%
702 (LV)49%48%–1%1%1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [120] October 16–18, 2024843 (LV)–48%45%–1%0%6%
AtlasIntel [58] October 12–17, 20241,674 (LV)± 2.0%49%50%0%1%0%–
Cygnal (R) [121] [N] October 6–15, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%47%47%1%0%1%4% [u]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [122] October 12–14, 2024620 (LV)–48%46%–0%1%5%
Quinnipiac University [61] October 10–14, 20241,031 (LV)± 3.1%47%49%0%0%1%3% [u]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [123] September 27 – October 2, 2024753 (LV)–47%45%–1%0%7%
Quinnipiac University [69] September 25–29, 2024953 (LV)± 3.2%49%47%1%1%0%2% [u]
East Carolina University [124] September 23–26, 20241,005 (LV)± 3.0%49%47%0%0%1%3%
AtlasIntel [75] September 20–25, 20241,173 (LV)± 3.0%47%51%1%1%0%–
CNN/SSRS [125] September 20–25, 2024931 (LV)± 3.9%48%48%1%0%1%2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [76] September 19–25, 2024411 (LV)–46%49%1%2%–2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [77] September 19–25, 2024889 (RV)± 3.0%46%48%–1%3%2%
828 (LV)47%49%–0%2%2%
Fox News [78] September 20−24, 2024991 (RV)± 3.0%47%48%1%1%1%2%
787 (LV)± 3.5%49%47%1%1%1%1%
New York Times/Siena College [82] September 17–21, 2024682 (RV)± 4.2%46%46%–0%1%7%
682 (LV)47%45%–0%1%7%
Meredith College [126] September 18–20, 2024802 (LV)± 3.5%48%48%0%1%1%2% [u]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [127] September 16–19, 2024868 (LV)–48%47%–0%0%5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [86] [J] September 11–17, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%48%46%1%1%1%3%
Cygnal (R) [128] [N] September 15–16, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%46%45%2%0%1%6% [u]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [129] September 6–9, 2024495 (LV)–44%45%–0%0%11%
Quinnipiac University [91] September 4–8, 2024940 (LV)± 3.2%46%49%0%1%0%4% [f]
YouGov [130] [A] August 23 – September 3, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.9%47%46%0%1%–6% [g]
East Carolina University [131] August 26–28, 2024920 (LV)± 3.0%48%47%0%0%1%4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [132] August 25–28, 20241,071 (LV)–45%44%–1%1%9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [99] August 23–26, 2024700 (RV)± 4.0%47%48%–1%2%2%
645 (LV)48%48%–1%2%1%
Fox News [100] August 23–26, 2024999 (RV)± 3.0%48%47%2%1%1%1% [g]
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian		Other /
Undecided
Fox News [49] October 24–28, 20241,113 (RV)± 3.0%47%48%1%1%1%1%1%
872 (LV)49%47%1%1%1%1%–
Wall Street Journal [66] September 28 – October 8, 2024600 (RV)± 5.0%46%45%0%1%1%2%5%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) [71] [F] September 23–29, 2024401 (LV)± 4.9%47%47%0%0%0%0%6%
Spry Strategies (R) [102] [M] August 14–20, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%45%47%3%–1%–4%
Focaldata [103] August 6–16, 2024702 (LV)± 3.7%46%47%5%–1%0%1%
702 (RV)44%47%6%–1%0%2%
702 (A)43%47%7%–1%0%2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [133] August 12–15, 2024601 (LV)–47%44%2%–0%1%6%
New York Times/Siena College [104] August 9–14, 2024655 (RV)± 4.2%42%45%5%0%2%1%4%
655 (LV)44%46%4%0%1%1%4%
YouGov Blue (D) [134] [O] August 5–9, 2024802 (RV)± 3.9%46%46%2%0%0%0%5%
Navigator Research (D) [106] July 31 – August 8, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%46%46%3%0%1%0%4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [107] July 26 – August 8, 2024403 (LV)–44%46%4%0%1%–5%
Cygnal (R) [135] [N] August 4–5, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%47%44%4%–0%1%4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [136] July 31 – August 3, 2024714 (LV)–44%41%4%–0%1%10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [108] July 24–28, 2024706 (RV)± 4.0%45%44%5%–0%4%2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [137] July 22–24, 2024586 (LV)–46%43%4%–0%0%7%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [138] [P] July 17–20, 2024573 (RV)± 4.1%48%44%2%2%4%
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

2024 US presidential election in North Carolina opinion polling.svg Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Quantus Insights (R) [90] [L] September 11–12, 2024815 (LV)± 3.4%49%42%9% [q]
Public Policy Polling (D) [138] [P] July 17–20, 2024573 (RV)± 4.1%50%46%4%
Emerson College [139] [Q] July 15–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%48%41%11%
Echelon Insights [140] [R] July 1–8, 2024610 (LV)± 5.0%47%45%8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [141] July 1–5, 2024696 (RV)± 4.0%46%43%11%
Spry Strategies (R) [142] June 7–11, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%48%44%8%
East Carolina University [143] May 31 – June 3, 20241,332 (LV)± 3.1%48%43%9%
North Star Opinion Research (R) [144] [K] May 29 – June 2, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%49%41%10%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [145] [S] May 26–27, 20241,053 (LV)± 3.0%51%43%6%
Change Research (D) [146] [T] May 13–18, 2024835 (LV)± 3.8%45%43%12%
Prime Group [147] [U] May 9–16, 2024472 (RV)–51%49%–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [148] May 7–13, 2024704 (RV)± 4.0%49%42%9%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [149] May 6–13, 2024601 (LV)± 4.0%48%41%11%
High Point University [150] May 5–9, 2024804 (RV)± 3.2%44%42%14%
Emerson College [151] April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%47%42%11%
52% [d] 48%–
John Zogby Strategies [152] [V] April 13–21, 2024641 (LV)–49%45%6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [153] April 8–15, 2024703 (RV)± 4.0%51%41%8%
Mason-Dixon [154] April 9–13, 2024635 (RV)± 4.0%49%43%8%
Quinnipiac University [155] April 4–8, 20241,401 (RV)± 2.6%48%46%6%
High Point University [156] March 22–30, 2024829(RV)± 3.4%45%42%14%
Wall Street Journal [157] March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%49%43%8%
Marist College [158] March 11–14, 20241,197 (RV)± 3.6%51%48%1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [159] March 8–12, 2024699 (RV)± 4.0%49%43%8%
SurveyUSA [160] [C] March 3–9, 2024598 (LV)± 4.9%50%45%5%
Cygnal (R) [161] [W] March 6–7, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%45%40%15%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [162] February 12–20, 2024704 (RV)± 5.0%50%41%9%
Emerson College [110] February 14–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%47%44%9%
Fox News [163] February 8–12, 20241,099 (RV)± 3.0%50%45%5%
Meredith College [164] January 26–31, 2024760 (RV)± 3.5%44%39%17%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [165] January 16–21, 2024706 (RV)± 4.0%49%39%12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [166] November 27 – December 6, 2023704 (RV)± 4.0%49%40%11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [167] October 30 – November 7, 2023702 (RV)± 4.0%48%39%13%
Meredith College [168] November 1–5, 2023755 (RV)± 3.5%39%40%22% [v]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [169] October 5–10, 2023702 (RV)± 4.0%47%43%10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [170] October 7–9, 2023736 (LV)–43%38%20%
Change Research (D) [171] [T] September 1–5, 2023914 (LV)± 3.6%46%42%12%
Prime Group [172] [U] June 14–28, 2023500 (RV)–54%46%–
45%37%18% [w]
Opinion Diagnostics [173] June 5–7, 2023902 (LV)± 3.3%43%40%18%
Cygnal (R) [174] [W] March 26–27, 2023605 (LV)± 4.0%43%45%12%
Differentiators (R) [175] [X] January 9–12, 2023500 (LV)± 4.5%45%48%7%
Emerson College [176] October 27–29, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%51%40%9%
Public Policy Polling (D) [177] [T] October 7–8, 2022606 (RV)–44%44%12%
SurveyUSA [178] [C] September 28 – October 2, 2022918 (RV)± 3.9%43%45%12%
Emerson College [179] September 15–16, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%47%42%11%
East Carolina University [180] September 7–10, 20221,020 (LV)± 3.6%46%45%9%
Blueprint Polling (D) [181] August 4–6, 2022656 (LV)± 3.8%45%39%17%
PEM Management Corporation (R) [182] [Y] July 22–24, 2022300 (LV)± 5.7%48%41%11%
East Carolina University [183] May 19–20, 2022635 (RV)± 4.5%46%37%16%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [138] [P] July 17–20, 2024573 (RV)± 4.1%48%42%2%–2%6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [184] July 16–18, 2024461 (LV)–45%39%5%–1%10% [x]
Emerson College [139] [Q] July 15–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%47%38%6%1%1%7% [x]
YouGov [185] [A] July 4–12, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.7%44%40%4%0%1%11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [186] July 8–10, 2024420 (LV)–44%42%4%–1%9% [y]
Echelon Insights [140] [R] July 1–8, 2024610 (LV)± 5.0%43%41%7%2%1%6% [x]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [141] July 1–5, 2024696 (RV)± 4.0%42%40%7%1%1%9% [x]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [187] June 8–11, 2024534 (LV)–43%40%7%–1%9% [y]
North Star Opinion Research (R) [144] [K] May 29 – June 2, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%44%32%9%3%2%10%
Prime Group [147] [U] May 9–16, 2024472 (RV)–45%42%11%2%1%–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [148] May 7–13, 2024704 (RV)± 4.0%46%38%7%1%1%7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [149] May 6–13, 2024601 (LV)± 4.0%44%36%8%3%1%8%
Emerson College [151] April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%46%37%6%1%1%9%
Meeting Street Insights (R) [188] [Z] April 25–28, 2024500 (RV)± 4.4%40%35%11%–2%12% [z]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [153] April 8–15, 2024703 (RV)± 4.0%48%38%5%1%0%8%
Quinnipiac University [155] April 4–8, 20241,401 (RV)± 2.6%41%38%12%3%3%3%
Wall Street Journal [157] March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%42%34%10%2%1%11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [159] March 8–12, 2024699 (RV)± 4.0%45%39%7%1%0%8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [162] February 12–20, 2024704 (RV)± 5.0%45%35%9%1%1%9%
Emerson College [110] February 14–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%46%37%5%1%1%10%
East Carolina University [189] February 9–12, 20241,207 (LV)± 3.3%47%44%2%1%1%5%
Fox News [163] February 8–12, 20241,099 (RV)± 3.0%46%37%8%1%2%6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [190] January 16–21, 2024706 (RV)± 4.0%45%32%9%1%1%12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [191] November 27 – December 6, 2023704 (RV)± 4.0%45%34%8%1%1%11%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Spry Strategies (R) [142] June 7–11, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%45%37%8%10%
Change Research (D) [146] [T] May 13–18, 2024835 (LV)± 3.8%41%38%11%10%
Cygnal (R) [192] [N] May 4–5, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%43%38%9%10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [193] May 2–4, 2024700 (LV)–44%37%7%12%
Meredith College [194] April 11–17, 2024711 (LV)± 3.5%41%39%9%11%
Cygnal (R) [195] [W] April 7–8, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%43%39%7%11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [196] March 14–17, 2024642 (LV)–43%39%8%10%
Marist College [158] March 11–14, 20241,197 (RV)± 3.6%46%43%11%–
North Star Opinion Research (R) [197] [AA] January 30 – February 4, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%39%32%16%13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [198] December 28–30, 20231,220 (LV)–37%33%11%19%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [199] November 27–29, 2023620 (LV)–44%35%8%13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [170] October 7–9, 2023736 (LV)–41%38%9%14%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [200] October 30 – November 7, 2023702 (RV)± 4.0%42%33%9%2%14%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [152] [V] April 13–21, 2024641 (LV)–45%39%16%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [152] [V] April 13–21, 2024641 (LV)–50%40%10%

Donald Trump vs. Roy Cooper vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Roy
Cooper
Democratic		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [138] [P] July 17–20, 2024573 (RV)± 4.1%45%41%3%2%9%

Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Gavin
Newsom
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College [110] February 14–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%49%34%17%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Fox News [163] February 8–12, 20241,099 (RV)± 3.0%46%41%13%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
East Carolina University [189] February 9–12, 20241,207 (LV)± 3.3%32%40%10%2%0%16%
Fox News [163] February 8–12, 20241,099 (RV)± 3.0%31%33%19%2%2%13%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [199] November 27–29, 2023620 (LV)–36%33%12%18%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Opinion Diagnostics [173] June 5–7, 2023902 (LV)± 3.3%46%40%13%
Cygnal (R) [174] [W] March 26–27, 2023605 (LV)± 4.0%44%41%15%
Differentiators (R) [175] [X] January 9–12, 2023500 (LV)± 4.5%49%44%7%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		OtherUndecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [199] November 27–29, 2023620 (LV)–38%34%12%4%12%

Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Mike
Pence
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Cygnal (R) [174] [W] March 26–27, 2023605 (LV)± 4.0%39%41%20%

Results

2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina [201]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican
2,898,433 50.86% +0.93%
Democratic
2,715,37547.65%−0.94%
Green
24,7620.43%+0.21%
Libertarian
22,1250.39%−0.49%
Justice for All
12,0990.21%+0.21%
Constitution
6,8630.12%−0.02%
Write-in 18,9360.33
Total votes5,699,145 100%

By county

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

North Carolina County Swing 2024 Presidential Election.svg
North Carolina County Flips 2024 Presidential Election.svg

By congressional district

Trump won 11 of 14 congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat. [202] [ user-generated source ]

DistrictTrumpHarrisRepresentative
1st 51.06%47.97% Don Davis
2nd 31.92%66.21% Deborah Ross
3rd 60.33%38.52% Greg Murphy
4th 26.53%71.81% Valerie Foushee
5th 58.22%40.40% Virginia Foxx
6th 58.11%41.10% Addison McDowell
7th 56.31%42.52% David Rouzer
8th 59.14%39.58% Mark Harris
9th 57.50%41.71% Richard Hudson
10th 58.18%40.51% Pat Harrigan
11th 53.96%44.50% Chuck Edwards
12th 25.99%72.22% Alma Adams
13th 57.97%41.11% Brad Knott
14th 57.06%41.94% Tim Moore

Analysis

Although a Southern Bible Belt state, North Carolina has been competitive since the late 2000s – a trend primarily attributed to population growth – as the state has been narrowly decided in every presidential election by less than a 4% margin since 2008, when Barack Obama very narrowly carried the state and became the only Democratic presidential candidate to do so since Jimmy Carter of neighboring Georgia in 1976. However, Republicans have won every single federal statewide race in North Carolina since 2010. It flipped back into the GOP column in 2012 and has been narrowly won by Republican nominee Donald Trump in the past two cycles. This presidential election marks the first time since 2012 that the winning candidate won the election with an absolute majority of the vote.

Trump's margin of victory was more than double that of his 2020 margin, though it was slightly less than his 2016 margin. This marked the fifth consecutive election where North Carolina was decided by less than 5%, the longest ongoing such streak out of any state. Trump became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying New Hanover County since Dwight D. Eisenhower in 1956. This is the first time since 2008 the state voted for the winner of the national popular vote. Anson County voted Republican for the first time since 1972 and Pasquotank County since 1988.

Potentially due to the effects of Hurricane Helene, Western North Carolina was one of the few areas of the country to swing towards the Democrats between 2020 and 2024. Despite over 90% of American counties shifting toward Trump during this time period, [203] ten counties in the region bucked this trend and supported Harris to a greater extent than Joe Biden. [aa]

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ 464 votes (9.1%) for David (TrimeTaveler) Dunlap, 320 votes (6.3%) for Beau Lindsey, 162 votes (3.2%) for Josh "Toad" Anderson.
  2. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 "Other" with 2%
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 "Someone else" with 1%
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 "Other" with 1%
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 "Someone else" with 2%
  9. ↑ "Another party's candidates" with 2%
  10. 1 2 3 "Another party's candidates" with 1%
  11. ↑ "Another candidate" with 4%
  12. ↑ "Other" with 4%
  13. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  14. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 1%
  15. ↑ "Third party candidates" & "Undecided" with 2%
  16. 1 2 "Another candidate" with 3%
  17. 1 2 "Some other candidate" with 3%
  18. ↑ "Would not vote" with 2%
  19. 1 2 "Another candidate" with 2%
  20. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  21. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Randall Terry (C) with 0%
  22. ↑ "Someone else" with 17%
  23. ↑ No Labels candidate
  24. 1 2 3 4 Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  25. 1 2 Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
  26. ↑ Charles Ballay (L) with 2%
  27. ↑ These were Ashe, Avery, Buncombe, Haywood, Henderson, Macon, Madison, Mitchell, Polk and Transylvania. [204]

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 4 Poll conducted for The Times , Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
  2. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by American Thinker
  3. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by WRAL-TV
  4. 1 2 Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
  5. ↑ Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
  6. 1 2 Poll sponsored by the Peter G. Peterson Foundation
  7. ↑ Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
  8. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
  9. ↑ Poll conducted for The Independent Center
  10. 1 2 Poll commissioned by AARP
  11. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by American Greatness
  12. 1 2 Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics
  13. 1 2 Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project
  14. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by The Carolina Journal
  15. ↑ Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward
  16. 1 2 3 4 Poll conducted for Clean and Prosperous America PAC
  17. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
  18. 1 2 Poll sponsored by NetChoice
  19. ↑ Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
  20. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward
  21. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates
  22. 1 2 3 Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  23. 1 2 3 4 5 Poll sponsored by the John Locke Foundation
  24. 1 2 Poll sponsored by NC Values Coalition, a sponsor of the Republican Party
  25. ↑ Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
  26. ↑ Poll sponsored by Carolina Partnership for Reform & Carolina Leadership Coalition
  27. ↑ Poll sponsored by the League of American Workers

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections. Massachusetts voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Massachusetts has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Michigan</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, and as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Michigan voters chose electors for Donald Trump and JD Vance to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Minnesota voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Minnesota has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Nevada</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Nevada took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states, plus the District of Columbia, participated. Nevada voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Nevada has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census, in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in New Mexico</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in New Mexico took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New Mexico voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Mexico has five electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in New York</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in New York was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New York voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New York had 28 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Pennsylvania voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Pennsylvania has 19 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in South Carolina</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in South Carolina took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. South Carolina voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of South Carolina has nine electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Texas</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Texas was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Texas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Texas had 40 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained two seats.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Wisconsin voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Wisconsin has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. Those named in the polls were declared candidates or had received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election</span>

This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

References

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  178. ↑ Anderson, Bryan (October 3, 2022). "Who would win NC in 2024? Biden and Trump neck-and-neck in hypothetical rematch, WRAL poll shows". WRAL.
  179. ↑ "The race tightens: Beasley closes in on Budd in latest North Carolina Senate poll". September 20, 2022.
  180. ↑ Francia, Peter; Morris, Jonathan (September 13, 2022). "ECU Poll Shows Budd With Narrow Lead Over Beasley". ECU Center for Survey Research.
  181. ↑ LeMenager, Amy (August 9, 2022). "Dobbs Decision Tilts NC Senate Race Toward Beasley". Chism Strategies.
  182. ↑ "Bolton Super PAC Crosstabs" (PDF). Bolton Super PAC. July 28, 2022.
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  187. ↑ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (8-11 June 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. June 17, 2024.
  188. ↑ "New CLC Poll Predicts a Bumpy Election Ride". Carolina Leader. May 29, 2024.
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  192. ↑ "May 2024 – Robinson, Stein neck and neck for governor's mansion". The Carolina Journal. May 9, 2024.
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  195. ↑ "Survey of Likely General Election Voters North Carolina Statewide" (PDF). The John Locke Foundation. April 11, 2024.
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  200. ↑ "Morning-Consult/Bloomberg 2024 Election Survey All States Toplines" (PDF). Morning Consult. November 9, 2023.
  201. ↑ "NC - State_Composite_Abstract_Report-Contest.pdf". November 26, 2024. Retrieved December 3, 2024.
  202. ↑ "2024 Pres by CD". www.docs.google.com.
  203. ↑ Bloch, Matthew; Collins, Keith; Gebeloff, Robert; Hernandez, Marco; Khurana, Malika; Levitt, Zach (November 6, 2024). "Early Results Show a Red Shift Across the U.S." The New York Times. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved November 12, 2024.
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