2024 United States Senate election in Washington

Last updated

2024 United States Senate election in Washington
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  2018 November 5, 20242030 

Incumbent U.S. senator

Maria Cantwell
Democratic



The 2024 United States Senate election in Washington will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Washington. Incumbent four-term Democratic Senator Maria Cantwell was first elected in 2000, narrowly defeating Republican incumbent Slade Gorton. In her most recent re-election campaign, Cantwell won with 58.3% of the vote in 2018. Primary elections will take place on August 6, 2024. [1]

Contents

Primary election

Democratic candidates

Declared

Republican candidates

Declared

  • Raul Garcia, physician and candidate for governor in 2020 [4]
  • Goodspaceguy, amateur astronomer and perennial candidate [3]
  • Isaac Holyk, software developent company CEO and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022 [3]
  • Scott Nazarino, financial consultant and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016 [3]
  • Mel Ram, private investigator [3]

Declined

Third party and independent candidates

Endorsements

Raul Garcia (R)
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Party chapters

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Maria Cantwell (D)$10,530,088$4,599,180$6,500,800
Raul Garcia (R)$406,445$254,663$151,781
Isaac Holyk (R)$2,004$1,642$367
Source: Federal Election Commission [23]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Maria
Cantwell (D)
Raul
Garcia (R)
OtherUndecided
Elway Research [upper-alpha 1] May 13–16, 2024403 (RV)± 5%39%30%1%30%
Elway Research [upper-alpha 1] October 30 – November 3, 2023403 (RV)± 5%43%23%9% [lower-alpha 2] 25%

Results

Blanket primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Independent Thor Amundson
Democratic Maria Cantwell (incumbent)
Socialist Workers Henry Dennison
Republican Raul Garcia
Democratic Paul Giesick
Republican Goodspaceguy
Republican Isaac Holyk
Independent Chuck Jackson
Republican Scott Nazarino
Republican Mel Ram
Independent David Tilton
Write-in
Total votes100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [24] Solid DNovember 9, 2023
Inside Elections [25] Solid DNovember 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [26] Safe DNovember 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [27] Safe DJune 8, 2024
Elections Daily [28] Safe DMay 4, 2023
CNalysis [29] Solid DNovember 21, 2023

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Maria Cantwell vs. Raul Garcia
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Maria
Cantwell (D)
Raul
Garcia (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 2] May 15–16, 2024615 (LV)± 4.0%53%38%9%
Echelon Insights [upper-alpha 3] March 18–21, 2024600 (RV)± 4.7%44%36%20%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 2] February 13–14, 2024789 (LV)± 3.5%53%37%10%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 2] November 14–15, 2023700 (LV)± 3.7%51%38%11%
Maria Cantwell vs. Jaime Herrera Beutler
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Maria
Cantwell (D)
Jaime
Herrera Beutler (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 2] June 7–8, 2023773 (LV)± 3.5%52%37%11%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 2] March 7–8, 2023874 (LV)± 3.3%50%35%14%

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. "A different Republican" with 6%; "A different Democrat" with 3%
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Crosscut.com
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute
  3. Poll sponsored by Concerned Taxpayers of Washington State PAC

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References

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Official campaign websites