2024 United States Senate election in Washington

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2024 United States Senate election in Washington
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Incumbent U.S. senator

Maria Cantwell
Democratic



The 2024 United States Senate election in Washington will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Washington. Incumbent four-term Democratic Senator Maria Cantwell was first elected in 2000, narrowly defeating Republican incumbent Slade Gorton. In her most recent re-election campaign, Cantwell won with 58.3% of the vote in 2018. Primary elections will take place on August 6, 2024. [1]

Contents

Primary election

Democratic candidates

Declared

Republican candidates

Declared

  • Raul Garcia, physician and candidate for governor in 2020 [3]

Declined

Endorsements

Maria Cantwell (D)
Organizations
Raul Garcia (R)
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Party chapters

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Maria Cantwell (D)$9,032,594$4,205,084$5,397,402
Raul Garcia (R)$244,241$133,225$111,016
Source: Federal Election Commission [18]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Maria
Cantwell (D)		Raul
Garcia (R)		OtherUndecided
Elway Research/Crosscut October 30 – November 3, 2023403 (RV)± 5%43%23%9% [lower-alpha 2] 25%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [19] Solid DNovember 9, 2023
Inside Elections [20] Solid DNovember 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] Safe DNovember 9, 2023
Elections Daily [22] Safe DMay 4, 2023
CNalysis [23] Solid DNovember 21, 2023

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Maria Cantwell vs. Raul Garcia
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Maria
Cantwell (D)		Raul
Garcia (R)		Undecided
Echelon Insights [upper-alpha 1] March 18–21, 2024600 (RV)± 4.7%44%36%20%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 2] February 13–14, 2024789 (LV)± 3.5%53%37%10%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 2] November 14–15, 2023700 (LV)± 3.7%51%38%11%
Maria Cantwell vs. Jaime Herrera Beutler
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Maria
Cantwell (D)		Jaime
Herrera Beutler (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 2] June 7–8, 2023773 (LV)± 3.5%52%37%11%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 2] March 7–8, 2023874 (LV)± 3.3%50%35%14%

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ "A different Republican" with 6%; "A different Democrat" with 3%
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by Concerned Taxpayers of Washington State PAC
  2. 1 2 3 4 This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute

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References

  1. ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  2. ↑ Everett, Burgess (April 13, 2023). "Will Women US Senators Run the Table in 2024?". Smart Politics. Retrieved July 7, 2023. eight of the 14 women in the chamber up for election have already announced they are seeking another term: Republican Deb Fischer of Nebraska and Democrats Mazie Hirono of Hawaii, Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota, Jacky Rosen of Nevada (pictured), Kirsten Gillibrand of New York, Maria Cantwell of Washington, and Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin.
  3. ↑ Sowersby, Shauna (July 7, 2023). "Raul Garcia drops out of governor's race, will run for US Senate in 2024". KING-TV . Retrieved July 7, 2023.
  4. ↑ Dinman, Emry (February 16, 2024). "Brian Dansel and John Guenther enter race for Congress; Michael Baumgartner, Nadine Woodward considering". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved February 16, 2024. [Guenther] initially planned to run for Senate again, this time against Cantwell, but decided to run for U.S. House
  5. ↑ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  6. ↑ Wang, Danni (April 27, 2023). "Emilys List Endorses Maria Cantwell for Reelection to the United States Senate". Emilys List. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
  7. ↑ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  8. ↑ "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
  9. ↑ "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
  10. ↑ "Maria Cantwell". JStreetPAC. Retrieved August 26, 2023.
  11. ↑ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  12. ↑ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
  13. ↑ "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  14. ↑ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  15. ↑ O'Sullivan, Joseph (July 7, 2023). "Raul Garcia drops WA governor bid after Dave Reichert announces run". Crosscut.com . Retrieved July 12, 2023.
  16. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Villeneuve, Andrew (November 17, 2023). "Senator Maria Cantwell leads Republican challenger Raul Garcia by thirteen points". The Cascadia Advocate . Retrieved November 29, 2023.
  17. ↑ "Endorsements and discord: WA GOP wraps up Spokane convention". April 20, 2024. Retrieved April 23, 2024.
  18. ↑ "2024 Election United States Senate - Washington". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  19. ↑ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  20. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  21. ↑ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  22. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  23. ↑ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
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