2024 United States presidential election in Georgia

Last updated

2024 United States presidential election in Georgia
Flag of Georgia (U.S. state).svg
  2020 November 5, 20242028 
Turnout72.6% [1] Increase2.svg 6.4 pp
  Donald Trump official portrait (3x4a).jpg Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida California
Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz
Electoral vote160
Popular vote2,663,1172,548,017
Percentage50.73%48.53%

Georgia Presidential Election Results 2024.svg
GA-24-pres-districts.svg
GA President 2024.svg
Note: Blank precincts either have no votes or no data.

President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in Georgia took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Georgia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which it neither gained nor lost a seat. [2] Georgia was considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024. [3]

Contents

Republican Donald Trump flipped Georgia back into the Republican column, winning with a majority and a margin of 2.2% over Kamala Harris, which was only slightly greater than his national margin of victory (in contrast to being about 7 points to the right of the nation in 2016). This was the first time a Republican candidate would win a federal statewide race in Georgia since Trump's 5% victory over Hillary Clinton in 2016 and the narrowest Republican statewide margin of victory at the presidential level since Bob Dole's 1.1% in 1996. Trump also received more than 2.66 million votes, setting a record for most votes cast for any candidate in the history of Georgia and became the second Republican ever to carry the state twice after George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The Georgia Democratic primary was held on March 12, 2024. [4]

Georgia Democratic primary, March 12, 2024 [5]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Joe Biden (incumbent)272,36393.1%108
Marianne Williamson 8,5692.9%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)5,2051.8%
Blank ballots6,4292.2%
Overvotes2<0.1%
Total:292,568100.00%10816124

Republican primary

The Georgia Republican primary was held on March 12, 2024. [6]

Georgia Republican primary, March 12, 2024 [7]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 497,59484.49%59059
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)77,90213.23%000
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)7,4571.27%000
Chris Christie (withdrawn)2,0540.35%000
Tim Scott (withdrawn)1,3980.24%000
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)1,2440.21%000
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)3830.07%000
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)3770.06%000
David Stuckenberg2430.04%000
Doug Burgum (withdrawn)1610.03%000
Perry Johnson (withdrawn)1340.02%000
Total:588,947100.00%59059

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [8] TossupNovember 4, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [9] Lean R (flip)November 4, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [10] TossupNovember 4, 2024
CNN [11] TossupNovember 4, 2024
CNalysis [12] Likely DNovember 4, 2024
The Economist [13] TossupNovember 4, 2024
538 [14] TossupNovember 5, 2024
Inside Elections [15] TossupNovember 4, 2024
NBC News [16] TossupNovember 4, 2024

Voting rule changes

On July 29, 2024, the state added another way to cancel a voter's registration through an online portal, which has drawn criticism from groups like Fair Fight Action, worried that it would be abused. [17] By August 5, cybersecurity researcher Jason Parker discovered a vulnerability in Georgia's voter cancellation portal that allowed users to bypass the requirement for a driver's license number, enabling the submission of voter registration cancellations with minimal, publicly available information. The discovery drew attention to weaknesses in the system and the importance of continued efforts to secure election infrastructure. [18] [19]

In August 2024, the Georgia State Elections Board enacted two new rules that could deputize local election officials more discretion on whether they certify the election, contrary to state and national precedent. The Democratic party has filed a lawsuit to stop the new rules from taking effect, [20] [21] which a judge agreed with on October 16, blocking the new rule. [22]

Ballot access

Votes for Claudia De la Cruz and Cornel West were not counted even though they appeared on the ballot. [23] After an administrative law judge disqualified Claudia De la Cruz and Cornel West from the ballot due to their electors not registering in their own name, Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger overruled the judge on August 29, 2024. Republicans have been working to get West and De la Cruz on the ballot, while Democrats have been working to keep them off. [24] If the ruling were upheld, it would be the first time since 1946 that more than four candidates would be on the ballot. [24] On September 12, 2024, a judge disqualified both West and De la Cruz from running for president in Georgia. [25] On September 25, the Georgia Supreme Court unanimously confirmed the ruling, keeping votes for De la Cruz and West from counting even though Raffensperger kept both on the ballot, saying there was not enough time to reprint the ballots. [23]

Election security

In early 2023, Georgia's state legislature denied the Georgia Secretary of State's $25 million request to implement the 2022 security update for Dominion Voting Systems machines before the 2024 elections. However, QR codes will be eliminated by 2026 in favor of text the voter can read to ensure their ballot was marked correctly. Audits will be used to gauge how the machines are faring in 2024. [26]

As of October 2024, the Georgia State Election Board recommended that specific people serve as election monitors in Fulton County despite having no authority to make this recommendation. Each county decides who monitors each election precinct. [27]

Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
[a]
Margin
270ToWin [28] October 22 – November 4, 2024November 5, 202447.5%48.7%3.8%Trump +1.2%
538 [29] through November 4, 2024November 5, 202447.5%48.2%4.3%Trump +0.7%
Silver Bulletin [30] through November 4, 2024November 5, 202447.9%48.9%3.2%Trump +1.0%
The Hill/DDHQ [31] through November 4, 2024November 5, 202447.9%49.6%2.5%Trump +1.7%
Average47.7%48.9%3.4%Trump +1.2%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
HarrisX [32] November 3–5, 20241,880 (RV)± 2.3%45%48%7%
49% [c] 51%
1,659 (LV)47%49%4%
48% [c] 52%
AtlasIntel [33] November 3–4, 20241,112 (LV)± 3.0%48%50%2%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [34] November 2–3, 2024800 (LV)± 3.7%48%49%3% [d]
Patriot Polling [35] November 1–3, 2024818 (RV)± 3.0%49%50%1%
AtlasIntel [36] November 1–2, 20241,174 (LV)± 3.0%48%50%2%
Emerson College [37] October 30 – November 2, 2024800 (LV)± 3.4%49%50%1% [e]
49% [c] 50%1% [e]
New York Times/Siena College [38] October 24 – November 2, 20241,004 (RV)± 3.5%46%46%8%
1,004 (LV)48%47%5%
ActiVote [39] October 15 – November 2, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%49%51%
AtlasIntel [40] October 30–31, 20241,212 (LV)± 3.0%48%50%2%
YouGov [41] [A] October 25–31, 2024984 (RV)± 3.9%48%50%2%
939 (LV)48%50%2%
Morning Consult [42] October 21–30, 20241,009 (LV)± 3.0%48%50%2%
AtlasIntel [43] October 25–29, 20241,429 (LV)± 3.0%48%51%1%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [44] [B] October 25–28, 2024910 (LV)± 3.0%46%51%3% [f]
SoCal Strategies (R) [45] [C] October 26–27, 2024658 (LV)± 3.8%49%50%1%
Trafalgar Group (R) [46] October 24–26, 20241,087 (LV)± 2.9%46%48%6% [d]
CES/YouGov [47] October 1–25, 20242,682 (A)48%49%3%
2,663 (LV)46%51%3%
National Public Affairs [48] October 21–24, 2024829 (LV)± 3.4%47%49%4%
Marist College [49] October 17–22, 20241,356 (RV)± 3.5%49%48%3% [g]
1,193 (LV)± 3.9%49%49%2% [g]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [50] October 16–20, 2024914 (RV)± 3.0%48%49%3%
855 (LV)48%50%2%
AtlasIntel [51] October 12–17, 20241,411 (LV)± 3.0%48%50%2%
ActiVote [52] October 1–17, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%49%51%
TIPP Insights [53] [D] October 14–16, 20241,029 (RV)± 3.5%49%46%5%
813 (LV)48%49%3%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [54] October 14–15, 2024800 (LV)± 3.7%47%49%4% [f]
Morning Consult [42] October 6–15, 20241,002 (LV)± 3.0%48%49%3%
Washington Post/Schar School [55] September 30 – October 15, 2024730 (RV)± 4.5%50%44%6%
730 (LV)51%46%3%
Quinnipiac University [56] October 10–14, 20241,328 (LV)± 2.7%46%52%2%
RMG Research [57] [E] October 7–10, 2024731 (LV)± 3.6%47%49%4% [h]
47%50%3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R) [58] [F] October 6–9, 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%45%50%5%
Trafalgar Group (R) [59] October 7–8, 20241,089 (LV)± 2.9%45%46%9% [i]
Emerson College [60] October 5–8, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.0%48%49%3% [e]
50% [c] 50%
Wall Street Journal [61] September 28 – October 8, 2024600 (RV)± 5.0%48%46%6%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [62] [G] September 24 – October 2, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%44%47%9%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [63] September 29–30, 2024800 (LV)± 3.7%48%48%4% [d]
Quinnipiac University [64] September 25–29, 2024942 (LV)± 3.2%45%50%5%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) [65] [H] September 23–29, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%47%47%6%
AtlasIntel [66] September 20–25, 20241,200 (LV)± 3.0%49%50%1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [67] September 19–25, 2024411 (LV)47%49%4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [68] September 19–25, 2024989 (RV)± 3.0%48%47%5%
913 (LV)49%49%2%
Fox News [69] September 20−24, 20241,006 (RV)± 3.0%51%48%1%
707 (LV)± 3.5%51%48%1%
CBS News/YouGov [70] September 20–24, 20241,441 (RV)± 3.5%49%51%
Marist College [71] September 19−24, 20241,420 (RV)± 3.6%49%48%3% [g]
1,220 (LV)± 3.9%49%50%1% [g]
The Bullfinch Group [72] [I] September 20–23, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%49%47%4%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [73] [B] September 19–22, 20241,152 (LV)± 3.0%47%50%3%
47% [c] 51%2%
New York Times/Siena College [74] September 17–21, 2024682 (RV)± 4.6%44%48%8%
682 (LV)45%49%6%
TIPP Insights [75] [D] September 16–18, 20241,046 (RV)± 3.5%48%45%7%
835 (LV)48%48%9%
Emerson College [76] September 15–18, 2024975 (LV)± 3.1%47%50%3% [j]
48% [c] 50%2% [j]
Morning Consult [42] September 9−18, 20241,347 (LV)± 3.0%48%49%3%
Trafalgar Group (R) [77] September 11–13, 20241,098 (LV)± 2.9%45%46%9%
ActiVote [78] August 8 – September 10, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%50%50%
Quinnipiac University [79] September 4–8, 2024969 (LV)± 3.2%46%49%5%
Morning Consult [42] August 30 – September 8, 20241,405 (LV)± 3.0%48%48%4%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [80] September 5–6, 2024647 (RV)± 3.9%44%47%9% [k]
567 (LV)45%47%8% [l]
Patriot Polling [81] September 1–3, 2024814 (RV)48%49%3%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [82] August 29–31, 2024800 (LV)± 3.7%48%48%4% [l]
Emerson College [83] August 25–28, 2024800 (LV)± 3.4%49%48%3% [e]
50% [c] 49%1% [e]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [84] August 23–26, 2024737 (LV)± 4.0%50%47%3%
801 (RV)± 3.0%49%47%4%
Fox News [85] August 23–26, 20241,014 (RV)± 3.0%50%48%2%
Institute for Global Affairs/YouGov [86] August 15–22, 2024350 (A)± 6.6%43%42%15% [m]
Spry Strategies (R) [87] [J] August 14–20, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%49%49%2%
Focaldata [88] August 6–16, 2024651 (LV)± 3.8%48%52%
New York Times/Siena College [89] August 9–14, 2024661 (RV)± 4.4%44%51%5%
661 (LV)46%50%4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [90] July 26 – August 8, 2024405 (LV)48%48%4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [91] [K] July 24–31, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%48%48%4%
Trafalgar Group (R)/InsiderAdvantage (R) [92] July 29–30, 2024– (LV)± 3.5%47%49%4%
Public Policy Polling (D) [93] [L] July 29–30, 2024662 (RV)± 3.8%48%47%5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [94] July 24–28, 2024799 (RV)± 3.0%47%47%5%
SoCal Strategies (R) [95] [M] July 25–26, 2024505 (RV)± 4.4%46%50%4%
Emerson College [96] July 22–23, 2024800 (RV)± 3.4%46%48%6%
49% [c] 51%
Landmark Communications [97] July 22, 2024400 (LV)± 5.0%47%48%5%
July 21, 2024Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs [98] [N] July 9–18, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.1%46%51%3%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [99] [O] July 15–16, 2024800 (LV)± 4.1%37%47%16%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [100] July 12–15, 2024640 (RV)± 3.6%42%46%12%
549 (LV)43%49%8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [101] May 7–13, 2024795 (RV)± 3.0%41%49%10%
Emerson College [102] February 14–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%41%51%8%
New York Times/Siena College [103] October 22 – November 3, 2023629 (RV)± 4.5%44%45%11%
629 (LV)44%47%9%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Jill
Stein

Green
Cornel
West

Independent
Chase
Oliver

Libertarian
Other/
Undecided
[a]
Margin
Race to the WH [104] through October 22, 2024October 22, 202447.4%48.7%0.8%0.9%2.2%Trump +1.3%
270ToWin [105] October 16–22, 2024October 22, 202445.8%49.2%0.6%0.0%0.6%3.8%Trump +3.4%
Average46.6%49.0%0.7%0.0%0.8%2.9%Trump +2.4%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
HarrisX [32] November 3–5, 20241,880 (RV)± 2.3%45%47%1%1%6%
48% [c] 49%2%1%
1,659 (LV)47%48%1%1%3%
48% [c] 50%1%1%
AtlasIntel [33] November 3–4, 20241,112 (LV)± 3.0%48%48%1%1%2% [d]
AtlasIntel [36] November 1–2, 20241,174 (LV)± 3.0%47%49%2%1%1% [d]
New York Times/Siena College [38] October 24 – November 2, 20241,004 (RV)± 3.5%44%43%2%0%3%8%
1,004 (LV)46%46%0%0%2%6%
Focaldata [106] October 3 – November 1, 20241,850 (LV)48%49%1%1%1%
1,627 (RV)± 2.3%50%47%1%1%1%
1,850 (A)49%47%1%2%1%
AtlasIntel [40] October 30–31, 20241,212 (LV)± 3.0%47%49%2%1%1%
East Carolina University [107] October 28–31, 2024902 (LV)± 3.0%49%50%0%1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [108] October 28–31, 20241,779 (LV)47%48%0%1%4%
Data for Progress (D) [109] October 25–31, 2024792 (LV)± 3.0%49%48%0%0%1%2%
YouGov [41] [A] October 25–31, 2024984 (RV)± 3.9%46%48%1%1%4%
939 (LV)47%48%0%0%5%
AtlasIntel [43] October 25–29, 20241,429 (LV)± 3.0%47%50%1%1%1%
CNN/SSRS [110] October 23–28, 2024732 (LV)± 4.7%47%48%1%1%3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [111] October 25–27, 20241,112 (LV)47%48%0%1%4%
The Citadel [112] October 17–25, 20241,218 (RV)± 3.8%47%48%1%1%0%3%
1,126 (LV)47%49%0%1%0%3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [113] October 20–22, 20241,168 (LV)47%48%0%1%4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [50] October 16–20, 2024914 (RV)± 3.0%48%47%0%2%3%
855 (LV)48%49%0%1%2%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs [114] [N] October 7–16, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.1%43%47%0%0%10% [n]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [115] October 16–18, 20241,019 (LV)47%48%1%1%3%
AtlasIntel [51] October 12–17, 20241,411 (LV)± 3.0%48%50%0%0%1%1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [116] October 12–14, 2024637 (LV)47%47%2%1%3%
Quinnipiac University [56] October 10–14, 20241,328 (LV)± 2.7%45%52%1%1%1%
East Carolina University [117] October 9–14, 2024701 (LV)± 4.0%46%49%1%0%4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [118] October 8–9, 2024608 (LV)47%48%1%1%3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [119] September 27 – October 2, 20243,783 (LV)47%47%1%1%4%
Quinnipiac University [64] September 25–29, 2024942 (LV)± 3.2%44%50%1%0%1%4% [o]
AtlasIntel [66] September 20–25, 20241,200 (LV)± 3.0%49%49%0%0%2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [67] September 19–25, 2024411 (LV)47%48%0%5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [68] September 19–25, 2024989 (RV)± 3.0%48%47%0%3%2%
913 (LV)48%48%0%2%2%
Fox News [69] September 20−24, 20241,006 (RV)± 3.0%49%47%1%1%1%1%
707 (LV)± 3.5%50%48%1%1%1%
New York Times/Siena College [74] September 17–21, 2024682 (RV)± 4.6%43%46%2%2%7%
682 (LV)44%47%1%2%6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [120] September 16–19, 20241,043 (LV)46%48%1%1%4%
TIPP Insights [75] [D] September 16–18, 20241,046 (RV)± 3.5%46%44%2%1%7%
835 (LV)48%48%1%1%2%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs [121] [N] September 9–15, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.1%44%47%1%0%0%7% [p]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [122] September 6–9, 2024562 (LV)47%49%1%0%3%
Quinnipiac University [79] September 4–8, 2024969 (LV)± 3.2%45%49%1%0%0%6% [o]
YouGov [123] [A] August 23 – September 3, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.8%45%47%0%0%8% [d]
CNN/SSRS [124] August 23–29, 2024617 (LV)± 4.7%48%47%1%1%1%2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [125] August 25–28, 2024699 (LV)42%44%1%0%13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [84] August 23–26, 2024737 (LV)± 4.0%48%46%1%3%2%
801 (RV)± 3.0%47%46%1%4%2%
Fox News [85] August 23–26, 20241,014 (RV)± 3.0%48%46%1%2%2%1%
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Wall Street Journal [61] September 28 – October 8, 2024600 (RV)± 5.0%46%45%0%0%2%0%7%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) [65] [H] September 23–29, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%46%47%2%0%1%0%4%
August 23, 2024Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Spry Strategies (R) [87] [J] August 14–20, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%47%48%2%1%2%
Focaldata [88] August 6–16, 2024651 (LV)± 3.8%45%49%2%0%0%4%
651 (RV)46%47%3%0%0%4%
651 (A)46%47%3%0%0%4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [126] August 12–15, 2024692 (LV)46%46%2%0%0%6%
New York Times/Siena College [89] August 9–14, 2024661 (RV)± 4.4%41%47%5%0%1%2%5%
661 (LV)44%47%4%0%1%1%3%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [90] July 26 – August 8, 2024405 (LV)46%46%4%1%1%2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [127] July 31 – August 3, 20241,128 (LV)44%46%3%1%0%6%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [91] [K] July 24–31, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%44%46%4%2%1%0%3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [94] July 24–28, 2024799 (RV)± 3.0%45%45%4%0%4%2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [128] July 22–24, 20241,180 (LV)42%47%3%1%0%7%
Emerson College [96] July 22–23, 2024800 (RV)± 3.4%43%46%4%1%1%0%5%
Landmark Communications [97] July 22, 2024400 (LV)± 5.0%44%46%4%1%0%0%5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
August 23, 2024Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [100] July 12–15, 2024640 (RV)± 3.6%37%46%8%9%
549 (LV)38%49%6%7%
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

2024 US presidential election in Georgia opinion polling.svg Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs [98] [N] July 9–18, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.1%45%48%7%
Emerson College [129] [P] July 15–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%41%47%12%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [99] [O] July 15–16, 2024800 (LV)± 4.1%44%47%9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [100] July 12–15, 2024981 (LV)± 3.9%43%49%8%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [130] [Q] July 5–12, 20241,015 (LV)± 3.0%43%48%9%
Echelon Insights [131] [R] July 1–8, 2024608 (LV)± 4.9%45%49%6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [132] July 1–5, 2024790 (RV)± 3.0%46%47%7%
Emerson College [133] [P] June 30 – July 2, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%42%47%11%
Emerson College [134] June 13–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%41%45%14%
48% [c] 52%
Quinnipiac University [135] May 30 – June 3, 20241,203 (RV)± 2.8%44%49%7%
Prime Group [136] [S] May 9–16, 2024470 (RV)49%51%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [101] May 7–13, 2024795 (RV)± 3.0%44%47%9%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [137] May 6–13, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%44%47%9%
New York Times/Siena College [138] April 28 – May 9, 2024604 (RV)± 4.6%39%49%12%
604 (LV)41%50%9%
North Star Opinion Research (R) [139] [T] May 1–5, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%39%49%12%
Emerson College [140] April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%44%47%9%
49% [c] 51%
John Zogby Strategies [141] [U] April 13–21, 2024635 (LV)44%47%9%
Fox News [142] April 11–16, 20241,128 (RV)± 3.0%45%51%4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [143] April 8–15, 2024802 (RV)± 3.0%43%49%8%
Wall Street Journal [144] March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%43%44%13%
Echelon Insights [145] [V] March 12–19, 2024400 (LV)± 5.7%42%52%6%
Marist College [146] March 11–14, 20241,177 (RV)± 3.7%47%51%2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [147] March 8–12, 2024788 (RV)± 3.0%42%49%9%
CBS News/YouGov [148] March 4–11, 20241,133 (RV)± 3.9%48%51%1%
Emerson College [149] March 5–7, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%42%46%12%
48% [c] 52%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [150] February 12–20, 2024800 (RV)± 3.0%43%49%8%
Emerson College [102] February 14–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%42%48%10%
Fox News [151] January 26–30, 20241,119 (RV)± 3.0%43%51%6%
Focaldata [152] January 17–23, 2024887 (A)36%45%19% [q]
– (LV)39%47%14% [r]
– (LV)48% [c] 52%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [153] January 16–21, 2024798 (RV)± 3.0%41%49%10%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution [154] January 3–11, 20241,007 (RV)± 3.1%37%45%18%
CNN/SSRS [155] November 30 – December 7, 20231,068 (RV)± 3.3%44%49%7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [156] November 27 – December 6, 2023801 (RV)± 3.0%43%49%8%
J.L. Partners [157] [W] November 27 – December 1, 2023550 (LV)± 4.2%44%46%10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [158] October 30 – November 7, 2023803 (RV)± 3.0%41%48%11%
Emerson College [159] October 30 – November 4, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.0%40%47%14%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs [160] [N] October 30 – November 3, 20231,002 (LV)± 3.1%44%45%11%
New York Times/Siena College [103] October 22 – November 3, 2023629 (RV)± 4.5%43%49%8%
629 (LV)44%49%7%
Zogby Analytics [161] October 9–12, 2023628 (LV)± 3.9%49%51%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [162] October 5–10, 2023801 (RV)± 3.0%43%48%9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [163] October 7–9, 2023761 (LV)40%43%17%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [164] September 8–11, 20231,061 (LV)± 3.0%38%47%15%
Prime Group [165] [S] June 14–28, 2023500 (RV)48%52%
36%45%19% [s]
Cygnal (R) [166] [X] June 5–7, 2023600 (LV)± 4%41%42%17%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [167] [Y] May 15–17, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%44%43%13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [168] [Y] April 25–27, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%44%43%13%
Emerson College [169] November 28–30, 2022888 (LV)± 3.2%44%43%13%
University of Massachusetts Lowell [170] November 18–28, 20221,300 (LV)± 3.2%47%43%7%
Targoz Market Research [171] November 2–6, 2022579 (LV)± 4.0%43%52%5%
Emerson College [172] October 28–31, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%44%47%9%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [173] October 23–24, 20221,053 (LV)± 3.0%39%47%14%
Emerson College [174] October 6–7, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%43%45%12%
Echelon Insights [175] [R] August 31 – September 7, 2022751 (LV)± 4.4%47%45%8%
Emerson College [176] August 28–29, 2022600 (LV)± 3.9%46%51%3%
PEM Management Corporation (R) [177] [Z] July 22–24, 2022300 (LV)± 5.7%40%48%12%
East Carolina University [178] June 6–9, 2022868 (RV)± 3.9%40%47%13%
Blueprint Polling (D) [179] March 2–8, 2022662 (V)± 3.9%36%50%14%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [180] [F] November 11–16, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%45%48%7%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [181] July 16–18, 2024618 (LV)40%45%5%0%10% [t]
Emerson College [129] [P] July 15–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%39%44%6%2%1%8%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [130] [Q] July 5–12, 20241,015 (LV)± 3.0%39%44%10%1%0%6%
YouGov [182] [A] July 4–12, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.6%40%44%5%1%1%14%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [183] July 8–10, 2024433 (LV)40%46%6%1%7% [t]
Echelon Insights [131] [R] July 1–8, 2024608 (LV)± 4.9%39%45%7%2%2%5% [u]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [132] July 1–5, 2024790 (RV)± 3.0%42%44%7%1%0%6%
Emerson College [134] June 13–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%37%45%6%1%1%10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [184] June 8–11, 2024471 (LV)39%44%6%0%11% [t]
Quinnipiac University [135] May 30 – June 3, 20241,203 (RV)± 2.8%37%43%8%3%2%7% [v]
Prime Group [136] [S] May 9–16, 2024470 (RV)41%42%11%5%1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [101] May 7–13, 2024795 (RV)± 3.0%39%44%8%1%1%7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [137] May 6–13, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%38%42%10%2%1%7%
New York Times/Siena College [138] April 28 – May 9, 2024604 (RV)± 4.6%31%39%9%0%1%20% [w]
604 (LV)34%42%8%0%0%16% [x]
Emerson College [140] April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%39%45%5%2%2%8%
Fox News [142] April 11–16, 20241,128 (RV)± 3.0%39%46%7%1%2%5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [143] April 8–15, 2024802 (RV)± 3.0%40%45%7%1%1%6%
Wall Street Journal [144] March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%35%38%8%2%1%16%
Emerson College [149] March 5–7, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%37%44%5%2%1%11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [147] March 8–12, 2024788 (RV)± 3.0%38%45%7%2%0%8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [150] February 12–20, 2024800 (RV)± 3.0%38%45%6%1%1%9%
Emerson College [102] February 14–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%36%45%6%1%1%11%
Fox News [151] January 26–30, 20241,119 (RV)± 3.0%37%45%8%3%1%6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [185] January 16–21, 2024798 (RV)± 3.0%37%44%8%1%1%11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [186] November 27 – December 6, 2023801 (RV)± 3.0%37%44%6%2%1%10%
J.L. Partners [157] [W] November 27 – December 1, 2023550 (LV)± 4.2%41%45%2%1%0%10% [y]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
P2 Insights [187] [AA] June 11–20, 2024650 (LV)± 3.8%35%45%6%14%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs [188] [N] June 11–20, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.1%38%43%9%10% [u]
P2 Insights [189] [AA] May 13−21, 2024650 (LV)± 3.8%39%43%7%11%
North Star Opinion Research (R) [139] [T] May 1–5, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%33%41%13%13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [190] May 2–4, 2024610 (LV)38%43%5%14%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [191] March 14–17, 2024760 (LV)41%44%6%9%
Marist College [146] March 11–14, 20241,177 (RV)± 3.7%40%45%14%1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [192] December 28–30, 2023953 (LV)34%42%8%16%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [193] November 27–29, 2023746 (LV)35%45%7%14%
New York Times/Siena College [194] October 22 – November 3, 2023629 (RV)± 4.5%29%36%24%1%
629 (LV)31%38%23%8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [163] October 7–9, 2023761 (LV)38%41%8%13%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
CNN/SSRS [155] November 30 – December 7, 20231068 (RV)± 3.3%34%42%15%6%4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [195] October 30 – November 7, 2023803 (RV)± 3.0%34%43%10%1%12%
Zogby Analytics [161] October 9–12, 2023628 (LV)± 3.9%36%44%15%5%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [141] [U] April 13–21, 2024635 (LV)41%45%14%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [141] [U] April 13–21, 2024635 (LV)43%43%14%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Other /
Undecided
CNN/SSRS [155] November 30 – December 7, 20231,068 (RV)± 3.3%43%49%8%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs [196] [N] October 30 – November 3, 20231,002 (LV)± 3.1%41%43%16%
New York Times/Siena College [197] October 22 – November 3, 2023629 (RV)± 4.5%40%43%17%
629 (LV)40%45%15%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
OtherUndecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [193] November 27–29, 2023746 (LV)35%27%17%5%15%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
CNN/SSRS [155] November 30 – December 7, 20231,068 (RV)± 3.3%48%45%7%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs [196] [N] October 30 – November 3, 20231,002 (LV)± 3.1%43%42%15%
New York Times/Siena College [197] October 22 – November 3, 2023629 (RV)± 4.5%43%43%14%
629 (LV)44%45%11%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [167] [Y] May 15–17, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%42%45%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [168] [Y] April 25–27, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%42%47%11%
Emerson College [169] November 28–30, 2022888 (LV)± 3.2%43%47%10%
University of Massachusetts Lowell [170] November 18–28, 20221,300 (LV)± 3.2%46%47%7%
Echelon Insights [175] August 31 – September 7, 2022751 (LV)± 4.4%47%42%11%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
OtherUndecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [193] November 27–29, 2023746 (LV)36%34%14%4%12%

Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Mike
Pence
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [167] [Y] May 15–17, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%44%43%

Joe Biden vs. generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Cygnal (R) [166] [X] June 5–7, 2023600 (LV)± 4%38%48%14%

Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College [102] February 14–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%32%51%17%

Results

2024 United States presidential election in Georgia [198]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican 2,663,117 50.73% +1.49%
Democratic 2,548,01748.53%−0.94%
Libertarian 20,6840.39%−0.85%
Green 18,2290.35%+0.33%
Total votes5,250,047 100.00% N/A

Two additional candidates, Party for Socialism and Liberation nominee Claudia De la Cruz and independent Cornel West, were disqualified by the Georgia Supreme Court after ballots were printed. Their names remained on the ballot, but votes for them did not count. [199]

By county

CountyDonald Trump
Republican
Kamala Harris
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Appling 6,76181.13%1,56018.72%130.15%5,20162.41%8,334
Atkinson 2,35076.87%70022.90%70.23%1,65053.97%3,057
Bacon 4,18686.51%64513.33%80.16%3,54173.18%4,839
Baker 88359.82%59039.97%30.21%29319.85%1,476
Baldwin 9,57450.68%9,15948.48%1580.84%4152.20%18,891
Banks 9,35888.66%1,13610.76%610.58%8,22277.90%10,555
Barrow 30,73069.59%12,94929.32%4781.09%17,78140.27%44,157
Bartow 43,27175.02%13,94224.17%4670.81%29,32950.85%57,680
Ben Hill 4,28165.85%2,19933.83%210.32%2,08232.02%6,501
Berrien 6,84184.79%1,20914.99%180.22%5,63269.80%8,068
Bibb 26,65838.29%42,17260.58%7851.13%-15,514-22.29%69,615
Bleckley 4,68577.51%1,33922.15%200.34%3,34655.36%6,044
Brantley 7,74491.11%7368.66%200.23%7,00882.45%8,500
Brooks 4,56063.25%2,62936.46%210.29%1,93126.79%7,210
Bryan 16,73867.87%7,77931.54%1460.59%8,95936.33%24,663
Bulloch 20,98564.26%11,51435.26%1580.48%9,47129.00%32,657
Burke 6,02754.44%4,99445.11%490.45%1,0339.33%11,070
Butts 9,42472.39%3,54427.22%510.39%5,88045.17%13,019
Calhoun 90043.77%1,15356.08%30.15%-253-12.31%2,056
Camden 17,81967.29%8,40531.74%2580.97%9,41435.55%26,482
Candler 3,36673.69%1,19626.18%60.13%2,17047.51%4,568
Carroll 42,53670.01%17,63429.02%5860.97%24,90240.99%60,756
Catoosa 27,15077.36%7,70421.95%2430.69%19,44655.41%35,097
Charlton 3,60777.94%1,00721.76%140.30%2,60056.18%4,628
Chatham 57,33640.37%82,75858.26%1,9491.37%-25,422-17.89%142,043
Chattahoochee 98257.97%70341.50%90.53%27916.47%1,694
Chattooga 8,76981.91%1,89617.71%410.38%6,87364.20%10,706
Cherokee 112,14268.97%48,83830.04%1,6110.99%63,30438.93%162,591
Clarke 16,04930.22%36,29768.35%7611.43%-20,248-38.13%53,107
Clay 66345.98%77153.47%80.55%-108-7.49%1,442
Clayton 16,87714.98%94,20383.62%1,5711.40%-77,326-68.64%112,651
Clinch 2,20175.69%70224.14%50.17%1,49951.55%2,908
Cobb 168,67941.66%228,40456.42%7,7761.92%-59,725-14.76%404,859
Coffee 11,38872.47%4,29527.33%320.20%7,09345.14%15,715
Colquitt 12,45174.96%4,11424.77%460.27%8,33750.19%16,611
Columbia 53,65762.26%31,62436.69%9011.05%22,03325.57%86,182
Cook 5,37473.05%1,95626.59%270.36%3,41846.46%7,357
Coweta 57,20466.20%28,11132.53%1,1011.27%29,09333.67%86,416
Crawford 4,74274.79%1,58224.95%160.26%3,16049.84%6,340
Crisp 5,09962.83%2,99336.88%240.29%2,10625.95%8,116
Dade 6,80482.86%1,34316.36%640.78%5,46166.50%8,211
Dawson 16,11582.12%3,35017.07%1580.81%12,76565.05%19,623
Decatur 7,14061.82%4,37237.86%370.32%2,76823.96%11,549
DeKalb 62,62217.01%299,63081.38%5,9301.61%-237,008-64.37%368,182
Dodge 6,24974.84%2,08124.92%200.24%4,16849.92%8,350
Dooly 2,24353.70%1,92145.99%130.31%3227.71%4,177
Dougherty 9,90429.26%23,83170.40%1150.34%-13,927-41.14%33,850
Douglas 23,99633.72%46,24064.99%9171.29%-22,244-31.27%71,153
Early 2,71855.71%2,15844.23%30.06%56011.48%4,879
Echols 1,30790.89%1278.83%40.28%1,18082.06%1,438
Effingham 26,94374.23%9,14425.19%2100.58%17,79949.04%36,297
Elbert 6,86071.54%2,70028.16%290.30%4,16043.38%9,589
Emanuel 6,91971.93%2,67327.79%270.28%4,24644.14%9,619
Evans 3,01170.95%1,21428.61%190.44%1,79742.34%4,244
Fannin 13,23281.89%2,80717.37%1190.74%10,42564.52%16,158
Fayette 38,17750.93%35,82247.79%9571.28%2,3553.14%74,956
Floyd 31,63170.70%12,86228.75%2450.55%18,76941.95%44,738
Forsyth 91,28165.91%45,50932.86%1,7111.23%45,77233.05%138,501
Franklin 10,45985.79%1,64713.51%850.70%8,81272.28%12,191
Fulton 144,65526.80%384,75271.29%10,2901.91%-240,097-44.49%539,697
Gilmer 14,97680.95%3,41318.45%1110.60%11,56362.50%18,500
Glascock 1,53491.86%1337.96%30.18%1,40183.90%1,670
Glynn 27,55862.62%16,14436.69%3030.69%11,41425.93%44,005
Gordon 22,49581.34%4,98218.01%1800.65%17,51363.33%27,657
Grady 7,38568.90%3,29030.70%430.40%4,09538.20%10,718
Greene 8,21564.25%4,51435.30%570.45%3,70128.95%12,786
Gwinnett 173,04141.12%242,50757.63%5,2701.25%-69,466-16.51%420,818
Habersham 19,14281.91%4,03617.27%1920.82%15,10664.64%23,370
Hall 72,99171.20%28,34727.65%1,1721.15%44,64443.55%102,510
Hancock 1,36432.17%2,86467.55%120.28%-1,500-35.38%4,240
Haralson 14,23986.91%2,06512.60%800.49%12,17474.31%16,384
Harris 16,28372.84%5,97626.73%940.43%10,30746.11%22,353
Hart 11,06476.81%3,21022.28%1310.91%7,85454.53%14,405
Heard 5,33585.70%85913.80%310.50%4,47671.90%6,225
Henry 44,98234.66%83,25364.15%1,5391.19%-38,271-29.49%129,774
Houston 45,09055.14%35,90743.91%7840.95%9,18311.23%81,781
Irwin 3,34076.92%98622.71%160.37%2,35454.21%4,342
Jackson 36,49777.04%10,47222.10%4060.86%26,02554.94%47,375
Jasper 7,20378.89%1,88120.60%460.51%5,32258.29%9,130
Jeff Davis 4,93584.04%92415.74%130.22%4,01168.30%5,872
Jefferson 3,76550.24%3,67449.03%550.73%911.21%7,494
Jenkins 2,21764.88%1,17934.50%210.62%1,03830.38%3,417
Johnson 2,91373.12%1,06626.76%50.12%1,84746.36%3,984
Jones 11,07968.85%4,95930.82%540.33%6,12038.03%16,092
Lamar 7,57572.75%2,79526.84%420.41%4,78045.91%10,412
Lanier 2,72672.97%99526.63%150.40%1,73146.34%3,736
Laurens 15,46066.20%7,82033.49%720.31%7,64032.71%23,352
Lee 12,65571.38%4,95727.96%1180.66%7,69843.42%17,730
Liberty 9,44141.00%13,45958.45%1280.55%-4,018-17.45%23,028
Lincoln 3,55972.18%1,35127.40%210.42%2,20844.78%4,931
Long 4,55764.58%2,47635.09%230.33%2,08129.49%7,056
Lowndes 28,08158.47%19,48740.57%4620.96%8,59417.90%48,030
Lumpkin 14,33980.22%3,35618.78%1791.00%10,98361.44%17,874
Macon 1,91640.89%2,75558.79%150.32%-839-17.90%4,686
Madison 12,95176.86%3,75322.27%1470.87%9,19854.59%16,851
Marion 2,34864.84%1,25334.60%200.56%1,09530.24%3,621
McDuffie 6,56262.01%3,93737.20%830.79%2,62524.81%10,582
McIntosh 4,74764.08%2,62835.48%330.44%2,11928.60%7,408
Meriwether 7,37562.26%4,37336.92%980.82%3,00225.34%11,846
Miller 2,04575.07%67024.60%90.33%1,37550.47%2,724
Mitchell 5,15058.02%3,70141.69%260.29%1,44916.33%8,877
Monroe 12,95473.17%4,68926.49%610.34%8,26546.68%17,704
Montgomery 3,03376.34%92723.33%130.33%2,10653.01%3,973
Morgan 9,58972.75%3,53326.80%590.45%6,05645.95%13,181
Murray 14,96585.67%2,45914.08%440.25%12,50671.59%17,468
Muscogee 30,61638.04%49,41361.39%4620.57%-18,797-23.35%80,491
Newton 24,89341.85%33,83956.89%7451.26%-8,946-15.04%59,477
Oconee 18,42467.31%8,62031.49%3261.20%9,80435.82%27,370
Oglethorpe 6,25570.90%2,51528.51%520.59%3,74042.39%8,822
Paulding 58,76961.52%35,80237.48%9531.00%22,96724.04%95,524
Peach 7,10452.80%6,29346.77%570.43%8116.03%13,454
Pickens 17,28182.62%3,52216.84%1120.54%13,75965.78%20,915
Pierce 8,65588.41%1,08911.12%460.47%7,56677.29%9,790
Pike 10,86486.57%1,64813.13%370.30%9,21673.44%12,549
Polk 15,35279.96%3,74919.53%980.51%11,60360.43%19,199
Pulaski 3,03669.94%1,28129.51%240.55%1,75540.43%4,341
Putnam 9,13670.95%3,69628.70%450.35%5,44042.25%12,877
Quitman 65657.54%48042.11%40.35%17615.43%1,140
Rabun 8,15177.69%2,22221.18%1191.13%5,92956.51%10,492
Randolph 1,37345.74%1,60153.33%280.93%-228-7.59%3,002
Richmond 26,47231.67%56,65767.79%4490.54%-30,185-36.12%83,578
Rockdale 11,71125.75%33,16572.94%5951.31%-21,454-47.19%45,471
Schley 1,97081.14%45318.66%50.20%1,51762.48%2,428
Screven 4,32562.50%2,58137.30%140.20%1,74425.20%6,920
Seminole 2,81170.15%1,19129.72%50.13%1,62040.43%4,007
Spalding 19,18457.77%13,67941.19%3451.04%5,50516.58%33,208
Stephens 10,63280.77%2,40418.26%1270.97%8,22862.51%13,163
Stewart 84741.77%1,17758.04%40.19%-330-16.27%2,028
Sumter 5,86948.44%6,13650.64%1120.92%-267-2.20%12,117
Talbot 1,48343.89%1,88855.87%80.24%-405-11.98%3,379
Taliaferro 37542.42%50757.35%20.23%-132-14.93%884
Tattnall 6,51576.54%1,96723.11%300.35%4,54853.43%8,512
Taylor 2,60065.29%1,36634.30%160.41%1,23430.99%3,982
Telfair 2,93069.53%1,27430.23%100.24%1,65639.30%4,214
Terrell 2,07547.80%2,25351.90%130.30%-178-4.10%4,341
Thomas 13,67061.91%8,34737.80%630.29%5,32324.11%22,080
Tift 11,49667.51%5,43831.94%940.55%6,05835.57%17,028
Toombs 8,20875.22%2,67424.51%300.27%5,53450.71%10,912
Towns 7,15580.96%1,64918.66%340.38%5,50662.30%8,838
Treutlen 2,25072.09%86427.68%70.23%1,38644.41%3,121
Troup 19,39261.95%11,75737.56%1550.49%7,63524.39%31,304
Turner 2,45764.10%1,36535.61%110.29%1,09228.49%3,833
Twiggs 2,54957.20%1,89542.53%120.27%65414.67%4,456
Union 14,47780.62%3,30918.43%1710.95%11,16862.19%17,957
Upson 9,52869.74%4,09830.00%360.26%5,43039.74%13,662
Walker 25,46279.17%6,43620.01%2620.82%19,02659.16%32,160
Walton 42,40772.50%15,60526.68%4820.82%26,80245.82%58,494
Ware 10,27971.03%4,06828.11%1250.86%6,21142.92%14,472
Warren 1,23247.53%1,35452.24%60.23%-122-4.71%2,592
Washington 4,82450.82%4,64348.91%260.27%1811.91%9,493
Wayne 10,81179.72%2,70819.97%420.31%8,10359.75%13,561
Webster 79059.13%54440.72%20.15%24618.41%1,336
Wheeler 1,64872.41%62227.33%60.26%1,02645.08%2,276
White 14,13683.73%2,60915.45%1380.82%11,52768.28%16,883
Whitfield 28,65571.75%10,95327.43%3300.82%17,70244.32%39,938
Wilcox 2,49374.48%84725.31%70.21%1,64649.17%3,347
Wilkes 2,97158.28%2,11241.43%150.29%85916.85%5,098
Wilkinson 2,88858.84%2,01240.99%80.17%87617.85%4,908
Worth 6,99174.98%2,30024.67%330.35%4,69150.31%9,324
Totals2,663,11750.53%2,548,01748.34%59,6491.13%115,1002.19%5,270,783

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Georgia County Swings 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.svg
Georgia County Flips 2024.svg

Source: Savannah Morning News [200]

By congressional district

Trump won 9 of 14 congressional districts. [201] [ user-generated source ]

DistrictHarrisTrumpRepresentative
1st 41.96%57.62% Buddy Carter
2nd 53.64%46.15% Sanford Bishop
3rd 34.27%65.23% Drew Ferguson (118th Congress)
Brian Jack (119th Congress)
4th 75.57%23.37% Hank Johnson
5th 85.56%13.47% Nikema Williams
6th 74.62%24.63% Lucy McBath
7th 38.86%59.96% Rich McCormick
8th 34.23%65.54% Austin Scott
9th 32.22%67.14% Andrew Clyde
10th 38.81%60.66% Mike Collins
11th 37.68%61.40% Barry Loudermilk
12th 42.80%56.86% Rick Allen
13th 70.72%28.34% David Scott
14th 31.05%68.41% Marjorie Taylor Greene

Analysis

Despite being located in the conservative Bible Belt and Deep South regions, Georgia has become competitive since the start of the 2020s. It is considered a purple to slightly red state in elections after having been a moderately red state in the late 2000s through the 2010s. The last Republican presidential candidate to win Georgia by a double-digit margin, and the only one to carry the state in consecutive elections, was George W. Bush. This leftward shift is mainly attributed to the rapid population growth that the progressive and diverse Atlanta metro, which holds the majority of the state's population, has experienced in the 21st century, including an influx of African Americans, Asian Americans, Latinos, and progressive Whites. In 2020, Joe Biden very narrowly carried the state by 0.23%, making Georgia the closest state in that election and making Biden the first Democrat since Southerner Bill Clinton in 1992 to win the state's electoral votes.

Trump narrowly flipped three Georgia counties in the Black Belt: the swing counties of Baldwin and Washington (the latter of which is majority-Black), becoming the first presidential Republican to do so since George W. Bush in 2004, as well as Jefferson County (also majority-Black), which he became the first to win since the elder Bush in 1988. Trump is now the second Republican presidential candidate to prevail in Georgia more than once, following George W. Bush. However, despite Democrat Kamala Harris losing Georgia and the election, she managed to improve on Biden's margins in a few Atlanta suburban counties, including but not limited to Fayette, where her 3.1% defeat was the closest a presidential Democrat has come to winning the county since favorite son Jimmy Carter comfortably did so in 1976; Henry, where her 29.7% victory was the best performance for a Democrat at said electoral level since the same election; and Cherokee, where she became the first presidential Democrat to break more than 30% of the county vote since Carter in 1980. Of the seven swing states, she made her greatest raw vote gain compared to Biden in Georgia, winning 75,000 more votes.

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Other" with 1%
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 "Someone else" with 1%
  6. 1 2 "Other" with 2%
  7. 1 2 3 4 "Another party's candidates" with 1%
  8. "Some other candidate" with 2%
  9. "Other" with 4%
  10. 1 2 "Someone else" with 2%
  11. "Another candidate" with 4%
  12. 1 2 "Another candidate" with 2%
  13. "I am eligible to vote but would not" with 6%; "I am not eligible to vote" with 5%; "Other" with 4%
  14. "Other candidate" with 1%
  15. 1 2 Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 1%
  16. Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0%
  17. "Another candidate" with 10%
  18. "Another candidate" with 8%
  19. No Labels candidate
  20. 1 2 3 Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
  21. 1 2 Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  22. Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
  23. Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
  24. Lars Mapstead (L) with 2%
  25. "Someone else" with 10%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 4 Poll conducted for The Times , Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
  2. 1 2 Poll sponsored by American Thinker
  3. Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
  4. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by American Greatness
  5. Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
  6. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
  7. Poll conducted for the Article III Project
  8. 1 2 Poll sponsored by the Peter G. Peterson Foundation
  9. Poll conducted for The Independent Center
  10. 1 2 Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project
  11. 1 2 Poll commissioned by AARP
  12. Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
  13. Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
  14. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Poll sponsored by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
  15. 1 2 Poll conducted for WAGA-TV
  16. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
  17. 1 2 Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
  18. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by NetChoice
  19. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates
  20. 1 2 Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
  21. 1 2 3 Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  22. Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
  23. 1 2 Poll conducted for The Daily Mail
  24. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Hardworking Americans PAC
  25. 1 2 3 4 5 Poll conducted for the Citizen Awareness Project
  26. Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
  27. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, which supports Republican candidates

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