2024 United States presidential straw poll in Guam

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election

2024 United States presidential straw poll in Guam

←  2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
Non-binding preference poll
Nominee Kamala Harris Donald J. Trump Party Democratic Republican Home state California Florida Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance Popular vote 13,510 12,624 Percentage 49.46% 46.22%
Results by village Harris   40–50%   50–60% Trump   40–50%   50–60%

The 2024 United States presidential straw poll in Guam took place on November 5, 2024. Guam is a territory and not a state, making it ineligible to elect members of the Electoral College. However, Guam does conduct a non-binding presidential straw poll during the general election. ^[1]

In the 2024 presidential election, incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden initially ran for re-election and became the party's presumptive nominee. ^[2] However, he withdrew from the race on July 21 and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day. ^[3] The Republican nominee is former president Donald J. Trump. ^[4]

This is the first time since 2000 that the straw poll voted for the candidate which lost the national popular vote, and the first time ever that the winner of the straw poll won by a plurality instead of a majority. Although Harris won the straw poll, she only won by a plurality, due to Trump's gains with Asian and Pacific Islander voters. Guam is 33% Chamorro and 36% Asian, and just 7% White.

Background

See also: 2024 Guam presidential caucuses

Guam has held a straw poll coinciding with every presidential election since 1980 to gauge residents' preferences and raise awareness regarding the territory's lack of federal representation. ^[5]

In the 2020 presidential straw poll, Biden defeated then-incumbent President Donald Trump with 55.38% of the popular vote. ^[6]

Results

2024 United States presidential straw poll in Guam ^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Kamala Harris Tim Walz	13,510	49.46	5.92
	Republican	Donald J. Trump JD Vance	12,624	46.22	4.31
	Independent	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (withdrawn) Nicole Shanahan (withdrawn)	938	3.43	n/a
	Green	Jill Stein Butch Ware	119	0.44	0.26
	American Solidarity	Peter Sonski Lauren Onak	45	0.16	0.36
	Socialist	Bill Stodden Stephanie Cholensky	44	0.16	n/a
	Prohibition	Michael Wood John Pietrowski	34	0.12	0.19
Total votes			27,314	100.00%

See also

• United States presidential straw polls in Guam

References

1. Maxedon, Tom (November 6, 2016). "Guam's straw poll: Where America's accuracy begins". The Guam Daily Post . Retrieved May 5, 2024.
2. Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC. Archived from the original on April 25, 2023. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
3. "Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
4. Gold, Michael; Nehamas, Nicholas (March 13, 2024). "Donald J. Trump and Joe Biden Clinch Their Party Nominations". The New York Times. ISSN   0362-4331. Archived from the original on March 13, 2024. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
5. Cagurangan, Mar-Vic (October 30, 2020). "The US election that doesn't count: Guam goes to the polls but votes won't matter". The Guardian . ISSN   0261-3077 . Retrieved May 5, 2024.
6. "20GE OFFICIAL RESULTS SUMMARY.pdf". Guam Election Commission. Retrieved May 5, 2024.
7. "2024 GENERAL ELECTION UNOFFICIAL RESULTS SUMMARY 1.pdf". Google Drive. Guam Election Commission. p. 10. Retrieved November 5, 2024.