2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia

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2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia
Flag of West Virginia.svg
←  2020 November 5, 20242028 →
Turnout55.5%
  TrumpPortrait (3x4a).jpg Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida California
Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz
Electoral vote40
Popular vote533,556214,309
Percentage69.97%28.10%
West Virginia Presidential Election Results 2024.svg
2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia results by congressional district.svg
2024 United States Presidential Election in West Virginia by Precinct.svg
President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. West Virginia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of West Virginia has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost one congressional seat. [1]

Contents

Republican Donald Trump easily won West Virginia a third time in 2024, with a 41.9% margin of victory and just under 70% of the vote. Having been Trump's strongest state in 2016 and his second-strongest state in 2020, another strong Republican win was near-guaranteed in West Virginia. [2]

This marks the fourth presidential election, both consecutively and ever, in which the Republican won every county in West Virginia. Trump's 69.97% of the vote is the highest percentage any party has won in the state's history.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The West Virginia Democratic presidential primary was held on May 14, 2024, alongside the Maryland and Nebraska primaries. 25 delegates (20 pledged and 5 unpledged) to the Democratic National Convention were allocated to presidential candidates. [3]

Four candidates have been certified to appear on the primary ballot: [4]

Results

West Virginia Democratic primary, May 14, 2024 [5]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
PledgedUnpledgedTotal
Joe Biden (incumbent)68,16470.5%2020
Jason Palmer 11,07911.5%
Stephen Lyons (withdrawn)7,3717.6%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)7,2227.5%
Armando Perez-Serrato2,7862.9%
Total:96,622100.0%20525

Republican primary

The West Virginia Republican presidential primary was held on May 14, 2024, alongside the Maryland and Nebraska primaries. 31 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis. [6]

Five candidates have been certified to appear on the primary ballot: [4]

Results

West Virginia Republican primary, May 14, 2024 [7]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 199,49788.4%3232
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)21,2319.4%
Rachel Swift2,3261.0%
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)1,4810.7%
David Stuckenberg1,1680.5%
Total:225,703100.0%3232

Mountain primary

The Mountain primary (the state's Green Party affiliate) was held on May 14, 2024.

Only one candidate was certified to appear on the primary ballot, [4] who will receive all 4 of the state's pledged delegates: [8]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [9] Solid RDecember 19, 2023
Inside Elections [10] Solid RApril 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] Safe RJune 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [12] Safe RDecember 14, 2023
CNalysis [13] Solid RDecember 30, 2023
CNN [14] Solid RJanuary 14, 2024
The Economist [15] Safe RJune 12, 2024
538 [16] Solid RJune 11, 2024
RCP [17] Solid RJune 26, 2024
NBC News [18] Safe ROctober 6, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Research America [19] [A] August 21–27, 2024400 (RV)± 4.9%61%34%5%
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [20] [B] April 13–21, 2024383 (LV)–63%31%6%
Emerson College [21] October 1–4, 2023539 (RV)± 4.2%59%23%18%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Jill
Stein
Mountain		Other /
Undecided
Kaplan Strategies [22] June 4, 2024464 (LV)± 4.6%55%28%2%15%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [20] [B] April 13–21, 2024383 (LV)–58%30%12%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [20] [B] April 13–21, 2024383 (LV)–54%29%17%

Results

2024 Presidential West Virginia County Swings.svg
2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia [23]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican
533,556 69.97 +1.35%
Democratic
214,30928.10−1.59%
Independent
8,9471.17N/A
Libertarian
3,0470.40−0.94%
Mountain
2,5310.33No ∆
Socialism and Liberation
730.01+0.01%
American Solidarity
630.01N/A
Independent
390.01N/A
Independent
100.00N/A
Write-in 70.00-0.01%
Total votes762,582 100.00 N/A

By county

CountyDonald Trump
Republican		Kamala Harris
Democratic		Various candidates
Other parties		MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Barbour 5,07179.30%1,19918.75%1251.95%3,87260.55%6,395
Berkeley 37,58066.99%17,50031.19%1,0221.82%20,08035.80%56,102
Boone 6,31477.55%1,64120.15%1872.30%4,67357.40%8,142
Braxton 3,99175.12%1,23323.21%891.67%2,75851.91%5,313
Brooke 6,98671.42%2,62126.79%1751.79%4,36544.63%9,782
Cabell 21,22959.61%13,47437.84%9092.55%7,75521.77%35,612
Calhoun 2,39181.44%48816.62%571.94%1,90364.82%2,936
Clay 2,59780.15%58017.90%631.95%2,01762.25%3,240
Doddridge 2,54185.96%37412.65%411.39%2,16773.31%2,956
Fayette 10,91069.85%4,38728.09%3232.06%6,52341.76%15,620
Gilmer 1,82277.73%48620.73%361.54%1,33657.00%2,344
Grant 4,94988.88%5529.91%671.21%4,39778.97%5,568
Greenbrier 10,51770.13%4,19627.98%2831.89%6,32142.15%14,996
Hampshire 8,46480.46%1,89017.97%1661.57%6,57462.49%10,520
Hancock 9,46272.62%3,36025.79%2081.59%6,10246.83%13,030
Hardy 4,99777.94%1,29720.23%1171.83%3,70057.71%6,411
Harrison 20,48069.44%8,40228.49%6132.07%12,07840.95%29,495
Jackson 9,90777.27%2,69921.05%2161.68%7,20856.22%12,822
Jefferson 16,57356.53%11,96740.82%7772.65%4,60615.71%29,317
Kanawha 43,35257.39%30,23140.02%1,9552.59%13,12117.37%75,538
Lewis 5,55078.75%1,37219.47%1261.78%4,17859.28%7,048
Lincoln 5,77080.28%1,27917.80%1381.92%4,49162.48%7,187
Logan 9,50082.83%1,84816.11%1211.06%7,65266.72%11,469
Marion 15,88164.47%8,18533.23%5682.30%7,69631.24%24,634
Marshall 9,80874.12%3,18624.08%2391.80%6,62250.04%13,233
Mason 8,23278.05%2,11120.02%2041.93%6,12158.03%10,547
McDowell 4,31079.45%1,03619.10%791.45%3,27460.35%5,425
Mercer 18,37277.70%4,85120.52%4221.78%13,52157.18%23,645
Mineral 10,24779.41%2,48319.24%1741.35%7,76460.17%12,904
Mingo 7,32586.28%1,06112.50%1041.22%6,26473.78%8,490
Monongalia 21,08450.56%19,26546.20%1,3493.24%1,8194.36%41,698
Monroe 5,08979.81%1,15518.11%1322.08%3,93461.70%6,376
Morgan 7,00976.74%1,94721.32%1781.94%5,06255.42%9,134
Nicholas 7,96079.31%1,91919.12%1581.57%6,04160.19%10,037
Ohio 11,59361.77%6,72735.84%4482.39%4,86625.93%18,768
Pendleton 2,68778.45%68019.85%581.70%2,00758.60%3,425
Pleasants 2,63278.61%65619.59%601.80%1,97659.02%3,348
Pocahontas 2,88974.06%92723.76%852.18%1,96250.30%3,901
Preston 11,17677.24%2,95320.41%3402.35%8,22356.83%14,469
Putnam 19,86872.23%7,12425.90%5151.87%12,74446.33%27,507
Raleigh 23,64476.35%6,81622.01%5061.64%16,82854.34%30,966
Randolph 8,35672.07%3,00825.94%2301.99%5,34846.13%11,594
Ritchie 3,47385.75%51712.77%601.48%2,95672.98%4,050
Roane 4,18975.87%1,21822.06%1142.07%2,97153.81%5,521
Summers 3,93174.68%1,22623.29%1072.03%2,70551.39%5,264
Taylor 5,42274.39%1,69423.24%1732.37%3,72851.15%7,289
Tucker 2,66973.40%89024.48%772.12%1,77948.92%3,636
Tyler 2,99182.69%55415.32%721.99%2,43767.37%3,617
Upshur 7,63377.42%2,03320.62%1931.96%5,60056.80%9,859
Wayne 11,93475.79%3,53222.43%2811.78%8,40253.36%15,747
Webster 2,47882.66%47915.98%411.36%1,99966.68%2,998
Wetzel 4,71876.49%1,29420.98%1562.53%3,42455.51%6,168
Wirt 2,12082.14%40915.85%522.01%1,71166.29%2,581
Wood 26,38070.46%10,31727.56%7431.98%16,06342.90%37,440
Wyoming 6,50385.96%98012.95%821.09%5,52373.01%7,565
Totals533,55669.87%214,30928.06%15,8142.07%319,24741.81%763,679

By congressional district

Trump won both congressional districts. [24]

DistrictTrumpHarrisRepresentative
1st 71.25%26.89% Carol Miller
2nd 68.82%29.23% Alex Mooney (118th Congress)
Riley Moore (119th Congress)

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by West Virginia MetroNews
  2. 1 2 3 Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign

References

  1. ↑ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
  2. ↑ "2024 Senate Election Interactive Map - 270toWin". 270toWin.com. Retrieved July 15, 2024.
  3. ↑ "West Virginia Democratic Delegation 2024". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved February 4, 2024.
  4. 1 2 3 "Who is running for election in West Virginia?". ballotpedia.org. February 4, 2024. Retrieved February 4, 2024.
  5. ↑ "West Virginia Presidential Primary". AP News. June 24, 2024. Retrieved July 30, 2024.
  6. ↑ "West Virginia Republican Presidential Nominating Process". thegreenpapers.com. October 13, 2023. Retrieved November 18, 2023.
  7. ↑ "West Virginia Presidential Primary". AP News. June 24, 2024. Retrieved July 30, 2024.
  8. ↑ "Apportionment of GPUS National Committee 2023 and GPUS Presidential Nominating Convention 2024". GPUS National Committee. Retrieved February 3, 2024.
  9. ↑ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  10. ↑ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  11. ↑ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  12. ↑ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  13. ↑ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  14. ↑ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.
  15. ↑ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist . Retrieved June 12, 2024.
  16. ↑ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved June 11, 2024.
  17. ↑ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
  18. ↑ "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News. December 17, 2024.
  19. ↑ McElhinny, Brad (August 30, 2024). "West Virginia Poll: solid leads for Morrisey and Justice in upcoming election". West Virginia MetroNews .
  20. 1 2 3 "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
  21. ↑ Mumford, Camille (October 13, 2023). "West Virginia 2024 Poll: Sen. Manchin Faces Uphill Battle Against Gov. Justice, but Leads Rep. Mooney". Emerson Polling.
  22. ↑ "WEST VIRGINIA Poll - Kaplan Strategies" (PDF). Kaplan Strategies. June 6, 2024.
  23. ↑ "Official 2024 Presidential General Election Results" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. January 16, 2025. Retrieved January 18, 2025.
  24. ↑ https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::aaaa571f-f204-4cbe-bcf1-404db0519d36
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