2008 United States Senate election in West Virginia

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2008 United States Senate election in West Virginia
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←  2002 November 4, 2008 2014  →
  Jay Rockefeller official photo (cropped).jpg Jay Wolfe cropped.jpg
Nominee Jay Rockefeller Jay Wolfe
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote447,560254,629
Percentage63.74%36.26%
2008 United States Senate election in West Virginia results map by county.svg
County results
Rockefeller:      50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Wolfe:      50–60%     60–70%
U.S. senator before election

Jay Rockefeller
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Jay Rockefeller
Democratic

The 2008 United States Senate election in West Virginia was held on November 4. Incumbent Senator Jay Rockefeller won re-election to a fifth term in a landslide, defeating Republican Jay Wolfe by a 27-point margin. Despite this overwhelming win, this remains the last time that a Democrat has won West Virginia's Class 2 U.S. Senate seat. In both of the two subsequent elections for the seat, Republicans have swept every single county.

Contents

Background

Before the 2000 presidential election, West Virginia had been won by the Democratic nominee every time since 1932 except for the Republican landslides of 1956, 1972, and 1984. In 2000, then Republican Governor George W. Bush of Texas won West Virginia’s five electoral college votes over then Vice President Al Gore of Tennessee by a margin of 52-46. Also in the 2000 election, Republican Shelley Moore Capito, the daughter of former West Virginia Governor Arch A. Moore, Jr., won a surprise victory over Democrat Jim Humphreys for West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District seat to the United States House of Representatives. She is the first Republican in West Virginia to hold a Congressional office for more than one term since her father (1957–1969). Before these two major victories for national and West Virginia Republicans, it was difficult to find a Republican who could mount a formidable campaign against Democrats running for public office in West Virginia.

President Bush won West Virginia again in the 2004 presidential election over John F. Kerry, the Democratic junior Senator from Massachusetts by a margin of 56-43. Both Representative Alan Mollohan (D-1st District) and Representative Nick Rahall (D-3rd District) had more formidable challenges from Republicans when compared to 2000 and 2002.

The Republicans had gained seven net seats in both the West Virginia Senate and the West Virginia House of Delegates from 2000 to 2008. However, the Democrats still held 60% of the seats in the Senate and 68% of the seats in the House.

Along with continued majorities in the legislature, Democrats had also had other recent victories. Even though both Bush and Capito won their respective offices in 2000, Senator Byrd sailed to an eighth term with 78% of the vote over Republican David Gallaher. Senator John D. Rockefeller IV easily won a fourth term to the Senate in 2002 by a margin of 63-37 over Republican former state senator Jay Wolfe. In 2000, 2002, and 2004, both Representative Mollohan and Representative Rahall were re-elected by much stronger margins than Capito. In 2004, Republican Monty Warner failed to defeat Democratic West Virginia Secretary of State Joe Manchin for governor.

After the Republicans failed to win the governor’s race, West Virginia Republican Committee Chairman Kris Warner, the brother of Monty, was put under pressure to resign his post; he did so in May 2005 . Wheeling attorney Rob Capehart took his place. (Dr. Doug McKinney of Bridgeport now holds the post.) Another brother of Monty, Kasey, who was appointed by President Bush in 2001, was removed as the United States Attorney for the Southern District of West Virginia on August 1, 2005. No explanation has been given for his departure and U.S. Attorney Lisa G. Johnston currently represents the district.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jay Rockefeller (incumbent) 271,370 77.1%
Democratic Sheirl Fletcher51,07314.5%
Democratic Billy Hendricks29,7078.4%
Total votes352,150 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

Wolfe was unopposed for the Republican nomination.

General election

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [1] Safe DOctober 23, 2008
CQ Politics [2] Safe DOctober 31, 2008
Rothenberg Political Report [3] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Real Clear Politics [4] Safe DNovember 4, 2008

Polling

Poll SourceDates administeredJay
Rockefeller (D)		Jay
Wolfe (R)
Rasmussen Reports September 24, 200861%33%

Results

General election results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Jay Rockefeller (incumbent) 447,560 63.74% +0.63%
Republican Jay Wolfe 254,62936.26%-0.63%
Total votes702,189 100.0% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

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References

  1. ↑ "2008 Senate Race ratings for October 23, 2008". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 1, 2021.
  2. ↑ Race Ratings Chart: Senate Archived October 28, 2010, at the Wayback Machine CQ Politics
  3. ↑ "2008 Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved April 1, 2021.
  4. ↑ "2008 RCP Averages & Senate Results". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved August 31, 2021.
  5. ↑ "U.S. Senate: West Virginia". CNN. November 4, 2008. Retrieved November 4, 2008.
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