2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia

Last updated

2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia
Flag of Virginia.svg
  2006
November 4, 2008 (2008-11-04)
2010  

All 11 Virginia seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election3 seats, 41.23%8 seats, 53.23%%
Seats before38
Seats won65
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 3Decrease2.svg 3
Popular vote1,852,7881,590,687
Percentage53.01%45.51%
SwingIncrease2.svg 11.78%Decrease2.svg 7.72%

2008 U.S. House elections in Virginia.svg
2008 United States House of Representatives Elections in Virginia by county.svg

The 2008 congressional elections in Virginia were held on November 4, 2008, to determine who would represent the Commonwealth of Virginia in the United States House of Representatives, coinciding with the presidential and senatorial elections. Representatives were elected for two-year terms in the 111th Congress from January 3, 2009, until January 3, 2011. Primary elections were held on June 10, 2008.

Contents

Virginia had eleven seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. Democrats flipped the 2nd, 5th, and 11th districts, flipping their 3–8 deficit into a 6–5 majority, their first since 1998. As of 2024, this is the last time that Democrats were elected to the 5th or 9th congressional districts. This was also the last time until 2018 that Democrats won the majority of House seats in Virginia.

Overview

Statewide

PartyCandidatesVotes [1] Seats
No.%No.+/–%
Democratic 111,852,78853.015Increase2.svg 354.55
Republican 91,590,68745.514Decrease2.svg 345.45
Independent Greens 214,1000.400Steady2.svg0.0
Independents 213,8700.400Steady2.svg0.0
Libertarian 15,2650.150Steady2.svg0.0
Write-in 1118,6450.530Steady2.svg0.0
Total3,495,355100.011Steady2.svg100.0
Popular vote
Democratic
53.01%
Republican
45.51%
Independent Greens
0.40%
Other
1.08%
House seats
Democratic
54.55%
Republican
45.45%

By district

Results of the 2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia by district:

District Democratic Republican OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 150,43241.75%203,83956.58%6,0211.67%360,292100.0%Republican hold
District 2 141,85752.40%128,48647.46%3680.14%270,711100.0%Democratic gain
District 3 239,91197.02%00.00%7,3772.98%247,288100.0%Democratic hold
District 4 135,04140.37%199,07559.51%4050.12%334,521100.0%Republican hold
District 5 158,81050.09%158,08349.86%1830.06%317,076100.0%Democratic gain
District 6 114,36736.61%192,35061.57%5,6751.82%312,392100.0%Republican hold
District 7 138,12337.10%233,53162.72%6830.18%372,337100.0%Republican hold
District 8 222,98667.94%97,42529.68%7,7862.37%328,197100.0%Democratic hold
District 9 207,30697.07%00.00%6,2642.93%213,570100.0%Democratic hold
District 10 147,35738.83%223,14058.80%8,9832.37%379,480100.0%Republican hold
District 11 196,59854.69%154,75843.05%8,1352.26%359,491100.0%Democratic gain
Total1,852,78853.01%1,590,68745.51%51,8801.48%3,495,355100.0%

District 1

2008 Virginia's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Virginia.svg
2010  
  Rob Wittman (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Rob Wittman Bill Day
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote203,839150,452
Percentage56.6%41.8%

2008 general election in Virginia's 1st congressional district by county and independent city.svg
County and independent city results
Wittman:     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%
Day:     50-60%     60-70%

U.S. Representative before election

Rob Wittman
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Rob Wittman
Republican

Incumbent Republican Rob Wittman, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was elected with 60.8% of the vote in 2007 and the district had a PVI of R+9. [2]

Republican primary

A Westmoreland County resident, former State Board of Health field director for the Division of Shellfish Sanitation and past member of the Virginia House of Delegates, [3] Wittman had only held the seat since January 2008, having won the special election to succeed deceased Congresswoman Jo Ann Davis. He had taken up many of her causes, including the FairTax, veterans' interests and getting rid of the remainder of the ghost fleet stationed at the James River. [4] [5] [6] Like Davis, he is also introducing legislation to allow Virginia to regulate the importation of trash from other states. [7]

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

The Democratic Party of Virginia held its convention on May 17 in Williamsburg, Virginia and selected Keith Hummel, the only person running for the Democratic nomination at the time. Only four votes were cast to not nominate anyone. [9] A Westmoreland County physician and self-described "populist Democrat", Hummel also operates a farm and winery. The issues he was running on included enacting trade and tax policies to protect American jobs and American interests (rather than those of a few multinational corporations); using the military for defense rather than offensively; providing better health care and other benefits to veterans; and universal health care. [10]

Candidates

Nominee

Libertarian primary

Anarcho-capitalist Catlett resident Nathan Larson, filed a declaration of candidacy on May 7, and was certified for the ballot on June 6. He was nominated by the Libertarian Party 1st Congressional District Convention on June 3 [12] [13] and endorsed by the Independent Greens of Virginia on June 12. [14]

The main issues he was running on are free market roads and transit privatization, [15] which he proposed as the solution to DC Metropolitan area traffic congestion, recently ranked the second-worst in the country. [16] He supported auctioning off the Interstate Highway System and rail systems such as Amtrak to private investors. [17] Larson also sought to dissolve the U.S. military and establish a competitive market for defense services. [18]

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Campaign

The candidates appeared on Cathy Lewis's TV program, What Matters, on October 15. [21] The candidates held a spirited and well-attended [22] debate on October 22 in which differing opinions on health care and the economy played a central role. Wittman defended his vote against the bailout package, while Day said he would have voted for it, and Larson said that it would have been better for the economy if the banks had been allowed to fail. On Medicare, Wittman advocated restructuring the system, while Day argued for expanding it and Larson shocked the audience by calling for its abolition. [23] [24]

Endorsements

Bill Day (D)

Labor unions

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [26] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [27] Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [29] Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [30] Safe RNovember 6, 2008

Results

Wittman won the election, 56.6 to 41.8. [31]

Virginia's 1st congressional district election, 2008 [32]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Rob Wittman 203,839 56.6
Democratic Bill Day 150,43241.8
Libertarian Nathan Larson 5,2651.5
Write-in 7560.2
Majority53,40714.8
Total votes360,292 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

2008 Virginia's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Virginia.svg
  2006
2010  
  Glenn Nye, official portrait, 111th Congress (cropped).jpg Thelma Drake, official portrait, 109th Congress (cropped).jpg
Candidate Glenn Nye Thelma Drake
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote141,857128,486
Percentage52.4%47.5%

2008 general election in Virginia's 2nd congressional district by county.svg
County and independent city results
Nye:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Thelma Drake
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Glenn Nye
Democratic

VA02 109.gif

The District includes Virginia's two largest cities--Norfolk and Virginia Beach, and the Virginia portion of the Eastern Shore. Incumbent Republican Thelma Drake, who had represented the district since 2005, ran for re-election. [33] She was elected with 51.3% of the vote in 2006 and the district had a PVI of R+6. [2]

In 2006, Drake survived a bid from Democrat Phil Kellam by only 51.27% to 48.45%. In 2004, Drake received 55% of the vote in this Virginia Beach-based district, which was won by George W. Bush with 57% to 42% for John Kerry in 2004. But in 2005 Democratic Governor Tim Kaine won the district by 50% to 47%. [34] In 2006, Drake may have been hurt by the downfall of Republican U.S. Senator George Allen, who narrowly lost to Democrat Jim Webb, an ex-Republican and former Navy Secretary under Ronald Reagan. (Allen carried the district 51%–48%. [35] )

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Glenn Nye, businessman and former foreign service officer

General election

Endorsements

Glenn Nye (D)
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers and publications

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin of
error
Thelma
Drake (R)
Glenn
Nye (D)
Undecided
Bennett, Petts & Normington (D–Nye) [40] October 14–15, 2008400 (LV)±4.9%47%42%11%
Research 2000 (Daily Kos) [41] October 6–8, 2008400 (LV)±5.0%51%37%12%
Bennett, Petts & Normington (D–Nye) [42] September 21–22, 2008400 (LV)±4.9%45%40%15%
Bennett, Petts & Normington (D–Nye) [43] May 5–6, 2008400 (LV)±5.0%48%32%20%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [26] TossupNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [27] TossupNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] Lean RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [29] Lean RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [30] Lean RNovember 6, 2008

Results

Virginia's 2nd congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Glenn Nye 141,857 52.4
Republican Thelma Drake (incumbent)128,48647.5
Write-in 3680.1
Majority13,3714.9
Total votes270,711 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 3

VA 3rd Congressional District.png

The District runs from Hampton Roads to Richmond. Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott, who had represented the district since 1993, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 96.1% of the vote in 2006 and the district had a PVI of D+18. [2] That year Democrat Webb carried 68% of the district in his Senate race. [35] In 2005 Democrat Tim Kaine won the district by 71% to 27% in his gubernatorial race. [34]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

No Republicans filed to run. [44]

General election

Endorsements

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [26] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [27] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [29] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [30] Safe DNovember 6, 2008

Results

Virginia's 3rd congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bobby Scott (incumbent) 239,911 97.0
Write-in 7,3773.0
Majority232,53494.0
Total votes247,288 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

VA-4th.gif

The District lies in southeastern Virginia. Incumbent Republican Randy Forbes, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 76.1% of the vote in 2006 and the district had a PVI of R+5. [2] In 2006 Democrat Webb lost the district 45%–54% in his Senate race. [35] In 2005 Democrat Tim Kaine lost the district by 48.3% to 49.6% in his gubernatorial race. [34]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Endorsements

Andrea Miller (D)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [26] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [27] Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [29] Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [30] Safe RNovember 6, 2008

Results

Virginia's 4th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Randy Forbes (incumbent) 199,075 59.5
Democratic Andrea Miller135,04140.4
Write-in 4050.1
Majority64,03419.1
Total votes334,521 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

2008 Virginia's 5th congressional district election
Flag of Virginia.svg
  2006
2010  
  Tom Perriello, official portrait, 111th Congress (cropped).jpg Rep Virgil Goode (cropped).jpg
Candidate Tom Perriello Virgil Goode
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote158,810158,083
Percentage50.09%49.86%

2008 general election in Virginia's 5th congressional district by county.svg
County and independent city results
Perriello:     50–60%     60–70%     80–90%
Goode:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Virgil Goode
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Tom Perriello
Democratic

VA 5th Congressional District.png

The District lies in southern and central Virginia. Incumbent Republican Virgil Goode, who had represented the district since 1997, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 59.1% of the vote in 2006 and the district had a PVI of R+6. [2] Democrat Webb lost the district 45%–54% in his Senate race. [35] In 2005 Democrat Tim Kaine won the district by 49.6% to 48.4% in his gubernatorial race. [34] Goode originally won his seat as a Democrat in 1996, voted for President Clinton's impeachment in 1998, became an Independent in 2000, and then joined the Republican Party in 2002. He became the first Republican to represent the district since 1889.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Campaign

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee considered Goode a "targeted Republican", based partly on Perriello's early fundraising. [47] On August 1, the DCCC named Perriello as one of its Red to Blue candidates. [48]

Endorsements

Virgil Goode (R)

Organizations

Tom Perriello (D)

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin of
error
Virgil
Goode (R)
Tom
Perriello (D)
Sherman
Wichter (IG)
Undecided
SurveyUSA (WDBJ-TV) [50] October 30–November 2, 2006640 (LV)±4.0%50%47%3%
Benenson Strategy Group (D–Perriello) [51] October 7–9, 2006400 (LV)±4.9%48%40%12%
SurveyUSA (WDBJ-TV) [52] October 6–7, 2006680 (LV)±3.8%55%42%3%
SurveyUSA (WDBJ-TV/WJLA-TV) [53] August 10–12, 2006615 (LV)±3.9%64%30%1%5%
Benenson Strategy Group (D–Perriello) [54] July 7, 2006? (LV)±4.9%56%31%13%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [26] Lean RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [27] Lean RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] Lean RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [29] Lean RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [30] Lean RNovember 6, 2008

Results

Democrat Perriello defeated Republican incumbent Goode 50.1% to 49.9%. [55] A recount was conducted and Perriello was finally certified [56] as the winner by 727 of 316,893 votes on December 17. This was the closest House race in 2008.

Virginia's 5th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Tom Perriello 158,810 50.1
Republican Virgil Goode (incumbent)158,08349.9
Write-in 1830.1
Majority7270.2
Total votes317,076 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 6

2008 Virginia's 6th congressional district election
Flag of Virginia.svg
  2006
2010  
  Bob Goodlatte, official portrait, 109th Congress (cropped).jpg Sam Rasoul.jpg
Candidate Bob Goodlatte Sam Rasoul
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote192,350114,367
Percentage61.6%36.6%

2008 general election in Virginia's 6th congressional district by county.svg
County and independent city results
Goodlatte:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Rasoul:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Bob Goodlatte
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Bob Goodlatte
Republican

VA 6th Congressional District.png

The District lies in western Virginia. Incumbent Republican Bob Goodlatte, who had represented the district since 1993, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 75.1% of the vote in 2006 and the district had a PVI of R+11. [2] Democrat Webb lost the district 40%–58% in his Senate race. [35] In 2005 Democrat Tim Kaine lost the district by 44% to 53% in his gubernatorial race. [34]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn
  • Drew Richardson [57]

General election

Endorsements

Sam Rasoul (D)
Labor unions

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin of
error
Bob
Goodlatte (R)
Sam
Rasoul (D)
Janice Lee
Allen (I)
Undecided
SurveyUSA (WDBJ-TV/WJLA-TV) [58] August 11–13, 2006592 (LV)±4.0%59%30%3%7%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [26] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [27] Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [29] Lean RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [30] Safe RNovember 6, 2008

Results

Virginia's 6th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bob Goodlatte (incumbent) 192,350 61.6
Democratic Sam Rasoul 114,36736.6
Independent Janice Lee Allen5,4131.7
Write-in 2620.1
Majority77,98325.0
Total votes312,392 100.0
Republican hold

District 7

2008 Virginia's 7th congressional district election
Flag of Virginia.svg
  2006
2010  
  Eric Cantor, official portrait, 107th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Eric Cantor Anita Hartke
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote233,531138,123
Percentage62.7%37.1%

2008 general election in Virginia's 7th congressional district by county.svg
County and independent city results
Cantor:     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%
Hartke:     50-60%

U.S. Representative before election

Eric Cantor
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Eric Cantor
Republican

The 7th District included western parts of Richmond, as well as its nearby suburbs in Henrico County, but otherwise is largely rural. Incumbent Republican Eric Cantor, who had represented the district since 2002, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 63.8% of the vote in 2006 and the district had a PVI of R+11. [2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Hartke, 48, a resident of Amissville, Virginia. [59] Her stated positions included improvements on the National Energy Policy by investing in alternative energy in order to reduce the use of foreign oil and fossil fuels. She also supported universal health care as well as gradual withdrawal of troops from Iraq. She also supported reform of the controversial No Child Left Behind Act and increasing funding to the public school system as well as hoping to end student college loan rates in excess of 20%. [60]

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Endorsements

Eric Cantor (R)

Organizations

Anita Hartke (D)
Labor unions

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [26] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [27] Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [29] Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [30] Safe RNovember 6, 2008

Results

Virginia's 7th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Eric Cantor (incumbent) 233,531 62.7
Democratic Anita Hartke 138,12337.1
Write-in 6830.2
Majority95,40825.6
Total votes372,337 100.0
Republican hold

District 8

VA-8th District-109.gif

The District lies in heavily suburban Northern Virginia. Incumbent Democrat Jim Moran, who had represented the district since 1985, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 66.4% of the vote in 2006 and the district had a PVI of D+14. [2] . That year Democrat Webb won the district 69%–30% in his Senate race. [35] In 2005 Democrat Tim Kaine won the district by 70% to 28% in his gubernatorial race. [34]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Matthew Famiglietti

Results

In the June 10 primary election, Moran defeated Famiglietti, with 87% of the vote. [62]

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jim Moran (incumbent) 11,792 87.0
Democratic Matthew Famiglietti1,76413.0
Total votes13,556 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Mark Ellmore, mortgage lender and candidate for this seat in 2006
Eliminated in primary
  • Amit Singh, small businessman

Endorsements

Amit Singh

Results

Republican primary results [64]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mark Ellmore 3,286 56.0
Republican Amit Singh2,57744.0
Total votes5,863 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [26] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [27] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [29] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [30] Safe DNovember 6, 2008

Results

Virginia's 8th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jim Moran (incumbent) 222,986 67.9
Republican Mark Ellmore97,42529.7
Independent Greens J. Ron Fisher6,8292.1
Write-in 9570.3
Majority125,56138.3
Total votes328,197 100.0
Democratic hold

District 9

2008 Virginia's 9th congressional district election
Flag of Virginia.svg
  2006
2010  
  Rick Boucher, official portrait, 109th Congress (cropped).jpg
Candidate Rick Boucher
Party Democratic
Popular vote207,306
Percentage97.1%

2008 VA-9 Election Results.svg
County and independent city results
Boucher:      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Rick Boucher
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Rick Boucher
Democratic

VA 9th Congressional District.png

The District covers much of Southwest Virginia. Incumbent Democrat Rick Boucher, who had represented the district since 1983, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 67.8% of the vote in 2006 and the district had a PVI of R+7. [2] Democrat Webb lost the district 44%–55% in his Senate race. [35] In 2005 Democrat Tim Kaine lost the district by 43% to 55% in his gubernatorial race. [34]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

No Republicans filed to run. [44]

General election

Endorsements

Rick Boucher (D)
Labor unions
Organizations

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [26] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [27] Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [29] Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [30] Safe DNovember 6, 2008

Results

Virginia's 9th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Rick Boucher (incumbent) 207,306 97.1
Write-in 6,2642.9
Majority201,04294.1
Total votes213,570 100.0
Democratic hold

District 10

VA-10th District-109.gif

The District lies in Northern and northwestern Virginia. It covers Loudoun, Prince William and parts of Fairfax and Fauquier counties, as well as Manassas. Incumbent Republican Frank Wolf, the Dean of the Virginia congressional delegation, who had represented the district since 1981, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 57.3% of the vote in 2006 and the district had a PVI of R+5. [2] Democrat Webb won the district 50.0%–48.8% in his Senate race. [35] In 2005 Democrat Tim Kaine won the district by 50% to 46% in his gubernatorial race. [34] In 2004 George W. Bush won 55% of this district.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Vern McKinley

Results

Republican primary results [64]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Frank Wolf (incumbent) 16,726 91.7
Republican Vern McKinley1,5068.3
Total votes18,232 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Mike Turner, nonprofit worker

Results

Democratic primary results [62] [67]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Judy Feder 5,462 61.8
Democratic Mike Turner3,37738.2
Total votes8,839 100.0

Other Candidates

General election

Endorsements

Judy Feder (D)
Labor unions
Organizations

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [26] Likely RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg [27] Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [29] Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics [30] Likely RNovember 6, 2008

Results

Virginia's 10th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Frank Wolf (incumbent) 223,140 58.8
Democratic Judy Feder 147,35738.8
Independent Neeraj Nigam8,4572.2
Write-in 5260.1
Majority75,78320.0
Total votes379,480 100.0
Republican hold

District 11

VA-11th District-109.gif

Incumbent Republican Tom Davis, who had represented the Democratic trending district, located in the wealthy Northern Virginia suburbs of Washington, DC which includes part of Fairfax and Prince William counties, since 1995, retired rather than run for re-election. He was re-elected with % of the vote in 2006 and the district had a PVI of R+1. [2] George W. Bush barely won this district with 50% to 49% for John Kerry in 2004. Webb won the district 55%–44% in his Senate race. [35] In 2005 Democrat Tim Kaine won the district by 56% to 42% in his gubernatorial race. [34]

Republican primary

Fimian had personal wealth to draw upon. [69]

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Leslie Byrne
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin of
error
Lori
Alexander
Leslie
Byrne
Gerry
Connolly
Douglas
Denneny
Undecided
Lake Research Partners (D–Connolly) [74] March 24–27, 2008500 (LV)±4.4%1%25%45%1%28%
Global Strategy Group (D–Byrne) [75] January 9–13, 2008400 (LV)±4.9%39%29%8%24%
Lake Research Partners (D–Connolly) [76] January 7–10, 2008400 (RV)±4.9%22%45%1%32%

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Gerry Connolly 14,233 57.9
Democratic Leslie Byrne8,19633.4
Democratic Doug Denneny1,5086.1
Democratic Lori Alexander6382.6
Total votes24,575 100.0

Independent Greens primary

Oddo favored light rail as an alternative to HOT lanes.

Candidates

Nominee
  • Joseph Oddo, freelance writer, nominee for this seat in 2004 and for the 5th district in 2006

General election

Endorsements

Keith Fimian (R)
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin of
error
Keith
Fimian (R)
Gerry
Connolly (D)
Joseph
Oddo (IG)
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R–Fimian) [77] July 15–16, 2008300 (LV)±5.7%25%29%47%
Lake Research Partners (D–Connolly) [78] July 10–14, 2008500 (LV)±4.4%21%52%2%25%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [26] Likely D (flip)November 6, 2008
Rothenberg [27] Likely D (flip)November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] Lean D (flip)November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics [29] Lean D (flip)November 7, 2008
CQ Politics [30] Likely D (flip)November 6, 2008

Results

Virginia's 11th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Gerry Connolly 196,598 54.7
Republican Keith Fimian 154,75843.0
Independent Greens Joseph Oddo 7,2712.0
Write-in 8640.2
Majority41,84011.6
Total votes359,491 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

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