2021 Virginia lieutenant gubernatorial election

Last updated

2021 Virginia lieutenant gubernatorial election
Flag of Virginia.svg
  2017 November 2, 2021 2025  
  Winsome Sears in November 2021.jpg Hala Ayala (cropped).jpg
Nominee Winsome Sears Hala Ayala
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,658,3321,608,030
Percentage50.71%49.17%

Virginia Lieutenant Gubernatorial election 2021.svg
VA Lieutenant Governor 2021.svg
Sears:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Ayala:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%
     No data

Lieutenant Governor before election

Justin Fairfax
Democratic

Elected Lieutenant Governor

Winsome Sears
Republican

The 2021 Virginia lieutenant gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2021, to elect the next lieutenant governor of Virginia. Incumbent Democratic Lieutenant Governor Justin Fairfax was eligible to run for a second term, but instead unsuccessfully ran for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination. [1] On November 3, Hala Ayala conceded the race, [2] making Republican Winsome Sears the first black woman to be elected to the lieutenant governorship of Virginia or any statewide office, as well as the first woman elected lieutenant governor in Virginia's history. Sears was also the first Jamaican-American to become a lieutenant governor.

Contents

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Hala Ayala
Governor
State delegates
Organizations
Mark Levine
Andria McClellan
Federal officials
State senators
Individuals
Organizations
Sean Perryman
State delegates
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Xavier Warren
Organizations
Elizabeth Guzman (withdrawn)
State delegates
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Hala AyalaElizabeth GuzmanMark LevineAndria McClellanSean PerrymanSam RasoulXavier WarrenOtherUndecided
Roanoke College May 24 – June 1, 2021637 (LV)± 3.9%16%3%7%7%3%11%2%45%
Christopher Newport University April 11–20, 2021806 (LV)± 3.9%2%4%2%2%1%12%2%1%64%

Results

Results by county and independent city:
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Ayala
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
Rasoul
20-30%
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
Levine
30-40%
Warren
30-40%
40-50% Virginia Democratic Lieutenant gubernatorial primary results by county, 2021.svg
Results by county and independent city:
  Ayala
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Rasoul
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Levine
  •   30–40%
  Warren
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
Democratic primary results [43]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Hala Ayala 181,168 37.64%
Democratic Sam Rasoul 116,81624.27%
Democratic Mark Levine 53,73511.16%
Democratic Andria McClellan51,01510.60%
Democratic Sean Perryman38,9258.09%
Democratic Xavier Warren19,9094.13%
Democratic Elizabeth Guzmán (withdrawn)19,8034.11%
Total votes481,365 100.00%

Republican convention

After months of uncertainty, the Republican Party of Virginia State Central Committee decided to hold an "unassembled convention" to select their nominees for governor, lieutenant governor, and attorney general, as opposed to holding a state run primary. The convention was held May 8 using ranked choice voting. [44]

Candidates

Nominated at convention

Defeated at convention

  • Puneet Ahluwalia, business consultant [46]
  • Lance Allen, security company executive [3]
  • Glenn Davis, member of the Virginia House of Delegates and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2017 [3]
  • Tim Hugo, former member of the Virginia House of Delegates (2003–2020) [3]
  • Maeve Rigler, business executive [47]

Endorsements

Tim Hugo
State delegates

Results

Round-by-round result visualization of the ranked choice voting election Virginia 2021 GOP Lt. Gov. Election RCV Results.gif
Round-by-round result visualization of the ranked choice voting election
Virginia GOP Convention, Lieutenant Governor nominee [49]
Candidate Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Round 5
Votes  % Votes  % Votes  % Votes  % Votes  %
Winsome Sears 4,075.68 32.5% 4,300.11 34.3% 4,626.70 36.9% 5,425.91 43.2% 6,827.89 54.4%
Tim Hugo 2,824.17 22.5% 2,987.20 23.8% 3,184.76 25.4% 3,816.11 30.4% 5,726.11 45.6%
Glenn Davis 2,536.77 20.2% 2,675.44 21.3% 2,838.05 22.6% 3,311.97 26.4% Eliminated
Lance Allen1,538.80 12.3% 1701.82 13.6% 1,904.50 15.2% Eliminated
Puneet Ahluwalia818.95 6.5% 889.43 7.1% Eliminated
Maeve Rigler759.62 6.1% Eliminated

General election

Endorsements

Hala Ayala (D)
Federal officials
State officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Winsome Sears (R)
Federal officials
State officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations

Polling

Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Hala
Ayala (D)
Winsome
Sears (R)
OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) October 29–31, 20211,081 (LV)± 3.0%47%50%1%2%
Echelon Insights (R) Archived 2021-10-29 at the Wayback Machine October 27–29, 2021611 (LV)± 4.0%46%48%6%
Roanoke College October 14–28, 2021571 (LV)± 4.7%46%44%0%10%
Washington Post/Schar School October 20–26, 20211,107 (RV)± 3.5%48%44%3% [lower-alpha 2] 3%
918 (LV)± 4.0%50%46%1% [lower-alpha 3] 3%
Christopher Newport University October 17–25, 2021944 (LV)± 3.5%49%48%3%
Suffolk University October 21–24, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%46%44%10%
co/efficient (R) [upper-alpha 1] October 20–21, 2021785 (LV)± 3.5%46%47%7%
Cygnal (R) October 19–21, 2021816 (LV)± 3.4%47%47%6%
Virginia Commonwealth University October 9–21, 2021722 (LV)± 6.4%36%35%16%13%
Data for Progress (D) October 4–15, 20211,589 (LV)± 2.0%47%42%3%8%
Christopher Newport University September 27 – October 6, 2021802 (LV)± 4.2%48%44%8%
Roanoke College September 12–26, 2021603 (LV)± 4.6%45%40%1%14%
KAConsulting LLC (R) [upper-alpha 2] September 17–19, 2021700 (LV)± 3.7%34%24%3%40%
Virginia Commonwealth University September 7–15, 2021731 (LV)± 6.9%33%30%20%16%
University of Mary Washington September 7–13, 20211,000 (A)± 3.1%38%38%6% [lower-alpha 4] 18%
528 (LV)± 4.1%41%47%2% [lower-alpha 5] 10%
Monmouth University August 24–29, 2021802 (RV)± 3.5%43%42%2%14%
Christopher Newport University August 15–23, 2021800 (LV)± 3.6%52%42%1%6%
Roanoke College August 3–17, 2021558 (LV)± 4.2%42%36%2%20%
Virginia Commonwealth University August 4–15, 2021770 (RV)± 5.4%38%31%19%12%
~747 (LV)± 5.5%39%31%17%12%
JMC Analytics and Polling (R) June 9–12, 2021550 (LV)± 4.2%42%36%22%

Results

Virginia lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2021 [78]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Winsome Sears 1,658,332 50.71% +3.53%
Democratic Hala Ayala 1,608,03049.17%-3.54%
Write-in 3,8070.12%+0.03%
Total votes3,270,169 100.00% N/A
Turnout
Registered electors 5,951,368
Republican gain from Democratic

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Neither with 2%, Would not vote with 1%, Other with 0%
  3. Neither with 1%, Other and Would not vote with 0%
  4. None/Would not vote with 4%, other candidate with 2%
  5. None/Would not vote and other candidate with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. This poll was sponsored by Sears's campaign.
  2. This poll was sponsored by the Presidential Coalition.

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