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The Democratic Party primary for the 2021 New York City mayoral election took place on June 22, 2021. Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams defeated 12 other candidates, including Kathryn Garcia, Maya Wiley and Andrew Yang. [3] Adams went on to defeat Republican Curtis Sliwa and other candidates in the November 2, 2021 general election.
The New York City Board of Elections was substantially criticized for its handling of the race, the first after New York's initial implementation of ranked-choice voting (RCV). A week after election day, the Board announced a discrepancy in the initial results, posting in a tweet that approximately 135,000 additional votes, originating from a test run, had been added to the total count. [4] [5]
In 2019, New York City voters passed Ballot Question #1 to amend the City Charter to "give voters the choice of ranking up to five candidates in primary and special elections for mayor, public advocate, comptroller, borough president, and city council beginning in January 2021". [6] The first election in the city to use ranked-choice voting was in the 24th council district in Queens, which took place on February 2, 2021, though the first ranked-choice election with multiple rounds was held in the 31st council district in Queens on February 23. [7] The 2021 mayoral primaries were the first New York City mayoral election primaries to use ranked-choice voting. [8] [9]
In 2019, journalists and political commentators predicted several potential candidates, including Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams, Bronx Borough President Rubén Díaz Jr., NYC Council Speaker Corey Johnson, NYC Comptroller Scott Stringer, and NYC Public Advocate Jumaane Williams. [10] All of the preceding candidates ended up joining the mayoral race with the exception of Williams, who instead decided to run for re-election as Public Advocate. Additionally, Díaz Jr. and Johnson dropped out before the primary election, with Johnson instead deciding to run for Comptroller. [11] [12] [13]
The following candidates (listed alphabetically) appear on the Democratic primary ballot [14] and have held office, have been included in polls, or have been the subject of significant media coverage.
Candidate | Experience | Announced | Withdrew | Ref |
---|---|---|---|---|
Eric Adams | Brooklyn Borough President (2014–2021) Former NY State Senator from the 20th district (2007–2013) Former NYPD captain | November 17, 2020 (Website Archived 2021-12-01 at the Wayback Machine ) | — | [15] [16] [17] [18] |
Shaun Donovan | Former Director of the US Office of Management and Budget (2014–2017) Former US Secretary of Housing and Urban Development (2009–2014) Former Commissioner of the NYC Department of Housing Preservation and Development (2004–2008) | February 3, 2020 (Website Archived 2021-06-23 at the Wayback Machine ) | — | [19] |
Kathryn Garcia | Former Commissioner of the NYC Department of Sanitation (2014–2020) Former Interim Chair and CEO of the NYC Housing Authority (2019) Former Chief Operating Officer of the NYC Department of Environmental Protection (2012–2014) | December 10, 2020 (Website Archived 2021-01-21 at the Wayback Machine ) | July 7, 2021 | [20] [21] |
Raymond McGuire | Former Citigroup executive | October 15, 2020 (Website Archived 2021-10-14 at the Wayback Machine ) | June 29, 2021 | [22] [23] |
Dianne Morales | Former social services non-profit CEO Former teacher | November 19, 2020 Dianne Morales (Website Archived 2021-01-25 at the Wayback Machine ) | July 2, 2021 | [24] [25] |
Scott Stringer | NYC Comptroller (2014–present) Former Manhattan Borough President (2006–2013) Former NY State Assemblymember for the 67th district (1993–2005) | September 8, 2020 (Website Archived 2024-09-07 at the Wayback Machine ) | June 27, 2021 [26] | [27] [28] [29] |
Maya Wiley | The New School professor Former chair of the NYC Civilian Complaint Review Board (2016–2017) Former counsel to Bill de Blasio Former ACLU and NAACP Legal Defense Fund attorney | October 8, 2020 (Website Archived 2021-02-11 at the Wayback Machine ) | July 7, 2021 | [30] |
Andrew Yang | Candidate for President of the United States in 2020 Former Presidential Ambassador for Global Entrepreneurship (2015–2017) Founder of Venture for America | January 13, 2021 (Website Archived 2024-09-04 at the Wayback Machine ) | June 22, 2021 [31] | [32] [33] [34] [35] |
Polling in late January and early February showed businessman Andrew Yang as the frontrunner, with Adams in second and Stringer in third place. [76] [77] As of January 20, 2021, of the major declared candidates, New York City councilmember Carlos Menchaca and former Commissioner of the NYC Dept. of Veterans' Services Loree Sutton were considered the weakest candidates and most likely to drop out, as both of them posted very poor fundraising numbers. [78] Sutton withdrew from the race on March 10, 2021 [57] and Menchaca withdrew on March 24, 2021. [79] By the middle of March, three candidates, Stringer, Dianne Morales, and Maya Wiley, were widely considered to be the chief competitors for the progressive vote. [80] In April, Yang faced criticism when he appeared on a video by Comedian Lawrence Reese in which he appeared to laugh when Reese asked him if he "choked bitches". [81]
In April, Stringer, who was generally polling in third-place, was accused of sexual abuse by Jean Kim, who claimed that Stringer had forcibly kissed and groped her when she worked on his 2001 campaign for Public Advocate. [82] [83] [84] Fellow candidates Morales, Adams, Yang, and Raymond McGuire condemned the acts in the allegation; while candidates Wiley, Kathryn Garcia, and Shaun Donovan called for him to drop out. [85] Stringer denied the allegations, claiming that the relationship had been consensual. [86] In June, a second woman accused him of sexual misconduct in 1992. [87]
The first debate in the Democratic primary was sponsored by the Brooklyn Democratic Party and held on January 31, 2021. Eight candidates participated: Adams, former director of the US Office of Management and Budget Shaun Donovan, former commissioner of the NYC Dept. of Sanitation Kathryn Garcia, businessman Raymond McGuire, Stringer, Sutton, former counsel to Bill de Blasio Maya Wiley, and Yang. [88] Former non-profit CEO Dianne Morales boycotted the debate following comments perceived as sinophobic by a former Brooklyn Democratic Party official. [89]
The second debate took place on May 13, 2021. It was organized by the New York City Campaign Finance Board (CFB) and sponsored by NY1. Eight candidates met the CFB's qualifications to participate in the debate. Those who participated were Adams, Donovan, Garcia, McGuire, Morales, Stringer, Wiley, and Yang.
The third debate was held on June 2, 2021. It was organized by the CFB and sponsored by ABC 7. Eight candidates met the CFB's qualifications to participate in the debate. Those who participated were Adams, Donovan, Garcia, McGuire, Morales, Stringer, Wiley, and Yang.
The fourth debate was held on June 10, 2021, and sponsored by CBS 2. Five candidates participated: Adams, Garcia, Stringer, Wiley, and Yang. Adams initially announced that he would skip the debate but later opted to attend. [90]
The fifth and final debate of the Democratic primary took place on June 16, 2021. It was organized by the CFB and was sponsored by NBC 4. Eight candidates met the CFB's qualifications and were required to participate: Adams, Donovan, Garcia, McGuire, Morales, Stringer, Wiley, and Yang. [91]
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||||||||||
Eric Adams | Shaun Donovan | Kathryn Garcia | Raymond McGuire | Dianne Morales | Scott Stringer | Loree Sutton | Maya Wiley | Andrew Yang | ||||||
1 [88] | Feb. 1, 2021 | Kings County Democratic Committee | Errol Louis | Video | P | P | P | P | A [a] | P | P | P | P | |
2 | May 13, 2021 | John Jay College of Criminal Justice NYC Votes NY1 | Brian Lehrer Errol Louis Josefa Velasquez | Video | P | P | P | P | P | P | W | P | P | |
3 | Jun. 2, 2021 | ABC 7 League of Women Voters NYC NAACP NYS NYC Votes | Bill Ritter Dave Evans Yisel Tejada | Video | P | P | P | P | P | P | W | P | P | |
4 | Jun. 10, 2021 | CBS 2 | Maurice DuBois Marcia Kramer | Video | P [b] | N | P | N | N | P | W | P | P | |
5 [92] | Jun. 16, 2021 | NBC 4 Politico NYC Votes | Sally Goldenberg Melissa Russo David Ushery Allan Villafana | Video | P | P | P | P | P | P | W | P | P |
On May 5, 2021, Politico reported that a recent poll found that Eric Adams was leading the Democratic primary contest; this marked the first time since January that any Democratic candidate other than Yang had led in a public poll. [93] On June 7, Spectrum News reported that Adams had maintained a lead in the Democratic primary. [94]
In early May, Donovan and McGuire were characterized as being out of touch with everyday New Yorkers for greatly underestimating the median cost of a home in Brooklyn. [95] In late May, Yang, who lives in Hell's Kitchen, faced some ridicule for answering that Times Square was his favorite subway station; the response was seen as akin to that of a tourist. [96] Yang was also criticized as being out of touch when he appeared before the Stonewall Democrats of New York City for an endorsement screening, in which he appeared to point to his gay colleagues and supporter on the basis of their gender and sexuality rather than why they were important to him. [97] Later in May, Morales's campaign lost three senior staff members amid allegations of a poor workplace culture and union-busting. [98] Morales's campaign lost some endorsements and support. [99]
In June, due to ongoing rumors that he lived in New Jersey, [100] Eric Adams invited reporters to Bedford-Stuyvesant to tour an apartment that he claimed was his residence. [101]
Yang asked his supporters to rank Garcia second, though she did not make a similar request of hers. [102] Adams claimed the alliance was an attempt to disenfranchise Black and Latino voters, a claim that Garcia and Yang disputed, with rivals and officials such as Wiley and Williams claiming that Adams was using race in order to undermine confidence in the election. [102] [103]
The accessibility of this section is in question. The specific issue is: screen readers can not read content that is hidden. Relevant discussion may be found on the talk page. (August 2024) |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [A] | Margin of error | RCV count | Eric Adams | Shaun Donovan | Kathryn Garcia | Raymond McGuire | Dianne Morales | Scott Stringer | Maya Wiley | Andrew Yang | Others | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D) | Jun 18–20, 2021 | 1,354 (LV) | ± 3.0% | BA [B] | 26% | 3% | 18% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 21% | 12% | 2% | 6% |
1 | 28% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 22% | 13% | 3% | – | ||||
2 | 28% | 3% | 20% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 23% | 13% | – | |||||
3 | 28% | 3% | 20% | 4% | – | 6% | 24% | 14% | – | |||||
4 | 29% | – | 21% | 4% | – | 6% | 25% | 14% | – | |||||
5 | 30% | – | 24% | – | – | 6% | 25% | 14% | – | |||||
6 | 32% | – | 26% | – | – | – | 27% | 15% | – | |||||
7 | 38% | – | 31% | – | – | – | 31% | – | – | |||||
8 | 54% | – | – | – | – | – | 46% | – | – | |||||
8 [C] | 48% | – | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Citizen Data [D] | Jun 14–17, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 1 | 32% | 5% | 18% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 11% | 2% | – |
2 | 32% | 5% | 18% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 12% | – | |||||
3 | 33% | 5% | 18% | – | 6% | 7% | 19% | 12% | – | |||||
4 | 34% | – | 19% | – | 6% | 7% | 20% | 13% | – | |||||
5 | 36% | – | 20% | – | – | 8% | 21% | 15% | – | |||||
6 | 37% | – | 22% | – | – | – | 26% | 15% | – | |||||
7 | 44% | – | 28% | – | – | – | 28% | – | – | |||||
8 | 56% | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | – | – | |||||
8 [E] | 54% | – | 46% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
8 [E] | 67% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | – | |||||
8 [E] | – | – | 51% | – | – | – | 49% | – | – | |||||
8 [E] | – | – | 60% | – | – | – | – | 40% | – | |||||
8 [E] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | 41% | – | |||||
Ipsos | Jun 10–17, 2021 | 702 (LV) | ± 5.7% | BA [B] | 28% | 5% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 13% | 20% | – | 6% |
1 | 29% | 5% | 16% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 13% | 21% | – | |||||
2 | 29% | 5% | 16% | 5% | – | 8% | 14% | 22% | ||||||
3 | 31% | 7% | 16% | – | – | 9% | 14% | 22% | ||||||
4 | 34% | – | 17% | – | – | 12% | 15% | 23% | ||||||
5 | 36% | – | 20% | – | – | – | 16% | 27% | ||||||
6 | 43% | – | 25% | – | – | – | – | 31% | ||||||
7 | 56% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | ||||||
Emerson College [F] | Jun 15–16, 2021 | 664 (LV) | ± 3.7% | BA [B] | 23% | 2% | 17% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 14% | 1% Chang: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% | 10% |
2 | 26% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 20% | 15% | 1% Chang: 1% Prince: 0% | – | ||||
3 | 26% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 20% | 15% | 1% Chang: 1% | |||||
4 | 26% | 3% | 20% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 21% | 15% | – | |||||
5 | 26% | 3% | 20% | 4% | – | 10% | 22% | 15% | – | |||||
6 | 27% | – | 21% | 5% | – | 10% | 22% | 15% | – | |||||
7 | 29% | – | 21% | – | – | 11% | 22% | 17% | – | |||||
8 | 32% | – | 25% | – | – | – | 26% | 18% | – | |||||
9 | 41% | – | 30% | – | – | – | 29% | – | – | |||||
10 | 52% | – | 48% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Change Research (D) [G] | Jun 11–14, 2021 | 822 (LV) | ± 3.4% | BA [B] | 23% | 4% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 12% | 0% Chang: 0% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% | 10% |
2 | 26% | 4% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 21% | 13% | 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Prince: 0% | – | ||||
3 | 26% | 4% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 21% | 13% | 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% | |||||
4 | 26% | 4% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 21% | 13% | 1% Wright: 1% | |||||
5 | 26% | 5% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 21% | 13% | – | |||||
6 | 26% | 5% | 22% | 3% | – | 9% | 22% | 13% | – | |||||
7 | 27% | 5% | 22% | – | – | 10% | 23% | 14% | – | |||||
8 | 28% | – | 23% | – | – | 10% | 23% | 16% | – | |||||
9 | 30% | – | 27% | – | – | – | 26% | 17% | – | |||||
10 | 37% | – | 33% | – | – | – | 30% | – | – | |||||
11 | 49% | – | 51% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Schoen Cooperman Research (D) [H] | Jun 10–13, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA [B] | 22% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 18% | 0% | 7% |
1 | 24% | 7% | 15% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 17% | 19% | – | |||||
2 | 24% | 7% | 16% | 5% | – | 10% | 18% | 20% | ||||||
3 | 24% | 8% | 17% | – | – | 10% | 19% | 22% | ||||||
4 | 26% | – | 18% | – | – | 11% | 21% | 24% | ||||||
5 | 31% | – | 20% | – | – | – | 23% | 26% | ||||||
6 | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | 28% | 32% | ||||||
7 | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | ||||||
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [I] | Jun 9–13, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | BA [B] | 21% | 4% | 20% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 18% | 13% | 2% Chang: 1% Taylor: 1% Prince: <1% Foldenauer: 0% Wright: 0% | 9% |
1 | 24% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 20% | 14% | 3% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Taylor: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Wright: 0% | – | ||||
2 | 24% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 20% | 14% | 3% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Taylor: 1% Foldenauer: 0% | |||||
3 | 24% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 20% | 14% | 2% Chang: 1% Taylor: 1% | |||||
4 | 24% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 20% | 14% | 1% Chang: 1% | |||||
5 | 25% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 21% | 14% | – | |||||
6 | 25% | 4% | 22% | – | 3% | 9% | 21% | 15% | – | |||||
7 | 26% | 4% | 23% | – | – | 9% | 22% | 15% | – | |||||
8 | 27% | – | 25% | – | – | 10% | 23% | 15% | – | |||||
9 | 29% | – | 28% | – | – | – | 25% | 17% | – | |||||
10 | 38% | – | 33% | – | – | – | 29% | – | – | |||||
11 | 48% | – | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Honan Strategy Group (D) [J] | May 26 – Jun 10, 2021 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.2% | BA [B] | 28% | 9% | 13% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 7% | 19% | – | 16% |
1 | 33% | 11% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 9% | 23% | – | |||||
2 | 33% | 11% | 16% | 1% | – | 7% | 9% | 23% | ||||||
3 | 34% | 11% | 16% | – | – | 7% | 9% | 23% | ||||||
4 | 35% | 12% | 17% | – | – | – | 11% | 25% | ||||||
5 | 39% | 13% | 19% | – | – | – | – | 29% | ||||||
6 | 44% | – | 24% | – | – | – | – | 33% | ||||||
7 | 56% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | ||||||
Marist College [K] | Jun 3–9, 2021 | 876 (LV) | ± 3.8% | BA [B] | 24% | 3% | 17% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 13% | 2% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Foldenauer: <1% Taylor: <1% Wright: <1% | 13% |
1 | 28% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 2% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Foldenauer: <1% Taylor: <1% Wright: <1% | – | ||||
2 | 28% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 2% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Taylor: <1% Wright: <1% | |||||
3 | 28% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 2% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Taylor: <1% | |||||
4 | 28% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 2% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% | |||||
5 | 28% | 3% | 20% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 1% Prince: 1% | |||||
6 | 28% | 4% | 20% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | – | |||||
7 | 29% | – | 20% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 17% | 16% | – | |||||
8 | 30% | – | 21% | – | 5% | 9% | 18% | 17% | – | |||||
9 | 31% | – | 22% | – | – | 9% | 20% | 17% | – | |||||
10 | 34% | – | 24% | – | – | – | 22% | 19% | – | |||||
11 | 43% | – | 30% | – | – | – | 27% | – | – | |||||
12 | 56% | – | 44% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Emerson College [F] | Jun 7–8, 2021 | 725 (LV) | ± 3.6% | BA [B] | 23% | 4% | 12% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 17% | 15% | 4% Taylor: 2% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Wright: 0% | 12% |
2 | 26% | 4% | 14% | 3% | 2% | 11% | 19% | 17% | 5% Taylor: 2% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% | – | ||||
3 | 26% | 5% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 11% | 19% | 17% | 4% Taylor: 2% Chang: 2% | |||||
4 | 26% | 5% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 19% | 18% | 2% Taylor: 2% | |||||
5 | 26% | 5% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 19% | 19% | – | |||||
6 | 26% | 5% | 14% | 4% | – | 11% | 21% | 19% | – | |||||
7 | 28% | 5% | 15% | – | – | 11% | 21% | 20% | – | |||||
8 | 29% | – | 15% | – | – | 12% | 22% | 22% | – | |||||
9 | 33% | – | 19% | – | – | – | 26% | 23% | – | |||||
10 | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | 27% | – | |||||
11 | 59% | – | – | – | – | – | 41% | – | – | |||||
Ipsos [L] | May 17–31, 2021 | 906 (LV) | ± 4.5% | BA [B] | 24% | 4% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 10% | 10% | 17% | – | 11% |
1 | 27% | 5% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 19% | – | |||||
2 | 28% | – | 16% | 5% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 20% | ||||||
3 | 30% | – | 17% | – | 7% | 13% | 13% | 20% | ||||||
4 | 32% | – | 18% | – | – | 14% | 16% | 21% | ||||||
5 | 37% | – | 22% | – | – | – | 19% | 23% | ||||||
6 | 42% | – | 29% | – | – | – | – | 28% | ||||||
7 | 60% | – | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | ||||||
7 [M] | 58% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | ||||||
Emerson College [F] | May 23–24, 2021 | 570 (LV) | ± 4.1% | BA [B] | 20% | 5% | 21% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 16% | 2% Foldenauer: 1% Prince: 1% Chang: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% | 9% |
2 | 22% | 6% | 23% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 17% | 2% Foldenauer: 1% Prince: 1% Chang: 0% | – | ||||
3 | 22% | 6% | 23% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 17% | 2% Foldenauer: 1% Prince: 1% | |||||
4 | 22% | 6% | 23% | 2% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 17% | 1% Foldenauer: 1% | |||||
5 | 22% | 6% | 23% | 2% | 8% | 12% | 10% | 17% | – | |||||
6 | 24% | 6% | 24% | – | 8% | 12% | 10% | 17% | – | |||||
7 | 25% | – | 26% | – | 8% | 12% | 10% | 19% | – | |||||
8 | 25% | – | 27% | – | – | 13% | 15% | 19% | – | |||||
9 | 28% | – | 31% | – | – | – | 20% | 22% | – | |||||
10 | 34% | – | 40% | – | – | – | – | 26% | – | |||||
11 | 45% | – | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Slingshot Strategies (D) [N] | May 17–20, 2021 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.6% | BA [B] | 16% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 13% | 8% | 19% | 7% Foldenauer: 4% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% "Other": 0% | 13% |
1 | 18% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 9% | 21% | 8% Foldenauer: 5% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% "Other": 0% | – | ||||
2 | 18% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 9% | 21% | 8% Foldenauer: 5% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% Taylor: 0% | |||||
3 | 18% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 9% | 21% | 8% Foldenauer: 5% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% | |||||
4 | 18% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 9% | 21% | 7% Foldenauer: 5% Chang: 2% | |||||
5 | 19% | 5% | 12% | 6% | 8% | 15% | 10% | 22% | 5% Foldenauer: 5% | |||||
6 | 19% | 5% | 12% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 11% | 22% | – | |||||
7 | 20% | – | 13% | 8% | 9% | 16% | 11% | 23% | – | |||||
8 | 21% | – | 14% | – | 9% | 19% | 13% | 24% | – | |||||
9 | 22% | – | 14% | – | – | 22% | 17% | 25% | – | |||||
10 | 25% | – | – | – | – | 25% | 21% | 29% | – | |||||
11 | 33% | – | – | – | – | 31% | – | 36% | – | |||||
12 | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 51% | – | |||||
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [I] | May 14–17, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | BA [B] | 18% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 19% | 2% Prince: 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Foldenauer: 0% Taylor: 0% | 14% |
1 | 21% | 5% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 22% | 2% Prince: 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Taylor: 0% | – | ||||
2 | 21% | 5% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 22% | 2% Prince: 1% Wright: 1% Taylor: 0% | |||||
3 | 21% | 5% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 23% | 2% Prince: 1% Wright: 1% | |||||
4 | 21% | 5% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 23% | 1% Prince: 1% | |||||
5 | 21% | 5% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 23% | – | |||||
6 | 23% | – | 13% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 24% | – | |||||
7 | 24% | – | 15% | 10% | – | 11% | 16% | 24% | – | |||||
8 | 27% | – | 16% | – | – | 12% | 18% | 26% | – | |||||
9 | 30% | – | 20% | – | – | – | 21% | 29% | – | |||||
10 | 36% | – | – | – | – | – | 30% | 34% | – | |||||
11 | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 48% | – | |||||
Emerson College [F] | May 13–15, 2021 | 631 (LV) | ± 3.8% | BA [B] | 18% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 15% | 4% | 15% | 3% Chang: 2% Taylor: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Wright: 0% | 23% |
2 | 23% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 20% | 5% | 20% | 3% Chang: 2% Taylor: 1% | – | ||||
3 | 23% | 7% | 11% | 5% | 7% | 20% | 5% | 20% | 3% Chang: 3% | |||||
4 | 23% | 7% | 11% | 5% | 7% | 20% | 5% | 22% | – | |||||
5 | 24% | 7% | 13% | 6% | 8% | 20% | – | 23% | – | |||||
6 | 26% | 9% | 13% | – | 9% | 20% | – | 23% | – | |||||
7 | 27% | 9% | 18% | – | – | 22% | – | 24% | – | |||||
8 | 29% | – | 21% | – | – | 24% | – | 26% | – | |||||
9 | 36% | – | – | – | – | 31% | – | 33% | – | |||||
10 | 53% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | |||||
Change Research (D) | May 11–12, 2021 | 418 (LV) | ± 4.8% | BA [B] | 21% | 6% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 18% | 2% "Would not vote": 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% | 18% |
2 | 26% | 7% | 14% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 22% | 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% | – | ||||
3 | 26% | 7% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 22% | 1% Wright: 1% | |||||
4 | 26% | 7% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 22% | – | |||||
5 | 26% | 7% | 16% | 8% | – | 11% | 10% | 23% | – | |||||
6 | 27% | – | 17% | 9% | – | 12% | 11% | 25% | – | |||||
7 | 28% | – | 18% | – | – | 14% | 11% | 28% | – | |||||
8 | 31% | – | 21% | – | – | 17% | – | 31% | – | |||||
9 | 37% | – | 26% | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | |||||
10 | 50% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 50% | – | |||||
Change Research (D) | May 6–12, 2021 | 1,422 (LV) | ± 2.6% | BA [B] | 19% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 16% | 2% "Would not vote": 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% | 20% |
2 | 24% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 21% | 1% Wright: 1% Prince: 0% | – | ||||
3 | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 9% | 21% | 1% Wright: 1% | |||||
4 | 25% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 21% | – | |||||
5 | 26% | 9% | 9% | 9% | – | 12% | 13% | 22% | – | |||||
6 | 27% | – | 11% | 11% | – | 14% | 13% | 24% | – | |||||
7 | 30% | – | 12% | – | – | 15% | 15% | 28% | – | |||||
8 | 34% | – | – | – | – | 18% | 18% | 31% | – | |||||
9 | 41% | – | – | – | – | 23% | – | 37% | – | |||||
10 | 53% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | |||||
Schoen Cooperman Research (D) [O] | May 4–9, 2021 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA [B] | 17% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 21% | 1% | 17% |
1 | 21% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 12% | 12% | 26% | – | |||||
2 | 22% | 7% | 10% | 9% | – | 13% | 13% | 26% | ||||||
3 | 23% | – | 10% | 10% | – | 15% | 14% | 28% | ||||||
4 | 25% | – | 12% | – | – | 17% | 16% | 30% | ||||||
5 | 28% | – | – | – | – | 19% | 20% | 33% | ||||||
6 | 36% | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | 40% | ||||||
7 | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 53% | ||||||
Mercury Public Affairs (D) [P] | Apr 26 – May 1, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | BA [B] | 14% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 14% | 6% | 21% | – | 26% |
1 | 15% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 18% | 8% | 35% | – | |||||
2 | 15% | 8% | 5% | 6% | – | 19% | 11% | 36% | ||||||
3 | 15% | 8% | – | 7% | – | 20% | 12% | 36% | ||||||
4 | 17% | 9% | – | – | – | 21% | 13% | 40% | ||||||
5 | 19% | – | – | – | – | 24% | 14% | 43% | ||||||
6 | 23% | – | – | – | – | 28% | – | 48% | ||||||
7 | – | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | 61% | ||||||
Benenson Strategy Group (D) [Q] | Apr 16–21, 2021 | 1,558 (LV) | ± 2.5% | BA [B] | 17% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 22% | 1% | 14% |
1 | 20% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 12% | 10% | 26% | – | |||||
2 | 21% | 8% | – | 10% | 9% | 14% | 11% | 27% | ||||||
3 | 22% | – | – | 11% | 10% | 16% | 12% | 30% | ||||||
4 | 23% | – | – | 12% | – | 18% | 15% | 32% | ||||||
5 | 27% | – | – | – | – | 20% | 18% | 36% | ||||||
6 | 31% | – | – | – | – | 26% | – | 43% | ||||||
7 | 44% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 56% | ||||||
Ipsos [L] | Apr 1–15, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.7% | BA [B] | 13% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 14% | 8% | 23% | – | 21% |
1 | 17% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 17% | 10% | 29% | – | |||||
2 | 18% | 7% | – | 7% | 8% | 19% | 11% | 30% | ||||||
3 | 18% | – | – | 9% | 8% | 21% | 12% | 32% | ||||||
4 | 20% | – | – | 10% | – | 22% | 15% | 34% | ||||||
5 | 23% | – | – | – | – | 25% | 16% | 36% | ||||||
6 | 27% | – | – | – | – | 30% | – | 43% | ||||||
7 | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | – | 57% | ||||||
Data for Progress (D) | Mar 21 – Apr 5, 2021 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.0% | BA [B] | 13% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 26% | 5% "A different candidate": 4% Menchaca: 1% | 14% |
8 | 41% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | – | |||||
8 [R] | – | 27% | – | – | – | – | – | 73% | ||||||
8 [S] | – | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | 61% | ||||||
8 [T] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 32% | 68% | ||||||
Slingshot Strategies (D) [N] | Mar 12–18, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA [B] | 15% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 7% | 25% | 3% Menchaca: 2% "Other": 1% | 20% |
1 | 18% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 15% | 9% | 31% | 4% Menchaca: 3% "Other": 1% | – | ||||
2 | 18% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 15% | 9% | 31% | 3% Menchaca: 3% | |||||
3 | 18% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 16% | 10% | 32% | – | |||||
4 | 19% | 6% | 10% | 6% | – | 16% | 11% | 32% | – | |||||
5 | 20% | – | 10% | 7% | – | 18% | 11% | 33% | – | |||||
6 | 22% | – | 11% | – | – | 19% | 12% | 35% | – | |||||
7 | 24% | – | – | – | – | 22% | 15% | 39% | – | |||||
8 | 28% | – | – | – | – | 26% | – | 46% | – | |||||
9 | 41% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | – | |||||
Slingshot Strategies (D) [N] | Jan 15–19, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA [B] | 17% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 8% | 25% | 1% "Other": 1% Iscol: <1% Menchaca: <1% Sutton: <1% | 32% |
1 | 26% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 18% | 11% | 37% | 2% Sutton: 1% "Other": 1% Iscol: <1% Menchaca: <1% | – | ||||
2 | 26% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 11% | 37% | 1% Sutton: 1% Iscol: <1% Menchaca: <1% | |||||
3 | 26% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 11% | 37% | 1% Sutton: 1% Menchaca: <1% | |||||
4 | 26% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 11% | 37% | 1% Sutton: 1% | |||||
5 | 26% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 12% | 37% | – | |||||
6 | 26% | – | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 12% | 37% | – | |||||
7 | 26% | – | 2% | – | 2% | 20% | 12% | 38% | – | |||||
8 | 27% | – | 3% | – | – | 20% | 12% | 39% | – | |||||
9 | 27% | – | – | – | – | 20% | 13% | 39% | – | |||||
10 | 30% | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | 46% | – | |||||
11 | 39% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 61% | – | |||||
Slingshot Strategies (D) | Nov 30 – Dec 6, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA [B] | 11% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 11% | 7% | 17% | 20% Quinn: 7% Rose: 5% Menchaca: 3% Iscol: 2% Sutton: 2% "Other": 1% | 25% |
1 | 15% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 23% | 25% Quinn: 10% Rose: 6% Menchaca: 3% Iscol: 2% Sutton: 2% "Other": 2% | – | ||||
2 | 15% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 23% | 26% Quinn: 10% Rose: 7% Menchaca: 4% Iscol: 3% Sutton: 2% | |||||
3 | 16% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 15% | 9% | 23% | 24% Quinn: 10% Rose: 7% Menchaca: 4% Iscol: 3% | |||||
4 | 16% | 3% | 5% | 3% | – | 15% | 9% | 24% | 24% Quinn: 10% Rose: 7% Menchaca: 4% Iscol: 3% | |||||
5 | 16% | 3% | 6% | 3% | – | 15% | 9% | 24% | 22% Quinn: 11% Rose: 7% Menchaca: 4% | |||||
6 | 16% | – | 6% | 4% | – | 16% | 10% | 24% | 24% Quinn: 11% Rose: 8% Menchaca: 5% | |||||
7 | 17% | – | 6% | – | – | 17% | 10% | 25% | 25% Quinn: 11% Rose: 9% Menchaca: 5% | |||||
8 | 18% | – | 7% | – | – | 18% | 11% | 26% | 21% Quinn: 12% Rose: 9% | |||||
9 | 19% | – | – | – | – | 18% | 12% | 27% | 23% Quinn: 13% Rose: 10% | |||||
10 | 21% | – | – | – | – | 21% | 14% | 29% | 14% Quinn: 14% | |||||
11 | 26% | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | 33% | 17% Quinn: 17% | |||||
12 | 30% | – | – | – | – | 29% | – | 41% | – | |||||
13 | 42% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 58% | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [A] | Margin of error | Eric Adams | Shaun Donovan | Kathryn Garcia | Raymond McGuire | Dianne Morales | Scott Stringer | Maya Wiley | Andrew Yang | Others | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D) | Jun 18–20, 2021 | 1,354 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 26% | 3% | 18% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 21% | 12% | 2% | 6% |
Citizen Data [D] [c] | Jun 14–17, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 32% | 5% | 18% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 11% | 2% | – |
Ipsos | Jun 10–17, 2021 | 702 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 27% | 4% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 9% | 12% | 20% | <1% | 7% |
Emerson College [F] [c] | Jun 15–16, 2021 | 664 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 23% | 2% | 17% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 14% | 1% Chang: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% | 10% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [U] | Jun 10–15, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 21% | 3% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 17% | 10% | 1% | 21% |
Change Research (D) [G] [c] | Jun 11–14, 2021 | 822 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 23% | 4% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 12% | 0% Chang: 0% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% | 10% |
Schoen Cooperman Research (D) [H] [c] | Jun 10–13, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 22% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 18% | 0% | 7% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [I] [c] | Jun 9–13, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 21% | 4% | 20% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 18% | 13% | 2% Chang: 1% Taylor: 1% Prince: <1% Foldenauer: 0% Wright: 0% | 9% |
Data for Progress (D) | Jun 7–13, 2021 | 998 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 26% | 2% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 20% | 16% | 3% | 4% |
Honan Strategy Group (D) [J] | May 26 – Jun 10, 2021 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 31% | 9% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 7% | 21% | – | 9% |
Marist College [K] [c] | Jun 3–9, 2021 | 876 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 24% | 3% | 17% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 13% | 2% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Foldenauer: <1% Taylor: <1% Wright: <1% | 13% |
Emerson College [F] [c] | Jun 7–8, 2021 | 725 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 23% | 4% | 12% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 17% | 15% | 4% Taylor: 2% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Wright: 0% | 12% |
Slingshot Strategies (D) [N] [c] | Jun 1–6, 2021 | 1,191 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 17% | 3% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 8% | 16% | 7% Foldenauer: 4% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Wright: 1% Taylor: 0% "Other": 0% | 12% |
Media Predict [V] | May 27 – Jun 6, 2021 | 501 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 20% | 4% | 15% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 19% | – | 20% |
Ipsos [L] | May 17–31, 2021 | 906 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 22% | 3% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 10% | 9% | 16% | <1% | 16% |
Emerson College [F] [c] | May 23–24, 2021 | 570 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 20% | 5% | 21% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 16% | 2% Foldenauer: 1% Prince: 1% Chang: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% | 9% |
Slingshot Strategies (D) [N] [c] | May 17–20, 2021 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 16% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 13% | 8% | 19% | 7% Foldenauer: 4% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% "Other": 0% | 13% |
Core Decision Analytics [W] | May 15–19, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 18% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 1% | 26% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [I] [c] | May 14–17, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 18% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 19% | 2% Prince: 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Foldenauer: 0% Taylor: 0% | 14% |
Emerson College [F] [c] | May 13–15, 2021 | 631 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 18% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 15% | 4% | 15% | 3% Chang: 2% Taylor: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Wright: 0% | 23% |
Change Research (D) [c] | May 11–12, 2021 | 418 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 21% | 6% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 18% | 2% "Would not vote": 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% | 18% |
Change Research (D) [c] | May 6–12, 2021 | 1,422 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 19% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 16% | 2% "Would not vote": 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% | 20% |
Schoen Cooperman Research (D) [O] [c] | May 4–9, 2021 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 17% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 21% | 1% | 17% |
Slingshot Strategies (D) [N] [c] | Apr 20–27 and May 3–6, 2021 | 1,393 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 10% | 6% | 15% | 7% | 21% | 6% Foldenauer: 3% Chang: 1% Wright: 1% "Other": 1% Prince: 0% | 13% |
275 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 9% | 4% | – [X] | 8% | 27% | 9% "Other": 4% Foldenauer: 3% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Wright: 0% | 15% | ||
Honan Strategy Group (D) [Y] | Apr 24 – May 2, 2021 | 1,100 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 22% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 12% | 13% | 3% | 20% | 1% | 25% |
Mercury Public Affairs (D) [P] [c] | Apr 26 – May 1, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 14% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 14% | 6% | 21% | – | 26% |
GQR Research (D) [Z] | Apr 27–29, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 21% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 15% | 7% | 18% | 1% | 11% |
Slingshot Strategies (D) [N] [c] | Apr 20–27, 2021 | 824 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 16% | 6% | 24% | 5% Foldenauer: 3% Chang: 1% "Other": 1% Prince: 0% Wright: 0% | 14% |
Benenson Strategy Group (D) [Q] [c] | Apr 16–21, 2021 | 1,558 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 17% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 22% | 1% | 14% |
Ipsos [L] | Apr 1–15, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 11% | 7% | 22% | <1% | 26% |
Data for Progress (D) | Mar 21 – Apr 5, 2021 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 26% | 5% "A different candidate": 4% Menchaca: 1% | 14% |
Core Decision Analytics [W] | Mar 15–18, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 16% | 1% | 50% |
Slingshot Strategies (D) [N] [c] | Mar 12–18, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 15% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 7% | 25% | 3% Menchaca: 2% "Other": 1% | 20% |
Emerson College [F] | Mar 4–6, 2021 | 644 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 19% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 32% | 2% Chang: 1% Menchaca: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Kavovit: 0% Sutton: 0% Taylor: 0% | 17% |
Media Predict [V] | Feb 12–25, 2021 | 894 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 11% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 27% | 2% Menchaca: 2% | 34% |
Core Decision Analytics [W] | Jan 20–25, 2021 | 842 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 17% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 13% | 8% | 28% | 1% Iscol: 1% | 19% |
Slingshot Strategies (D) [N] [c] | Jan 15–19, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 17% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 8% | 25% | 1% "Other": 1% Iscol: <1% Menchaca: <1% Sutton: <1% | 32% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [AA] | Dec 16–17, 2020 | 755 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 16% | – | – | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 17% | 6% Quinn: 6% | 40% |
Slingshot Strategies (D) | Nov 30 – Dec 6, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 11% | 7% | 20% | 17% Quinn: 7% Rose: 6% Menchaca: 2% Iscol: 1% Sutton: 1% "Other": 0% | 20% |
Data for Progress (D) | Jan 13–19, 2020 | 366 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 9% | – | – | – | 2% | 5% | – | – | 38% Johnson: 10% Díaz Jr.: 8% Liu: 7% Quinn: 6% Brewer: 2% Mark-Viverto: 2% Taylor: 2% Foldenauer: 1% Sutton: 0% | 46% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [A] | Margin of error | Eric Adams | Kathryn Garcia | Raymond McGuire | Dianne Morales | Scott Stringer | Maya Wiley | Andrew Yang | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Slingshot Strategies (D) [N] | Jun 1–6, 2021 | 1,191 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | 15% |
– | 41% | – | – | – | – | 45% | 14% | ||||
– | – | – | – | 36% | – | 46% | 18% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 32% | 51% | 17% | ||||
Slingshot Strategies (D) [N] | May 17–20, 2021 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 37% | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | 18% |
– | – | – | – | 36% | – | 44% | 21% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 34% | 45% | 21% | ||||
Honan Strategy Group (D) [Y] | Apr 24 – May 2, 2021 | 1,100 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | – | 12% | – | – | – | – | 37% |
44% | – | – | – | 33% | – | – | 24% | ||||
50% | – | – | – | – | 19% | – | 31% | ||||
39% | – | – | – | – | – | 38% | 23% | ||||
30% | – | – | 19% | – | 5% | 22% | 23% | ||||
31% | – | – | – | 20% | 8% | 26% | 16% | ||||
Slingshot Strategies (D) [N] | Apr 20–27, 2021 | 824 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 31% | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | 25% |
– | – | – | – | 33% | – | 47% | 21% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 25% | 51% | 24% | ||||
Slingshot Strategies (D) [N] | Mar 12–18, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 33% | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | 20% |
– | – | – | – | 27% | – | 52% | 21% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 20% | 54% | 26% | ||||
Slingshot Strategies (D) [N] | Jan 15–19, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 27% | – | – | – | – | – | 48% | 25% |
– | – | – | – | 27% | – | 49% | 24% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 20% | 50% | 30% |
On June 29, the New York City Board of Elections became aware of a discrepancy in the unofficial primary results and subsequently posted in a tweet that both test and election night results were tallied together in an error, adding approximately 135,000 additional votes. [250]
On July 6, after new vote tallies were released, the Associated Press declared Eric Adams to be the winner of the primary. [251] The Guardian stated that Adams had prevailed "after appealing to the political center and promising to strike the right balance between fighting crime and ending racial injustice in policing". [252] An earlier report from The New York Times asserted that Adams had run as a "working-class underdog" and had "hammered away at the message that he was the only candidate who could tackle both crime and police reform". [253] The Associated Press later added that Adams had made "his rejection of left-leaning activists’ calls to defund the police" a "centerpiece of his campaign". [254]
Adams was heavily favored to prevail in the general election. [255] [256] [257]
2021 New York City mayoral Democratic primary election [1] | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Round 1 | Round 2 | Round 3 | Round 4 | Round 5 | Round 6 | Round 7 | Round 8 | ||||||||||
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||
Eric Adams | 289,403 | 30.7% | 289,603 | 30.8% | 290,055 | 30.8% | 291,806 | 31.2% | 295,798 | 31.7% | 317,092 | 34.6% | 354,657 | 40.5% | Won 404,513 | Won 50.4% | ||
Kathryn Garcia | 184,463 | 19.6% | 184,571 | 19.6% | 184,669 | 19.6% | 186,731 | 19.9% | 191,876 | 20.5% | 223,634 | 24.4% | 266,932 | 30.5% | 397,316 | 49.6% | ||
Maya Wiley | 201,127 | 21.4% | 201,193 | 21.4% | 201,518 | 21.4% | 206,013 | 22.0% | 209,108 | 22.4% | 239,174 | 26.1% | 254,728 | 29.1% | Eliminated | |||
Andrew Yang | 115,130 | 12.2% | 115,301 | 12.2% | 115,502 | 12.3% | 118,808 | 12.6% | 121,597 | 13.0% | 135,686 | 14.8% | Eliminated | |||||
Scott Stringer | 51,778 | 5.5% | 51,850 | 5.5% | 51,951 | 5.5% | 53,599 | 5.7% | 56,723 | 6.1% | Eliminated | |||||||
Dianne Morales | 26,495 | 2.8% | 26,534 | 2.8% | 26,645 | 2.8% | 30,157 | 3.2% | 30,933 | 3.3% | Eliminated | |||||||
Raymond McGuire | 25,242 | 2.7% | 25,272 | 2.7% | 25,418 | 2.7% | 26,361 | 2.8% | 27,934 | 3.0% | Eliminated | |||||||
Shaun Donovan | 23,167 | 2.5% | 23,189 | 2.5% | 23,314 | 2.5% | 24,042 | 2.6% | Eliminated | |||||||||
Aaron Foldenauer | 7,742 | 0.8% | 7,758 | 0.8% | 7,819 | 0.8% | Eliminated | |||||||||||
Art Chang | 7,048 | 0.7% | 7,064 | 0.8% | 7,093 | 0.8% | Eliminated | |||||||||||
Paperboy Prince | 3,964 | 0.4% | 4,007 | 0.4% | 4,060 | 0.4% | Eliminated | |||||||||||
Joycelyn Taylor | 2,662 | 0.3% | 2,683 | 0.3% | 2,780 | 0.3% | Eliminated | |||||||||||
Isaac Wright Jr. | 2,242 | 0.2% | 2,254 | 0.2% | Eliminated | |||||||||||||
Write-ins | 1,568 | 0.2% | Eliminated | |||||||||||||||
Inactive ballots | 0 ballots | 752 ballots | 1,207 ballots | 5,314 ballots | 8,062 ballots | 26,445 ballots | 65,714 ballots | 140,202 ballots | ||||||||||
Candidate | Maximum round | Maximum votes | Share in maximum round | Maximum votes First round votesTransfer votes |
---|---|---|---|---|
Eric Adams | 1 | 404,513 | 42.9% | |
Kathryn Garcia | 1 | 397,316 | 42.2% | |
Maya Wiley | 1 | 254,728 | 27.0% | |
Andrew Yang | 1 | 135,686 | 14.4% | |
Scott Stringer | 1 | 56,723 | 6.0% | |
Exhausted votes | 140,202 | 14.9% | |
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