1964 United States presidential election in Virginia

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1964 United States presidential election in Virginia
Flag of Virginia.svg
  1960 November 3, 1964 1968  
  37 Lyndon Johnson 3x4 (cropped).jpg Goldwater and Miller (cropped).jpg
Nominee Lyndon B. Johnson Barry Goldwater
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Texas Arizona
Running mate Hubert Humphrey William E. Miller
Electoral vote120
Popular vote558,038481,334
Percentage53.53%46.17%

Virginia Presidential Election Results 1964.svg
County and Independent City Results

President before election

Lyndon B. Johnson
Democratic

Elected President

Lyndon B. Johnson
Democratic

The 1964 United States presidential election in Virginia took place on November 3, 1964. All 50 states and the District of Columbia were part of the 1964 United States presidential election. Virginia voters chose 12 electors to the Electoral College, which selected the president and vice president of the United States.

Contents

For the previous six decades Virginia had almost completely disenfranchised its black and poor white populations through the use of a cumulative poll tax and literacy tests. [1] So restricted was suffrage in this period that it has been calculated that a third of Virginia’s electorate during the first half of the twentieth century comprised state employees and officeholders. [1]

This limited electorate allowed Virginian politics to be controlled for four decades by the Byrd Organization, as progressive “antiorganization” factions were rendered impotent by the inability of almost all their potential electorate to vote. [2] Historical fusion with the “Readjuster” Democrats, [3] defection of substantial proportions of the Northeast-aligned white electorate of the Shenandoah Valley and Southwest Virginia over free silver, [4] and an early move towards a “lily white” Jim Crow party [3] meant Republicans retained a small but permanent number of legislative seats and local offices in the western part of the state. [5]

In 1928, the GOP did carry the state’s presidential electoral votes due to anti-Catholicism against Al Smith, but it was 1952 before any real changes occurred, as in-migration from the traditionally Republican Northeast [6] meant that growing Washington, D.C., and Richmond suburbs would turn Republican not just in presidential elections but in Congressional ones as well, [7] although the Republicans would not make significant gains in the state legislature. Opposition to the black civil rights legislation of Harry S. Truman meant that the Byrd Organization did not support Adlai Stevenson II or John F. Kennedy. [8] Although the Organization viewed the national Republican party as no better on civil rights—it opposed the “massive resistance” orchestrated by Senator Byrd after Brown v. Board of Education —Byrd’s silence helped Eisenhower and Nixon win the state three consecutive times between 1952 and 1960.

For 1964, it was evident that Virginia’s electorate would be substantially increased by the Twenty-fourth Amendment, which banned the poll tax in federal elections and allowed major increases in voter registration during the preceding year. [9] Efforts by civil rights groups to register black voters would help black voter registration double vis-à-vis 1960. [10] At the same time, Republican nominee Arizona Senator Barry Goldwater voted against the Civil Rights Act and targeted the South as critical to winning the election against incumbent President Lyndon B. Johnson who signed that Act in August 1964, whilst most Byrd Democrats endorsed Johnson—this being the first time since 1936 the Organization had done so. [10]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Wall Street Journal [11] Likely RSeptember 29, 1964
Honolulu Advertiser [12] Lean D (flip)October 18, 1964
The Progress-Index [13] Tilt D (flip)October 25, 1964
The Chicago Tribune [14] TossupOctober 29, 1964
Fort Lauderdale News [15] Tilt RNovember 1, 1964
The Charlotte Observer [16] Lean D (flip)November 1, 1964
Los Angeles Times [17] TossupNovember 1, 1964

Results

1964 United States presidential election in Virginia [18]
PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Democratic Lyndon B. Johnson (inc.)558,03853.53%12
Republican Barry Goldwater 481,33446.17%0
Socialist Labor Eric Hass 2,8950.28%0
American Nazi George Lincoln Rockwell (Write-in)2120.02%0
Totals1,042,479100.00%12

Results by county or independent city

County/City [19] Lyndon B. Johnson
Democratic
Barry Goldwater
Republican
Eric Hass
Socialist Labor
MarginTotal votes cast
# %# %# %# %
Accomack 3,52852.79%3,14547.06%100.15%3835.73%6,683
Albemarle 3,06248.49%3,25151.48%20.03%-189-2.99%6,315
Alexandria 16,82865.52%8,82534.36%300.12%8,00331.16%25,683
Alleghany 1,58058.85%1,10441.12%10.04%47617.73%2,685
Amelia 88439.48%1,34860.21%70.31%-464-20.73%2,239
Amherst 2,73050.46%2,67549.45%50.09%551.01%5,410
Appomattox 1,33935.32%2,44464.47%80.21%-1,105-29.15%3,791
Arlington 33,56761.75%20,48537.68%3110.57%13,08224.07%54,363
Augusta 4,03948.24%4,32751.68%60.07%-288-3.44%8,372
Bath 77059.88%51640.12%00.00%25419.76%1,286
Bedford 4,07651.50%3,80648.09%320.40%2703.41%7,914
Bland 85154.20%71745.67%20.13%1348.53%1,570
Botetourt 2,37753.11%2,09846.87%10.02%2796.24%4,476
Bristol 2,42965.24%1,28934.62%50.13%1,14030.62%3,723
Brunswick 1,88342.35%2,56057.58%30.07%-677-15.23%4,446
Buchanan 4,75666.76%2,34932.97%190.27%2,40733.79%7,124
Buckingham 1,18243.25%1,54756.60%40.15%-365-13.35%2,733
Buena Vista 69159.93%45939.81%30.26%23220.12%1,153
Campbell 3,40137.19%5,71362.47%310.34%-2,312-25.28%9,145
Caroline 2,06463.64%1,16635.95%130.40%89827.69%3,243
Carroll 2,51740.95%3,61758.85%120.20%-1,100-17.90%6,146
Charles City 1,02375.89%32323.96%20.15%70051.93%1,348
Charlotte 1,19137.48%1,97462.11%130.41%-783-24.63%3,178
Charlottesville 5,20553.64%4,41545.50%840.87%7908.14%9,704
Chesapeake 9,53251.19%9,03848.54%510.27%4942.65%18,621
Chesterfield 8,37632.38%17,48667.59%90.03%-9,110-35.21%25,871
Clarke 1,13651.50%1,06848.41%20.09%683.09%2,206
Clifton Forge 1,25259.56%85040.44%00.00%40219.12%2,102
Colonial Heights 1,19833.09%2,42066.85%20.06%-1,222-33.76%3,620
Covington 2,05564.10%1,14935.84%20.06%90628.26%3,206
Craig 76761.66%47738.34%00.00%29023.32%1,244
Culpeper 1,88651.46%1,77548.43%40.11%1113.03%3,665
Cumberland 87144.06%1,09955.59%70.35%-228-11.53%1,977
Danville 4,53935.67%7,90062.09%2852.24%-3,361-26.42%12,724
Dickenson 3,48561.80%2,14338.00%110.20%1,34223.80%5,639
Dinwiddie 2,18250.92%2,09648.91%70.16%862.01%4,285
Essex 76049.03%78950.90%10.06%-29-1.87%1,550
Fairfax 48,68061.22%30,75538.68%820.10%17,92522.54%79,517
Fairfax City 2,83559.48%1,92440.37%70.15%91119.11%4,766
Falls Church 2,37163.96%1,32935.85%70.19%1,04228.11%3,707
Fauquier 3,50662.46%2,10137.43%60.11%1,40525.03%5,613
Floyd 1,14438.32%1,83661.51%50.17%-692-23.19%2,985
Fluvanna County 1,00854.96%82344.87%30.16%18510.09%1,834
Franklin 3,44760.08%2,27939.72%110.19%1,16820.36%5,737
Franklin City 1,25761.59%78338.36%10.05%47423.23%2,041
Frederick 2,88052.61%2,58547.22%90.16%2955.39%5,474
Fredericksburg 2,41061.35%1,51138.47%70.18%89922.88%3,928
Galax 71750.64%69749.22%20.14%201.42%1,416
Giles 3,13360.63%1,95237.78%821.59%1,18122.85%5,167
Gloucester 1,94954.40%1,63145.52%30.08%3188.88%3,583
Goochland 1,45253.84%1,24146.01%40.15%2117.83%2,697
Grayson 3,23850.98%3,10548.88%90.14%1332.10%6,352
Greene 46041.67%64158.06%30.27%-181-16.39%1,104
Greensville 2,26250.06%2,24549.68%120.27%170.38%4,519
Halifax 2,19835.77%3,92863.93%180.29%-1,730-28.16%6,144
Hampton 13,54260.76%8,73139.17%150.07%4,81121.59%22,288
Hanover 2,86436.95%4,87962.95%80.10%-2,015-26.00%7,751
Harrisonburg 1,76549.16%1,82050.70%50.14%-55-1.54%3,590
Henrico 12,77930.37%29,28669.59%170.04%-16,507-39.22%42,082
Henry 5,29564.70%2,84434.75%450.55%2,45129.95%8,184
Highland 47648.13%51151.67%20.20%-35-3.54%989
Hopewell 2,49843.89%3,18355.93%100.18%-685-12.04%5,691
Isle of Wight 2,65660.38%1,73739.49%60.14%91920.89%4,399
James City 1,74461.43%1,09238.46%30.11%65222.97%2,839
King and Queen 78652.79%69946.94%40.27%875.85%1,489
King George 1,08562.75%64437.25%00.00%44125.50%1,729
King William 90445.77%1,06553.92%60.30%-161-8.15%1,975
Lancaster 1,24542.77%1,66357.13%30.10%-418-14.36%2,911
Lee 5,15159.71%3,46340.15%120.14%1,68819.56%8,626
Loudoun 4,27862.21%2,59437.72%50.07%1,68424.49%6,877
Louisa 1,73155.78%1,36944.12%30.10%36211.66%3,103
Lunenburg 1,12837.89%1,84762.04%20.07%-719-24.15%2,977
Lynchburg 6,75840.14%10,04459.66%320.19%-3,286-19.52%16,834
Madison 86244.83%1,06055.12%10.05%-198-10.29%1,923
Martinsville 2,94361.01%1,80537.42%761.58%1,13823.59%4,824
Mathews 1,13749.74%1,14950.26%00.00%-12-0.52%2,286
Mecklenburg 3,23839.36%4,97660.48%130.16%-1,738-21.12%8,227
Middlesex County 97348.77%1,01951.08%30.15%-46-2.31%1,995
Montgomery 3,87245.61%4,60454.23%130.15%-732-8.62%8,489
Nansemond 4,80464.79%2,59034.93%210.28%2,21429.86%7,415
Nelson 1,63564.52%89335.24%60.24%74229.28%2,534
New Kent 68450.11%67749.60%40.29%70.51%1,365
Newport News 15,29659.07%10,58440.87%140.05%4,71218.20%25,894
Norfolk 32,38862.83%18,42935.75%7291.41%13,95927.08%51,546
Northampton 1,51648.86%1,58651.11%10.03%-70-2.25%3,103
Northumberland 98840.86%1,42358.85%70.29%-435-17.99%2,418
Norton 82468.90%37231.10%00.00%45237.80%1,196
Nottoway 2,13847.52%2,35352.30%80.18%-215-4.78%4,499
Orange 1,50848.54%1,59551.34%40.13%-87-2.80%3,107
Page 2,60648.09%2,80451.74%90.17%-198-3.65%5,419
Patrick 2,30661.07%1,46838.88%20.05%83822.19%3,776
Petersburg 4,52158.15%3,25341.84%10.01%1,26816.31%7,775
Pittsylvania 5,22842.25%7,12057.54%250.20%-1,892-15.29%12,373
Portsmouth 16,07365.49%8,42034.31%510.21%7,65331.18%24,544
Powhatan 96945.03%1,18254.93%10.05%-213-9.90%2,152
Prince Edward 1,51237.20%2,54562.62%70.17%-1,033-25.42%4,064
Prince George 1,50245.58%1,79054.32%30.09%-288-8.74%3,295
Prince William 5,61162.60%3,34337.30%90.10%2,26825.30%8,963
Pulaski 3,62053.82%3,10146.10%50.07%5197.72%6,726
Radford 1,85055.09%1,50544.82%30.09%34510.27%3,358
Rappahannock 67559.89%44939.84%30.27%22620.05%1,127
Richmond 63641.30%90158.51%30.19%-265-17.21%1,540
Richmond City 35,66256.71%27,19643.24%320.05%8,46613.47%62,890
Roanoke 8,80845.09%10,71454.84%140.07%-1,906-9.75%19,536
Roanoke City 15,31453.74%13,16446.20%180.06%2,1507.54%28,496
Rockbridge 2,59954.08%2,20045.78%70.15%3998.30%4,806
Rockingham 4,20550.28%4,15549.68%30.04%500.60%8,363
Russell 4,33058.78%3,01240.89%250.34%1,31817.89%7,367
Scott 4,72050.92%4,53348.90%160.17%1872.02%9,269
Shenandoah 3,18444.42%3,98155.54%30.04%-797-11.12%7,168
Smyth 4,11351.72%3,83048.16%90.11%2833.56%7,952
South Boston 63634.51%1,20665.44%10.05%-570-30.93%1,843
Southampton 2,56662.74%1,52037.16%40.10%1,04625.58%4,090
Spotsylvania 2,09762.28%1,26137.45%90.27%83624.83%3,367
Stafford 2,46956.58%1,88843.26%70.16%58113.32%4,364
Staunton 2,70547.62%2,96952.27%60.11%-264-4.65%5,680
Suffolk 1,57951.87%1,46348.06%20.07%1163.81%3,044
Surry 1,13152.85%1,00446.92%50.23%1275.93%2,140
Sussex 1,23444.47%1,53755.39%40.14%-303-10.92%2,775
Tazewell 6,08164.57%3,23134.31%1051.12%2,85030.26%9,417
Virginia Beach 12,89255.00%10,52944.92%210.09%2,36310.08%23,442
Warren 2,49456.81%1,88642.96%100.23%60813.85%4,390
Washington 5,07054.95%4,14644.94%100.11%92410.01%9,226
Waynesboro 2,36952.28%2,10746.50%551.21%2625.78%4,531
Westmoreland 1,31252.50%1,18147.26%60.24%1315.24%2,499
Williamsburg 1,17155.95%90643.29%160.76%26512.66%2,093
Winchester 2,25450.80%2,18049.13%30.07%741.67%4,437
Wise 7,22068.51%3,30931.40%100.09%3,91137.11%10,539
Wythe 2,87949.10%2,95850.45%260.44%-79-1.35%5,863
York 3,38552.98%2,99246.83%120.19%3936.15%6,389
Totals558,03853.54%481,33446.18%2,8950.28%76,7047.36%1,042,267

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties and Independent Cities that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Analysis

Virginia would be won by Johnson with 53.54 percent of the vote, making this the first time since 1948 that Virginia backed a Democratic presidential candidate. Johnson won the national election in a landslide with 61.05 percent of the vote, which actually made Virginia Goldwater’s tenth-best state nationally, 15.22 percentage points more Republican than the nation at large. The state would not vote for another Democratic candidate until Barack Obama won the state in 2008. Johnson’s victory saw major changes in Virginia voting patterns compared to previous presidential elections. Despite the state shifting from Richard Nixon to Johnson, nine counties in the Southside region, which had been the stronghold of the Byrd Organization, would shift from Kennedy to Goldwater due to opposition to Johnson’s civil rights proposals by an almost exclusively white electorate. [20] In Charlotte County, Johnson lost 29 points from John F. Kennedy’s 1960 vote percentage. [19] At the same time, the Shenandoah Valley, where pietistic Protestant sects supportive of civil rights were influential, [9] alongside the heavily unionized southwestern coalfields and Northeastern-aligned Northern Virginia, would see a strong swing towards Johnson, aided by growth in poor white voter registration from the Twenty-Fourth Amendment. [10] Despite this, a majority of white Virginians undoubtedly backed Goldwater, [21] and a doubling of a black presidential vote that almost unanimously supported Johnson was critical for his win. [10]

As of the 2020 presidential election , this remains the last occasion when Amherst County, Bland County, Clarke County, Culpeper County, Fauquier County, Frederick County, Rockingham County, Washington County, York County and the city of Waynesboro have voted for a Democratic presidential candidate. [22] Prince William County and Winchester City would not vote Democratic again until 2008. [20] Fairfax County, Virginia's most populous county, would not vote Democratic again until 2004, having previously voted Democratic in 1940. [20] The independent city of Virginia Beach would not vote Democratic again until 2020. This also remains the last time that Virginia and neighboring West Virginia would simultaneously vote Democratic in a presidential election.

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References

  1. 1 2 Kousser, J. Morgan. The Shaping of Southern Politics: Suffrage Restriction and the Establishment of the One-Party South, 1880-1910. Yale University Press. pp. 178–181. ISBN   0-300-01696-4.
  2. Key, Valdimer Orlando (1949). Southern Politics in State and Nation. pp. 20–25.
  3. 1 2 Heersink, Boris; Jenkins, Jeffrey A. Republican Party Politics and the American South, 1865-1968. pp. 217–221. ISBN   1107158435.
  4. Moger, Allen. "The Rift in Virginia Democracy in 1896". The Journal of Southern History . 4 (3): 295–317.
  5. Phillips, Kevin P.; The Emerging Republican Majority, pp. 210, 242 ISBN   978-0-691-16324-6
  6. Heinemann, Ronald L. (2008). Old Dominion, New Commonwealth: A History of Virginia, 1607-2007. Charlottesville: University of Virginia Press. p. 357. ISBN   0813927692.
  7. Atkinson, Frank B. (2006). The Dynamic Dominion: Realignment and the Rise of Two-party Competition in Virginia, 1945-1980. Rowman & Littlefield. ISBN   9780742552098.
  8. Ely, James W. (1976). The Crisis of Conservative Virginia: the Byrd Organization and the Politics of Massive Resistance. Knoxville, Tennessee: University of Tennessee Press. p. 16. ISBN   0870491881.
  9. 1 2 Sweeney, James R. (1994). "A New Day in the Old Dominion". Virginia Magazine of History and Biography. 102 (3): 307–348.
  10. 1 2 3 4 Davidson, Chandler; Grofman, Bernard (1994). Quiet revolution in the South: the impact of the Voting rights act, 1965-1990. pp. 275–276. ISBN   0691032475.
  11. Sullivan, Joseph W. (September 19, 1964). "The GOP in Dixie: Civil Rights Stand Gives Goldwater a Wide Lead In Most of the South Survey Finds Senator Ahead Everywhere but in Texas; Other Republicans Benefit But Margin Has Narrowed". The Wall Street Journal . p. 1.
  12. Carpenter, Leslie (October 18, 1964). "Somebody's Going To Be Jobless — "What Next" Is Question for the Losing Candidate". The Sunday Star-Bulletin and Advertiser . Honolulu. p. A16.
  13. Daffron, John F. (October 25, 1964). "State Return to Democrats Very Likely". The Progress-Index . Petersburg, Virginia. pp. 1, 6.
  14. Manly, Chely (October 29, 1964). "Johnson Gains in South but Dixie Is Still Strong for Barry: Goldwater Keeps Loyal Army of Backers". The Chicago Tribune . p. 5.
  15. "How Survey by United Press International Sees Presidential Race: State-by-State Outlooks for Elections Outcomes". Fort Lauderdale News. Fort Lauderdale, Florida. November 1, 1964. pp. C1.
  16. "A State-by-State Report on How All Major Races Look". The Charlotte Observer . November 1, 1964. pp. 18A.
  17. Kraslow, David (November 1, 1964). "How South Will Vote Remains Big Question: Goldwater "Fairly Safe" in Three States, Johnson in One, Rest Considered Toss-ups". Los Angeles Times . Los Angeles, California. p. 17.
  18. "Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election of November 3, 1964" (PDF). Clerk of the House of Representatives. p. 46.
  19. 1 2 "VA US President Race, November 03, 1964". Our Campaigns.
  20. 1 2 3 Menendez, Albert J. (2005). The Geography of Presidential Elections in the United States, 1868-2004. pp. 326–331. ISBN   0786422173.
  21. Black, Earl (2021). "Competing Responses to the New Southern Politics: Republican and Democratic Southern Strategies, 1964-76". In Reed, John Shelton; Black, Merle (eds.). Perspectives on the American South: An Annual Review of Society, Politics, and Culture. ISBN   9781136764882.
  22. Sullivan, Robert David; ‘How the Red and Blue Map Evolved Over the Past Century’; America Magazine in The National Catholic Review; June 29, 2016