1964 United States presidential election in Idaho

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1964 United States presidential election in Idaho
Flag of Idaho.svg
  1960 November 3, 1964 (1964-11-03) 1968  
  37 Lyndon Johnson 3x4 (cropped).jpg Goldwater and Miller (cropped).jpg
Nominee Lyndon B. Johnson Barry Goldwater
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Texas Arizona
Running mate Hubert Humphrey William E. Miller
Electoral vote40
Popular vote148,920143,577
Percentage50.92%49.08%

Idaho Presidential Election Results 1964.svg
County Results

President before election

Lyndon B. Johnson
Democratic

President-elect

Lyndon B. Johnson
Democratic

The 1964 United States presidential election in Idaho took place on November 3, 1964, as part of the 1964 United States presidential election, which was held throughout all 50 states and Washington, D.C. Voters chose four representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Contents

Idaho was one of 44 states carried by incumbent President Lyndon B. Johnson amidst his national landslide. However, it was Johnson's narrowest victory in the election. He carried the state by a margin of 5,363 votes, or 1.83%, making Idaho about 20.75% more Republican than the nation. Johnson’s strongest performances were in Clearwater and Lewis Counties in the heavily unionized Idaho Panhandle logging country, where he took over 76% of the vote. Goldwater’s strongest performance was in ancestrally Republican Jerome County, with 63% of the vote. While Johnson carried slightly over half of the state’s 44 counties, Goldwater carried most of the more populous counties (such as Ada, Bonneville, Canyon and Twin Falls), thus keeping the vote close.

This is the last presidential election where Idaho was carried by a Democrat, and although Goldwater lost, this election continued the solidification of Idaho as a Republican stronghold. The state trended 13.02% Republican relative to the national swing. While Kennedy had lost the state by 7.5% in 1960, this was in a nearly tied national environment, while Johnson only just managed to carry it amidst a 23-point Democratic landslide nationwide. In eight counties, [lower-alpha 1] Goldwater earned a higher share of the vote than Richard Nixon had – a result observed in only nine other counties outside antebellum slave states. [1] Apart from heavily Catholic Emmons County, North Dakota, Camas and Custer in Idaho were the solitary counties outside antebellum slave states to vote for Kennedy in 1960 and Goldwater in 1964. [1]

No Democrat since Johnson has been able to get forty percent of Idaho’s popular vote, while the only Republicans to fail to pass fifty-five percent have been George H. W. Bush in 1992 and Bob Dole in 1996, [2] [3] in which Ross Perot's third-party candidacies (and that of Bo Gritz in 1992) played a part.

Results

Electoral results
Presidential candidatePartyHome statePopular voteElectoral
vote
Running mate
CountPercentageVice-presidential candidateHome stateElectoral vote
Lyndon B. Johnson Democratic Texas 148,92050.92%4 Hubert Humphrey Minnesota 4
Barry Goldwater Republican Arizona 143,55749.08%0 William E. Miller New York 0
Total292,477100%44
Needed to win270270

Results by county

CountyLyndon Baines Johnson
Democratic
Barry Morris Goldwater
Republican
MarginTotal votes cast
# %# %# %
Ada 19,63943.60%25,40456.40%-5,765-12.80%45,043
Adams 75052.12%68947.88%614.24%1,439
Bannock 13,48363.28%7,82536.72%5,65826.55%21,308
Bear Lake 1,85756.86%1,40943.14%44813.72%3,266
Benewah 1,79664.67%98135.33%81529.35%2,777
Bingham 5,23149.37%5,36450.63%-133-1.26%10,595
Blaine 1,29352.69%1,16147.31%1325.38%2,454
Boise 45052.08%41447.92%364.17%864
Bonner 4,32859.26%2,97540.74%1,35318.53%7,303
Bonneville 9,63747.30%10,73652.70%-1,099-5.39%20,373
Boundary 1,41857.11%1,06542.89%35314.22%2,483
Butte 84856.65%64943.35%19913.29%1,497
Camas 25844.95%31655.05%-58-10.10%574
Canyon 10,60144.05%13,46655.95%-2,865-11.90%24,067
Caribou 1,42252.18%1,30347.82%1194.37%2,725
Cassia 2,60839.41%4,00960.59%-1,401-21.17%6,617
Clark 18641.52%26258.48%-76-16.96%448
Clearwater 2,44676.13%76723.87%1,67952.26%3,213
Custer 71449.79%72050.21%-6-0.42%1,434
Elmore 2,31055.44%1,85744.56%45310.87%4,167
Franklin 1,58339.74%2,40060.26%-817-20.51%3,983
Fremont 1,97050.32%1,94549.68%250.64%3,915
Gem 2,32854.05%1,97945.95%3498.10%4,307
Gooding 1,84842.24%2,52757.76%-679-15.52%4,375
Idaho 3,18861.57%1,99038.43%1,19823.14%5,178
Jefferson 2,06142.93%2,74057.07%-679-14.14%4,801
Jerome 1,82837.00%3,11363.00%-1,285-26.01%4,941
Kootenai 8,21557.40%6,09642.60%2,11914.81%14,311
Latah 5,24960.17%3,47539.83%1,77420.33%8,724
Lemhi 1,06741.63%1,49658.37%-429-16.74%2,563
Lewis 1,55776.17%48723.83%1,07052.35%2,044
Lincoln 61738.90%96961.10%-352-22.19%1,586
Madison 1,94948.12%2,10151.88%-152-3.75%4,050
Minidoka 2,82747.61%3,11152.39%-284-4.78%5,938
Nez Perce 9,24570.27%3,91229.73%5,33340.53%13,157
Oneida 76840.87%1,11159.13%-343-18.25%1,879
Owyhee 1,16848.99%1,21651.01%-48-2.01%2,384
Payette 2,50847.57%2,76452.43%-256-4.86%5,272
Power 1,16154.58%96645.42%1959.17%2,127
Shoshone 5,19464.30%2,88435.70%2,31028.60%8,078
Teton 59846.98%67553.02%-77-6.05%1,273
Twin Falls 7,63839.87%11,51860.13%-3,880-20.25%19,156
Valley 1,12653.47%98046.53%1466.93%2,106
Washington 1,95253.01%1,73046.99%2226.03%3,682
Totals148,92050.92%143,55749.08%5,3631.83%292,477

Analysis

At a more local level, the only counties in Idaho to have ever given a Democrat a majority or plurality since 1968 have been the ski resort counties of Teton and Blaine; and Bonner, Shoshone, Clearwater, Lewis, Nez Perce, Latah, and Benewah Counties in the Panhandle logging region. [4] Of these, Bonner County was carried only by a narrow Bill Clinton plurality in 1992. [5] The Republicans would go on to sweep all forty-four of Idaho's counties in 1972, 1980, and 1984, and all but one, Blaine County, in 2000 and 2004. Since then, only Blaine, Latah, and Teton Counties have been carried by Democrats, although rapidly-urbanizing Ada County (not carried by Johnson) has become strongly contested for Democrats since the late 2010s. [6] As a result, this remains the last election in which Kootenai County, Bannock County, Elmore County, Gem County, Idaho County, Fremont County, Boundary County, Washington County, Valley County, Power County, Boise County, Caribou County, Bear Lake County, Adams County, and Butte County voted for a Democratic presidential candidate. [4]

See also

Notes

  1. Idaho counties giving a higher proportion of their vote to Goldwater than Nixon were Camas, Lemhi, Custer, Lincoln, Jefferson, Jerome, Butte and Gooding.

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References

  1. 1 2 Menendez, Albert J.; The Geography of Presidential Elections in the United States, 1868-2004, p. 87 ISBN   0786422173
  2. "1964 Presidential General Election Results - Idaho". Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved July 2, 2014.
  3. "1964 Presidential General Election Data Graphs – Idaho". Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved July 2, 2014.
  4. 1 2 Sullivan, Robert David; ‘How the Red and Blue Map Evolved Over the Past Century’; America Magazine in The National Catholic Review; June 29, 2016
  5. 1992 Presidential General Election Data Graphs – Idaho by County
  6. "Idaho Election Results". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved August 5, 2021.