2014 Idaho gubernatorial election

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2014 Idaho gubernatorial election
Flag of Idaho.svg
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  Butch and Lori Otter cropped.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Butch Otter A.J. Balukoff
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote235,405169,556
Percentage53.52%38.55%
2014 Idaho gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Otter:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Balukoff:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
Governor before election

Butch Otter
Republican

Elected Governor

Butch Otter
Republican

The 2014 Idaho gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Idaho, concurrently with the election to Idaho's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Republican governor Butch Otter ran for election to a third consecutive term in office. [1] In primary elections held on May 20, 2014, Otter was renominated and the Democrats nominated businessman and president of the Boise School District Board of Trustees A.J. Balukoff. Otter defeated Balukoff and four Independent and Third Party challengers in the general election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Russ Fulcher

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Otter 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Fulcher 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Idaho gubernatorial Republican primary, 2014.svg
Results by county:
  Otter
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Fulcher
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Republican primary results [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Butch Otter (incumbent) 79,786 51.36
Republican Russ Fulcher67,70243.59
Republican Harley Brown5,0843.27
Republican Walt Bayes2,7611.78
Total votes155,333 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • A.J. Balukoff, businessman and president of the Boise School District Board of Trustees [11]
  • Terry Kerr, former Republican candidate for local office [2]

Declined

Endorsements

A.J. Balukoff

Results

Results by county: Balukoff 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Kerr 50-60% 60-70% Idaho gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2014.svg
Results by county:
  Balukoff
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Kerr
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Democratic primary results [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic A.J. Balukoff 16,753 65.33
Democratic Terry Kerr8,89034.67
Total votes25,643 100

Constitution nomination

Candidates

Declared

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Declared

Independents

Candidates

Declared

General election

Debates

A debate was held between Balukoff & Bujak. Gov. Otter chose not to participate.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [18] Solid RNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [19] Likely RNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [20] Likely RNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [21] Likely RNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Butch
Otter (R)		A.J.
Balukoff (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [22] October 30–November 2, 20141,001± 3.1%49%37%10% [23] 5%
55%42%—3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [24] October 16–23, 2014575± 6%53%35%2%10%
Public Policy Polling [25] October 9–12, 2014522± 4.3%39%35%12% [26] 14%
47%38%—15%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [27] September 20–October 1, 2014594± 5%57%33%1%9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [28] August 18–September 2, 2014844± 4%51%33%3%13%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [29] July 5–24, 2014691± 4.2%56%34%4%7%
Rasmussen Reports [30] May 28–29, 2014750± 4%50%36%8%7%

Results

Idaho gubernatorial election, 2014 [31]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Butch Otter (incumbent) 235,405 53.52% −5.59%
Democratic A.J. Balukoff169,55638.55%+5.70%
Libertarian John Bujak17,8844.07%+2.77%
Independent Jill Humble8,8012.00%N/A
Constitution Steve Pankey5,2191.19%N/A
Independent Pro-Life2,8700.65%−0.20%
n/a Write-ins950.02%N/A
Total votes'439,830''100.0%'N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

References

  1. 1 2 Dvorak, Todd (August 6, 2013). "Otter taps industry lobbyist to run re-election campaign". KBOI-TV . Associated Press. Archived from the original on March 22, 2014. Retrieved September 4, 2013.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 Sewell, Cynthia (March 15, 2014). "Nine vie to be next Idaho governor". Idaho Statesman . Archived from the original on March 17, 2014. Retrieved March 17, 2014.
  3. ↑ Popkey, Dan (November 20, 2013). "Bank on it: Fulcher will announce challenge to Gov. Otter in Saturday fly-around". Idaho Statesman. Archived from the original on November 22, 2013. Retrieved November 22, 2013.
  4. ↑ "Idaho U.S. Rep. Raul Labrador Plans 2014 Re-Election Run For Congress". Boise State Public Radio . Associated Press. August 14, 2013. Archived from the original on December 13, 2013. Retrieved August 15, 2013.
  5. ↑ "Lt. Gov. Brad Little to seek re-election in 2014". Times-News . Associated Press. September 18, 2013. Archived from the original on November 27, 2020. Retrieved October 20, 2013.
  6. ↑ "Luna won't commit on 2014 run for governor, denies seeking national education post". IdahoReporter.com. December 15, 2011. Archived from the original on September 28, 2013. Retrieved September 4, 2013.
  7. ↑ Prentice, George (June 14, 2012). "Rex Rammell 'Gives Up on Idaho,' Leaving State | citydesk". Boiseweekly.com. Archived from the original on October 4, 2013. Retrieved September 6, 2013.
  8. ↑ Popkey, Dan (September 16, 2013). "Wasden says he'll seek record fourth term as Idaho attorney general". Idaho Statesman . Archived from the original on September 26, 2013. Retrieved October 20, 2013.
  9. ↑ "Raul Labrador backs Russ Fulcher for Idaho governor". The Spokesman-Review. May 13, 2014. Archived from the original on May 17, 2014. Retrieved May 15, 2014.
  10. 1 2 "*** UNOFFICIAL *** 2014 – Primary Election Statewide Totals". Idaho Secretary of State. Archived from the original on February 20, 2015. Retrieved May 26, 2014.
  11. 1 2 Popkey, Dan. "Democrat Balukoff joins race for governor" Idaho Statesman , December 3, 2013. Archived from the original on December 3, 2013. (accessed December 3, 2013)
  12. ↑ "Keith is not planning on running in 2014". Allredforidaho.com. July 17, 2013. Archived from the original on October 5, 2013. Retrieved September 4, 2013.
  13. ↑ "Cecil Andrus: Idaho not doing enough for children". Idahopress.com. October 13, 2013. Archived from the original on November 11, 2013. Retrieved November 11, 2013.
  14. ↑ "Democrat Bieter wanted to hear GOP Speaker Boehner, backed Simpson in 2010". Idaho Statesman. August 29, 2013. Archived from the original on September 20, 2013. Retrieved March 17, 2014.
  15. ↑ "3408 scanned" (PDF). 2014. Retrieved July 31, 2017.
  16. ↑ "Former prosecutor Bujak running for Idaho governor". Krem.com. March 14, 2014. Retrieved March 17, 2014.
  17. ↑ "Deputize armed volunteers to protect schools, says perennial Idaho candidate Pro-Life". Idaho Statesman. December 17, 2012. Archived from the original on November 22, 2013. Retrieved November 22, 2013.
  18. ↑ "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  19. ↑ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2014. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  20. ↑ "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  21. ↑ "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  22. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  23. ↑ John Bujak (L) 5%, Jill Humble (I) 1%, Pro Life (I) 2%, Steve Pankey (C) 2%
  24. ↑ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  25. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  26. ↑ John Bujak (L) 4%, Jill Humble (I) 3%, Pro Life (I) 3%, Steve Pankey (C) 2%
  27. ↑ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  28. ↑ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  29. ↑ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  30. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  31. ↑ "Statewide Totals".

Official campaign websites (Archived)

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