2014 Georgia gubernatorial election

Last updated

2014 Georgia gubernatorial election
Flag of Georgia (U.S. state).svg
←  2010 November 4, 2014 2018  →
Turnout42.25%
  Nathan Deal, April 25, 2017 (cropped).jpg Jason Carter 02 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Nathan Deal Jason Carter
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,345,2371,144,794
Percentage52.74%44.88%
2014 Georgia gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2014 GA GOV.svg
Deal:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Carter:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Hunt:     50–60%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data
Governor before election

Nathan Deal
Republican

Elected Governor

Nathan Deal
Republican

The 2014 Georgia gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Georgia, concurrently with the election to Georgia's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Republican Governor Nathan Deal was re-elected to serve a second term in office by a margin of 7.8%. He turned back two primary challengers and in the general election, defeated Democratic state senator Jason Carter and Libertarian nominee businessman and engineer Andrew Hunt, who were unopposed in their respective primaries. As of 2022, this is the last time that Cobb and Gwinnett counties voted for the Republican candidate for governor; and the last time that Burke, Chattahoochee, Dooly, Quitman, Twiggs, Washington, and Wilkinson counties voted for the Democratic candidate.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Nathan
Deal		John
Barge		David
Pennington		Undecided
InsiderAdvantage [3] May 18, 2014852±3.36%62.1%5.1%9.9%22.9%
SurveyUSA [4] May 8–12, 2014634± 4%63%10%15%12%
SurveyUSA [5] April 24–27, 2014501± 4.3%64%10%11%16%
InsiderAdvantage [6] April 13–15, 2014804±3.4%61%4%7%28%
Landmark/Rosetta [7] March 23–24, 2014600± 4%58%8%7%27%
SurveyUSA [8] March 16–18, 2014508± 4.2%65%7%11%17%
Public Policy Polling [9] August 2–5, 2013260± 6.1%71%8%—21%
71%—11%19%
20/20 Insight, LLC [10] May 7–9, 2013 ?± ?53%—18%29%

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Deal 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Pennington 50-60% Georgia Governor Republican primary, 2014.svg
Results by county:
  Deal
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Pennington
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Nathan Deal (incumbent) 430,170 72.15
Republican David Pennington99,54816.70
Republican John Barge66,50011.15
Total votes596,218 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Results

Democratic primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jason Carter 304,243 100
Total votes304,243 100

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Andrew Hunt, businessman and engineer [19]

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [20] TossupNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] Lean RNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [22] Lean RNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [23] TossupNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Nathan
Deal (R)		Jason
Carter (D)		Andrew
Hunt (L)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [24] November 1–3, 2014975± 3.1%47%43%4%—6%
49%45%——6%
Landmark Communications [25] November 2, 20141,500± 2.5%51%45%3%—2%
Insider Advantage [26] November 2, 20141,463± 3%47%44%5%—4%
SurveyUSA [27] October 30 – November 2, 2014591± 4.1%47%42%5%—5%
YouGov [28] October 25–31, 20141,743± 3.2%45%41%1%1%12%
NBC News/Marist [29] October 26–30, 2014603 LV± 4%48%43%3%1%5%
875 RV± 3.3%46%42%4%1%7%
Landmark Communications [30] October 29, 20141,500± 2.5%48%46%4%—3%
Vox Populi Polling [31] October 28, 2014602± 4%49%42%3%—7%
Monmouth [32] October 26–28, 2014436± 4.7%48%42%5%—5%
Rasmussen Reports [33] October 25–27, 2014977± 3%49%43%—2%6%
SurveyUSA [34] October 24–27, 2014611± 4%46%44%3%—6%
Public Policy Polling [35] October 23–24, 2014771± ?%48%45%4%—3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [36] October 16–23, 20141,774± 4%47%43%2%0%8%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution [37] October 16–23, 20141,170± 3.6%46%41%6%—7%
Insider Advantage [38] October 21–22, 2014704± 3.7%44%44%5%—8%
CNN/ORC International [39] October 19–22, 2014565± 4%46%48%6%——
Landmark Communications [40] October 20–21, 20141,000± 2.75%48%45%5%—2%
SurveyUSA [41] October 17–20, 2014606± 4.1%45%43%4%—8%
GaPundit.com [42] October 13–14, 20141,543± 2.49%44%44%6%—5%
SurveyUSA [43] October 10–13, 2014563± 4.2%46%46%4%—4%
Landmark Communications [44] October 7–9, 20141,000± 3.1%45%45%5%—5%
SurveyUSA [45] October 2–6, 2014566± 4.2%46%44%4%—7%
Public Policy Polling [46] October 2–5, 2014895± 3.3%46%41%4%—9%
50%45%——5%
Hickman Analytics [47] September 26 – October 5, 2014500± 4.4%44%36%9%—13%
Rasmussen Reports [33] September 30 – October 1, 20141,000± 4%49%43%—2%6%
Insider Advantage [48] September 29 – October 1, 2014947± 3.2%44%43%4%—9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [49] September 20 – October 1, 20141,851± 3%48%43%1%0%7%
SurveyUSA [50] September 19–22, 2014550± 4.3%44%45%4%—7%
Rasmussen Reports [33] September 15–16, 2014750± 4%45%44%—3%8%
Insider Advantage [51] September 10–11, 20141,167± 2.9%44%40%7%—9%
Landmark Communications [52] September 9–11, 20141,109± 2.9%44%47%4%—5%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution [53] September 8–11, 2014884± 4%43%42%7%—8%
SurveyUSA [54] September 5–8, 2014558± 4.2%45%44%4%—6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [55] August 18 – September 2, 20141,900± 3%47%39%4%1%9%
GaPundit.com [56] August 24–25, 20141,578± 2.47%44%42%7%—8%
Landmark Communications [57] August 20–21, 2014600± 4%40%44%——16%
SurveyUSA [58] August 14–17, 2014560± 4.2%48%39%4%—8%
InsiderAdvantage [59] August 12–13, 2014719± 3.7%43%39%7%—11%
Hicks Evaluation Group [60] August 8–10, 2014788± 3.48%45%45%——9%
Landmark Communications [61] July 25, 2014750± 3.8%40%47%5%—9%
Rasmussen Reports [33] July 23–24, 2014750± 4%44%45%—3%8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [62] July 5–24, 20142,568± 3.4%50%41%—1%8%
Landmark Communications [63] July 15, 2014750± 441%49%4%—6%
Public Policy Polling [64] July 11–13, 2014664± ?41%40%8%—11%
Insider Advantage [65] June 24–25, 20141,349± 2.7%47%40%—3%10%
SurveyUSA [66] June 3–5, 2014999± 3.2%44%38%7%—11%
Rasmussen Reports [33] May 21–22, 2014750± 4%41%48%—3%7%
Public Policy Polling [67] May 21–22, 2014803± ?%43%43%7%—7%
SurveyUSA [4] May 8–12, 20141,380± 2.7%43%37%7%—14%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution [68] May 5–8, 20141,012± 4%48%44%——8%
Saint Leo [69] May 5–6, 20141,000± 3%38%35%11%—16%
NBC News/Marist [70] April 30 – May 5, 20142,196± 2.1%50%40%—1%10%
SurveyUSA [5] April 24–27, 20141,567± 2.5%41%37%9%—13%
Public Policy Polling [71] April 1–3, 2014628± 4%42%43%——15%
Landmark/Rosetta Stone [72] March 30, 2014575± 4%43%39%——18%
Insider Advantage [73] March 13, 2014486± 4.3%38%41%——21%
Public Policy Polling [74] February 19–20, 2014833± 4%45%42%——12%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution [75] January 6–9, 2014802± 4%47%38%——15%
Insider Advantage [76] January 6, 2014529± 4.6%44%22%——34%
Anzalone Liszt Grove [77] October 14–20, 2013600± 4%44%36%——20%
Public Policy Polling [78] October 7–8, 2013602± 4.1%44%40%——16%
Public Policy Polling [9] August 2–5, 2013520± 4.3%48%33%——19%
20/20 Insight, LLC [10] May 7–9, 20131,483± 2.5%42%45%——13%
Public Policy Polling [79] February 15–18, 2013602± 4%46%38%——16%
Public Policy Polling [80] November 30–December 2, 2012729± 3.6%46%38%——17%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Nathan
Deal (R)		Stacey
Abrams (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [9] August 2–5, 2013520± 4.3%47%34%19%
20/20 Insight, LLC [10] May 7–9, 20131,483± 2.5%45%39%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Nathan
Deal (R)		John
Barrow (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [79] February 15–18, 2013602± 4%48%38%14%
Public Policy Polling [80] November 30 – December 2, 2012729± 3.6%44%40%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Nathan
Deal (R)		Scott
Holcomb (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [9] August 2–5, 2013520± 4.3%48%28%24%
20/20 Insight, LLC [10] May 7–9, 20131,483± 2.5%41%41%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Nathan
Deal (R)		Kasim
Reed (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [79] February 15–18, 2013602± 4%48%38%14%
Public Policy Polling [80] November 30 – December 2, 2012729± 3.6%47%40%13%
Hypothetical runoff polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Nathan
Deal (R)		Jason
Carter (D)		OtherUndecided
NBC News/Marist [29] October 26–30, 2014603 LV± 4%50%46%<1%4%
875 RV± 3.3%48%45%1%6%

Results

2014 Georgia gubernatorial election [81]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Nathan Deal (incumbent) 1,345,237 52.74% −0.28%
Democratic Jason Carter 1,144,79444.88%+1.91%
Libertarian Andrew Hunt60,1852.36%−1.65%
Write-in 4320.02%+0.02%
Total votes2,550,648 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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References

  1. ↑ Cassidy, Christina A. (August 31, 2013). "Ga. schools superintendent to run for governor". Marietta Daily Journal . Associated Press. Retrieved August 31, 2013.
  2. ↑ Bluestein, Greg (July 9, 2013). "Dalton's mayor to challenge Deal in GOP primary". Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved July 9, 2013.
  3. ↑ InsiderAdvantage
  4. 1 2 SurveyUSA
  5. 1 2 SurveyUSA
  6. ↑ InsiderAdvantage
  7. ↑ Landmark/Rosetta Archived March 27, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  8. ↑ SurveyUSA
  9. 1 2 3 4 Public Policy Polling
  10. 1 2 3 4 20/20 Insight, LLC
  11. 1 2 "UNOFFICIAL RESULTS General Primary/General Nonpartisan/Special Election May 20, 2014". Georgia Secretary of State. Retrieved May 26, 2014.
  12. ↑ Christina A. Cassidy (November 7, 2013). "Jason Carter, Jimmy Carter's Grandson, To Run For Georgia Governor". The Huffington Post. Retrieved November 7, 2013.
  13. ↑ Cassidy, Christina A. (November 7, 2013). "Jimmy Carter's Grandson to Run for Ga. Governor". ABC News. Retrieved November 7, 2013.
  14. ↑ "Your Daily Jolt: John Barge kicks off gubernatorial run today". Atlanta Journal-Constitution. September 3, 2013. Retrieved September 3, 2013.
  15. ↑ Hula, Ed (August 14, 2013). "Shirley Franklin Speculation-Could She Run for Office?". Peach Pundit. Archived from the original on March 12, 2014. Retrieved August 18, 2013.
  16. ↑ Mimms, Sarah (May 1, 2013). "Holcomb Considering Ga. Senate, Gubernatorial Bids". National Journal. Archived from the original on May 3, 2013. Retrieved May 1, 2013.
  17. ↑ Holcomb, Scott (November 7, 2013). "I just donated – you should too..." Twitter. Retrieved December 16, 2013.
  18. ↑ "Mayor Kasim Reed announces candidacy for re-election". CBS Atlanta. August 26, 2013. Archived from the original on August 26, 2013. Retrieved August 27, 2013.
  19. ↑ "Dr. Andrew Hunt". Libertarian Party. Archived from the original on 7 April 2014. Retrieved 17 December 2014.
  20. ↑ "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  21. ↑ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  22. ↑ "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  23. ↑ "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  24. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  25. ↑ Landmark Communications
  26. ↑ Insider Advantage
  27. ↑ SurveyUSA
  28. ↑ YouGov
  29. 1 2 NBC News/Marist
  30. ↑ Landmark Communications [ permanent dead link ]
  31. ↑ Vox Populi Polling
  32. ↑ Monmouth
  33. 1 2 3 4 5 Rasmussen Reports
  34. ↑ SurveyUSA
  35. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  36. ↑ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  37. ↑ Atlanta Journal-Constitution
  38. ↑ Insider Advantage
  39. ↑ CNN/ORC International
  40. ↑ Landmark Communications
  41. ↑ SurveyUSA
  42. ↑ GaPundit.com Archived October 18, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  43. ↑ SurveyUSA
  44. ↑ Landmark Communications Archived October 12, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  45. ↑ SurveyUSA
  46. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  47. ↑ Hickman Analytics
  48. ↑ Insider Advantage
  49. ↑ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  50. ↑ SurveyUSA [ dead link ]
  51. ↑ Insider Advantage
  52. ↑ Landmark Communications
  53. ↑ Atlanta Journal-Constitution Archived September 12, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  54. ↑ SurveyUSA [ dead link ]
  55. ↑ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  56. ↑ GaPundit.com Archived September 4, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  57. ↑ Landmark Communications Archived August 24, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  58. ↑ SurveyUSA
  59. ↑ InsiderAdvantage
  60. ↑ Hicks Evaluation Group
  61. ↑ Landmark Communications
  62. ↑ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  63. ↑ Landmark Communications Archived July 18, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  64. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  65. ↑ Insider Advantage
  66. ↑ SurveyUSA
  67. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  68. ↑ Atlanta Journal-Constitution
  69. ↑ Saint Leo
  70. ↑ NBC News/Marist
  71. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  72. ↑ Landmark/Rosetta Stone Archived April 8, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  73. ↑ Insider Advantage
  74. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  75. ↑ Atlanta Journal-Constitution
  76. ↑ Insider Advantage
  77. ↑ Anzalone Liszt Grove
  78. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  79. 1 2 3 Public Policy Polling
  80. 1 2 3 Public Policy Polling
  81. ↑ "GA – Election Results". Georgia Secretary of State. Retrieved July 28, 2015.

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