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Turnout | 47.23% 6.79% [1] | |||||||||||||||||||
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Hogan: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Brown: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Maryland |
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Government |
The 2014 Maryland gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Maryland. Incumbent Democratic governor Martin O'Malley was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a third consecutive term.
Gubernatorial candidates pick their running mates, with the two then running together on the same ticket. Primary elections were held on June 24, 2014. The Democrats nominated incumbent lieutenant governor Anthony Brown and Howard County Executive Kenneth Ulman, while the Republicans nominated former State Secretary of Appointments Larry Hogan and former State Secretary of General Services and former Assistant U.S. Secretary of Agriculture for Administration Boyd Rutherford.
Brown predicted that winning the general election would be just "a little bit of a molehill", [2] but he lost to Hogan by a margin of 65,510 votes in the Democratic-leaning state. [3] The Washington Post called the result "a stunning upset" and Republican Governors Association Chairman Chris Christie called it "the biggest upset in the entire country." [4]
Maryland is considered one of the most Democratic states in the country, and Bob Ehrlich, elected in 2002, had been the only Republican elected Governor of Maryland since Spiro Agnew in 1966. Ehrlich was defeated for reelection in 2006 by Baltimore Mayor Martin O'Malley and lost a rematch with O'Malley by a wider margin in 2010.
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Anthony Brown | Peter Franchot | Doug Gansler | Heather Mizeur | Kenneth Ulman | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Washington Post | June 5–8, 2014 | 487 | ± 5% | 46% | — | 23% | 16% | — | — | 16% |
Baltimore Sun | May 31 – June 3, 2014 | 499 | ± 4.4% | 41% | — | 20% | 15% | — | — | 15% |
WPA Opinion Research** | May 6–7, 2014 | ? | ± ? | 34% | — | 20% | 7% | — | 3% | 40% |
St. Mary's College | April 10–13, 2014 | 502 | ± ? | 27.1% | — | 10.8% | 7.7% | — | — | 54.3% |
Washington Post | February 13–16, 2014 | 469 | ± 5.5% | 34% | — | 15% | 8% | — | — | 43% |
Baltimore Sun | February 8–12, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 35% | — | 14% | 10% | — | — | 40% |
Gonzales Research | October 1–14, 2013 | 403 | ± 5% | 40.7% | — | 21.1% | 5.2% | — | — | 33% |
GarinHartYang* | September 11–15, 2013 | 608 | ± 4% | 43% | — | 21% | 5% | — | — | 31% |
46% | — | 24% | — | — | — | 30% | ||||
WPA Opinion Research** | September 10–11, 2013 | ? | ± ? | 40% | — | 22% | 7% | — | — | 38% |
NormingtonPets^ | December 3–5, 2012 | ? | ± 4.4% | 22% | 13% | 8% | — | 4% | — | 53% |
GarinHartYang* | September 12–13, 2012 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 31% | 14% | 18% | — | 4% | — | 33% |
37% | — | 23% | — | 5% | — | 35% | ||||
41% | — | 25% | — | — | — | 34% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Anthony Brown | 249,398 | 51.41 | |
Democratic | Doug Gansler | 117,383 | 24.2 | |
Democratic | Heather Mizeur | 104,721 | 21.59 | |
Democratic | Cindy Walsh | 6,863 | 1.41 | |
Democratic | Charles U. Smith | 3,507 | 0.72 | |
Democratic | Ralph Jaffe | 3,221 | 0.66 | |
Total votes | 485,093 | 100.00 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | David Craig | Ron George | Larry Hogan | Charles Lollar | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Washington Post | June 5–8, 2014 | 228 | ± 7.5% | 19% | 5% | 35% | 13% | 3% | 29% |
Baltimore Sun | May 31 – June 3, 2014 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 12% | 6% | 27% | 12% | — | 37% |
St. Mary's College | April 10–13, 2014 | 270 | ± ? | 7.8% | 3.8% | 16% | 3.8% | — | 68.6% |
Washington Post | February 13–16, 2014 | 290 | ± 7% | 13% | 4% | 17% | 10% | 1% | 57% |
Baltimore Sun | February 8–12, 2014 | 499 | ± 4.4% | 7% | 6% | 13% | 5% | — | 69% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Larry Hogan | 92,376 | 42.98 | |
Republican | David R. Craig | 62,639 | 29.14 | |
Republican | Charles Lollar | 33,292 | 15.49 | |
Republican | Ron George | 26,628 | 12.39 | |
Total votes | 214,935 | 100.00 |
Hogan heavily criticized Brown for his handling of Maryland's health care exchange as a part of the Affordable Care Act, labeling him as "the most incompetent man in Maryland." [75] The Maryland Health Benefit Exchange enrolled fewer than 4,000 people. [76]
Hogan avoided social issues by promising not to touch the state's abortion or gun control laws. [77] Campaign ads were a significant part of the first debate, culminating in Hogan's call for Brown to "apologize to the women of Maryland for trying to scare them."
Brown pledged no new taxes, no increased taxes, and a look at state spending if elected. Hogan responded by citing O'Malley/Brown's same claim in the 2010 election and how that claim was followed by "40 consecutive tax hikes." [78] Brown said there have been times he has disagreed with O'Malley, like on mortgage reduction. [79] "Brown did not stay to take questions from reporters" and both candidates accused the other of not telling the truth. [80]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [81] | Tossup | November 3, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [82] | Lean D | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg Political Report [83] | Tilt D | November 3, 2014 |
Real Clear Politics [84] | Tossup | November 3, 2014 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Anthony Brown (D) | Larry Hogan (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WPA Opinion Research* | October 20–24, 2014 | 500 | ± 3.5% | 39% | 44% | — | 17% |
Gonzales Research | October 20–24, 2014 | 822 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 44% | 2% [85] | 18% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 1,086 | ± 5% | 51% | 38% | 0% | 11% |
WPA Opinion Research* | October 19–20, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 41% | — | 15% |
Gravis Marketing | October 6–9, 2014 | 784 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 43% | — | 11% |
Baltimore Sun | October 4–8, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 49% | 42% | — | 9% |
Washington Post | October 2–5, 2014 | 549 LV | ± 5% | 47% | 38% | 4% [85] | 11% |
807 RV | ± 4% | 44% | 31% | 6% [85] | 19% | ||
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 1,096 | ± 4% | 55% | 38% | 1% | 7% |
Gonzales Research | September 16–23, 2014 | 805 | ± 3.5% | 47% | 43% | 1% [85] | 9% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 1,082 | ± 4% | 51% | 37% | 3% | 10% |
OnMessage, Inc.* | August 18–19, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.38 | 45% | 42% | 4% [85] | 9% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,409 | ± ? | 52% | 39% | 2% | 6% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 9–10, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 48% | 35% | 7% | 10% |
Washington Post | June 5–8, 2014 | 962 | ± 3.5% | 51% | 33% | — | 16% |
WPA Opinion Research* | May 6–7, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 42% | 35% | — | 23% |
WPA Opinion Research* | September 10–11, 2013 | ? | ± ? | 46% | 32% | — | 22% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Larry Hogan | 884,400 | 51.03% | +9.24% | |
Democratic | Anthony Brown | 818,890 | 47.25% | -8.99% | |
Libertarian | Shawn Quinn | 25,382 | 1.46% | +0.70% | |
Write-in | 4,505 | 0.26% | +0.15% | ||
Total votes | 1,733,177 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican gain from Democratic |
Source: [86]
County | Brown | Votes | Hogan | Votes | Others | Votes | Totals | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Allegany | 22.60% | 4,629 | 75.25% | 15,410 | 2.14% | 439 | 20,478 | |||
Anne Arundel | 32.16% | 58,001 | 66.10% | 119,195 | 1.74% | 3,142 | 180,338 | |||
Baltimore | 38.89% | 102,734 | 59.03% | 155,936 | 2.07% | 5,473 | 264,143 | |||
Baltimore City | 75.50% | 106,213 | 21.92% | 30,845 | 2.58% | 3,628 | 140,686 | |||
Calvert | 29.11% | 9,579 | 69.11% | 22,739 | 1.78% | 586 | 32,904 | |||
Caroline | 20.97% | 1,931 | 77.58% | 7,144 | 1.44% | 133 | 9,208 | |||
Carroll | 16.07% | 10,349 | 82.20% | 52,951 | 1.74% | 1,119 | 64,419 | |||
Cecil | 20.43% | 5,467 | 77.33% | 20,699 | 2.24% | 600 | 26,766 | |||
Charles | 51.83% | 24,601 | 46.91% | 22,268 | 1.26% | 600 | 47,469 | |||
Dorchester | 30.51% | 3,252 | 68.26% | 7,276 | 1.24% | 132 | 10,660 | |||
Frederick | 34.57% | 27,682 | 63.34% | 50,715 | 2.09% | 1,675 | 80,072 | |||
Garrett | 17.80% | 1,634 | 79.71% | 7,319 | 2.49% | 229 | 9,182 | |||
Harford | 21.66% | 19,814 | 76.52% | 69,986 | 1.82% | 1,660 | 91,460 | |||
Howard | 46.68% | 49,227 | 51.54% | 54,353 | 1.78% | 1,873 | 105,453 | |||
Kent | 33.56% | 2,603 | 64.58% | 5,009 | 1.86% | 144 | 7,756 | |||
Montgomery | 61.81% | 163,694 | 36.75% | 97,312 | 1.44% | 3,813 | 264,819 | |||
Prince George's | 84.23% | 184,950 | 14.86% | 32,619 | 0.91% | 2,003 | 219,572 | |||
Queen Anne's | 19.34% | 3,757 | 79.46% | 15,436 | 1.20% | 233 | 19,426 | |||
St. Mary's | 25.20% | 8,203 | 72.72% | 23,675 | 2.09% | 679 | 32,557 | |||
Somerset | 31.86% | 2,135 | 66.38% | 4,448 | 1.16% | 78 | 6,701 | |||
Talbot | 29.03% | 4,420 | 69.72% | 10,616 | 1.25% | 190 | 15,226 | |||
Washington | 24.89% | 9,661 | 73.33% | 28,469 | 1.78% | 691 | 38,821 | |||
Wicomico | 34.07% | 8,833 | 64.30% | 16,669 | 1.63% | 422 | 25,924 | |||
Worcester | 28.85% | 5,521 | 69.35% | 13,271 | 1.80% | 345 | 19,137 |
Hogan won 5 of the state's 8 congressional districts, including 4 that elected Democrats. [87] [ data verification needed ]
District | Hogan | Brown | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 77.96% | 20.41% | Andy Harris |
2nd | 56.59% | 41.27% | Dutch Ruppersberger |
3rd | 54.99% | 42.93% | John Sarbanes |
4th | 33.72% | 65.16% | Donna Edwards |
5th | 47.23% | 51.31% | Steny Hoyer |
6th | 58.27% | 39.85% | John Delaney |
7th | 38.30% | 59.58% | Elijah Cummings |
8th | 49.71% | 48.70% | Chris Van Hollen |
Anthony Gregory Brown is an American lawyer and politician serving as the attorney general of Maryland. He also served as the U.S. representative for Maryland's 4th congressional district from 2017 to 2023. A member of the Democratic Party, his district covered most of the majority-black precincts in Prince George's County, as well as a sliver of Anne Arundel County.
Heather R. Mizeur is an American politician who served as a member of the Maryland House of Delegates from January 10, 2007 to January 14, 2015, representing the 20th district in Montgomery County, Maryland. She was a candidate for governor of Maryland in the 2014 election but lost the Democratic primary to Lieutenant Governor Anthony Brown. In 2022, she unsuccessfully ran for the United States House of Representatives in Maryland's 1st congressional district, challenging incumbent U.S. Representative Andy Harris. She lost the general election to Harris by 11 points.
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The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Maryland, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on April 26.
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The 2022 Maryland gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Maryland. Governor Larry Hogan, the incumbent two-term Republican, was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term.
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Maryland, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The Democratic and Republican primaries were held on July 19.
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