Stuart Rothenberg

Last updated

Stuart Rothenberg
Stuart Rothenberg in 2018.jpg
Rothenberg in 2018
Born1948 (age 7576)
OccupationWriter, editor, analyst
Education
SubjectPolitics
Notable worksInside Elections newsletter

Stuart Rothenberg (born 1948) is an American editor, publisher, and political analyst. He is best known for his biweekly political newsletter The Rothenberg Political Report, now known as Inside Elections. He was also a regular columnist at Roll Call [1] and an occasional op-ed contributor to other publications, including The Wall Street Journal , The Washington Post , The New York Times , and The Orlando Sentinel . [2]

Contents

Biography

Rothenberg lived in Waterville, Maine, while attending Colby College before relocating to Connecticut to earn his Ph.D. at the University of Connecticut. [2] For a time, he settled in Lewisburg, Pennsylvania, to teach political science at Bucknell University. He also taught at the Catholic University of America.

In addition to his writing, he has been frequently featured in news broadcasts and worked with CNN as a political analyst for over ten years. He has served as a political analyst for CBS News and Voice of America. He is also a guest contributor for Political Wire.

Rothenberg is known for his prediction in early 2009 that the GOP's chances of winning back the U.S. House of Representatives in 2010 were "zero". [3] Rothenberg later would change his prediction as the economy worsened and polls reflected increasing support for Republicans through the Tea Party protests. The Rothenberg Political Report projected Republicans would gain 55–65 seats in the House of Representatives [4] (they gained 63) and 6–8 seats in the Senate [5] (they gained 6).

In the weeks before the election of Donald Trump as U.S. President, Rothenberg wrote an opinion piece for The Washington Post headlined "Trump's path to an electoral college victory isn't narrow. It’s nonexistent". Rothenberg stated, "Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, once part of the Trump scenario, have never been 'in play'". Trump would go on to win all three of the battleground states. [6]

In 2015, the Rothenberg Political Report changed its name to The Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report, with long-time collaborator Nathan Gonzales taking over as editor and publisher. [7] In 2017, the publication was renamed to Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales. Despite the name change, Rothenberg continued to work with Inside Elections as a senior editor. [8]

Rothenberg is married and the father of two children. He is currently a resident of Potomac, Maryland.

Related Research Articles

The "Republican Revolution", "Revolution of '94", or "Gingrich Revolution" are political slogans that refer to the Republican Party's (GOP) success in the 1994 U.S. mid-term elections, which resulted in a net gain of 54 seats in the House of Representatives, and a pick-up of eight seats in the Senate. It was led by Newt Gingrich.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Larry Sabato</span> American political scientist and analyst

Larry Joseph Sabato is an American political scientist and political analyst. He is the Robert Kent Gooch Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia, where he is also the founder and director of the Center for Politics, which works to promote civic engagement and participation. The Center for Politics is also responsible for the publication of Sabato's Crystal Ball, an online newsletter and website that provides free political analysis and electoral projections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Chris Cillizza</span> American political journalist (born 1976)

Christopher Michael Cillizza is an American political commentator, who worked for the television news channel CNN from 2017 to 2022. Prior to joining CNN, he wrote for The Fix, the daily political blog of The Washington Post, and was a regular contributor to the Post on political issues, a frequent panelist on Meet the Press, and an MSNBC political analyst.

<i>FiveThirtyEight</i> American news website

538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver Bulletin. 538's new owner Disney hired G. Elliott Morris to develop a new model. On September 18, 2023, the original website domain at fivethirtyeight.com was closed, and web traffic became redirected to ABC News pages. The logo was replaced, with the name 538 now used instead of FiveThirtyEight.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2008 United States presidential election in Maine</span>

The 2008 United States presidential election in Maine took place on November 4, 2008, and was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Maine is one of two states in the U.S. that instead of all of the state's four electors of the Electoral College to vote based upon the statewide results of the voters, two of the individual electors vote based on their congressional district because Maine has two congressional districts. The other two electors vote based upon the statewide results. See below in the section of Electors for more information.

Jamestown Associates is a political, public affairs and corporate advertising firm active in the United States, specializing in media production, direct mail, press relations and campaign management, for candidates of the Republican Party. Its CEO is Larry Weitzner. Among its best-known political clients are Donald Trump, several governors, Senator Mike Braun, and the Republican National Committee. Past corporate and governmental clients include Pfizer, Johnson & Johnson and the New York City Department of Environmental Protection.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Jeff Gorell</span> American politician (born 1970)

Jeffrey Frederick Gorell, a Republican politician from California, is currently a member of the Ventura County Board of Supervisors, having been elected to the County Board, 2nd District, in 2022. In 2010, Gorell was elected to the State Legislature to serve as Assembly Member for the 37th Assembly District in California, representing most of Ventura County. After the decennial redistricting in 2011, Gorell was re-elected to represent the new 44th Assembly District and served as Vice-Chairman of the Assembly Budget Committee. In 2014, Gorell was a candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in California's 26th congressional district. Gorell is also the former Deputy Mayor of the City of Los Angeles for Homeland Security and Public Safety. Gorell, a Navy Reserve officer, is notable for being the first California legislator called to active duty since World War II. During his deployment, fourteen bills were sponsored in his name.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States presidential election in Michigan</span>

The 2016 United States presidential election in Michigan was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Michigan voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and his running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. At that time, Michigan had 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States presidential election in Kansas</span>

The 2016 United States presidential election in Kansas was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. Kansas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Kansas has six electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States presidential election in Connecticut</span>

The 2016 United States presidential election in Connecticut was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Connecticut voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Connecticut has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States presidential election in Wisconsin</span>

The 2016 United States presidential election in Wisconsin was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election. Wisconsin voters chose 10 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting Republican nominee Donald Trump against Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2017 Delaware's 10th state senate district special election</span>

On February 25, 2017, voters in the 10th district of the Delaware Senate voted in a special election to fill the seat left vacant by Democrat Bethany Hall-Long, the previous incumbent, who had resigned at the beginning of the year after having been elected lieutenant governor the preceding November. Democrat Stephanie Hansen, an environmental lawyer from Middletown who had in the past served a term as New Castle County Council President, won with 58.1 percent of the vote, defeating Republican opponent John Marino, who finished with 40.8 percent. Libertarian John Lanzendorfer, the only other candidate in the race, claimed the other 1.1 percent.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Kansas</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in Kansas was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Kansas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate Senator Kamala Harris of California. Kansas has six electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Virginia</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in Virginia was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Virginia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Virginia has 13 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Nevada</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in Nevada was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Nevada voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Nevada has six votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 New York's 27th congressional district special election</span>

A special election was held to fill the remainder of the term in the United States House of Representatives for New York's 27th congressional district in the 116th United States Congress. Incumbent Republican Representative Chris Collins resigned from the House effective October 1, 2019, following his guilty plea to federal insider trading charges. The election was originally scheduled for April 28, 2020, but was postponed until June 23, 2020, due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

The 2010 United States House of Representatives elections were held on November 2, 2010, with early voting taking place in some states in the weeks preceding that date. Voters chose representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. Non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and four of the five inhabited U.S. territories were also elected. These midterm elections took place nearly halfway through the first term of Democratic President Barack Obama. The winners served in the 112th United States Congress, with seats apportioned among the states based on the 2000 United States census. On Election Day, Democrats had held a House majority since January 2007 as a result of the 2006 elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Connecticut voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Connecticut has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

David Nathan Wasserman is an American political analyst known for his coverage of elections to the United States House of Representatives. He has worked as an editor at the nonpartisan election analysis newsletter The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter since 2007 and is a contributor to NBC News. Wasserman is considered an expert on redistricting in the United States.

The 2008 United States House of Representatives elections were held on November 4, 2008, with early voting taking place in some states in the weeks preceding that date. Voters chose representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. Non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and all five inhabited U.S. territories were also elected. These elections took place alongside the election of Democratic Senator Barack Obama of Illinois as President of the United States. The winners served in the 111th United States Congress, with seats apportioned among the states based on the 2000 United States census. On Election Day, Democrats had held a House majority since January 2007 as a result of the 2006 elections.

References

  1. Gold, Hadas (May 23, 2016). "Rothenberg leaves Roll Call, citing disagreement with paper's direction". POLITICO. Retrieved January 25, 2021.
  2. 1 2 Weiss, Cindy (March 31, 2011). "Rothenberg Sees Sharp Divides Ahead". UConn Today. Retrieved June 12, 2014.
  3. Rothenberg, Stuart. "April Madness: Can GOP win Back the House in 2010?" The Rothenberg Political Report, April 27, 2009. Retrieved July 27, 2011.
  4. "House Ratings". Inside Elections with Nathan Gonzales. November 1, 2010.
  5. "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections with Nathan Gonzales. November 1, 2010.
  6. Rothenberg, Stuart. "Trump's path to an electoral college victory isn't narrow. It's nonexistent" . Retrieved January 25, 2021 via www.washingtonpost.com.
  7. Nathan L. Gonzales (January 12, 2015). "What Happened to The Rothenberg Political Report?". Roll Call .
  8. Gonzales, Nathan (January 13, 2017). "A New Chapter: From Rothenberg to Inside Elections". Inside Elections. Retrieved November 19, 2017.