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All 8 Minnesota seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota took place in the U.S. state of Minnesota on November 4, 2014, to elect Minnesota's eight representatives in the United States House of Representatives for two-year terms, one from each of Minnesota's eight congressional districts. Primary elections were held on August 12, 2014.
In these elections, Minnesotans elected their oldest U.S. House delegation across the 80 cycles since statehood, at an average age of 58.8 years: Rick Nolan (age 70), Collin Peterson (70), John Kline (67), Betty McCollum (60), Keith Ellison (51), Tom Emmer (53), Tim Walz (50) and Erik Paulsen (49). [1]
Elections in Minnesota |
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United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, 2014 [2] | ||||||
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Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats Before | Seats After | +/– | |
Democratic–Farmer–Labor | 985,760 | 50.20% | 5 | 5 | - | |
Republican | 913,539 | 46.53% | 3 | 3 | - | |
Independence | 50,836 | 2.59% | 0 | 0 | - | |
Green | 11,450 | 0.58% | 0 | 0 | - | |
Others | 1,954 | 0.10% | 0 | 0 | - | |
Totals | 1,963,539 | 100.00% | 8 | 8 | — |
Results of the 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota by district: [3]
District | Democratic (DFL) | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
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Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 122,851 | 54.19% | 103,536 | 45.67% | 308 | 0.14% | 226,695 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 2 | 95,565 | 38.87% | 137,778 | 56.04% | 12,505 | 5.09% | 245,848 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 3 | 101,846 | 37.78% | 167,515 | 62.14% | 224 | 0.08% | 269,585 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 4 | 147,857 | 61.19% | 79,492 | 32.90% | 14,288 | 5.91% | 241,637 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 5 | 167,079 | 70.79% | 56,577 | 23.97% | 12,354 | 5.24% | 236,010 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 6 | 90,926 | 38.39% | 133,328 | 56.29% | 12,592 | 5.32% | 236,846 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 7 | 130,546 | 54.21% | 109,955 | 45.66% | 334 | 0.14% | 240,835 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 8 | 129,090 | 48.52% | 125,358 | 47.11% | 11,635 | 4.37% | 266,083 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
Total | 985,760 | 50.20% | 913,539 | 46.53% | 64,240 | 3.27% | 1,963,539 | 100.0% |
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Precinct results Walz: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Hagedorn: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Tim Walz, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of R+1.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Tim Walz (incumbent) | 19,983 | 100.0 |
Republican State Representative Mike Benson, [5] Jim Hagedorn of Blue Earth and U.S. Army veteran Aaron Miller of Byron all sought the nomination to challenge Walz. Hagedorn and Miller had pledged to abide by the Republican endorsement while Benson did not. [6] On April 5, 2014, Aaron Miller won the GOP endorsement. [7] Benson and Hagedorn then withdrew, though Hagedorn re-entered the race on May 18, expressing concerns that Miller was not dedicating enough time to the race. [8]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Jim Hagedorn | 12,748 | 54.0 | |
Republican | Aaron Miller | 10,870 | 46.0 | |
Total votes | 23,618 | 100.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tim Walz (DFL) | Jim Hagedorn (R) | Undecided |
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New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker [10] | October 16–23, 2014 | 329 | ± 8.0% | 47% | 36% | 17% |
Harper Polling (R-Hagedorn) [11] | September 9–10, 2014 | 437 | ± 4.7% | 38% | 32% | 31% |
Tim Walz vs. generic opponent
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tim Walz (D) | Generic Opponent | Undecided |
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Harper Polling (R-Hagedorn) [11] | September 9–10, 2014 | 437 | ± 4.7% | 34% | 39% | 27% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Undecided |
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Harper Polling (R-Hagedorn) [11] | September 9–10, 2014 | 437 | ± 4.7% | 34% | 40% | 26% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [12] | Likely D | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg [13] | Safe D | October 24, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [14] | Safe D | October 30, 2014 |
RCP | Safe D | November 2, 2014 |
Daily Kos Elections [15] | Safe D | November 4, 2014 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic (DFL) | Tim Walz (incumbent) | 122,851 | 54.2 | |
Republican | Jim Hagedorn | 103,536 | 45.7 | |
Write-in | 308 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 226,695 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic (DFL) hold |
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Precinct results Kline: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Obermueller: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican John Kline, who had represented the district since 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of R+2.
Kline was rumoured to be interested in running for Governor of Minnesota or the United States Senate. Instead, he announced he would seek re-election.
David Gerson challenged Kline for the Republican nomination but conceded after Kline won the Republican endorsement. [17]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | John Kline (incumbent) | 18,236 | 100.0 |
Mike Obermueller, who lost to Kline in 2012, had decided to run again. [18] He won the DFL endorsement on April 26, 2014. [21]
Sona Mehring, the founder of CaringBridge, declared her candidacy, but dropped out of the race three weeks later. [22] Thomas Craft, who volunteered for Obermueller in the 2012 race, declared his candidacy in July 2013 and positioned himself as a fiscally conservative, socially liberal alternative to Kline and Obermueller. [23] Craft ceased his campaign after Obermueller won the DFL endorsement. [21] Eagan quality assurance analyst Paula Overby initially sought the DFL endorsement but withdrew after Obermueller won it and instead became the Independence Party nominee. [21] [24]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic (DFL) | Mike Obermueller | 12,361 | 82.5 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Michael J. Roberts | 2,622 | 17.5 | |
Total votes | 14,983 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Independence | Paula Overby | 461 | 100.0 |
The 2014 election in the 2nd district was expected to be one of the tightest congressional races in the country. Kline's district was one of 17 Republican congressional districts to vote for President Barack Obama in 2012, and polling data suggested a Democratic challenger could unseat Kline. [27]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Kline (R) | Mike Obermueller (DFL) | Paula Overby (I) | Undecided |
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New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker [10] | October 16–23, 2014 | 450 | ± 7.0% | 48% | 34% | 0% | 18% |
Remington Research Group [28] | September 18–21, 2014 | 568 | ± 4.1% | 54% | 32% | 4% | 10% |
Public Policy Polling [29] | October 21–22, 2013 | 825 | ± 3.4% | 38% | 42% | — | 20% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | John Kline (incumbent) | 137,778 | 56.0 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Mike Obermueller | 95,565 | 38.9 | |
Independence | Paula Overby | 12,319 | 5.0 | |
Write-in | 186 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 245,848 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Precinct results Paulsen: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Sund: 50–60% 60–70% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Erik Paulsen, who had represented the district since, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of R+2.
Paulsen considered running for governor or the United States Senate in 2014 before announcing he would seek re-election to the U.S. House instead. [30]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Erik Paulsen (R) | Sharon Sund (D) | Undecided |
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New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker [10] | October 16–23, 2014 | 271 | ± 8.0% | 51% | 40% | 8% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Erik Paulsen (incumbent) | 167,515 | 62.1 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Sharon Sund | 101,846 | 37.8 | |
Write-in | 224 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 269,585 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Precinct results McCollum: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Wahlgren: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of D+11.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Betty McCollum (D) | Sharna Wahlgren (R) | Dave Thomas (I) | Undecided |
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New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker [10] | October 16–23, 2014 | 251 | ± 9.0% | 56% | 32% | 1% | 11% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic (DFL) | Betty McCollum (incumbent) | 147,857 | 61.2 | |
Republican | Sharna Wahlgren | 79,492 | 32.9 | |
Independence | Dave Thomas | 14,059 | 5.8 | |
Write-in | 229 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 241,637 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic (DFL) hold |
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Precinct results Ellison: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Daggett: 40–50% 50–60% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Keith Ellison, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 75% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of D+22.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Keith Ellison (D) | Doug Daggett (R) | Lee Bauer (I) | Undecided |
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New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker [10] | October 16–23, 2014 | 266 | ± 9.0% | 74% | 23% | 1% | 3% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic (DFL) | Keith Ellison (incumbent) | 167,079 | 70.8 | |
Republican | Doug Daggett | 56,577 | 24.0 | |
Independence | Lee Bauer | 12,001 | 5.1 | |
Write-in | 353 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 236,010 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic (DFL) hold |
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Precinct results Emmer: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Perske: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 80–90% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Michele Bachmann, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 51% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of R+10.
Bachmann had won re-election to a fourth term in 2012, defeating DFL nominee Jim Graves by approximately 1.2 points, despite Mitt Romney receiving 56% of the vote in this district in the 2012 presidential election. Facing a rematch with Graves, Bachmann announced on May 29, 2013, that she would not seek re-election. [34]
Former state representative and 2010 gubernatorial nominee Tom Emmer and Anoka County Commissioner Rhonda Sivarajah sought the Republican nomination. [35] [36] [37] Allan Levene, a Kennesaw, Georgia, resident who sought the Republican nomination in four congressional districts in four separate states, including Minnesota, ultimately did not file an affidavit of candidacy. [38]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Emmer | Phil Krinkie | Rhonda Sivarajah | Undecided |
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Public Opinion Strategies (R-Emmer) [41] | April 16–17, 2014 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 73% | 4% | 5% | 18% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Tom Emmer | 19,557 | 73.3 | |
Republican | Rhonda Sivarajah | 7,125 | 26.7 | |
Total votes | 26,682 | 100.0 |
Jim Graves, who had previously said he would run again, said he would continue to run after Bachmann retired. [42] However, on May 31, 2013, Graves announced that he was suspending his campaign. [43]
Joe Perske, Mayor of Sartell, Minnesota, was the DFL endorsed candidate and nominee. Judy Adams, a painter and environmental activist, and Jim Read, an author and professor of political science at the College of Saint Benedict and Saint John's University, both withdrew after failing to win the DFL endorsement. [44] [45] [46] [47]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic (DFL) | Joe Perske | 10,070 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Independence | John Denney | 467 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Emmer (R) | Joe Perske (D) | John Denney (I) | Undecided |
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New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker [10] | October 16–23, 2014 | 175 | ± 10.0% | 57% | 37% | 0% | 6% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Tom Emmer | 133,328 | 56.3 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Joe Perske | 90,926 | 38.4 | |
Independence | John Denney | 12,457 | 5.2 | |
Write-in | 135 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 236,846 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Precinct results Peterson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Westrom: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district covers almost the entire western side of Minnesota. It is the largest district in the state and one of the largest in the country and includes the cities of Moorhead, Willmar, Alexandria, and Fergus Falls. Incumbent Democrat Collin Peterson, who had represented the district since 1991, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2012 and the district had a PVI of R+6.
In 2013, Republicans began pressuring Peterson, in hopes of convincing him to retire. His seat was one of only a handful that was represented by a Democrat but was carried by Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney in the 2012 election and was seen as a top pick-up opportunity had Peterson retired. Their tactics included airing television advertisements, hiring a press staffer to give opposition research to reporters, hiring a tracker to follow him around his district and record him, and sending mobile billboards with critical statements on them to drive around his hometown. Peterson responded by saying "They don't have anybody else to go after. It's kind of ridiculous, but whatever." [49] [50] After Republicans spread rumors that Peterson was planning to buy a house in Florida and retire there, he said: "I went from neutral on running again to 90 percent just because of this stupid stuff they're doing. You can't let these people be in charge of anything, in my opinion." [51] On March 17, 2014, Peterson officially announced that he was running for re-election, saying, "I still have a lot of work to do." [52]
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Collin Peterson (DFL) | Torrey Westrom (R) | Undecided |
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New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker [10] | October 16–23, 2014 | 313 | ± 8.0% | 46% | 44% | 10% |
Tarrance Group (R-NRCC) [54] | October 12–14, 2014 | 300 | ± 5.8% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
SurveyUSA [55] | October 3–6, 2014 | 545 | ± 4.3% | 50% | 41% | 10% |
Tarrance Group (R-Westrom) [56] | September 21–23, 2014 | 402 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 40% | 15% |
Global Strategy Group (D-Peterson) [57] | September 4–7, 2014 | 405 | ± 4.9% | 53% | 29% | 18% |
Tarrance Group (R-Westrom) [58] | February 3–5, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 39% | 15% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [12] | Lean D | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg [13] | Lean D | October 24, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [14] | Lean D | October 30, 2014 |
RCP | Lean D | November 2, 2014 |
Daily Kos Elections [15] | Tossup | November 4, 2014 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic (DFL) | Collin Peterson (incumbent) | 130,546 | 54.2 | |
Republican | Torrey Westrom | 109,955 | 45.7 | |
Write-in | 334 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 240,835 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic (DFL) hold |
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Precinct results Nolan: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Mills: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Rick Nolan, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was elected with 54% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of D+1.
Organizations
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Rick Nolan (DFL) | Stewart Mills (R) | Skip Sandman (G) | Undecided |
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New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker [10] | October 16–23, 2014 | 375 | ± 7.0% | 47% | 42% | 1% | 9% |
KSTP/SurveyUSA [61] | October 9–12, 2014 | 555 | ± 4.2% | 39% | 47% | 4% | 11% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D-DCCC) [62] | September 25–28, 2014 | 405 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 37% | 7% | 9% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [12] | Tossup | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg [13] | Tossup | October 24, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [14] | Lean R (flip) | October 30, 2014 |
RCP | Tossup | November 2, 2014 |
Daily Kos Elections [15] | Tossup | November 4, 2014 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic (DFL) | Rick Nolan (incumbent) | 129,090 | 48.5 | |
Republican | Stewart Mills III | 125,358 | 47.1 | |
Green | Skip Sandman | 11,450 | 4.3 | |
Write-in | 185 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 266,083 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic (DFL) hold |
The Republican Party of Minnesota is the state affiliate of the Republican Party in Minnesota and the oldest active political party in the state. Founded in 1855, the party is headquartered in Edina, and the current chairman is David Hann.
Collin Clark Peterson is an American accountant, politician, and lobbyist who served as the U.S. representative for Minnesota's 7th congressional district from 1991 to 2021. A member of the Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party (DFL), he was chairman of the House Committee on Agriculture from 2019 to 2021 having previously held the office from 2007 to 2011; he had been ranking member from 2011 to 2019 and 2005 to 2007. Peterson was the most senior U.S. Representative from Minnesota and the dean of Minnesota's congressional delegation. In 2020, Peterson was defeated by Michelle Fischbach, ending his 30-year tenure in the United States House of Representatives. In 2022, Peterson registered as a federal lobbyist after opening an eponymous consulting firm.
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The 2006 congressional elections in Minnesota were held on November 7, 2006, to determine who would represent the state of Minnesota in the United States House of Representatives.
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Minnesota, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with an open gubernatorial election, a U.S. Senate election, a special U.S. Senate election, State House elections, and other elections.
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Minnesota, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
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