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All 8 Minnesota seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Minnesota |
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The 2010 Minnesota U.S. House of Representatives elections took place on November 2, 2010. All eight congressional seats that make up the state's delegation were contested. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected will serve in the 112th United States Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013.
The 2010 Minnesota gubernatorial, 2010 Minnesota House elections and 2010 Minnesota Senate elections occurred on the same date, as well as many local elections and ballot initiatives.
The 111th congressional delegation from the U.S. state of Minnesota had five Democratic Farmer Labor Party members (DFLers) and 3 Republicans. All the incumbents ran successfully for re-election, except District 8's Jim Oberstar, who was defeated in his bid for a 19th term. This left Minnesota with an even number of Democratic and Republican representatives.
The table below shows the total number and percentage of votes, as well as the number of seats gained and lost by each political party in the election for the United States House of Representatives in Minnesota.
Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
Democratic-Farmer-Labor | 8 | 1,002,026 | 47.93 | 4 | 1 | 50.00 | |
Republican | 8 | 970,741 | 46.43 | 4 | 1 | 50.00 | |
Independence | 7 | 84,816 | 4.05 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
Independent | 5 | 23,387 | 1.12 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
Constitution | 1 | 2,492 | 0.11 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
Write-in | 8 | 1,639 | 0.08 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
Total | 37 | 2,090,591 | 100.0 | 8 | 100.0 |
Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota by district: [1]
District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 122,365 | 49.34% | 109,242 | 44.05% | 16,398 | 6.61% | 248,005 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 2 | 104,809 | 36.59% | 181,341 | 63.30% | 303 | 0.11% | 286,453 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 3 | 100,240 | 36.57% | 161,177 | 58.80% | 12,675 | 4.62% | 274,092 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 4 | 136,746 | 59.09% | 80,141 | 34.63% | 14,539 | 6.28% | 231,426 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 5 | 154,833 | 67.69% | 55,222 | 24.14% | 18,691 | 8.17% | 228,746 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 6 | 120,846 | 39.79% | 159,476 | 52.51% | 23,369 | 7.70% | 303,691 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 7 | 133,096 | 55.20% | 90,652 | 37.60% | 17,349 | 7.20% | 241,097 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 8 | 129,091 | 46.59% | 133,490 | 48.18% | 14,500 | 5.23% | 277,081 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
Total | 1,002,026 | 47.93% | 970,741 | 46.43% | 117,824 | 5.64% | 2,090,591 | 100.0% |
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Precinct results Walz: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Demmer: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Tim Walz, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. [2] He was re-elected with 62.5% of the vote in 2008. The district had a PVI of R+1.
No primary elections were held in the 1st congressional district in 2010. [3]
Shortly after launching his campaign Quist attracted controversy for a speech he gave at a Christmas Party of the Wabasha County Republicans on December 7, in which he said:
""Our country is being destroyed. Every generation has had to fight the fight for freedom… Terrorism? Yes. That's not the big battle," he said. "The big battle is in D.C. with the radicals. They aren’t liberals. They are radicals. Obama, Pelosi, Walz: They’re not liberals, they’re radicals. They are destroying our country." [11]
Quist would also speak against the Affordable Health Care for America Act in the same speech saying "This is the most insidious, evil piece of legislation I have ever seen in my life… Every one of us has to be totally committed to killing this travesty… I have to kill this bill." [11]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tim Walz (DFL) | Randy Demmer (R) | Steven Wilson (IP) | Lars Johnson (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | October 22–26, 2010 | 558 (LV) | ±4.2% | 50% | 41% | 4% | 2% | 4% |
Grove Insight (D) | October 18–19, 2010 | 400 (LV) | ±4.9% | 50% | 34% | 5% | 13% | |
Survey USA | October 12–14, 2010 | 584 (LV) | ±4.1% | 47% | 42% | 4% | 2% | 5% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [13] | Lean D | November 1, 2010 |
Rothenberg [14] | Likely D | November 1, 2010 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] | Lean D | November 1, 2010 |
RCP [16] | Lean D | November 1, 2010 |
CQ Politics [17] | Lean D | October 28, 2010 |
New York Times [18] | Lean D | November 1, 2010 |
FiveThirtyEight [18] | Likely D | November 1, 2010 |
Walz won the general election on November 2, 2010, with 49% of the vote to Demmer's 44%. [19]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Tim Walz (Incumbent) | 122,365 | 49.3 | |
Republican | Randy Demmer | 109,242 | 44.1 | |
Independence | Steve Wilson | 13,242 | 5.3 | |
Party Free | Lars Johnson | 3,054 | 1.2 | |
Write-in | 102 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 248,005 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic (DFL) hold | ||||
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Precinct results Kline: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Madore: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican John Kline, who had represented the district since 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 57.3% of the vote in 2008. The district had a PVI of R+4.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Kline (Incumbent) | 16,151 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 16,151 | 100.0 |
Despite losing the DFL endorsement to Powers, Madore remained in the race much to the anger of a number of party loyalists [22] She was boosted by questions being raised about Powers' résumé. [23]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Shelley Madore | 19,990 | 54.7 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Dan Powers | 16,528 | 45.3 | |
Total votes | 36,518 | 100.0 |
CQ Politics rated the seat as 'Safe Republican'.
Kline won the general election on November 2, 2010, 63%-37%.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Kline (Incumbent) | 181,341 | 63.3 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Shelley Madore | 104,809 | 36.6 | |
Write-in | 303 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 286,453 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold | ||||
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Precinct results Paulsen: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Meffert: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Erik Paulsen, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was elected with 48.5% of the vote in 2008. The district had a PVI of Even.
No primary elections were held in the 3rd congressional district in 2010. [3]
Though Meffert lacked the funds to be able to afford television advertising, he gained some name recognition through television attack ads from the Paulsen campaign. [28] [29] [30] Political analyst Dave Schultz said that "Given how little money that Meffert has, you would've thought Paulsen would've just ignored Meffert completely and just run a positive campaign." Meffert responded to the attack, saying "It's the kind of thing that makes people cynical about politics and politicians. When you hide behind a big bank account and you throw up an ad that's designed to tear down your opponent." [31] After the Paulsen campaign included a misleading graph in a mailing, Meffert filed an ethics complaint against Paulsen. [32] [33]
CQ Politics rated the seat as 'Safe Republican'.
Paulsen won the general election on November 2, 2010, 59%-37%.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Erik Paulsen (Incumbent) | 161,177 | 58.8 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Jim Meffert | 100,240 | 36.6 | |
Independence | Jon Olseon | 12,508 | 4.6 | |
Write-in | 167 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 274,092 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold | ||||
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Precinct results McCollum: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Collett: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 68.4% of the vote in 2008. The district had a PVI of D+13.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Betty McCollum (Incumbent) | 55,491 | 86.6 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Diana Longrie | 8,622 | 13.4 | |
Total votes | 64,113 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Teresa Collett | 6,949 | 67.2 | |
Republican | Jack Shepard | 3,392 | 32.8 | |
Total votes | 10,341 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Independence | Steve Carlson | 1,550 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 1,550 | 100.0 |
CQ Politics rated the seat as 'Safe Democratic'.
McCollum won the general election on November 2, 2010, 59%-35%.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Betty McCollum (Incumbent) | 136,746 | 59.1 | |
Republican | Teresa Collett | 80,141 | 34.6 | |
Independence | Steve Carlson | 14,207 | 6.1 | |
Write-in | 332 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 231,426 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic (DFL) hold | ||||
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Precinct results Ellison: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Demos: 50–60% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Keith Ellison, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. Ellison is the first Muslim to be elected to the United States Congress. He was re-elected with 67.7% of the vote in 2008. The district had a PVI of D+23.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Keith Ellison (Incumbent) | 55,424 | 81.6 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Barb Davis White | 7,963 | 11.7 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Gregg A. Iverson | 4,575 | 6.7 | |
Total votes | 67,962 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Joel Demos | 4,975 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 4,975 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Independence | Tom Schrunk | 1,202 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 1,202 | 100.0 |
CQ Politics rated the seat as 'Safe Democratic'.
Ellison won the general election on November 2, 2010, 68%-24%.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Keith Ellison (Incumbent) | 154,833 | 67.7 | |
Republican | Joel Demos | 55,222 | 24.1 | |
Independent | Lynne Torgerson | 8,548 | 3.7 | |
Independence | Tom Schrunk | 7,446 | 3.3 | |
Independent | Michael James Cavlan | 2,468 | 1.1 | |
Write-in | 229 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 228,746 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic (DFL) hold | ||||
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Precinct results Bachmann: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Clark: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Michele Bachmann, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. [35] [36] She was re-elected with 46.4% of the vote in 2008. The district had a PVI of R+7.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Michele Bachmann (Incumbent) | 17,237 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 17,237 | 100.0 |
Democrat Tarryl Clark, the state Senate assistant majority leader, received the endorsement of the DFL Party and was the sole Democratic challenger to Bachmann's seat, Maureen Reed having dropped out of the race in June 2010. Reed, a former University of Minnesota regent chair and a physician, threw her support behind Clark saying she felt "it is time for the DFL to unify behind one candidate in this race". [37] [38] [39]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Tarryl Clark | 28,185 | 69.1 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Maureen Kennedy Reed | 12,603 | 30.9 | |
Total votes | 40,788 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Independence | Bob Anderson | 1,418 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 1,418 | 100.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Michele Bachmann (R) | Tarryl Clark (DFL) | Bob Anderson (IP) | Aubrey Immelsman (I) | Undecided |
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Survey USA | September 15, 2010 | 582 (LV) | ±4.1% | 49% | 40% | 6% | 1% | 4% |
Survey USA | July 9–11, 2010 | 565 (LV) | ±4.2% | 48% | 39% | 6% | 2% | 5% |
Public Policy Polling | December 17–20, 2009 | 719 (RV) | ±3.7% | 55% | 37% | – | – | 8% |
Bachmann vs. Reed
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Michele Bachmann (R) | Maureen Reed (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 17–20, 2009 | 719 (RV) | ±3.7% | 53% | 37% | 10% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [13] | Likely R | November 1, 2010 |
Rothenberg [14] | Safe R | November 1, 2010 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] | Likely R | November 1, 2010 |
RCP [16] | Likely R | November 1, 2010 |
CQ Politics [17] | Safe R | October 28, 2010 |
New York Times [18] | Lean R | November 1, 2010 |
FiveThirtyEight [18] | Safe R | November 1, 2010 |
Michele Bachmann won the general election on November 2, 2010, by a margin of 52% to 38%. [41] [42]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Michele Bachmann (Incumbent) | 159,476 | 52.5 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Tarryl Clark | 120,846 | 39.8 | |
Independence | Bob Anderson | 17,698 | 5.8 | |
Independent | Aubrey Immelsman | 5,490 | 1.8 | |
Write-in | 181 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 303,691 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold | ||||
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Precinct results Peterson: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Byberg: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Collin Peterson, who had represented the district since 1991, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 72.2% of the vote in 2008. The district had a PVI of R+5.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Collin Peterson (Incumbent) | 42,104 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 42,104 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Lee Byberg | 11,417 | 61.0 | |
Republican | Alan Roebke | 7,315 | 39.0 | |
Total votes | 18,732 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Independence | Glen R. Menze | 2,242 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 2,242 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [13] | Safe D | November 1, 2010 |
Rothenberg [14] | Safe D | November 1, 2010 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] | Safe D | November 1, 2010 |
RCP [16] | Likely D | November 1, 2010 |
CQ Politics [17] | Safe D | October 28, 2010 |
New York Times [18] | Safe D | November 1, 2010 |
FiveThirtyEight [18] | Safe D | November 1, 2010 |
Peterson won the general election on November 2, 2010, 55%-38%.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Collin Peterson (Incumbent) | 133,096 | 55.2 | |
Republican | Lee Byberg | 90,652 | 37.6 | |
Independent | Gene Waldorf | 9,317 | 3.9 | |
Independence | Glen R. Menze | 7,839 | 3.3 | |
Write-in | 193 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 241,097 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic (DFL) hold | ||||
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Precinct results Cravaack: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Oberstar: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Jim Oberstar, who had represented the district since 1975, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 67.7% of the vote in 2008. The district had a PVI of D+3.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | James L. Oberstar (Incumbent) | 56,510 | 80.5 | |
Democratic (DFL) | W. D. (Bill) Ham | 13,710 | 19.5 | |
Total votes | 70,220 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Chip Cravaack | 26,608 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 26,608 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Independence | Timothy Olson | 2,515 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 2,515 | 100.0 |
Cravaack entered the race as a clear underdog, he was a political novice, the 8th district had been held by Democrats since 1947 and Oberstar was the longest-serving congressman in Minnesota's history who had never received less than 59% of the vote. [50]
Cravaack campaigned on a standard republican platform of free-market principles and government spending cuts [51] while attacking Oberstar's vote for the health care bill. [50] [52]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jim Oberstar (DFL) | Chip Cravaack (R) | George Burton (C) | Undecided |
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Survey USA | October 25–28, 2010 | 665 (LV) | ±3.9% | 47% | 46% | 3% | 4% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | September 28–30, 2010 | 300 (LV) | ±5.7% | 45% | 42% | – | 13% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [13] | Tossup | November 1, 2010 |
Rothenberg [14] | Likely D | November 1, 2010 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] | Lean D | November 1, 2010 |
RCP [16] | Tossup | November 1, 2010 |
CQ Politics [17] | Likely D | October 28, 2010 |
New York Times [18] | Safe D | November 1, 2010 |
FiveThirtyEight [18] | Lean D | November 1, 2010 |
Jim Oberstar lost his bid for a 19th term to Cravaack 48% to 47%. [54]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Chip Cravaack | 133,490 | 48.2 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Jim Oberstar (Incumbent) | 129,091 | 46.6 | |
Independence | Timothy Olson | 11,876 | 4.3 | |
Constitution | Richard (George) Burton | 2,492 | 0.9 | |
Write-in | 132 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 277,081 | 100.0 | ||
Republican gain from Democratic (DFL) | ||||
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Official campaign websites |