2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election

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2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
  2006 November 2, 2010 2014  
Turnout41.7%
  Portrait of PA Governor Tom Corbett (cropped).jpg Dan Onorato (cropped).jpg
Nominee Tom Corbett Dan Onorato
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Jim Cawley H. Scott Conklin
Popular vote2,172,7631,814,788
Percentage54.49%45.51%

2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2010 PA Governor Election by Precinct.svg
Corbett:      50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Onorato:      50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:      50%     No data

Governor before election

Ed Rendell
Democratic

Elected Governor

Tom Corbett
Republican

The 2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in Pennsylvania and other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Democratic governor Ed Rendell was term-limited and thus ineligible to seek re-election in 2010. In the primary, Democrats nominated Allegheny County Chief Executive Dan Onorato, who defeated Pennsylvania Auditor General Jack Wagner, State Senator Anthony H. Williams, and Montgomery County Commissioner Joe Hoeffel. Republicans nominated Pennsylvania Attorney General Tom Corbett, who defeated State Representative Sam Rohrer in the primary. In primary elections for lieutenant governor, which were held separately, H. Scott Conklin defeated Jonathan Saidel and Doris Smith-Ribner in the Democratic primary. Jim Cawley emerged from a nine-candidate field in the Republican primary.

Corbett defeated Onorato in the November general election. As lieutenant gubernatorial nominees run on a joint ticket with the gubernatorial nominee of their respective parties in the general election in Pennsylvania, Cawley was elected lieutenant governor over Conklin. As of 2025, this is the last time a Republican was elected Governor of Pennsylvania and the only time since 1998. This is also the last time Republicans won the following counties in a gubernatorial election: Allegheny, Erie, Beaver, Centre, Dauphin, Luzerne, Monroe, Northampton, Lehigh, Berks, Bucks, and Chester. This is the last Pennsylvania gubernatorial election in which the winner won a majority of counties.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Dropped Out

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredDan
Onorato
Jack
Wagner
Joe
Hoeffel
Anthony
Williams
Chris
Doherty
Tom
Knox
Undecided
Muhlenberg/Morning Call [1] May 7, 201035%8%11%10%36%
Rasmussen Reports [2] May 6, 201034%17%9%17%17%
Quinnipiac [3] April 28 – May 5, 201036%8%9%8%37%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call [4] May 2, 201041%5%6%8%40%
Quinnipiac [5] March 31 – April 5, 201020%13%15%5%47%
Research 2000 [6] March 8–10, 201019%10%12%3%56%
Franklin and Marshall [7] February 23, 20106%6%6%1%4%72%
Rasmussen Reports [8] October 13, 200919%14%11%6%4%37%
Quinnipiac [9] September 30, 200914%7%12%5%4%46%

Results

Results by county:
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Onorato--70-80%
Onorato--60-70%
Onorato--50-60%
Onorato--40-50%
Onorato--30-40%
Wagner--30-40%
Wagner--40-50%
Wagner--50-60%
Hoeffel--50-60%
Williams--50-60% Pennsylvania gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2010.svg
Results by county:
  Onorato—70–80%
  Onorato—60–70%
  Onorato—50–60%
  Onorato—40–50%
  Onorato—30–40%
  Wagner—30–40%
  Wagner—40–50%
  Wagner—50–60%
  Hoeffel—50–60%
  Williams—50–60%
Democratic primary results [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Dan Onorato 463,575 45.1
Democratic Jack Wagner248,33824.1
Democratic Anthony Williams185,78418.1
Democratic Joe Hoeffel130,79912.7
Total votes1,028,496 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Dropped Out

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredJim
Gerlach
Tom
Corbett
Sam
Rohrer
Undecided
Quinnipiac [5] March 31 – April 5, 201058%7%35%
Franklin and Marshall [7] February 23, 201026%4%65%
Rasmussen Reports [12] October 13, 200910%54%30%
Quinnipiac [9] September 30, 200913%42%43%

Results

Results by county:
Corbett--80-90%
Corbett--70-80%
Corbett--60-70%
Corbett--50-60%
Rohrer--50-60%
Rohrer--70-80% Pennsylvania gubernatorial Republican primary, 2010.svg
Results by county:
  Corbett—80–90%
  Corbett—70–80%
  Corbett—60–70%
  Corbett—50–60%
  Rohrer—50–60%
  Rohrer—70–80%
Republican primary results [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Tom Corbett 589,249 68.7
Republican Sam Rohrer267,89331.3
Total votes857,142 100.0

General election

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Lean R (flip)October 14, 2010
Rothenberg Political Report [14] Lean R (flip)October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics [15] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] Likely R (flip)October 28, 2010
CQ Politics [17] Lean R (flip)October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredTom
Corbett (R)
Dan
Onorato (D)
Quinnipiac [18] October 25–30, 201052%42%
Rasmussen Reports [19] October 28, 201052%43%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call [20] October 28, 201052%37%
Rasmussen Reports [19] October 21, 201050%45%
Public Policy Polling [21] October 17–18, 201048%46%
Quinnipiac [22] October 13–17, 201049%44%
Rasmussen Reports [19] October 15, 201054%40%
Rasmussen Reports [19] October 2, 201053%41%
Franklin & Marshall College in Lancaster [23] September 29, 201036%32%
Suffolk University [24] September 24–27, 201047%40%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call [25] September 18–23, 201046%37%
CNN/Time [26] September 17–21, 201052%44%
Quinnipiac [27] September 15–19, 201054%39%
Rasmussen Reports [19] September 13, 201049%39%
Rasmussen Reports [28] August 30, 201050%37%
Rasmussen Reports [29] August 16, 201048%38%
Public Policy Polling [30] August 14–16, 201048%35%
Rasmussen Reports [31] July 28, 201050%39%
Rasmussen Reports [32] July 14, 201048%38%
Quinnipiac [33] July 6–11, 201044%37%
Rasmussen Reports [34] June 29, 201049%39%
Public Policy Polling [35] June 19–21, 201045%35%
Rasmussen Reports [36] June 2, 201049%33%
Rasmussen Reports [37] May 19, 201049%36%
Quinnipiac [38] May 4–10, 201043%37%
Rasmussen Reports [39] April 15, 201045%36%
Quinnipiac [40] March 30 – April 5, 201045%33%
Public Policy Polling [41] March 29 – April 1, 201045%32%
Rasmussen Reports [39] March 16, 201046%29%
Research 2000 [6] March 8–10, 201040%34%
Rasmussen Reports [42] February 10, 201052%26%
Rasmussen Reports [39] December 10, 200944%28%
Quinnipiac [9] September 30, 200947%28%

Results

Pennsylvania gubernatorial election, 2010 [43]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Tom Corbett 2,172,763 54.49%
Democratic Dan Onorato 1,814,78845.51%
Total votes3,987,551 100.00%
Republican gain from Democratic

Results by county

County [44] Tom Corbett
Republican
Dan Onorato
Democratic
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%
Adams 22,69672.81%8,47427.19%14,22245.62%31,170
Allegheny 213,88950.05%213,42949.95%4600.10%427,318
Armstrong 16,09670.94%6,59529.06%9,50141.88%22,691
Beaver 32,67056.49%25,16343.51%7,50712.98%57,833
Bedford 12,87377.96%3,63922.04%9,23455.92%16,512
Berks 66,75859.34%45,74640.66%21,01218.68%112,504
Blair 26,19972.88%9,75027.12%16,44945.76%35,949
Bradford 12,47472.46%4,74127.54%7,73344.92%17,215
Bucks 126,19055.27%102,14444.73%24,04610.54%228,334
Butler 47,15171.93%18,40428.07%28,74743.86%65,555
Cambria 27,44457.72%20,10242.28%7,34215.44%47,546
Cameron 1,10070.47%46129.53%63940.94%1,561
Carbon 11,29759.05%7,83440.95%3,46318.10%19,131
Centre 24,45854.51%20,40745.49%4,0519.02%44,865
Chester 97,11255.96%76,44044.04%20,67211.92%173,552
Clarion 8,82771.23%3,56628.77%5,26142.46%12,393
Clearfield 15,68563.52%9,00736.48%6,67827.04%24,692
Clinton 5,67661.03%3,62538.97%2,05122.06%9,301
Columbia 12,15166.45%6,13633.55%6,01532.90%18,287
Crawford 17,88366.79%8,89133.21%8,99233.58%26,774
Cumberland 56,28469.65%24,53130.35%31,75339.30%80,815
Dauphin 53,26160.47%34,81339.53%18,44820.94%88,074
Delaware 95,44847.22%106,70452.78%-11,256-5.56%202,152
Elk 6,37461.83%3,93538.17%2,43923.66%10,309
Erie 42,75250.10%42,58149.90%1710.20%85,333
Fayette 18,99455.70%15,10644.30%3,88811.40%34,100
Forest 1,25766.51%63333.49%62433.02%1,890
Franklin 33,55976.52%10,29523.48%23,26453.04%43,854
Fulton 3,52178.84%94521.16%2,57657.68%4,466
Greene 6,00053.80%5,15346.20%8477.60%11,153
Huntingdon 9,76472.90%3,62927.10%6,13545.80%13,393
Indiana 16,52065.14%8,84234.86%7,67830.28%25,362
Jefferson 10,01774.55%3,42025.45%6,59749.10%13,437
Juniata 5,83479.18%1,53420.82%4,30058.36%7,368
Lackawanna 31,34245.00%38,30055.00%-6,958-10.00%69,642
Lancaster 106,43071.10%43,26828.90%63,16242.20%149,698
Lawrence 16,48958.91%11,49941.09%4,99017.82%27,988
Lebanon 29,53474.07%10,34025.93%19,19448.14%39,874
Lehigh 52,76954.95%43,26145.05%9,5089.90%96,030
Luzerne 49,73453.41%43,39246.59%6,3426.82%93,126
Lycoming 25,15473.05%9,27826.95%15,87646.10%34,432
McKean 7,11772.03%2,76327.97%4,35444.06%9,880
Mercer 21,14658.43%15,04741.57%6,09916.86%36,193
Mifflin 9,64278.85%2,58721.15%7,05557.70%12,229
Monroe 21,16253.92%18,08246.08%3,0807.84%39,244
Montgomery 139,24448.29%149,08051.71%-9,836-3.42%288,324
Montour 3,89668.22%1,81531.78%2,08136.44%5,711
Northampton 45,98654.19%38,87145.81%7,1158.38%84,857
Northumberland 17,78167.93%8,39332.07%9,38835.86%26,174
Perry 11,56879.30%3,01920.70%8,54958.60%14,587
Philadelphia 72,35217.11%350,43182.89%-278,079-65.78%428,841
Pike 9,89464.39%5,47235.61%4,42228.78%15,366
Potter 4,05376.33%1,25723.67%2,79652.66%5,310
Schuylkill 28,65963.41%16,53536.59%12,12426.82%45,194
Snyder 8,59176.01%2,71223.99%5,87952.02%11,303
Somerset 18,54271.77%7,29428.23%11,24843.54%25,836
Sullivan 1,65470.80%68229.20%97241.60%2,336
Susquehanna 9,61268.63%4,39431.37%5,21837.26%14,006
Tioga 9,06975.56%2,93324.44%6,13651.12%12,002
Union 8,12168.89%3,66831.11%4,45337.78%11,789
Venango 10,93768.82%4,95531.18%5,98237.64%15,892
Warren 8,19467.22%3,99632.78%4,19834.44%12,190
Washington 41,98459.81%28,21140.19%13,77319.62%70,195
Wayne 10,74767.87%5,08732.13%5,66035.74%15,834
Westmoreland 84,76267.70%40,44032.30%44,32235.40%125,202
Wyoming 5,90166.17%3,01733.83%2,88432.34%8,918
York 92,48370.86%38,03429.14%54,44941.72%130,517
Totals2,172,76354.49%1,814,78845.51%357,9758.98%3,987,551

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

References

  1. Muhlenberg/Morning Call
  2. Rasmussen Reports
  3. Quinnipiac
  4. Muhlenberg/Morning Call
  5. 1 2 Quinnipiac
  6. 1 2 Research 2000
  7. 1 2 Franklin and Marshall
  8. Rasmussen Reports
  9. 1 2 3 Quinnipiac
  10. 1 2 "Pennsylvania Governor Primary Results". PA Secretary of State. May 18, 2010. Archived from the original on December 10, 2011. Retrieved June 2, 2010.
  11. "Meehan quits governor's race".
  12. Rasmussen Reports
  13. "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  14. "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  15. "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  16. "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  17. "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  18. Quinnipiac
  19. 1 2 3 4 5 Rasmussen Reports
  20. Muhlenberg/Morning Call Archived January 23, 2011, at the Wayback Machine
  21. Public Policy Polling
  22. Quinnipiac
  23. Franklin & Marshall College in Lancaster
  24. Suffolk University Archived September 30, 2010, at the Wayback Machine
  25. Muhlenberg/Morning Call [ permanent dead link ]
  26. CNN/Time
  27. Quinnipiac
  28. Rasmussen Reports
  29. Rasmussen Reports
  30. Public Policy Polling
  31. Rasmussen Reports
  32. Rasmussen Reports
  33. Quinnipiac
  34. Rasmussen Reports
  35. Public Policy Polling
  36. Rasmussen Reports
  37. Rasmussen Reports
  38. Quinnipiac [ permanent dead link ]
  39. 1 2 3 Rasmussen Reports
  40. Quinnipiac
  41. Public Policy Polling
  42. Rasmussen Reports
  43. "2010 General Election". Elections Information. Pennsylvania Department of State. November 2, 2010. Archived from the original on May 21, 2012. Retrieved November 2, 2010.
  44. "2010 General Election (Official Returns)". Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. Retrieved January 6, 2025.

Official campaign websites