2010 United States Senate election in Kansas

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2010 United States Senate election in Kansas
Flag of Kansas.svg
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  Jerry Moran, official Congressional photo portrait.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Jerry Moran Lisa Johnston
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote587,175220,971
Percentage70.09%26.38%
2010 United States Senate election in Kansas results map by county.svg
County results
Moran:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Johnston:     40–50%     50–60%
U.S. senator before election

Sam Brownback
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Jerry Moran
Republican

The 2010 United States Senate election in Kansas took place on November 2, 2010, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Senator Sam Brownback did not seek a third full term, but instead successfully ran for Governor of Kansas.

Contents

Fellow Republican and representative Jerry Moran won the open seat. This was the first open-seat United States Senate election in Kansas for this seat since 1968. [lower-alpha 1]

Background

Sam Brownback was first elected to the Senate in 1996, replacing Bob Dole, who resigned to run for President. Brownback stated that he would not run for re-election in 2010 because of self-imposed term limits. Kansas is one of the most Republican states in the nation; no Democrat has been elected to either Senate seat since 1932.

Republican primary

Candidates

Campaign

The retirement of Brownback, a popular U.S. Senator, led to a heavily competitive primary election. Tiahrt, who was on the Committee of Appropriations, had been accused of excessive earmarking while he was in Congress. From 2006 to 2008, Tiahrt had requested and supported a total of 63 solo earmarks, costing $53.9 million. In the same period, Moran had requested and supported a total of 29 earmarks, with a pricetag of $13.4 million. [5] [6]

Endorsements

Moran

Notable individuals and organizations endorsing Jerry Moran [7]

Tiahrt

State/local-level positions (State Senators, Governors, etc.) [8]
  • State Senator Steve Abrams
  • State Senator Les Donovan
  • State Senator Dick Kelsey
  • State Senator Julia Lynn
  • State Senator Ty Masterson
  • State Senator Carolyn McGinn
  • State Senator Susan Wagle
  • Kansas House Majority Leader Ray Merrick
  • Kansas Speaker Pro Tempore Arlen Seigfreid
  • State Representative Steven Brunk
  • State Representative J. David Crum
  • State Representative Peter DeGraaf
  • State Representative Mario Goico
  • State Representative John Grange
  • State Representative Phil Hermanson
  • State Representative Steve Huebert
  • State Representative Aaron Jack
  • State Representative Kasha Kelley
  • State Representative Dan Kerschen
  • State Representative Brenda Landwehr
  • State Representative Joe McLeland
  • State Representative Virgil Peck
  • State Representative Marc Rhoades
  • State Representative Gene Suellentrop
U.S. federal positions (Senators, Congressmen, etc.) [8]
Notable individuals and organizations endorsing Todd Tiahrt [8]

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredTodd TiahrtJerry Moran
Research 2000 February 2–4, 200924%19%
Survey USA April 17–19, 200935%39%
Survey USA June 12–14, 200938%40%
Survey USA October 2–4, 200927%43%
Survey USA December 4–6, 200934%37%
Survey USA January 29–31, 201033%40%
Survey USA March 26–28, 201032%42%
Survey USA May 21–23, 201029%52%
Survey USA June 24–27, 201033%53%
Survey USA July 15–18, 201036%50%
Survey USA July 29 – August 1, 201039%49%

Results

Primary results by county. Map legend .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Moran--80-90% Moran--70-80% Moran--60-70% Moran--50-60% Moran--40-50% Tiahrt--40-50% Tiahrt--50-60% Tiahrt--60-70% 2010 United States Senate election in Kansas Republican primary results map by county.svg
Primary results by county.
Map legend
  •   Moran—80–90%
  •   Moran—70–80%
  •   Moran—60–70%
  •   Moran—50–60%
  •   Moran—40–50%
  •   Tiahrt—40–50%
  •   Tiahrt—50–60%
  •   Tiahrt—60–70%
Republican primary results [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jerry Moran 161,407 49.8%
Republican Todd Tiahrt144,37244.6%
Republican Tom Little10,1043.1%
Republican Bob Londerholm8,1682.5%
Total votes324,051 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredCharles SchollenbergerLisa JohnstonRobert ConroyDavid HaleyUndecided
Survey USA June 24–27, 201016%24%11%11%35%
Survey USA July 15–18, 201014%23%7%12%36%
Survey USA July 29 – August 1, 201021%29%7%12%25%

Results

Democratic primary results [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Lisa Johnston 25,421 31.2%
Democratic Charles Schollenberger19,22823.6%
Democratic David Haley15,58419.2%
Democratic Patrick Wiesner13,35916.4%
Democratic Robert Conroy7,7799.6%
Total votes81,371 100.00%

General election

Candidates

Major

Minor

Campaign

Kansas is a very red state, where no Democrat has won a U.S. Senate election since 1932. [14] After the primary, Moran chose not to release any more negative advertisements. Democrat Lisa Johnston ran a low-profile, quiet race. On election day, she won only two counties: Wyandotte County and Douglas County, while Moran won statewide by a landslide. [15]

Debates

The two never met for a debate. [16]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [17] Solid ROctober 26, 2010
Rothenberg [18] Safe ROctober 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics [19] Safe ROctober 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [20] Safe ROctober 21, 2010
CQ Politics [21] Safe ROctober 26, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredJerry MoranLisa Johnston
Rasmussen Reports May 11, 201061%25%
Rasmussen Reports June 30, 201059%23%
Rasmussen Reports August 4, 201061%28%
Survey USA August 12–15, 201069%23%
Survey USA September 14–16, 201066%24%
Survey USA October 10–12, 201067%27%
Survey USA October 22–26, 201066%26%

Fundraising

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Lisa Johnston (D)$10,627$4,530$6,096$1,131
Jerry Moran (R)$2,749,244$4,497,168$795,015$0
Source: Federal Election Commission [22]

Results

United States Senate election in Kansas, 2010 [23]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Jerry Moran 587,175 70.09% +0.93%
Democratic Lisa Johnston220,97126.38%−1.11%
Libertarian Michael Dann17,9222.14%+0.21%
Reform Joe Bellis11,6241.39%−0.03%
Total votes837,692 100.0%
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Notes

  1. ↑ Sheila Frahm ran for the 1996 special election to finish Bob Dole's term, but lost in the primary to Sam Brownback.

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References

  1. ↑ "Londerholm drops out of Senate race". Associated Press. July 13, 2010. Retrieved August 3, 2010.
  2. ↑ "Moran now eyes U.S. Senate seat". Associated Press. November 8, 2008. Retrieved November 10, 2008.[ dead link ]
  3. ↑ "Tiahrt preparing for Senate race in Kansas". Associated Press. November 21, 2008. Retrieved November 23, 2008.[ dead link ]
  4. ↑ "Congressman Tiahrt Announces Senate Steering Committee - KWCH - Kansas News and Weather". KWCH. January 27, 2009. Archived from the original on February 5, 2009. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  5. ↑ Clark, Matthew (June 5, 2010). "POLITICS BLOG: Earmarks, earmarks and more earmarks - Pittsburg, KS". Morning Sun. Archived from the original on July 26, 2011. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  6. ↑ "Truth Test". YouTube. June 7, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  7. ↑ "Jerry Moran Endorsements". Moran for Kansas. June 2, 2010. Archived from the original on June 26, 2010. Retrieved June 2, 2010.
  8. 1 2 3 "Todd Tiahrt Endorsements". Todd Tiahrt for Kansas. June 2, 2010.
  9. ↑ "Niet compatibele browser". Facebook. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  10. 1 2 "Kansas Primary results". Politico. August 3, 2010. Retrieved August 3, 2010.
  11. ↑ "State Sen. David Haley to enter race for U.S. Senate | Wichitopekington | Wichita Eagle Blogs". Blogs.kansas.com. Archived from the original on August 9, 2011. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  12. ↑ "Moran squeezes past Tiahrt, looks forward to Johnston". KCUR-FM . Associated Press. August 4, 2010. Archived from the original on September 16, 2011. Retrieved August 4, 2010.
  13. ↑ "The Hutchinson News Online Edition". Hutchnews.com. June 15, 2009. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  14. ↑ "Canadian Press".[ dead link ]
  15. ↑ "Wyandotte County voters buck statewide trend". BonnerSprings.com. Archived from the original on November 13, 2010. Retrieved December 20, 2022.
  16. ↑ "Moran takes Senate seat - McPherson, KS - The McPherson Sentinel". Archived from the original on July 14, 2011. Retrieved November 9, 2010.
  17. ↑ "Senate". Cook Political Report . Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  18. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report . Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  19. ↑ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  20. ↑ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  21. ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  22. ↑ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Kansas". fec.gov. Archived from the original on May 25, 2010. Retrieved August 22, 2010.
  23. ↑ "2010 General Election - Official Vote Totals" (PDF). Kansas Secretary of State.
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