2010 Ohio gubernatorial election

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2010 Ohio gubernatorial election
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←  2006 November 2, 2010 2014  →
  Governor John Kasich.jpg Ted Strickland photo (1).jpg
Nominee John Kasich Ted Strickland
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Mary Taylor Yvette Brown
Popular vote1,889,1861,812,059
Percentage49.04%47.04%
2010 Ohio gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2010 Ohio gubernatorial election results map by congressional District.svg
Kasich:      40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
Strickland:      40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Governor before election

Ted Strickland
Democratic

Elected Governor

John Kasich
Republican

The 2010 Ohio gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor Ted Strickland ran for re-election to a second term as governor and was opposed by former U.S. Representative John Kasich; both Strickland and Kasich won their respective primaries uncontested. The race between the two major candidates was prolonged and brutal, with both candidates employing various campaign surrogates to bolster their campaigns. Ultimately, Kasich defeated Strickland.

Contents

Strickland's defeat was widely attributed to the decline of Ohio's economy, as well as the loss of 400,000 jobs since the beginning of his term. The policies of the then-president Barack Obama proved to be a hot topic among voters, with Strickland voicing his support for the healthcare overhauls initiated by Obama's administration, contrary to Kasich, who opposed the policies. [1] As of 2023, this is the last time an incumbent governor of Ohio lost re-election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic primary results [2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ted Strickland (incumbent) 630,785 100.00%
Total votes630,785 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

Republican primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Kasich 746,719 100.00%
Total votes746,719 100.00%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Results

Libertarian Party primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Ken Matesz 4,407 100.00%
Total votes4,407 100.00%

Green primary

Candidates

Results

Green Party primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Green Dennis Spisak 924 100.00%
Total votes924 100.00%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [6] TossupOctober 14, 2010
Rothenberg [7] Tilt R (flip)October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics [8] TossupNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [9] Lean R (flip)October 28, 2010
CQ Politics [10] TossupOctober 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredTed
Strickland (D)		John
Kasich (R)
Public Policy Polling [11] October 28–30, 201048%49%
Angus Reid Public Opinion [12] October 27–29, 201046%49%
Survey USA [13] October 22–26, 201044%49%
Quinnipiac University [14] October 18–24, 201043%49%
Fox News/POR [15] October 23, 201043%47%
CNN/Time Magazine [16] October 15–19, 201048%46%
University of Cincinnati [17] October 14–18, 201047%49%
Quinnipiac University [18] October 12–17, 201041%51%
University of Cincinnati [19] October 8–13, 201043%51%
Rasmussen Reports [20] October 11, 201045%48%
Fox News/POR [21] October 9, 201042%47%
Angus Reid Public Opinion [22] October 5–8, 201046%48%
Quinnipiac University [23] September 29 – October 3, 201041%50%
Fox News/POR [24] October 2, 201043%49%
Rasmussen Reports [25] September 27, 201042%50%
CBS/NY Times [26] September 23–27, 201042%43%
Reuters/Ipsos [27] September 23–25, 201046%47%
Ohio Newspapers Poll/UC [28] September 24, 201045%49%
SurveyUSA [29] September 14, 201040%52%
CNN/Time Magazine [30] September 10–14, 201044%51%
Quinnipiac [31] September 9–14, 201037%54%
Rasmussen Reports [32] September 13, 201043%50%
Fox News/Pulse Research [33] September 11, 201043%48%
The Columbus Dispatch [34] August 25 – September 3, 201037%49%
Rasmussen Reports [35] August 30, 201039%47%
Public Policy Polling [36] August 27–29, 201040%50%
Rasmussen Reports [37] August 16, 201040%48%
Reuters/Ipsos [38] August 6–8, 201039%48%
Rasmussen Reports [39] August 2, 201042%45%
Rasmussen Reports [40] July 19, 201043%48%
Rasmussen Reports [41] June 29, 201040%47%
Public Policy Polling [42] June 26–27, 201041%43%
Quinnipiac [43] June 22–27, 201043%38%
Rasmussen Reports [44] June 3, 201042%47%
UC/The Ohio Poll [45] May 11–20, 201049%44%
Rasmussen Reports [46] May 5, 201045%46%
Quinnipiac [47] April 21–26, 201044%38%
Research 2000 [48] April 5–7, 201045%40%
Rasmussen Reports [49] March 30, 201045%46%
Quinnipiac [50] March 23–29, 201043%38%
Public Policy Polling [51] March 20–21, 201037%42%
Rasmussen Reports [52] March 4, 201038%49%
Quinnipiac [53] February 16–21, 201044%39%
Rasmussen Reports [54] February 5–6, 201041%47%
The Ohio Newspaper [55] January 13–19, 201045%51%
Ohio Right to Life [56] January 8–12, 201033%43%
Rasmussen Reports [57] January 12, 201040%47%
Rasmussen Reports [58] December 7, 200939%48%
Quinnipiac [59] November 5–9, 200940%40%
The Ohio Newspaper [60] October 14–20, 200948%47%
Rasmussen Reports [61] September 23, 200945%46%
Quinnipiac [62] September 10–13, 200946%36%
Research 2000 [63] July 8, 200944%39%
Quinnipiac [64] June 26 – July 1, 200943%38%
Public Policy Polling [65] June 17–19, 200944%42%
Quinnipiac [66] April 28 – May 4, 200951%32%
Quinnipiac [67] March 10–15, 200951%31%
Quinnipiac [68] January 29 – February 2, 200956%26%
Public Policy Polling [69] January 17–18, 200945%39%

Results

When the polls closed on election night, the race was very close, with Strickland and Kasich neck and neck. As the night wore on, Kasich's lead began to pick up strength, however once Cuyahoga County came in, Kasich's lead began to erode. In the end Kasich still won, but it was one of the closest gubernatorial elections in Ohio history. Strickland conceded at around 2 A.M. EST.

2010 Ohio gubernatorial election [70]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican John Kasich 1,889,186 49.04% +12.39%
Democratic Ted Strickland (incumbent)1,812,05947.04%−13.50%
Libertarian Ken Matesz92,1162.39%+0.61%
Green Dennis Spisak58,4751.52%+0.50%
Write-in 6330.02%N/A
Majority77,1272.00%−21.89%
Total votes3,852,469 100.00%
Republican gain from Democratic

By county

County [71] John Kasich
Republican		Ted Strickland
Democratic		Other votesTotal
votes
 %# %# %#
Adams 57.96%4,83738.23%3,1913.81%318
Allen 57.57%8,40138.69%1,9363.74%1,233
Ashland 60.89%10,58633.92%5,8975.19%902
Ashtabula 42.30%12,58250.85%15,1286.86%2,038
Athens 26.42%4,52570.48%12,0733.10%531
Auglaize 65.79%10,87328.97%4,7881.61%265
Belmont 43.96%10,41152.64%12,4673.40%805
Brown 58.60%7,80336.76%4,8944.64%618
Butler 62.69%74,94233.59%40,1533.72%4,444

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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References

  1. ↑ "Ohio - Election Results 2010 - The New York Times". www.nytimes.com. Retrieved May 21, 2020.
  2. ↑ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Democratic: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
  3. ↑ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Republican: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
  4. ↑ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Libertarian: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
  5. ↑ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Green: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
  6. ↑ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  7. ↑ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  8. ↑ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  9. ↑ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  10. ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  11. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  12. ↑ Angus Reid Public Opinion
  13. ↑ Survey USA
  14. ↑ Quinnipiac University
  15. ↑ Fox News/POR
  16. ↑ CNN/Time Magazine
  17. ↑ University of Cincinnati
  18. ↑ Quinnipiac University
  19. ↑ University of Cincinnati
  20. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  21. ↑ Fox News/POR
  22. ↑ Angus Reid Public Opinion
  23. ↑ Quinnipiac University
  24. ↑ Fox News/POR
  25. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  26. ↑ CBS/NY Times
  27. ↑ Reuters/Ipsos
  28. ↑ Ohio Newspapers Poll/UC
  29. ↑ SurveyUSA
  30. ↑ CNN/Time Magazine
  31. ↑ Quinnipiac
  32. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  33. ↑ Fox News/Pulse Research
  34. ↑ The Columbus Dispatch
  35. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  36. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  37. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  38. ↑ Reuters/Ipsos
  39. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  40. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  41. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  42. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  43. ↑ Quinnipiac
  44. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  45. ↑ UC/The Ohio Poll
  46. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  47. ↑ Quinnipiac
  48. ↑ Research 2000
  49. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  50. ↑ Quinnipiac
  51. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  52. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  53. ↑ Quinnipiac
  54. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  55. ↑ The Ohio Newspaper
  56. ↑ Ohio Right to Life [ permanent dead link ]
  57. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  58. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  59. ↑ Quinnipiac
  60. ↑ The Ohio Newspaper
  61. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  62. ↑ Quinnipiac
  63. ↑ Research 2000
  64. ↑ Quinnipiac
  65. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  66. ↑ Quinnipiac
  67. ↑ Quinnipiac
  68. ↑ Quinnipiac
  69. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  70. ↑ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor: November 2, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us. Archived from the original on July 2, 2017. Retrieved December 31, 2012.
  71. ↑ "2010 Gubernatorial General Election Results - Ohio". uselectionatlas.org. 2010. Retrieved October 3, 2024.

Debates

Official campaign websites (Archived)

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