2010 Michigan gubernatorial election

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2010 Michigan gubernatorial election
Flag of Michigan.svg
←  2006 November 2, 2010 2014  →
Turnout42.9% Decrease2.svg 7.8 [1]
  Rick Snyder.jpg Virg-1 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Rick Snyder Virg Bernero
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Brian Calley Brenda Lawrence
Popular vote1,874,8341,287,320
Percentage58.11%39.90%
2010 Michigan gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2010 Michigan gubernatorial election results map by municipality.svg
Snyder:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Bernero:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     
Governor before election

Jennifer Granholm
Democratic

Elected Governor

Rick Snyder
Republican

The 2010 Michigan gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor Jennifer Granholm was prohibited by the state's Constitution from seeking a third term. This resulted in a large pool of candidates which was whittled down, when the May 11 filing deadline passed, to two Democrats and five Republicans. [2] Both the Cook Political Report and the non-partisan Rothenberg Political Report rated the election as leaning Republican. [3] [4]

Contents

The Republican primary race was highly competitive; both local and national polling reported Congressman Pete Hoekstra, state Attorney General Mike Cox, and businessman Rick Snyder as being front-runners for the Republican Party nomination. [5] [6] [7] [8] The Democratic front-runner when the 2009 polls were conducted, Lieutenant Governor John D. Cherry, withdrew from the race in January 2010. [9] [10] The final polls just days before the primary election showed that, while Lansing mayor Virg Bernero was in the lead, over a quarter of those polled were still undecided. [11] The deadline for candidates to file nominating petitions for the August 3 state primary was 4:00 PM on May 11, 2010. [2] [12]

A total of 1,575,167 registered voters voted in the primaries, with 66.4% of them voting in the Republican primary. [13] Analysts believe a large portion of Democrats crossed party lines to vote for Snyder, whose ad campaign targeted bipartisan and independent support. [14] In Michigan, voters may vote in either primary regardless of their political affiliation, but can only vote for one party. Ballots with split tickets are not counted in partisan races. Both races came in more disparate than predicted. Snyder won with a near 10-point lead over closest rival Pete Hoekstra, and Bernero won with an even larger 17-point lead over early favorite state house speaker Andy Dillon. Both nominees portrayed themselves as political outsiders. [15] On August 25, Snyder appointed State Representative Brian Calley as his running mate. [16] On August 28, Bernero appointed Southfield Mayor Brenda Lawrence as his running mate. [17]

Snyder won a decisive victory over Bernero in the general election, winning by nearly 20 percentage points. As of 2022, this was the last time the counties of Ingham, Marquette, Eaton, Saginaw, Bay, and Muskegon voted for the Republican candidate.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredJohn D. CherryAndy DillonGeorge PerlesJohn FreemanAlma Wheeler SmithDan KildeeVirg Bernero
EPIC-MRA July 28, 2010--32%--------40%
EPIC-MRA June 12–15, 2010--34%--------24%
Public Policy Polling May 25–27, 2010--23%--------26%
EPIC-MRA May 22–26, 2010--29%--------23%
Rasmussen Reports April 22, 2010--13%----9%--12%
Rasmussen Reports March 24, 2010--12%----10%--8%
Denno-Noor Research March 3–5, 2010--13%----6%6%11%
EPIC-MRA February 22–25, 2010--17%----7%12%8%
Detroit Free Press November 12–17, 200920%6%6%2%2%----
EPIC-MRA October 11–15, 200933%--3%2%5%----
Marketing Resource Group September 12–20, 200940%----9%8%----

Results

Results by county Bernero .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Bernero--70-80% Bernero--60-70% Bernero--50-60% Dillon Dillon--50-60% Michigan gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2010.svg
Results by county
Bernero
  •   Bernero—70–80%
  •   Bernero—60–70%
  •   Bernero—50–60%
Dillon
  •   Dillon—50–60%
Primary election results [25]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Virg Bernero309,23558.6%
Democratic Andy Dillon218,88441.4%
Total votes528,119 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredMike CoxPete HoekstraMike BouchardRick SnyderTom GeorgeDavid Kniffen
EPIC-MRA July 29, 201024%23%10%26%1%--
Detroit News 4/WDIV July 18, 201026.4%25.6%11.6%20.2%1.8%--
EPIC-MRA June 12–15, 201026%24%16%20%2%--
Public Policy Polling May 25–27, 201017%19%15%20%9%--
EPIC-MRA May 22–26, 201018%30%16%17%2%--
Rasmussen Reports April 22, 201013%28%9%14%----
Rasmussen Reports March 30, 201013%27%6%18%----
Marketing Research Group March 10–15, 201021%21%10%20%1%-
Denno-Noor Research March 3–5, 201012%28%8%18%2%--
EPIC-MRA February 22–25, 201021%27%10%12%1%--
Mitchell Research & Communications November 17–19, 200927%24%12%3%3%--
Detroit Free Press November 12–17, 200915%21%13%5%3%--
EPIC-MRA October 11–15, 200928%29%--14%3%2%
Marketing Resource Group September 12–20, 200927%23%15%------
Marketing Resource Group March 4–10, 200915%17%--------

Results

Results by county Snyder Snyder--40-50% Snyder--<40% Hoekstra Hoekstra--<40% Hoekstra--40-50% Hoekstra--50-60% Cox Cox--<40% Cox--40-50% Michigan Governor Republican primary, 2010.svg
Results by county
Snyder
  •   Snyder—40–50%
  •   Snyder—<40%
Hoekstra
  •   Hoekstra—<40%
  •   Hoekstra—40–50%
  •   Hoekstra—50–60%
Cox
  •   Cox—<40%
  •   Cox—40–50%
Republican primary results [25]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Rick Snyder381,32736.4%
Republican Pete Hoekstra280,97626.8%
Republican Mike Cox240,40923.0%
Republican Mike Bouchard127,35012.2%
Republican Tom George16,9861.6%
Total votes1,044,925 100.0%

Other parties

Based on past election performance, the Libertarian Party of Michigan, Green Party of Michigan, and the U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan (affiliated with the Constitution Party) have automatic ballot access for the general election, but by state law they must nominate candidates through party conventions rather than primary elections. The Natural Law Party also has automatic ballot access in Michigan, but chose not to run a candidate for governor in 2010.

Libertarian Party candidates

The Libertarian Party of Michigan nominee was Kenneth Proctor. [36] The nomination was won at the Michigan Libertarian Convention held in Okemos, Michigan on Saturday, May 22, in accordance with Michigan state law. He beat out Bhagwan Dashairya, who had been the 2006 U.S. Taxpayers Party nominee for governor. The delegates ended up selecting Dashairya as the Libertarian nominee for U.S. Congress in District 8.

Proctor's running mate was Dr. Erwin Haas, Maryland of Grand Rapids. Haas received the Lt. Governor nomination unanimously.

Green Party candidates

The Green Party of Michigan held their statewide nominating convention July 31 and August 1 in Lansing, and nominated Harley Mikkelson for governor and Lynn Meadows for lieutenant governor. [37]

U.S. Taxpayers Party candidates

The 2010 U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan convention was held on June 26 in East Lansing. In a nearly unanimous vote, Stacey Mathia and Chris Levels were formally nominated as candidates of the U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan for the offices of governor and lieutenant governor.

According to Stacey Mathia's official press release, "The Convention applauded Mathia's agenda to institute Law-Abiding Constitutional Government and State Sovereignty in order to free the People of Michigan from the political oppression of big government operating outside of its authority." [38]

The press release also stated, "Chris Levels, is currently well known as a radio talk show host on WSNL in the Flint, Michigan area. His last minute nomination speech will be available on Mathia's website. The USTPM Convention gave him a standing applause."

General election

Debates

On August 12, it was reported that Virg Bernero accepted invitations to three debates. The first debate would be held September 21 and sponsored by WOOD-TV in Grand Rapids. The second debate would be held October 7 and be broadcast on 55 radio and TV stations throughout the state. The third debate would be held October 21 and would be sponsored by WXYZ-TV, WWJ (AM) and Crain's Detroit Business . [39] Then in early September, Bernero offered Snyder a deal of eight debates. Snyder proposed a counter-offer of three debates, which Bernero refused. [40] A Detroit Free Press editorial was critical of Snyder for not agreeing to debates. [41] Bernero called Snyder a wimp for not agreeing to debate him. [42] An impromptu debate developed after Bernero crashed a town hall meeting Snyder was hosting in Westland on September 13. [43] The two sides agreed to an hour-long televised debate, broadcast on October 10 from the studios of WTVS in Wixom. [44] A group of Detroit clergy invited the two major party candidates to a debate there on October 21. Only Bernero accepted the invitation. [45]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [46] Likely R (flip)October 14, 2010
Rothenberg [47] Likely R (flip)October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics [48] Likely R (flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49] Likely R (flip)October 28, 2010
CQ Politics [50] TossupOctober 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredVirg
Bernero (D)		Rick
Snyder (R)
Detroit News/WDIV Local 4 October 25–26, 201035%53%
Free Press/WXYZ-TV Channel 7 October 23–26, 201037%55%
Rossman Group/Team TelCom October 18, 201036%50%
Rasmussen Reports October 17, 201034%54%
Mitchell Research October 10, 201029%49%
EPIC-MRA October 3–7, 201029%49%
Rasmussen Reports September 20, 201038%51%
Public Policy Polling September 17–19, 201031%52%
Mitchell Research August 25–29, 201026%53%
Detroit News August 9–10, 201032%51%
Rasmussen Reports August 4, 201037%49%
Rasmussen Reports June 10, 201030%42%
Public Policy Polling May 25–27, 201028%44%
EPIC-MRA May 22–26, 201028%51%
EPIC-MRA March 28–31, 201029%42%
Michigan Research Group March 10–15, 201026%42%

Results

2010 Michigan gubernatorial election [51]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Rick Snyder 1,874,834 58.11% +15.81%
Democratic Virg Bernero 1,287,32039.90%−16.46%
Libertarian Ken Proctor22,3900.69%+0.08%
Constitution Stacey Mathia20,8180.65%+0.46%
Green Harley Mikkelson20,6990.64%+0.12%
Write-ins270.00%0.00%
Majority587,51418.21%+4.15%
Turnout 3,226,088−15.13%
Republican gain from Democratic Swing

Results by county

County Rick Snyder (R)Virg Bernero (D)Others
PercentageVotesPercentageVotesPercentageVotes
Alcona 63.4%2,89633.2%1,5183.4%155
Alger 54.9%2,07541.3%1,5593.8%143
Allegan 72.3%26,99025.3%9,4382.4%895
Alpena 57.1%5,75339.6%3,9823.3%333
Antrim 70.6%7,29526.6%2,7532.8%288
Arenac 64.0%3,52133.2%1,8252.9%159
Baraga 59.5%1,57837.1%9833.5%92
Barry 72.8%15,30025.0%5,2432.2%470
Bay 59.6%23,62238.2%15,1472.2%868
Benzie 62.3%4,70934.7%2,6252.9%222
Berrien 62.2%28,51935.3%16,1782.5%1,123
Branch 71.9%9,18325.9%3,3062.3%290
Calhoun 62.8%25,96735.2%14,5722.0%809
Cass 63.6%8,87933.4%4,6612.9%411
Charlevoix 68.8%7,04828.5%2,9182.8%283
Cheboygan 67.2%6,77529.9%3,0162.8%285
Chippewa 60.7%7,11436.4%4,2612.9%345
Clare 64.8%6,07832.2%3,0183.0%279
Clinton 65.5%18,42532.8%9,2391.7%466
Crawford 66.2%3,23330.3%1,4773.5%171
Delta 57.8%7,55839.2%5,1223.0%397
Dickinson 63.5%5,91033.7%3,1342.9%266
Eaton 59.7%24,92738.1%15,8992.2%921
Emmet 69.7%9,18327.6%3,6322.8%368
Genesee 46.7%62,58951.3%68,7082.0%2,635
Gladwin 64.0%5,75633.2%2,9862.7%247
Gogebic 47.3%2,51149.4%2,6273.3%176
Grand Traverse 69.6%23,54127.8%9,3952.6%879
Gratiot 65.6%7,23432.1%3,5372.3%253
Hillsdale 71.2%10,05526.0%3,6752.7%388
Houghton 59.9%7,29536.8%4,4793.3%397
Huron 69.9%8,45327.7%3,3472.5%297
Ingham 49.0%43,18148.8%42,9612.2%1,927
Ionia 72.2%13,26925.9%4,7541.9%358
Iosco 61.5%5,94335.5%3,4353.0%287
Iron 56.0%2,51640.6%1,8253.4%154
Isabella 61.7%9,86536.1%5,7762.2%345
Jackson 64.1%31,91434.0%16,9471.9%961
Kalamazoo 59.4%46,82338.7%30,4991.9%1,535
Kalkaska 70.5%4,09625.3%1,4674.2%245
Kent 68.9%134,01929.4%57,1421.8%3,448
Keweenaw 62.9%69134.1%3743.0%33
Lake 60.5%2,22036.9%1,3542.7%98
Lapeer 66.8%19,77130.7%9,0722.5%752
Leelanau 65.5%7,46732.1%3,6552.4%278
Lenawee 61.9%19,61135.6%11,2842.4%769
Livingston 75.0%51,56023.3%15,9941.7%1,147
Luce 65.9%1,28531.5%6152.6%50
Mackinac 65.7%3,12931.8%1,5112.5%119
Macomb 61.3%164,66036.7%98,6752.0%5,365
Manistee 60.3%5,51336.6%3,3523.1%282
Marquette 49.2%10,69047.4%10,3013.3%727
Mason 67.0%6,87130.7%3,1522.3%239
Mecosta 68.3%8,07929.5%3,4852.3%268
Menominee 57.6%4,11439.1%2,7973.3%234
Midland 70.1%20,26227.8%8,0412.1%615
Missaukee 76.7%4,05720.9%1,1052.4%127
Monroe 60.3%28,91137.4%17,9172.4%1,139
Montcalm 68.2%12,17029.4%5,2372.4%433
Montmorency 67.8%2,62528.7%1,1133.5%136
Muskegon 53.9%27,56744.1%22,5522.0%1,006
Newaygo 70.2%10,50327.4%4,1012.4%364
Oakland 60.1%272,04038.4%173,6151.5%6,982
Oceana 67.7%5,71030.2%2,5492.1%175
Ogemaw 64.4%4,86632.3%2,4423.3%248
Ontonagon 54.9%1,58540.8%1,1764.3%124
Osceola 72.1%5,51824.9%1,9013.0%229
Oscoda 66.8%2,07928.8%8964.3%135
Otsego 70.3%6,13026.9%2,3492.7%238
Ottawa 79.1%71,84719.3%17,5341.6%1,437
Presque Isle 62.5%3,42734.5%1,8923.0%163
Roscommon 65.1%6,45031.8%3,1573.1%306
Saginaw 55.7%37,92042.6%29,0081.7%1,159
St. Clair 66.0%34,50331.4%16,4252.6%1,340
St. Joseph 70.6%10,79427.0%4,1262.4%374
Sanilac 71.8%9,57625.9%3,4532.3%309
Schoolcraft 56.3%1,78740.5%1,2853.3%104
Shiawassee 60.9%14,24536.8%8,5952.3%546
Tuscola 66.1%12,31431.4%5,8502.4%455
Van Buren 64.1%13,98533.3%7,2642.7%579
Washtenaw 48.4%58,02949.9%59,8291.8%2,147
Wayne 38.3%201,42460.2%316,5141.5%7,812
Wexford 70.5%7,25126.3%2,7073.1%320

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

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  15. ↑ "Rick Snyder, Virg Bernero will test voters' opinions on organized labor, outsourcing". AnnArbor.com . August 5, 2010. Retrieved August 12, 2010. One thing Snyder and Bernero have in common: They're both portraying themselves as outsiders who can solve the political gridlock seizing the state legislature...It's clear voters are tired of politics as usual.
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  18. ↑ [ dead link ]
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  21. ↑ State Sen. Hansen Clarke drops out of governor's race, Mark Hornbeck / Detroit News Lansing Bureau, published January 15, 2010
  22. ↑ Freeman out of gov's race, Bowman may be interested, Mark Hornbeck / Detroit News Lansing Bureau, published January 12, 2010
  23. ↑ "Dan Kildee announces his withdrawal from race for Michigan governor". MLive.com. March 5, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  24. ↑ Bell, Dawson (May 10, 2010). "Rep. Wheeler Smith abandons bid for governor". Detroit Free Press. Archived from the original on January 24, 2016. Retrieved May 10, 2010.
  25. 1 2 "Michigan Primary results". 2010 Unofficial Michigan Primary Election Results. August 4, 2010. Archived from the original on December 1, 2012. Retrieved August 10, 2010.
  26. ↑ "Elections : Elections News and Photos". chicagotribune.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.[ permanent dead link ]
  27. ↑ [ dead link ]
  28. ↑ [ dead link ]
  29. ↑ AP File Photo (May 27, 2009). "Michigan Attorney General Mike Cox will make official his campaign to seek governor's seat". MLive.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  30. ↑ "Hoekstra To Run For Governor – Detroit Local News Story – WDIV Detroit". Clickondetroit.com. March 30, 2009. Archived from the original on April 2, 2009. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  31. ↑ "Michigan Committee Statement of Organization". Miboecfr.nictusa.com. Archived from the original on January 24, 2016. Retrieved January 18, 2010.
  32. ↑ Crumm, Charles (May 9, 2010). "Kniffen withdraws from GOP race for governor". The Oakland Press. Archived from the original on March 4, 2012. Retrieved August 12, 2010.
  33. ↑ Mack, Julie (July 3, 2010). "Terri Lynn Land says she, Mike Bouchard looking to 'fix Michigan'". Kalamazoo News. Retrieved August 12, 2010.
  34. ↑ "Huron Daily Tribune > Archives > News > Local News > Rujan running for governor". Michigansthumb.com. July 3, 2009. Archived from the original on July 13, 2012. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  35. ↑ "Michigan 2010 Midterm Election". Thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  36. ↑ "candidates". Mi.lp.org. Archived from the original on August 5, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  37. ↑ "the Green Party of Michigan's home on the web". Migreens.Org. Archived from the original on October 11, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  38. ↑ "Stacey Mathia and Chris Levels-Formally Nominated" (PDF). Retrieved June 30, 2010.[ dead link ]
  39. ↑ "Bernero accepts 3 debate invites, Snyder yet to commit | detnews.com | The Detroit News". detnews.com. August 12, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  40. ↑ "Bernero Snyder spar over debates". The Detroit News. September 14, 2010. Archived from the original on September 19, 2010. Retrieved September 14, 2010.
  41. ↑ [ dead link ]
  42. ↑ "Not only is Rick Snyder a nerd, he's also a wimp, says Virg Bernero".
  43. ↑ "Debate held after Bernero crashes Snyder's meeting | freep.com | Detroit Free Press". Archived from the original on September 15, 2010. Retrieved September 14, 2010.
  44. ↑ says, Mary (September 22, 2010). "Mich. Gov. Hopefuls Agree To Debate".
  45. ↑ "Detroit Clergy Demand Gubernatorial Debate". October 14, 2010.
  46. ↑ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  47. ↑ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  48. ↑ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  49. ↑ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  50. ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  51. ↑ "2010 Michigan Election Results". Secretary of State, Michigan. November 2, 2010. Retrieved May 17, 2017.
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