2024 Michigan Democratic presidential primary

Last updated

2024 Michigan Democratic presidential primary
Flag of Michigan.svg
  2020 February 27, 20242028 
  NV
AL  

140 delegates (117 pledged and 23 unpledged) to the Democratic National Convention
  Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg NOTA Option Logo 3x4.svg
Candidate Joe Biden Uncommitted
Home state Delaware
Delegate count1152
Popular vote625,221101,623
Percentage81.1%13.2%

2024 Democratic Party Presidential Primary in Michigan, 2024.svg
2024 Michigan Democratic presidential primary results map by congressional district.svg
Biden
  70–80%
  80–90%

The 2024 Michigan Democratic presidential primary was held on February 27, 2024, as part of the Democratic Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 140 delegates to the Democratic National Convention will be allocated to presidential candidates. [1] The contest took place concurrently with its Republican counterpart.

Contents

Despite Biden winning in a landslide, he faced a challenge from “uncommitted” in an otherwise generally uncontested primary season. [2] It was the first entity to win delegates outside of Biden that primary season, and won over 100,000 votes. [3] The campaign's performance was attributed to Arab, Muslim, young and progressive voters protesting Biden over his handling of the Israel–Hamas war. [4] The uncommitted vote in Michigan inspired similar protest votes in other states, eventually becoming a national movement. [5]

Candidates

The Michigan Secretary of State identified the following candidates (listed alphabetically) as Democratic Party presidential candidates in 2024: [6]

Williamson suspended her campaign on February 8, following the Nevada primary. [7] However, she was still listed on the ballot, and after finishing ahead of Phillips, she re-entered the race. [8]

Campaign for "uncommitted"

In addition, an 'uncommitted' option appeared on the ballot. Any "uncommitted" delegate awarded to the Democratic National Convention would essentially be an "unpledged" superdelegate and free to support any candidate they chose. [9] Numerous activists and elected officials, including Dearborn Mayor Abdullah Hammoud and House Representative Rashida Tlaib, campaigned for voters to select the uncommitted option in protest of Biden's handling of the Israel–Hamas war. [10] [11] Some Armenian Americans also suggested voting uncommitted over Biden's actions involving the 2023 Azerbaijani offensive in Nagorno-Karabakh. [12]

In response, the advocacy group Democratic Majority for Israel ran ads arguing that voting "uncommitted" would weaken Biden and support Donald Trump. [13] Michigan governor Gretchen Whitmer stated that although she acknowledges the "pain" people feel about the war, she still encouraged people to vote for Biden because "any vote that's not cast for Joe Biden supports a second Trump term". [14]

Endorsements

Joe Biden
Cabinet-level officials
U.S. Senator
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
Mayors
Dean Phillips
Newspapers
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Mayors
Notable individuals
Newspapers
Organizations
Declined to endorse
State legislators

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Dean
Phillips
Marianne
Williamson
UncommittedUndecided
Emerson College/The Hill February 20–24, 2024406 (LV)74.5%4.8%8.8%11.9%
February 7, 2024Williamson suspends her candidacy
Monmouth University Polling/The Washington Post December 7–11, 2023460 (LV)79%5%9%6%
October 27, 2023Phillips declares his candidacy
October 9, 2023Kennedy withdraws from the primaries
Emerson College August 1–2, 20231,121 (RV)± 2.9%65%11%5%17%
Mitchell Research [upper-alpha 1] July 11–13, 2023639 (LV)± 4.0%75%3%4%19%

Results

Michigan Democratic primary, February 27, 2024
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
PledgedUnpledgedTotal
Joe Biden (incumbent)625,22181.1%115115
Uncommitted101,62313.2%22
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)22,8653.0%
Dean Phillips 20,6842.7%
Write-in votes 178<0.1%
Total:770,571100%11723140
Source: [39]

To win delegates, a candidate must receive over 15% of votes statewide or in any congressional district. "Uncommitted" votes accounted for 17.1% of the votes in the 6th district and 17.3% in the 12th district, winning a delegate each from both districts.

Popular vote share by precinct in Dearborn, Michigan
Biden--90-100%
Biden--70-80%
Biden--60-70%
Biden--50-60%
Biden--40-50%
Uncommitted--50-60%
Uncommitted--60-70%
Uncommitted--70-80%
Uncommitted--80-90%
Uncommitted--90-100% 2024 Democratic Party Presidential Primary in Dearborn, Michigan.svg
Popular vote share by precinct in Dearborn, Michigan
  Biden—90–100%
  Biden—70–80%
  Biden—60–70%
  Biden—50–60%
  Biden—40–50%
  Uncommitted—50–60%
  Uncommitted—60–70%
  Uncommitted—70–80%
  Uncommitted—80–90%
  Uncommitted—90–100%

"Uncommitted" won a majority in Dearborn, as well as in the cities of Hamtramck and Dearborn Heights. All three cities have a significant Arab American and Muslim population, which has been seen as a cause of Biden's defeat. [40] [41] Biden performed well in the western part of the city, but suffered a defeat in more heavily Muslim East Dearborn. [42] [ failed verification ] However, he recorded his strongest result in the 13th precinct in the eastern part of the city, where a retirement community is located. [43]

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. Poll commissioned by MIRS

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References

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