| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Peters: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% James: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in Michigan |
---|
The 2020 United States Senate election in Michigan was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent Michigan. It was held concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
This race was one of two-Democratic held U.S. Senate seats up for election in 2020 in a state Donald Trump won in 2016. [1] The primary was held on August 4. [2]
The filing deadline for candidates to run in the primary was April 21 [3] but was extended to May 8 due to the COVID-19 pandemic. [4] The election was considered a potential upset pickup by the Republicans due to the state's demographic trends, Donald Trump's upset win in 2016, and Republican candidate John James's outperformance of polling expectations despite losing the state's Senate election in 2018. However, most experts still believed Gary Peters to be the more likely winner.
Peters won re-election to a second term, though by a closer margin than expected. [5] James, who outperformed Trump on the same ballot, initially refused to concede, [6] claiming in a statement published to his campaign website two days after the election that he had been "cheated" out of winning the election. The statement alleged that there were "deep concerns that millions of Michiganders may have been disenfranchised by a dishonest few who cheat.". [7] On November 24, James conceded the race exactly three weeks after election day. [8] With a margin of 1.68%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2020 Senate election cycle, behind only the regularly-scheduled election in Georgia.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gary Peters (incumbent) | 1,180,780 | 100.0% | |
Total votes | 1,180,780 | 100.0% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | John James | Bill Schuette | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Schuette announces that he will not run by endorsing James | ||||||
Target Insyght | April 22–25, 2019 | 296 (LV) [lower-alpha 2] | – | 59% | 15% | 26% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John James | 1,005,315 | 100.0% | |
Total votes | 1,005,315 | 100.0% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [49] | Lean D | October 29, 2020 |
Inside Elections [50] | Lean D | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [51] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos [52] | Lean D | October 30, 2020 |
Politico [53] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
RCP [54] | Tossup | October 23, 2020 |
DDHQ [55] | Likely D | November 3, 2020 |
538 [56] | Likely D | November 2, 2020 |
Economist [57] | Likely D | November 2, 2020 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki wiki. |
John James vs. Gary Peters | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Gary Peters | John James | Other/Undecided [lower-alpha 3] | Margin |
270 To Win | November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.8% | 42.2% | 8.0% | Peters +7.6 |
Real Clear Politics | November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.8% | 44.4% | 5.8% | Peters +5.4 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Gary Peters (D) | John James (R) | Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research Co. | October 31 – November 1, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 52% | 37% | 12% [lower-alpha 4] |
Change Research/CNBC | October 29 – November 1, 2020 | 383 (LV) | ± 5.01% | 51% | 46% | 3% [lower-alpha 5] |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | October 27 – November 1, 2020 | 393 (LV) | ± 6.6% | 54% | 46% | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | October 27 – November 1, 2020 | 654 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 44% | 5% [lower-alpha 6] |
Ipsos/Reuters | October 27 – November 1, 2020 | 654 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 44% | 5% [lower-alpha 7] |
Morning Consult | October 22–31, 2020 | 1,736 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 49% | 43% | – |
Emerson College | October 29–30, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 52% [lower-alpha 8] | 46% | 2% [lower-alpha 9] |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 1] | October 29–30, 2020 | 745 (V) | ± 3.6% | 54% | 44% | 2% [lower-alpha 10] |
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart | October 25–30, 2020 | 993 (LV) | – | 54% | 43% | 2% [lower-alpha 11] |
CNN/SSRS Archived October 31, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | October 23–30, 2020 | 907 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | 40% | 7% [lower-alpha 12] |
Mitchell Research (R) | October 29, 2020 | 817 (LV) | ± 3.43% | 50% | 45% | 5% [lower-alpha 13] |
RMG Research Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | October 27–29, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% [lower-alpha 14] | 41% | 9% [lower-alpha 15] |
52% [lower-alpha 16] | 39% | 9% [lower-alpha 17] | ||||
48% [lower-alpha 18] | 42% | 9% [lower-alpha 19] | ||||
EPIC-MRA | October 25–28, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 47% | 42% | 11% [lower-alpha 20] |
Kiaer Research | October 21–28, 2020 | 669 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 51% | 38% | 11% [lower-alpha 21] |
Mitchell Research (R) Archived October 29, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | October 25–27, 2020 | 759 (LV) | ± 3.56% | 52% | 43% | 3% [lower-alpha 22] |
Tarrance Group (R) [upper-alpha 2] | October 24–26, 2020 [lower-alpha 23] | – (V) [lower-alpha 24] | ± 4.3% | 48% | 46% | 1% [lower-alpha 25] |
Swayable | October 23–26, 2020 | 365 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 58% | 42% | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | October 23–26, 2020 | 856 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 49% | 41% | 8% [lower-alpha 26] |
Ipsos/Reuters | October 20–26, 2020 | 652 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 44% | 6% [lower-alpha 27] |
Glengariff Group | October 23–25, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 39% | 9% [lower-alpha 28] |
ABC/Washington Post | October 20–25, 2020 | 789 (LV) | ± 4% | 52% | 46% | 2% [lower-alpha 29] |
Gravis Marketing | October 24, 2020 | 679 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | 41% | 7% [lower-alpha 30] |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 3] | October 21–22, 2020 | 804 (V) | – | 52% | 43% | 6% [lower-alpha 31] |
Citizen Data | October 17–20, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 42% | 12% [lower-alpha 32] |
FOX News | October 17–20, 2020 | 1,032 (LV) | ± 3% | 49% | 41% | 9% [lower-alpha 33] |
Reuters/Ipsos | October 14–20, 2020 | 686 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 50% | 45% | 5% [lower-alpha 34] |
Morning Consult | October 11–20, 2020 | 1,717 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 48% | 42% | – |
Change Research/CNBC | October 16–19, 2020 | 718 (LV) [lower-alpha 35] | – | 50% | 45% | – |
EPIC-MRA | October 15–19, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 39% | 16% [lower-alpha 36] |
Mitchell Research (R) | October 18, 2020 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.27% | 49% | 43% | 8% [lower-alpha 37] |
Trafalgar Group (R)/Restoration PAC (Hyperpartisan) [97] [96] [98] [upper-alpha 4] | October 15–18, 2020 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 48% | 50% | 3% [lower-alpha 38] |
Data For Progress | October 15–18, 2020 | 830 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 43% | 9% [lower-alpha 39] |
HarrisX/The Hill | October 12–15, 2020 | 1,289 (LV) | – | 50% [lower-alpha 40] | 43% | – |
Trafalgar Group (R) | October 11–15, 2020 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 47% | 48% | 5% [lower-alpha 41] |
Reuters/Ipsos | October 7–13, 2020 | 620 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 52% | 44% | 4% [lower-alpha 42] |
EPIC-MRA | October 8–12, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 39% | 16% [lower-alpha 43] |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | October 6–11, 2020 | 614 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 42% | 15% [lower-alpha 44] |
Morning Consult | October 2–11, 2020 | 1,710 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 49% | 40% | – |
YouGov/CBS | October 6–9, 2020 | 1,181 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 44% | 9% [lower-alpha 45] |
Baldwin Wallace University | September 30 – October 8, 2020 | 1,134 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 42% | 10% [lower-alpha 46] |
Emerson College | October 6–7, 2020 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 51% | 41% | 8% [lower-alpha 47] |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum [upper-alpha 5] | October 3–6, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 49% [lower-alpha 48] | 42% | 8% [lower-alpha 49] |
Reuters/Ipsos | September 29 – October 6, 2020 | 709 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 50% | 43% | 7% [lower-alpha 50] |
Tarrance Group (R) [upper-alpha 2] | October 3–5, 2020 | 605 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 48% | 46% | – |
Change Research/CNBC | October 2–4, 2020 | 676 (LV) | – | 51% | 43% | 6% [lower-alpha 51] |
Glengariff Group | September 30 – October 3, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 40% | 16% [lower-alpha 52] |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 6] | September 30 – October 1, 2020 | 746 (V) | – | 48% | 41% | 10% [lower-alpha 53] |
Trafalgar Group (R)/Restoration PAC (Hyperpartisan) [99] [upper-alpha 7] | September 26–28, 2020 | 1,042 (LV) | ± 2.95% | 48% | 47% | 5% [lower-alpha 54] |
Trafalgar Group (R) | September 23–25, 2020 | 1,047 (LV) | ± 2.95% | 47% | 47% | 6% [lower-alpha 55] |
Marist College/NBC | September 19–23, 2020 | 799 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 44% | 7% [lower-alpha 56] |
Baldwin Wallace University | September 9–22, 2020 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 41% | 13% |
Change Research/CNBC | September 18–20, 2020 | 568 (LV) | – | 50% | 44% | 5% [lower-alpha 57] |
Morning Consult | September 11–20, 2020 | 1,376 (LV) | ± (2% – 7%) | 47% [lower-alpha 58] | 40% | – |
Hart Research Associates (D) [ permanent dead link ] [upper-alpha 8] | September 17–19, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 42% | – |
Data for Progress (D) | September 14–19, 2020 | 455 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 42% | 12% [lower-alpha 59] |
Marketing Resource Group (R) | September 14–19, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 40% | 20% [lower-alpha 60] |
Morning Consult | September 8–17, 2020 | 1,451 (LV) [lower-alpha 61] | ± (2% – 4%) | 48% | 40% | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | September 11–16, 2020 | 637 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 43% | 7% [lower-alpha 62] |
EPIC-MRA | September 10–15, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 41% | 14% [lower-alpha 63] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 12–14, 2020 | 930 (LV) | ± 3.21% | 51% | 35% | 13% [lower-alpha 64] |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group [upper-alpha 9] | August 28 – September 8, 2020 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 41% | 14% [lower-alpha 65] |
Change Research/CNBC | September 4–6, 2020 | 876 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 46% | 5% [lower-alpha 66] |
Rasmussen Reports | September 2–3, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 40% | 13% [lower-alpha 67] |
Glengariff Group/Detroit News | September 1–3, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 41% | 14% [lower-alpha 68] |
Tarrance Group (R) [upper-alpha 2] | September 1–3, 2020 | 569 (RV) | – | 47% | 46% | 7% [lower-alpha 69] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 30 – September 3, 2020 | 967 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 38% | 12% [lower-alpha 70] |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum [upper-alpha 5] | August 30 – September 2, 2020 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 49% [lower-alpha 71] | 42% | 8% [lower-alpha 72] |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 6] | August 28–29, 2020 | 897 (V) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 39% | 14% [lower-alpha 73] |
Change Research/CNBC | August 21–23, 2020 | 809 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 45% | 6% [lower-alpha 74] |
Trafalgar Group (R) | August 14–23, 2020 | 1,048 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% [lower-alpha 75] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 16–18, 2020 | 812 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 39% | 13% [lower-alpha 76] |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC [upper-alpha 10] (Hyperpartisan) [100] | August 11–15, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 53% | 39% | 8% [lower-alpha 77] |
Tarrance Group (R) [upper-alpha 2] | August 10–13, 2020 | 602 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 49% | 44% | 7% |
Change Research/CNBC | August 7–9, 2020 | 413 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 48% | 45% | 7% [lower-alpha 78] |
EPIC-MRA | July 25–30, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 40% | 10% [lower-alpha 79] |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 6] | July 28–29, 2020 | 876 (V) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 39% | 13% [lower-alpha 80] |
Change Research/CNBC | July 24–26, 2020 | 413 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
Morning Consult | July 17–26, 2020 | 1,320 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 35% | 16% |
CNN/SSRS | July 18–24, 2020 | 927 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 54% | 38% | 8% [lower-alpha 81] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 19–23, 2020 | 811 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 52% | 35% | 13% [lower-alpha 82] |
Gravis Marketing [101] | July 22, 2020 | 754 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 39% | 11% [lower-alpha 83] |
Marketing Resource Group (R) | July 19–21, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 34% | 26% [lower-alpha 84] |
FOX News | July 18–20, 2020 | 756 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 38% | 15% [lower-alpha 85] |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) (Hyperpartisan) [102] | July 13–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 40% | 9% [lower-alpha 86] |
Spry Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 11] | July 11–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 37% | 15% [lower-alpha 87] |
Change Research/CNBC | July 10–12, 2020 | 824 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 43% | 6% [lower-alpha 88] |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 12] | July 9–10, 2020 | 1,041 (V) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 42% | 9% |
Change Research/CNBC | June 26–28, 2020 | 699 (LV) [lower-alpha 89] | ± 3.9% | 49% | 42% | 9% [lower-alpha 90] |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 6] | June 26–27, 2020 | 1,237 (V) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 39% | 14% [lower-alpha 91] |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) (Hyperpartisan) [103] [102] [104] [105] [106] [107] [108] [109] [98] [100] | June 17–20, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 38% | 12% [lower-alpha 92] |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | June 8–17, 2020 | 610 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 41% | 31% | 29% [lower-alpha 93] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | June 14–16, 2020 | 826 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 32% | 18% [lower-alpha 94] |
Marketing Resource Group (R) Archived June 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | June 12–15, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 30% | 33% [lower-alpha 95] |
American Greatness/TIPP (R) Archived June 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | June 9–12, 2020 | 907 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 35% | 17% [lower-alpha 96] |
Kiaer Research | May 31 – June 7, 2020 | 543 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 48% | 32% | 20% [lower-alpha 97] |
EPIC-MRA | May 30 – June 3, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 36% | 13% [lower-alpha 98] |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 6] | May 29–30, 2020 | 1,582 (V) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 39% | 13% [lower-alpha 99] |
Change Research/Crooked Media | May 11–17, 2020 | 3,070 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) (Hyperpartisan) [110] [109] [111] [112] [113] [114] [115] [116] [99] [101] [96] | May 1–5, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 36% | 17% [lower-alpha 100] |
Public Policy Polling (D) | April 28–29, 2020 | 1,270 (V) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 37% | 17% |
FOX News | April 18–21, 2020 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 36% | 13% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) (Hyperpartisan) [117] | April 9–18, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 37% | 17% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | March 31 – April 1, 2020 | 1,019 (V) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 38% | 17% |
Spry Strategies (R) | March 30 – April 1, 2020 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 40% | 18% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) (Hyperpartisan) [118] [117] [119] [120] [121] [122] [123] [124] [101] [103] [98] | March 12–21, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 39% | 13% |
Marketing Resource Group (R) Archived March 25, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | March 16–20, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 35% | 17% [lower-alpha 101] |
Firehouse/0ptimus | March 5–7, 2020 | 550 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 40% | 41% | 11% |
Quinnipiac University | February 12–18, 2020 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 39% | 15% |
Baldwin Wallace University | January 8–20, 2020 | 1,023 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 32% | 26% |
Glengariff Group | January 3–7, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 40% | 16% |
Emerson College | October 31 – November 3, 2019 | 1,051 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 40% | 14% |
Hodas & Associates Restoration PAC (R) (Hyperpartisan) [125] | October 10–16, 2019 [lower-alpha 102] | 600 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 35% | 17% |
Marketing Resource Group (R) | October 7–10, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
Target-Insyght/MIRS News | September 24–26, 2019 | 804 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 37% | 10% |
Denno Research/Vanguard PA/PSC (D) | September 21–24, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 39% | 21% |
Target Insyght | April 22–25, 2019 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 36% | 14% |
Emerson College Archived March 10, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | March 7–10, 2019 | 743 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 43% | 14% |
The following poll assumes neither Republican candidate would withdraw after their primary.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Gary Peters (D) | Bob Carr (R) | John James (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes | March 17–25, 2020 | 822 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 6% [lower-alpha 103] | 27% | 28% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Gary Peters (D) | Bill Schuette (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Target Insyght | April 22–25, 2019 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 32% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Gary Peters (D) | Generic Republican | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Denno Research/Vanguard PA (D) Archived May 29, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | May 8–10, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 36% | 21% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Gary Peters (D) | Generic Opponent | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MRG Archived June 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Jun 12–15, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 19.2% | 30.3% [lower-alpha 104] | 50.5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Glengariff Group/Detroit News | October 23–25, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 47% | 41% | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | September 11–16, 2020 | 637 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 43% | 2% [lower-alpha 105] | 8% [lower-alpha 106] |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC [upper-alpha 13] | August 11–15, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 48% | 39% | – | 13% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) (Hyperpartisan) [102] | July 13–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 38% | – | 13% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) | June 17–20, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 34% | – | 15% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) (Hyperpartisan) | May 1–5, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 38% | 15% [lower-alpha 107] | – |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) (Hyperpartisan) | April 9–18, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 44% | 16% [lower-alpha 108] | – |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) (Hyperpartisan) | March 12–21, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 42% | 12% [lower-alpha 109] | – |
Polls indicated that the race would be close with Peters leading in most polls. In 2018, Michigan voters approved 'no reason required' absentee balloting. [126] The COVID-19 pandemic led to a record number of absentee voters. [127] Michigan law does not allow for early tabulating of absentee ballots, [128] so the absentee ballots were tabulated after completing the tabulating of ballots from polling places. This created a 'mirage' effect because more Republicans voted on Election Day and more Democrats voted by absentee ballot. [129] James was ahead when the counting of Election Day ballots was completed. When the absentee ballots were tabulated and with 98% of the votes counted, Peters was declared the winner by a tight margin of one percentage point after a day of waiting. [130] When the results were certified on November 23, Peters' margin of victory was 1.68%. [131]
Peters was able to win re-election by running up a big margin in Wayne County, home of Detroit, winning over 67% of the vote there. Peters also managed to improve his performance in the reliably Democratic Washtenaw County, home of Ann Arbor, improving on his 2014 election by almost three percentage points. Peters also came within just 1,139 votes of winning Kent County, home of Grand Rapids, having lost the county by over eight percentage points six years prior. Peters was sworn in for his second term on January 3, 2021. His term will expire on January 3, 2027.
African-Americans in Detroit were a major demographic contributing to Gary Peters winning the election. [132]
James would later be elected as a representative in Michigan's 10th congressional district in 2022.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gary Peters (incumbent) | 2,734,568 | 49.90% | -4.71% | |
Republican | John James | 2,642,233 | 48.22% | +6.89% | |
Constitution | Valerie Willis | 50,597 | 0.92% | -0.28% | |
Green | Marcia Squier | 39,217 | 0.72% | -0.12% | |
Natural Law | Doug Dern | 13,093 | 0.24% | N/A | |
Write-in | 12 | 0.00% | ±0.00% | ||
Total votes | 5,479,720 | 100.0% | |||
Democratic hold | |||||
By county | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
District | James | Peters | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 58.1% | 40.6% | Jack Bergman |
2nd | 57.0% | 41.1% | Bill Huizenga |
3rd | 53.1% | 44.9% | Justin Amash |
Peter Meijer | |||
4th | 60.6% | 37.8% | John Moolenaar |
5th | 45.4% | 52.8% | Dan Kildee |
6th | 53.4% | 44.5% | Fred Upton |
7th | 56.2% | 41.7% | Tim Walberg |
8th | 50.8% | 47.6% | Elissa Slotkin |
9th | 42.2% | 55.8% | Andy Levin |
10th | 62.6% | 35.5% | Paul Mitchell |
Lisa McClain | |||
11th | 48.7% | 49.9% | Haley Stevens |
12th | 34.4% | 63.4% | Debbie Dingell |
13th | 19.2% | 77.8% | Rashida Tlaib |
14th | 20.2% | 77.9% | Brenda Lawrence |
After Peters took the lead in the election on the 4th, James refused to concede the race. The following day, James claimed that he had been cheated out of winning the election in a statement published to his campaign website. The statement said that there were "[...] deep concerns that millions of Michiganders may have been disenfranchised by a dishonest few who cheat" and that "[...] there is enough credible evidence to warrant an investigation to ensure that elections were conducted in a transparent, legal and fair manner." [7] A lawyer for James' campaign alleged that fraud was committed at the TCF Center, which the Trump campaign had also attempted to claim in a dismissed lawsuit. [6] [135] [136] James conceded the election to Peters on November 24. [137]
Terri Lynn Land is an American politician who served as the 41st Michigan Secretary of State from 2003 to 2011. A member of the Republican Party, Land was elected to the Republican National Committee in 2012. She was the Republican nominee for the 2014 United States Senate race in Michigan, losing in the general election to Democrat Gary Peters. Land currently serves on the Board of Governors of Wayne State University.
The 2020 United States Senate election in Alabama was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alabama, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
The 2018 United States Senate election in Michigan took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect the Class 1 U.S. Senator from the State of Michigan, concurrently with a gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives.
The 2020 United States Senate election in Colorado was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Colorado, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2020–21 United States Senate general election in Georgia was held on November 3, 2020, and on January 5, 2021, to elect the Class II member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia. Democrat Jon Ossoff defeated incumbent Republican Senator David Perdue in the runoff election. The general election was held concurrently with the 2020 presidential election, as well as with other elections to the Senate, elections to the U.S. House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2020 United States Senate election in Virginia was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Virginia, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic senator Mark Warner won reelection to a third term against Republican nominee Daniel Gade.
The 2020 United States Senate election in Iowa was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Iowa, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Primaries were held on June 2.
The 2020 United States Senate election in Montana was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Montana. It was held concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. The primaries for both the Democratic and Republican nominations took place on June 2, 2020. Incumbent senator Steve Daines won the Republican primary, while Montana Gov. Steve Bullock won the Democratic primary.
The 2020 United States Senate election in Minnesota was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Minnesota, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the U.S. Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and other state and local elections. Some Republican pundits and strategists believed Minnesota to be a potential pickup opportunity due to its increasingly favorable demographics and unexpectedly close result in the 2016 presidential election, along with potential backlash from the 2020 George Floyd protests, originating after the murder of George Floyd in Minneapolis. However, every poll showed incumbent Democratic Senator Tina Smith in the lead by varying degrees.
The 2020 United States Senate election in Maine was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Maine, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. This was Maine's first election for its Class 2 seat to use its ranked choice voting system. Because the first round of the general election saw a majority (51%), the instant runoff tabulation of more than 800,000 ballots was not carried out.
The 2020 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Hampshire, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen won reelection to a third term after comfortably defeating Republican nominee Bryant Messner by 15.6 points and sweeping every single county in the state. This marked the first Senate election since 1972 in which the Democrat carried Belknap County.
The 2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Carolina, concurrently with the 2020 United States presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. North Carolina was one of just five states holding presidential, gubernatorial, and senatorial elections concurrently in 2020. On March 3, 2020, Republican incumbent Thom Tillis and Democratic former state senator Cal Cunningham won their respective primaries.
John Edward James is an American businessman and politician serving as the U.S. representative for Michigan's 10th congressional district since 2023. A member of the Republican Party, he was its nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018 and 2020.
The 2020 United States Senate special election in Arizona was held on November 3, 2020, following the death in office of incumbent Republican U.S. Senator John McCain on August 25, 2018. Governor Doug Ducey was required by Arizona law to appoint a Republican to fill the vacant seat until a special election winner could be sworn in. On September 5, 2018, Ducey appointed former U.S. Senator Jon Kyl to fill McCain's seat. However, Kyl announced he would resign on December 31, 2018.
The 2020 United States presidential election in Michigan was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Michigan voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and his running mate, Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate, Senator Kamala Harris of California. Michigan had 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Maine, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The election was conducted with ranked choice voting, as per the result of a referendum passed in 2016.
The 2020 United States House of Representatives election in Montana was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the U.S. representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls were declared candidates or received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
The 2022 Michigan gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Michigan. Incumbent Democratic Governor Gretchen Whitmer ran for re-election to a second term and faced former political commentator Tudor Dixon in the general election. Whitmer defeated Dixon by a margin of 10.6 percentage points, a wider margin than polls indicated as well as a wider margin Whitmer's first victory four years prior. According to Ron Brownstein of CNN in 2023, Whitmer won independent voters by double-digit margins, which contributed to Dixon's defeat.
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan were held on November 8, 2022, to elect representatives for the thirteen seats in Michigan. The deadline for candidates to file for the August 2 primary was April 19. The congressional makeup prior to the election was seven Democrats and seven Republicans. However, after the 2020 census, Michigan lost one congressional seat. Democrats won a majority of seats in the state for the first time since 2008. This can be partly attributed to the decrease in the number of districts, which resulted in two Republican incumbents – Bill Huizenga and Fred Upton – in the new 4th district. Redistricting also played a part in shifting partisan lean of the districts which favored the Democrats overall, including in the 3rd district, which Democrats were able to flip with a margin of victory of 13 points. That was made possible by a non-partisan citizens' commission drawing the new political boundaries instead of the Michigan legislature after a 2018 ballot proposal was approved.
This article has an unclear citation style .(July 2023) |
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)