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Turnout | 81.33%6.89 [1] | |||||||||||||||||||
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Gianforte: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Cooney: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No data | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Montana |
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The 2020 Montana gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the next governor of Montana, concurrently with the U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the U.S. Senate and the House of Representatives and various state and local elections. It resulted in voters selecting Greg Gianforte over Mike Cooney. Incumbent Democratic governor Steve Bullock was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term in office, and he ran unsuccessfully for Montana's Class II Senate seat. [2]
Bullock's lieutenant governor, Mike Cooney, was the Democratic nominee, while the Republican nominee was Montana's at-large representative Greg Gianforte, who won the election, making him the first Republican governor of Montana since Judy Martz left office in 2005. [3] This was the only gubernatorial seat to change partisan control in the 2020 elections. This election marked the first time since the 1920s that Republicans controlled all state constitutional offices and a majority of the Legislature. [4]
Statewide politicians
Federal politicians
Organizations
Statewide politicians
Local politicians
Organizations
Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Mike Cooney | Reilly Neill | Casey Schreiner | Whitney Williams | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Montana State University Billings [26] | October 7–16, 2019 | 40 (LV) | – | 19% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 62% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mike Cooney | 81,527 | 54.86% | |
Democratic | Whitney Williams | 67,066 | 45.14% | |
Total votes | 148,593 | 100.00% |
Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Tim Fox | Greg Gianforte | Albert Olszewski | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Montana State University Billings [43] | October 7–16, 2019 | 99 (LV) | – | 25% | 33% | 9% | 32% |
Gravis Marketing [44] | August 28–30, 2019 | 433 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 29% | 56% | 15% | – |
Moore Information [45] [A] | July 7–10, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 17% | 56% | 5% | 23% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg Gianforte | 119,247 | 53.44% | |
Republican | Tim Fox | 60,823 | 27.26% | |
Republican | Albert Olszewski | 43,080 | 19.30% | |
Total votes | 223,150 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Green | Robert Barb | 713 | 100.0% | |
Total votes | 713 | 100.0% |
Host | Date & Time | Link(s) | Participants | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Mike Cooney (D) | Greg Gianforte (R) | |||
Montana PBS | October 6, 2020 6:00pm MDT | [51] | Present | Present |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [52] | Tossup | October 23, 2020 |
Inside Elections [53] | Tossup | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [54] | Lean R (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
Politico [55] | Lean R (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos [56] | Lean R (flip) | October 28, 2020 |
RCP [57] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
270towin [58] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
Statewide and local politicians
Federal politicians
Organizations
U.S. Presidents
Individuals
Organizations
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Mike Cooney (D) | Greg Gianforte (R) | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research [60] | October 29 – November 2, 2020 | 920 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 48% | 6% [b] |
Montana State University Billings [61] | October 19–24, 2020 | 546 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 45% | 11% [c] |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [62] | October 18–20, 2020 | 758 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 48% | 8% [d] |
Strategies 360/NBCMT [63] | October 15–20, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 48% | 11% [e] |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ [64] | October 15–18, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% [f] | 48% | 5% [g] |
47% [h] | 46% | 5% [i] | ||||
43% [j] | 50% | 5% [k] | ||||
Emerson College [65] | October 4–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 41% | 54% | 5% [l] |
Montana State University Bozeman [66] | September 14 – October 2, 2020 | 1,605 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 47% | 11% [m] |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [67] | September 14–16, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 39% | 45% | 16% [n] |
Global Strategy Group (D) [68] | August 18–23, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 46% | 47% | – |
Emerson College [69] | July 31 – August 2, 2020 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 50% | 10% [o] |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [70] | July 11–13, 2020 | 873 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 47% | 9% [p] |
Public Policy Polling [71] [B] | July 9–10, 2020 | 1,224 (V) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 46% | 12% [q] |
University of Montana [72] | June 17–26, 2020 | 517 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | 46% | 18% [r] |
The Progress Campaign (D) [73] | April 14–21, 2020 | 1,712 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 41% | 43% | 16% [s] |
with Mike Cooney, Tim Fox, Greg Gianforte, Albert Olszewski, Ron Vandevender and Whitney Williams
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Democratic Candidates | Republican Candidates | Ron Vandevender (L) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Montana [74] | February 12–22, 2020 | 498 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 35.1% [t] | 61.7% [u] | 1.3% |
with Mike Cooney, Tim Fox, Greg Gianforte, Reilly Neill, Albert Olszewski, Gary Perry, Casey Schreiner and Whitney Williams
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Democratic Candidates | Republican Candidates |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Montana [75] | September 26 – October 3, 2019 | 303 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 40% [v] | 60.1% [w] |
with Tim Fox, Matt Rosendale, Corey Stapleton, Kathleen Williams and Whitney Williams
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Democratic Candidates | Republican Candidates | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Montana [76] | February 21 – March 1, 2019 | 293 (RV) | ± 5.7% | 32.4% [x] | 48.4% [y] | 19.2% [z] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | 328,548 | 54.43% | +8.08% | ||
Democratic | 250,860 | 41.56% | −8.69% | ||
Libertarian |
| 24,179 | 4.01% | +0.61% | |
Total votes | 603,587 | 100.00% | |||
Turnout | 612,075 | 81.33% | |||
Registered electors | 752,538 | ||||
Republican gain from Democratic |
County | Greg Gianforte Kristen Juras Republican | Mike Cooney Casey Schreiner Democratic | Lyman Bishop John Nesper Libertarian | Margin | Total votes | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | ||
Beaverhead | 66.81% | 3,779 | 29.49% | 1,668 | 3.70% | 209 | 39.32% | 2,111 | 5,656 |
Big Horn | 43.35% | 2,078 | 52.42% | 2,513 | 4.23% | 203 | -9.07% | -445 | 4,794 |
Blaine | 43.79% | 1,365 | 51.94% | 1,619 | 4.27% | 133 | -8.15% | -254 | 3,117 |
Broadwater | 73.97% | 3,032 | 22.64% | 928 | 3.39% | 139 | 51.33% | 2,104 | 4,099 |
Carbon | 60.81% | 4,303 | 35.30% | 2,498 | 3.89% | 275 | 25.51% | 1,805 | 7,076 |
Carter | 87.28% | 748 | 10.62% | 91 | 2.10% | 18 | 76.66% | 657 | 857 |
Cascade | 55.79% | 22,221 | 39.97% | 15,922 | 4.24% | 1,689 | 15.82% | 6,299 | 39,832 |
Chouteau | 61.10% | 1,816 | 35.26% | 1,048 | 3.63% | 108 | 25.84% | 768 | 2,972 |
Custer | 67.66% | 3,971 | 27.59% | 1,619 | 4.75% | 279 | 40.07% | 2,352 | 5,869 |
Daniels | 76.11% | 768 | 21.51% | 217 | 2.38% | 24 | 54.60% | 551 | 1,009 |
Dawson | 73.02% | 3,524 | 23.29% | 1,124 | 3.69% | 178 | 49.73% | 2,400 | 4,826 |
Deer Lodge | 38.60% | 1,881 | 56.37% | 2,747 | 5.03% | 245 | -17.77% | -866 | 4,873 |
Fallon | 82.83% | 1,288 | 14.02% | 218 | 3.15% | 49 | 68.81% | 1,070 | 1,555 |
Fergus | 72.89% | 4,737 | 24.11% | 1,567 | 3.00% | 195 | 48.78% | 3,170 | 6,499 |
Flathead | 62.20% | 37,213 | 34.08% | 20,387 | 3.72% | 2,225 | 28.12% | 16,826 | 59,825 |
Gallatin | 44.21% | 31,368 | 51.85% | 36,788 | 3.94% | 2,800 | 7.64% | 5,420 | 70,956 |
Garfield | 92.37% | 751 | 5.91% | 48 | 1.72% | 14 | 86.46% | 703 | 813 |
Glacier | 30.07% | 1,709 | 65.62% | 3,730 | 4.31% | 245 | -35.55% | -2,021 | 5,684 |
Golden Valley | 81.31% | 409 | 15.91% | 80 | 2.78% | 14 | 65.40% | 329 | 503 |
Granite | 64.37% | 1,348 | 31.47% | 659 | 4.16% | 87 | 32.90% | 689 | 2,094 |
Hill | 50.72% | 3,642 | 43.81% | 3,146 | 5.47% | 393 | 6.91% | 496 | 7,181 |
Jefferson | 62.39% | 5,097 | 34.17% | 2,791 | 3.44% | 281 | 28.22% | 2,306 | 8,169 |
Judith Basin | 75.56% | 1,017 | 20.88% | 281 | 3.56% | 48 | 54.68% | 746 | 1,346 |
Lake | 53.73% | 8,913 | 41.50% | 6,885 | 4.77% | 791 | 12.23% | 2,028 | 16,589 |
Lewis and Clark | 47.05% | 19,969 | 49.54% | 21,022 | 3.41% | 1,448 | -2.49% | -1,053 | 42,439 |
Liberty | 72.76% | 788 | 24.75% | 268 | 2.49% | 27 | 48.01% | 520 | 1,083 |
Lincoln | 70.74% | 8,279 | 25.64% | 3,001 | 3.62% | 424 | 45.10% | 5,278 | 11,704 |
Madison | 65.57% | 3,992 | 30.83% | 1,877 | 3.60% | 219 | 34.74% | 2,115 | 6,088 |
McCone | 82.45% | 921 | 14.77% | 165 | 2.78% | 31 | 67.68% | 756 | 1,117 |
Meagher | 74.01% | 823 | 23.02% | 256 | 2.97% | 33 | 50.99% | 567 | 1,112 |
Mineral | 67.20% | 1,715 | 27.67% | 706 | 5.13% | 131 | 39.53% | 1,009 | 2,552 |
Missoula | 35.55% | 25,448 | 60.67% | 43,426 | 3.78% | 2,706 | -25.12% | -17,978 | 71,580 |
Musselshell | 80.77% | 2,318 | 15.68% | 450 | 3.55% | 102 | 65.09% | 1,868 | 2,870 |
Park | 50.07% | 5,798 | 46.32% | 5,364 | 3.61% | 418 | 3.75% | 434 | 11,580 |
Petroleum | 85.43% | 299 | 12.57% | 44 | 2.00% | 7 | 72.86% | 255 | 350 |
Phillips | 80.40% | 1,908 | 17.36% | 412 | 2.24% | 53 | 63.04% | 1,496 | 2,373 |
Pondera | 66.10% | 1,981 | 30.43% | 912 | 3.47% | 104 | 35.67% | 1,069 | 2,997 |
Powder River | 83.53% | 943 | 14.35% | 162 | 2.12% | 24 | 69.18% | 781 | 1,129 |
Powell | 69.41% | 2,212 | 26.64% | 849 | 3.95% | 126 | 42.77% | 1,363 | 3,187 |
Prairie | 74.52% | 544 | 21.92% | 160 | 3.56% | 26 | 52.60% | 384 | 730 |
Ravalli | 65.11% | 18,557 | 31.17% | 8,883 | 3.72% | 1,063 | 33.94% | 9,674 | 28,503 |
Richland | 78.31% | 4,506 | 17.67% | 1,017 | 4.02% | 231 | 60.64% | 3,489 | 5,754 |
Roosevelt | 46.39% | 1,859 | 48.94% | 1,961 | 4.67% | 187 | -2.55% | -102 | 4,007 |
Rosebud | 63.06% | 2,363 | 32.99% | 1,236 | 3.95% | 148 | 30.07% | 1,127 | 3,747 |
Sanders | 70.47% | 5,346 | 24.65% | 1,870 | 4.88% | 370 | 45.82% | 3,476 | 7,586 |
Sheridan | 64.48% | 1,300 | 31.45% | 634 | 4.07% | 82 | 33.03% | 666 | 2,016 |
Silver Bow | 34.57% | 6,490 | 61.23% | 11,495 | 4.20% | 788 | -26.66% | -5,005 | 18,773 |
Stillwater | 74.96% | 4,292 | 22.06% | 1,263 | 2.98% | 171 | 52.90% | 3,029 | 5,726 |
Sweet Grass | 73.57% | 1,801 | 22.59% | 553 | 3.84% | 94 | 50.98% | 1,248 | 2,448 |
Teton | 67.76% | 2,497 | 28.58% | 1,053 | 3.66% | 135 | 39.18% | 1,444 | 3,685 |
Toole | 73.10% | 1,546 | 22.13% | 468 | 4.78% | 101 | 50.97% | 1,078 | 2,115 |
Treasure | 77.82% | 358 | 19.35% | 89 | 2.83% | 13 | 58.47% | 269 | 460 |
Valley | 68.24% | 2,899 | 27.83% | 1,182 | 3.93% | 167 | 40.41% | 1,717 | 4,248 |
Wheatland | 72.36% | 767 | 23.68% | 251 | 3.96% | 42 | 48.68% | 516 | 1,060 |
Wibaux | 79.49% | 465 | 17.95% | 105 | 2.56% | 15 | 61.54% | 360 | 585 |
Yellowstone | 57.03% | 48,586 | 36.57% | 31,152 | 6.40% | 5453 | 20.46% | 17,434 | 85,191 |
Total | 54.43% | 328,548 | 41.56% | 250,860 | 4.01% | 24,179 | 12.87% | 77,688 | 603,587 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Partisan clients
Michael R. Cooney is an American politician who served as the 36th lieutenant governor of Montana from 2016 to 2021. He previously served in the Montana House of Representatives (1977–1981), as the Secretary of State of Montana (1989–2001), in the Montana Senate (2003–2011), as the president of the Montana Senate (2007–2009) and ran unsuccessfully for Governor of Montana in 2000. Cooney was the Democratic nominee for governor of Montana in the 2020 election, losing to Republican U.S. Representative Greg Gianforte.
The 2012 Montana gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, to elect the governor of Montana. Incumbent Democratic governor Brian Schweitzer was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a third term.
Gregory Richard Gianforte is an American businessman, politician, and software engineer serving as the 25th governor of Montana since 2021. A member of the Republican Party, Gianforte served as the U.S. representative for Montana's at-large congressional district from 2017 to 2021.
Matthew Martin Rosendale Sr. is an American politician and former real estate developer representing Montana's 2nd congressional district in the United States House of Representatives. A Member of the Republican Party, Rosendale served in the Montana House of Representatives from 2011 to 2013, and in the Montana Senate from 2013 to 2017. From 2015 to 2017, he served as Senate majority leader. Rosendale was elected Montana state auditor in 2016 and held that position from 2017 to 2020. Rosendale ran unsuccessfully for the U.S. House of Representatives in 2014 and for the U.S. Senate in 2018. He was elected to represent Montana's at-large congressional district in 2020. After Montana regained its second House seat in the 2020 census, Rosendale was elected to represent the new 2nd congressional district in 2022.
Casey Schreiner is an American politician and former educator who served as the Minority Leader of the Montana House of Representatives from 2019 to 2021, and where he represented the 26th district from 2013 to 2021. Before serving in the legislature, Schreiner worked as a middle school teacher, executive director of the Montana State Workforce Innovation Board, and as the director of work-based learning for the Montana Department of Labor and Industry.
Whitney Williams is an American businesswoman and political candidate. In October 2019, Williams announced her candidacy for the 2020 Montana gubernatorial election, but she was defeated in the Democratic primary.
The 2016 Montana gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2016, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Montana, concurrently with the presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2018 United States Senate election in Montana was held on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Montana, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2020 United States Senate election in Montana was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Montana. It was held concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. The primaries for both the Democratic and Republican nominations took place on June 2, 2020. Incumbent senator Steve Daines won the Republican primary, while Montana Gov. Steve Bullock won the Democratic primary.
United States gubernatorial elections were held on November 3, 2020, in 11 states and two territories. The previous gubernatorial elections for this group of states took place in 2016, except in New Hampshire and Vermont where governors only serve two-year terms. These two states elected their current governors in 2018. Nine state governors ran for reelection and all nine won, while Democrat Steve Bullock of Montana could not run again due to term limits and Republican Gary Herbert of Utah decided to retire at the end of his term.
The 2020 Utah gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the governor of Utah. Incumbent Republican governor Gary Herbert declined running for re-election to a third full term.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives election in Montana was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the U.S. representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.
In Montana, an at-large congressional district special election was held on May 25, 2017, to determine the member of the United States House of Representatives for Montana's at-large congressional district. The election was necessitated by incumbent Republican Representative Ryan Zinke's appointment as United States Secretary of the Interior. Zinke resigned on March 1, 2017, upon his confirmation.
Albert Olszewski is an American orthopedic surgeon and perennial candidate. He served as a Republican member of both the Montana Senate and Montana House of Representatives. He ran unsuccessful campaigns for the U.S. Senate in 2018, governor in 2020, and U.S. House of Representatives in 2022. In addition, he also was a candidate for lieutenant governor in 2012 on a ticket with Montana transportation director Jim Lynch. He and Lynch lost in all 4 republican primaries.
The 2020 United States House of Representatives election in Montana was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the U.S. representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.
A general election in the state of Montana was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, with the primary elections being held on June 2, 2020. Voters will elect one member to United States House of Representatives and all five state constitutional offices, among other elected offices.
The 2024 United States Senate election in Montana was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Montana. Incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Tester lost re-election to a fourth term, being defeated by Republican nominee Tim Sheehy. Sheehy's victory gave Republicans control of both of Montana's Senate seats for the first time since 1911. Primary elections took place on June 4, 2024. Although Tester outperformed Kamala Harris in the concurrent presidential election by 12.8 points, which was the strongest overperformance of any Democratic Senate candidate, it was still not enough to win.
Kristen Juras is an American businesswoman, attorney, law professor, and politician serving as the 37th lieutenant governor of Montana. A Republican, Juras was first elected in November 2020 and assumed office on January 4, 2021.
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana were held on November 8, 2022, to elect two U.S. Representatives from Montana, one from each of its congressional districts. Prior to this election cycle, Montana had one at-large district, represented by Republican Matt Rosendale. However, during the 2020 redistricting cycle, Montana regained the 2nd district that it lost in 1993.
The 2024 Montana gubernatorial election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of the U.S. state of Montana, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Primary elections took place on June 4, 2024. Incumbent Republican governor Greg Gianforte won re-election to a second term, defeating Democratic nominee Ryan Busse.
Official campaign websites